Thoughts About the Grid of the Future
       ……and Realities about the Future of the Grid


Malaquías Encarnación
Project Director – Solutions Development
AES Energy Storage




                                                      www.AESEnergyStorage.com
The AES diverse portfolio of assets and broad market footprint
   provide the market insight & credibility to create an energy storage
   business.

                                   37 MW Solar PV                         An industry leader in…
                                                                          Independent Power Production
       1,755 MW Wind               Generation in the                      Project Finance
       Generation in the               Europe                             Carbon Offsets
        United States                                                     International Privatizations
                                                                          Deregulation
                                                                          Solar PV




                                                                        132 Power plants worldwide
                                                                       totaling approximately 40 GW
     100 million people                                                  gross generation capacity
      are served with
      AES electricity.
                                               Fuel Type                             Geography
                                                                                Asia &
                                     Renewables                               Middle East                   Latin
                                                                Coal                                       America
     14 Utilities worldwide,                       21%                                      13%
                                                                                                    26%
                                   Other
       serving 11 million          Thermal    5%          41%              Europe,
                                                                                     27%
    customers, with sales of                                                CIS &
                                                    33%                     Africa                34%
         77,000 GWh
                                             Gas                                                    North America
Note: As of October 2010                                                                                              2
                                                                        © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
?

                                              3
© 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
The Grid Of The Future




                                                            Source: DoE
                                                                     4
                         © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Problems Power Grid Operators have today

Irreversible Causes                              Reversible Consequences

•  The Grid is aging, most tecs developed      •  There have been 5-7 massive blackouts
   back in the 50’s                               over the last 40 Years
•  Since 1982 demand growth has                •  The average outage affects 15% more
   exceeded transmission growth by at             people every 5 years
   least 25% every year                        •  Outages and Power Quality cost
•  All states have aggressive plans to            businesses more than $150 BB/year
   develop renewables (20%)                    •  Blackouts occasioned by unexpected
•  Load is becoming more sensitive to             drops in renewable resources (TX)
   outages (more expensive to interrupt)       •  Voltage constraints and out-of-merit units
•  Not enough room for redundancy and             to supply reactive power
   spare equipment                             •  More frequent system islands due to
•  Citizen opposition to siting and building      transmission congestions
   new TLines                                  •  Security issues with more lines been
                                                  added to the same right-of-way


                                                                                                          5
                                                            © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Problems Energy Storage is solving today
•  Efficient Operating Reserves
   (Frequency Regulation and
   Spinning Reserve)
•  Release stranded capacity
•  Eliminate out-of-merit dispatch
•  Enable Wind and Solar
   integration
•  Solve T&D congestion problems
   (deferral)
•  Local voltage issues
•  Low utilization peaking resources




                                                                                     6
                                       © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Problems we know ES will solve in the future
                              •  Highest flexibility and self-healing
                              •  Ability to forecast, analyze and
                                 expect
                              •  A lot of data available for Power
                                 Systems analysis
                              •  Higher situational awareness through
                                 PMUs and others
                              •  Multiple seasonal and situational
                                 operations profile
                              •  Distributed storage for distributed
                                 generation
                              •  Integration of EVs and smart
                                 appliances
                              •  Ancillary Services provided by
                                 renewable resources
                              •  Emissions Reduction
                                                                                          7
                                            © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Energy storage meets two pressing goals of electric power policy
       simultaneously: reduce emissions and ensure reliability.
                                                                                                          !




                                                           absorbs as generated
                    Nuclear
    Emissions-           (4%)                                          Demand
      Free
                                                           Response
                                            Wind                                                Hydro
                                                                                                   (3%)
                                           Solar
                          CCS            Geothermal
    Capacity
              (2%)
                                              (42%)
    Emissions
     Profile


     Emission-
      bearing
                                                                                Nat. Gas
                                                                                    (46%)
                                                          Coal
                                                            (3%)


                    Inflexible
                         Flexibility Profile
                         Highly Flexible
                                                                                                                                       8
Size represents share of planned capacity additions in the U.S. 2010-2025, Source: EER
                                                                                         © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Value: Advanced energy storage solutions are more flexible and
 precise than the grid’s best fossil solutions.

