The document discusses energy efficiency and the Alliance to Save Energy. It notes that the Alliance is a non-profit organization led by a Senator and utility CEO that includes members of Congress and leaders from various sectors. The Alliance works across all economic sectors on initiatives to advance energy efficiency through research, advocacy, education, technology deployment, and communications. The document summarizes that improving energy efficiency is important given tight global energy supplies, growing demand, and concerns over climate change and the unsustainability of business as usual approaches. Energy efficiency is described as cheaper, quicker, cleaner, and more secure than other energy resources.
1. Center for Energy, Development, and the
Global Environment
DUKE University
October 6, 2010
Durham, NC
Brian T. Castelli
Executive Vice President
Programs and Development
PathwaysPathways
toto
Energy EfficiencyEnergy Efficiency
2. What is the
Alliance to Save Energy?
- Non-profit organization headquartered in U.S.; operations world-wideNon-profit organization headquartered in U.S.; operations world-wide
- Led byLed by Senator Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)Senator Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) andand Peter Darbee, President andPeter Darbee, President and
CEO of Pacific Gas and ElectricCEO of Pacific Gas and Electric
- Includes 15 Members of Congress – Bi-Cameral; Bi-PartisanIncludes 15 Members of Congress – Bi-Cameral; Bi-Partisan
- Also includes environmental, consumer, and trade associations heads, stateAlso includes environmental, consumer, and trade associations heads, state
and local policy makers, corporate executivesand local policy makers, corporate executives
3. Working with and Across All
Sectors of the Economy
170 companies, organizations, and institutions in Associates Program170 companies, organizations, and institutions in Associates Program
Associates Program membership represents all economic sectorsAssociates Program membership represents all economic sectors
Initiatives underway in research, policy advocacy, education, technologyInitiatives underway in research, policy advocacy, education, technology
deployment, market transformation and communicationsdeployment, market transformation and communications
4. Features of the
Global Energy Market
Tight Supplies
Growing Demand
Limited Spare Capacity
Heightened Geopolitical and Investment risk
Higher Prices
Climate Concerns
……anan
UNSUSTAINABLEUNSUSTAINABLE
TRACKTRACK
CLIFFCLIFF
AHEADAHEAD
(sorry)(sorry)
Source: Frank Verrastro, CSISSource: Frank Verrastro, CSIS
5. Energy use has a direct effect
on…
Global Emissions:
Energy use directly linked to
GHG emissions..U.S. example:
SecuritySecurity:
Unchecked growth in energy demand can:Unchecked growth in energy demand can:
• Accelerate fossil fuel depletionAccelerate fossil fuel depletion
• Increase our reliance on foreign sourcesIncrease our reliance on foreign sources
of energyof energy
Economy:
• According to a McKinsey estimate:According to a McKinsey estimate:
“Business as usual” energy use will“Business as usual” energy use will
waste more than $1.2 trillion betweenwaste more than $1.2 trillion between
now and 2020 in the U.S. alone – andnow and 2020 in the U.S. alone – and
this does not include transportationthis does not include transportation
energy consumption.energy consumption.
6. Why EE? Why Now? Global
“Business as Usual” is Unsustainable
Global energy demand grows by 33 percent over the next 20 years,Global energy demand grows by 33 percent over the next 20 years,
with coal use rising the most in absolute terms.with coal use rising the most in absolute terms.
QuadrillionQuadrillion
btubtu
7. Why More EE? Why Now?
Energy Use is a Global Climate Issue
China, 19%
Russia, 6%
Japan, 4%
India, 4%
Western
Europe,
13%
, 0
Others, 32%
US Other
Sectors, 13%
US Buildings, 8%
Share of Global Energy-Related CO2 Emissions by Country (2005)
Source: Energy Information AdministrationSource: Energy Information Administration
8. As an energy resource, efficiency is:
CHEAPER
- Each $1 invested in Energy Star program = $75 in energy
cost savings and $15 of investment in new efficiency
technologies
QUICKER
- In 2001, California cut peak electricity use by 10% in less
than a year
CLEANER
- “Negawatts” produce NO ENVIRONMENTAL FOOTPRINT
MORE SECURE
- A “homegrown” resource!
Why Energy Efficiency?
