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Interim report
1 January – 30 September 2023
Elo Mutual Pension Insurance Company
28.8
Key figures 30 September 2023
30 September 2023
Interim report
2
Investment assets
billion 2.7
Return
% 5.3
10-year nominal return
%
120,3
Solvency ratio
% 1.4
Solvency position
3.3
Pensions and other
benefits paid
billion
EUR
EUR
30 September 2023
Interim report
3
510,500
Total number of self-employed
persons and employees insured
84,100
Number of YEL policyholders
Number of TyEL policyholders
48,700
248,100
We pay out pensions to
pensioners
Current issues related to pensions
30 September 2023
Interim report
4
• The pension legislation for self-employed persons changed at the
turn of the year, and we initiated reviews of YEL earned income at
the beginning of June. By the end of September, we had reviewed
the earned income of almost 16,000 self-employed persons.
• The reviews were targeted at YEL earned income below EUR
15,000 that had not been changed for three years. Most of the
reviews led to a EUR 4,000 increase to earned income in
accordance with the transition period regulations.
• The number of contacts from our customers increased to some
degree, and the feedback indicated that our review process was
perceived to be clear.
As many as 84% of self-employed
persons in rehabilitation returned to
working life
30 September 2023
Interim report
5
• Of the persons in Elo’s vocational rehabilitation, 79% remained in
working life and avoided going on disability pension. The success rate
of rehabilitation for self-employed persons has been as high as 84%
this year.
• The rising trend of disability decisions among those over 60 years of
age continued. The number of decisions has increased by a quarter
this year.
• The number of decisions due to mental health reasons among
persons under 34 years of age has also increased by 27%, with the
increase in decisions concerning young men being particularly
significant.
Continued growth in disability pensions
30 September 2023
Interim report
6
• The number of new disability pensions granted increased by 7%
• The moderate downward trend in rehabilitation decisions continues
New disability pension decisions Preliminary decisions on vocational
rehabilitation
The number of pensioners nearly 250,000
30 September 2023
Interim report
7
Pensions paid by pension type Pensions paid by pension type 2019-6/2023
Type of pension pcs. EUR million
Old-age pension 187,173 2,644.1
Disability pension 21,580 245.3
Survivors’ pension 29,680 180.5
Part-time pension 0 0.0
Partial early old-age pension 9,664 66.2
Years-of-service pension 32 0.6
Total 248,129 3,136.6
The number of decisions on old-age pension
decreased while the number of decisions on disability
pensions grew
30 September 2023
Interim report
8
Pension decisions by pension type
• The number of pension decisions issued
totalled 20,899, representing a year-on-year
decrease of 0.7%.
• The number of decisions on old-age pension
decreased by 23% year-on-year.
• The number of decisions on partial early old-
age pension and survivors’ pension increased.
• The number of new disability pension decisions
issued increased by as much as 15% year-on-
year.
1–9/2023 1–9/2022
Old-age pensions 5,209 6,737
Partial early old-age pensions 2,394 2,214
Disability pensions 9,834 8,869
Survivor's pensions 2,160 1,875
Decisions on rehabilitation 1,263 1,304
Career pensions 39 37
Total 20,899 21,036
Premiums written increased by 1.3%
30 September 2023
Interim report
9
• Premiums written amounted to EUR 3.3 billion.
• TyEL credit losses for the review period
amounted to EUR 14.9 million, representing
an increase of 62% year-on-year. The amount
of credit losses is expected to increase in
2023 compared to previous years.
• Elo’s total TyEL payroll was approximately 2.5%
higher than in the corresponding period in
2022.
• Elo’s projected surplus of EUR 7.7 million
will be refunded to customers. Elo is the
only employment pension company to do
this. In addition, our improved efficiency
means that our customers will pay
substantially lower management fees in
2024.
• Operating expenses decreased to EUR 58
million and were approximately 7% lower
than in the corresponding period in 2022.
