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2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com
What You Need to Know to Keep Up
With Market Changes
and Drive Positive Outcomes
Deterministic
Measurement
& Attribution
April 2019
2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com 22019 Zeta Global Proprietary & Confidential
+ Attribution in 2019
+ Approaches in market today
+ What is working and what is not
+ Emerging attribution trends
+ Q&A
What We Will Cover Today
2019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential 2
Lewis Steckler
Group Vice President,
Audience Activation Solutions
New York, NY
Pavan Korada
Group Vice President,
Analytics & Data Science
San Francisco, CA
Introductions
32019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com
42018 Zeta Global Proprietary & Confidential
v
1,250 employees
+ 500+ engineers
+ 60+ data scientists
+ 75+ AI experts
+ 50 strategic and analytic experts
+ 40 sales consultants
+ 21 marketing and sales support
700+ Global Clients across key verticals
+ Retail
+ Financial
+ Auto & Insurance
+ Media & entertainment
+ Healthcare
Zeta is a data-driven marketing technology
company that uses proprietary data, advanced
analytics and artificial intelligence to help
leading brands acquire, retain & grow customer
relationships
New York City HQ
Boston, Hyderabad, London,
Nashville, San Francisco
4
EFFORTLESS, REAL-TIME, PEOPLE-BASED
CONNECTIONS that ACCELERATE BUSINESS
RESULTS to drive value for people and value
for brands...
52019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
We ingest, synthesize,
score and activate identity-
level data to respond to
consumer signals in real
time across channels at
every touchpoint.
People-based
Data Data
Cloud
AI-powered
Technology
62019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
Data Cloud
CONNECTIVITY
Activate that Understanding
Through personalized
marketing curriculum to
deliver 1:1, at scale to
increase lifetime value
Zeta’s
Differentiating
Asset:
The Data Cloud
72019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
What is attribution in 2019?
Advertisers today face two key
attribution questions:
1. What is the true impact of
channels layered on top of one
another?
2. What is the optimal mix of media
spend?
92019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
Marketers Need Cross Channel Activation
and Measurement
102019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
Improving Response Attribution is a Top
Priority for Marketers in 2019
112019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
31% 30% 29% 29% 27% 26% 25% 24% 23% 23%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Utilize real-time
data
Improving response
attribution
Improving
segmentation and
targeting
Greater use of
analytics in order to
optimize our
communications
Centralizing our
customer data and
making it actionable
Increase relevancy
of direct
communications
through the use of
dynamic content
Improve frequency
control (e.g. number
of messages
customers receive)
Improve email inbox
delivery of our
messages
Improve
transactional email
messaging
capabilities (e.g.
creative, reliability,
measurement,
improve up-sell
capabilities)
Integrating into
advertising channels
(e.g. display,
retargeting, etc.)
Question Asked: What are your top five priorities for improving the ROI of your email marketing campaigns in 2019?
Source: The Relevancy Group Executive Marketer Survey n=360 2/19 U.S. only
Vast Majority of Marketers Fail to Tie Offline
Conversions to Email Campaigns
122019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
31%
36% 35%
29%
18%
30%
24%
18%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Consumer
Products
Education Financial
Services
Manufacturing Media/
Publishing
Retail/
eCommerce
Tech/ High-
Tech
Travel &
Hospitality
Question Asked: From the following list please select the statements that represent how your marketing organization operates. We practice marketing
response attribution to ensure that offline response is attributed back. Source: The Relevancy Group Executive Marketer Survey n=360 2/19 U.S. only
132019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
1. Not take all channels into account.
2. Not take audience into account
sufficiently.
3. Not be experimentally sound.
4. Not be sufficiently actionable.
Industry standard measures are
flawed.
Existing attribution solutions
often can:
What are traditional
approaches tried in market?
152019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
CTR- click-through rate
Pros: Always On/Proxy for Engagement
Cons: Few people click; clickers rarely buy;
most clicks accidental/fraudulent; easily
gamed
Last Click – last ad clicked
Pros: Measures productive clicks only; difficult to
game; can be linked to ROI
Cons: Ads building awareness/ intent given no
credit; conversion unclear
1 3
2 4
View Through – last ad viewed before
outcome
Pros: Credits views not clicked
Cons: ads don't have to influence consumers;
quality of media/placement have little impact;
easily gamed; overvalues retargeting
Algorithmic- computer assigns credit
for outcomes
Pros: Can overcome limitations
Cons: Confuses correlation for causation;
requires measuring all users/channels;
No industry standard; difficult to work
Attribution Methods
Accurate & transparent measurement is a competitive advantage for brands
162019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
+ Deterministic lift analysis directly
quantifies ROI and is unbiased by other
media
+ Front-end metrics (CTR) are not strongly
correlated with conversion
+ Overly conservative methods (last-click)
disincentivize scaling media and inhibit
growth
+ Inaccurate methods (view-through)
waste media dollars
+ Black box models can be gamed by
media providers
+ Online-only methods omit critical offline
media & conversion data
Misleading Accurate
BlackBoxTransparent
Deterministic Lift Analysis
Click-through Rate
Last-Click
Weighted Attribution
Algorithmic Attribution
Last Impression
Only 15% of Marketers Across Business Verticals
Measure Lift v. Control
172019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
13%
15%
20%
13% 13%
27%
13%
19%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Consumer Products Education Financial Services Manufacturing Media/ Publishing Retail/ eCommerce Tech/ High-Tech Travel & Hospitality
Question Asked: Please select the statement or statements that best describe the email marketing tactics that you regularly utilize? Measure lift vs. control.