“Ideal regulation capacity is 2.7 times more efficient than the average combustion turbine capacity.”
         Makarov, Y.V. Assessing the value of Regulation Resources Based on Their Time Response Characteristics.
         http://certs.lbl.gov/pdf/task-2-4-regulation-resources.pdf




                                                                                                                                                 9
                                                                                                   © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Energy Storage offers multiple operational and
economic advantages over alternatives.
                                                                                               Capacity Alternatives
                                                     AES 400 MW                   400 MW CT                     500 MW CCGT             Demand Response
              Characteristics
                                                     BESS (8 x 50)                 (LM 6000)
                      Hours Synchronized
                                                           >95%                       <10%                          80%               Value limited to peak.
                      Startup Time                        1 min                     15 min                       Up to 4 hrs                  1 min
                      Regulation                       800 MW/min                 40 MW/min                      12 MW/min            Not generally available
                      Spinning Reserve
                                                       800 MW/min                 40 MW/min                      12 MW/min                      Fast
  Operational
   Flexibility        Voltage Support               Yes, ±400 MVAR              Rarely Synched                      Yes                         No
                      Min. Load Req.                     0 MW                      180 MW                         200 MW                       0 MW

                      Primary Fuel                    Any base fuel,
                                                                                    Gas, FO                         Gas                         N/A
                      Diversity                       including wind

                      Heat-rate                            7731(1)                    10500                         6765                         0
   Efficiency         Controllable Load
                                                     Yes, 0-400 MW                      No                           No               Not available off-peak
                      Direct Emissions                     None                    Significant                    Moderate                     None
                      Water Requirement
                                                             No                        Yes                          Yes                         No
 Environment
                      Emissions
                      Reduction                         Significant                  Limited                     Significant                Significant




(1)Based on AC-AC round-trip efficiency of 87.5% and charging source of electricity with 6765 BTU/kWh (CCGT).                                                   10
                                                                                                                    © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Leading ISOs and Market Operators are integrating ES

         PJM                                NYISO                           CDEC                                 Others

•  Allowed ES into              •  ES resource tariff             •  12 MW installed in                •  HECO requires
market in 08’                   issued in 09’                     Los Andes in 09’                     wind-solar-storage
•  Pay-for-performance          •  Implementing pay-              •  Storage best                      integration for
expected 1Q12                   for-performance                   performing operating                 reliability

• 32 MW installed at a          •  8 MW of Battery-               reserve                              •  CAISO ES program
wind farm in WV                 Based ES in operation             • 20 MW under                        in 2012, planning
                                                                  construction                         calls for 1,000 MW
•  1 MW installed at            •  20 MW of flywheels
PJM HQ’s parking lot            ES in operation                   •  Offers Primary and                • ERCOT new law
                                                                  Secondary FR                         clarifying storage as
•  Integration of EV to                                                                                generation, for
the FR market                                                                                          renewable integration


“Energy storage is among the best means       “Energy storage has the ability to change everything as we know it today. For
to ensure we can reliably integrate           example, PJM has successfully linked AES’s lithium ion batteries to the grid to
renewable energy resources into the grid”     provide regulation service. These types of units provide grid operators with an
– Jon Wellinghoff, Chairman, FERC             efficient and accurate tool to deliver grid stability by balancing the varying load.”
                                              – Chantal Hendrzak, PJM’s General Manager of Applied Solutions


                                                                                                                                        11
                                                                                           © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Case Study: AES Energy Storage has 88 MW in operation

            Capacity Release for Generators                      Reserve Capacity for Utilities and LSEs



                                       12 MW                                                           8 MW
                                  Los Andes, Chile                                                Johnson City, NY




