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Influence of Texting on Driver Glance
Patterns and Vehicular Lane Position on
Horizontal Curves
Presented by:
Makenzie Ellett
Research Assistant
Oregon State University
School of Civil and Construction Engineering
March 20th, 2015
Forsyth
Background – Cell Phone Use
1
• The first cell phone, 1983
• 1985: 340,000 subscribers
• 2000: 100 million subscribers
• 94% of people in the US aged 16+
owned a mobile device in 2013
• The first text message, 1992
• “Merry Christmas”
• 1997, USA: 40,000 text messages/day
• 2012, USA: 6 billion text
messages/day
• Most popular cell phone feature
(CTIA, 2013)
Number of Cell Phone Subscribers in the United States
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
NumberofSubscribers(in
millions)
Year
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
NumberofTextMessages(billions)
Year
Number of Text Messages Sent Per Day in the United States
Background – Driving Task
2
Driving Task Hierarchy (Lunenfeld and Alexander)
Background – Distracted Driving
3
Distraction Types (NHTSA)
Background – Safety of Texting and Driving
4
• Risk of crash increases by 23.24
times (Olson et al., 2009)
• Conversing on a hand-held mobile
phone increases crash risk 1.04 times
• Texting is the most dangerous activity
while driving
• National Survey on Distracted
Driving Attitudes and Behaviors
• 32.9% believe there is no difference in
their driving
• 92.2% feel at least “somewhat
uncomfortable” when riding with a
driver who texts
Percentage of Population Observed
Manipulating Hand-Held Devices
(NOPUS)
Driver Type 2010 2011
All Drivers 0.90% 1.30%
Age 25-69 0.80% 1.10%
Age 16-24 1.50% 3.70%
Background – Legality of Texting while Driving
5
Laws Regarding Texting While Driving By StateLEGEND
No Ban
Total Ban (Primary Law)
Total Ban (Secondary Law)
Partial Ban (School Bus & Novice Drivers)
Partial Ban (Novice Drivers Only)
Literature Review – Glance Patterns
• The longer a driver’s eyes are away from the roadway, the greater
the odds ratios of a crash incident
• For an “incident” to occur, driver glances of 1.1 sec. were observed (Klauer et
al., 2006)
• Texting defined as a “complex, tertiary task” (Olson et al., 2009)6
Odds Ratios Associated with Eyes Off of the Forward Roadway (Klauer et al., 2006)
Total Eyes off Forward Roadway Odds
Ratios
Lower Control Limit
Upper Control
Limit
Time (seconds) (LCL) (UCL)
t ≤ 0.5 1.13 0.67 1.92
0.5 < t ≤ 1.0 1.12 0.79 1.59
1.0 < t ≤ 1.5 1.14 0.79 1.65
1.5 < t ≤ 2.0 1.41 0.98 2.04
t > 2.0 2.27 1.79 2.86
Literature Review – Lateral Position
• As distraction levels increase, the vehicle’s standard deviation of
lateral position (SDLP) also increases
• 70% increase in lane position variability compared to baseline (Hosking et al.,
2006)
• Lane excursions increase when texting (Reed et al., 2008)
• Reading: 8 to 18
• Writing: 4 to 42
7
Measuring Standard Deviation of Lateral Position (Verster et al., 2011)
Methodology - Research Hypotheses
H0: There is no difference in the duration of driver
fixations on a mobile phone while completing a text
messaging task between four horizontal curves.
8
? ? ?Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4
Methodology - Research Hypotheses
H0: There is no difference in the lateral position of a vehicle
between baseline driving and driving while completing a text
messaging task between four horizontal curves.
9
? ? ?Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4
(Larmoyeux & Bone)
Methodology - Research Hypotheses
H0: There is no difference in the lateral position of a
vehicle before, during, or after the text messaging task
between four horizontal curves.