Source: The Relevancy Group Executive Marketer Survey n=360 2/19 U.S. only
The Attribution
Difference
182019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
Heart of deterministic media mix modeling
appraoch
Incremental measurement1
2
3
Controlled Experimentation
Non-cookie based to accurately
quantify true audience ROI
Person-level identifiers
Quantifies the true impact of
campaigns in a biased-free manner
2019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
Zeta will calculate the true ROI of media campaigns utilizing a deterministic match-back of targeted
email records, display and social impressions with a Marketer’s new customer records (PII)
Key Features
+ People-Based, 100% Deterministic
+ All results determined at the
individual level using PII based on
your data (email address or postal
address as identifier)
+ Hashed individual level data can be
shared with advertiser for internal
analysis
✘ DSPs & DMPs do not offer
integrated measurement
✘ Identity Management & Attribution
Vendors can’t effectively apply
anonymous insights to addressable,
omni-channel activation
Deterministic Sales Lift Framework
What is an example of
causal attribution?
2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com
+ Conversion around brand KPIs
+ Split into TRT and CTR
+ Split TRT into equal budget groups
+ Run channel-specific campaigns with
similar creatives and messaging for a
specific period of time
+ Calculate lift in conversion
and brand KPIs
+ Normalize incrementality measurements
for KPIs of interest to calculate optimal
channel mix
Steps to determine
the right media mix
212019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
Channel Incremental Lift Recommended Media
on Conversion Metric Allocation %
Email 8% [8]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 38.0%
Social 4% [4]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 19.0%
Display 1% [1]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 4.7%
DM 7% [7]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 33.3%
TV 1% [1]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 4.7%
Applications of
Deterministic
Measurement at
Zeta Global
Case Study
22
2019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com
Case Study
Ridesharing Advertiser
232019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
Challenge
+ Help a leading ride sharing company quantify
true impact of Zeta campaigns internally.
Background
+ Advertiser's media optimization teams wanted to
understand true impact of Zeta campaigns.
Solution
+ Zeta devised a test and control experimentation
framework. At the end of the campaign quantified
the difference in conversion rates between TRT
and CTR groups was 67%. Zeta was able to
increase the size of its campaigns even more, by
drawing spend from other channels.
2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com
Case Study
Life Insurer
242019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
Challenge
+ Help a prominent life insurance advertiser execute
multi-channel campaign and quantify the impact
of channel layering.
Background
+ Insurer was looking to generate leads via a multi-
channel campaign and was also interested in
understanding the impact of channel sequencing
and layering.
Solution
+ Zeta was able to quantify the true impact of
channel layering. Found that running
Email+Display+Social over Email increases
performance by as much as 20%.
Such a ready insight is typically found only
anecdotally – we were able to prove
this out.
What are emerging
topics in attribution?
