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Global Warming: Pro and Con Debate
A Common Core Lesson
By
Dean Berry, Ed. D.
Gregg Berry, B. A.
•Free PowerPoint Version at
•Slideshare.com
•Type PPT title or dean r berry
Evaluating Pro and Con
Arguments for an Issue
Prepare to Write an
Argumentative Essay About
Global Warming
What is global warming?
What are carbon emissions?
What is the greenhouse effect?
What happens if we prepare for global warming and
it doesn’t keep getting warmer?
Issue: Is the earth warming
and is it caused by humans?
Let’s Think About the Issue
Is it possible for global warming to cause part of the United
States to have weather patterns that are colder and wetter
while droughts and heat waves occur in other parts of the
United States?
Are the oceans getting warmer?
What kind of problems will occur if the oceans continue
getting warming?
Let’s Think About the Issue
What are the different types of carbon emissions that
contribute to global warming?
What kind of problems could be caused by global
warming?
Why is there conflicting evidence about global
warming?
What do the vast majority of science experts say is
the cause of global warming?
What Do You Think?
Use your red or green card to signify your response
to this question.
Raise your red card if you disagree or your green
card if you agree.
Human activity causes global warming?
What Do You Think?
Raise Your Red or Green Card
Global warming is not a
real problem and is not
caused by humans.
Essential Questions to Guide our
Review of the Issue
• 1. What does the research data say about global
warming and climate change?
• 2. How do you know the research is reliable?
• 3. Are the arguments supported by logical
reasoning?
• 4. Is each argument supported by specific facts
and examples?
• 5. Which side of the issue is supported by a the
preponderance of the evidence?
Evaluating Evidence
Now that we have shared opinions, let’s examine
the evidence. Analyze the pro and con arguments
on the following frames and determine which
position presents the strongest case.
Global Warming 101 Excellent
3 min National Geographic
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oJAbATJCugs
A Brief History of Global Warming
3 min Excellent!!!!
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=McRYTC56DC4
Causes and Effects of Climate Change
3 min Excellent
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G4H1N_yXBiA
The 7 Insane Effects of Climate Change
11 min Great to take notes on the 7 effects
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mYJ9GJMgaw
What Trump’s Policies Mean for Global Warming
3 min Excellent Information on political
Consequences of Policies
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aX_FKhXOfiY
Read each argument closely to
see if it passes the smell test?
Take careful notes as you read
the following arguments.
Is Human Activity Primarily Responsible
for Global Climate Change?
Temperatures on earth have increased
approximately 1.4°F since the early 20th century.
Over this time period, atmospheric levels of
greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide (CO2)
and methane (CH4) have notably increased. Both
sides in the debate surrounding global climate
change agree on these points.
Review the Evidence and Arguments
The Pro Position
Numerous peer-reviewed studies have found that cell
phone use is not associated with an increased risk of brain
tumors. An Oct. 20, 2011 study of 358,403 Danish citizens –
the largest study of its kind to date – concluded that "there
was no association between tumors of the central nervous
system or brain and long term (10 years +) use of mobile
phones." A July 27, 2011 study found that there was no
association between cell phone use and brain tumor risks
among children and adolescents. Numerous other studies
published from 2001-2013 have similarly concluded that
there is no association between cell phone use and the
development of brain tumor.
The Pro Position
The pro side argues rising levels of
atmospheric greenhouse gases are a direct
result of human activities such as burning
fossil fuels, and that these increases are
causing significant and increasingly severe
climate changes including global warming,
loss of sea ice, sea level rise, stronger
storms, and more droughts. They contend
that immediate international action to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions is necessary to
prevent dire climate changes.
Reason # 1
PRO Human Causation
Overwhelming scientific consensus says human activity is
primarily responsible for global climate change. The 2010
Anderegg study found that 97-98% of climate researchers
publishing most actively in their field agree that human
activity is primarily responsible for global climate change.
The study also found that the expertise of researchers
unconvinced of human-caused climate change is
"substantially below" that of researchers who agree that
human activity is primarily responsible for climate
change. The 2013 Cook review of 11,944 peer-reviewed
studies on climate change found that only 78 studies
(0.7%) explicitly rejected the position that humans are
responsible for global warming.
A separate review of 13,950 peer-reviewed studies
on climate change found only 24 that rejected
human-caused global warming. A survey by German
Scientists Bray and Von Storch found that 83.5% of
climate scientists believe human activity is causing
"most of recent" global climate change. A separate
survey in 2011 also found that 84% of earth, space,
atmospheric, oceanic, and hydrological scientists
surveyed said that human-induced global warming is
occurring.
Reason # 2
Rising levels of human-produced gases released into the
atmosphere create a greenhouse effect that traps heat
and causes global warming. As sunlight hits the earth,
some of the warmth is absorbed by greenhouse gases in
the atmosphere such as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane
(CH4), and nitrous oxide (NO2). These gases trap heat and
cause the planet to warm through a process called the
greenhouse effect. Since 1751 about 337 billion metric
tons of CO2 have been released into the atmosphere from
the burning of fossil fuels and cement
production, increasing atmospheric CO2 from the pre-
industrial level of about 280 ppm (parts per million), to a
high of 400 ppm in 2013.
Methane, which is increasing in the atmosphere due
to agriculture and fossil fuel production, traps 84
times as much heat as CO2 for the first 20 years it is
in the atmosphere, and irresponsible for about one-
fifth of global warming since 1750. Nitrous oxide,
primarily released through agricultural practices,
traps 300 times as much heat as CO2. Over the 20th
century, as the concentrations of CO2, CH4, and
NO2 increased in the atmosphere, the earth warmed
by approximately 1.4°F
Reason # 3
The rise in atmospheric CO2 over the last century
was clearly caused by human activity, as it occurred
at a rate much faster than natural climate changes
could produce. Over the past 650,000 years,
atmospheric CO2 levels did not rise above 300 ppm
until the mid-20th century. Atmospheric levels of
CO2 have risen from about 317 ppm in 1958 to 400
ppm in 2013. CO2 levels are estimated to reach 450
ppm by the year 2040.
According to the Scripps Institution of Oceanology, the
"extreme speed at which carbon dioxide concentrations
are increasing is unprecedented. An increase of 10 parts
per million might have needed 1,000 years or more to
come to pass during ancient climate change events." Some
climate models predict that by the end of the 21st century
an additional 5°F-10°F of warming will occur.
Reason # 4
• The specific type of CO2 that is increasing in earth's
atmosphere can be directly connected to human
activity. CO2 produced by burning fossil fuels such as oil
and coal can be differentiated in the atmosphere from
natural CO2 due to its specific isotopic ratio. According
to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC),
20th century measurements of CO2 isotope ratios in the
atmosphere confirm that rising CO2 levels are the result
of human activity, not natural processes such as ocean
outgassing, volcanic activity, or release from other
"carbon sinks." US greenhouse gas emissions from
human activities in 2012 totaled 6.5 million metric
tons,which is equivalent to about 78.3 billion shipping
containers filled with greenhouse gases.