Our customers receive management fee refunds
thanks to our improved efficiency
30 September 2023
Interim report
10
Total result EUR -90.9 million
30 September 2023
Interim report
11
EUR million 9/2023 9/2022 2022
Total surplus -90.9 -1,382.5 -1,381.1
Insurance business surplus 5.8 30.4 68.8
Investment surplus at fair values -108.8 -1,445.2 -1,493.2
Net investment income at fair values (+) 761.0 -1,443.6 -1,078.6
Yield requirement on technical provision (-) -869.8 -1.6 -414.6
Loading profit 5.8 23.4 33.2
Other income 6.2 9.0 10.2
Solvency at a secure level
30 September 2023
Interim report
12
Summary of key figures
30 September 2023
Interim report
13
9/2023 9/2022 2022
Investment assets at fair value, EUR million 28,765.9 27,989.9 28,182.3
Net return from investment on capital employed, % 2.7 % -4.9 % -3.7 %
Average nominal return, over 10 years 5.3 % 5.7 % 5.6 %
Average nominal return, over 5 years 5.0 % 4.8 % 4.9 %
Number of TyEL policyholders 48,700 47,600 47,000
Number of YEL policyholders 84,100 84,600 84,400
Number of pensioners 248,100 242,800 248,000
Solvency capital, EUR million 5,011.6 5,190.4 5,109.0
Solvency position 1.4 1.5 1.5
Solvency ratio, % 120.3 % 122.2 % 121.4 %
Our measures from July to September:
• We joined the Nature Action 100 initiative. Launched by 190
investors, the initiative is aimed at driving corporate ambition
and action to reverse nature and biodiversity loss. The aim is to
particularly engage companies that have a significant role in
addressing biodiversity and halting nature loss.
• We participated in the Responsible Summer Job campaign and
offered 32 summer jobs across the organisation. Our summer
workers helped assess and develop our responsibility-related
efforts as part of a programme we have created specifically for
that purpose.
• We also participated in the Zero Emissions Day challenge carried
out by upper secondary school students and communicated our
climate actions as part of the challenge.
Our responsibility actions
30 September 2023
Interim report
14
• Expectations of economic growth next year are modest, but the forecasts suggest that an extensive
recession will be avoided. More negative outcomes can also be identified alongside this fairly moderate
economic slowdown, for example due to continued tight monetary policy.
• In Finland, the construction sector and the real estate market are in a recession, and a recovery from
the recession is contingent on interest rates falling. The weak global industrial cycle is limiting Finnish
exports and corporate investment, and economic growth is now more reliant on private consumption
than before. Although inflation has slowed in Finland, the purchasing power of households is not quick
to recover.
• The key risks affecting Elo’s operations are related to the development of employment and the payroll,
the uncertainty in the financial market and the start and duration of pensions. Payroll growth will likely
be lower during the remainder of the year than in the first three quarters. This will affect the
development of Elo's premiums written. The amount of credit losses on premiums written is estimated
to increase by EUR 6 million from the previous year. The overall risk level of investments in relation to
the risk-bearing capacity is kept at a secure level. Careful and comprehensive risk management ensures
the interests of the insured, the achievement of objectives and the continuity of the company.
