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Grab some coffee and enjoy 
the pre-show banter before 
the top of the hour!
H T 
Technologies 
of 
2014
HOST: 
Eric 
Kavanagh
THIS 
YEAR 
is…
D 
ecision 
Management 
ž Data 
is 
not 
enough 
& 
experience 
is 
not 
enough 
ž Understanding 
trends 
is 
nice 
– 
predicting 
them 
is 
better 
ž Business 
performance 
ultimately 
drives 
decisions
ANALYST: 
Rick 
Sherman 
Founder, 
Athena 
IT 
Solutions 
ANALYST: 
Wayne 
Eckerson 
President, 
Eckerson 
Group 
GUEST: 
David 
Ross 
Senior 
Director 
of 
Product 
Management, 
FICO 
THE 
LINE 
UP
INTRODUCING 
Rick 
Sherman
Hot 
Technologies 
of 
2014: 
Connec4ng 
Data 
& 
Experience: 
How 
Decision 
Management 
Works 
Rick 
Sherman 
Athena 
IT 
Solu4ons 
rsherman@athena-­‐solu4ons.com 
Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions
From Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics 
Right Skills, Right Job 
• Data Scientists 
ü Very skilled 
ü Misunderstood & isolated 
• Business analysts 
ü Not stats, biz, eco or psych gurus 
ü Model consumers 
• Predictive Modeling 
ü Too labor intensive 
ü Self-service is misguided goal 
• Data Exploration & Preparation 
ü Big Data - Too Much Labor 
ü Data Integration - Silos 
Slide 9 Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions All rights reserved.
From Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics 
Right Architecture, Right Tools 
Analytical Hub & Predictive Analytics Platform 
Data scientists “in charge” 
Objectives: 
• Self-service BI 
• Improved time to market 
• Reusable & Embedded 
• Revisions 
Functional layers: 
• BI Portfolio 
• (Self-Service) Data Integration 
ü BI schema 
ü Ent Apps & External 
• Predictive analytics 
ü Modeling & Statistical Tools 
ü Data Visualization 
ü Development Platform 
Slide 10 Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions All rights reserved.
From Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics 
Right team, Right Approach 
Project Life-Cycle & Project Team 
Slide 11 Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions All rights reserved.
From Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics 
Next Steps 
Slide 12 Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions All rights reserved.
INTRODUCING 
Wayne 
Eckerson
Waves 
of 
BI 
High 
Business Value 
“What 
Statisticians/ 
Data Scientists 
Execs, Mgrs, 
analysts Workers 
happened?” 
scorecards Statistics, data 
mining, optimization Static & interactive 
© 
Eckerson 
Group 
LLC 
2010-20 
Reporting 
1980’s 
Analysis 
Prediction 
(Prescription) 
Monitoring 
Query, Excel, OLAP, 
Visual Discovery Dashboards, 
reports 
“Why did it 
happen?” 
“What’s 
happening?” 
“What will 
happen?” 
Low 
= Reporting 
= Analysis 
1990’s 2000’s 
All users Business 
Tools 
Users
Two 
Strains 
of 
Analy4cs 
Exploration & Analysis Prediction & Optimization 
Navigate historical data Model historical data 
© 
Eckerson 
Group 
LLC 
15 
Deductive 
Business analysts 
Ad hoc and viz tools 
Inductive 
Data scientists 
Data mining tools
© 
Eckerson 
Group 
LLC 
16 
Predic4ve 
Modeling 
Steps 
13% 
18% 
25% 
23% 
12% 
9% 
8% 
1. Project definition 
2. Data exploration 
3. Data preparation 
4. Model creation 
5. Scoring and deployment 
6. Model management 
Other 
Based 
on 
166 
responses, 
Wayne 
Eckerson, 
“Predic6ve 
Analy6cs: 
Extending 
the 
Value 
of 
Your 
DW 
Investment,” 
TDWI 
Research, 
2007.
Self-­‐service 
predic4ve 
analy4cs? 
