E-commerce in Russia: Reality Check
                                          Arkady Sandler


Sunday, May 27, 12
Meet
        Russia


         The biggest territory in the world:
         17,075,400 km2


         Population: 143,030,106


         GDP: $2,383 trillion ( per capita$16,736)


         Language: 142 mln. speak Russian,
         5% have some command of English



Sunday, May 27, 12
Meet
        Russia

      Distance between to 2 widest separated points is
      8,000 km
      Transport:
           ➡ Railway: 40% of all freights, length - over 85,500 km
           ➡ Roads: 933,000 km, 755,000 paved. Lowest road density of all
             G8 and BRIC
           ➡ Waterways: 102,000 km
           ➡ Airports: 1,216

       Demographics:
            ➡   Picked in 1991: 148,689,000
            ➡   Since then constant decline
            ➡   Birth rate is higher than in Europe (12.6 /1000)
            ➡   Mortality rate extremely high (14,6/1000)




Sunday, May 27, 12
Meet
        Russia

      Largest cities:                      Most businesses concentrated in
          ➡   Moscow: 11,800,992           Moscow and St. Petersburg. Dealer
          ➡   St.-Petersburg: 5,100,520    networks in regions.
          ➡   Novosibirsk: 1,397,191
          ➡   Yekaterinburg: 1,332,264
          ➡   Nizhny Novgorod: 1,272,527
          ➡   Samara: 1,164,900
          ➡   Kazan: 1,143,600
          ➡   Omsk: 1,129,120
          ➡   Chelyabinsk: 1,093,699
          ➡   Rostov-on-Don: 1,048,991



      E-commerce growth in big cities: 8-9%
      E-Commerce growth in regions: 40%

Sunday, May 27, 12
Internet Audience,
         December, 2011



                 Russia                                                       50,810


             Germany                                                      50,139


                France                                            42,349


                     UK                                     37,197


                          0            15,000            30,000          45,000        60,000
                                                 Unique visitors, thousands



      *-Comscore Metrix Report, September 2011

Sunday, May 27, 12
Internet Penetration, %
      December, 2011


            90
                       82.7        82.0    80.0      79.9      78.2
                                                                          69.5
            60

                                                                                     43.0
            30


              0
                     South Korea      UK   Japan   Germany      USA       France     Russia

           Russia is #1 in Europe by Internet audience, but the Internet penetration is still low =
           great potential for further development
     * - www.internetworldstats.com

Sunday, May 27, 12
Ecommerce Markets,
        Volume, Growth, 2011



                           15% yearly
                           $680.6 bln.
                           2.5% of total retail sales



                           10% yearly
                           $197 bln.
                           9% of total retail sales

                                                            26% yearly

                           16% yearly                   366 bln. rub ($12.2 bln.)
                                                        1.6% of total retail sales
                           €200.5 bln. ($270.7 bln.)
                           8.8% of total retail sales

     * - Forrester Research; FOM, Data Insight

Sunday, May 27, 12
E-Commerce or....?


           In the US e-commerce volume reached $197 bln. or 9%
           of all retail
                 Online banking, tracking   compare prices, find
                 shipments online, renew    hotel, book vacation and
                 driver license, change     air tickets, find
                 address,                   contractor, order pizza,
                                            etc...




                         E-COMMERCE
           Internet is just another necessary channel for sales, promotion, and
                                        information.
           Online presence is inseparable part of every current business model.

Sunday, May 27, 12
E-Commerce or....?


                     Brick&Mortar                               Online

                     Find location
                     Plan layout
                     Hire designer
                     Warehouse


                                              =
                     Payment system                             No HTML
                     Promote                                   knowledge
                     Customer Service                            needed
                     Loyalty
                     Ads
                     Discounts
                     Brand



                     Set of tools, actions, and steps have already been developed.
                     No “special” Internet knowledge is required to start an online
                                                 business
Sunday, May 27, 12
Russia:
    what people bought in
    2011
                                                     Volume/year, bln. rub.


    Electronics, appliances                                                        57
              Computers                                                 35
       Clothing, Footwear                                              34
          Children Goods                        14
                Groceries                   12
           Mobile phones                   12
        Automotive parts                   12
                 Furniture                 11
           Sporting goods              8
           Office supplies             7
         Group discounts               7
                    Books         5

                              0                 15            30              45    60
     * - InSales, Data Insight, 2011

Sunday, May 27, 12
Russia:
    what people bought in
    2011
                                                     Volume/year, bln. rub.


