RISE OF THE CHAOTIC ACTOR:
    ADAPTING TO THE AGE OF ANONYMOUS
    Joshua Corman                                     CSA Chicago Chapter Meeting
    Director of Security Intelligence                              July 11th, 2012




Akamai Confidential              Powering a Better Internet                   ©2011 Akamai
About Joshua Corman @joshcorman

• Director of Security Intelligence for Akamai Technologies
    • Former Research Director, Enterprise Security [The 451 Group]
    • Former Principal Security Strategist [IBM ISS]

• Industry:
    • Expert Faculty: The Institute for Applied Network Security (IANS)
    • 2009 NetworkWorld Top 10 Tech People to Know
    • Co-Founder of “Rugged Software” www.ruggedsoftware.org
    • BLOG: www.cognitivedissidents.com

• Things I’ve been researching:
    • Compliance vs Security
    • Disruptive Security for Disruptive Innovations
    • Chaotic Actors
    • Espionage
    • Security Metrics


 Akamai Confidential                 Powering a Better Internet           ©2011 Akamai
Consequences: Value & Replaceability




       http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/10/24/a-replaceability-continuum/




Akamai Confidential                Powering a Better Internet                 ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Adaptive Persistent Adversaries




Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
6
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
20 Slides
     x 20 Seconds
     (6 min 40 sec)
   Joshua Corman
   @joshcorman
   Research Director
   Enterprise Security




   RSA 2011
   PechaKucha Happy Hour
   http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQEBYxp_vKs




Akamai Confidential                     Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Understanding Anonymous:
                      The Rise of the Chaotic Actor

                                                     Joshua Corman
                                                     @joshcorman

                                                     Director of Security
                                                        Intelligence
                                                     Akamai Technologies




                                                     2011 FlashTalks powered by PechaKucha




Akamai Confidential          Powering a Better Internet                           ©2011 Akamai
10
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
11
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Paradox Slide/Deliberate Disinformation




Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
http://www.csoonline.com/article/682511/the-rise-of-the-chaotic-actor-understanding-anonymous-and-ourselves
 Akamai Confidential                                              Powering a Better Internet                  ©2011 Akamai
Some men just want to see the world burn…




                                  14
Akamai Confidential     Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Lots & Lots of Anonymous Sects




                                  15
Akamai Confidential     Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Your Headline Here (in Title Caps)




                                    16
Akamai Confidential       Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
You Choose Your Own Level of Involvement




                                 17
Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Anonymous* Unmasked? [*Alleged]




Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
You Choose Your Own Level of Involvement




                                 19
Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
You Choose Your Own Level of Involvement




                                 20
Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Escalation?




                                21
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Anomalous Anonymous?




                                 22
Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
False Flags: Adaptive Persistent Adversaries




                      “Anonymous is God’s gift to the Chinese” – CISO


Akamai Confidential                    Powering a Better Internet       ©2011 Akamai
Cyber-Neo-McCarthyism




 I am not now…
        …nor have I
        ever been…
 …a member of
  Anonymous.
Akamai Confidential     Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Building a Better Anonymous…




                                 25
Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Building a Better Anonymous…




                                 26
Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
The easy answers             Suggested Background




                                27
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet    ©2011 Akamai
Joshua Corman
                         @joshcorman
   http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/12/20/building-a-better-anonymous-series-part-0/




                                                28
Akamai Confidential                   Powering a Better Internet                      ©2011 Akamai
PANEL: Whoever Fights Monsters…




Akamai Confidential             Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
1914




Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
With Great Power?




     "When you don't have centralized
     leadership, it doesn't matter what
     most will do, it matters what one
       of them will do," Corman said.


Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Control and Chaos
                      ”World War 3.0” by Michael Joseph Gross
                              Vanity Fair - May 2012




Akamai Confidential                Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Does not one cause the other?
                      ”World War 3.0” by Michael Joseph Gross
                              Vanity Fair - May 2012

                           “It’s a Trap” on shirt.woot.com




Akamai Confidential                Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Crossroads




Akamai Confidential     Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Chaotic                 Chaotic                           Chaotic
       Good                    Good                              Good

       Free                    Moral                           Legislation
      Speech                  Outrage                          Watchdog


                      Anonymous Identity/Meme
                                                                             Leave
                        “General Population”

                              MalSec?
      LulzSec
                               Chaotic
      Chaotic
                              Good? or
        Evil
                                Evil?


