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Dear Class,
I have noticed a pattern in the discussion threads that will not
serve you well in the Midterm. There are posts that explain the
law and the elements or defenses but don’t mention the facts
and there are posts that discuss the facts but don’t mention the
law, its elements or defenses. In the midterm you’ll need to do
BOTH in your answers. You will need to identify the issue, lay
out the elements and or defenses and use the facts to shown how
you reach a conclusion. I hope this helps!
Remember, that the Midterm is open book and open notes but
you are not to do any outside research when taking the exam.
Good luck! If you have any questions, please let me know.
MGMT520 Midterm Exam Study Guide
YOU MAY WANT TO PRINT THIS GUIDE.
1.The Midterm Exam is "open book, open notes." The maximum
time you can spend in the exam is 3 hours, 30 minutes. If you
have not clicked the Submit for Grade button by then, you will
be automatically exited from the exam. In the Midterm Exam
environment, the Windows clipboard is disabled, and so you
will not be able to copy exam questions or answers to or from
other applications.
2. You should click the Save Answers button in the exam
frequently. This helps prevent connection timeouts that might
occur with certain Internet service providers, and also
minimizes lost answers in the event of connection problems. If
your internet connection does break, when you reconnect you
will normally be able to get back into your Midterm Exam
without any trouble. Remember, though, that the exam timer
continues to run while students are disconnected, so students
should try to log in again as quickly as possible. The Help Desk
cannot grant any student additional time on the exam. If you get
bounced out of the Midterm Exam with time remaining, you
may contact your instructor, who may be able to get you
readmitted to the exam.
3.See Syllabus "Due Dates for Assignments & Exams" for due
date information.
4. Reminders
· You will only be able to enter your online Midterm Exam one
time.
· Click the Save Answers button often.
· If you lose your Internet connection during your Midterm
Exam, log in again and try to access your Midterm Exam. If you
are unable to enter the Midterm Exam, contact first the help
desk and then your instructor.
· You will always be able to see the time remaining in the
Midterm Exam at the top right of the page.
5. Assessments With Multiple Pages
· Make sure you click the Save Answers button often (it is also
suggested that you click on Save Answers while you are
working).
· Complete all of the questions before submitting your Midterm
Exam for instructor review.
· Do not use your browser's Back and Forward buttons during
the Midterm Exam.
· Please use the provided links for navigation.
6. Submitting Your Midterm Exam
· When you are finished with the Midterm Exam, click on the
Submit for Grade button.
· Please note: Once you click the Submit for Grade button, you
will not be able to edit or change any of your answers.
7. Exam Questions
· The Midterm covers the material studied in Weeks 1, 2, 3, and
4 of our course, which includes TCOs A, B, C, E, and G, and
Chapters 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 18, and 22.
· The Midterm Exam contains only one page.
· The Midterm Exam consists of five essay questions (30 points
each), for a total of 150 points.
· On the essay questions your answers should be succinct,
should fully address each part of the question, and should
demonstrate your knowledge and understanding in a concise but
complete answer. You can use bullets where appropriate (i.e.
listing elements, defenses, or steps). Ensure you analyze and
give reasons for answers because partial credit is given for
incomplete answers, even if a complete answer is wrong.
· Remember: always use proper citations when quoting other
sources! Place any quoted or borrowed material (even a short
phrase) in quotation marks with the source (URL,
author/date/page #) immediately following the end of the
passage. Even cite paraphrased information. Quoted or
paraphrased material should not dominate your work; use it
sparingly to support your own thoughts, ideas, and examples.
Failure to properly cite material can jeopardize a passing grade
on the exam. Your work may be submitted to turnitin.com, an
online plagiarism checking service.
8. Some of the key study areas are as follows (although these
are key areas, remember that the exam is comprehensive for all
the assigned course content and this study guide may not be all
inclusive).
TCO A: Given federal regulation of business and commercial
practices formulate a strategy by which an impacted business
can influence, revise or contest regulatory outcomes to shape
business and organizational policy.
Key Concepts
· Classify the sources of law and how the purposes of law
promote the practice of business via constitutional limitations,
regulation of business activity, challenging administrative
actions, and participating in the rule-making process.
· Analyze the definition of business ethics.
· Differentiate between the ethical theories that aid in the
practice of business.
· Evaluate ethical dilemmas.
TCO B: Given an example of corporate liability arising from the
sale of defective and dangerous products, propose a business
strategy that includes ethical, legal and political considerations
to minimize liability for claims of product liability and breach
of warranty.
Key Concepts
· Analyze how product liability and warranty law has evolved to
move the risk of loss from defective products to the
manufacturer.
· Apply the elements of and defenses against a tort action for
negligence.
· Illustrate how product liability moved from a negligence
standard to strict liability in tort and how sellers of goods are
held to both express and implied warranties.
· Assess the importance of Section 402A of the Restatement
(Second) of Torts.
TCO C: Given a business or commercial contract for the sale of
goods and services to a customer, examine the elements of the
contract, and determine whether the contract is enforceable
under common law or the Uniform Commercial Code.
Key Concepts
· Evaluate unconscionable contracts and how they are
unenforceable.
TCO E: Given organizational ownership of property (real,
personal and intellectual), analyze the rights of an organization
regarding the protection of its property and the legal rights and
obligations arising out of the use of the property, including
environmental impact and issues where appropriate.
Key Concepts
· Examine how environmental legislation and, in particular, the
Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and
Liability Act (CERCLA) place the primary responsibility for a
clean environment on business generators of waste.
· Classify the range and severity of sanctions for violation of
federal environmental laws.
1. Examine the elements of intellectual property torts such as
palming off and misappropriation.
TCO G: Given a conflict between corporate stakeholders over a
business decision, evaluate the legal and ethical duties of
corporate directors, officers, and controlling shareholders.
Key Concepts
· Debate why international business ethics is important to the
practice of business in the United States and how to handle
choice of law or jurisdictional issues in international situations.
9. Areas of study that were covered in discussions will be prime
targets for questions in the Midterm Exam.
10. Weekly Assignments will also be prime targets for
revisiting.
Finally, if you have any questions for your instructor, please
post them to the Q & A or e-mail directly to the instructor.
Good luck on the Midterm Exam! I hope you enjoyed the course
and learned a lot about the legal, political, and ethical
dimensions of business!
Overview
With 181 Krispy Kreme stores in 28 states, Krispy Kreme
Doughnuts
in 2001 was rapidly building something of a cult following for
its light,
warm, melt-in-your-mouth doughnuts. Sales were on an
impressive
climb, exceeding 3.5 million doughnuts a day. The company’s
business
model called for 20 percent annual revenue growth, mid-single
digit
comparable store sales growth, and 25 percent annual growth in
earnings per share.
Krispy Kreme had created a flurry of excitement with its
expansion
into metropolitan markets outside the Southeast—its grand
openings in
newly entered markets attracted long lines of customers and
created
traffic jams around its store sites. The first new store in San
Diego
racked up $365,000 in sales the first week, with 5 TV crews
covering
the opening day event. The first store in Denver produced first-
week
revenues of $369,000, drew 50,000 visitors, and had $1,000,000
in
sales the first 22 days; the crowds were so large that three off-
duty
deputy sheriffs were hired to direct traffic from 5 a.m. to 11
p.m.
during the Tuesday-Saturday period of grand opening week—
one
night there were 150 cars in line at the drive-thru window at
1:30 a.m.
But despite the enthusiastic reception that Krispy Kreme stores
were
getting, a number of securities analysts were dubious whether
the
company’s strategy and growth potential merited a stock price
nearly
70 times projected 2002 earnings per share of $0.69 and 85
times
actual 2001 earnings of $0.55 per share. The company’s stock,
which
was trading in the $46-$50 range and had been as high as $54,
had
been a favorite of short sellers for several months—the 2.5
million
shorted shares in May 2001 represented nearly 10 percent of the
company’s outstanding shares.
245
14
Krispy Kreme
Doughnuts, Inc.
case
teaching
note |
While there are legions of loyal doughnut-lovers (sales in the
U.S. alone amount to an estimated 10
billion annually), the doughnut industry has been growing rather
slowly, partly because the product is
not “nutritionally correct.” Yet several doughnut chains had
rather ambitious objectives and strategies
to grow revenues and profits. Krispy Kreme believed that its
product had global appeal and was laying
plans to expand its already nationwide franchising network to
foreign countries. And, so far, it had been
successful in invading the markets of such long-standing
doughnut chains as Dunkin’ Donuts, Tim
Hortons, and Winchell’s Donut Houses.
The case presents students with some fairly challenging issues
to analyze:
� While enthusiasm for the company’s product is presently
strong, will it last? Is it likely that
customer infatuation with Krispy Kreme doughnuts could be a
passing fad—in today and out
tomorrow?
� Can Krispy Kreme compete effectively against Dunkin’
Donuts and Tim Hortons, both of
which are much bigger and well-established in markets that
Krispy Kreme is entering?
� Is Krispy Kreme’s strategy grounded in building a sustainable
competitive advantage? How
long can it continue with the present strategy? What happens
when it has stores in all the
markets now being targeted—metropolitan areas with 100,000+
households? Will strategy
changes soon be needed to begin penetrating smaller markets?
� What size growth rates in revenues and earnings can Krispy
Kreme achieve over the next five
years? What will have to happen for Krispy Kreme to realize its
target of 25% growth in
earnings when the company’s revenue growth target is only
20%? How can Krispy Kreme
hope to continue to grow so fast when the doughnut industry
overall is growing very slowly
and when the product is nutritionally incorrect?
� Would a drop in the stock price dramatically hurt the
company’s ability to finance its growth?
� Does international expansion make sense for Krispy Kreme?
Will it have to alter some aspects
of its strategy to be successful in foreign markets?
Suggestions for Using the Case
This freshly researched case contains rich information and data
for analyzing and evaluating Krispy
Kreme’s strategy, competitive strengths and weaknesses, and
growth prospects. It is an excellent
follow-on to Chapter 4 (Evaluating Company Resources and
Competitive Capabilities); the content of
the case is eminently suitable for:
� Giving students practice in identifying a company’s strategy,
determining how well it is
working, and sizing up whether the strategy is capable of
producing sustainable competitive
advantage.
� Drilling students in SWOT analysis.
� Having students do a serious assessment of a company’s
financial performance, the
profitability of its business model, and its potential for
competitive success against larger, well-
established rivals.
� Assessing the company’s potential for rapid growth in a slow-
growing industry—there are
plenty of numbers for students to crunch in arriving at future
estimates of profitability and in
deciding whether the stock price is over-valued.
However, because the case has such strong focus on competitive
strategy, it will prove beneficial
if you delay assigning the case until you have covered the
material in Chapter 5 and perhaps
Chapter 6 (since Krispy Kreme is looking at expanding into
foreign markets).
246 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
As noted in the overview, there are a host of solid, timely
strategy issues to explore in assigning
this case. We think a full 75-minute class will be needed to
cover the main teaching points.
Very likely, this case will prove immensely popular with
students and should be a winner in terms
of stimulating a lively class discussion—especially if there are
Krispy Kreme stores in your area
(or even just those of Krispy Kreme rivals). Students will easily
identify with the company’s
product, and the ins and outs of the doughnut business will
prove relatively easy for the class to
grasp.
This is a Case-TUTOR exercise for this case which aims at
helping do the calculations to evaluate
KKD’s growth potential. The case preparation exercise also
guides students through analysis of
KKD’s strategy and competitive position.
We think the Krispy Kreme case is very good choice for either
written analysis or oral team presen-
tations. Our suggested assignment questions are as follows:
1. Do you agree that the numbers just don’t work for Krispy
Kreme as concerns its prospects for
future growth and profitability? Why or why not? Would you
buy stock in this company?
Please justify your answer using whatever tools and concepts of
strategic analysis you deem
appropriate.
2. Scott Livengood, Krispy Kreme’s CEO, has employed you as
a special assistant to help him
do a probing assessment of Krispy Kreme’s business model,
strategy, and competitive strength.
Your assignment is to prepare a 4-6 page report that (a)
identifies the major elements of Krispy
Kreme’s strategy, (b) incorporates a thorough SWOT analysis,
(c) compares Krispy Kreme’s
competitive strength with that of key rivals using the
methodology in Table 4.4 on p. 142 of
Chapter 4, (d) diagnoses Krispy Kreme’s performance in each of
its three business segments,
(e) identifies the major issues that Krispy Kreme management
needs to address, and (f)
recommends a comprehensive set of actions to address these
issues. Your report should contain
whatever supporting tables and exhibits you deem appropriate
(in addition to the 4-6 pages of
text), and it should definitely reflect solid number-crunching of
the financial and operating data
provided in determining whether the company’s present strategy
is or is not working as well
as it might.
