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We are a professional
  association of dedicated
    remote control aerial
      photographers.

RCAPA provides operational
 safety guidelines, business
 best practices, international
networking opportunities and
new technology information.
History, purpose and affiliations
    •   RCAPA was founded 2004
        •   Has 1700 + members world wide
    •   We promulgate consensus based best
        practices
        •   Conduct testing and continuing
            education
        •   Produce safety based operational
            guidelines
        •   Enable private liability insurance
    •   We are members of sUAS ARC and ICC
Global Integration issues
  •   Limited operational experience in the integration process
      •   Science “friction” emotion driven conclusions from
          manned stakeholders
      •   Not utilizing available information and data
      •   Lack of non-military user involvement
      •   Lack of non-military operational understanding.
      •   Vendor business plans and agendas keep the issue open
          ended. (resembles contract process, focused on what
          they can get out of the regulation)
  •   Indifferent regulator reaction exacerbates current situation.
      •   No clear cut compliance process
      •   Lack of enforcement compels small operators not to be
          involved.
      •   Understand similar issues in other countries
Unresolved Issues
           Impeding Integration
•   Confines of what is safe is yet to be scientifically defined

    •   Where is the empirical data that proves AC 91-57 type sUAS OPS
        are unsafe?

    •   If we are to be held to the same level of safety as manned
        aviation, what is the relative differential? (size/weight/speed how
        does 10E-6 apply, if at all?)

•   Required “data” yet to be identified/quantified

    •   Are these arbitrary operating envelopes viable ( e.g. 400’ AGL) for
        empirical data gathering and business?

    •   Can a Data-set be captured in this small of an operating
        envelope?

•   Do we fit the definition of comp and hire? 14 CFR FAR Part 1.1 and
    119?
Does this apply?
Definitions Title 14 Sec. 1.1 General definitions.
Commercial operator means a person who, for compensation or hire,
engages in the carriage by aircraft in air commerce of persons or
property, other than as an air carrier or foreign air carrier or under
the authority of Part 375 of this title. Where it is doubtful that an
operation is for ``compensation or hire'', the test applied is whether
the carriage by air is merely incidental to the person's other business
or is, in itself, a major enterprise for profit.
What about this?
Title 14 119.1 Applicability
Sec 6 (e) “...this part does not apply to—”
(4) Aerial work operations, including—
(i) Crop dusting, seeding, spraying, and bird chasing;
(ii) Banner towing;
(iii) Aerial photography or survey;
(iv) Fire fighting;
(v) Helicopter operations in construction or repair work (but it does
apply
to transportation to and from the site of operations); and
(vi) Powerline or pipeline patrol;
MTBF What does 10 - X mean?
The probability of failure (PF) or mishap is the expected number of mishaps
in a given amount of time (typically flight hours) usually expressed as an exponent.

Based on the type and quality of vehicle history or reliability data available, and accuracy
and/or conservatism required a rate is determined from:

       • Actual vehicle mishap data
       • Estimates based on reliability studies
       • Comparison by similarity
       • Worst case assumptions
       • A combination of these approaches

For a new system, actual vehicle mishap data may be unavailable or have limited data points:
Hours flown without failure            95% Confidence that PF is equal or less than
       10                                  3 X 10-1
       30                                  1 X 10-1
       100                                 3 X 10-2
       300                                 1 X 10-2

Note that for a 1 X 10-9 failure rate with 95% confidence, over 3 BILLION hours will have to
be flown with no failures (342 years of solid flying)
                       *Source: Range Commanders Council document RCC 323 supplement
                         https://wsmrc2vger.wsmr.army.mil/rcc/manuals/323sup/323sup.doc
The next way would be to conduct an analysis of
the reliability of the vehicle

•Typical PFs for electronic components are 1 X 10-3 to 1 X 10-4, mechanical
rates are somewhat different

•For a 1 X 10-9 PF, this would require triple redundancy on ALL safety critical
electrical components, and redundancy on mechanical parts

• The operational reliability would suffer greatly as well as the usable payload
and cost

•Another approach would be to establish an equivalent level of safety (ELOS)
index such as PF times kinetic energy based on full size aircraft data and
apply it to UAS
An example….
• Current light aircraft PFs are on the order of 6.3 X 10-5 for relatively mature
aircraft/pilots and very mature operational procedures (see
http://www.aopa.org/asf/publications/07nall.pdf)