Akamai Confidential               Powering a Better Internet                     ©2011 Akamai
“If you believe something…”




Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Finger on the Pulse




Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Back to Anonymous 2020




Akamai Confidential      Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
The Future of Anonymous




Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
A Modern Pantheon of Adversary Classes


                                                               Actors
                                    Organized        Script
   States             Competitors                                  Terrorists         Hacktivists    Insiders        Auditors
                                      Crime         Kiddies



                                                        Motivations
    Financial                Industrial          Military               Ideological           Political            Prestige



                                                            Impacts
    Reputational                    Personal           Confidentiality                  Integrity               Availability



                                                            Targets
                                                Intellectual                                    Cyber           Core Business
 Credit Card #s           Web Properties                            PII / Identity
                                                  Property                                 Infrastructure         Processes



Akamai Confidential                                 Powering a Better Internet                                        ©2011 Akamai
Script Kiddies


                                                      Skiddie



                                                   Prestige/Profit



                                                   Confidentially,
                                                    Reputation



                                                   CCN/Fungible




Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet        ©2011 Akamai
Organized Crime


                                                     Organized
                                                       Crime



                                                       Profit



                                                   Confidentially,
                                                    Reputation



                                                   CCN/Fungible




Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet        ©2011 Akamai
Espionage: Adaptive Persistent Adversaries


                                                      State/Espionage




                                                     Industrial/Military




                                                       Confidentially,
                                                        Reputation



                                                    Intellectual Property
                                                        Trade Secrets
                                                        Infrastructure




Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet           ©2011 Akamai
Hactivists Chaotic Actors


                                                     Chaotic Hactivist




                                                    Ideological and/or
                                                          LULZ



                                                        Availability
                                                    Reputation Personal



                                                     Web Properties
                                                     Personal/Family
                                                        Exposure




Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet          ©2011 Akamai
Auditors


                                                    Auditor
                                                     QSA



                                                     Profit



                                                   Distraction
                                                      Fines


                                                   Credit Card
                                                       #s




Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet      ©2011 Akamai
Compare and Contrast Threat Actors


                                     Casual                                          State
                          QSA                        Chaotic Actor   Org Crime
                                    Attacker                                        APT/APA

                                                      Reputation,                   IP, Trade
                                                                       CCNs
                                                     Dirty Laundry                  Secrets,
Asset Focus              CCNs       CCNs…                             Banking
                                                     DDoS/Availabi                  National
                                                                     Fungible $
                                                           lity                   Security Data

Timeframe               Annual      Anytime            Flash Mobs    Continuous    Long Cons

  Target
                          NA         LOW                   HIGH        LOW           HIGH
Stickiness

Probability              100%        MED                       ?       HIGH             ?

 “Impact”               Annual $   1 and done           Relentless     Varies        Varies


  Akamai Confidential                   Powering a Better Internet                   ©2011 Akamai
Attacker Power - HD Moore’s Law


Moore’s Law:
 Compute power
 doubles every 18
 months
HDMoore’s Law:
 Casual Attacker
 Strength grows at
 the rate of
 MetaSploit


Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
HDMoore’s Law


                          100

                          90

                          80
       Success Rate (%)




                          70
                                                                                                        Adversary Classes
                          60                                                                                  Espionage
                                                                                                              Organized Crime
                          50                                                                            APT/APA
                                                                                                             Chaotic Actors
                          40                                                                            Organized Crime
                                                                                                             Casual Attacker
                                                                                                        Anon/Lulz
                                                                                                            Auditor/Assessor
                          30
                                                                                                        Casual
                          20                                                                            QSA

                          10

                            x

                                1       2    3     4    5      6      7      8      9    10   11   12

                                                 Defender “SecureOns”