    Electronics, appliances                                                                57
              Computers                                                 35
       Clothing, Footwear                                              34
          Children Goods                        14
                Groceries                   12
           Mobile phones                   12         In big cities, the proportions are
                                                                 almost equal
        Automotive parts                   12
                 Furniture                 11
           Sporting goods              8
           Office supplies             7
         Group discounts               7
                    Books         5

                              0                 15            30              45            60
     * - InSales, Data Insight, 2011

Sunday, May 27, 12
Russia:
    what people bought in
    2011
                                                     Volume/year, bln. rub.


    Electronics, appliances                                                                57
              Computers                                                 35
       Clothing, Footwear                                              34
          Children Goods                        14
                Groceries                   12
           Mobile phones                   12         In big cities, the proportions are
                                                                 almost equal
        Automotive parts                   12
                 Furniture                 11
           Sporting goods              8
           Office supplies             7
                                                     In regions, leading categories are
         Group discounts               7              clothes, shoes, beauty products
                    Books         5

                              0                 15            30              45            60
     * - InSales, Data Insight, 2011

Sunday, May 27, 12
Russian online
    shopper

                                                               No trust
                                                              Payments
        Typical Russian internet user:                         Delivery
        Male, under 34, with high education


        Average monthly spending:
        in cities over 1m: $170                 First time online shoppers prefer
        in other areas: $70                     communication in person before they
                                                purchase.
        Active online purchasers:
        15% of Russian internet users (7 mln)   Large: Call centre
                                                Small-to-Medium: Representative in the
       75% prefer cash-on-delivery              office
       12% are unhappy about delivery
       28% choose offline, buy online
                                                 •   Online chats
                                                 •   Online voice calls
                                                 •   Click-to-Call from Internet to phone
                                                     line

Sunday, May 27, 12
Russian online shopper


                                                                 No trust
                                                                Payments
        Typical Russian internet user:                           Delivery
        Male, under 34, with high education


        Average monthly spending:               80% online purchases paid for by cash
                                                     - no trust in banks
        in cities over 1m: $170
                                                     - bank cards: still low penetration
        in other areas: $70                          - debit cards, pre-authorization required

        Active online purchasers:
        15% of Russian internet users (7 mln)


       75% prefer cash-on-delivery
                                                ‣   Cash-on-delivery
                                                ‣   Electronic money
       12% are unhappy about delivery           ‣   Qiwi terminals
       28% choose offline, buy online           ‣   Cash-by-transfer (Sberbank, Russian Post)




Sunday, May 27, 12
Russian online shopper


                                                                  No trust
                                                                 Payments
        Typical Russian internet user:                            Delivery
        Male, under 34, with high education


        Average monthly spending:               Huge distances - limited infrastructure
                                                     - Expensive delivery
        in cities over 1m: $170
                                                     - Coverage is not complete
        in other areas: $70                          - Many courier services, but trust is an issue

        Active online purchasers:
        15% of Russian internet users (7 mln)


       75% prefer cash-on-delivery
                                                ‣ Big players - their own delivery
                                                ‣ Russian Post becomes an active player
       12% are unhappy about delivery               (own API)
       28% choose offline, buy online           ‣   Purchases abroad under 1,000 EURO
                                                ‣   Drop-off shipments to terminals




Sunday, May 27, 12
Russian mentality:
    Different HR

    More and more companies               Startups with limited funding:
    online:                                 •   close to zero loyalty
        • lack of skilled professionals     •   demand for higher salaries growing faster than profits
        • no educational institutions       •   inflation and productivity
        • Internet is not considered a      •   complicated tax system
          “serious” field                    •   tax burden is carried by employer more than by
                                                employee



                            To survive: higher prices, less choice
                              Result: less competitive market



          Growth in cross-border shopping:              Solutions already exist:
                Cheaper                                       Language
                Better choice                                 Currency
                Trendier                                      Delivery
                                                              Product promotion
                                                              Local understanding

Sunday, May 27, 12
Global ecommerce:
    2012 expectations
                            Already an important part of marketing strategies. Social shopping is
     Social Networks        still in early stages. Retail based social networks from smaller
                            businesses to “collect” followers.

     Daily deals, Private
                            Extremely fast growth. Although, the space is crowded, customers
     sales, Local           still appreciate the offers and looking for new models.
     ecommerce
                            Push-shopping - a new concept in retail is showing signs of
     Push-shopping and      popularity. Instead of overwhelming Amazon catalogues, these sites
     penny auctions         ask customers for their preferences, and based on that profile,
                            return with suggestions to purchase.

                            The expectations are that mobile ecommerce numbers will soon
     Mobile shopping        catch up to those of traditional ecommerce.


     International and      Big retailers already offer at least shipping to different countries.
                            Amazon, Ebay and other large players are opening local sites.
     cross-border           Smaller players already account for 10-20% of their sales being
     shopping               international.

