Current Planning Challenges for Kingston
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A fourth year seminar presentation at Queen's University on the current planning challenges for Kingston Ontario (2019)
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Current Planning Challenges for Kingston
- 1. current planning challenges for KINGSTON Presented by: Lindsey Fair, MBA, PhD candidate August 2018
- 4. Population: 167,965 Avg income: $49,778 Avg household income = $92,572 2.31 people per household 47,995 own their dwelling 4,859 have citizenship other than Canadian 19,898 are bilingual (French and English) 2nd largest city in eastern Ontario 30% non-religious, 28% Christian Winter temperate avg = -8C
- 7. airport
- 9. workforce 2.
- 10. 1. Smart 2. Aging 3. Transient 4. Not attracting new immigrants at same rate as urban centres
- 11. history 3.
- 14. 8 76 24 15 78 22 9 50 41 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 non-profit private sector public sector PercentageofLabourForce Sector Sector Comparison Canada Ontario Kingston
- 15. estate5. real
- 16. • temporary accommodation • demand • red tape • mortgage rates • foreign investment
- 17. we‘re doing OK
- 18. physicality
- 19. of life quality
Editor's Notes
- https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2016/dp-pd/prof/details/page.cfm?Lang=E&Tab=1&Geo1=CMACA&Code1=521&Geo2=PR&Code2=35&Data=Count&SearchText=King&SearchType=Begins&SearchPR=01&B1=All&TABID=1
- Proximity to urban centres / international cities Proximity to us border Mouth of st Lawrence, lake ontario and Rideau canal Edge / below 401
- 2.5 sides are water Limits to growth – due to physical landscape city divided by canal 401 is north ‘border’ but that’s not where we end Large amount of land = low population density, but all in one corner / economic hub especially as need for services / less farming Islands not officially part of us but do make up economy / rely on economy Dark sky preserve Unesco heritage site
- Kingston First capital of Canada Population: 167,965 (female 86,361 vs male 81,604) Avg income: $49,778 (males $57,076 vs female $43,058); household income = $92,572 2.31 people per household 47,995 own dwelling, 23, 435 rent 4859 have citizenship other than Canadian 19,898 are bilingual (French and english), other languages with over 1000 speakers = german, dutch, portugese, Italian, Spanish, Chinese 2nd largest in eastern ontario, low population density Younger population than other eastern ontario cities Highly educated population 30% non-religious, 28% Christian Lake ontario = moderating affect = cold spring, warm fall, windy city (thermals), humid Largest sectors = tourism, health care, education, retail, government About $1200 cheaper / month to live in Kingston than Toronto if renting, and save almost triple that if owning in both cities, salaries don’t compare at same rate (https://www.numbeo.com/cost-of-living/compare_cities.jsp?country1=Canada&city1=Kingston&country2=Canada&city2=Toronto) Claims to fame: Restaurants, Post-secondary institutions, Tragically hip, Corrections, Hockey, Sir john a – prime minister, 1000 islands, sailing
- Space for transportation is the issue.
- CFIB – Canadian federation of independent business 2017 Highest shortage now since during the 2008 recession (http://www.cfib-fcei.ca/cfib-documents/rr3456.pdf) > retail, hospitality, construction 9,000 workers to fill a variety of positions over the next 15 years, noting the looming ‘talent deficit’ includes tour boat captains, nurses, chefs and stone masons, to name a few. (Rob Wood, 8020 info inc – consultant)
- Highest number of PhD’s per capita in country, skilled labour jobs going unfiled, we are in a hyper-competitive labour market (more jobs than people looking for work). 5.4% unemployment, but not a match for jobs required. And 5.4 once of the lowest unemployment rates in canada right now. Meaning, businesses can’t find people – no pool to draw from. >1/4 of population over 60, >1/2 of population not workforce age (44,838 >60 yrs, 44,359 <24 = 89197 not workforce age, 78769 age 25-59) 30,000 of population are students and only here ¾ of year, 30,000 are tourists and not working = no stable workforce for businesses https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/corporate/reports-statistics/research/recent-immigrants-metropolitan-areas-canada-comparative-profile-based-on-2001-census/partg.html , 70% of new immigrants to canada live in our 3 largest cities https://novascotia.ca/finance/statistics/news.asp?id=12532 > STUDY: IMMIGRATION AND DIVERSITY: POPULATION PROJECTIONS FOR CANADA AND ITS REGIONS, 2011 TO 2036 Not really changing https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/91-214-x/2017000/section01-eng.htm Our natural growth is declining, so only way to grow labour force is through immigration – and we punch above our weight in many categories but not international
- Controversial famous people not our biggest issue
- Infrastructure ICT / broadband Haves vs have nots, north of city Replacement burdens Schools = risk to hollowing out affect Can’t keep up with growth NIMBY effect Limited bikability, roads tricky for high speed travel, old plans / small roads Bylaws – building height, red tape / process still not full amalgamated Sector specificity – leads to next challenge of sector dependency