                                    http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/


Akamai Confidential                                         Powering a Better Internet                                    ©2011 Akamai
HDMoore’s Law (continued)

                                                                   HDMoore’s Law
                          100

                          90

                          80
       Success Rate (%)




                          70
                                                                                                        Adversary Classes
                          60                                                                                  Espionage
                                                                                                              Organized Crime
                          50                                                                            APT/APA
                                                                                                             Chaotic Actors
                          40                                                                            Organized Crime
                                                                                                             Casual Attacker
                                                                                                        Anon/Lulz
                                                                                                            Auditor/Assessor
                          30
                                                                                                        Casual
                          20                                                                            QSA

                          10

                            x

                                1       2    3     4    5      6       7     8      9    10   11   12

                                                 Defender “SecureOns”

                                    http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/


Akamai Confidential                                         Powering a Better Internet                                    ©2011 Akamai
HDMoore’s Law (continued)

                                                                   HDMoore’s Law
                          100

                          90

                          80
       Success Rate (%)




                          70
                                                                                                        Adversary Classes
                          60                                                                                  Espionage
                                                                                                              Organized Crime
                          50                                                                            APT/APA
                                                                                                             Chaotic Actors
                          40                                                                            Organized Crime
                                                                                                             Casual Attacker
                                                                                                        Anon/Lulz
                                                                                                            Auditor/Assessor
                          30
                                                                                                        Casual
                          20                                                                            QSA

                          10

                            x

                                1       2    3     4    5      6       7     8      9    10   11   12

                                                 Defender “SecureOns”

                                    http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/


Akamai Confidential                                         Powering a Better Internet                                    ©2011 Akamai
HDMoore’s Law (continued)

                                                                   HDMoore’s Law
                          100

                          90

                          80
       Success Rate (%)




                          70
                                                                                                        Adversary Classes
                          60                                                                                  Espionage
                                                                                                              Organized Crime
                          50                                                                            APT/APA
                                                                                                             Chaotic Actors
                          40                                                                            Organized Crime
                                                                                                             Casual Attacker
                                                                                                        Anon/Lulz
                                                                                                            Auditor/Assessor
                          30
                                                                                                        Casual
                          20                                                                            QSA

                          10

                            x

                                1       2    3     4    5      6       7     8      9    10   11   12

                                                 Defender “SecureOns”

                                    http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/


Akamai Confidential                                         Powering a Better Internet                                    ©2011 Akamai
HDMoore’s Law (continued)

                                                                   HDMoore’s Law
                          100

                          90

                          80
       Success Rate (%)




                          70
                                                                                                        Adversary Classes
                          60                                                                                  Espionage
                                                                                                              Organized Crime
                          50                                                                            APT/APA
                                                                                                             Chaotic Actors
                          40                                                                            Organized Crime
                                                                                                             Casual Attacker
                                                                                                        Anon/Lulz
                                                                                                            Auditor/Assessor
                          30
                                                                                                        Casual
                          20                                                                            QSA

                          10

                            x

                                1       2    3     4    5      6       7     8      9    10   11   12

                                                 Defender “SecureOns”

                                    http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/


Akamai Confidential                                         Powering a Better Internet                                    ©2011 Akamai
HDMoore’s Law (continued)

                                                                   HDMoore’s Law
                          100

                          90

                          80
       Success Rate (%)




                          70
                                                                                                        Adversary Classes
                          60                                                                                  Espionage
                                                                                                              Organized Crime
                          50                                                                            APT/APA
                                                                                                             Chaotic Actors
                          40                                                                            Organized Crime
                                                                                                             Casual Attacker
                                                                                                        Anon/Lulz
                                                                                                            Auditor/Assessor
                          30
                                                                                                        Casual
                          20                                                                            QSA

                          10

                            x

                                1       2    3     4    5      6       7     8      9    10   11   12

                                                 Defender “SecureOns”

                                    http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/


Akamai Confidential                                         Powering a Better Internet                                    ©2011 Akamai
2011: Attacks Density (4Realz DBIR Style)