Reason # 5
• Average temperatures on earth have increased at a rate
far faster than can be explained by natural climate
changes. A 2008 study compared data from tree rings,
ice cores, and corals over the past millennium with
recent temperature records. The study created the
famous "hockey stick" graph, showing that the rise in
earth's temperature over the preceding decade had
occurred at a rate faster than any warming period over
the last 1,700 years. In 2012 the Berkeley scientists
found that the average temperature of the earth’s land
increased 2.5°F over 250 years (1750-2000), with 1.5°F of
that increase in the last 50 years. Lead
researcher Richard A. Muller, PhD, said "it appears likely
that essentially all of this increase [in temperature]
results from the human emission of greenhouse gases."
In 2013, a surface temperature study published in
Science found that global warming over the past 100
years has proceeded at a rate faster than at any time in
the past 11,300 years. According to the IPCC’s 2014
Synthesis Report, human actions are "extremely likely"
(95-100% confidence) to have been the main cause of
20th century global warming, and the surface
temperature warming since the 1950s is "unprecedented
over decades to millennia."
Reason # 6
• Global warming caused by human-produced greenhouse
gases is causing the Arctic ice cap to melt at an
increasing rate. From 1953–2006, Arctic sea ice declined
7.8% per decade. Between 1979 and 2006, the decline
was 9.1% each decade. As of 2014, Arctic sea ice was
being lost at a rate of 13.3% per decade. As the Arctic
ice cover continues to decrease, the amount of the sun’s
heat reflected by the ice back into space also decreases.
This positive-feedback loop amplifies global warming at a
rate even faster than previous climate models had
predicted. Some studies predict the Arctic could become
nearly ice free sometime between 2020-2060.
Reason # 7
• Sea levels are rising at an unprecedented rate due to
global warming. As human-produced greenhouse gases
warm the planet, sea levels are rising due to thermal
expansion of warming ocean waters as well as melt
water from receding glaciers and the polar ice
cap. According to the IPCC, there has been a
"substantial" human contribution to the global mean sea-
level rise since the 1970s, and there is "high
confidence"(8 out of 10 chance) that the rate of sea-level
rise over the last half century has accelerated faster than
it has over the previous 2,000 years. A 2006 study found
that "significant acceleration" of sea-level rise occurred
from1870 to 2004. Between 1961 and 2003 global sea
levels rose 8 inches.
• An Oct. 2014 study published in the Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences concluded that the rate of
sea level rise over the past century is unprecedented over
the last 6,000 years. A separate Oct. 2014 study said that
the global sea level is likely to rise 31 inches by 2100,
with a worst case scenario rise of 6 feet. Climate Central
predicts that 147 to 216 million people live in areas that
will be below sea level or regular flood areas by the end of
the century if human-produced greenhouse gas emissions
continue at their current rate
Reason # 8
• Ocean temperatures are rising at an unprecedented rate due
to global warming, and are causing additional climate
changes. The IPCC stated in a 2013 report that due to human-
caused global warming, it is "virtually certain" (99-100%
probability) that the upper ocean warmed between 1971 and
2010. An Oct. 2014 Nature Climate Change study said that
the oceans are the "dominant reservoir of heat uptake in the
climate system." A separate Oct. 2014 study found that the
oceans absorb more than 90% of the heat generated by
human-caused global warming. Since 1970 the upper ocean
(above 700 meters) has been warming 24-55% faster than
previous studies had predicted. A May 2013 study published
in Geophysical Research Letters found that between 1958-
2009 the rates of warming in the lower ocean (below 700m)
"appear to be unprecedented."
• According to an Oct. 2013 study, the middle depths of the
Pacific Ocean have warmed "15 times faster in the last 60
years than they did during apparent natural warming
cycles in the previous 10,000." Warmer ocean waters can
harm coral reefs and impact many species including krill,
which are vital to the marine food chain and which
reproduce significantly less in warmer water. Warming
oceans also contribute to sea level rise due to thermal
expansion, and warmer ocean waters can add to the
intensity of storm systems.
Reason # 9
Glaciers are melting at unprecedented rates due to global warming,
causing additional climate changes. About a quarter of the globe's
glacial loss from 1851-2010, and approximately two thirds of glacial
loss between 1991-2010, is attributable directly to global warming
caused by human-produced greenhouse gases. According to the
National Snow and Ice Data Center, global warming from human-
produced greenhouse gases is a primary cause of the
"unprecedented" retreat of glaciers around the world since the early
20th century. Since 1980 glaciers worldwide have lost nearly 40 feet
(12 meters) in average thickness. According to a 2013 IPCC report,
"glaciers have continued to shrink almost worldwide" over the prior
two decades, and there is "high confidence" (about an 8 out of 10
chance) that Northern Hemisphere spring snow continues to
decrease. If the glaciers forming the Greenland ice sheet were to
melt entirely, global sea levels could increase by up to 20
feet. Melting glaciers also change the climate of the surrounding
region. With the loss of summer glacial melt water, the temperatures
in rivers and lakes increase. According to the US Geological Service,
this disruption can include the "extinction of temperature sensitive
aquatic species."
Reason # 10
• Human-caused global warming is changing weather systems and
making heat waves and droughts more intense and more
frequent. The May 2014 National Climate Assessment report said
human-caused climate changes, such as increased heat waves
and drought, "are visible in every state." [ A Sep. 2014 American
Meteorological Society study found that human-caused climate
change "greatly increased" (up to 10 times) the risk for extreme
heat waves in 2013. According to an Aug. 2012 study published in
the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, there is a
"high degree of confidence" that the Texas and Oklahoma heat
waves and drought of 2011, and heat waves and drought in
Moscow in 2010, "were a consequence of global warming" and
that "extreme anomalies" in weather are becoming more common
as a direct consequence of human-caused climate change. A 2015
study found that globally, 75% of extremely hot days are
attributable to warming caused by human activity.
Reason # 11
• Dramatic changes in precipitation, such as heavier
storms and less snow, are another sign that humans are
causing global climate change. As human-produced
greenhouse gases heat the planet, increased humidity
(water vapor in the atmosphere) results. Water vapor is
itself a greenhouse gas. In a process known as a
positive feedback loop, more warming causes more
humidity which causes even more warming. Higher
humidity levels also cause changes in precipitation.
According to a 2013 report published in the Proceedings
of the National Academy of Sciences, the recorded
changes in precipitation over land and oceans "are
unlikely to arise purely due to natural climate
variability."
• Higher temperatures from global warming are also
causing some mountainous areas to receive rain rather
than snow. According to researchers at the Scripps
Institution of Oceanography, up to 60% of the changes
in river flow, winter air temperature, and snow pack in
the western United States (1950-1999) were human-
induced. Since 1991, heavy precipitation events have
been 30% above the 1901-1960 average in the
Northeast, Midwest, and upper Great Plains regions. A
2015 study found that global warming caused by human
actions has increased extreme precipitation events by
18% across the globe, and that if temperatures continue
to rise an increase of 40% can be expected.
Review the Evidence and Arguments
Con Arguments
Numerous peer-reviewed studies have shown an association
between cell phone use and the development of brain tumors.