10
? ? ?Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4
Methodology – Dependent Variables
• Glance frequency towards mobile phone
• Duration of glances towards mobile phone
• Percentage of time on curve subject’s eyes are on the mobile
phone
• SDLP of vehicle throughout curve
11
Methodology - OSU Driving Simulator
12
Methodology - OSU Eye Tracker
13
Head Mounted Goggles Data Acquisition Unit
Methodology – Test Track
14
(Not to Scale)
Methodology – Scenario
15
Example of Billboard Image
CURVE IMAGE
1 Cow
2 Cat
3 Eagle
4 Dog
Methodology – Participants
• Data obtained from Joshua Swake, MS 13’ Thesis
• Texting while driving was used as a distractor for the original study
• Original research studied driver behavior in work zones
• Original Study: 36 participants
• Current Study: 18 participants
• Control Group: 4 subjects (did not text)
• Treatment Group: 14 subjects (responded to texting cues)
16
Results - Data Collection
17
Result
Data Collection
Method
Reduction of Data
Driver Glance Patterns Mobile Eye XG Videos
Researcher
Observation
Lateral Position of
Vehicle
OSU Driving Simulator CSV Files
Results - Analysis
• Paired T-test
• R-studio
• Adjusted for multiple comparisons with
the Benjamini and Yekutieli adjustment
• Statistically significant p-values < 0.05
• 95% confidence intervals
18
Results – Average Duration of Driver Fixations
19
Average duration of driver fixations
Results – Average Duration of Driver Fixations
20
Average duration of driver fixations
Average Duration of Driver Fixations (sec)
Curve
Paired T-test
Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant
1.078 1.091 1.090 1.146
1 v 2 0.7311 No
1 v 3 0.6817 No
1 v 4 0.8329 No
2 v 3 0.9922 No
2 v 4 0.5374 No
3 v 4 0.3525 No
Results – Maximum Duration of Driver Fixations
21
Maximum duration of driver fixations
Results – Maximum Duration of Driver Fixations
22
Statistical summary comparing maximum duration of fixations between curves
Maximum Duration of Driver Fixations (sec)
Curve
Paired T-test
Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant
4.04 2.54 2.61 2.87
1 v 2 0.1953 No
1 v 3 0.2701 No
1 v 4 0.1983 No
2 v 3 0.5397 No
2 v 4 0.4081 No
3 v 4 0.7664 No
Results – Percentage of Time with Eyes Off Roadway
23
Percentage of time with eyes off roadway
Results – Average Percentage of Time with Eyes Off Roadway
24
Statistical summary of average percentage of time with eyes off roadway
Average Percentage of Eyes off Forward Roadway
Curve
Paired T-test
Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant
30.2 20.1 27 24.7
1 v 2 0.06212 Suggestive
1 v 3 0.5885 No
1 v 4 0.2548 No
2 v 3 0.06371 Suggestive
2 v 4 0.05607 Suggestive
3 v 4 0.5473 No
Results – Average Overall SDLP
25
Overall SDLP for control condition Overall SDLP for treatment condition
Results – Average Overall SDLP
26
Average overall SDLP for control and treatment conditions
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4
SDLP(ft)
Control
Treatment
Results – Average Overall SDLP
27
Statistical summary of average overall SDLP for control condition
Average SDLP of Control Condition
Curve
Paired T-test
Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant
1 1.19 1.06 1.05
1 v 2 0.26 No
1 v 3 0.60 No
1 v 4 0.12 No
2 v 3 0.49 No
2 v 4 0.36 No
3 v 4 0.94 No
Results – Average Overall SDLP
28
Statistical summary of average overall SDLP for treatment condition
Average SDLP of Treatment Condition
Curve
Paired T-test
Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant
1.77 1.29 1.25 1.26
1 v 2 0.10 No
1 v 3 0.16 No
1 v 4 0.13 No
2 v 3 0.80 No
2 v 4 0.78 No
3 v 4 0.94 No
Results – Average Overall SDLP Comparison
29
0
5
10
15
20
25
250 260 270 280 290 300
LanePosition(ft)
Video Time (s)
Control Subject - Curve 1
0
5
10
15
20
25
230 235 240 245 250 255 260 265
LanePosition(ft)
Video Time (s)
Treatment Subject - Curve 1
Comparison of control and treatment subjects’ SDLP
Results – Average Interval SDLP
30
SDLP for before interval SDLP for during interval
SDLP for after interval
Results – Average Interval SDLP
31
Average overall SDLP for control and treatment conditions
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1 2 3 4
SDLP(ft)
Curve
Before
During
After
Results – Average Interval SDLP
32ns
Statistical summary of average SDLP for before interval
Average SDLP of before Period
Curve
Paired T-test
Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant
0.6880 0.5473 0.5652 0.6646
1 v 2 0.1678 No
1 v 3 0.2738 No
1 v 4 0.7468 No
2 v 3 0.9487 No
2 v 4 0.2346 No
3 v 4 0.1675 No
Results – Average Interval SDLP
33
Statistical summary of average SDLP for during interval
Average SDLP of during Period
Curve
Paired T-test
Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant
1.1948 1.0280 1.1671 1.0826
1 v 2 0.5976 No
1 v 3 0.7777 No
1 v 4 0.5857 No
2 v 3 0.3269 No
2 v 4 0.7846 No
3 v 4 0.6845 No
Results – Average Interval SDLP
34
Statistical summary of average SDLP for after interval
Average SDLP of after Period
Curve
Paired T-test
Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant
1.0918 0.9341 0.8377 0.8057
1 v 2 0.7251 No
1 v 3 0.6745 No
1 v 4 0.4962 No
2 v 3 0.6771 No
2 v 4 0.2655 No
3 v 4 0.8039 No
Conclusions – Duration and Frequency of Fixations
H0: There is no difference in the duration of driver fixations on a mobile
phone while completing a text messaging task between four horizontal
curves.