9. 2626
2828
3030
3232
3434
3636
3838
4040
4242
20102010 20152015 20202020 20252025 20302030
GtGt
Reference ScenarioReference Scenario
450 Scenario450 Scenario
End-useEnd-use
efficiencyefficiency
Power plantsPower plants
RenewablesRenewables
BiofuelsBiofuels
NuclearNuclear
CCSCCS
52% of the required cuts in GHG emissions to achieve the 450 scenario is52% of the required cuts in GHG emissions to achieve the 450 scenario is
estimated to come from energy efficiency savings by 2030 (WEO 2009)estimated to come from energy efficiency savings by 2030 (WEO 2009)
World Energy Outlook 2009
450 Scenario
11. Plenty of Opportunity for
Improving Energy Intensity
Source: Frank Verrastro, CSISSource: Frank Verrastro, CSIS
12. Potential Demand Reduction
with Industrial EE
Source: McKinsey & Company, 2007.Source: McKinsey & Company, 2007.
Energy efficiency is the most cost-effective carbon reduction optionEnergy efficiency is the most cost-effective carbon reduction option
• Stated in an Independent Study by McKinsey & CompanyStated in an Independent Study by McKinsey & Company
13. Huge EE Potential RemainsHuge EE Potential Remains
Energy Efficiency Potential 40%Energy Efficiency Potential 40%
Adapted from McKinsey AnalysisAdapted from McKinsey Analysis
Energy efficiency should be fully considered inEnergy efficiency should be fully considered in
GHG reductions. All items to the left of theGHG reductions. All items to the left of the
arrow represent “negative marginal costs”, i.e.arrow represent “negative marginal costs”, i.e.
profitable investmentsprofitable investments
14. Energy Efficiency: the 1st
Fuel
Average Utility Cost of New Electric Resources
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Energy
Efficiency (a)
Wind Biomass Nat. Gas
Combined
Cycle
Pulverized
Coal
Nuclear Coal IGCC
LevelizedCost(cents/kWh)
w/o Carbon W/ $20/Ton Carbon
Source: UCS 2009 except (a) ACEEE 2009Source: UCS 2009 except (a) ACEEE 2009
Energy Efficiency: the 1Energy Efficiency: the 1stst
FuelFuel
16. Industrial Systems Energy
Efficiency
Industrial firms tend to invest in process changes for EE and
productivity – long term and high cost
Cross-cutting energy systems (motors-driven, steam, process
heating) offer 20-50% savings potential
- Inefficient systems found in nearly every plant
- Near-term, lower-cost savings are from optimizing systems not
components (only 2-5% savings)
Customize system energy efficiency for each site
US DOE strategy since 1992 (BestPractices):
- Educate plant engineers – training, software, technical publications
- Industry partnerships
- Cost-shared plant energy assessments
17. U.S.: Save Energy Now
““25 in 10”25 in 10”
Drive a 25% reduction inDrive a 25% reduction in
industrial energy intensityindustrial energy intensity
by 2017by 2017
Saving 8.4 quads each yearSaving 8.4 quads each year
—— an amount of energyan amount of energy
equal to that consumed byequal to that consumed by
CaliforniaCalifornia
18. How About Buildings?
66
•• Buildings consume 39% of all energy in the U.S.,Buildings consume 39% of all energy in the U.S.,
including 72% of electricity, and account for 38% ofincluding 72% of electricity, and account for 38% of
carbon emissions.carbon emissions.
•• EIA projects that buildings-related CO2 emissions willEIA projects that buildings-related CO2 emissions will
increase by 270 million tons by 2030, and 82% of theincrease by 270 million tons by 2030, and 82% of the
total projected electric load growth is from buildings.total projected electric load growth is from buildings.
•• Massive improvements in both existing and newMassive improvements in both existing and new
buildings are needed at large scale & quickly.buildings are needed at large scale & quickly.
19. Commercial Buildings Sector –
Where Are We Today?