© 
Eckerson 
Group 
LLC 
Workflow 
1. Select 
a 
func6on 
2. Load 
data 
3. Hit 
Run 
Business 
analysts 
Value 
1. Put 
power 
in 
more 
hands 
2. Prototyping 
3. Deliver 
“good 
enough” 
results
INTRODUCING 
David 
Ross
From Descriptive to Prescriptive: 
Evolving Your BI Strategy 
David Ross 
Senior Director, Product Management 
FICO 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. 
This presentation is provided for the recipient only and cannot be reproduced or shared without Fair Isaac Corporation’s express consent.
Moving 
from 
Insights 
to 
Tangible 
Solutions 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 20 Confidential.
Maturing from Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics 
Business 
Intelligence 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 21 Confidential. 
Descriptive 
Analytics 
Predictive 
Analytics 
Prescriptive 
Analytics 
Summarize Past and Current Behavior 
Automatically 
take the ideal action 
on each individual 
Target each decision 
to a customer’s 
future behavior 
Make different offers 
to groups 
of customers 
Understand 
the trends in 
the business 
Predict Future Behavior and Adapt 
Decision Value 
Analytic Capability
Decision Management Provides the Solution 
Increase decision accuracy by orders of magnitude 
Optimize for the best outcome across actions 
Adapt and learn to continually act correctly 
Develop and deploy solutions in a tenth of the time 
Deploy analytic models in hours not months 
Make changes in a fraction of the time and cost 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 22 Confidential. 
Benefits of Decision Management
Through innovative techniques… 
…drive more profitable decisions 
Transforming 1:1 marketing 
• Delivers over 100MM highly targeted offers every week. 
• Unprecedented scale in retail analytics. Individual recommendations selected 
from thousands of product categories each with their own ‘auto-generated 
propensity model’. 
• Creates a marketplace for manufacturer investments in 1:1 marketing. 
• New Innovations include: Time to Event Analytics and Up-lift Models 
“Coupons normally had a response rate of 1 percent or 2 percent. With eValues, as many 
as 20 percent to 30 percent of eligible customers collect the discount they are offered.” 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 23 Confidential. 
Linda Vytlacil, Vice President 
Member Insights and Innovation, Sam’s Club
The Strengths of Decision Management 
Historical Data 
Industry Data 
Transactional Data 
Policies and Guidelines 
24 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. 
Analytics/Modeling 
Business Rules 
Optimization 
Personalized Treatments 
Predictive Offers 
Optimal Pricing 
Consistency 
Accuracy 
Auditability 
Compliance 
Continuous Improvement 
Decision 
Management
Your Challenge: Do More… Do It Faster… Do It for Less… 
Deliver Cross-Channel 
Maintain and Update 
25 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. 
Do It with Fewer People 
Provide Single Customer View 
Add New Services 
Add New Products 
Assure Compliance 
Future-Proof Investment
Insight Thrives on Data 
► Access to any data, anytime 
► Assess what data is valuable 
► More reliable predictions 
► Better decisions 
► Understand the correlations from macro to 
micro data 
► Advanced analytic techniques develop 
advanced predictions 
► Mining consumers as a source of data 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 26 Confidential.
Analytics Give Decisions Insight 
“There is nothing so terrible as activity without insight” - Goethe 
► Connect data and experience 
► Analytics can predict what will happen 
and when 
► Decisions can determine the right action 
at the right time 
► Optimization will derive the best 
outcome for the business 
► Knowledge can be continually gained: 
Expertise → Insight → Optimal activity 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 27 Confidential.
Monitor, Act and Learn 
► Understand how your business is 
performing 
► Connect decision performance to 
overall business performance 
► Know when you and how you need 
to change 
► Align business performance 
improvement to cost of change 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 28 Confidential.
Shortening Time to Value Gains Earlier Returns 
► Business users controlling which 
decisions to improve and when 
► Simple and easy decision assessment, 
update and deployment 
► Business process and business 
decisions closely coupled 
► Faster integration, easier deployment 
and scalable infrastructure 
► Cloud and on-premise implementation 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 29 Confidential.