According to a Mar. 2008 meta-analysis of cell phone studies there
is a "consistent pattern" connecting cell phone use and an
increased risk of developing glioma, a type of brain tumor. A Mar.
31, 2009 study found that long term cell phone use (10 years +)
"approximately doubles the risk" of being diagnosed with glioma
on the same side of the head where the cell phone is held. In Apr.
2013 another study of Swedish cell phone users also found an
association between cell phone use and the development of
glioma and acoustic neuroma - a benign tumor formation on the
nerve near the ear. That study’s conclusions were confirmed by a
different study in Apr. 2014. Other studies published from 2005-
2013 have similarly concluded that there is an association
between cell phone use and increased risk of developing brain and
head tumors.
The Con Position
The con side argues human-generated
greenhouse gas emissions are too small to
substantially change the earth’s climate and that
the planet is capable of absorbing those
increases. They contend that warming over the
20th century resulted primarily from natural
processes such as fluctuations in the sun's heat
and ocean currents. They say the theory of
human-caused global climate change is based on
questionable measurements, faulty climate
models, and misleading science.
Reason # 1
•CON Human Causation
More than one thousand scientists disagree that human
activity is primarily responsible for global climate
change. In 2010 Climate Depot released a report
featuring more than 1,000 scientists, several of them
former UN IPCC scientists, who disagreed that humans
are primarily responsible for global climate change. The
Cook review of 11,944 peer-reviewed studies found
66.4% of the studies had no stated position on
anthropogenic global warming, and while 32.6% of the
studies implied or stated that humans are contributing to
climate change, only 65 papers (0.5%) explicitly stated
"that humans are the primary cause of recent global
warming."
• A 2012 Purdue University survey found that 47% of
climatologists challenge the idea that humans are
primarily responsible for climate change and instead
believe that climate change is caused by an equal
combination of humans and the environment (37%), mostly
by the environment (5%), or that there’s not enough
information to say (5%). In 2014 a group of 15 scientists
dismissed the US National Climate Assessment as a
"masterpiece of marketing," that was "grossly flawed,"
and called the NCA’s assertion of human-caused climate
change "NOT true.
Reason # 2
• Earth's climate has always warmed and cooled, and the
20th century rise in global temperature is within the
bounds of natural temperature fluctuations over the past
3,000 years. Although the planet has warmed 1-1.4°F
over the 20th century, it is within the +/- 5°F range of the
past 3,000 years. A 2003 study by researchers at the
Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics found that
"many records reveal that the 20th century is probably
not the warmest nor a uniquely extreme climatic period
of the last millennium." A 2005 study published
in Nature found that "high temperatures - similar to those
observed in the twentieth century before 1990 - occurred
around AD 1000 to 1100" in the Northern Hemisphere.
• A 2013 study published in Boreas found that summer
temperatures during the Roman Empire and Medieval
periods were "consistently higher" than temperatures
during the 20th century. According to a 2010 study in
the Chinese Science Bulletin, the recent global warming
period of the 20th century is the result of a natural 21-
year temperature oscillation, and will give way to a "new
cool period in the 2030s.
Reason # 3
• Rising levels of atmospheric CO2 do not necessarily
cause global warming, which contradicts the core thesis
of human-caused climate change. Earth's climate record
shows that warming has preceded, not followed, a rise in
CO2. According to a 2003 study published in Science,
measurements of ice core samples show that over the
last four climactic cycles (past 240,000 years), periods of
natural global warming preceded global increases in CO2.
• In 2010 the Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences published a study of the earth's climate 460-
445 million years ago which found that an intense
period of glaciation, not warming, occurred when CO2
levels were 5 times higher than they are
today. According to ecologist and former Director of
Greenpeace International Patrick Moore, PhD, "there is
some correlation, but little evidence, to support a direct
causal relationship between CO2 and global
temperature through the millennia."
Reason # 4
• Global warming and cooling are primarily caused by
fluctuations in the sun's heat (solar forcing), not by
human activity. Over the past 10,000 years, solar minima
(reduced sun spot activity) have been "accompanied by
sharp climate changes." Between 1900 and 2000 solar
irradiance increased 0.19%, and correlated with the rise
in US surface temperatures over the 20th
century. According to a 2007 study published in Energy &
Environment, "variations in solar activity and not the
burning of fossil fuels are the direct cause of the
observed multiyear variations in climatic responses."
• In a 2012 study by Willie Soon, PhD, Physicist at
the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, a
strong correlation between solar radiation and
temperatures in the Arctic over the past 130 years
was identified. According to a 2012 study
published in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-
Terrestrial Physics, "up to 70
Reason # 5
• The rate of global warming has slowed over the last
decade even though atmospheric CO2 continues to
increase. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) recognized a slowdown in global warming
over the past 15 years in its 2013 report. According to
the Heartland Institute's 2013 NIPCC report, the earth
"has not warmed significantly for the past 16 years
despite an 8% increase in atmospheric CO2." In Aug.
2014 a study in the Open Journal of Statistics analyzed
surface temperature records and satellite measurements
of the lower atmosphere and confirmed that this
slowdown in global warming has occurred.
• According to Emeritus Professor of Meteorology at
the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Richard
Lindzen, PhD, the IPCC's "excuse for the absence of
warming over the past 17 years is that the heat is
hiding in the deep ocean. However, this is simply an
admission that the [climate] models fail to simulate
the exchanges of heat between the surface layers
and the deeper oceans..
Reason # 6
• Sea levels have been steadily rising for thousands of
years, and the increase has nothing to do with humans. A
2014 report by the Global Warming Policy Foundation
found that a slow global sea level rise has been ongoing
for the last 10,000 years. When the earth began coming
out of the Pleistocene Ice Age 18,000 years ago, sea
levels were about 400 feet lower than they are today and
have been steadily rising ever since.
• According to Professor of Earth and Atmospheric
Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology,
Judith Curry, PhD "it is clear that natural variability
has dominated sea level rise during the 20th
century, with changes in ocean heat content and
changes in precipitation patterns." Freeman Dyson,
Emeritus Professor of Mathematical Physics and
Astrophysics at the Institute for Advanced Study at
Princeton University, has stated that there is "no
evidence" that rising sea levels are due to
anthropogenic climate change.
Reason # 7
• Glaciers have been growing and receding for thousands of years
due to natural causes, not human activity. The IPCC predicted that
Himalayan glaciers would likely melt away by 2035, a prediction
they disavowed in 2010. In 2014 a study of study of 2,181
Himalayan glaciers from 2000-2011 showed that 86.6% of the
glaciers were not receding. According to a 2013 study of ice cores
published in Nature Geoscience, the current melting of glaciers in
Western Antarctica is due to "atmospheric circulation changes"
that have "caused rapid warming over the West Antarctic Ice
Sheet" and cannot be directly attributed to human caused climate
change. According to one of the study authors, "[i]f we could look
back at this region of Antarctica in the 1940s and 1830s, we would
find that the regional climate would look a lot like it does today,
and I think we also would find the glaciers retreating much as they
are today." According to Christian Schlüchter, Professor of
Geology at the University of Bern, 4,000 year old tree remains have
been found beneath retreating glaciers in the Swiss Alps,
indicating that they were previously glacier-free. According to
Schlüchter, the current retreat of glaciers in the Alps began in the
mid-19th century, before large amounts of human caused CO2 had
entered the atmosphere.