•A Cessna 172 weighs approximately 1000 kg (~2200 lbs) and cruises at 56 meters per
second (~125 MPH) with a kinetic energy of 1 X 10+6 (one million) joules

•A 45 kg (~100 lb.) UAS flying at 31 meters per second (~70 MPH) has a kinetic energy
of 2.2 X 10+4 joules

•A 11 kg (~25 lb.) UAS flying at 22 meters per second (50 MPH) has a kinetic energy of
2.6 X 10+3

•It would seem reasonable for a UAS to use the same 1 X 10-5 PF and then to allow a 1
X 10-2 reduction in reliability to account for the difference in kinetic energy

•This would permit a PF for UAS of 1 X 10-3, something that is analyzable and flight
hour verifiable

•Smaller UAS could be allowed an even higher PF
sUAS ARC Impressions
•   No “data” or safety risk analysis going in
•   Bins and boxes are a rehash of unacceptable RTCA work
•   Those with operational experience were woefully
    underrepresented
•   Overall document lacks a comprehensive tone
•   International Harmonization = Weights in kilo’s???
•   Economic impact of recommendations are devastating
•   All this will be compounded by use of standards groups
sUAS ARC Impressions
                   continued...

•   Unwarranted and heavy-handed regulation of model
    aviation.
•   Type I operations leave little in the way of viability
•    Operating greater than 3 NM of an airport
•    System certification (what does it look like???)
•    Manual flight control
•   Type II operations put small operators in direct
    competition with vendors (major enterprises for
    profit)
sUAS ARC Impressions
                  continued...

•   Type II and III operations shut out small operators
•    Operating greater than 10 NM sometimes 30NM
     from an airport
•    System certification
•    Required equipment takes most of payload
•   Type IIII way beyond the reach of many.
•   Type V LTA Lighter Than Air left out of
    recommendation.
Affecting change
We need:

•Equivalent Level of Safety (ELOS) comparison
•Industry code of practice
•Formula for scale-able regulations (kinetic energy)
•Defined and capture-able data set
•Definable guidelines
•Aircraft certification plan
•Enforcement plan (comprehensive or otherwise)
FIN
Egan Patrick Rcapa Usa