    “Only 55 of the 630 possible events have a value greater than
          0…90% of the threat space was not in play at all”
Akamai Confidential        Powering a Better Internet        ©2011 Akamai
2012: Attacks Density (4Realz DBIR Style)




    “Only 22 of the 315 possible events have a value greater than
         0…93.1% of the threat space was not in play at all”
Akamai Confidential        Powering a Better Internet        ©2011 Akamai
It’s all about Zombies




Akamai Confidential      Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Survival Guide/Pyramid




                       www.ruggedsoftware.org

                      Defensible Infrastructure

Akamai Confidential           Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Survival Guide/Pyramid




                       Operational Discipline

                      Defensible Infrastructure

Akamai Confidential           Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Survival Guide/Pyramid




                       Situational Awareness

                       Operational Discipline

                      Defensible Infrastructure

Akamai Confidential           Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Survival Guide/Pyramid


                         Countermeasures

                       Situational Awareness

                       Operational Discipline

                      Defensible Infrastructure

Akamai Confidential           Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Case Study: Zombie Killer of the Week




LanCope
BigFix (IBM)                                                     Countermeasures
NetWitness (RSA)
Fidelis XPS                                                  Situational Awareness
HBGary
FireEye                                                      Operational Discipline
ArcSight (HP)
                                                           Defensible Infrastructure

                 A real use case of 'better security' in the face of adaptive
           adversarieshttp://www.the451group.com/report_view/report_view.php?entity_id=66991

Akamai Confidential                     Powering a Better Internet                      ©2011 Akamai
Who are you playing against?




Akamai Confidential    Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Innovation Opportunities?


Start with a blank slate!

Operationalizing the Basics

More/Varied “Eyes & Ears”

Increased agility

Obtain/share adversary centric intel

Big Data & A.I. (more than hype)

Simulate adversary-driven scenarios


Akamai Confidential         Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Akamai Confidential   Powering a Better Internet   ©2011 Akamai
Thank You & Contact


Mar @ sudux.com
@krypt3ia
“anonymous” contributors
“unspecified” contributors




@attritionorg
@JoshCorman

http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/12/20/building-a-better-anonymous-series-part-0/




Akamai Confidential                      Powering a Better Internet                         ©2011 Akamai
THANK YOU…
    Joshua Corman             Director of Security Intelligence
    http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/