2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com
+ Attribution and Omnichannel media
activation
+ Integration of attribution and identity
management solutions
+ Integration of attribution and data lake
solutions
+ Attribution and machine learning
Emerging Topics
262019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com
Q&A
2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com
Thank You
Lewis Steckler
Group Vice President, Audience
Activation Solutions
@linkedin
Pavan Korada
Group Vice President,
Analytics & Data Science
@linkedin

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Deterministic Measurement & Attribution; What You Need to Know Now to Drive Positive Outcomes

  • 1. 2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com What You Need to Know to Keep Up With Market Changes and Drive Positive Outcomes Deterministic Measurement & Attribution April 2019
  • 2. 2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com 22019 Zeta Global Proprietary & Confidential + Attribution in 2019 + Approaches in market today + What is working and what is not + Emerging attribution trends + Q&A What We Will Cover Today 2019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential 2
  • 3. Lewis Steckler Group Vice President, Audience Activation Solutions New York, NY Pavan Korada Group Vice President, Analytics & Data Science San Francisco, CA Introductions 32019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
  • 4. 2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com 42018 Zeta Global Proprietary & Confidential v 1,250 employees + 500+ engineers + 60+ data scientists + 75+ AI experts + 50 strategic and analytic experts + 40 sales consultants + 21 marketing and sales support 700+ Global Clients across key verticals + Retail + Financial + Auto & Insurance + Media & entertainment + Healthcare Zeta is a data-driven marketing technology company that uses proprietary data, advanced analytics and artificial intelligence to help leading brands acquire, retain & grow customer relationships New York City HQ Boston, Hyderabad, London, Nashville, San Francisco 4
  • 5. EFFORTLESS, REAL-TIME, PEOPLE-BASED CONNECTIONS that ACCELERATE BUSINESS RESULTS to drive value for people and value for brands... 52019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
  • 6. We ingest, synthesize, score and activate identity- level data to respond to consumer signals in real time across channels at every touchpoint. People-based Data Data Cloud AI-powered Technology 62019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential Data Cloud
  • 7. CONNECTIVITY Activate that Understanding Through personalized marketing curriculum to deliver 1:1, at scale to increase lifetime value Zeta’s Differentiating Asset: The Data Cloud 72019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
  • 9. Advertisers today face two key attribution questions: 1. What is the true impact of channels layered on top of one another? 2. What is the optimal mix of media spend? 92019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
  • 10. Marketers Need Cross Channel Activation and Measurement 102019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
  • 11. Improving Response Attribution is a Top Priority for Marketers in 2019 112019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential 31% 30% 29% 29% 27% 26% 25% 24% 23% 23% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Utilize real-time data Improving response attribution Improving segmentation and targeting Greater use of analytics in order to optimize our communications Centralizing our customer data and making it actionable Increase relevancy of direct communications through the use of dynamic content Improve frequency control (e.g. number of messages customers receive) Improve email inbox delivery of our messages Improve transactional email messaging capabilities (e.g. creative, reliability, measurement, improve up-sell capabilities) Integrating into advertising channels (e.g. display, retargeting, etc.) Question Asked: What are your top five priorities for improving the ROI of your email marketing campaigns in 2019? Source: The Relevancy Group Executive Marketer Survey n=360 2/19 U.S. only
  • 12. Vast Majority of Marketers Fail to Tie Offline Conversions to Email Campaigns 122019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential 31% 36% 35% 29% 18% 30% 24% 18% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Consumer Products Education Financial Services Manufacturing Media/ Publishing Retail/ eCommerce Tech/ High- Tech Travel & Hospitality Question Asked: From the following list please select the statements that represent how your marketing organization operates. We practice marketing response attribution to ensure that offline response is attributed back. Source: The Relevancy Group Executive Marketer Survey n=360 2/19 U.S. only
  • 13. 132019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential 1. Not take all channels into account. 2. Not take audience into account sufficiently. 3. Not be experimentally sound. 4. Not be sufficiently actionable. Industry standard measures are flawed. Existing attribution solutions often can:
  • 15. 152019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential CTR- click-through rate Pros: Always On/Proxy for Engagement Cons: Few people click; clickers rarely buy; most clicks accidental/fraudulent; easily gamed Last Click – last ad clicked Pros: Measures productive clicks only; difficult to game; can be linked to ROI Cons: Ads building awareness/ intent given no credit; conversion unclear 1 3 2 4 View Through – last ad viewed before outcome Pros: Credits views not clicked Cons: ads don't have to influence consumers; quality of media/placement have little impact; easily gamed; overvalues retargeting Algorithmic- computer assigns credit for outcomes Pros: Can overcome limitations Cons: Confuses correlation for causation; requires measuring all users/channels; No industry standard; difficult to work
  • 16. Attribution Methods Accurate & transparent measurement is a competitive advantage for brands 162019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential + Deterministic lift analysis directly quantifies ROI and is unbiased by other media + Front-end metrics (CTR) are not strongly correlated with conversion + Overly conservative methods (last-click) disincentivize scaling media and inhibit growth + Inaccurate methods (view-through) waste media dollars + Black box models can be gamed by media providers + Online-only methods omit critical offline media & conversion data Misleading Accurate BlackBoxTransparent Deterministic Lift Analysis Click-through Rate Last-Click Weighted Attribution Algorithmic Attribution Last Impression
  • 17. Only 15% of Marketers Across Business Verticals Measure Lift v. Control 172019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential 13% 15% 20% 13% 13% 27% 13% 19% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Consumer Products Education Financial Services Manufacturing Media/ Publishing Retail/ eCommerce Tech/ High-Tech Travel & Hospitality Question Asked: Please select the statement or statements that best describe the email marketing tactics that you regularly utilize? Measure lift vs. control. Source: The Relevancy Group Executive Marketer Survey n=360 2/19 U.S. only
  • 18. The Attribution Difference 182019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential Heart of deterministic media mix modeling appraoch Incremental measurement1 2 3 Controlled Experimentation Non-cookie based to accurately quantify true audience ROI Person-level identifiers Quantifies the true impact of campaigns in a biased-free manner
  • 19. 2019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential Zeta will calculate the true ROI of media campaigns utilizing a deterministic match-back of targeted email records, display and social impressions with a Marketer’s new customer records (PII) Key Features + People-Based, 100% Deterministic + All results determined at the individual level using PII based on your data (email address or postal address as identifier) + Hashed individual level data can be shared with advertiser for internal analysis ✘ DSPs & DMPs do not offer integrated measurement ✘ Identity Management & Attribution Vendors can’t effectively apply anonymous insights to addressable, omni-channel activation Deterministic Sales Lift Framework
  • 20. What is an example of causal attribution?