Assignment Questions
1. What are the chief elements of Krispy Kreme’s strategy?
What evidence is there to indicate
that the strategy is or is not working as well as it might?
2. What is your assessment of Krispy Kreme’s financial
performance? Is it really as good as it
looks on the surface? Why or why not? What is the most
profitable part of the business? Do
you agree with the statement at the beginning of the case that
“the numbers just don’t work?”
3. What does a SWOT analysis reveal about the company’s
overall situation?
4. What is your assessment of Krispy Kreme’s competitive
strengths and weaknesses in
comparison with key rivals? Please use the methodology in
Table 4.4 on p. 142 of Chapter 4
in arriving at your answer.
5. On the basis of your assessment above, what do you think of
Krispy Kreme’s growth
prospects? Just how good are they? What evidence supports
your answer? What size growth
rates in revenues and earnings do you believe Krispy Kreme can
achieve over the next five
years? What will have to happen for Krispy Kreme to realize its
target of 25% growth in
earnings when the revenue growth target is only 20%?
case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 247
6. What major issues do you think that Krispy Kreme
management needs to address?
7. What recommendations would you make to Krispy Kreme
management to improve upon the
strategy or otherwise sustain the company’s growth and
profitability?
8. Would you buy this company’s stock? Why or why not? What
size price-earnings ratio makes
sense for a company with Krispy Kreme’s potential? If 70 times
earnings is too big, as some
analysts claim, what p-e multiple does make sense? (Some
financial analysts believe that the
p-e ratio should be roughly equal to the growth in earnings per
share—this is a popular metric
that securities analysts use to gauge whether a company’s stock
price is overvalued or
undervalued or reflective of “fair value.”)
Teaching Outline and Analysis
You might want to preface the evaluation of Krispy Kreme’s
strategy and growth prospects with a brief
summary of what competition is like in the doughnut industry.
Several competitive features stand out:
� Competition among doughnut-making rivals is largely fought
in local markets—doughnut
shops located close to each other or along the same traffic
routes are very much in competition
for passersby and neighborhood shoppers. Doughnut shops also
compete with the bakery
departments of supermarkets and with convenience stores that
stock doughnuts in their bakery
cases. But it is doubtful that a doughnut shop competes with
other doughnuts sellers more than
5 miles away. In many respects doughnuts shops are like fast
food outlets—people will not
typically drive more than 5 miles or go far out of their way to
patronize a particular shop or
location regularly (although they may do so on special
occasions).
� The national chains compete with one another on such factors
as:
� product quality and appeal (who has the freshest, best-tasting
doughnuts?).
� convenience and location (who has the doughnut shop that is
easiest for me to get to?).
� overall menu offerings (what else can I get besides
doughnuts?).
� unit décor, ambience, cleanliness, interest, and street appeal
(do I like to go there?)
� brand reputation/name recognition (is this a place I have
heard of before or trust or
want to try?)
� Rivalry among existing doughnut shops is relatively moderate
at present among the national
doughnut chains—only units located within several miles of one
another put the chains in
strong competition. Thus Krispy Kreme’s entry into new
markets does not pose an undue threat
to existing competitors at this juncture.
� Doughnut makers face very strong competition from
substitute products, particularly those that
are perceived by consumers to be healthier or more nutritious.
1. What are the chief elements of Krispy Kreme’s strategy?
Which one of the
five generic competitive strategies is Krispy Kreme employing?
What
evidence is there to indicate that the company’s strategy is or is
not working
as well as it might?
Students ought to have little trouble identifying the main
elements of Krispy Kreme’s strategy,
since they are laid out rather plainly in the case. But going to
the board and recording student
responses is useful stage-setting for a probing strategy
evaluation. The following strategy
components ought to be highlighted:
248 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
� Rapidly expand the number of stores in the U.S. and parts of
Canada, primarily
through the efforts of franchisees. (Most of the new stores being
opened are franchised
as opposed to company-owned—see case Exhibit 8).
� Grant franchises only to candidates who have experience in
operating multi-unit food
establishments and who have the capital to adequately finance
the opening of new Krispy
Kreme stores in their territory. Relying upon franchised stores
as opposed to company-
owned stores conserves the company’s capital for other
expansion efforts.
� Build a vertically-integrated value chain by supplying
doughnut mixes to all stores and by
making the doughnut equipment used at all Krispy Kreme
stores. Selling ready-mixed
ingredients and doughnut-making equipment to franchisees is a
major source of revenue
and profits for Krispy Kreme—KKD makes money on every
doughnut sold at franchised
stores (aside from the royalties on franchised store sales)
because KKM&D sells them the
ingredients for the doughnuts at a profit to the company.
Acquiring Digital Coffee is
another vertical integration step to enhance sales and profits
from the company’s supply
chain businesses.
� Rely upon free media publicity, product giveaways, and
word-of-mouth to attract
customers to stores—there’s no need to spend money on
advertising yet. Store traffic is
booming without advertising in many locations—strong
evidence of the power of the
company’s brand name and reputation among consumers and the
drawing power of its “hot
doughnuts now” strategy.
� Build and strengthen the Krispy Kreme brand name—
capitalize on all the publicity and
hype by entering new areas without having to spend much to
introduce the product and the
brand (boosts margins and profits!).
� Grow on-premise sales by attracting new and repeat
customers on a regular basis and by
enhancing the attractiveness of coffee offerings and adding new
hot and cold coffee
beverages. The acquisition of Digital Coffee makes it possible
to make additional profits
on supplying coffee to company-owned and franchised stores.
� Grow off-premise sales by
� marketing Krispy Kreme doughnuts to area supermarkets and
convenience stores,
� working closely with community groups of all types to
promote sale of Krispy Kreme
products for fund-raising campaigns, and
� pursuing new distribution outlets such as sales at sporting
events, airports, college and
university campuses, high traffic business establishments, and
perhaps online sales
and delivery (as was being tried by the Las Vegas franchisee).
Begin to explore international expansion—start screening
international franchisee applications and
explore what must be done to supply international franchises
with doughnut-making equipment
and ingredients.
Once the chief elements of the strategy have been identified,
then you can poll the class as to which
of the five generic strategies that KKD is using. We think the
company’s strategy is very clearly
one of focused differentiation.
The class should have no trouble concluding that the company’s
strategy is working quite nicely—
as indicated by the statistics in case Exhibits 1 and 2. The
company is very definitely gaining
market share—current sales of 3.5 million Krispy Kreme
doughnuts daily translates into sales of
nearly 1.3 billion doughnuts annually, equal to about a 13%
share of the 10 billion a year volume
case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 249
doughnut industry. More specifics on the company’s
performance and how well the strategy is
working are discussed in question 3 below.
2. How does Krispy Kreme’s strategy connect to its business
model? Are they
well-matched?
Krispy Kreme’s business model involved generating revenues
and profits from three sources:
� Sales at company-owned stores.
� Royalties from franchised stores and franchise fees from new
store openings.
� Sales of doughnut mixes and customized doughnut-making
equipment to franchised
stores.
It should be clear from the strategy identification exercise
above that the strategy flows beautifully
from the business model—they are very much in sync. Indeed, it
is fair to say that the company’s
strategy has been crafted around the three pieces of the business
model and, so far, management has
not drifted from pursuing the model or considered changing the
model that it developed in the late
1990s. It is probably worth a couple of minutes of class time to
point this out and to further drive
home what the term business model means and how it relates to
and differs from the term strategy.
3. What is your assessment of Krispy Kreme’s financial
performance? Is it
really as good as it looks on the surface? Why or why not? What
is the most
profitable part of the business? Does the company’s
performance indicate
that the strategy is working well? Do you agree with the
statement at the
beginning of the case that “the numbers just don’t work?” What
numbers
ought to be looked at?
It is pretty clear from the data in case Exhibits 1 and 2 that the
company’s financial performance is
quite good. But we think it always best to signal students that
such overall judgments must be
supported with a host of specifics (number-crunching is
essential and is definitely in order here,
given the skepticism expressed by analysts in the opening
paragraphs of the case).
� From case Exhibit 1, students can calculate that KKD’s total
revenues have grown at
an compound average rate of 17.4% since 1995—the overall
percentage increase over
the 7-year period from $115.0 million in fiscal year 1995 to
$300.7 million in 2001 is
a very healthy 161.5%.
� Net income has increased from $4.6 million in fiscal year
1995 to $14.73 million in
2001—a compound average growth rate (CAGR) of 21.3%.
� The number of stores has almost doubled—from 88 to 174.
� Systemwide sales are up from $146.7 million to $448.1
million—a solid 20.5% CAGR.
� Average weekly sales at company-owned stores has jumped
sharply from $42,000 in 1998
to $69,000 in 2001.
� Comparable store sales growth in 2001 was very impressive—
22.9% at company-owned
stores and 17.1% at franchised stores, signaling very positive
results from recent sales
increasing efforts.
� From case exhibit 2 students can determine that profit
margins in all three business
segments are good and improving rapidly:
250 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
Operating Profit Margins
by Business Segment
(excluding depreciation
and amortization)
Company store operations 11.7% 11.7% 12.6% 13.0% 15.1%
Franchise operations 7.8 (3.6) 15.6 27.4 61.4
KK manufacturing & distribution 15.0 12.9 13.8 14.7 15.5
Overall average 12.0% 11.7% 12.9% 13.7% 16.6%
� The profit margin gains suggest that the addition of new
stores is giving KKD the volume
and scale of operations needed to help lower unit costs in
KKM&D—scale economies are
apparently being realized. The new state-of-the-art plant in
Illinois for mixing and
distributing ingredients is expected to lower costs and boost
margins still further. What
students need to realize here is that KKD makes money on every
doughnut that franchisees
sell—it gets 4.5% in royalties plus it realizes a profit on
ingredient mixes. The data in case
Exhibits 1 and 2 make it feasible to estimate just how much
profit KKD makes on each
dollar of franchise sales.
� The difference between KKD’s sales and systemwide sales
equals sales of franchised
stores; thus in 2001, with systemwide sales of $448.1 million
and corporate sales of
$300.7 million, franchised store sales were $146.7 million.
� KKM&D realized operating income (before depreciation and
amortization) of $12.0
million in 2001 on its sales of doughnut-making equipment and
doughnut mixes to
franchisees. This equates to profits of $.082 per dollar of sales
at franchised stores;
add to this the 4.5% royalty per dollar of sales (of which about
60% ended up as
operating income in 2001), and one can see that KKD realizes
about $0.11 in
operating income (before depreciation and amortization) for
each dollar of sales made
by franchisees.
� And, if past trends continue, these margins should improve in
future years. Even so,
these margins are not as good as KKD realizes from sales at
company-owned stores
(just over 15% in 2001).
� KKD used proceeds from its public stock offering to pay off
all of its long-term debt—see
the Balance Sheet data and Cash Flow data in case Exhibit 1.
The company is pretty much
debt-free going into fiscal year 2002. Furthermore, the company
has a substantially bigger
current ratio and working capital balance than in years past,
also due to the proceeds of the
stock offering.
� KKD’s operating expense ratios have declined significantly
the past two years and the net
profit margin improved sharply in the past year; the
encouraging boost in the net profit
margin may hint at further increases in future years.
case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 251
Fiscal Years Ending
Feb. 2, 1997 Feb. 1, 1998 Jan. 31, 1999 Jan. 30, 2000 Jan. 20,
2001
Fiscal Years Ending
Jan. 29 Jan. 28, Feb. 2, Feb. 1, Jan. 31, Jan. 30, Jan. 28,
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Operating expenses as
a percentage of revenues 85.7% 88.3% 88.0% 88.3% 88.4%
86.3% 83.4%
General and administrative
expenses as a percentage
of revenues 6.6% 5.7% 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 6.7% 6.7%
Net income as a
percentage of revenues 4.0% 0.1% 1.8% 1.7% (1.8)% 2.7%
4.9%
� Using the average weekly sales data in case Exhibit 1,
students can calculate and compare
sales at company owned store versus franchised stores:
Average weekly sales per store Average annual sales per store
Fiscal Company- Franchised Company- Franchised
Year owned owned
1995 $45,000 $22,000 $2,340,000 $1,144,000
1996 39,000 23,000 2,028,000 1,196,000
1997 39,000 22,000 2,028,000 1,144,000
1998 42,000 23,000 2,184,000 1,196,000
1999 47,000 28,000 2,444,000 1,456,000
2000 54,000 38,000 2,808,000 1,976,000
2001 69,000 43,000 3,588,000 2,236,000
� Compound average growth rate of company owned stores,
1995-2001: 7.4%
� Compound average growth rate of franchised stores, 1995-
2001: 11.8%
� Sales averages for franchised stores are well below those for
company-owned stores
because many of the franchised stores are older, “associate”
stores that were built well
before the new strategy and expansion effort was put in place.
