Cool? Or cold? Ljubljana - Energy Council

1. COP21 & Energy Union: cool? Or cold?
Ljubljana– Energy Council
(11 March 2016)
Jean-Michel Glachant
Director “Florence School of Regulation”
@ European University Institute – Florence (Italy)

2. WHY?

3. I/ COP 21 is cool
What was it about?
• About 200 countries entering an Agreement in April 2016-17
• Target is +2°C with smile to +1.5°C & all voluntary pledges;
with Launching big Conf in 2018 (grouping all pledges +
defining methodology & rules)
• First World Review 2023 then every 5 years (2028; etc)
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4. II/ Cool: Energy Union well started
What was it about?
• EU & MS already have their “Pledge & review” 2020-2030
• COP21 target +2°C goes well with EU 2020 and 2030 Targets
• EU (& MS?) will enter COP21 Agreement in April 2016
• First World Review only in 2023 hence EU can stick to its
2030 targets till 2028 World Conf?
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5. III/ Not so cool: Energy Union not so
well started
What was it about?
• Target +2°C goes well with 2020 and 2030 EU targets but
+1.5°C doesn’t; what will EU do for Launching big Conf in
2018 (world pledges + defining methodology & rules)?
• Nobody knows yet how EU (& MS?) own “EU 2018 Pledge &
Review” process will enter into 2018 World Launching Conf
• First World Review 2023? Does EU stick to today’s EU 2030
targets till (2028 World Conf)? > EU disappears from world
radar screen from 2016 to 2028? EU goes from cool to cold?
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6. IV/ Not so cool: Energy Union challenges
What was it about?
• EU entering “EnerUn pledge & review” 2020 - 2030 era: How
will it work as Energy Union is only “policy concept” with NO
new institution? > let’s review few challenges EnerUn pillars
• Pillar SoS Gas (listen FSR Podcast ‘von Sydow’: “Tusk key”
Energy Union”) Best friend “MS Gas SoS”: EU internal market
reality: where MS SoS policy higher, MS Market policy lower
• Pillar SoS Power “key” of MS “renationalization” Best friend
“MS Power SoS” is deep regionalization grids planning &
system operation; reality: where MS SoS policy high, MS
regionalization policy low (UK, Germany, France)
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7. V/ Not so cool bis: EnerUnion challenges
What was it about?
• Market Design Achievement of internal market (= erasing all
country borders) & Power Decarbonization should merge in
same new Market Design >> where are MS building
decarbonization investment on sustainable market frames?
• Distributed Generation & prosumers Power systems are
becoming local Where are “local system & market operation
frames” consistent with internal market?; robust cooperation
frames between TSOs & DSOs? Unbundling DSOs?
• Digital Retail Platforms Google-isation entering car driving>
driverless cars; where are driver-less energy retail platforms?
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8. www.florence-school.eu
To conclude? Yes COP21 cool reward given to EU
Decarb Policy
#But many Energy Union(s) could be drafted ahead
#EnUn cool till 2030?…or soon cold & colder?

9. www.florence-school.eu

10. www.florence-school.eu 10
Thank you for your attention
Email contact: jean-michel.glachant@eui.eu
Follow me on Twitter: @JMGlachant already 15 000 tweets
My web site: http://www.florence-school.eu