H0 is not rejected
• No statistically significant differences were found between the fixation
durations
• No statistically significant difference was found between the maximum
fixation durations
35
Conclusions –SDLP of Treatment and Control Groups
H0: There is no difference in the lateral position of a vehicle between
baseline driving and driving while completing a text messaging task
between four horizontal curves.
H0 is not rejected
• No statistical difference was found in the average SDLP of the treatment
group
• No statistical difference was found in the average SDLP of the control group
• Treatment group exhibited increased SDLP compared to control group on
all four curves
36
Conclusions – SDLP of Before, During, & After Intervals
H0: There is no difference in the lateral position of the vehicle before,
during, or after the text messaging task between four horizontal
curves.
H0 is not rejected
• No statistically significant difference was found in the average SDLP of the
before intervals
• No statistically significant difference was found in the average SDLP of the
during intervals
• No statistically significant difference was found in the average SDLP of the after
intervals
• Average SDLP was least for before interval on all four curves
• Average SDLP was greatest for during interval on all four curves
• Average SDLP was noticeably increased during after interval, compared to
before interval
37
• A larger, more diverse sample size could result in more specific
conclusions relating the effects of age, gender, and driving
experience
• A larger sample size could result in statistical conclusions being
drawn between the control and treatment groups
• Analysis on the addition of ambient traffic
• Varying the text messaging cues by category, complexity, or prompt-
type to see their effects on driver behavior
• Direct comparison of SDLP and glance patterns of texting on
horizontal curves and tangent sections
38
Future Work
• Dr. David Hurwitz
• Justin Neill
• Joshua Swake
• OSU Transportation Department
• OSU Honors College
39
Acknowledgements
QUESTIONS?
40

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Ellett Presentation - Final

  • 1. Influence of Texting on Driver Glance Patterns and Vehicular Lane Position on Horizontal Curves Presented by: Makenzie Ellett Research Assistant Oregon State University School of Civil and Construction Engineering March 20th, 2015 Forsyth
  • 2. Background – Cell Phone Use 1 • The first cell phone, 1983 • 1985: 340,000 subscribers • 2000: 100 million subscribers • 94% of people in the US aged 16+ owned a mobile device in 2013 • The first text message, 1992 • “Merry Christmas” • 1997, USA: 40,000 text messages/day • 2012, USA: 6 billion text messages/day • Most popular cell phone feature (CTIA, 2013) Number of Cell Phone Subscribers in the United States 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 NumberofSubscribers(in millions) Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 NumberofTextMessages(billions) Year Number of Text Messages Sent Per Day in the United States
  • 3. Background – Driving Task 2 Driving Task Hierarchy (Lunenfeld and Alexander)
  • 4. Background – Distracted Driving 3 Distraction Types (NHTSA)
  • 5. Background – Safety of Texting and Driving 4 • Risk of crash increases by 23.24 times (Olson et al., 2009) • Conversing on a hand-held mobile phone increases crash risk 1.04 times • Texting is the most dangerous activity while driving • National Survey on Distracted Driving Attitudes and Behaviors • 32.9% believe there is no difference in their driving • 92.2% feel at least “somewhat uncomfortable” when riding with a driver who texts Percentage of Population Observed Manipulating Hand-Held Devices (NOPUS) Driver Type 2010 2011 All Drivers 0.90% 1.30% Age 25-69 0.80% 1.10% Age 16-24 1.50% 3.70%
  • 6. Background – Legality of Texting while Driving 5 Laws Regarding Texting While Driving By StateLEGEND No Ban Total Ban (Primary Law) Total Ban (Secondary Law) Partial Ban (School Bus & Novice Drivers) Partial Ban (Novice Drivers Only)
  • 7. Literature Review – Glance Patterns • The longer a driver’s eyes are away from the roadway, the greater the odds ratios of a crash incident • For an “incident” to occur, driver glances of 1.1 sec. were observed (Klauer et al., 2006) • Texting defined as a “complex, tertiary task” (Olson et al., 2009)6 Odds Ratios Associated with Eyes Off of the Forward Roadway (Klauer et al., 2006) Total Eyes off Forward Roadway Odds Ratios Lower Control Limit Upper Control Limit Time (seconds) (LCL) (UCL) t ≤ 0.5 1.13 0.67 1.92 0.5 < t ≤ 1.0 1.12 0.79 1.59 1.0 < t ≤ 1.5 1.14 0.79 1.65 1.5 < t ≤ 2.0 1.41 0.98 2.04 t > 2.0 2.27 1.79 2.86