The much lower sales
levels at these stores are pulling the overall franchised store
average down and make
it a less valid indicator of what is happening at the newer
franchised stores.
You may wish to ask the class whether they think these
financial performance results confirm “the
numbers just don’t work.” Why would stock analysts not be
impressed by KKD’s performance?
However, we would not press for complete answers to these
questions here; the best time to push
on whether the numbers work is closer to the end of the period
after more analysis is out on the
table.
252 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
4. What does a SWOT analysis reveal about the company’s
overall situation?
Krispy Kreme’s Resource Strengths and Competitive Assets
� The passion that customers have for Krispy Kremes and the
valuable word-of-mouth
advertising it provides.
� The company’s growing brand image and reputation.
� Joe LeBeau’s secret recipe for yeast-raised doughnuts has
given the company a high
quality product with strong buyer appeal (in comparison to
some competitors).
� Proprietary doughnut-making equipment, and the capability
to supply it to franchisees at
profitable prices.
� The company’s integrated value chain (the company makes
money selling ingredients and
doughnut-making equipment—which should extend to coffee
products in the near future);
vertical integration is a solid competitive strength for KKD and
could prove to be a major
competitive advantage.
� The ability of the company to garner so much valuable free
publicity and thereby avoid
having to spend monies for advertising to introduce its products
in new markets.
� It is easy to attract top caliber franchisers because of the
profitability of Krispy Kreme
stores.
� KK has no long-term debt and a strong balance sheet; KKD’s
capital requirements to
finance expansion via franchises are not particularly large and
seem well within the
company’s means (despite its relatively small size vis-à-vis
some of its competitors).
� The company’s strategy and business model seem very well-
conceived and are running on
all cylinders—all 3 business segments are rather profitable and
seem likely to become
more profitable as franchisees add more new stores.
Krispy Kreme’s Resource Weaknesses and Competitive
Liabilities
� Several rivals are larger and well established in their
markets—Krispy Kreme may find it
tougher to compete with them head-to-head once the newness
and excitement over KK
products wears off some. Dunkin’ Donuts has 7 times the sales
of KKD.
� The company has no experience in foreign markets.
� The company’s core product does not appeal to health/weight
conscious consumers.
� Given that the overall doughnut market is growing slowly,
KKD’s sales and market share
gains will have to come at the expense of rivals.
Market Opportunities
� Add more stores in current target markets (100,000+
households) to make it convenient
for all metropolitan area residents to get to a Krispy Kreme
store—having to drive more
than 3-4 miles or travel more than 10 minutes will keep many
people from being regular
customers
� Attract a broader range of customers and sell more products
to existing customers by
enhancing present menu offerings (especially gourmet coffees
and coffee drinks)
� Developing a somewhat smaller store format to enable
penetration of towns with less than
100,000 households
� Expansion into international markets
case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 253
External Threats to Krispy Kreme’s Well-Being
� Consumers continue to be health and nutrition conscious,
causing many to avoid
doughnuts and resulting in continued slow/stagnant overall
market growth for doughnuts;
flat sales for doughnuts marketwide would pose threats to
KKD’s growth. Stagnant
doughnut sales (at around 10 billion per year in the U.S.) would
mean that for KKD to
continue to gain market share and grow unit sales as rapidly as
it has been growing them,
it would have to take market share away from other doughnut
sellers. KKD’s U.S. market
share is already up to 13% of the market (1.3 billion out of 10
billion). Ideally, consumer
enthusiasm for Krispy Kremes would have the effect of
stimulating overall buyer demand
and consumption, upping it over time to 11 or 12 billion
annually and thus moderating the
need for KKD to grow its sales at the expense of other industry
participants.
� Rivals, concerned about Krispy Kreme’s rapid growth and
market share gains and erosion
of their own market positions, may well be compelled to
rejuvenate their menus, product
quality, and strategies so as to make it much tougher for Krispy
Kreme to gain sales and
market share at their expense—this could precipitate a lively
and perhaps costly battle for
market share that erodes profit margins and cuts into overall
profitability.
� The “fad” of Krispy Kreme doughnuts begins to dissipate,
customers turn their attention
to other “in” products, and the local media coverage of KKD
drops off—without so much
free publicity, KKD may have to spend monies on advertising to
maintain/grow sales
levels at stores.
Conclusions
Krispy Kreme situation is highly favorable at present. Its
resource strengths and competitive assets
easily outweigh its resource weaknesses and competitive
liabilities. The company has plenty of
opportunities it can pursue to continue to growth rapidly—the
company should have little difficulty
opening several hundred more stores (Dunkin’ Donuts has 3,600
in the U.S. alone, versus just over
180 for KKD. KKD’s strategy is a solid one, with competitive
advantages in product quality,
product appeal, brand reputation, and ability to attract high
caliber franchisees (because of the
attractive store economics), and backward vertical integration
into doughnut-making equipment,
doughnut mixes, and coffee. The threats are lurking in the
background, but have not so far reared
their heads. The product excitement being created by Krispy
Kreme could end up helping grow the
market for doughnuts and help overcome the relatively flat
demand for doughnuts that has
prevailed. If so, a costly battle for market share among industry
participants can be avoided.
5. What is your assessment of Krispy Kreme’s competitive
strengths and weak-
nesses in comparison with key rivals? Please use the
methodology in Table
4.4 of Chapter 4 in arriving at your answer.
There is ample data in the case for students to do a solid
competitor strength assessment using the
methodology described in Table 4.4 of Chapter 4. It is well
worth 10-15 minutes of class time to
drill students on proper use of this analytical tool and thereby
put some punch behind their
“opinions” as to whether KKD has adequate resources and
competitive capabilities to take market
share and sales away from other doughnut industry rivals.
Our unweighted and weighted competitive strength assessments
are shown in Table 1 of this note.
We think product quality/appeal and brand name reputation are
probably the two most important
measures of competitive strength in the doughnut industry. Most
everyone knows about
doughnuts—so the trick to getting people to buy them and to do
so regularly will have a lot to do
with their taste, freshness, and word-of-mouth reputation among
doughnut enthusiasts. KKD focus
on “hot doughnuts now” has very high appeal among consumers,
judging by all the reactions and
comments in the case.
254 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
Table 1 | Competitive Strength Assessments
of Selected Doughnut Industry Rivals
Key Success Factor/
Competitive Strength Krispy Kreme Dunkin’ Donuts Winchell’s
Measure Weight Rating Score Rating Score Rating Score
Breadth of product line 0.15 4 0.60 8 1.20 7 1.05
Reputation/image 0.20 9 1.80 8 1.60 5 1.00
Product quality/appeal 0.25 10 2.50 6 1.50 5 1.25
Geographic coverage 0.15 4 0.60 9 1.35 5 0.75
Supply chain capabilities 0.10 9 0.90 5 0.50 5 0.50
Financial strength 0.15 8 1.20 10 1.50 5 0.75
Sum of the weights 1.00
Totals of Ratings/Scores 44 7.60 46 7.65 32 0.00
Key Success Factor/
Competitive Strength Tim Hortons LeMar’s
Measure Weight Rating Score Rating Score
Breadth of product line 0.15 9 1.35 4 0.60
Reputation/image 0.20 8 1.60 3 0.60
Product quality/appeal 0.25 6 1.50 9 2.25
Geographic coverage 0.15 6 0.90 3 0.45
Supply chain capabilities 0.10 5 0.50 5 0.50
Financial strength 0.15 7 1.05 4 0.60
Sum of the weights 1.00
Totals of Ratings/Scores 41 6.90 29 5.00
(Rating Scale: 10 = Very strong; 5 = Average; 1 = Very weak)
Conclusions: Students can differ in their competitive strength
evaluations because of different
weightings, different strength measures, and different rating
scores. But we think they should
conclude that KKD has the resource strengths and capabilities
to do well against other industry
participants. We see KKD as quite strong vis-à-vis competitors
with regard to product quality/
appeal (especially on the hot doughnut factor), supply chain
capabilities, and brand name/
reputation. It lacks the geographic coverage of Dunkin’ Donuts
(in terms of outlets); geograph-
ically, Tim Hortons is very strong in Canada but is well behind
KKD in building a national presence
across the U.S. (and is unlikely to pursue such expansion).
Hortons and Dunkin Donuts have menu
lineups that increase their appeal to customers not expressly
wanting doughnuts, which in some
respects is an advantage (particularly in attracting store traffic
for lunches and snacks). LaMar’s
apparently has a great doughnut, but the nutritional content of
LaMar’s products would seem to be
a serious disadvantage vis-à-vis KKD. While KKD is a smaller
company than the parent companies
of Dunkin Donuts and Tim Hortons, it definitely has the
financial strength to fund its expansion
program—so it is not at a size disadvantage that would seem to
matter from a competitive and
strategy execution standpoint. On the whole, we see KKD as
being in very good shape to take on
the rivals that it confronts and be successful. There would seem
to be no reason to locate new
case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 255
Krispy Kreme stores so close to the stores of rivals that head-
to-head competition at the local store
level would prove to be a serious detriment to KKD’s expansion
and franchising efforts.
6. On the basis of your assessment above, what do you think of
the company’s
growth prospects? Just how good are they? What evidence
supports your
answer? What size growth rate do you believe Krispy Kreme
can achieve
over the next five years?
While it is easy for students to say that the company’s growth
prospects are “good” (it is hard to
come to any lesser conclusion), the really substantive issue is
just what size growth rate appears to
be sustainable over the next several years.
� Can the company reasonably expect to achieve its stated
targets of 20 percent annual
revenue growth, mid-single digit comparable store sales growth,
and 25 percent annual
growth in earnings per share? Can it do even better? Might it
well come up short?
� And what evidence supports what conclusion?
� What will have to happen for Krispy Kreme’s earnings to
grow 25% annually while its
revenues are growing only 20% annually?
Here is a golden opportunity to press the class for some
number-crunching evidence and to arrive
at some solid, educated estimates of KKD’s growth prospects.
Here’s some of the number-
crunching that can be done:
� The table below, based on store sales data provided in the
case, is a better indicator of the
annual sales volumes at the newer stores that form the core of
KKD’s strategy and
expansion program and that provide the best signals of the
company’s future growth
potential.
Average weekly sales Annual sales
in 2000 in 2000
(as per info in case)
Stores opened in 1997 and 1998 $40,000 $2,080,000
Stores opened in 1999 $69,000 $3,588,000
Stores opened in 2000 $79,000 $4,108,000
(annualized—all of these
stores were not open all year)
All company-owned stores $69,000 $3,588,000
All franchised stores $43,000 $2,236,000
� The average annual sales of all KKD stores, both company-
owned and franchised, in 2000
was $2,575,000 (calculated by dividing systemwide sales of
$448,129,000 by 174 stores—
case Exhibit 1).
� Rough estimates of KKD’s potential systemwide sales growth
are shown in Table 2. Based
on the indicated assumptions about the number of new store
openings (well in line with
what KKD ought to be able to achieve, assuming the present
favorable reception for the
company’s products continue), and assuming ongoing existing
store sales increases of as
much as 10% annually (somewhat optimistic) or as little as 6%
annually (fairly realistic
and in line with the company’s estimates of single-digit
growth), then KKD should be able
to show systemwide revenues of $1.04 to $1.2 billion by the end
of fiscal year 2006.