COD:                          Dec-2009                      COD:                              Dec-2010
Size:                         12 MW                         Size:                             8/20 MW (DOE LG)
Revenue Model:                94 GWh energy sales/year      Revenue Model:                    Reg. Capacity Sales (NYISO)
Commercial Availability.:     100%                          Commercial Availability.:         >95%



                20 MW Angamos, Chile                     98 MW Wind/32 MW Storage Project, WV-US




                                                                                                                             12

            Capacity Release for Generators                   Reserve Capacity for Utilities and LSEs
                                                                                 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
AES Energy Storage Business Model

      To Provide Power Services using Fast,
     Emissions-Free Energy Storage Services

               Customized Applications
           Advanced ES          Turnkey
           Technologies       Design/Deploy

           Software and        Monitoring &
             Control            Ops 24/7
               Flexibility and Efficiency



                                                                                        13
                                            © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
A12 MW project in Chile project has proven the most reliable resource
  for the grid in the region.

                                                           Capacity Release for Generators
                                                       COD:                         Dec-2009
                                                       Size:                        12 MW
                                                       Revenue Model:               94 GWh/year
                                                       Commercial Availability:     100%



                                                        1:02 am        1:16 am




Loss of 200 MW in SING: November 24th

    Pre-programmed digital response
    when frequency dropped below 50 Hz




                                                              © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Johnson City (8/20MW) was the first energy storage project to
provide reserve capacity to utilities in the NYISO market – proving
the siting and permitting of battery systems in NY.

                                                   Reserve Capacity for Utilities and LSEs
                                           COD:                        Dec-2010/3Q-2011
                                           Size:                       8/20 MW
                                           Revenue Model:              Reg. Capacity Sales (NYISO)
                                           Commercial Availability.:   >95%




                         AES Johnson City SCADA Daily Report
                                                                                                          15
                                                              © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Laurel Mountain (32 MW) in West Virginia is the first Energy
Storage project to be integrated to a wind farm

                                                        Reserve Capacity for Utilities and LSEs
                                                COD:                        Sept-2011
                                                Size:                       32 MW
                                                Revenue Model:              Reg. Capacity Sales (PJM)
                                                Additional Capability:      Wind Ramp Moderation
                                                Commercial Availability.:   >95%




                              AES Laurel Mountain SCADA Daily Report                                           16
                                                                   © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
17
© 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Keeping High Availability            Other Key Benefits:


             Software
                                         •  Highly flexible, expandable and
                and
              control
                                            reliable
Modular
Design
                            100%
                           Synch’d
                                         •  100 % Emissions Free
                                         •  No water required
 24/7         > 95%         Vendors      •  Operation almost fully
               CAF        integration
Monitor
                                            automated
                                         •  Re-programmable and
  Fast
Response
                           Distributed
                                            adaptable
                Must
             perform to                  •  Always synched to the grid
              get paid
                                         •  Computer based control



                                                                                               18
                                                   © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
AES Energy Storage bundles its Capacity & Reliability Services into
  a single PPA structure paid monthly




AES Energy Storage only gets paid if the services are delivered as contracted.
                                                                                                      19
                                                         © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
ü  Value

ü  Precedent

ü  Business Model

ü  Credentials




                                             20
 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
Got questions?




                 Project Director!




                                                                            21
                                © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.