  • 8. Literature Review – Lateral Position • As distraction levels increase, the vehicle’s standard deviation of lateral position (SDLP) also increases • 70% increase in lane position variability compared to baseline (Hosking et al., 2006) • Lane excursions increase when texting (Reed et al., 2008) • Reading: 8 to 18 • Writing: 4 to 42 7 Measuring Standard Deviation of Lateral Position (Verster et al., 2011)
  • 9. Methodology - Research Hypotheses H0: There is no difference in the duration of driver fixations on a mobile phone while completing a text messaging task between four horizontal curves. 8 ? ? ?Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4
  • 10. Methodology - Research Hypotheses H0: There is no difference in the lateral position of a vehicle between baseline driving and driving while completing a text messaging task between four horizontal curves. 9 ? ? ?Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 (Larmoyeux & Bone)
  • 11. Methodology - Research Hypotheses H0: There is no difference in the lateral position of a vehicle before, during, or after the text messaging task between four horizontal curves. 10 ? ? ?Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4
  • 12. Methodology – Dependent Variables • Glance frequency towards mobile phone • Duration of glances towards mobile phone • Percentage of time on curve subject’s eyes are on the mobile phone • SDLP of vehicle throughout curve 11
  • 13. Methodology - OSU Driving Simulator 12
  • 14. Methodology - OSU Eye Tracker 13 Head Mounted Goggles Data Acquisition Unit
  • 15. Methodology – Test Track 14 (Not to Scale)
  • 16. Methodology – Scenario 15 Example of Billboard Image CURVE IMAGE 1 Cow 2 Cat 3 Eagle 4 Dog
  • 17. Methodology – Participants • Data obtained from Joshua Swake, MS 13’ Thesis • Texting while driving was used as a distractor for the original study • Original research studied driver behavior in work zones • Original Study: 36 participants • Current Study: 18 participants • Control Group: 4 subjects (did not text) • Treatment Group: 14 subjects (responded to texting cues) 16
  • 18. Results - Data Collection 17 Result Data Collection Method Reduction of Data Driver Glance Patterns Mobile Eye XG Videos Researcher Observation Lateral Position of Vehicle OSU Driving Simulator CSV Files
  • 19. Results - Analysis • Paired T-test • R-studio • Adjusted for multiple comparisons with the Benjamini and Yekutieli adjustment • Statistically significant p-values < 0.05 • 95% confidence intervals 18
  • 20. Results – Average Duration of Driver Fixations 19 Average duration of driver fixations
  • 21. Results – Average Duration of Driver Fixations 20 Average duration of driver fixations Average Duration of Driver Fixations (sec) Curve Paired T-test Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant 1.078 1.091 1.090 1.146 1 v 2 0.7311 No 1 v 3 0.6817 No 1 v 4 0.8329 No 2 v 3 0.9922 No 2 v 4 0.5374 No 3 v 4 0.3525 No
  • 22. Results – Maximum Duration of Driver Fixations 21 Maximum duration of driver fixations
  • 23. Results – Maximum Duration of Driver Fixations 22 Statistical summary comparing maximum duration of fixations between curves Maximum Duration of Driver Fixations (sec) Curve Paired T-test Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant 4.04 2.54 2.61 2.87 1 v 2 0.1953 No 1 v 3 0.2701 No 1 v 4 0.1983 No 2 v 3 0.5397 No 2 v 4 0.4081 No 3 v 4 0.7664 No
  • 24. Results – Percentage of Time with Eyes Off Roadway 23 Percentage of time with eyes off roadway
  • 25. Results – Average Percentage of Time with Eyes Off Roadway 24 Statistical summary of average percentage of time with eyes off roadway Average Percentage of Eyes off Forward Roadway Curve Paired T-test Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant 30.2 20.1 27 24.7 1 v 2 0.06212 Suggestive 1 v 3 0.5885 No 1 v 4 0.2548 No 2 v 3 0.06371 Suggestive 2 v 4 0.05607 Suggestive 3 v 4 0.5473 No
  • 26. Results – Average Overall SDLP 25 Overall SDLP for control condition Overall SDLP for treatment condition
  • 27. Results – Average Overall SDLP 26 Average overall SDLP for control and treatment conditions 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1.60 1.80 2.00 Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 SDLP(ft) Control Treatment