256 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
Table 2 | Sales Projections for Krispy Kreme Doughnuts,
2002-2006
Estimate of KKD’s total Estimate of KKD’s total
sales assuming 10% sales assuming 6%
increase in sales at increase in sales at
existing KKD stores existing KKD stores
(in millions) (in millions)
KKD’s systemwide sales in 2002
Sales of $448.1 million at existing
174 stores (year-end 2001) $492.9 $475.0
+ sales at 36 new stores 2002 @$3.6 million
per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that
not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 64.8 64.8
2002 sales total for 210 stores $557.7 $539.8
KKD’s systemwide sales in 2003
Sales at existing 210 stores
(as of year-end 2002) $613.5 $572.2
+ sales at 40 new stores @$3.6 million
per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that
not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 72.0 72.0
2003 sales total for 250 stores $685.5 $644.2
KKD’s systemwide sales in 2004
Sales at existing 250 stores
(year-end 2003) $754.0 $682.9
+ sales at 45 new stores @$3.6 million
per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that
not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 81.0 81.0
2004 sales total for 295 stores $835.0 $763.9
KKD’s systemwide sales in 2005
Sales at existing 250 stores
(as of year-end 2004) $918.5 $809.7
+ sales at 50 new stores @$3.6 million
per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that
not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 90.0 90.0
2005 sales total for 345 stores $1,008.5 $899.7
KKD’s systemwide sales in 2006
Sales at existing 345 stores
(as of year-end 2005) $1,109.4 $953.7
+ sales at 50 new stores @$3.6 million
per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that
not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 90.0 90.0
2006 sales total for 395 stores $1,199.4 $1,043.7
*The assumption here is that new store openings will be evenly
distributed across the year such that new
stores, on average, will be open 26 weeks, thus generating new
revenues on average of $1.8 million,
instead of the full $3.6 million.
case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 257
258 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
� If we assume, for simplicity, that 100% of the new stores
opened are franchised stores,
then KKD’s corporate revenues from company store sales in
2006, which totaled $213.7
million in fiscal year 2001, should rise to between $286.0
million (assuming comparable
store increases of 6% annually) and $344.2 million (assuming
comparable store increases
of 10% annually) in fiscal year 2006. Subtracting estimated
sales at company stores from
the systemwide store sales estimates means that franchised store
sales in 2006 should
range between $754 million and $856 million. But KKD will
have additional revenues
from royalties and from the sales of ingredients.
� Since KKD earns royalties of 4.5% on sales at franchised
stores, its royalty stream from
franchised store sales should be somewhere between $33.9
million (given company store
sales of $286 million) and $38.5 million (given company store
sales of $344 million). To
this royalty stream can be added the franchise fees of $20,000
to $40,000 per store (say an
average of $30,000). Opening 50 new stores in 2006 should
generate franchise fees of $1.5
million and produce total royalties from stores sales of between
$35.4 and $40.0 million.
� KKD reported systemwide store sales of $448 million in 2001
(case Exhibit 1) and
company stores sales of $213.7 million (case Exhibit 2); it
follows then that franchised
store sales were $235.7 million in fiscal 2001. KKD’s sales of
equipment and ingredients
to franchised stores totaled $77.6 million in fiscal year 2001,
equal to 32.9% of franchised
stores sales. If this ratio continues to hold over upcoming years,
given the estimates of
franchised store sales in 2006 of between $754 million and $856
million, then KKM&D’s
revenues in 2006 could come in the range of $248 million to
$282 million.
� The foregoing revenue estimates for KKD for 2006 are
summarized below:
Estimate of KKD’s total Estimate of KKD’s total
sales in 2006, assuming sales in 2006, assuming
10% increase in sales at 6% increase in sales at
existing KKD stores existing KKD stores
(in millions) (in millions)
KKD’s systemwide sales in 2006
Sales at company-owned stores $344.2 $286.0
Royalty revenues 40.0 35.4
KKM&D $282.0 $248.0
Total $666.2 $569.4
The $666.2 million sales estimate translates into a 17.2% CAGR
for the 2001-2006 period;
the $569.4 million estimate translates into a CAGR of 13.6%.
KKD could beat these
estimates by adding company-owned stores (the calculations
above assumed that all new
stores opened were franchised stores, which made the
calculations simpler).
What these estimates indicate is that KKD will indeed have to
open some company-owned
stores to hit its 20% revenue growth target or else it will have
to up the number of
franchised store openings.
One other concern should be noted. As more and more
franchised stores are opened, the
average sales per store may begin to erode some, since sales at
some newly-opened stores
may come from drawing customers away from existing stores.
Furthermore, locating
stores in less populated areas may result in lower sales per
store.
The addition of new coffee drinks should help boost KKM&D
sales, as well as store sales.
Conclusion: KKD can hit its growth targets of 20% annually,
but it will be pressed to beat that
target by very much.
7. What major issues do you think that Krispy Kreme
management needs to
address?
Based on the points brought out in the above assessment,
students ought not to have undue
difficulty in zeroing in on the key issues confronting KKD
management. We see the following
issues as paramount:
� Whether to push franchisees to accelerate the speed at which
they are opening new stores
in their franchised areas?
� How many new company-owned stores to open and where to
locate them?
� How fast to pursue upgrades and expansion of the company’s
coffee offerings?
� Whether and when to begin to expand the menu offerings
beyond doughnuts and coffee?
What products, if any, might it make sense to consider?
� Whether and when to begin opening stores in markets with
fewer than 100,000
households? When should KK start to experiment with smaller
stores sizes?
� Whether and when to begin pursuing international expansion?
What countries to enter
first?
We like to go to the board and record all the issues that the
class believes management needs to
address. This list then becomes the basis for making action
recommendations. Normally, there
should be action recommendations for each of the issues and
problems identified.
8. What recommendations would you make to Krispy Kreme
management to
improve upon the strategy or otherwise sustain the company’s
growth and
profitability?
Based on the issues identified above, we think actions along the
lines indicated below are in order:
� KKD management should meet with franchisees and explore
again the plans for opening
new stores—it would seem to make sense to accelerate the pace
of new store openings, at
least in those areas where the enthusiasm for Krispy Kreme
products has been so great.
� The new coffee products should be tested in company stores
(and perhaps select franchised
stores) and, as quickly as support systems can be put in place,
the new coffee menu
offerings should be rolled out systemwide before the end of
2001.
� KKD management should begin immediately to explore stores
sizes and designs
appropriate for markets of fewer than 100,000 households. This
could be done when older
associate stores in areas with fewer than 100,000 households
need to be closed and
relocated. However, it doesn’t really make sense for KK to turn
its attention prematurely
to smaller markets before it completes efforts to “build out” or
scatter stores throughout
the larger metropolitan markets where new store openings are
already planned.
� KKD should proceed with efforts to locate units in foreign
countries. Canada is a natural
place to start foreign expansion (a Canadian franchisee is
already opening stores in the
eastern portions of Canada), but entering other country markets
needs to be high on the
action agenda for the 2002-2003 period.
case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 259
� We would strongly caution against expanding the menu
offering beyond coffee and
doughnuts at this time. The company’s focus on doughnuts is a
strength, not a weakness.
Menu expansion may come later, but this is not the time for
KKD to wander outside the
market niche for coffee and doughnuts.
� We think the company should proceed with opening 2-4
company-owned stores per year.
KKD margins on selling its products through company-owned
stores are somewhat better
than on sales to franchised stores.
9. Would you buy this company’s stock? Why or why not? What
size price-
earnings ratio makes sense for a company with Krispy Kreme’s
potential? If
70 times earnings is too big, as some analysts claim, what p-e
multiple does
make sense?
In financial circles, there’s a fairly widespread conviction that
one good way to judge whether a
company’s stock price is “too high” or “a good value” or
representative of “fair value” is by
comparing the price-earnings ratio to the growth rate in a
company’s earnings. Thus a company
growing its earnings 25% annually should command a p-e ratio
of about 25; a company growing
earnings at 50% annually should command a stock price of
about 50 times current earnings per
share. Such logic further implies that if a company’s stock price
entails a p-e ratio much above its
earnings growth rate then its stock price is “overvalued.” If a
company’s stock price is below its
earnings growth prospects, the its stock is allegedly
“undervalued.”
Thus one way for students to judge whether Krispy Kreme’s
stock price makes it a good stock to
buy or a risky stock to buy hinges upon how they answer the
question about the company’s growth
prospects in question 6 above. Our calculations showed that
20% growth in revenues is reasonable;
the recent strong improvements in the company’s net profit
margin, the new plant for mixing
ingredients (said to lower costs), and the potential for scale
economies would seem to make 25%
growth in earnings an attainable target. Our estimates would
thus support a p-e ratio of 25.
But there’s nothing in our calculations that would lead us to
believe that Krispy Kreme could grow
its earnings at a 70% annual rate over the next five years, which
would imply that a stock price in
the high 40s does indeed signal that Krispy Kreme stock is
overvalued (assuming one buys the
importance of the PEG ratio as a valid indicator of stock price
valuation).
In short, we think Krispy Kreme is a fine company, with a solid
focused differentiation strategy,
and solid growth prospects. But we would not be a buyer of its
stock at these lofty price-earnings
multiples. In our view, there is more downside risk to buying
the stock in the high 40s than there
is upside potential. We think this is what the stock analysts
cited in the case meant when they said
that, “It [the stock] has had a good run, but the numbers just
don’t work” and “the odds are against
this stock for long-term success.”
260 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
Epilogue
Growth at Krispy Kreme continued to be brisk throughout 2001.
New store first week sales continued
to climb throughout the year, reaching an average in excess of
$189,000 for the full fiscal year of 2002.
This represents an increase of 21% over last year’s average of
$155,596. The opening week record was
set in this fourth quarter, with a new store in Seattle registering
more than $454,000 in first-week sales
and a new store in Toronto achieving first-week sales of
$465,000 (in Canadian dollars). Although the
Toronto sales figure was in Canadian dollars, the number of
dozens sold was nearly four percent higher
and the number of customer transactions was over 10 percent
higher than in Seattle.
An estimated 5 million Krispy Kreme doughnuts were being
sold everyday, equal to more than 2 billion
annually.
The company’s stock split 2 for 1 on June 15, 2001 and began
trading at the new split value of $42 ($84
per share prior to the split); it dropped to a low in the high 20s
following the 9/11 terrorist attacks and
then trended upward to about $45 per share at year-end 2001. In
March 2002, Krispy Kreme’s stock
was trading in the high 30s, with a very lofty price-earnings
multiple of about 100 to 1.
Company revenues increased 40.3% in the fourth quarter of
fiscal year 2002 to $114.9 million, while
on a full-year basis, revenues were up 30.4% to $392.2 million.
System-wide sales for the fourth quarter
of 2002 were $182.6 million, an increase of 46.3%, while
company store sales increased 31.9% to $75.4
million. For 2002, system-wide sales were $621.7 million, up
38.7% over 2001. Company store sales
for 2002 increased 24.6% when compared to the full fiscal year
of 2001. The Company noted that the
results for 2002 reflected 53 weeks, an event that occurred
every fifth year. As a result, the fourth
quarter of fiscal year 2002 contained fourteen weeks.
The Company indicated that top line growth and business
momentum continued to be very strong, as
measured by the three major drivers of system-wide sales
growth—average new store first-week sales,
new store openings, and comparable store sales growth. The
second major driver of system-wide sales
growth, the pace of new store openings, continued to exceed
expectations. KKD opened 48 stores in
fiscal 2002, bringing total stores at the end of the year to 218.
Additionally, the Company opened three
doughnut and coffee shops (stores featuring the new hot
doughnut technology) in Charlotte,
Greensboro, and Winston-Salem, North Carolina.
Preliminary store opening expectations for fiscal 2003 called
for 59 new stores and 10 to 15 doughnut
and coffee shops.
KKD management expressed comfort with its latest earnings
guidance of $.44 per diluted share for
fiscal year 2002 and $.61 per diluted share in fiscal 2003. As of
February 3, 2002, KKD had cash and
investments on hand in excess of $45 million, outstanding debt
of approximately $8.3 million and
availability under of a line of credit of approximately $32
million.
KKD CEO Scott Livengood said, “Fiscal Year 2002 has been an
exceptional year for the Company. Our
new initiatives, including the small-format doughnut and coffee
shop, international opportunity and
expanded beverage program, combined with the continuing
early stage build-out of our factory store
network in North America create exceptional growth
opportunities for Krispy Kreme for years to come.
We are excited about the coming year.”
The new manufacturing and distribution facility, under
construction in Effingham, Illinois, was
scheduled to open in April 2002. It would supply proprietary
doughnut mix and other supplies to the
growing number of stores in the Midwest, West, and Canada.
case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 261
In September 2001, Krispy Kreme announced the development
of a new proprietary doughnut
technology which had the potential to substantially increase the
number of stores featuring its signature
“hot doughnut now” experience. The Company called this
technology the “Krispy Kreme Hot
Doughnut Machine.” The new machine, a conveyor oven and
glazing system, closely resembled Krispy
Kreme’s current doughnut production equipment manufactured
by the company. The Hot Doughnut
Machine, however, was designed to finish cooking and glazing
doughnuts that had been prepared to a
certain point at a factory store and delivered fresh to a store
employing this technology. The result was
a hot doughnut virtually identical to that experienced in Krispy
Kreme’s traditional factory stores. Since
this system was only finishing the doughnut making process, it
required much less space, direct labor
and investment than the full production process. An additional
benefit of the new system was the ability
to offer multiple varieties of hot doughnuts throughout the day.