Akamai Confidential             Powering a Better Internet        ©2011 Akamai

Corman Anonymous Csa Chicago 20120712

  • 1.
    RISE OF THECHAOTIC ACTOR: ADAPTING TO THE AGE OF ANONYMOUS Joshua Corman CSA Chicago Chapter Meeting Director of Security Intelligence July 11th, 2012 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 2.
    About Joshua Corman@joshcorman • Director of Security Intelligence for Akamai Technologies • Former Research Director, Enterprise Security [The 451 Group] • Former Principal Security Strategist [IBM ISS] • Industry: • Expert Faculty: The Institute for Applied Network Security (IANS) • 2009 NetworkWorld Top 10 Tech People to Know • Co-Founder of “Rugged Software” www.ruggedsoftware.org • BLOG: www.cognitivedissidents.com • Things I’ve been researching: • Compliance vs Security • Disruptive Security for Disruptive Innovations • Chaotic Actors • Espionage • Security Metrics Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 3.
    Consequences: Value &Replaceability http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/10/24/a-replaceability-continuum/ Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 4.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 5.
    Adaptive Persistent Adversaries AkamaiConfidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 6.
    6 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 7.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 8.
    20 Slides x 20 Seconds (6 min 40 sec) Joshua Corman @joshcorman Research Director Enterprise Security RSA 2011 PechaKucha Happy Hour http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQEBYxp_vKs Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 9.
    Understanding Anonymous: The Rise of the Chaotic Actor Joshua Corman @joshcorman Director of Security Intelligence Akamai Technologies 2011 FlashTalks powered by PechaKucha Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 10.
    10 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 11.
    11 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 12.
    Paradox Slide/Deliberate Disinformation AkamaiConfidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 13.
  • 14.
    Some men justwant to see the world burn… 14 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 15.
    Lots & Lotsof Anonymous Sects 15 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 16.
    Your Headline Here(in Title Caps) 16 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 17.
    You Choose YourOwn Level of Involvement 17 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 18.
    Anonymous* Unmasked? [*Alleged] AkamaiConfidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 19.
    You Choose YourOwn Level of Involvement 19 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 20.
    You Choose YourOwn Level of Involvement 20 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 21.
    Escalation? 21 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 22.
    Anomalous Anonymous? 22 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 23.
    False Flags: AdaptivePersistent Adversaries “Anonymous is God’s gift to the Chinese” – CISO Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 24.
    Cyber-Neo-McCarthyism I amnot now… …nor have I ever been… …a member of Anonymous. Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 25.
    Building a BetterAnonymous… 25 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 26.
    Building a BetterAnonymous… 26 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 27.
    The easy answers Suggested Background 27 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 28.
    Joshua Corman @joshcorman http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/12/20/building-a-better-anonymous-series-part-0/ 28 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 29.
    PANEL: Whoever FightsMonsters… Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 30.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 31.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 32.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 33.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 34.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 35.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 36.
    1914 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 37.
    With Great Power? "When you don't have centralized leadership, it doesn't matter what most will do, it matters what one of them will do," Corman said. Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 38.
    Control and Chaos ”World War 3.0” by Michael Joseph Gross Vanity Fair - May 2012 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 39.
    Does not onecause the other? ”World War 3.0” by Michael Joseph Gross Vanity Fair - May 2012 “It’s a Trap” on shirt.woot.com Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 40.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 41.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 42.
    Crossroads Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 43.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 44.
    Chaotic Chaotic Chaotic Good Good Good Free Moral Legislation Speech Outrage Watchdog Anonymous Identity/Meme Leave “General Population” MalSec? LulzSec Chaotic Chaotic Good? or Evil Evil? Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 45.
    “If you believesomething…” Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 46.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 47.
    Finger on thePulse Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 48.
    Back to Anonymous2020 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 49.
    The Future ofAnonymous Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 50.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 51.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 52.
    A Modern Pantheonof Adversary Classes Actors Organized Script States Competitors Terrorists Hacktivists Insiders Auditors Crime Kiddies Motivations Financial Industrial Military Ideological Political Prestige Impacts Reputational Personal Confidentiality Integrity Availability Targets Intellectual Cyber Core Business Credit Card #s Web Properties PII / Identity Property Infrastructure Processes Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 53.