• According to one of the study authors, "[i]f we could
look back at this region of Antarctica in the 1940s and
1830s, we would find that the regional climate would
look a lot like it does today, and I think we also would
find the glaciers retreating much as they are
today." According to Christian Schlüchter, Professor of
Geology at the University of Bern, 4,000 year old tree
remains have been found beneath retreating glaciers in
the Swiss Alps, indicating that they were previously
glacier-free. According to Schlüchter, the current
retreat of glaciers in the Alps began in the mid-19th
century, before large amounts of human caused CO2
had entered the atmosphere.
Reason # 8
• Increased hurricane activity and other extreme weather
events are a result of natural weather patterns, not
human-caused climate change. According to a 2013
report from the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado
State University, the increase in human-produced CO2
over the past century has had "little or no significant
effect" on global tropical cyclone activity. The report
further states that specific hurricanes, including Sandy,
Ivan, Katrina, Rita, Wilma, and Ike, were not a direct
consequence of human-caused global
warming. Between 1995-2015 increased hurricane
activity (including Katrina) was recorded, however,
according to the NOAA, it was not the result of human-
induced climate change; it was the result of cyclical
tropical cyclone patterns, driven primarily by natural
ocean currents.
• Many types of recorded extreme weather events over
the past half-century have actually become less
frequent and less severe. Professor of Earth and
Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of
Technology, Judith Curry, PhD, states that she is
"unconvinced by any of the arguments that I have
seen that attributes a single extreme weather event,
a cluster of extreme weather events, or statistics of
extreme weather events" to human-caused climate
change. Richard Lindzen, PhD, Emeritus Professor of
Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology, also states that there is a lack of
evidence connecting extreme weather events such
as hurricanes, tornadoes, droughts, or floods, to
human-caused global warming.
Read the Article Again
Reason # 1
•CON Human Causation
More than one thousand scientists disagree that human
activity is primarily responsible for global climate
change. In 2010 Climate Depot released a report
featuring more than 1,000 scientists, several of them
former UN IPCC scientists, who disagreed that humans
are primarily responsible for global climate change. The
Cook review of 11,944 peer-reviewed studies found
66.4% of the studies had no stated position on
anthropogenic global warming, and while 32.6% of the
studies implied or stated that humans are contributing to
climate change, only 65 papers (0.5%) explicitly stated
"that humans are the primary cause of recent global
warming."
A separate review of 13,950 peer-reviewed studies
on climate change found only 24 that rejected
human-caused global warming. A survey by German
Scientists Bray and Von Storch found that 83.5% of
climate scientists believe human activity is causing
"most of recent" global climate change. A separate
survey in 2011 also found that 84% of earth, space,
atmospheric, oceanic, and hydrological scientists
surveyed said that human-induced global warming is
occurring.
Reason # 2
Rising levels of human-produced gases released into the
atmosphere create a greenhouse effect that traps heat
and causes global warming. As sunlight hits the earth,
some of the warmth is absorbed by greenhouse gases in
the atmosphere such as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane
(CH4), and nitrous oxide (NO2). These gases trap heat and
cause the planet to warm through a process called the
greenhouse effect. Since 1751 about 337 billion metric
tons of CO2 have been released into the atmosphere from
the burning of fossil fuels and cement
production, increasing atmospheric CO2 from the pre-
industrial level of about 280 ppm (parts per million), to a
high of 400 ppm in 2013.
Methane, which is increasing in the atmosphere due
to agriculture and fossil fuel production, traps 84
times as much heat as CO2 for the first 20 years it is
in the atmosphere, and irresponsible for about one-
fifth of global warming since 1750. Nitrous oxide,
primarily released through agricultural practices,
traps 300 times as much heat as CO2. Over the 20th
century, as the concentrations of CO2, CH4, and
NO2 increased in the atmosphere, the earth warmed
by approximately 1.4°F
Converse with Your Peers
Meet in small groups to discuss the
pros and cons of global warming and
climate change and take a group
position on the problem. Select a group
chairperson to lead the group and
report back to he class.
Discuss the following essential Questions.
Essential Questions to Guide our
Review of the Issue
• 1. What does the research data say about global
warming and climate change?
• 2. How do you know the research is reliable?
• 3. Are the arguments supported by logical
reasoning?
• 4. Is each argument supported by specific facts
and examples?
• 5. Which side of the issue is supported by a the
preponderance of the evidence?
Report Back to the Class
Present your findings
to the class. Which
side of the issue
does your group
support?
Why?
Write an Essay
Organize your ideas and prepare to write an
essay about the pros and cons of the causes
of global warming. Evaluate the arguments
and evidence on both sides of the issue.
Weigh the pros and cons and decide which
position is supported by the most persuasive
evidence.
Develop a Writing Plan
•Determine what your main
point will be, and write a
topic sentence that
provides focus for your
essay.
•Choose several main ideas
that support your topic
sentence.
•Sort your information into
supporting details with
facts and examples.
68
Use the five
paragraph essay
format to write
your paper.
69
70
Five Paragraph Essay
Outline
Introduction
What is my topic
sentence?
Body-Main Ideas
With supporting
details
Conclusion
How can I summarize
my paragraph?
How can I rephrase
my topic sentence?
Essays Require Three
Main Sections
Begin Your Essay With
a Carefully Crafted
Introduction
Get the Reader’s Attention and State Your Thesis
The Key Elements of a
Strong Introduction
Check Out This Sample Introduction
Details Must Support
the Main Ideas
Provide specific
facts, examples,
and reasons for
each main idea
in the body of
your essay
Create an Outline
Topic Sentence___________________________________
_______________________________________________
A. Main Idea_____________________________________
_______________________________________________
Details/Evidence__________________________________
_______________________________________________
Details/Evidence__________________________________
_______________________________________________
B. Main Idea_____________________________________
_______________________________________________
Details/Evidence__________________________________
________________________________________________
77
Prepare to Write
•Use your outline and write
an essay on your topic.
•As you write your rough
draft, it will be very
important to use special
words that enable you to
transition smoothly from one
idea to the next.
78
Transition Words
As you view these words,
select the words that help you
make transitions smoothly
from one idea to the next.
• as a result
• such as
• for example
• nevertheless
• for that reason
• finally
• at this time
• therefore
• furthermore
• in addition
• in conclusion
• as well as
79
Conclusion
Write a conclusion
for your essay
reviewing your main
points and
discussing why this
issue is so important
for our future.
Write a Strong Conclusion for Your Essay
Let’s Review a Good Conclusion
Review, Edit, and Rewrite
1. Re-read your essay several
times.
2. How can you improve your
sentences to communicate more
clearly?
3. Are your main ideas supported
by examples and details?