In October 2001, KKD announced that it would construct three
new outlets in North Carolina (the
previously mentioned stores in Charlotte, Greensboro, and
Winston-Salem) to test the Company’s new
Hot Doughnut Machine technology as well as introduce a new
store design developed to reflect and
enhance the brand’s core values. These stores also featured
Krispy Kreme’s new expanded beverage
program. The new look for these stores combined historical
references (copies of 50-year-old company
posters that were archived in the Smithsonian Institution) with
modern elements including stainless
steel and light woods. The new store format entailed a warm,
inviting and updated environment, with
colorful menu boards and employee uniforms complementing
the decor. Krispy Kreme’s expanded
beverage program featured three drip coffees ranging from light
and smooth to deeper, more intense
blends. It also included a line of flavored milks, espresso
beverages, frozen coffee beverages, and other
frozen beverages prepared with a variety of proprietary flavors.
For the latest information on Krispy Kreme’s performance,
please consult the periodically updated Case
Epilogue Updates in the Instructor Center at
www.mhhe.com/thompson. You might also wish to have
your student visit the company’s website at
www.krispykreme.com.
262 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.

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Dear Class,I have noticed a pattern in the discussion thread.docx

  • 1. Dear Class, I have noticed a pattern in the discussion threads that will not serve you well in the Midterm. There are posts that explain the law and the elements or defenses but don’t mention the facts and there are posts that discuss the facts but don’t mention the law, its elements or defenses. In the midterm you’ll need to do BOTH in your answers. You will need to identify the issue, lay out the elements and or defenses and use the facts to shown how you reach a conclusion. I hope this helps! Remember, that the Midterm is open book and open notes but you are not to do any outside research when taking the exam. Good luck! If you have any questions, please let me know. MGMT520 Midterm Exam Study Guide YOU MAY WANT TO PRINT THIS GUIDE. 1.The Midterm Exam is "open book, open notes." The maximum time you can spend in the exam is 3 hours, 30 minutes. If you have not clicked the Submit for Grade button by then, you will be automatically exited from the exam. In the Midterm Exam environment, the Windows clipboard is disabled, and so you will not be able to copy exam questions or answers to or from other applications.
  • 2. 2. You should click the Save Answers button in the exam frequently. This helps prevent connection timeouts that might occur with certain Internet service providers, and also minimizes lost answers in the event of connection problems. If your internet connection does break, when you reconnect you will normally be able to get back into your Midterm Exam without any trouble. Remember, though, that the exam timer continues to run while students are disconnected, so students should try to log in again as quickly as possible. The Help Desk cannot grant any student additional time on the exam. If you get bounced out of the Midterm Exam with time remaining, you may contact your instructor, who may be able to get you readmitted to the exam. 3.See Syllabus "Due Dates for Assignments & Exams" for due date information. 4. Reminders · You will only be able to enter your online Midterm Exam one time. · Click the Save Answers button often. · If you lose your Internet connection during your Midterm Exam, log in again and try to access your Midterm Exam. If you are unable to enter the Midterm Exam, contact first the help desk and then your instructor. · You will always be able to see the time remaining in the Midterm Exam at the top right of the page. 5. Assessments With Multiple Pages · Make sure you click the Save Answers button often (it is also suggested that you click on Save Answers while you are working). · Complete all of the questions before submitting your Midterm Exam for instructor review. · Do not use your browser's Back and Forward buttons during
  • 3. the Midterm Exam. · Please use the provided links for navigation. 6. Submitting Your Midterm Exam · When you are finished with the Midterm Exam, click on the Submit for Grade button. · Please note: Once you click the Submit for Grade button, you will not be able to edit or change any of your answers. 7. Exam Questions · The Midterm covers the material studied in Weeks 1, 2, 3, and 4 of our course, which includes TCOs A, B, C, E, and G, and Chapters 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 18, and 22. · The Midterm Exam contains only one page. · The Midterm Exam consists of five essay questions (30 points each), for a total of 150 points. · On the essay questions your answers should be succinct, should fully address each part of the question, and should demonstrate your knowledge and understanding in a concise but complete answer. You can use bullets where appropriate (i.e. listing elements, defenses, or steps). Ensure you analyze and give reasons for answers because partial credit is given for incomplete answers, even if a complete answer is wrong. · Remember: always use proper citations when quoting other sources! Place any quoted or borrowed material (even a short phrase) in quotation marks with the source (URL, author/date/page #) immediately following the end of the passage. Even cite paraphrased information. Quoted or paraphrased material should not dominate your work; use it sparingly to support your own thoughts, ideas, and examples. Failure to properly cite material can jeopardize a passing grade on the exam. Your work may be submitted to turnitin.com, an online plagiarism checking service. 8. Some of the key study areas are as follows (although these are key areas, remember that the exam is comprehensive for all
  • 4. the assigned course content and this study guide may not be all inclusive). TCO A: Given federal regulation of business and commercial practices formulate a strategy by which an impacted business can influence, revise or contest regulatory outcomes to shape business and organizational policy. Key Concepts · Classify the sources of law and how the purposes of law promote the practice of business via constitutional limitations, regulation of business activity, challenging administrative actions, and participating in the rule-making process. · Analyze the definition of business ethics. · Differentiate between the ethical theories that aid in the practice of business. · Evaluate ethical dilemmas. TCO B: Given an example of corporate liability arising from the sale of defective and dangerous products, propose a business strategy that includes ethical, legal and political considerations to minimize liability for claims of product liability and breach of warranty. Key Concepts · Analyze how product liability and warranty law has evolved to move the risk of loss from defective products to the manufacturer. · Apply the elements of and defenses against a tort action for negligence. · Illustrate how product liability moved from a negligence standard to strict liability in tort and how sellers of goods are held to both express and implied warranties. · Assess the importance of Section 402A of the Restatement (Second) of Torts.
  • 5. TCO C: Given a business or commercial contract for the sale of goods and services to a customer, examine the elements of the contract, and determine whether the contract is enforceable under common law or the Uniform Commercial Code. Key Concepts · Evaluate unconscionable contracts and how they are unenforceable. TCO E: Given organizational ownership of property (real, personal and intellectual), analyze the rights of an organization regarding the protection of its property and the legal rights and obligations arising out of the use of the property, including environmental impact and issues where appropriate. Key Concepts · Examine how environmental legislation and, in particular, the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA) place the primary responsibility for a clean environment on business generators of waste. · Classify the range and severity of sanctions for violation of federal environmental laws. 1. Examine the elements of intellectual property torts such as palming off and misappropriation. TCO G: Given a conflict between corporate stakeholders over a business decision, evaluate the legal and ethical duties of corporate directors, officers, and controlling shareholders. Key Concepts · Debate why international business ethics is important to the practice of business in the United States and how to handle choice of law or jurisdictional issues in international situations. 9. Areas of study that were covered in discussions will be prime targets for questions in the Midterm Exam.
  • 6. 10. Weekly Assignments will also be prime targets for revisiting. Finally, if you have any questions for your instructor, please post them to the Q & A or e-mail directly to the instructor. Good luck on the Midterm Exam! I hope you enjoyed the course and learned a lot about the legal, political, and ethical dimensions of business! Overview With 181 Krispy Kreme stores in 28 states, Krispy Kreme Doughnuts in 2001 was rapidly building something of a cult following for its light, warm, melt-in-your-mouth doughnuts. Sales were on an impressive climb, exceeding 3.5 million doughnuts a day. The company’s business model called for 20 percent annual revenue growth, mid-single digit comparable store sales growth, and 25 percent annual growth in earnings per share. Krispy Kreme had created a flurry of excitement with its expansion into metropolitan markets outside the Southeast—its grand openings in newly entered markets attracted long lines of customers and created traffic jams around its store sites. The first new store in San Diego racked up $365,000 in sales the first week, with 5 TV crews covering
  • 7. the opening day event. The first store in Denver produced first- week revenues of $369,000, drew 50,000 visitors, and had $1,000,000 in sales the first 22 days; the crowds were so large that three off- duty deputy sheriffs were hired to direct traffic from 5 a.m. to 11 p.m. during the Tuesday-Saturday period of grand opening week— one night there were 150 cars in line at the drive-thru window at 1:30 a.m. But despite the enthusiastic reception that Krispy Kreme stores were getting, a number of securities analysts were dubious whether the company’s strategy and growth potential merited a stock price nearly 70 times projected 2002 earnings per share of $0.69 and 85 times actual 2001 earnings of $0.55 per share. The company’s stock, which was trading in the $46-$50 range and had been as high as $54, had been a favorite of short sellers for several months—the 2.5 million shorted shares in May 2001 represented nearly 10 percent of the company’s outstanding shares. 245 14 Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
  • 8. case teaching note | While there are legions of loyal doughnut-lovers (sales in the U.S. alone amount to an estimated 10 billion annually), the doughnut industry has been growing rather slowly, partly because the product is not “nutritionally correct.” Yet several doughnut chains had rather ambitious objectives and strategies to grow revenues and profits. Krispy Kreme believed that its product had global appeal and was laying plans to expand its already nationwide franchising network to foreign countries. And, so far, it had been successful in invading the markets of such long-standing doughnut chains as Dunkin’ Donuts, Tim Hortons, and Winchell’s Donut Houses. The case presents students with some fairly challenging issues to analyze: � While enthusiasm for the company’s product is presently strong, will it last? Is it likely that customer infatuation with Krispy Kreme doughnuts could be a passing fad—in today and out tomorrow? � Can Krispy Kreme compete effectively against Dunkin’ Donuts and Tim Hortons, both of which are much bigger and well-established in markets that Krispy Kreme is entering? � Is Krispy Kreme’s strategy grounded in building a sustainable
  • 9. competitive advantage? How long can it continue with the present strategy? What happens when it has stores in all the markets now being targeted—metropolitan areas with 100,000+ households? Will strategy changes soon be needed to begin penetrating smaller markets? � What size growth rates in revenues and earnings can Krispy Kreme achieve over the next five years? What will have to happen for Krispy Kreme to realize its target of 25% growth in earnings when the company’s revenue growth target is only 20%? How can Krispy Kreme hope to continue to grow so fast when the doughnut industry overall is growing very slowly and when the product is nutritionally incorrect? � Would a drop in the stock price dramatically hurt the company’s ability to finance its growth? � Does international expansion make sense for Krispy Kreme? Will it have to alter some aspects of its strategy to be successful in foreign markets? Suggestions for Using the Case This freshly researched case contains rich information and data for analyzing and evaluating Krispy Kreme’s strategy, competitive strengths and weaknesses, and growth prospects. It is an excellent follow-on to Chapter 4 (Evaluating Company Resources and Competitive Capabilities); the content of the case is eminently suitable for: � Giving students practice in identifying a company’s strategy, determining how well it is working, and sizing up whether the strategy is capable of
  • 10. producing sustainable competitive advantage. � Drilling students in SWOT analysis. � Having students do a serious assessment of a company’s financial performance, the profitability of its business model, and its potential for competitive success against larger, well- established rivals. � Assessing the company’s potential for rapid growth in a slow- growing industry—there are plenty of numbers for students to crunch in arriving at future estimates of profitability and in deciding whether the stock price is over-valued. However, because the case has such strong focus on competitive strategy, it will prove beneficial if you delay assigning the case until you have covered the material in Chapter 5 and perhaps Chapter 6 (since Krispy Kreme is looking at expanding into foreign markets). 246 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. As noted in the overview, there are a host of solid, timely strategy issues to explore in assigning this case. We think a full 75-minute class will be needed to cover the main teaching points. Very likely, this case will prove immensely popular with students and should be a winner in terms of stimulating a lively class discussion—especially if there are
  • 11. Krispy Kreme stores in your area (or even just those of Krispy Kreme rivals). Students will easily identify with the company’s product, and the ins and outs of the doughnut business will prove relatively easy for the class to grasp. This is a Case-TUTOR exercise for this case which aims at helping do the calculations to evaluate KKD’s growth potential. The case preparation exercise also guides students through analysis of KKD’s strategy and competitive position. We think the Krispy Kreme case is very good choice for either written analysis or oral team presen- tations. Our suggested assignment questions are as follows: 1. Do you agree that the numbers just don’t work for Krispy Kreme as concerns its prospects for future growth and profitability? Why or why not? Would you buy stock in this company? Please justify your answer using whatever tools and concepts of strategic analysis you deem appropriate. 2. Scott Livengood, Krispy Kreme’s CEO, has employed you as a special assistant to help him do a probing assessment of Krispy Kreme’s business model, strategy, and competitive strength. Your assignment is to prepare a 4-6 page report that (a) identifies the major elements of Krispy Kreme’s strategy, (b) incorporates a thorough SWOT analysis, (c) compares Krispy Kreme’s competitive strength with that of key rivals using the methodology in Table 4.4 on p. 142 of Chapter 4, (d) diagnoses Krispy Kreme’s performance in each of