  • 28. Results – Average Overall SDLP 27 Statistical summary of average overall SDLP for control condition Average SDLP of Control Condition Curve Paired T-test Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant 1 1.19 1.06 1.05 1 v 2 0.26 No 1 v 3 0.60 No 1 v 4 0.12 No 2 v 3 0.49 No 2 v 4 0.36 No 3 v 4 0.94 No
  • 29. Results – Average Overall SDLP 28 Statistical summary of average overall SDLP for treatment condition Average SDLP of Treatment Condition Curve Paired T-test Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant 1.77 1.29 1.25 1.26 1 v 2 0.10 No 1 v 3 0.16 No 1 v 4 0.13 No 2 v 3 0.80 No 2 v 4 0.78 No 3 v 4 0.94 No
  • 30. Results – Average Overall SDLP Comparison 29 0 5 10 15 20 25 250 260 270 280 290 300 LanePosition(ft) Video Time (s) Control Subject - Curve 1 0 5 10 15 20 25 230 235 240 245 250 255 260 265 LanePosition(ft) Video Time (s) Treatment Subject - Curve 1 Comparison of control and treatment subjects’ SDLP
  • 31. Results – Average Interval SDLP 30 SDLP for before interval SDLP for during interval SDLP for after interval
  • 32. Results – Average Interval SDLP 31 Average overall SDLP for control and treatment conditions 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 1 2 3 4 SDLP(ft) Curve Before During After
  • 33. Results – Average Interval SDLP 32ns Statistical summary of average SDLP for before interval Average SDLP of before Period Curve Paired T-test Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant 0.6880 0.5473 0.5652 0.6646 1 v 2 0.1678 No 1 v 3 0.2738 No 1 v 4 0.7468 No 2 v 3 0.9487 No 2 v 4 0.2346 No 3 v 4 0.1675 No
  • 34. Results – Average Interval SDLP 33 Statistical summary of average SDLP for during interval Average SDLP of during Period Curve Paired T-test Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant 1.1948 1.0280 1.1671 1.0826 1 v 2 0.5976 No 1 v 3 0.7777 No 1 v 4 0.5857 No 2 v 3 0.3269 No 2 v 4 0.7846 No 3 v 4 0.6845 No
  • 35. Results – Average Interval SDLP 34 Statistical summary of average SDLP for after interval Average SDLP of after Period Curve Paired T-test Curve 1 Curve 2 Curve 3 Curve 4 P-value Significant 1.0918 0.9341 0.8377 0.8057 1 v 2 0.7251 No 1 v 3 0.6745 No 1 v 4 0.4962 No 2 v 3 0.6771 No 2 v 4 0.2655 No 3 v 4 0.8039 No
  • 36. Conclusions – Duration and Frequency of Fixations H0: There is no difference in the duration of driver fixations on a mobile phone while completing a text messaging task between four horizontal curves. H0 is not rejected • No statistically significant differences were found between the fixation durations • No statistically significant difference was found between the maximum fixation durations 35
  • 37. Conclusions –SDLP of Treatment and Control Groups H0: There is no difference in the lateral position of a vehicle between baseline driving and driving while completing a text messaging task between four horizontal curves. H0 is not rejected • No statistical difference was found in the average SDLP of the treatment group • No statistical difference was found in the average SDLP of the control group • Treatment group exhibited increased SDLP compared to control group on all four curves 36
  • 38. Conclusions – SDLP of Before, During, & After Intervals H0: There is no difference in the lateral position of the vehicle before, during, or after the text messaging task between four horizontal curves. H0 is not rejected • No statistically significant difference was found in the average SDLP of the before intervals • No statistically significant difference was found in the average SDLP of the during intervals • No statistically significant difference was found in the average SDLP of the after intervals • Average SDLP was least for before interval on all four curves • Average SDLP was greatest for during interval on all four curves • Average SDLP was noticeably increased during after interval, compared to before interval 37
  • 39. • A larger, more diverse sample size could result in more specific conclusions relating the effects of age, gender, and driving experience • A larger sample size could result in statistical conclusions being drawn between the control and treatment groups • Analysis on the addition of ambient traffic • Varying the text messaging cues by category, complexity, or prompt- type to see their effects on driver behavior • Direct comparison of SDLP and glance patterns of texting on horizontal curves and tangent sections 38 Future Work
  • 40. • Dr. David Hurwitz • Justin Neill • Joshua Swake • OSU Transportation Department • OSU Honors College 39 Acknowledgements

Editor's Notes

  1. Hypothesis doesn’t fit analysis?
  2. Hypothesis doesn’t fit analysis?