4. Exchange papers with another
student and read each other’s
essay out loud.
5. Make final corrections and write
the final draft of your polished
essay. 84
Use Technology to Help You Edit
Go the website www.paperrater.com, and you will
be able copy and paste your rough draft onto an
open field and click on a button to have your essay
analyzed for word choice, grammar, style, and
other writing skills. Re-write your essay and make
the recommended improvements. This is a free
site that is very easy to use.

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Dean r berry pro and con global warming

  • 1. Global Warming: Pro and Con Debate A Common Core Lesson By Dean Berry, Ed. D. Gregg Berry, B. A.
  • 2. •Free PowerPoint Version at •Slideshare.com •Type PPT title or dean r berry
  • 3. Evaluating Pro and Con Arguments for an Issue Prepare to Write an Argumentative Essay About Global Warming
  • 4. What is global warming?
  • 5. What are carbon emissions?
  • 6. What is the greenhouse effect?
  • 7. What happens if we prepare for global warming and it doesn’t keep getting warmer?
  • 8. Issue: Is the earth warming and is it caused by humans? Let’s Think About the Issue Is it possible for global warming to cause part of the United States to have weather patterns that are colder and wetter while droughts and heat waves occur in other parts of the United States? Are the oceans getting warmer? What kind of problems will occur if the oceans continue getting warming?
  • 9. Let’s Think About the Issue What are the different types of carbon emissions that contribute to global warming? What kind of problems could be caused by global warming? Why is there conflicting evidence about global warming? What do the vast majority of science experts say is the cause of global warming?
  • 10. What Do You Think? Use your red or green card to signify your response to this question. Raise your red card if you disagree or your green card if you agree. Human activity causes global warming?
  • 11. What Do You Think? Raise Your Red or Green Card Global warming is not a real problem and is not caused by humans.
  • 12. Essential Questions to Guide our Review of the Issue • 1. What does the research data say about global warming and climate change? • 2. How do you know the research is reliable? • 3. Are the arguments supported by logical reasoning? • 4. Is each argument supported by specific facts and examples? • 5. Which side of the issue is supported by a the preponderance of the evidence?
  • 13. Evaluating Evidence Now that we have shared opinions, let’s examine the evidence. Analyze the pro and con arguments on the following frames and determine which position presents the strongest case.
  • 14. Global Warming 101 Excellent 3 min National Geographic • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oJAbATJCugs
  • 15. A Brief History of Global Warming 3 min Excellent!!!! • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=McRYTC56DC4
  • 16. Causes and Effects of Climate Change 3 min Excellent • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G4H1N_yXBiA
  • 17. The 7 Insane Effects of Climate Change 11 min Great to take notes on the 7 effects • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7mYJ9GJMgaw
  • 18. What Trump’s Policies Mean for Global Warming 3 min Excellent Information on political Consequences of Policies • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aX_FKhXOfiY
  • 19. Read each argument closely to see if it passes the smell test? Take careful notes as you read the following arguments.
  • 20. Is Human Activity Primarily Responsible for Global Climate Change? Temperatures on earth have increased approximately 1.4°F since the early 20th century. Over this time period, atmospheric levels of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) have notably increased. Both sides in the debate surrounding global climate change agree on these points.
  • 21. Review the Evidence and Arguments The Pro Position Numerous peer-reviewed studies have found that cell phone use is not associated with an increased risk of brain tumors. An Oct. 20, 2011 study of 358,403 Danish citizens – the largest study of its kind to date – concluded that "there was no association between tumors of the central nervous system or brain and long term (10 years +) use of mobile phones." A July 27, 2011 study found that there was no association between cell phone use and brain tumor risks among children and adolescents. Numerous other studies published from 2001-2013 have similarly concluded that there is no association between cell phone use and the development of brain tumor.
  • 22. The Pro Position The pro side argues rising levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases are a direct result of human activities such as burning fossil fuels, and that these increases are causing significant and increasingly severe climate changes including global warming, loss of sea ice, sea level rise, stronger storms, and more droughts. They contend that immediate international action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions is necessary to prevent dire climate changes.
  • 23. Reason # 1 PRO Human Causation Overwhelming scientific consensus says human activity is primarily responsible for global climate change. The 2010 Anderegg study found that 97-98% of climate researchers publishing most actively in their field agree that human activity is primarily responsible for global climate change. The study also found that the expertise of researchers unconvinced of human-caused climate change is "substantially below" that of researchers who agree that human activity is primarily responsible for climate change. The 2013 Cook review of 11,944 peer-reviewed studies on climate change found that only 78 studies (0.7%) explicitly rejected the position that humans are responsible for global warming.
  • 24. A separate review of 13,950 peer-reviewed studies on climate change found only 24 that rejected human-caused global warming. A survey by German Scientists Bray and Von Storch found that 83.5% of climate scientists believe human activity is causing "most of recent" global climate change. A separate survey in 2011 also found that 84% of earth, space, atmospheric, oceanic, and hydrological scientists surveyed said that human-induced global warming is occurring.
  • 25. Reason # 2 Rising levels of human-produced gases released into the atmosphere create a greenhouse effect that traps heat and causes global warming. As sunlight hits the earth, some of the warmth is absorbed by greenhouse gases in the atmosphere such as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (NO2). These gases trap heat and cause the planet to warm through a process called the greenhouse effect. Since 1751 about 337 billion metric tons of CO2 have been released into the atmosphere from the burning of fossil fuels and cement production, increasing atmospheric CO2 from the pre- industrial level of about 280 ppm (parts per million), to a high of 400 ppm in 2013.
  • 26. Methane, which is increasing in the atmosphere due to agriculture and fossil fuel production, traps 84 times as much heat as CO2 for the first 20 years it is in the atmosphere, and irresponsible for about one- fifth of global warming since 1750. Nitrous oxide, primarily released through agricultural practices, traps 300 times as much heat as CO2. Over the 20th century, as the concentrations of CO2, CH4, and NO2 increased in the atmosphere, the earth warmed by approximately 1.4°F
  • 27. Reason # 3 The rise in atmospheric CO2 over the last century was clearly caused by human activity, as it occurred at a rate much faster than natural climate changes could produce. Over the past 650,000 years, atmospheric CO2 levels did not rise above 300 ppm until the mid-20th century. Atmospheric levels of CO2 have risen from about 317 ppm in 1958 to 400 ppm in 2013. CO2 levels are estimated to reach 450 ppm by the year 2040.
  • 28. According to the Scripps Institution of Oceanology, the "extreme speed at which carbon dioxide concentrations are increasing is unprecedented. An increase of 10 parts per million might have needed 1,000 years or more to come to pass during ancient climate change events." Some climate models predict that by the end of the 21st century an additional 5°F-10°F of warming will occur.
  • 29. Reason # 4 • The specific type of CO2 that is increasing in earth's atmosphere can be directly connected to human activity. CO2 produced by burning fossil fuels such as oil and coal can be differentiated in the atmosphere from natural CO2 due to its specific isotopic ratio. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 20th century measurements of CO2 isotope ratios in the atmosphere confirm that rising CO2 levels are the result of human activity, not natural processes such as ocean outgassing, volcanic activity, or release from other "carbon sinks." US greenhouse gas emissions from human activities in 2012 totaled 6.5 million metric tons,which is equivalent to about 78.3 billion shipping containers filled with greenhouse gases.