    Script Kiddies Skiddie Prestige/Profit Confidentially, Reputation CCN/Fungible Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 54.
    Organized Crime Organized Crime Profit Confidentially, Reputation CCN/Fungible Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 55.
    Espionage: Adaptive PersistentAdversaries State/Espionage Industrial/Military Confidentially, Reputation Intellectual Property Trade Secrets Infrastructure Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 56.
    Hactivists Chaotic Actors Chaotic Hactivist Ideological and/or LULZ Availability Reputation Personal Web Properties Personal/Family Exposure Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 57.
    Auditors Auditor QSA Profit Distraction Fines Credit Card #s Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 58.
    Compare and ContrastThreat Actors Casual State QSA Chaotic Actor Org Crime Attacker APT/APA Reputation, IP, Trade CCNs Dirty Laundry Secrets, Asset Focus CCNs CCNs… Banking DDoS/Availabi National Fungible $ lity Security Data Timeframe Annual Anytime Flash Mobs Continuous Long Cons Target NA LOW HIGH LOW HIGH Stickiness Probability 100% MED ? HIGH ? “Impact” Annual $ 1 and done Relentless Varies Varies Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 59.
    Attacker Power -HD Moore’s Law Moore’s Law: Compute power doubles every 18 months HDMoore’s Law: Casual Attacker Strength grows at the rate of MetaSploit Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 60.
    HDMoore’s Law 100 90 80 Success Rate (%) 70 Adversary Classes 60 Espionage Organized Crime 50 APT/APA Chaotic Actors 40 Organized Crime Casual Attacker Anon/Lulz Auditor/Assessor 30 Casual 20 QSA 10 x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Defender “SecureOns” http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/ Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 61.
    HDMoore’s Law (continued) HDMoore’s Law 100 90 80 Success Rate (%) 70 Adversary Classes 60 Espionage Organized Crime 50 APT/APA Chaotic Actors 40 Organized Crime Casual Attacker Anon/Lulz Auditor/Assessor 30 Casual 20 QSA 10 x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Defender “SecureOns” http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/ Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 62.
    HDMoore’s Law (continued) HDMoore’s Law 100 90 80 Success Rate (%) 70 Adversary Classes 60 Espionage Organized Crime 50 APT/APA Chaotic Actors 40 Organized Crime Casual Attacker Anon/Lulz Auditor/Assessor 30 Casual 20 QSA 10 x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Defender “SecureOns” http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/ Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 63.
    HDMoore’s Law (continued) HDMoore’s Law 100 90 80 Success Rate (%) 70 Adversary Classes 60 Espionage Organized Crime 50 APT/APA Chaotic Actors 40 Organized Crime Casual Attacker Anon/Lulz Auditor/Assessor 30 Casual 20 QSA 10 x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Defender “SecureOns” http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/ Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 64.
    HDMoore’s Law (continued) HDMoore’s Law 100 90 80 Success Rate (%) 70 Adversary Classes 60 Espionage Organized Crime 50 APT/APA Chaotic Actors 40 Organized Crime Casual Attacker Anon/Lulz Auditor/Assessor 30 Casual 20 QSA 10 x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Defender “SecureOns” http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/ Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 65.
    HDMoore’s Law (continued) HDMoore’s Law 100 90 80 Success Rate (%) 70 Adversary Classes 60 Espionage Organized Crime 50 APT/APA Chaotic Actors 40 Organized Crime Casual Attacker Anon/Lulz Auditor/Assessor 30 Casual 20 QSA 10 x 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Defender “SecureOns” http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/11/01/intro-to-hdmoores-law/ Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 66.
    2011: Attacks Density(4Realz DBIR Style) “Only 55 of the 630 possible events have a value greater than 0…90% of the threat space was not in play at all” Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 67.
    2012: Attacks Density(4Realz DBIR Style) “Only 22 of the 315 possible events have a value greater than 0…93.1% of the threat space was not in play at all” Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 68.
    It’s all aboutZombies Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 69.
    Survival Guide/Pyramid www.ruggedsoftware.org Defensible Infrastructure Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 70.
    Survival Guide/Pyramid Operational Discipline Defensible Infrastructure Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 71.
    Survival Guide/Pyramid Situational Awareness Operational Discipline Defensible Infrastructure Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 72.
    Survival Guide/Pyramid Countermeasures Situational Awareness Operational Discipline Defensible Infrastructure Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 73.
    Case Study: ZombieKiller of the Week LanCope BigFix (IBM) Countermeasures NetWitness (RSA) Fidelis XPS Situational Awareness HBGary FireEye Operational Discipline ArcSight (HP) Defensible Infrastructure A real use case of 'better security' in the face of adaptive adversarieshttp://www.the451group.com/report_view/report_view.php?entity_id=66991 Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 74.
    Who are youplaying against? Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 75.
    Innovation Opportunities? Start witha blank slate! Operationalizing the Basics More/Varied “Eyes & Ears” Increased agility Obtain/share adversary centric intel Big Data & A.I. (more than hype) Simulate adversary-driven scenarios Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 76.
    Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 77.
    Thank You &Contact Mar @ sudux.com @krypt3ia “anonymous” contributors “unspecified” contributors @attritionorg @JoshCorman http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/2011/12/20/building-a-better-anonymous-series-part-0/ Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai
  • 78.
    THANK YOU… Joshua Corman Director of Security Intelligence http://blog.cognitivedissidents.com/ Akamai Confidential Powering a Better Internet ©2011 Akamai