  • 21. 2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com + Conversion around brand KPIs + Split into TRT and CTR + Split TRT into equal budget groups + Run channel-specific campaigns with similar creatives and messaging for a specific period of time + Calculate lift in conversion and brand KPIs + Normalize incrementality measurements for KPIs of interest to calculate optimal channel mix Steps to determine the right media mix 212019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential Channel Incremental Lift Recommended Media on Conversion Metric Allocation % Email 8% [8]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 38.0% Social 4% [4]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 19.0% Display 1% [1]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 4.7% DM 7% [7]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 33.3% TV 1% [1]/[8+4+1+7+1] = 4.7%
  • 22. Applications of Deterministic Measurement at Zeta Global Case Study 22 2019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
  • 23. 2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com Case Study Ridesharing Advertiser 232019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential Challenge + Help a leading ride sharing company quantify true impact of Zeta campaigns internally. Background + Advertiser's media optimization teams wanted to understand true impact of Zeta campaigns. Solution + Zeta devised a test and control experimentation framework. At the end of the campaign quantified the difference in conversion rates between TRT and CTR groups was 67%. Zeta was able to increase the size of its campaigns even more, by drawing spend from other channels.
  • 24. 2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com Case Study Life Insurer 242019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential Challenge + Help a prominent life insurance advertiser execute multi-channel campaign and quantify the impact of channel layering. Background + Insurer was looking to generate leads via a multi- channel campaign and was also interested in understanding the impact of channel sequencing and layering. Solution + Zeta was able to quantify the true impact of channel layering. Found that running Email+Display+Social over Email increases performance by as much as 20%. Such a ready insight is typically found only anecdotally – we were able to prove this out.
  • 25. What are emerging topics in attribution?
  • 26. 2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com + Attribution and Omnichannel media activation + Integration of attribution and identity management solutions + Integration of attribution and data lake solutions + Attribution and machine learning Emerging Topics 262019 Zeta Global · Proprietary & Confidential
  • 27. 2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com Q&A
  • 28. 2019 Zeta Global – Proprietary & Confidential www.zetaglobal.com Thank You Lewis Steckler Group Vice President, Audience Activation Solutions @linkedin Pavan Korada Group Vice President, Analytics & Data Science @linkedin

Editor's Notes

  1. KC to introduce Pavan, Pavan to intro Lewis and to speak, Lewios to intro Pavan 
  2. Pavan to speak to these slides
  3. Advertising Dollars Wasted New System Needed to Accurately Determine ROI
  4. Talk track:  What is the incremental impact or media investment across multiple channels? What is the optimal mix of media, reach and frequency by audience segment?
  5. Is this also a slide that should be TRG cited?
  6. Talk track:  What is the incremental impact or media investment across multiple channels? What is the optimal mix of media, reach and frequency by audience segment?
  7. Using email as a persistent ID allows us to deterministically measure results beyond a last click Zeta structures all campaigns to be measured this way Zeta builds the overall targetable universe for the client, and then randomly selects a Treatment (80%) and a Control Group (20%) for the campaign The control group receives no media from Zeta There is no cost to the control group, it is for measurement purposes only The control and the treatment group are both compared to the new customer file after the agreed upon measurement window The lift between the sale rate and the control group of is the true measurement of Zeta’s media Example: Control Group had a 5% Sale Rate Treatment Group had a 12% Sale Rate That 7% difference is the impact of Zeta’s media (and all we take credit for) Why do we do this? With the rapid growth of mobile technology, digital media is more accessible at any given time than ever before, for example: You are in line at Starbucks during your coffee break You casual check your personal email You see an email for a new travel rewards credit card We targeted you with this, because you have recently been engaging with travel websites and articles about top 10 destinations, as well as researching a new credit card You are immediately interested in the card, but it is your turn to order You put your phone away Later that day you login to your computer, and go straight to www.rewardcard.com and apply That action was driven by a zeta interaction, but wont ever be recorded to Zeta via last click attribution