  • 30. Reason # 5 • Average temperatures on earth have increased at a rate far faster than can be explained by natural climate changes. A 2008 study compared data from tree rings, ice cores, and corals over the past millennium with recent temperature records. The study created the famous "hockey stick" graph, showing that the rise in earth's temperature over the preceding decade had occurred at a rate faster than any warming period over the last 1,700 years. In 2012 the Berkeley scientists found that the average temperature of the earth’s land increased 2.5°F over 250 years (1750-2000), with 1.5°F of that increase in the last 50 years. Lead researcher Richard A. Muller, PhD, said "it appears likely that essentially all of this increase [in temperature] results from the human emission of greenhouse gases."
  • 31. In 2013, a surface temperature study published in Science found that global warming over the past 100 years has proceeded at a rate faster than at any time in the past 11,300 years. According to the IPCC’s 2014 Synthesis Report, human actions are "extremely likely" (95-100% confidence) to have been the main cause of 20th century global warming, and the surface temperature warming since the 1950s is "unprecedented over decades to millennia."
  • 32. Reason # 6 • Global warming caused by human-produced greenhouse gases is causing the Arctic ice cap to melt at an increasing rate. From 1953–2006, Arctic sea ice declined 7.8% per decade. Between 1979 and 2006, the decline was 9.1% each decade. As of 2014, Arctic sea ice was being lost at a rate of 13.3% per decade. As the Arctic ice cover continues to decrease, the amount of the sun’s heat reflected by the ice back into space also decreases. This positive-feedback loop amplifies global warming at a rate even faster than previous climate models had predicted. Some studies predict the Arctic could become nearly ice free sometime between 2020-2060.
  • 33. Reason # 7 • Sea levels are rising at an unprecedented rate due to global warming. As human-produced greenhouse gases warm the planet, sea levels are rising due to thermal expansion of warming ocean waters as well as melt water from receding glaciers and the polar ice cap. According to the IPCC, there has been a "substantial" human contribution to the global mean sea- level rise since the 1970s, and there is "high confidence"(8 out of 10 chance) that the rate of sea-level rise over the last half century has accelerated faster than it has over the previous 2,000 years. A 2006 study found that "significant acceleration" of sea-level rise occurred from1870 to 2004. Between 1961 and 2003 global sea levels rose 8 inches.
  • 34. • An Oct. 2014 study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences concluded that the rate of sea level rise over the past century is unprecedented over the last 6,000 years. A separate Oct. 2014 study said that the global sea level is likely to rise 31 inches by 2100, with a worst case scenario rise of 6 feet. Climate Central predicts that 147 to 216 million people live in areas that will be below sea level or regular flood areas by the end of the century if human-produced greenhouse gas emissions continue at their current rate
  • 35. Reason # 8 • Ocean temperatures are rising at an unprecedented rate due to global warming, and are causing additional climate changes. The IPCC stated in a 2013 report that due to human- caused global warming, it is "virtually certain" (99-100% probability) that the upper ocean warmed between 1971 and 2010. An Oct. 2014 Nature Climate Change study said that the oceans are the "dominant reservoir of heat uptake in the climate system." A separate Oct. 2014 study found that the oceans absorb more than 90% of the heat generated by human-caused global warming. Since 1970 the upper ocean (above 700 meters) has been warming 24-55% faster than previous studies had predicted. A May 2013 study published in Geophysical Research Letters found that between 1958- 2009 the rates of warming in the lower ocean (below 700m) "appear to be unprecedented."
  • 36. • According to an Oct. 2013 study, the middle depths of the Pacific Ocean have warmed "15 times faster in the last 60 years than they did during apparent natural warming cycles in the previous 10,000." Warmer ocean waters can harm coral reefs and impact many species including krill, which are vital to the marine food chain and which reproduce significantly less in warmer water. Warming oceans also contribute to sea level rise due to thermal expansion, and warmer ocean waters can add to the intensity of storm systems.
  • 37. Reason # 9 Glaciers are melting at unprecedented rates due to global warming, causing additional climate changes. About a quarter of the globe's glacial loss from 1851-2010, and approximately two thirds of glacial loss between 1991-2010, is attributable directly to global warming caused by human-produced greenhouse gases. According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, global warming from human- produced greenhouse gases is a primary cause of the "unprecedented" retreat of glaciers around the world since the early 20th century. Since 1980 glaciers worldwide have lost nearly 40 feet (12 meters) in average thickness. According to a 2013 IPCC report, "glaciers have continued to shrink almost worldwide" over the prior two decades, and there is "high confidence" (about an 8 out of 10 chance) that Northern Hemisphere spring snow continues to decrease. If the glaciers forming the Greenland ice sheet were to melt entirely, global sea levels could increase by up to 20 feet. Melting glaciers also change the climate of the surrounding region. With the loss of summer glacial melt water, the temperatures in rivers and lakes increase. According to the US Geological Service, this disruption can include the "extinction of temperature sensitive aquatic species."
  • 38. Reason # 10 • Human-caused global warming is changing weather systems and making heat waves and droughts more intense and more frequent. The May 2014 National Climate Assessment report said human-caused climate changes, such as increased heat waves and drought, "are visible in every state." [ A Sep. 2014 American Meteorological Society study found that human-caused climate change "greatly increased" (up to 10 times) the risk for extreme heat waves in 2013. According to an Aug. 2012 study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, there is a "high degree of confidence" that the Texas and Oklahoma heat waves and drought of 2011, and heat waves and drought in Moscow in 2010, "were a consequence of global warming" and that "extreme anomalies" in weather are becoming more common as a direct consequence of human-caused climate change. A 2015 study found that globally, 75% of extremely hot days are attributable to warming caused by human activity.
  • 39. Reason # 11 • Dramatic changes in precipitation, such as heavier storms and less snow, are another sign that humans are causing global climate change. As human-produced greenhouse gases heat the planet, increased humidity (water vapor in the atmosphere) results. Water vapor is itself a greenhouse gas. In a process known as a positive feedback loop, more warming causes more humidity which causes even more warming. Higher humidity levels also cause changes in precipitation. According to a 2013 report published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the recorded changes in precipitation over land and oceans "are unlikely to arise purely due to natural climate variability."
  • 40. • Higher temperatures from global warming are also causing some mountainous areas to receive rain rather than snow. According to researchers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography, up to 60% of the changes in river flow, winter air temperature, and snow pack in the western United States (1950-1999) were human- induced. Since 1991, heavy precipitation events have been 30% above the 1901-1960 average in the Northeast, Midwest, and upper Great Plains regions. A 2015 study found that global warming caused by human actions has increased extreme precipitation events by 18% across the globe, and that if temperatures continue to rise an increase of 40% can be expected.