““Net-Net-
Zero”Zero”
Source: R. Anderson, NRELSource: R. Anderson, NREL
20. Thanks to Doug Gatlin, USGBC atThanks to Doug Gatlin, USGBC at National Association of Realtors May 13, 2008National Association of Realtors May 13, 2008
The BusinessThe Business BenefitsBenefits
21. The Business Benefits
Operating CostsOperating Costs
Average Expected Decrease =Average Expected Decrease = 8%-9%8%-9%
Main motivator for green in all sectorsMain motivator for green in all sectors
Energy UseEnergy Use
Average Expected Decrease =Average Expected Decrease = 30%30%
Building ValueBuilding Value
Average Expected Increase =Average Expected Increase = 7.5%7.5%
Operating IncomeOperating Income
Average Expected Increase =Average Expected Increase = 6.6%6.6%
Occupancy and Rent RatiosOccupancy and Rent Ratios
Increased Occupancy =Increased Occupancy = 3.5%3.5%
Rent Ratio Increase =Rent Ratio Increase = 3%3%
Thanks to Doug Gatlin, USGBC atThanks to Doug Gatlin, USGBC at National Association of Realtors May 13, 2008National Association of Realtors May 13, 2008
22. Example
Green Building Savings
Thanks to Doug Gatlin, USGBC atThanks to Doug Gatlin, USGBC at National Association of Realtors May 13, 2008National Association of Realtors May 13, 2008
23. Municipal EE Challenges
and Opportunities
Water systems
- Aging infrastructure Leaky distribution systems
- System inefficiencies (pumps, motors)
Municipal infrastructure and operations
- Inefficient buildings (housing, government offices, schools)
- Lack of energy/water metering
- Institutionalized purchasing of energy-inefficient equipment
- Inefficient street-lighting
24. CASE STUDY: Fortaleza,
in Brazil’s Arid NE
PROBLEMS
•• Many households not connected to service
•• Many inefficiencies: pumps, O&M, system management
•• Utility couldn’t afford energy costs
PROJECT: automated controls on pressure & pumping
improved data collection & analysis
improved motor efficiency (replaced or re-wound them)
RESULTS
•• 88 million kWh saved over 4 years
•• …while adding 88,000 new connections using same amount of water
•• $2.5 M saved every year w/investment of only $1.1 M
•• Payback: 7 months
25. Deploying EE at Scale Requires:
A Foundation of Public Policy
To encourage
technological
innovation
To gain foothold inTo gain foothold in
marketmarket
To achieve marketTo achieve market
penetrationpenetration
To lock in savings forTo lock in savings for
consumers and businessesconsumers and businesses
26. Key Strategies
for EE Deployment
1) POLICY
Improve Legal & regulatory frameworks…
Create incentives for
promoting energy efficiency
Open the energy sector to private participation
Promote metering and DSM measures
Eliminate subsidies
~ Energy tariffs should recover costs ~
Modernize energy standards & technical regulations
Promote energy efficiency services market
27. Key Strategies
for EE Deployment
2) CAPACITY and AWARENESS
• Strengthen national agencies for:
setting energy efficiency targets
developing programs
ensuring implementation
• Train energy managers and auditors
• Cultivate partnerships among:
energy consumers, service providers, financiers
• Provide Information: test EE models, document case
studies, prepare guidelines, advocate.
3) FINANCING - Initiate mechanisms, such as…
loan funds vendor credits leasing
credit guarantees carbon finance
28. Why is all this important?
We only have one World…
2828
29. Thank you!Thank you!
Brian T. CastelliBrian T. Castelli
Executive Vice PresidentExecutive Vice President
bcastelli@ase.orgbcastelli@ase.org
202-857-0666202-857-0666
www.ase.orgwww.ase.org
Editor's Notes
These slides are animated
Annual world-wide investment of $170 billion in energy efficiency through 2020 could:
cut global growth in energy demand by ½!
save $900 billion a year in avoided energy costs
dramatically reduce greenhouse gas emissions
Source: The McKinsey Global Institute
“Energy efficiency is the nation’s greatest energy resource—we saved 50 quads in 2007 due to energy efficiency and conservation efforts taken since 1973. This is more energy than we get from any single energy source, including oil.”
“If we tried to run today’s economy without the energy-efficiency improvements that have taken place since 1973, we would need nearly 50% more energy than we use now. This is more than what we get from any single energy source, including oil, natural gas, coal, and nuclear power.”
Global – IEA says 300 EJ potential EE in 2050 - -25 GT Co2
Measures below line are measures that would pay for themselves, even without a carbon price – CCE less than cost of buying energy. Will talk more later about why those negative cost opportunities are there (or might not be there).