  • 12. its three business segments, (e) identifies the major issues that Krispy Kreme management needs to address, and (f) recommends a comprehensive set of actions to address these issues. Your report should contain whatever supporting tables and exhibits you deem appropriate (in addition to the 4-6 pages of text), and it should definitely reflect solid number-crunching of the financial and operating data provided in determining whether the company’s present strategy is or is not working as well as it might. Assignment Questions 1. What are the chief elements of Krispy Kreme’s strategy? What evidence is there to indicate that the strategy is or is not working as well as it might? 2. What is your assessment of Krispy Kreme’s financial performance? Is it really as good as it looks on the surface? Why or why not? What is the most profitable part of the business? Do you agree with the statement at the beginning of the case that “the numbers just don’t work?” 3. What does a SWOT analysis reveal about the company’s overall situation? 4. What is your assessment of Krispy Kreme’s competitive strengths and weaknesses in comparison with key rivals? Please use the methodology in Table 4.4 on p. 142 of Chapter 4 in arriving at your answer. 5. On the basis of your assessment above, what do you think of
  • 13. Krispy Kreme’s growth prospects? Just how good are they? What evidence supports your answer? What size growth rates in revenues and earnings do you believe Krispy Kreme can achieve over the next five years? What will have to happen for Krispy Kreme to realize its target of 25% growth in earnings when the revenue growth target is only 20%? case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 247 6. What major issues do you think that Krispy Kreme management needs to address? 7. What recommendations would you make to Krispy Kreme management to improve upon the strategy or otherwise sustain the company’s growth and profitability? 8. Would you buy this company’s stock? Why or why not? What size price-earnings ratio makes sense for a company with Krispy Kreme’s potential? If 70 times earnings is too big, as some analysts claim, what p-e multiple does make sense? (Some financial analysts believe that the p-e ratio should be roughly equal to the growth in earnings per share—this is a popular metric that securities analysts use to gauge whether a company’s stock price is overvalued or undervalued or reflective of “fair value.”) Teaching Outline and Analysis You might want to preface the evaluation of Krispy Kreme’s strategy and growth prospects with a brief
  • 14. summary of what competition is like in the doughnut industry. Several competitive features stand out: � Competition among doughnut-making rivals is largely fought in local markets—doughnut shops located close to each other or along the same traffic routes are very much in competition for passersby and neighborhood shoppers. Doughnut shops also compete with the bakery departments of supermarkets and with convenience stores that stock doughnuts in their bakery cases. But it is doubtful that a doughnut shop competes with other doughnuts sellers more than 5 miles away. In many respects doughnuts shops are like fast food outlets—people will not typically drive more than 5 miles or go far out of their way to patronize a particular shop or location regularly (although they may do so on special occasions). � The national chains compete with one another on such factors as: � product quality and appeal (who has the freshest, best-tasting doughnuts?). � convenience and location (who has the doughnut shop that is easiest for me to get to?). � overall menu offerings (what else can I get besides doughnuts?). � unit décor, ambience, cleanliness, interest, and street appeal (do I like to go there?) � brand reputation/name recognition (is this a place I have
  • 15. heard of before or trust or want to try?) � Rivalry among existing doughnut shops is relatively moderate at present among the national doughnut chains—only units located within several miles of one another put the chains in strong competition. Thus Krispy Kreme’s entry into new markets does not pose an undue threat to existing competitors at this juncture. � Doughnut makers face very strong competition from substitute products, particularly those that are perceived by consumers to be healthier or more nutritious. 1. What are the chief elements of Krispy Kreme’s strategy? Which one of the five generic competitive strategies is Krispy Kreme employing? What evidence is there to indicate that the company’s strategy is or is not working as well as it might? Students ought to have little trouble identifying the main elements of Krispy Kreme’s strategy, since they are laid out rather plainly in the case. But going to the board and recording student responses is useful stage-setting for a probing strategy evaluation. The following strategy components ought to be highlighted: 248 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. � Rapidly expand the number of stores in the U.S. and parts of
  • 16. Canada, primarily through the efforts of franchisees. (Most of the new stores being opened are franchised as opposed to company-owned—see case Exhibit 8). � Grant franchises only to candidates who have experience in operating multi-unit food establishments and who have the capital to adequately finance the opening of new Krispy Kreme stores in their territory. Relying upon franchised stores as opposed to company- owned stores conserves the company’s capital for other expansion efforts. � Build a vertically-integrated value chain by supplying doughnut mixes to all stores and by making the doughnut equipment used at all Krispy Kreme stores. Selling ready-mixed ingredients and doughnut-making equipment to franchisees is a major source of revenue and profits for Krispy Kreme—KKD makes money on every doughnut sold at franchised stores (aside from the royalties on franchised store sales) because KKM&D sells them the ingredients for the doughnuts at a profit to the company. Acquiring Digital Coffee is another vertical integration step to enhance sales and profits from the company’s supply chain businesses. � Rely upon free media publicity, product giveaways, and word-of-mouth to attract customers to stores—there’s no need to spend money on advertising yet. Store traffic is booming without advertising in many locations—strong evidence of the power of the
  • 17. company’s brand name and reputation among consumers and the drawing power of its “hot doughnuts now” strategy. � Build and strengthen the Krispy Kreme brand name— capitalize on all the publicity and hype by entering new areas without having to spend much to introduce the product and the brand (boosts margins and profits!). � Grow on-premise sales by attracting new and repeat customers on a regular basis and by enhancing the attractiveness of coffee offerings and adding new hot and cold coffee beverages. The acquisition of Digital Coffee makes it possible to make additional profits on supplying coffee to company-owned and franchised stores. � Grow off-premise sales by � marketing Krispy Kreme doughnuts to area supermarkets and convenience stores, � working closely with community groups of all types to promote sale of Krispy Kreme products for fund-raising campaigns, and � pursuing new distribution outlets such as sales at sporting events, airports, college and university campuses, high traffic business establishments, and perhaps online sales and delivery (as was being tried by the Las Vegas franchisee). Begin to explore international expansion—start screening international franchisee applications and explore what must be done to supply international franchises with doughnut-making equipment
  • 18. and ingredients. Once the chief elements of the strategy have been identified, then you can poll the class as to which of the five generic strategies that KKD is using. We think the company’s strategy is very clearly one of focused differentiation. The class should have no trouble concluding that the company’s strategy is working quite nicely— as indicated by the statistics in case Exhibits 1 and 2. The company is very definitely gaining market share—current sales of 3.5 million Krispy Kreme doughnuts daily translates into sales of nearly 1.3 billion doughnuts annually, equal to about a 13% share of the 10 billion a year volume case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 249 doughnut industry. More specifics on the company’s performance and how well the strategy is working are discussed in question 3 below. 2. How does Krispy Kreme’s strategy connect to its business model? Are they well-matched? Krispy Kreme’s business model involved generating revenues and profits from three sources: � Sales at company-owned stores. � Royalties from franchised stores and franchise fees from new store openings.
  • 19. � Sales of doughnut mixes and customized doughnut-making equipment to franchised stores. It should be clear from the strategy identification exercise above that the strategy flows beautifully from the business model—they are very much in sync. Indeed, it is fair to say that the company’s strategy has been crafted around the three pieces of the business model and, so far, management has not drifted from pursuing the model or considered changing the model that it developed in the late 1990s. It is probably worth a couple of minutes of class time to point this out and to further drive home what the term business model means and how it relates to and differs from the term strategy. 3. What is your assessment of Krispy Kreme’s financial performance? Is it really as good as it looks on the surface? Why or why not? What is the most profitable part of the business? Does the company’s performance indicate that the strategy is working well? Do you agree with the statement at the beginning of the case that “the numbers just don’t work?” What numbers ought to be looked at? It is pretty clear from the data in case Exhibits 1 and 2 that the company’s financial performance is quite good. But we think it always best to signal students that such overall judgments must be supported with a host of specifics (number-crunching is essential and is definitely in order here,
  • 20. given the skepticism expressed by analysts in the opening paragraphs of the case). � From case Exhibit 1, students can calculate that KKD’s total revenues have grown at an compound average rate of 17.4% since 1995—the overall percentage increase over the 7-year period from $115.0 million in fiscal year 1995 to $300.7 million in 2001 is a very healthy 161.5%. � Net income has increased from $4.6 million in fiscal year 1995 to $14.73 million in 2001—a compound average growth rate (CAGR) of 21.3%. � The number of stores has almost doubled—from 88 to 174. � Systemwide sales are up from $146.7 million to $448.1 million—a solid 20.5% CAGR. � Average weekly sales at company-owned stores has jumped sharply from $42,000 in 1998 to $69,000 in 2001. � Comparable store sales growth in 2001 was very impressive— 22.9% at company-owned stores and 17.1% at franchised stores, signaling very positive results from recent sales increasing efforts. � From case exhibit 2 students can determine that profit margins in all three business segments are good and improving rapidly: 250 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.
  • 21. Operating Profit Margins by Business Segment (excluding depreciation and amortization) Company store operations 11.7% 11.7% 12.6% 13.0% 15.1% Franchise operations 7.8 (3.6) 15.6 27.4 61.4 KK manufacturing & distribution 15.0 12.9 13.8 14.7 15.5 Overall average 12.0% 11.7% 12.9% 13.7% 16.6% � The profit margin gains suggest that the addition of new stores is giving KKD the volume and scale of operations needed to help lower unit costs in KKM&D—scale economies are apparently being realized. The new state-of-the-art plant in Illinois for mixing and distributing ingredients is expected to lower costs and boost margins still further. What students need to realize here is that KKD makes money on every doughnut that franchisees sell—it gets 4.5% in royalties plus it realizes a profit on ingredient mixes. The data in case Exhibits 1 and 2 make it feasible to estimate just how much profit KKD makes on each dollar of franchise sales. � The difference between KKD’s sales and systemwide sales equals sales of franchised stores; thus in 2001, with systemwide sales of $448.1 million and corporate sales of $300.7 million, franchised store sales were $146.7 million. � KKM&D realized operating income (before depreciation and
  • 22. amortization) of $12.0 million in 2001 on its sales of doughnut-making equipment and doughnut mixes to franchisees. This equates to profits of $.082 per dollar of sales at franchised stores; add to this the 4.5% royalty per dollar of sales (of which about 60% ended up as operating income in 2001), and one can see that KKD realizes about $0.11 in operating income (before depreciation and amortization) for each dollar of sales made by franchisees. � And, if past trends continue, these margins should improve in future years. Even so, these margins are not as good as KKD realizes from sales at company-owned stores (just over 15% in 2001). � KKD used proceeds from its public stock offering to pay off all of its long-term debt—see the Balance Sheet data and Cash Flow data in case Exhibit 1. The company is pretty much debt-free going into fiscal year 2002. Furthermore, the company has a substantially bigger current ratio and working capital balance than in years past, also due to the proceeds of the stock offering. � KKD’s operating expense ratios have declined significantly the past two years and the net profit margin improved sharply in the past year; the encouraging boost in the net profit margin may hint at further increases in future years. case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 251
  • 23. Fiscal Years Ending Feb. 2, 1997 Feb. 1, 1998 Jan. 31, 1999 Jan. 30, 2000 Jan. 20, 2001 Fiscal Years Ending Jan. 29 Jan. 28, Feb. 2, Feb. 1, Jan. 31, Jan. 30, Jan. 28, 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Operating expenses as a percentage of revenues 85.7% 88.3% 88.0% 88.3% 88.4% 86.3% 83.4% General and administrative expenses as a percentage of revenues 6.6% 5.7% 5.8% 6.0% 6.0% 6.7% 6.7% Net income as a percentage of revenues 4.0% 0.1% 1.8% 1.7% (1.8)% 2.7% 4.9% � Using the average weekly sales data in case Exhibit 1, students can calculate and compare sales at company owned store versus franchised stores: Average weekly sales per store Average annual sales per store Fiscal Company- Franchised Company- Franchised Year owned owned 1995 $45,000 $22,000 $2,340,000 $1,144,000 1996 39,000 23,000 2,028,000 1,196,000 1997 39,000 22,000 2,028,000 1,144,000 1998 42,000 23,000 2,184,000 1,196,000
  • 24. 1999 47,000 28,000 2,444,000 1,456,000 2000 54,000 38,000 2,808,000 1,976,000 2001 69,000 43,000 3,588,000 2,236,000 � Compound average growth rate of company owned stores, 1995-2001: 7.4% � Compound average growth rate of franchised stores, 1995- 2001: 11.8% � Sales averages for franchised stores are well below those for company-owned stores because many of the franchised stores are older, “associate” stores that were built well before the new strategy and expansion effort was put in place. The much lower sales levels at these stores are pulling the overall franchised store average down and make it a less valid indicator of what is happening at the newer franchised stores. You may wish to ask the class whether they think these financial performance results confirm “the numbers just don’t work.” Why would stock analysts not be impressed by KKD’s performance? However, we would not press for complete answers to these questions here; the best time to push on whether the numbers work is closer to the end of the period after more analysis is out on the table. 252 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 4. What does a SWOT analysis reveal about the company’s
  • 25. overall situation? Krispy Kreme’s Resource Strengths and Competitive Assets � The passion that customers have for Krispy Kremes and the valuable word-of-mouth advertising it provides. � The company’s growing brand image and reputation. � Joe LeBeau’s secret recipe for yeast-raised doughnuts has given the company a high quality product with strong buyer appeal (in comparison to some competitors). � Proprietary doughnut-making equipment, and the capability to supply it to franchisees at profitable prices. � The company’s integrated value chain (the company makes money selling ingredients and doughnut-making equipment—which should extend to coffee products in the near future); vertical integration is a solid competitive strength for KKD and could prove to be a major competitive advantage. � The ability of the company to garner so much valuable free publicity and thereby avoid having to spend monies for advertising to introduce its products in new markets. � It is easy to attract top caliber franchisers because of the profitability of Krispy Kreme stores.