  • 41. Review the Evidence and Arguments Con Arguments Numerous peer-reviewed studies have shown an association between cell phone use and the development of brain tumors. According to a Mar. 2008 meta-analysis of cell phone studies there is a "consistent pattern" connecting cell phone use and an increased risk of developing glioma, a type of brain tumor. A Mar. 31, 2009 study found that long term cell phone use (10 years +) "approximately doubles the risk" of being diagnosed with glioma on the same side of the head where the cell phone is held. In Apr. 2013 another study of Swedish cell phone users also found an association between cell phone use and the development of glioma and acoustic neuroma - a benign tumor formation on the nerve near the ear. That study’s conclusions were confirmed by a different study in Apr. 2014. Other studies published from 2005- 2013 have similarly concluded that there is an association between cell phone use and increased risk of developing brain and head tumors.
  • 42. The Con Position The con side argues human-generated greenhouse gas emissions are too small to substantially change the earth’s climate and that the planet is capable of absorbing those increases. They contend that warming over the 20th century resulted primarily from natural processes such as fluctuations in the sun's heat and ocean currents. They say the theory of human-caused global climate change is based on questionable measurements, faulty climate models, and misleading science.
  • 43. Reason # 1 •CON Human Causation More than one thousand scientists disagree that human activity is primarily responsible for global climate change. In 2010 Climate Depot released a report featuring more than 1,000 scientists, several of them former UN IPCC scientists, who disagreed that humans are primarily responsible for global climate change. The Cook review of 11,944 peer-reviewed studies found 66.4% of the studies had no stated position on anthropogenic global warming, and while 32.6% of the studies implied or stated that humans are contributing to climate change, only 65 papers (0.5%) explicitly stated "that humans are the primary cause of recent global warming."
  • 44. • A 2012 Purdue University survey found that 47% of climatologists challenge the idea that humans are primarily responsible for climate change and instead believe that climate change is caused by an equal combination of humans and the environment (37%), mostly by the environment (5%), or that there’s not enough information to say (5%). In 2014 a group of 15 scientists dismissed the US National Climate Assessment as a "masterpiece of marketing," that was "grossly flawed," and called the NCA’s assertion of human-caused climate change "NOT true.
  • 45. Reason # 2 • Earth's climate has always warmed and cooled, and the 20th century rise in global temperature is within the bounds of natural temperature fluctuations over the past 3,000 years. Although the planet has warmed 1-1.4°F over the 20th century, it is within the +/- 5°F range of the past 3,000 years. A 2003 study by researchers at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics found that "many records reveal that the 20th century is probably not the warmest nor a uniquely extreme climatic period of the last millennium." A 2005 study published in Nature found that "high temperatures - similar to those observed in the twentieth century before 1990 - occurred around AD 1000 to 1100" in the Northern Hemisphere.
  • 46. • A 2013 study published in Boreas found that summer temperatures during the Roman Empire and Medieval periods were "consistently higher" than temperatures during the 20th century. According to a 2010 study in the Chinese Science Bulletin, the recent global warming period of the 20th century is the result of a natural 21- year temperature oscillation, and will give way to a "new cool period in the 2030s.
  • 47. Reason # 3 • Rising levels of atmospheric CO2 do not necessarily cause global warming, which contradicts the core thesis of human-caused climate change. Earth's climate record shows that warming has preceded, not followed, a rise in CO2. According to a 2003 study published in Science, measurements of ice core samples show that over the last four climactic cycles (past 240,000 years), periods of natural global warming preceded global increases in CO2.
  • 48. • In 2010 the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences published a study of the earth's climate 460- 445 million years ago which found that an intense period of glaciation, not warming, occurred when CO2 levels were 5 times higher than they are today. According to ecologist and former Director of Greenpeace International Patrick Moore, PhD, "there is some correlation, but little evidence, to support a direct causal relationship between CO2 and global temperature through the millennia."
  • 49. Reason # 4 • Global warming and cooling are primarily caused by fluctuations in the sun's heat (solar forcing), not by human activity. Over the past 10,000 years, solar minima (reduced sun spot activity) have been "accompanied by sharp climate changes." Between 1900 and 2000 solar irradiance increased 0.19%, and correlated with the rise in US surface temperatures over the 20th century. According to a 2007 study published in Energy & Environment, "variations in solar activity and not the burning of fossil fuels are the direct cause of the observed multiyear variations in climatic responses."
  • 50. • In a 2012 study by Willie Soon, PhD, Physicist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, a strong correlation between solar radiation and temperatures in the Arctic over the past 130 years was identified. According to a 2012 study published in the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar- Terrestrial Physics, "up to 70
  • 51. Reason # 5 • The rate of global warming has slowed over the last decade even though atmospheric CO2 continues to increase. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) recognized a slowdown in global warming over the past 15 years in its 2013 report. According to the Heartland Institute's 2013 NIPCC report, the earth "has not warmed significantly for the past 16 years despite an 8% increase in atmospheric CO2." In Aug. 2014 a study in the Open Journal of Statistics analyzed surface temperature records and satellite measurements of the lower atmosphere and confirmed that this slowdown in global warming has occurred.
  • 52. • According to Emeritus Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Richard Lindzen, PhD, the IPCC's "excuse for the absence of warming over the past 17 years is that the heat is hiding in the deep ocean. However, this is simply an admission that the [climate] models fail to simulate the exchanges of heat between the surface layers and the deeper oceans..
  • 53. Reason # 6 • Sea levels have been steadily rising for thousands of years, and the increase has nothing to do with humans. A 2014 report by the Global Warming Policy Foundation found that a slow global sea level rise has been ongoing for the last 10,000 years. When the earth began coming out of the Pleistocene Ice Age 18,000 years ago, sea levels were about 400 feet lower than they are today and have been steadily rising ever since.
  • 54. • According to Professor of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology, Judith Curry, PhD "it is clear that natural variability has dominated sea level rise during the 20th century, with changes in ocean heat content and changes in precipitation patterns." Freeman Dyson, Emeritus Professor of Mathematical Physics and Astrophysics at the Institute for Advanced Study at Princeton University, has stated that there is "no evidence" that rising sea levels are due to anthropogenic climate change.
  • 55. Reason # 7 • Glaciers have been growing and receding for thousands of years due to natural causes, not human activity. The IPCC predicted that Himalayan glaciers would likely melt away by 2035, a prediction they disavowed in 2010. In 2014 a study of study of 2,181 Himalayan glaciers from 2000-2011 showed that 86.6% of the glaciers were not receding. According to a 2013 study of ice cores published in Nature Geoscience, the current melting of glaciers in Western Antarctica is due to "atmospheric circulation changes" that have "caused rapid warming over the West Antarctic Ice Sheet" and cannot be directly attributed to human caused climate change. According to one of the study authors, "[i]f we could look back at this region of Antarctica in the 1940s and 1830s, we would find that the regional climate would look a lot like it does today, and I think we also would find the glaciers retreating much as they are today." According to Christian Schlüchter, Professor of Geology at the University of Bern, 4,000 year old tree remains have been found beneath retreating glaciers in the Swiss Alps, indicating that they were previously glacier-free. According to Schlüchter, the current retreat of glaciers in the Alps began in the mid-19th century, before large amounts of human caused CO2 had entered the atmosphere.
