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Skewed development
        China's             ruirar uurbuuno rrrvcsrr-rcrrr E.tq]-                                               nii caregorres oiourbound          lnvesr-
     o utbou nd
                            growth, and the subject        is                                               agencies arid institutes are contributl
                                                                          ^1@"
   investme nt
       must be
                    ;*r*:6*:1f;Tg?:?"?:;
                               been ffi
                    meetings. For 18 months     it   has
                                                                                                            ;T.1?3,'-fi1:"#1iil:'tff1,*::
                                                                                                            of both kinds of outbound aitivity to
rebatanced to
   support the
                    *$frffi{:;:*H{'ril$f-.                                                                  ff:ibil,.'#'.'}:ffi:;5.1'^x
g ove rn m e nt's
                    (SOEs) into large, globally competitive     "..-;:::: " " '
                    .nt.rpiir., *^r"d#"y, an'int.grrl p"rt      o"';1   .;;1"::".:;;,;:;:         :;;-.,.   Simpte and tangibte
                                                                         th'                     chrqan
    ente rp rise    of Beijingt "Go out" campaign. over
                                                                    ar         unrvers tv ot M
                                                                                                            It's important to note that energy and
                    the last decade, the buoyancy of domestic           stock             mineral asset acquisitions present a very straight-
  reform   pLan,    markets and credit windorvs at the large state banks                  forward valuation process. These involve tangible
says DeLoitte's     provided capital for SOEs to buy commercial as-                       assets. Negotiationi are 6xed in a simple calculus:
                    se-ts they had not developed organically. Outbound                    reserves multiplied by market price, minus recov-
Ken DeWoskin        M&A w1s the next phase of enterprise reform.                          ery costs. Of course, in reality it is not that easy,
                    - As the program evolved, the State-Owned
                    Assets Supeltsig" and Administration Com-
                                                                                          but determining a fair value of energy and mineral
                                                                                          purchases is simple compared to doing so for in-
                    mission (SASAC) clarified the strategic goals of tangible                          assets   importa.ti for enterpri;e develop-
                    outbound investment activity to                                                             ment, such as brands-.
                    include brands, technology, innova-                                                            Add to that, non-tangible asset
                    tion capability,'channek%  -"rt   Chingse fifmS                                             acquisitions present formidable op-
                                              ",,
                    and,globalmanagement,skills.                                                                erating challenges that go beyond
                                                      wiLt increasingly
                                                      WiLt inCfea'inl
                       .rlow can we assess tne progfess                                                         resource efiraction, and overseas
                                                                   -_:
                    and direction of this campaign?      cooperate with    operations to develop market pres-

                    different kinds of outbound initia- srobar parrners in :1'"'":3,::s:,:'i::::'Xi,:::
                        *.:i?l"X'l'l;::ff::fl:'i:,il:                      where even the largest Chinese
                    tive. China has a long and largely agqgifing aSSgtS. enterprises lack deep experience.
                                                     in- -,- I
                    successfirl history of outbound in-                    Closely related are the difficulties
                    ;;',*.;; ;;;'il;;; ;;";;;.i;- -      They can combine -;;:1 ffi'ffi#i;'':i* ,r,.
                    sively to purch3sg energy and min-                     recent record has made clear.
                                                         feSOUfGeS fOf
                    eral resources. This was ano remarns                       We can expect three develop-
                    a diferent agenda from the SASAC Va[UatiOn and         ments in outbound M&A focused

                    ;:i'ffi':f:fJ&Tt'i ff;:n':- nee.otiation,
                    qulsitions is tolring resources ro find Synefgigg
                                                                         and
                                                                           ""
                                                                              .fi:ij1*iA'ff:J'r"#:
                                                                           increasinglyio:perate with global
                                                                                                                                                      *
                    :lil?,"*$:ffllocalgoods'ser- for               post-deat
                                                                           ;:ffi-ff-'11.1:il'H;f:::1t$
                    Resource   heavy                       integration                                          ;ffiT43ilnT"ffi?fi:#:A
                    China bought over US$52 billion worth of assets in post-deal integration. A model for thls ii Indus-
                    overseas last year, up considerably on 2007. But trial and Commercial Bank of China's acquisition
                    2008 saw the virtual shutdown of the one category of a 20o/o stake in Standard Bank of South-A-frica.
                    of investment that was robust in 2007: frnancial Secondly, enterprises looking at sizeable non-
                    se-rvices. Tempting as the pricing was in the wake resource deals will likely become more open to pro-
                    of the global crisis, China was not buying.        fessional outside assistance, from banks,icconnting
                         Between 2003 and 2009,73o/o of China's out- fums, and law firms that can lend assurance to varil
                    bound investment went into energy and minerals. ous stages of the process and identiSr risks.
                    In 2009 alone, that share rose to 94o/o, a dramatic Frnally, therJwill be more experiments with
                    tlryklry of investments primarily supporting the integrating existing overseas management teams,
                    SASAC agenda. The regulator had both encour- akin to Lenovo's purchase of IBMts PC division,
                    aged overseas purchases and cautioned the need but guided by lessons learned in that case.
                    for governance improvement and improved M&A            Chinat outbound campaign will grow; but
                    capability before undertaking it. Chinat outbound achieving the balance demanded by the enterprise
                    investment activity seems to be moving away from reform agenda will bring innovations yet to be
                    the cause of enterprise reform.                    imagined. r