Near-term outlook
30 September 2023
Interim report
15
Interim report
16
Investment overview
Investment assets EUR 28.8 billion
30 September 2023
Interim report
17
Asset allocation Investment assets
Moderate returns, the return on real estate
investments was reduced by write-downs
30 September 2023
Interim report
18
Return on investments by asset class
Return on investments 2.7%
30 September 2023
Interim report
19
Return Volatility
EUR million % EUR million % % %
Fixed-income investments 8,212.0 28.5 8,298.1 28.8 2.4
Loans 531.6 1.8 531.6 1.8 5.0
Bonds 6,616.8 23.0 6,885.8 23.9 2.3 3.4
Public bonds 1,771.6 6.2 1,857.8 6.5 -1.5
Other bonds 4,845.2 16.8 5,028.1 17.5 3.5
Other money market instruments and deposits
incl. any receivables and liabilities related to investments 1,063.5 3.7 880.7 3.1 2.1
Equities 13,873.1 48.2 13,836.9 48.1 4.0
Listed equities 8,137.8 28.3 8,101.6 28.2 4.5 13.1
Private equity investments 5,089.9 17.7 5,089.9 17.7 3.8
Unlisted equity investments 645.4 2.2 645.4 2.2 0.3
Real estate 3,877.6 13.5 3,877.6 13.5 -1.6
Direct real estate investments 2,601.1 9.0 2,601.1 9.0 -0.9
Real estate funds and joint investment companies 1,276.5 4.4 1,276.5 4.4 -3.0
Other investments 2,803.2 9.7 2,803.2 9.7 3.9
Hedge fund investments 2,797.4 9.7 2,797.4 9.7 4.3 4.8
Commodity investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -
Other investments 5.8 0.0 5.8 0.0 -
Total investments 28,765.9 100.0 28,815.8 100.2 2.7 4.4
Effect of derivatives -49.9 -0.2
Total 28,765.9 100.0 28,765.9 100.0
The return on foreign currency derivatives is estimated for asset classes in proportion to the average foreign currency-denominated assets during the reporting period.
The total return includes returns, expenses and operating expenses not allocated to investment classes. The modified duration of bonds is 4,2.
The open currency exposure is 24,7% of market value.
Actual risk position
Basic allocation by market value
25% of investments in Finland
30 September 2023
Interim report
20
Geographical distribution of investments Investments in Finland by asset class
and private equity
investments
Geographical distribution of bonds and listed equities
30 September 2023
Interim report
21
Bonds Listed equities
Negative third-quarter return of -0,1%
30 September 2023
Interim report
22
Ten-year return was 5.3% per annum
30 September 2023
Interim report
23
Investment returns Average return on investments over time
Cumulative long-term return 65%
30 September 2023
Interim report
24
elo.fi @EloTyoelake @unelmatelossa @unelmatelossa @elo @tyoelakeyhtioelo
25.10.2023
TYÖELÄMÄ. PARAS AIKA OLLA ELOSSA.
25

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Elo interim report 1 January–30 September 2023

  • 1. Interim report 1 January – 30 September 2023 Elo Mutual Pension Insurance Company
  • 2. 28.8 Key figures 30 September 2023 30 September 2023 Interim report 2 Investment assets billion 2.7 Return % 5.3 10-year nominal return % 120,3 Solvency ratio % 1.4 Solvency position 3.3 Pensions and other benefits paid billion EUR EUR
  • 3. 30 September 2023 Interim report 3 510,500 Total number of self-employed persons and employees insured 84,100 Number of YEL policyholders Number of TyEL policyholders 48,700 248,100 We pay out pensions to pensioners
  • 4. Current issues related to pensions 30 September 2023 Interim report 4 • The pension legislation for self-employed persons changed at the turn of the year, and we initiated reviews of YEL earned income at the beginning of June. By the end of September, we had reviewed the earned income of almost 16,000 self-employed persons. • The reviews were targeted at YEL earned income below EUR 15,000 that had not been changed for three years. Most of the reviews led to a EUR 4,000 increase to earned income in accordance with the transition period regulations. • The number of contacts from our customers increased to some degree, and the feedback indicated that our review process was perceived to be clear.
  • 5. As many as 84% of self-employed persons in rehabilitation returned to working life 30 September 2023 Interim report 5 • Of the persons in Elo’s vocational rehabilitation, 79% remained in working life and avoided going on disability pension. The success rate of rehabilitation for self-employed persons has been as high as 84% this year. • The rising trend of disability decisions among those over 60 years of age continued. The number of decisions has increased by a quarter this year. • The number of decisions due to mental health reasons among persons under 34 years of age has also increased by 27%, with the increase in decisions concerning young men being particularly significant.