  • 56. • According to one of the study authors, "[i]f we could look back at this region of Antarctica in the 1940s and 1830s, we would find that the regional climate would look a lot like it does today, and I think we also would find the glaciers retreating much as they are today." According to Christian Schlüchter, Professor of Geology at the University of Bern, 4,000 year old tree remains have been found beneath retreating glaciers in the Swiss Alps, indicating that they were previously glacier-free. According to Schlüchter, the current retreat of glaciers in the Alps began in the mid-19th century, before large amounts of human caused CO2 had entered the atmosphere.
  • 57. Reason # 8 • Increased hurricane activity and other extreme weather events are a result of natural weather patterns, not human-caused climate change. According to a 2013 report from the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University, the increase in human-produced CO2 over the past century has had "little or no significant effect" on global tropical cyclone activity. The report further states that specific hurricanes, including Sandy, Ivan, Katrina, Rita, Wilma, and Ike, were not a direct consequence of human-caused global warming. Between 1995-2015 increased hurricane activity (including Katrina) was recorded, however, according to the NOAA, it was not the result of human- induced climate change; it was the result of cyclical tropical cyclone patterns, driven primarily by natural ocean currents.
  • 58. • Many types of recorded extreme weather events over the past half-century have actually become less frequent and less severe. Professor of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at the Georgia Institute of Technology, Judith Curry, PhD, states that she is "unconvinced by any of the arguments that I have seen that attributes a single extreme weather event, a cluster of extreme weather events, or statistics of extreme weather events" to human-caused climate change. Richard Lindzen, PhD, Emeritus Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, also states that there is a lack of evidence connecting extreme weather events such as hurricanes, tornadoes, droughts, or floods, to human-caused global warming.
  • 60. Reason # 1 •CON Human Causation More than one thousand scientists disagree that human activity is primarily responsible for global climate change. In 2010 Climate Depot released a report featuring more than 1,000 scientists, several of them former UN IPCC scientists, who disagreed that humans are primarily responsible for global climate change. The Cook review of 11,944 peer-reviewed studies found 66.4% of the studies had no stated position on anthropogenic global warming, and while 32.6% of the studies implied or stated that humans are contributing to climate change, only 65 papers (0.5%) explicitly stated "that humans are the primary cause of recent global warming."
  • 61. A separate review of 13,950 peer-reviewed studies on climate change found only 24 that rejected human-caused global warming. A survey by German Scientists Bray and Von Storch found that 83.5% of climate scientists believe human activity is causing "most of recent" global climate change. A separate survey in 2011 also found that 84% of earth, space, atmospheric, oceanic, and hydrological scientists surveyed said that human-induced global warming is occurring.
  • 62. Reason # 2 Rising levels of human-produced gases released into the atmosphere create a greenhouse effect that traps heat and causes global warming. As sunlight hits the earth, some of the warmth is absorbed by greenhouse gases in the atmosphere such as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (NO2). These gases trap heat and cause the planet to warm through a process called the greenhouse effect. Since 1751 about 337 billion metric tons of CO2 have been released into the atmosphere from the burning of fossil fuels and cement production, increasing atmospheric CO2 from the pre- industrial level of about 280 ppm (parts per million), to a high of 400 ppm in 2013.
  • 63. Methane, which is increasing in the atmosphere due to agriculture and fossil fuel production, traps 84 times as much heat as CO2 for the first 20 years it is in the atmosphere, and irresponsible for about one- fifth of global warming since 1750. Nitrous oxide, primarily released through agricultural practices, traps 300 times as much heat as CO2. Over the 20th century, as the concentrations of CO2, CH4, and NO2 increased in the atmosphere, the earth warmed by approximately 1.4°F
  • 64. Converse with Your Peers Meet in small groups to discuss the pros and cons of global warming and climate change and take a group position on the problem. Select a group chairperson to lead the group and report back to he class. Discuss the following essential Questions.
  • 65. Essential Questions to Guide our Review of the Issue • 1. What does the research data say about global warming and climate change? • 2. How do you know the research is reliable? • 3. Are the arguments supported by logical reasoning? • 4. Is each argument supported by specific facts and examples? • 5. Which side of the issue is supported by a the preponderance of the evidence?
  • 66. Report Back to the Class Present your findings to the class. Which side of the issue does your group support? Why?
  • 67. Write an Essay Organize your ideas and prepare to write an essay about the pros and cons of the causes of global warming. Evaluate the arguments and evidence on both sides of the issue. Weigh the pros and cons and decide which position is supported by the most persuasive evidence.
  • 68. Develop a Writing Plan •Determine what your main point will be, and write a topic sentence that provides focus for your essay. •Choose several main ideas that support your topic sentence. •Sort your information into supporting details with facts and examples. 68
  • 69. Use the five paragraph essay format to write your paper. 69
  • 70. 70 Five Paragraph Essay Outline Introduction What is my topic sentence? Body-Main Ideas With supporting details Conclusion How can I summarize my paragraph? How can I rephrase my topic sentence?
  • 72. Begin Your Essay With a Carefully Crafted Introduction
  • 73. Get the Reader’s Attention and State Your Thesis
  • 74. The Key Elements of a Strong Introduction
  • 75. Check Out This Sample Introduction
  • 76. Details Must Support the Main Ideas Provide specific facts, examples, and reasons for each main idea in the body of your essay
  • 77. Create an Outline Topic Sentence___________________________________ _______________________________________________ A. Main Idea_____________________________________ _______________________________________________ Details/Evidence__________________________________ _______________________________________________ Details/Evidence__________________________________ _______________________________________________ B. Main Idea_____________________________________ _______________________________________________ Details/Evidence__________________________________ ________________________________________________ 77
  • 78. Prepare to Write •Use your outline and write an essay on your topic. •As you write your rough draft, it will be very important to use special words that enable you to transition smoothly from one idea to the next. 78
  • 79. Transition Words As you view these words, select the words that help you make transitions smoothly from one idea to the next. • as a result • such as • for example • nevertheless • for that reason • finally • at this time • therefore • furthermore • in addition • in conclusion • as well as 79
  • 80. Conclusion Write a conclusion for your essay reviewing your main points and discussing why this issue is so important for our future.
  • 81. Write a Strong Conclusion for Your Essay
  • 82.
  • 83. Let’s Review a Good Conclusion
  • 84. Review, Edit, and Rewrite 1. Re-read your essay several times. 2. How can you improve your sentences to communicate more clearly? 3. Are your main ideas supported by examples and details? 4. Exchange papers with another student and read each other’s essay out loud. 5. Make final corrections and write the final draft of your polished essay. 84
  • 85. Use Technology to Help You Edit Go the website www.paperrater.com, and you will be able copy and paste your rough draft onto an open field and click on a button to have your essay analyzed for word choice, grammar, style, and other writing skills. Re-write your essay and make the recommended improvements. This is a free site that is very easy to use.