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![“If you’re smart enough to make [grow]
it, aggressive enough to sell it –
then any dummy can get it there.”
Lalonde quoted in Langley (1986)](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/7446ba98-6a5b-4f55-98bf-6faddbfa6204-151118190941-lva1-app6891/85/Cool-Logistics-2012-lin-2-320.jpg)
Uploaded byDanie Schoeman
Cool Logistics 2012 lin
Here are three things I hope to achieve: 1. Provide insightful analysis and recommendations to help address logistical constraints in Sub-Saharan African ports and their hinterlands. 2. Facilitate productive discussions on how to improve infrastructure like roads, railways, and cold storage to better connect ports and regional markets. 3. Offer a balanced perspective on opportunities and challenges with growing trade and investment from countries like China, considering both economic benefits as well as need for responsible partnerships.
Cool Logistics 2012 lin
- 1. Logistical Constraints inSub-Saharan Ports and Their Hinterland 25 April 2012
- 2. “If you’re smartenough to make [grow] it, aggressive enough to sell it – then any dummy can get it there.” Lalonde quoted in Langley (1986)
- 3. Dummy #1 “…it’s latebecause of a dock strike …”
- 4. Dummy #2 “…I canassure you your order is on the water …”
- 5. Dummy #3 “…your shipmentis waiting to be released …”
- 6. Dummy #4 “…looks likeyour order has been bumped …”
- 7. Dummy #5 “…sure, wecan do drop shipments …”
- 8. Dummy #6 “…there isa holdup at customs …”
- 9.
- 10. Hopeless Case OrHopeless Forecast? May 2000 “Floods in Mozambique; threats of famine in Ethiopia (again); mass murder in Uganda; the implosion of Sierra Leone; and a string of wars across the continent. The new millennium has brought more disaster than hope to Africa. Worse, the few candles of hope are flickering weakly.”
- 11. Hopeless Case OrHopeless Forecast? December 2011 “Since The Economist regrettably labelled Africa ‘the hopeless continent’ a decade ago, a profound change has taken hold.”
- 12. The Lions OfAfrica Starts To Roar 2001-2010 2011-2015 Angola 11.1 China 9.5 China 10.5 India 8.2 Myanmar 10.3 Ethiopia 8.1 Nigeria 8.9 Mozambique 7.7 Ethiopia 8.4 Tanzania 7.2 Kazakhstan 8.2 Vietnam 7.2 Chad 7.9 Congo 7.0 Mozambique 7.9 Ghana 7.0 Cambodia 7.7 Zambia 6.9 Rwanda 7.6 Nigeria 6.8 World’s Ten Fastest Growing Economies Economist Intelligence Unit (2011)
- 13. Burgeoning Traffic InThe Region’s Ports Region % Change CAGR East Africa 374.6% 14.1% Southern Africa 294.4% 11.4% West Africa 248.7% 9.5% Ocean Shipping Consultants (2008); UNCTAD Stats (2009)
- 14. Burgeoning Traffic InThe Region’s Ports AICD Ports Database (2008)
- 15. Burgeoning Traffic InThe Region’s Ports Region % Change CAGR East Africa 278% 10.7% Southern Africa 532% 18.2% West Africa 265% 10.2% Ocean Shipping Consultants (2008)
- 16. We Can’t KeepUp With Demand AICD Ports Database (2008)
- 17. We Can’t KeepUp With Demand AICD Ports Database (2008)
- 18. Globalisation Made TheWorld Flat! Spot your vessel ….. Vesseltracker.com (2012)
- 19. Not Like That!Like This … Rodrique (2010)
- 20. Are We JustNot Performing? Container Handling Performance Across Sub-Saharan Africa Ports Ocean Shipping Consultants (2008); AICD (2009) Competing against Port Said – 40 moves/hour & Tangier Med over 30 moves/hour Average for other ports typically 20 – 30 moves/hour
- 21. Are We JustNot Performing? Region Container handling (ship-to- gate) US$ General cargo (over-the- quay per metric ton) US$ East Africa 135-275 6-15 Southern Africa 110-243 11-15 West Africa 100-320 8-15 North Africa 110-260 8-15 Rest of world 80-154 7-9 Region Truck cycle times (hours) Dwell times (days) Minimum Average Maximum Minimum Average Maximum East Africa 3.5 5.5 24 5 12 28 Southern Africa 2 4 12 4 6 8 West Africa 6 10 24 11 15 30 North Africa 2.5 4 6 5 8 20 Gateway Container Handling and General Cargo Costs Ocean Shipping Consultants (2008) Typical Truck Cycle and Dwell Times
- 22. We Just Don’tGet To Practice Enough LSCI data from UNCTAD (2008, 2009)
- 23. This Is WhatIs Supposed To Happen … Rodrique & Notteboom (2010)
- 24. Gateways, Corridors AndInland Ports Rodrique & Notteboom (2010)
- 25. Spatial Modelling ForOptimising Hinterland Harvestchoice.org (2011)
- 26. Roads – ConnectingThe Dots African Development Bank (2008)
- 27. Roads - TheBurden Of Maintenance Corridor Length (km) Roads in good condition (%) Trade density (US$ million/km) Implicit speed (km/hour) Freight tariff (US$/tonne- km) Western 2050 72 8.2 6 0.08 Central 3280 49 4.2 6.1 0.13 Eastern 2845 82 5.7 8.1 0.07 Southern 5000 100 27.9 11.6 0.05 Teravaninthom and Rablland (2008)
- 28.
- 29. Railways - NotPulling Their Weight World Bank (2011)
- 30. Cold Chain…Plug points?...Electricity? AfricanDevelopment Bank (2008)
- 31. Port-Management Models Prevalence ofAlternative Institutional Models in Africa Ports AICD & World Bank (2009)
- 32. Growing Pace ofInstitutional Reform “Institutional reform is a prerequisite for the modernization of Africa’s ports. Positive signs of reform have appeared, and the pace is increasing, but much remains to be done.” Vagliasindi (2008)
- 33. What Needs ToChange? Rodrique (2010)
- 34. Enter The Dragon… Inflows of FDI from China into Sub-Saharan Africa UN Comtrade (2011)
- 35. And Then Some… Composition of FDI Stocks in Sub Saharan Africa from BICs UNCTAD (2006); Chinese Authorities
- 36. Context Matters, ButHistory Is Not Destiny Frost (2011) “Africa could be on the brink of an economic take-off, much like China was 30 years ago and India 20 years ago.” – World Bank
- 37. The Size OfThe Prize The Economist (2010)
- 38. The Size OfThe Prize The Economist (2010)
- 39. Africa Rising The Economistends its lead editorial with a helpful reminder: “Autocracy, corruption and strife will not disappear overnight. But at a dark time for the world economy, Africa’s progress is a reminder of the transformative promise of growth.”
- 40. What Are TheThree Things You Hope To Achieve? “Demosthenes, the greatest of Athenian orators, was asked what the three tests of a great speech were. “Action, action and action‟ was his reply.” James C. Humes