  • 6. Continued growth in disability pensions 30 September 2023 Interim report 6 • The number of new disability pensions granted increased by 7% • The moderate downward trend in rehabilitation decisions continues New disability pension decisions Preliminary decisions on vocational rehabilitation
  • 7. The number of pensioners nearly 250,000 30 September 2023 Interim report 7 Pensions paid by pension type Pensions paid by pension type 2019-6/2023 Type of pension pcs. EUR million Old-age pension 187,173 2,644.1 Disability pension 21,580 245.3 Survivors’ pension 29,680 180.5 Part-time pension 0 0.0 Partial early old-age pension 9,664 66.2 Years-of-service pension 32 0.6 Total 248,129 3,136.6
  • 8. The number of decisions on old-age pension decreased while the number of decisions on disability pensions grew 30 September 2023 Interim report 8 Pension decisions by pension type • The number of pension decisions issued totalled 20,899, representing a year-on-year decrease of 0.7%. • The number of decisions on old-age pension decreased by 23% year-on-year. • The number of decisions on partial early old- age pension and survivors’ pension increased. • The number of new disability pension decisions issued increased by as much as 15% year-on- year. 1–9/2023 1–9/2022 Old-age pensions 5,209 6,737 Partial early old-age pensions 2,394 2,214 Disability pensions 9,834 8,869 Survivor's pensions 2,160 1,875 Decisions on rehabilitation 1,263 1,304 Career pensions 39 37 Total 20,899 21,036
  • 9. Premiums written increased by 1.3% 30 September 2023 Interim report 9 • Premiums written amounted to EUR 3.3 billion. • TyEL credit losses for the review period amounted to EUR 14.9 million, representing an increase of 62% year-on-year. The amount of credit losses is expected to increase in 2023 compared to previous years. • Elo’s total TyEL payroll was approximately 2.5% higher than in the corresponding period in 2022.
  • 10. • Elo’s projected surplus of EUR 7.7 million will be refunded to customers. Elo is the only employment pension company to do this. In addition, our improved efficiency means that our customers will pay substantially lower management fees in 2024. • Operating expenses decreased to EUR 58 million and were approximately 7% lower than in the corresponding period in 2022. Our customers receive management fee refunds thanks to our improved efficiency 30 September 2023 Interim report 10
  • 11. Total result EUR -90.9 million 30 September 2023 Interim report 11 EUR million 9/2023 9/2022 2022 Total surplus -90.9 -1,382.5 -1,381.1 Insurance business surplus 5.8 30.4 68.8 Investment surplus at fair values -108.8 -1,445.2 -1,493.2 Net investment income at fair values (+) 761.0 -1,443.6 -1,078.6 Yield requirement on technical provision (-) -869.8 -1.6 -414.6 Loading profit 5.8 23.4 33.2 Other income 6.2 9.0 10.2
  • 12. Solvency at a secure level 30 September 2023 Interim report 12
  • 13. Summary of key figures 30 September 2023 Interim report 13 9/2023 9/2022 2022 Investment assets at fair value, EUR million 28,765.9 27,989.9 28,182.3 Net return from investment on capital employed, % 2.7 % -4.9 % -3.7 % Average nominal return, over 10 years 5.3 % 5.7 % 5.6 % Average nominal return, over 5 years 5.0 % 4.8 % 4.9 % Number of TyEL policyholders 48,700 47,600 47,000 Number of YEL policyholders 84,100 84,600 84,400 Number of pensioners 248,100 242,800 248,000 Solvency capital, EUR million 5,011.6 5,190.4 5,109.0 Solvency position 1.4 1.5 1.5 Solvency ratio, % 120.3 % 122.2 % 121.4 %
  • 14. Our measures from July to September: • We joined the Nature Action 100 initiative. Launched by 190 investors, the initiative is aimed at driving corporate ambition and action to reverse nature and biodiversity loss. The aim is to particularly engage companies that have a significant role in addressing biodiversity and halting nature loss. • We participated in the Responsible Summer Job campaign and offered 32 summer jobs across the organisation. Our summer workers helped assess and develop our responsibility-related efforts as part of a programme we have created specifically for that purpose. • We also participated in the Zero Emissions Day challenge carried out by upper secondary school students and communicated our climate actions as part of the challenge. Our responsibility actions 30 September 2023 Interim report 14