Energy Storage 101

  • 1.
    Thoughts About theGrid of the Future ……and Realities about the Future of the Grid Malaquías Encarnación Project Director – Solutions Development AES Energy Storage www.AESEnergyStorage.com
  • 2.
    The AES diverseportfolio of assets and broad market footprint provide the market insight & credibility to create an energy storage business. 37 MW Solar PV An industry leader in… Independent Power Production 1,755 MW Wind Generation in the Project Finance Generation in the Europe Carbon Offsets United States International Privatizations Deregulation Solar PV 132 Power plants worldwide totaling approximately 40 GW 100 million people gross generation capacity are served with AES electricity. Fuel Type Geography Asia & Renewables Middle East Latin Coal America 14 Utilities worldwide, 21% 13% 26% Other serving 11 million Thermal 5% 41% Europe, 27% customers, with sales of CIS & 33% Africa 34% 77,000 GWh Gas North America Note: As of October 2010 2 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 3.
    ? 3 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 4.
    The Grid OfThe Future Source: DoE 4 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 5.
    Problems Power GridOperators have today Irreversible Causes Reversible Consequences •  The Grid is aging, most tecs developed •  There have been 5-7 massive blackouts back in the 50’s over the last 40 Years •  Since 1982 demand growth has •  The average outage affects 15% more exceeded transmission growth by at people every 5 years least 25% every year •  Outages and Power Quality cost •  All states have aggressive plans to businesses more than $150 BB/year develop renewables (20%) •  Blackouts occasioned by unexpected •  Load is becoming more sensitive to drops in renewable resources (TX) outages (more expensive to interrupt) •  Voltage constraints and out-of-merit units •  Not enough room for redundancy and to supply reactive power spare equipment •  More frequent system islands due to •  Citizen opposition to siting and building transmission congestions new TLines •  Security issues with more lines been added to the same right-of-way 5 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 6.
    Problems Energy Storageis solving today •  Efficient Operating Reserves (Frequency Regulation and Spinning Reserve) •  Release stranded capacity •  Eliminate out-of-merit dispatch •  Enable Wind and Solar integration •  Solve T&D congestion problems (deferral) •  Local voltage issues •  Low utilization peaking resources 6 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 7.
    Problems we knowES will solve in the future •  Highest flexibility and self-healing •  Ability to forecast, analyze and expect •  A lot of data available for Power Systems analysis •  Higher situational awareness through PMUs and others •  Multiple seasonal and situational operations profile •  Distributed storage for distributed generation •  Integration of EVs and smart appliances •  Ancillary Services provided by renewable resources •  Emissions Reduction 7 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 8.
    Energy storage meetstwo pressing goals of electric power policy simultaneously: reduce emissions and ensure reliability. ! absorbs as generated Nuclear Emissions- (4%) Demand Free Response Wind Hydro (3%) Solar CCS Geothermal Capacity (2%) (42%) Emissions Profile Emission- bearing Nat. Gas (46%) Coal (3%) Inflexible Flexibility Profile Highly Flexible 8 Size represents share of planned capacity additions in the U.S. 2010-2025, Source: EER © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 9.
    Value: Advanced energystorage solutions are more flexible and precise than the grid’s best fossil solutions. “Ideal regulation capacity is 2.7 times more efficient than the average combustion turbine capacity.” Makarov, Y.V. Assessing the value of Regulation Resources Based on Their Time Response Characteristics. http://certs.lbl.gov/pdf/task-2-4-regulation-resources.pdf 9 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 10.
    Energy Storage offersmultiple operational and economic advantages over alternatives. Capacity Alternatives AES 400 MW 400 MW CT 500 MW CCGT Demand Response Characteristics BESS (8 x 50) (LM 6000) Hours Synchronized >95% <10% 80% Value limited to peak. Startup Time 1 min 15 min Up to 4 hrs 1 min Regulation 800 MW/min 40 MW/min 12 MW/min Not generally available Spinning Reserve 800 MW/min 40 MW/min 12 MW/min Fast Operational Flexibility Voltage Support Yes, ±400 MVAR Rarely Synched Yes No Min. Load Req. 0 MW 180 MW 200 MW 0 MW Primary Fuel Any base fuel, Gas, FO Gas N/A Diversity including wind Heat-rate 7731(1) 10500 6765 0 Efficiency Controllable Load Yes, 0-400 MW No No Not available off-peak Direct Emissions None Significant Moderate None Water Requirement No Yes Yes No Environment Emissions Reduction Significant Limited Significant Significant (1)Based on AC-AC round-trip efficiency of 87.5% and charging source of electricity with 6765 BTU/kWh (CCGT). 10 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 11.