                                                                                                                 China Econom c Review   .   December 2009
                                                                                                                                                             @

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Economics_ChinaEconReview_04.pdf

  • 1. {: Skewed development China's ruirar uurbuuno rrrvcsrr-rcrrr E.tq]- nii caregorres oiourbound lnvesr- o utbou nd growth, and the subject is agencies arid institutes are contributl ^1@" investme nt must be ;*r*:6*:1f;Tg?:?"?:; been ffi meetings. For 18 months it has ;T.1?3,'-fi1:"#1iil:'tff1,*:: of both kinds of outbound aitivity to rebatanced to support the *$frffi{:;:*H{'ril$f-. ff:ibil,.'#'.'}:ffi:;5.1'^x g ove rn m e nt's (SOEs) into large, globally competitive "..-;:::: " " ' .nt.rpiir., *^r"d#"y, an'int.grrl p"rt o"';1 .;;1"::".:;;,;:;: :;;-.,. Simpte and tangibte th' chrqan ente rp rise of Beijingt "Go out" campaign. over ar unrvers tv ot M It's important to note that energy and the last decade, the buoyancy of domestic stock mineral asset acquisitions present a very straight- reform pLan, markets and credit windorvs at the large state banks forward valuation process. These involve tangible says DeLoitte's provided capital for SOEs to buy commercial as- assets. Negotiationi are 6xed in a simple calculus: se-ts they had not developed organically. Outbound reserves multiplied by market price, minus recov- Ken DeWoskin M&A w1s the next phase of enterprise reform. ery costs. Of course, in reality it is not that easy, - As the program evolved, the State-Owned Assets Supeltsig" and Administration Com- but determining a fair value of energy and mineral purchases is simple compared to doing so for in- mission (SASAC) clarified the strategic goals of tangible assets importa.ti for enterpri;e develop- outbound investment activity to ment, such as brands-. include brands, technology, innova- Add to that, non-tangible asset tion capability,'channek% -"rt Chingse fifmS acquisitions present formidable op- ",, and,globalmanagement,skills. erating challenges that go beyond wiLt increasingly WiLt inCfea'inl .rlow can we assess tne progfess resource efiraction, and overseas -_: and direction of this campaign? cooperate with operations to develop market pres- different kinds of outbound initia- srobar parrners in :1'"'":3,::s:,:'i::::'Xi,::: *.:i?l"X'l'l;::ff::fl:'i:,il: where even the largest Chinese tive. China has a long and largely agqgifing aSSgtS. enterprises lack deep experience. in- -,- I successfirl history of outbound in- Closely related are the difficulties ;;',*.;; ;;;'il;;; ;;";;;.i;- - They can combine -;;:1 ffi'ffi#i;'':i* ,r,. sively to purch3sg energy and min- recent record has made clear. feSOUfGeS fOf eral resources. This was ano remarns We can expect three develop- a diferent agenda from the SASAC Va[UatiOn and ments in outbound M&A focused ;:i'ffi':f:fJ&Tt'i ff;:n':- nee.otiation, qulsitions is tolring resources ro find Synefgigg and "" .fi:ij1*iA'ff:J'r"#: increasinglyio:perate with global * :lil?,"*$:ffllocalgoods'ser- for post-deat ;:ffi-ff-'11.1:il'H;f:::1t$ Resource heavy integration ;ffiT43ilnT"ffi?fi:#:A China bought over US$52 billion worth of assets in post-deal integration. A model for thls ii Indus- overseas last year, up considerably on 2007. But trial and Commercial Bank of China's acquisition 2008 saw the virtual shutdown of the one category of a 20o/o stake in Standard Bank of South-A-frica. of investment that was robust in 2007: frnancial Secondly, enterprises looking at sizeable non- se-rvices. Tempting as the pricing was in the wake resource deals will likely become more open to pro- of the global crisis, China was not buying. fessional outside assistance, from banks,icconnting Between 2003 and 2009,73o/o of China's out- fums, and law firms that can lend assurance to varil bound investment went into energy and minerals. ous stages of the process and identiSr risks. In 2009 alone, that share rose to 94o/o, a dramatic Frnally, therJwill be more experiments with tlryklry of investments primarily supporting the integrating existing overseas management teams, SASAC agenda. The regulator had both encour- akin to Lenovo's purchase of IBMts PC division, aged overseas purchases and cautioned the need but guided by lessons learned in that case. for governance improvement and improved M&A Chinat outbound campaign will grow; but capability before undertaking it. Chinat outbound achieving the balance demanded by the enterprise investment activity seems to be moving away from reform agenda will bring innovations yet to be the cause of enterprise reform. imagined. r China Econom c Review . December 2009 @