  • 15. • Expectations of economic growth next year are modest, but the forecasts suggest that an extensive recession will be avoided. More negative outcomes can also be identified alongside this fairly moderate economic slowdown, for example due to continued tight monetary policy. • In Finland, the construction sector and the real estate market are in a recession, and a recovery from the recession is contingent on interest rates falling. The weak global industrial cycle is limiting Finnish exports and corporate investment, and economic growth is now more reliant on private consumption than before. Although inflation has slowed in Finland, the purchasing power of households is not quick to recover. • The key risks affecting Elo’s operations are related to the development of employment and the payroll, the uncertainty in the financial market and the start and duration of pensions. Payroll growth will likely be lower during the remainder of the year than in the first three quarters. This will affect the development of Elo's premiums written. The amount of credit losses on premiums written is estimated to increase by EUR 6 million from the previous year. The overall risk level of investments in relation to the risk-bearing capacity is kept at a secure level. Careful and comprehensive risk management ensures the interests of the insured, the achievement of objectives and the continuity of the company. Near-term outlook 30 September 2023 Interim report 15
  • 17. Investment assets EUR 28.8 billion 30 September 2023 Interim report 17 Asset allocation Investment assets
  • 18. Moderate returns, the return on real estate investments was reduced by write-downs 30 September 2023 Interim report 18 Return on investments by asset class
  • 19. Return on investments 2.7% 30 September 2023 Interim report 19 Return Volatility EUR million % EUR million % % % Fixed-income investments 8,212.0 28.5 8,298.1 28.8 2.4 Loans 531.6 1.8 531.6 1.8 5.0 Bonds 6,616.8 23.0 6,885.8 23.9 2.3 3.4 Public bonds 1,771.6 6.2 1,857.8 6.5 -1.5 Other bonds 4,845.2 16.8 5,028.1 17.5 3.5 Other money market instruments and deposits incl. any receivables and liabilities related to investments 1,063.5 3.7 880.7 3.1 2.1 Equities 13,873.1 48.2 13,836.9 48.1 4.0 Listed equities 8,137.8 28.3 8,101.6 28.2 4.5 13.1 Private equity investments 5,089.9 17.7 5,089.9 17.7 3.8 Unlisted equity investments 645.4 2.2 645.4 2.2 0.3 Real estate 3,877.6 13.5 3,877.6 13.5 -1.6 Direct real estate investments 2,601.1 9.0 2,601.1 9.0 -0.9 Real estate funds and joint investment companies 1,276.5 4.4 1,276.5 4.4 -3.0 Other investments 2,803.2 9.7 2,803.2 9.7 3.9 Hedge fund investments 2,797.4 9.7 2,797.4 9.7 4.3 4.8 Commodity investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - Other investments 5.8 0.0 5.8 0.0 - Total investments 28,765.9 100.0 28,815.8 100.2 2.7 4.4 Effect of derivatives -49.9 -0.2 Total 28,765.9 100.0 28,765.9 100.0 The return on foreign currency derivatives is estimated for asset classes in proportion to the average foreign currency-denominated assets during the reporting period. The total return includes returns, expenses and operating expenses not allocated to investment classes. The modified duration of bonds is 4,2. The open currency exposure is 24,7% of market value. Actual risk position Basic allocation by market value
  • 20. 25% of investments in Finland 30 September 2023 Interim report 20 Geographical distribution of investments Investments in Finland by asset class and private equity investments
  • 21. Geographical distribution of bonds and listed equities 30 September 2023 Interim report 21 Bonds Listed equities
  • 22. Negative third-quarter return of -0,1% 30 September 2023 Interim report 22
  • 23. Ten-year return was 5.3% per annum 30 September 2023 Interim report 23 Investment returns Average return on investments over time
  • 24. Cumulative long-term return 65% 30 September 2023 Interim report 24
  • 25. elo.fi @EloTyoelake @unelmatelossa @unelmatelossa @elo @tyoelakeyhtioelo 25.10.2023 TYÖELÄMÄ. PARAS AIKA OLLA ELOSSA. 25