    Leading ISOs andMarket Operators are integrating ES PJM NYISO CDEC Others •  Allowed ES into •  ES resource tariff •  12 MW installed in •  HECO requires market in 08’ issued in 09’ Los Andes in 09’ wind-solar-storage •  Pay-for-performance •  Implementing pay- •  Storage best integration for expected 1Q12 for-performance performing operating reliability • 32 MW installed at a •  8 MW of Battery- reserve •  CAISO ES program wind farm in WV Based ES in operation • 20 MW under in 2012, planning construction calls for 1,000 MW •  1 MW installed at •  20 MW of flywheels PJM HQ’s parking lot ES in operation •  Offers Primary and • ERCOT new law Secondary FR clarifying storage as •  Integration of EV to generation, for the FR market renewable integration “Energy storage is among the best means “Energy storage has the ability to change everything as we know it today. For to ensure we can reliably integrate example, PJM has successfully linked AES’s lithium ion batteries to the grid to renewable energy resources into the grid” provide regulation service. These types of units provide grid operators with an – Jon Wellinghoff, Chairman, FERC efficient and accurate tool to deliver grid stability by balancing the varying load.” – Chantal Hendrzak, PJM’s General Manager of Applied Solutions 11 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 12.
    Case Study: AESEnergy Storage has 88 MW in operation Capacity Release for Generators Reserve Capacity for Utilities and LSEs 12 MW 8 MW Los Andes, Chile Johnson City, NY COD: Dec-2009 COD: Dec-2010 Size: 12 MW Size: 8/20 MW (DOE LG) Revenue Model: 94 GWh energy sales/year Revenue Model: Reg. Capacity Sales (NYISO) Commercial Availability.: 100% Commercial Availability.: >95% 20 MW Angamos, Chile 98 MW Wind/32 MW Storage Project, WV-US 12 Capacity Release for Generators Reserve Capacity for Utilities and LSEs © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 13.
    AES Energy StorageBusiness Model To Provide Power Services using Fast, Emissions-Free Energy Storage Services Customized Applications Advanced ES Turnkey Technologies Design/Deploy Software and Monitoring & Control Ops 24/7 Flexibility and Efficiency 13 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 14.
    A12 MW projectin Chile project has proven the most reliable resource for the grid in the region. Capacity Release for Generators COD: Dec-2009 Size: 12 MW Revenue Model: 94 GWh/year Commercial Availability: 100% 1:02 am 1:16 am Loss of 200 MW in SING: November 24th Pre-programmed digital response when frequency dropped below 50 Hz © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 15.
    Johnson City (8/20MW)was the first energy storage project to provide reserve capacity to utilities in the NYISO market – proving the siting and permitting of battery systems in NY. Reserve Capacity for Utilities and LSEs COD: Dec-2010/3Q-2011 Size: 8/20 MW Revenue Model: Reg. Capacity Sales (NYISO) Commercial Availability.: >95% AES Johnson City SCADA Daily Report 15 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 16.
    Laurel Mountain (32MW) in West Virginia is the first Energy Storage project to be integrated to a wind farm Reserve Capacity for Utilities and LSEs COD: Sept-2011 Size: 32 MW Revenue Model: Reg. Capacity Sales (PJM) Additional Capability: Wind Ramp Moderation Commercial Availability.: >95% AES Laurel Mountain SCADA Daily Report 16 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 17.
    17 © 2011 TheAES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 18.
    Keeping High Availability Other Key Benefits: Software •  Highly flexible, expandable and and control reliable Modular Design 100% Synch’d •  100 % Emissions Free •  No water required 24/7 > 95% Vendors •  Operation almost fully CAF integration Monitor automated •  Re-programmable and Fast Response Distributed adaptable Must perform to •  Always synched to the grid get paid •  Computer based control 18 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 19.
    AES Energy Storagebundles its Capacity & Reliability Services into a single PPA structure paid monthly AES Energy Storage only gets paid if the services are delivered as contracted. 19 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 20.
    ü  Value ü  Precedent ü Business Model ü  Credentials 20 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.
  • 21.
    Got questions? Project Director! 21 © 2011 The AES Corporation, All rights reserved.