9. Trends are hard to predict ...
1998
1976 2003
2004
2003 2008
2009
2009
10. Trends are hard to predict ...
If you miss a trend – Then what?
11. Great inventions from the past…
MAGLEV TRAINS
NANOTECH
NON-INVASIVE
SURGERY
SATELLITES
SPACE SHUTTLES
DIGITAL CAMERAS
LAPTOPS &
COMPUTERS CREDIT CARDS BIOTECH
FAX
CHIPS
POWER FIBER OPTICS
PLANTS
MOBILE PHONES DIALYSIS
iPod
INTERNET
HEART-LUNG
MACHINES EMAIL
JETS
SEARCH ENGINES
RFID
TECHNOLOGY
DVDs
WEB
BROWSERS
12. … and future stories of success!
ARTIFICIAL
HEARTS
NEW DRUGS TO MOBILE PAYMENT
CURE AIDS OR
CANCER
ELECTRIC CARS
SMALL
BATTERIES AND
FUEL CELLS
CLEAN WATER GENETIC DISEASE
PREDICTION
SUPERSONIC
ENERGY COST +
PLANES
EFFICIENCY
SMART HOUSE
NEW FORMS OF NEW WAYS OF
PERSONALIZED
ENTERTAINMENT SHOPPING
INFORMATION
SEMANTIC
SEARCH
UNLIMITED
ACCESS AND
SPEED TO DATA
13. Do you have to invent something?
Original Copycat Copy-Copycat
Vs. Vs.
14. Speed to wealth:
No. of years until first 1st billion dollars made
John D. Rockefeller 25
Henry Ford 23
Warren Buffet 19
Bill Gates 12
S. Brin/L. Page 8
Marc Zuckerberg 4
Jay Walker 2
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
15. Industrial Farming of Startups
Eco-System
Risks
Execution
Business Model
Value Chain of founding
Time-to-market
Internationalization