- Public sector = 26% (just with top 9, other smaller ministries / boards exist) of population work in public sector (cfb Kingston, kgh, ldsb, corrections, providence, city, hotel dieu, slc, ministry of health) vulnerable to public sector budget, policy, spending – hiring / salary freezes, provide stability but not necessarily innovation or contribute in same way to local community – sport team sponsorship for example, sometimes further transient populations – military for example (largest base in Canada) Salaries / packages sometimes hard for local employers to compete for talent Don’t pay taxes Some of this goes back to history / physical geography First capital – military, education Limestone – corrections Centrality – health care Private sector = top 9 private employers only equate to 4% of economy (invista, starteck, empire life, agnew foods, calian tech, bell, novelis, tim hortons distribution, Assurant – we take coffee very seriously – must be all the studying) Tourism – vulnerable to economy, in particular US economy and policy regarding travel, seasonal economy Statistics Canada. Table 14-10-0288-02 Employment by class of worker, monthly, seasonally adjusted (x 1,000) business.kingstoncanada.com/.../KingstonLabourMarketAnalysisReport-Feb112013FINAL.pdf 11,972.90 private 76% 3,798.80 public 24% 15,771.70 total 1,200.00 non-profit 8% canada 4,751.40 private 78% 1,368.50 public 22% 6,119.90 total 917.99 non-profit 15% ontario 8553 non-profit 82436 9% 45495 private 50% 36942 public 41% 90989 total kingston
- The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation’s rental market report city’s rental housing vacancy rate to its lowest level in almost 30 years. lowest vacancy rate in Ontario in 2017 0.7 per cent, the Kingston Census Metropolitan Area less than half the provincial average of 1.5 per cent. dropped from 2.6 per cent in 2016. “This change in vacancy rate over a one-year period is significant,” a report to council from city staff stated. “A healthy vacancy rate is considered to be around three per cent.” Factors = temporary accommodation (Airbnb) – 450 listings, comparable to London which is double our size Demand – international students growth, not staying in residence Builders purchase land, but don’t begin building – waiting for more money? Red tape of ontario government holding up permits Building height bylaw Mortgage rates go up even slightly, less renters become home buyers Foreign investment – but less so for us than urban areas implications = rents go up (challenge on affordable housing, pushing people that need access to services beyond core where services exist) – 3% increase this year = immigrants don’t come = people buy when they shouldn’t, drain on economy
- I can’t end a presentation with what’s wrong with my city without celebrating what is good with it.
- We have physical assets that keep our downtown and tourism sectors in demand. And may even be keeping our residences healtheir = Top 50% of healthiest cities in canada – including mental health (101 health regions in Statistics Canada's 2013 Health Profile.) Our downtown is thriving. – year over year wins awards, in part due to physical traits for sure Tourism – US politics has meant an increase in ‘staycations’ In the middle of everything, not in the middle of nowhere
- Quality of Life: Officially a ‘smart city’, a safe city, a green city and on the way to being a sustainable city. Among colleagues that challenge you. Lots of outdoor activities. Good enough weather. Fresh water sailing capital, more restaurants per capita Can buy a house We have some of the cleanest water in the Great Lakes. (Lake Ontario Waterkeepers) One of the safest cities in Canada (5th)
- We have stability of public sector, but investments in private and B-companies (private for good) sectors on the rise = innovate Kingston – the breakout project, SLC innovation centre in DK
- International recognition and growth beginning to happen. #1 small city for FDI (foreign direct investment) Feihe International Inc., a China-based manufacturer of infant formula, announcing that it will open a facility in Kingston by 2019. 1,000 jobs during construction and 200 full-time jobs when completed Largest investments in Kingston history Canada Royal Milk, a division of Feihe International selected Kingston for their manufacturing location and research and development facility. The 320,000 square foot plant is now under construction in the Cataraqui Estates Business Park and is anticipated to be in operation by 2020. Frulact Group (Portugal) selected Kingston, Ontario as the home for their first North American. plant and research facility. The company acquired 15 acres of prime development land in the Cataraqui Estates Business Park with an option for an additional 15 acres and plans to hire approximately 50 employees. In May 2017, this 55,000 square foot facility opened and began manufacturing. In early 2018, Frulact announced a 30,000 square foot expansion to their Kingston facility - creating 75 jobs by 2019! Doubled our new immigrant population by double in 2017.
- Government is investing in Kingston: Public Schools Post-Secondary institutions Research Downtowns / Tourism Regional Health networks ICT / Broadband strategy in phase 1 The City’s IS&T and GIS departments are preparing the launch of a new public data mapping app called My Neighbourhood that visualizes city data including the location of parks, schools, libraries and fire stations as well as showing details of permit and development applications on a smartphone or tablet. The new app is expected to be available by late fall 2018. Labour Market The recently funded Workforce Data Analytics Pilot is a platform to provide support to jobseekers, workers, and employers by promoting a thriving workforce in Kingston through Artificial intelligence and cognitive computing and was developed by collaboration between the City, Queen’s Centre for Advanced Computing, IBM and SLC. Transportation Airport Third Crossing
- Most importantly…. We are the happiest city on the planet According to an Instagram study that is.