                            Order online, pick up at the store. Another model: choose online,
     In-store pickup        buy at the store.

Sunday, May 27, 12
Globalization


      More brands will sell direct in international markets
          • few companies have truly global online presence
          • companies that ship internationally will start localizing their sites to avoid
            language barriers
          • 2/3 of online consumers in France and Germany shop only in their native
            languages

      International shippers will invest more in promotions in specific
      markets
          •   direct targeting in local market
          •   localized landing pages
          •   improve local customer experience
          •   local fulfillment options in the most lucrative markets

      Tier 1 retailers and brands will invest in their online presence
          • luxury brands recognized growth opportunities in BRIC countries long time ago
          • offline presence has been successful
          • will try to increase and promote their online presence in local markets

      Growth of international ecommerce supporting solutions
          • payment systems, warehousing, translation services
          • cross-market advertising opportunities
          • few companies offer localization of product offering targeted to local customers

Sunday, May 27, 12
Thank you!
                     Arkady Sandler
                     arkady@sandler.vc
                     @arkadysandler




Sunday, May 27, 12

E-commerce in Russia reality check. May 2012

  • 1.
    E-commerce in Russia:Reality Check Arkady Sandler Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 2.
    Meet Russia The biggest territory in the world: 17,075,400 km2 Population: 143,030,106 GDP: $2,383 trillion ( per capita$16,736) Language: 142 mln. speak Russian, 5% have some command of English Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 3.
    Meet Russia Distance between to 2 widest separated points is 8,000 km Transport: ➡ Railway: 40% of all freights, length - over 85,500 km ➡ Roads: 933,000 km, 755,000 paved. Lowest road density of all G8 and BRIC ➡ Waterways: 102,000 km ➡ Airports: 1,216 Demographics: ➡ Picked in 1991: 148,689,000 ➡ Since then constant decline ➡ Birth rate is higher than in Europe (12.6 /1000) ➡ Mortality rate extremely high (14,6/1000) Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 4.
    Meet Russia Largest cities: Most businesses concentrated in ➡ Moscow: 11,800,992 Moscow and St. Petersburg. Dealer ➡ St.-Petersburg: 5,100,520 networks in regions. ➡ Novosibirsk: 1,397,191 ➡ Yekaterinburg: 1,332,264 ➡ Nizhny Novgorod: 1,272,527 ➡ Samara: 1,164,900 ➡ Kazan: 1,143,600 ➡ Omsk: 1,129,120 ➡ Chelyabinsk: 1,093,699 ➡ Rostov-on-Don: 1,048,991 E-commerce growth in big cities: 8-9% E-Commerce growth in regions: 40% Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 5.
    Internet Audience, December, 2011 Russia 50,810 Germany 50,139 France 42,349 UK 37,197 0 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 Unique visitors, thousands *-Comscore Metrix Report, September 2011 Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 6.
    Internet Penetration, % December, 2011 90 82.7 82.0 80.0 79.9 78.2 69.5 60 43.0 30 0 South Korea UK Japan Germany USA France Russia Russia is #1 in Europe by Internet audience, but the Internet penetration is still low = great potential for further development * - www.internetworldstats.com Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 7.
    Ecommerce Markets, Volume, Growth, 2011 15% yearly $680.6 bln. 2.5% of total retail sales 10% yearly $197 bln. 9% of total retail sales 26% yearly 16% yearly 366 bln. rub ($12.2 bln.) 1.6% of total retail sales €200.5 bln. ($270.7 bln.) 8.8% of total retail sales * - Forrester Research; FOM, Data Insight Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 8.
    E-Commerce or....? In the US e-commerce volume reached $197 bln. or 9% of all retail Online banking, tracking compare prices, find shipments online, renew hotel, book vacation and driver license, change air tickets, find address, contractor, order pizza, etc... E-COMMERCE Internet is just another necessary channel for sales, promotion, and information. Online presence is inseparable part of every current business model. Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 9.
    E-Commerce or....? Brick&Mortar Online Find location Plan layout Hire designer Warehouse = Payment system No HTML Promote knowledge Customer Service needed Loyalty Ads Discounts Brand Set of tools, actions, and steps have already been developed. No “special” Internet knowledge is required to start an online business Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 10.
    Russia: what people bought in 2011 Volume/year, bln. rub. Electronics, appliances 57 Computers 35 Clothing, Footwear 34 Children Goods 14 Groceries 12 Mobile phones 12 Automotive parts 12 Furniture 11 Sporting goods 8 Office supplies 7 Group discounts 7 Books 5 0 15 30 45 60 * - InSales, Data Insight, 2011 Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 11.
    Russia: what people bought in 2011 Volume/year, bln. rub. Electronics, appliances 57 Computers 35 Clothing, Footwear 34 Children Goods 14 Groceries 12 Mobile phones 12 In big cities, the proportions are almost equal Automotive parts 12 Furniture 11 Sporting goods 8 Office supplies 7 Group discounts 7 Books 5 0 15 30 45 60 * - InSales, Data Insight, 2011 Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 12.