  • 26. � KK has no long-term debt and a strong balance sheet; KKD’s capital requirements to finance expansion via franchises are not particularly large and seem well within the company’s means (despite its relatively small size vis-à-vis some of its competitors). � The company’s strategy and business model seem very well- conceived and are running on all cylinders—all 3 business segments are rather profitable and seem likely to become more profitable as franchisees add more new stores. Krispy Kreme’s Resource Weaknesses and Competitive Liabilities � Several rivals are larger and well established in their markets—Krispy Kreme may find it tougher to compete with them head-to-head once the newness and excitement over KK products wears off some. Dunkin’ Donuts has 7 times the sales of KKD. � The company has no experience in foreign markets. � The company’s core product does not appeal to health/weight conscious consumers. � Given that the overall doughnut market is growing slowly, KKD’s sales and market share gains will have to come at the expense of rivals. Market Opportunities � Add more stores in current target markets (100,000+ households) to make it convenient
  • 27. for all metropolitan area residents to get to a Krispy Kreme store—having to drive more than 3-4 miles or travel more than 10 minutes will keep many people from being regular customers � Attract a broader range of customers and sell more products to existing customers by enhancing present menu offerings (especially gourmet coffees and coffee drinks) � Developing a somewhat smaller store format to enable penetration of towns with less than 100,000 households � Expansion into international markets case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 253 External Threats to Krispy Kreme’s Well-Being � Consumers continue to be health and nutrition conscious, causing many to avoid doughnuts and resulting in continued slow/stagnant overall market growth for doughnuts; flat sales for doughnuts marketwide would pose threats to KKD’s growth. Stagnant doughnut sales (at around 10 billion per year in the U.S.) would mean that for KKD to continue to gain market share and grow unit sales as rapidly as it has been growing them, it would have to take market share away from other doughnut sellers. KKD’s U.S. market share is already up to 13% of the market (1.3 billion out of 10
  • 28. billion). Ideally, consumer enthusiasm for Krispy Kremes would have the effect of stimulating overall buyer demand and consumption, upping it over time to 11 or 12 billion annually and thus moderating the need for KKD to grow its sales at the expense of other industry participants. � Rivals, concerned about Krispy Kreme’s rapid growth and market share gains and erosion of their own market positions, may well be compelled to rejuvenate their menus, product quality, and strategies so as to make it much tougher for Krispy Kreme to gain sales and market share at their expense—this could precipitate a lively and perhaps costly battle for market share that erodes profit margins and cuts into overall profitability. � The “fad” of Krispy Kreme doughnuts begins to dissipate, customers turn their attention to other “in” products, and the local media coverage of KKD drops off—without so much free publicity, KKD may have to spend monies on advertising to maintain/grow sales levels at stores. Conclusions Krispy Kreme situation is highly favorable at present. Its resource strengths and competitive assets easily outweigh its resource weaknesses and competitive liabilities. The company has plenty of opportunities it can pursue to continue to growth rapidly—the company should have little difficulty opening several hundred more stores (Dunkin’ Donuts has 3,600
  • 29. in the U.S. alone, versus just over 180 for KKD. KKD’s strategy is a solid one, with competitive advantages in product quality, product appeal, brand reputation, and ability to attract high caliber franchisees (because of the attractive store economics), and backward vertical integration into doughnut-making equipment, doughnut mixes, and coffee. The threats are lurking in the background, but have not so far reared their heads. The product excitement being created by Krispy Kreme could end up helping grow the market for doughnuts and help overcome the relatively flat demand for doughnuts that has prevailed. If so, a costly battle for market share among industry participants can be avoided. 5. What is your assessment of Krispy Kreme’s competitive strengths and weak- nesses in comparison with key rivals? Please use the methodology in Table 4.4 of Chapter 4 in arriving at your answer. There is ample data in the case for students to do a solid competitor strength assessment using the methodology described in Table 4.4 of Chapter 4. It is well worth 10-15 minutes of class time to drill students on proper use of this analytical tool and thereby put some punch behind their “opinions” as to whether KKD has adequate resources and competitive capabilities to take market share and sales away from other doughnut industry rivals. Our unweighted and weighted competitive strength assessments are shown in Table 1 of this note. We think product quality/appeal and brand name reputation are probably the two most important
  • 30. measures of competitive strength in the doughnut industry. Most everyone knows about doughnuts—so the trick to getting people to buy them and to do so regularly will have a lot to do with their taste, freshness, and word-of-mouth reputation among doughnut enthusiasts. KKD focus on “hot doughnuts now” has very high appeal among consumers, judging by all the reactions and comments in the case. 254 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. Table 1 | Competitive Strength Assessments of Selected Doughnut Industry Rivals Key Success Factor/ Competitive Strength Krispy Kreme Dunkin’ Donuts Winchell’s Measure Weight Rating Score Rating Score Rating Score Breadth of product line 0.15 4 0.60 8 1.20 7 1.05 Reputation/image 0.20 9 1.80 8 1.60 5 1.00 Product quality/appeal 0.25 10 2.50 6 1.50 5 1.25 Geographic coverage 0.15 4 0.60 9 1.35 5 0.75 Supply chain capabilities 0.10 9 0.90 5 0.50 5 0.50 Financial strength 0.15 8 1.20 10 1.50 5 0.75 Sum of the weights 1.00 Totals of Ratings/Scores 44 7.60 46 7.65 32 0.00 Key Success Factor/ Competitive Strength Tim Hortons LeMar’s Measure Weight Rating Score Rating Score Breadth of product line 0.15 9 1.35 4 0.60
  • 31. Reputation/image 0.20 8 1.60 3 0.60 Product quality/appeal 0.25 6 1.50 9 2.25 Geographic coverage 0.15 6 0.90 3 0.45 Supply chain capabilities 0.10 5 0.50 5 0.50 Financial strength 0.15 7 1.05 4 0.60 Sum of the weights 1.00 Totals of Ratings/Scores 41 6.90 29 5.00 (Rating Scale: 10 = Very strong; 5 = Average; 1 = Very weak) Conclusions: Students can differ in their competitive strength evaluations because of different weightings, different strength measures, and different rating scores. But we think they should conclude that KKD has the resource strengths and capabilities to do well against other industry participants. We see KKD as quite strong vis-à-vis competitors with regard to product quality/ appeal (especially on the hot doughnut factor), supply chain capabilities, and brand name/ reputation. It lacks the geographic coverage of Dunkin’ Donuts (in terms of outlets); geograph- ically, Tim Hortons is very strong in Canada but is well behind KKD in building a national presence across the U.S. (and is unlikely to pursue such expansion). Hortons and Dunkin Donuts have menu lineups that increase their appeal to customers not expressly wanting doughnuts, which in some respects is an advantage (particularly in attracting store traffic for lunches and snacks). LaMar’s apparently has a great doughnut, but the nutritional content of LaMar’s products would seem to be a serious disadvantage vis-à-vis KKD. While KKD is a smaller company than the parent companies of Dunkin Donuts and Tim Hortons, it definitely has the
  • 32. financial strength to fund its expansion program—so it is not at a size disadvantage that would seem to matter from a competitive and strategy execution standpoint. On the whole, we see KKD as being in very good shape to take on the rivals that it confronts and be successful. There would seem to be no reason to locate new case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 255 Krispy Kreme stores so close to the stores of rivals that head- to-head competition at the local store level would prove to be a serious detriment to KKD’s expansion and franchising efforts. 6. On the basis of your assessment above, what do you think of the company’s growth prospects? Just how good are they? What evidence supports your answer? What size growth rate do you believe Krispy Kreme can achieve over the next five years? While it is easy for students to say that the company’s growth prospects are “good” (it is hard to come to any lesser conclusion), the really substantive issue is just what size growth rate appears to be sustainable over the next several years. � Can the company reasonably expect to achieve its stated targets of 20 percent annual revenue growth, mid-single digit comparable store sales growth, and 25 percent annual growth in earnings per share? Can it do even better? Might it
  • 33. well come up short? � And what evidence supports what conclusion? � What will have to happen for Krispy Kreme’s earnings to grow 25% annually while its revenues are growing only 20% annually? Here is a golden opportunity to press the class for some number-crunching evidence and to arrive at some solid, educated estimates of KKD’s growth prospects. Here’s some of the number- crunching that can be done: � The table below, based on store sales data provided in the case, is a better indicator of the annual sales volumes at the newer stores that form the core of KKD’s strategy and expansion program and that provide the best signals of the company’s future growth potential. Average weekly sales Annual sales in 2000 in 2000 (as per info in case) Stores opened in 1997 and 1998 $40,000 $2,080,000 Stores opened in 1999 $69,000 $3,588,000 Stores opened in 2000 $79,000 $4,108,000 (annualized—all of these stores were not open all year) All company-owned stores $69,000 $3,588,000 All franchised stores $43,000 $2,236,000
  • 34. � The average annual sales of all KKD stores, both company- owned and franchised, in 2000 was $2,575,000 (calculated by dividing systemwide sales of $448,129,000 by 174 stores— case Exhibit 1). � Rough estimates of KKD’s potential systemwide sales growth are shown in Table 2. Based on the indicated assumptions about the number of new store openings (well in line with what KKD ought to be able to achieve, assuming the present favorable reception for the company’s products continue), and assuming ongoing existing store sales increases of as much as 10% annually (somewhat optimistic) or as little as 6% annually (fairly realistic and in line with the company’s estimates of single-digit growth), then KKD should be able to show systemwide revenues of $1.04 to $1.2 billion by the end of fiscal year 2006. 256 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. Table 2 | Sales Projections for Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, 2002-2006 Estimate of KKD’s total Estimate of KKD’s total sales assuming 10% sales assuming 6% increase in sales at increase in sales at existing KKD stores existing KKD stores (in millions) (in millions)
  • 35. KKD’s systemwide sales in 2002 Sales of $448.1 million at existing 174 stores (year-end 2001) $492.9 $475.0 + sales at 36 new stores 2002 @$3.6 million per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 64.8 64.8 2002 sales total for 210 stores $557.7 $539.8 KKD’s systemwide sales in 2003 Sales at existing 210 stores (as of year-end 2002) $613.5 $572.2 + sales at 40 new stores @$3.6 million per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 72.0 72.0 2003 sales total for 250 stores $685.5 $644.2 KKD’s systemwide sales in 2004 Sales at existing 250 stores (year-end 2003) $754.0 $682.9 + sales at 45 new stores @$3.6 million per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 81.0 81.0 2004 sales total for 295 stores $835.0 $763.9 KKD’s systemwide sales in 2005 Sales at existing 250 stores (as of year-end 2004) $918.5 $809.7 + sales at 50 new stores @$3.6 million per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 90.0 90.0 2005 sales total for 345 stores $1,008.5 $899.7 KKD’s systemwide sales in 2006 Sales at existing 345 stores (as of year-end 2005) $1,109.4 $953.7 + sales at 50 new stores @$3.6 million
  • 36. per store times 50% (to adjust for fact that not all new stores are open all 52 weeks)* 90.0 90.0 2006 sales total for 395 stores $1,199.4 $1,043.7 *The assumption here is that new store openings will be evenly distributed across the year such that new stores, on average, will be open 26 weeks, thus generating new revenues on average of $1.8 million, instead of the full $3.6 million. case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 257 258 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. � If we assume, for simplicity, that 100% of the new stores opened are franchised stores, then KKD’s corporate revenues from company store sales in 2006, which totaled $213.7 million in fiscal year 2001, should rise to between $286.0 million (assuming comparable store increases of 6% annually) and $344.2 million (assuming comparable store increases of 10% annually) in fiscal year 2006. Subtracting estimated sales at company stores from the systemwide store sales estimates means that franchised store sales in 2006 should range between $754 million and $856 million. But KKD will have additional revenues from royalties and from the sales of ingredients. � Since KKD earns royalties of 4.5% on sales at franchised stores, its royalty stream from franchised store sales should be somewhere between $33.9