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Egan Patrick Rcapa Usa

  • 1.
  • 2. We are a professional association of dedicated remote control aerial photographers. RCAPA provides operational safety guidelines, business best practices, international networking opportunities and new technology information.
  • 3. History, purpose and affiliations • RCAPA was founded 2004 • Has 1700 + members world wide • We promulgate consensus based best practices • Conduct testing and continuing education • Produce safety based operational guidelines • Enable private liability insurance • We are members of sUAS ARC and ICC
  • 4. Global Integration issues • Limited operational experience in the integration process • Science “friction” emotion driven conclusions from manned stakeholders • Not utilizing available information and data • Lack of non-military user involvement • Lack of non-military operational understanding. • Vendor business plans and agendas keep the issue open ended. (resembles contract process, focused on what they can get out of the regulation) • Indifferent regulator reaction exacerbates current situation. • No clear cut compliance process • Lack of enforcement compels small operators not to be involved. • Understand similar issues in other countries
  • 5. Unresolved Issues Impeding Integration • Confines of what is safe is yet to be scientifically defined • Where is the empirical data that proves AC 91-57 type sUAS OPS are unsafe? • If we are to be held to the same level of safety as manned aviation, what is the relative differential? (size/weight/speed how does 10E-6 apply, if at all?) • Required “data” yet to be identified/quantified • Are these arbitrary operating envelopes viable ( e.g. 400’ AGL) for empirical data gathering and business? • Can a Data-set be captured in this small of an operating envelope? • Do we fit the definition of comp and hire? 14 CFR FAR Part 1.1 and 119?
  • 6. Does this apply? Definitions Title 14 Sec. 1.1 General definitions. Commercial operator means a person who, for compensation or hire, engages in the carriage by aircraft in air commerce of persons or property, other than as an air carrier or foreign air carrier or under the authority of Part 375 of this title. Where it is doubtful that an operation is for ``compensation or hire'', the test applied is whether the carriage by air is merely incidental to the person's other business or is, in itself, a major enterprise for profit.
  • 7. What about this? Title 14 119.1 Applicability Sec 6 (e) “...this part does not apply to—” (4) Aerial work operations, including— (i) Crop dusting, seeding, spraying, and bird chasing; (ii) Banner towing; (iii) Aerial photography or survey; (iv) Fire fighting; (v) Helicopter operations in construction or repair work (but it does apply to transportation to and from the site of operations); and (vi) Powerline or pipeline patrol;
  • 8. MTBF What does 10 - X mean? The probability of failure (PF) or mishap is the expected number of mishaps in a given amount of time (typically flight hours) usually expressed as an exponent. Based on the type and quality of vehicle history or reliability data available, and accuracy and/or conservatism required a rate is determined from: • Actual vehicle mishap data • Estimates based on reliability studies • Comparison by similarity • Worst case assumptions • A combination of these approaches For a new system, actual vehicle mishap data may be unavailable or have limited data points: Hours flown without failure 95% Confidence that PF is equal or less than 10 3 X 10-1 30 1 X 10-1 100 3 X 10-2 300 1 X 10-2 Note that for a 1 X 10-9 failure rate with 95% confidence, over 3 BILLION hours will have to be flown with no failures (342 years of solid flying) *Source: Range Commanders Council document RCC 323 supplement https://wsmrc2vger.wsmr.army.mil/rcc/manuals/323sup/323sup.doc
  • 9. The next way would be to conduct an analysis of the reliability of the vehicle •Typical PFs for electronic components are 1 X 10-3 to 1 X 10-4, mechanical rates are somewhat different •For a 1 X 10-9 PF, this would require triple redundancy on ALL safety critical electrical components, and redundancy on mechanical parts • The operational reliability would suffer greatly as well as the usable payload and cost •Another approach would be to establish an equivalent level of safety (ELOS) index such as PF times kinetic energy based on full size aircraft data and apply it to UAS
  • 10. An example…. • Current light aircraft PFs are on the order of 6.3 X 10-5 for relatively mature aircraft/pilots and very mature operational procedures (see http://www.aopa.org/asf/publications/07nall.pdf) •A Cessna 172 weighs approximately 1000 kg (~2200 lbs) and cruises at 56 meters per second (~125 MPH) with a kinetic energy of 1 X 10+6 (one million) joules •A 45 kg (~100 lb.) UAS flying at 31 meters per second (~70 MPH) has a kinetic energy of 2.2 X 10+4 joules •A 11 kg (~25 lb.) UAS flying at 22 meters per second (50 MPH) has a kinetic energy of 2.6 X 10+3 •It would seem reasonable for a UAS to use the same 1 X 10-5 PF and then to allow a 1 X 10-2 reduction in reliability to account for the difference in kinetic energy •This would permit a PF for UAS of 1 X 10-3, something that is analyzable and flight hour verifiable •Smaller UAS could be allowed an even higher PF
  • 11. sUAS ARC Impressions • No “data” or safety risk analysis going in • Bins and boxes are a rehash of unacceptable RTCA work • Those with operational experience were woefully underrepresented • Overall document lacks a comprehensive tone • International Harmonization = Weights in kilo’s??? • Economic impact of recommendations are devastating • All this will be compounded by use of standards groups
  • 12. sUAS ARC Impressions continued... • Unwarranted and heavy-handed regulation of model aviation. • Type I operations leave little in the way of viability • Operating greater than 3 NM of an airport • System certification (what does it look like???) • Manual flight control • Type II operations put small operators in direct competition with vendors (major enterprises for profit)
  • 13. sUAS ARC Impressions continued... • Type II and III operations shut out small operators • Operating greater than 10 NM sometimes 30NM from an airport • System certification • Required equipment takes most of payload • Type IIII way beyond the reach of many. • Type V LTA Lighter Than Air left out of recommendation.
  • 14. Affecting change We need: •Equivalent Level of Safety (ELOS) comparison •Industry code of practice •Formula for scale-able regulations (kinetic energy) •Defined and capture-able data set •Definable guidelines •Aircraft certification plan •Enforcement plan (comprehensive or otherwise)
  • 15. FIN

Editor's Notes

  1. If these are important enough to be here, they need to be big enough to see