CORE breakfast presentation from 3 August, 2018 - based on the CORE ten trends work. (https://www.core-ed.org/research-and-innovation/ten-trends/)

1. Digital Futures:
Planning for Change
derek.wenmoth@core-ed.org
@dwenmoth
http://www.wenmoth.net

2. CORE’s Ten Trends
● Patterns…
● General direction…
● Regular change over time…
● General course…
● Prevailing tendency…
NOT predictions
https://www.core-ed.org/research-and-innovation/ten-trends/

3. Shifting
Ownership
https://www.core-ed.org/research-and-innovation/ten-trends/

4. https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2011/feb/17/ibm-computer-watson-wins-jeopardy
“I felt obsolete, I felt like a Detroit factory
worker in the ‘80s seeing a robot that could
now do his job on the assembly line. I felt
like ‘Quiz Show Contestant’ was now the first
job that had become obsolete under this new
regime of thinking computers.”

5. Programmable vs Cognitive Computing
Programmable computers
● Rules based
● Used predetermined processes
to arrive at outcomes
● Powerful and complex
● Deterministic, thrive on
structured data
● Incapable of processing
qualitative or unpredictable input
Cognitive Computers
● Adapt and make sense of
complexity and unpredictability of
unstructured information
● Can ‘read’ text, ‘see’ images and
‘hear’ natural speech
● Can interpret, organize, explain
● ‘Weigh’ information from multiple
sources and offer hypothesis
● Learn from own mistakes

6. http://www.investopedia.com/tech/top-robo-advisors/
Robo-advisors have surged in popularity as people seek low-
cost, automated investment opportunities. Within minutes,
robo-advisors allow you to set up a customized, diverse
portfolio and can give you access to wealth management
services previously reserved for the ultra-wealthy like tax-loss
harvesting and access to a certified financial planner.

7. http://www.computerweekly.com/opinion/How-AI-is-disrupting-the-role-of-call-
centres-and-call-centre-staff
AI is now helping to predict customer
behaviour on the phone, to provide
recommendations to the customer service
reps on how best to deal with the issue.

8. https://soundcloud.com/zekejmiller/new-recording-68

9. The dirty rusty wooden dresser drawer.
A couple million people wearing drawers,
Or looking through a lonely oven door,
Flowers covered under marble floors.
And lying sleeping on an open bed.
And I remember having started tripping,
Or any angel hanging overhead,
Without another cup of coffee dripping.
Surrounded by a pretty little sergeant,
Another morning at an early crawl.
And from the other side of my apartment,
An empty room behind the inner wall.
A thousand pictures on the kitchen floor,
Talked about a hundred years or more.
And what if from distress comes something fine,
And following this dress-rehearsal pain
Gives way to Joy, mistress of ardor, art,
And love, who sure this mess would straighten
out?
For Joy has no illusions of a break;
She brooks many ill fusions of extremes,
And shares her light ‘till few suns could compete;
Her binding love makes twos ones and keeps
peace.
So best not make a strumpet of this Joy,
Assert that she pays some debt with her smile,
Or name to her a numb set of stale sparks;
She never has succumbed yet, bless her heart.
Her love is full and indiscriminate
And even so you’ll find no sin in it.
https://www.digitaltrends.com/cool-tech/ai-poet/
Poem One Poem Two
Number one was written by a human named Ivy
Schweitzer. The second sonnet, however, was
written by an algorithm that was programmed by
Marjan Ghazvininejad, Xing Shi, Yejin Choi, and
Kevin Knight from the University of Southern
California Information Sciences Institute.

10. https://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/08/opinion/sunday/if-an-algorithm-wrote-this-how-
would-you-even-know.html
The Associated Press uses Automated Insights’
Wordsmith platform to create more than 3,000
financial reports per quarter. It published a story on
Apple’s latest record-busting earnings within
minutes of their release. Forbes uses Narrative
Science’s Quill platform for similar efforts and refers
to the firm as a partner.

11. https://www.washingtonpost.com/robot-vs-man----can-you-tell-the-
difference/466286e1-1910-40f9-8e0f-7a956d2c4226_quiz.html

12. Learning
Ecologies
Shifting
Ownership
https://www.core-ed.org/research-and-innovation/ten-trends/

13. MoE Cloud Project
http://services.education.govt.nz/cloud/news/cloud-project-announced/

14. Consider how cloud has impacted…
● Personal file storage
● Personal communications
● Banking
● Travel planning
● Electricity industry
● Law enforcement
● Entertainment
● Home
● …
Now think about schools…
● Monitoring and tracking
student attendance and
academic progress
● Access to learning resources
● Tech support
● Data storage and access
● Etc.

15. Learning
Ecologies
Shifting
Ownership
https://www.core-ed.org/research-and-innovation/ten-trends/

16. The Age of Acceleration…
● Moore’s law (exponential change)
● Market (globalization)
● Machine (technology)
… and Amplification!

17. Gartner Hype Cycle 2017
https://gtnr.it/2xHB19I

18. Focus on capabilities…
Source: Future of Jobs Report, World Economic Forum

19. The second curve…
RateofChange
Time
Technology
Human adaptability
We are
here
Learning faster
and governing
smarter

20. Our choices
Push back at
technology’s advances
Increase society’s
capacity to adapt
OR

21. How do we achieve the organizational
change required??

22. 1. Be informed
● What are you reading?
● What conferences do you attend?
● Who do you discuss this with?
● What PD programmes operate?
● How do you act on new ideas?
● Are you involved in a personal learning network (PLN)
● What is your personal inquiry?

23. 2. Understand the culture that exists
● People are your greatest resource – how are you
investing in them and their learning?
● What drives you? Others in your organization?
● Hierarchies kill innovation and risk taking
● What occupies most of the time in your organization?
● Is yours a ‘learning organization’?
● Listen to the language used

24. 3. Develop leadership capabilities
● What drives the operation of your organization? Who
‘owns’ the learning there?
● Does everyone demonstrate leadership – teachers,
students, parents, community
● Are transparency, trust, devolved responsibility evident?
● Do learners and teachers have agency in their work?
● Do you devote time to building relationships and valuing
ideas and input?

25. 4. Develop strategies for coping
● How do you accommodate risk, and accept failure as a
part of learning?
● Is there evidence of a “Fail fast, fix fast” mindset?
● Is the inquiry processes and personal reflection an
integral part of learning?
● What frameworks have you adopted to ensure common
insights, shared language? (SOLO, NPDL etc.)
● Is there a regular celebration of what has been achieved?

26. 5. Don’t do it alone
● Are staff and students working regularly as teams?
● Is learning and teaching happening cross curricular using
integrated approaches?
● Is collaboration the norm? Is there an emphasis on “We”
not “me”?
● Do you understand how ecologies operate?
● Are you operating as part of a “network”?
● Be prepared to give a little – don’t sweat the small stuff!

27. Building capacity for organizational change
1. Be informed
2. Understand the culture that exists
3. Develop leadership capabilities among all involved
4. Develop strategies for coping
5. Don’t do it alone

28. It is not the strongest of the species that
survives, nor the most intelligent that
survives. It is the one that is most
adaptable to change. (Charles Darwin)
Image credit: By Bernard DUPONT from FRANCE [CC BY-SA 2.0
(https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

29. Find out more: www.core-ed.org
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