  • 37. million (given company store sales of $286 million) and $38.5 million (given company store sales of $344 million). To this royalty stream can be added the franchise fees of $20,000 to $40,000 per store (say an average of $30,000). Opening 50 new stores in 2006 should generate franchise fees of $1.5 million and produce total royalties from stores sales of between $35.4 and $40.0 million. � KKD reported systemwide store sales of $448 million in 2001 (case Exhibit 1) and company stores sales of $213.7 million (case Exhibit 2); it follows then that franchised store sales were $235.7 million in fiscal 2001. KKD’s sales of equipment and ingredients to franchised stores totaled $77.6 million in fiscal year 2001, equal to 32.9% of franchised stores sales. If this ratio continues to hold over upcoming years, given the estimates of franchised store sales in 2006 of between $754 million and $856 million, then KKM&D’s revenues in 2006 could come in the range of $248 million to $282 million. � The foregoing revenue estimates for KKD for 2006 are summarized below: Estimate of KKD’s total Estimate of KKD’s total sales in 2006, assuming sales in 2006, assuming 10% increase in sales at 6% increase in sales at existing KKD stores existing KKD stores (in millions) (in millions) KKD’s systemwide sales in 2006
  • 38. Sales at company-owned stores $344.2 $286.0 Royalty revenues 40.0 35.4 KKM&D $282.0 $248.0 Total $666.2 $569.4 The $666.2 million sales estimate translates into a 17.2% CAGR for the 2001-2006 period; the $569.4 million estimate translates into a CAGR of 13.6%. KKD could beat these estimates by adding company-owned stores (the calculations above assumed that all new stores opened were franchised stores, which made the calculations simpler). What these estimates indicate is that KKD will indeed have to open some company-owned stores to hit its 20% revenue growth target or else it will have to up the number of franchised store openings. One other concern should be noted. As more and more franchised stores are opened, the average sales per store may begin to erode some, since sales at some newly-opened stores may come from drawing customers away from existing stores. Furthermore, locating stores in less populated areas may result in lower sales per store. The addition of new coffee drinks should help boost KKM&D sales, as well as store sales. Conclusion: KKD can hit its growth targets of 20% annually,
  • 39. but it will be pressed to beat that target by very much. 7. What major issues do you think that Krispy Kreme management needs to address? Based on the points brought out in the above assessment, students ought not to have undue difficulty in zeroing in on the key issues confronting KKD management. We see the following issues as paramount: � Whether to push franchisees to accelerate the speed at which they are opening new stores in their franchised areas? � How many new company-owned stores to open and where to locate them? � How fast to pursue upgrades and expansion of the company’s coffee offerings? � Whether and when to begin to expand the menu offerings beyond doughnuts and coffee? What products, if any, might it make sense to consider? � Whether and when to begin opening stores in markets with fewer than 100,000 households? When should KK start to experiment with smaller stores sizes? � Whether and when to begin pursuing international expansion? What countries to enter first?
  • 40. We like to go to the board and record all the issues that the class believes management needs to address. This list then becomes the basis for making action recommendations. Normally, there should be action recommendations for each of the issues and problems identified. 8. What recommendations would you make to Krispy Kreme management to improve upon the strategy or otherwise sustain the company’s growth and profitability? Based on the issues identified above, we think actions along the lines indicated below are in order: � KKD management should meet with franchisees and explore again the plans for opening new stores—it would seem to make sense to accelerate the pace of new store openings, at least in those areas where the enthusiasm for Krispy Kreme products has been so great. � The new coffee products should be tested in company stores (and perhaps select franchised stores) and, as quickly as support systems can be put in place, the new coffee menu offerings should be rolled out systemwide before the end of 2001. � KKD management should begin immediately to explore stores sizes and designs appropriate for markets of fewer than 100,000 households. This could be done when older associate stores in areas with fewer than 100,000 households need to be closed and
  • 41. relocated. However, it doesn’t really make sense for KK to turn its attention prematurely to smaller markets before it completes efforts to “build out” or scatter stores throughout the larger metropolitan markets where new store openings are already planned. � KKD should proceed with efforts to locate units in foreign countries. Canada is a natural place to start foreign expansion (a Canadian franchisee is already opening stores in the eastern portions of Canada), but entering other country markets needs to be high on the action agenda for the 2002-2003 period. case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 259 � We would strongly caution against expanding the menu offering beyond coffee and doughnuts at this time. The company’s focus on doughnuts is a strength, not a weakness. Menu expansion may come later, but this is not the time for KKD to wander outside the market niche for coffee and doughnuts. � We think the company should proceed with opening 2-4 company-owned stores per year. KKD margins on selling its products through company-owned stores are somewhat better than on sales to franchised stores. 9. Would you buy this company’s stock? Why or why not? What size price- earnings ratio makes sense for a company with Krispy Kreme’s
  • 42. potential? If 70 times earnings is too big, as some analysts claim, what p-e multiple does make sense? In financial circles, there’s a fairly widespread conviction that one good way to judge whether a company’s stock price is “too high” or “a good value” or representative of “fair value” is by comparing the price-earnings ratio to the growth rate in a company’s earnings. Thus a company growing its earnings 25% annually should command a p-e ratio of about 25; a company growing earnings at 50% annually should command a stock price of about 50 times current earnings per share. Such logic further implies that if a company’s stock price entails a p-e ratio much above its earnings growth rate then its stock price is “overvalued.” If a company’s stock price is below its earnings growth prospects, the its stock is allegedly “undervalued.” Thus one way for students to judge whether Krispy Kreme’s stock price makes it a good stock to buy or a risky stock to buy hinges upon how they answer the question about the company’s growth prospects in question 6 above. Our calculations showed that 20% growth in revenues is reasonable; the recent strong improvements in the company’s net profit margin, the new plant for mixing ingredients (said to lower costs), and the potential for scale economies would seem to make 25% growth in earnings an attainable target. Our estimates would thus support a p-e ratio of 25. But there’s nothing in our calculations that would lead us to
  • 43. believe that Krispy Kreme could grow its earnings at a 70% annual rate over the next five years, which would imply that a stock price in the high 40s does indeed signal that Krispy Kreme stock is overvalued (assuming one buys the importance of the PEG ratio as a valid indicator of stock price valuation). In short, we think Krispy Kreme is a fine company, with a solid focused differentiation strategy, and solid growth prospects. But we would not be a buyer of its stock at these lofty price-earnings multiples. In our view, there is more downside risk to buying the stock in the high 40s than there is upside potential. We think this is what the stock analysts cited in the case meant when they said that, “It [the stock] has had a good run, but the numbers just don’t work” and “the odds are against this stock for long-term success.” 260 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. Epilogue Growth at Krispy Kreme continued to be brisk throughout 2001. New store first week sales continued to climb throughout the year, reaching an average in excess of $189,000 for the full fiscal year of 2002. This represents an increase of 21% over last year’s average of $155,596. The opening week record was set in this fourth quarter, with a new store in Seattle registering more than $454,000 in first-week sales and a new store in Toronto achieving first-week sales of $465,000 (in Canadian dollars). Although the Toronto sales figure was in Canadian dollars, the number of
  • 44. dozens sold was nearly four percent higher and the number of customer transactions was over 10 percent higher than in Seattle. An estimated 5 million Krispy Kreme doughnuts were being sold everyday, equal to more than 2 billion annually. The company’s stock split 2 for 1 on June 15, 2001 and began trading at the new split value of $42 ($84 per share prior to the split); it dropped to a low in the high 20s following the 9/11 terrorist attacks and then trended upward to about $45 per share at year-end 2001. In March 2002, Krispy Kreme’s stock was trading in the high 30s, with a very lofty price-earnings multiple of about 100 to 1. Company revenues increased 40.3% in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2002 to $114.9 million, while on a full-year basis, revenues were up 30.4% to $392.2 million. System-wide sales for the fourth quarter of 2002 were $182.6 million, an increase of 46.3%, while company store sales increased 31.9% to $75.4 million. For 2002, system-wide sales were $621.7 million, up 38.7% over 2001. Company store sales for 2002 increased 24.6% when compared to the full fiscal year of 2001. The Company noted that the results for 2002 reflected 53 weeks, an event that occurred every fifth year. As a result, the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2002 contained fourteen weeks. The Company indicated that top line growth and business momentum continued to be very strong, as measured by the three major drivers of system-wide sales growth—average new store first-week sales, new store openings, and comparable store sales growth. The
  • 45. second major driver of system-wide sales growth, the pace of new store openings, continued to exceed expectations. KKD opened 48 stores in fiscal 2002, bringing total stores at the end of the year to 218. Additionally, the Company opened three doughnut and coffee shops (stores featuring the new hot doughnut technology) in Charlotte, Greensboro, and Winston-Salem, North Carolina. Preliminary store opening expectations for fiscal 2003 called for 59 new stores and 10 to 15 doughnut and coffee shops. KKD management expressed comfort with its latest earnings guidance of $.44 per diluted share for fiscal year 2002 and $.61 per diluted share in fiscal 2003. As of February 3, 2002, KKD had cash and investments on hand in excess of $45 million, outstanding debt of approximately $8.3 million and availability under of a line of credit of approximately $32 million. KKD CEO Scott Livengood said, “Fiscal Year 2002 has been an exceptional year for the Company. Our new initiatives, including the small-format doughnut and coffee shop, international opportunity and expanded beverage program, combined with the continuing early stage build-out of our factory store network in North America create exceptional growth opportunities for Krispy Kreme for years to come. We are excited about the coming year.” The new manufacturing and distribution facility, under construction in Effingham, Illinois, was scheduled to open in April 2002. It would supply proprietary doughnut mix and other supplies to the
  • 46. growing number of stores in the Midwest, West, and Canada. case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc. 261 In September 2001, Krispy Kreme announced the development of a new proprietary doughnut technology which had the potential to substantially increase the number of stores featuring its signature “hot doughnut now” experience. The Company called this technology the “Krispy Kreme Hot Doughnut Machine.” The new machine, a conveyor oven and glazing system, closely resembled Krispy Kreme’s current doughnut production equipment manufactured by the company. The Hot Doughnut Machine, however, was designed to finish cooking and glazing doughnuts that had been prepared to a certain point at a factory store and delivered fresh to a store employing this technology. The result was a hot doughnut virtually identical to that experienced in Krispy Kreme’s traditional factory stores. Since this system was only finishing the doughnut making process, it required much less space, direct labor and investment than the full production process. An additional benefit of the new system was the ability to offer multiple varieties of hot doughnuts throughout the day. In October 2001, KKD announced that it would construct three new outlets in North Carolina (the previously mentioned stores in Charlotte, Greensboro, and Winston-Salem) to test the Company’s new Hot Doughnut Machine technology as well as introduce a new store design developed to reflect and enhance the brand’s core values. These stores also featured Krispy Kreme’s new expanded beverage
  • 47. program. The new look for these stores combined historical references (copies of 50-year-old company posters that were archived in the Smithsonian Institution) with modern elements including stainless steel and light woods. The new store format entailed a warm, inviting and updated environment, with colorful menu boards and employee uniforms complementing the decor. Krispy Kreme’s expanded beverage program featured three drip coffees ranging from light and smooth to deeper, more intense blends. It also included a line of flavored milks, espresso beverages, frozen coffee beverages, and other frozen beverages prepared with a variety of proprietary flavors. For the latest information on Krispy Kreme’s performance, please consult the periodically updated Case Epilogue Updates in the Instructor Center at www.mhhe.com/thompson. You might also wish to have your student visit the company’s website at www.krispykreme.com. 262 case 14 | Krispy Kreme Doughnuts, Inc.