    Russia: what people bought in 2011 Volume/year, bln. rub. Electronics, appliances 57 Computers 35 Clothing, Footwear 34 Children Goods 14 Groceries 12 Mobile phones 12 In big cities, the proportions are almost equal Automotive parts 12 Furniture 11 Sporting goods 8 Office supplies 7 In regions, leading categories are Group discounts 7 clothes, shoes, beauty products Books 5 0 15 30 45 60 * - InSales, Data Insight, 2011 Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 13.
    Russian online shopper No trust Payments Typical Russian internet user: Delivery Male, under 34, with high education Average monthly spending: in cities over 1m: $170 First time online shoppers prefer in other areas: $70 communication in person before they purchase. Active online purchasers: 15% of Russian internet users (7 mln) Large: Call centre Small-to-Medium: Representative in the 75% prefer cash-on-delivery office 12% are unhappy about delivery 28% choose offline, buy online • Online chats • Online voice calls • Click-to-Call from Internet to phone line Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 14.
    Russian online shopper No trust Payments Typical Russian internet user: Delivery Male, under 34, with high education Average monthly spending: 80% online purchases paid for by cash - no trust in banks in cities over 1m: $170 - bank cards: still low penetration in other areas: $70 - debit cards, pre-authorization required Active online purchasers: 15% of Russian internet users (7 mln) 75% prefer cash-on-delivery ‣ Cash-on-delivery ‣ Electronic money 12% are unhappy about delivery ‣ Qiwi terminals 28% choose offline, buy online ‣ Cash-by-transfer (Sberbank, Russian Post) Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 15.
    Russian online shopper No trust Payments Typical Russian internet user: Delivery Male, under 34, with high education Average monthly spending: Huge distances - limited infrastructure - Expensive delivery in cities over 1m: $170 - Coverage is not complete in other areas: $70 - Many courier services, but trust is an issue Active online purchasers: 15% of Russian internet users (7 mln) 75% prefer cash-on-delivery ‣ Big players - their own delivery ‣ Russian Post becomes an active player 12% are unhappy about delivery (own API) 28% choose offline, buy online ‣ Purchases abroad under 1,000 EURO ‣ Drop-off shipments to terminals Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 16.
    Russian mentality: Different HR More and more companies Startups with limited funding: online: • close to zero loyalty • lack of skilled professionals • demand for higher salaries growing faster than profits • no educational institutions • inflation and productivity • Internet is not considered a • complicated tax system “serious” field • tax burden is carried by employer more than by employee To survive: higher prices, less choice Result: less competitive market Growth in cross-border shopping: Solutions already exist: Cheaper Language Better choice Currency Trendier Delivery Product promotion Local understanding Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 17.
    Global ecommerce: 2012 expectations Already an important part of marketing strategies. Social shopping is Social Networks still in early stages. Retail based social networks from smaller businesses to “collect” followers. Daily deals, Private Extremely fast growth. Although, the space is crowded, customers sales, Local still appreciate the offers and looking for new models. ecommerce Push-shopping - a new concept in retail is showing signs of Push-shopping and popularity. Instead of overwhelming Amazon catalogues, these sites penny auctions ask customers for their preferences, and based on that profile, return with suggestions to purchase. The expectations are that mobile ecommerce numbers will soon Mobile shopping catch up to those of traditional ecommerce. International and Big retailers already offer at least shipping to different countries. Amazon, Ebay and other large players are opening local sites. cross-border Smaller players already account for 10-20% of their sales being shopping international. Order online, pick up at the store. Another model: choose online, In-store pickup buy at the store. Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 18.
    Globalization More brands will sell direct in international markets • few companies have truly global online presence • companies that ship internationally will start localizing their sites to avoid language barriers • 2/3 of online consumers in France and Germany shop only in their native languages International shippers will invest more in promotions in specific markets • direct targeting in local market • localized landing pages • improve local customer experience • local fulfillment options in the most lucrative markets Tier 1 retailers and brands will invest in their online presence • luxury brands recognized growth opportunities in BRIC countries long time ago • offline presence has been successful • will try to increase and promote their online presence in local markets Growth of international ecommerce supporting solutions • payment systems, warehousing, translation services • cross-market advertising opportunities • few companies offer localization of product offering targeted to local customers Sunday, May 27, 12
  • 19.
    Thank you! Arkady Sandler arkady@sandler.vc @arkadysandler Sunday, May 27, 12