(Larry may have something to say about this later)
But forgetting whether costs are “negative,” the point remains that EE is often less costly than the other abatement options.
EE about 1Gt = about one sixth of current emissions
CO2 price will likely be higher. Once you move into higher carbon price ranges, it is hard to know what technologies come out of the hole.
2030 EE potential reductions CO2e (1208)
Buildings 743 Mt
Residential (362)
Commercial (381)
Industrial 278 Mt
Transportation (cars only) 186 Mt
Non-EE potential 1,792 Mt
That “negative cost” measures are not already implemented suggests some non-price barriers exist.
But some of these non-price barriers COULD be affected by higher energy prices – underestimated costs, information barrier, lock-in, even split incentives.
Requires hundreds of billions of “cost-effective” investment
Constrained budgets (time & money)
Uncertainty (project performance and energy costs)
Flowing information
Some info. : A report from 2007 says:
Turkey is a net energy importer and of its total primary energy consumption; the largest fuel type is oil.
The industrial sector in Turkey accounted for 40% of total final energy consumption and for 54% of electricity consumption in 2000, and industry has been targeted as a priority area for energy conservation programs owing to the projected rapid expansion of industrial energy demand.
industry in Turkey is energy intensive.
(http://www.planbleu.org/publications/atelier_energie/TR_Summary.pdf)
Slide content borrowed from Richard Kidd, FEMP President Obama has set a goal of an 83% reduction in
carbon emissions by 2050.
Requires agencies to:
Set GHG reduction targets
Develop Strategic Sustainability Plans and provide in concert with budget submissions
Conduct bottom up Scope 1, 2 and 3 baselines
Track performance
Challenges in terms of the need for EE also present the biggest opportunities for significant improvement. Two of major challenges the Alliance has identified as we have worked with municipalities around the world are:
Water systems:
Treatment and supply of drinking water, distribution systems, wastewater treatment
Energy often highest cost associated with water supply
Whenever water is lost to leaks, also lost are the energy -- and cost of energy -- embodied in that water, from pumping, treating, and moving the water.
INFRASTRUCTURE:
Same challenges are faced in municipalities around the world: - Buildings: inefficient appliances/equipment, poor insulation and windows, inefficient heating systems.
Often there is no incentive to save energy since there is no metering – of water or energy – to show how much energy is being used or track savings.
Municipal governments continue to purchase inefficient equipment (efficiency is not taken into account in purchasing decisions)
In addition to building infrastructure, other energy-using components of the municipal infrastructure present great opportunities for increasing efficiency: One of the key ones is street lighting.
[Incandescent or Mercury Vapor to: High pressure sodium, Metal Halide, Fluorescent (but poor optical control)[
In this arid region in Northeast Brazil, saving water is probably more important than saving energy.
PROBLEMS:
Many poor households were not connected to clean, running water.
The water utility was highly inefficient with both water and energy
…and it needed to reduce its energy costs and water losses in order to continue to provide service.
PROJECT: A multi-disciplinary team was assembled to focus on ways to reduce energy and water waste throughout the distribution system.
Approaches included improving data collection and analysis, automating pressure controls, centralizing pump system controls, renegotiating energy supply contracts, installing capacitors and replacing or re-winding motors.
The RESULTS really illustrate what water efficiency is capable of producing: the utility saved 88 million kWh over the course of 4 years, in spite of the fact that water service was expanded to a remarkable 88,000 households who formally had no access to piped water. The project saves the utility $2.5 million every year, with a payback of only 7 months.
Develop sufficient legal and regulatory framework
Create incentives for promoting energy efficiency
Opening the energy sector to private participation
Promoting metering and DSM measures
Eliminate subsidies and bring energy tariffs to cost-recovery levels
Modernize energy standards and technical regulations
Promoting energy efficiency services market
(The photo is of people getting training in a cold room in Russia; note the coats and hats.)
Build institutional capacity and raise awareness
Strengthen national agencies for setting energy efficiency targets, developing programs and ensuring implementation
Prepare energy managers and auditors for all bulk energy consumers
Cultivate partnerships among energy consumers, service providers, financiers.
Test EE models, document case studies, prepare guidelines, advocate.
Develop adequate financing mechanisms
Loan funds, credit guarantees, vendor credits, leasing, carbon finance, etc.