FICO® Decision Management Platform is at the heart of 
analytically driven applications 
AUTHOR EXECUTE MANAGE 
Big Data 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 30 Confidential. 
IMPROVE 
Analytics Optimization 
Decisions
Conclusions / Summary 
An effective and holistic decision management strategy 
creates a significant competitive advantage 
► The need to adapt and change only continues to increase 
► Decision management is central to improving business performance 
► Availability and access to data is exploding 
► The right data and insight ensure the best decisions are made 
► Understanding performance ensures the improvements made 
► Decisions can be made consistently across organizations 
► Complicated methods do not require complicated tools 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 31 Confidential.
Thank You 
Please contact FICO at: 
1-888-342-6336 
inside@fico.com 
© 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. 
This presentation is provided for the recipient only and cannot be reproduced or shared without Fair Isaac Corporation’s express consent.
THANK 
YOU! 
The 
Archive 
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Analysis 
www.insideanalysis.com 
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Connecting Data and Experience: How Decision Management Works

  • 1. Grab some coffee and enjoy the pre-show banter before the top of the hour!
  • 5. D ecision Management ž Data is not enough & experience is not enough ž Understanding trends is nice – predicting them is better ž Business performance ultimately drives decisions
  • 6. ANALYST: Rick Sherman Founder, Athena IT Solutions ANALYST: Wayne Eckerson President, Eckerson Group GUEST: David Ross Senior Director of Product Management, FICO THE LINE UP
  • 8. Hot Technologies of 2014: Connec4ng Data & Experience: How Decision Management Works Rick Sherman Athena IT Solu4ons rsherman@athena-­‐solu4ons.com Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions
  • 9. From Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics Right Skills, Right Job • Data Scientists ü Very skilled ü Misunderstood & isolated • Business analysts ü Not stats, biz, eco or psych gurus ü Model consumers • Predictive Modeling ü Too labor intensive ü Self-service is misguided goal • Data Exploration & Preparation ü Big Data - Too Much Labor ü Data Integration - Silos Slide 9 Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions All rights reserved.
  • 10. From Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics Right Architecture, Right Tools Analytical Hub & Predictive Analytics Platform Data scientists “in charge” Objectives: • Self-service BI • Improved time to market • Reusable & Embedded • Revisions Functional layers: • BI Portfolio • (Self-Service) Data Integration ü BI schema ü Ent Apps & External • Predictive analytics ü Modeling & Statistical Tools ü Data Visualization ü Development Platform Slide 10 Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions All rights reserved.
  • 11. From Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics Right team, Right Approach Project Life-Cycle & Project Team Slide 11 Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions All rights reserved.
  • 12. From Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics Next Steps Slide 12 Copyright © 2014 Athena IT Solutions All rights reserved.
  • 14. Waves of BI High Business Value “What Statisticians/ Data Scientists Execs, Mgrs, analysts Workers happened?” scorecards Statistics, data mining, optimization Static & interactive © Eckerson Group LLC 2010-20 Reporting 1980’s Analysis Prediction (Prescription) Monitoring Query, Excel, OLAP, Visual Discovery Dashboards, reports “Why did it happen?” “What’s happening?” “What will happen?” Low = Reporting = Analysis 1990’s 2000’s All users Business Tools Users
  • 15. Two Strains of Analy4cs Exploration & Analysis Prediction & Optimization Navigate historical data Model historical data © Eckerson Group LLC 15 Deductive Business analysts Ad hoc and viz tools Inductive Data scientists Data mining tools
  • 16. © Eckerson Group LLC 16 Predic4ve Modeling Steps 13% 18% 25% 23% 12% 9% 8% 1. Project definition 2. Data exploration 3. Data preparation 4. Model creation 5. Scoring and deployment 6. Model management Other Based on 166 responses, Wayne Eckerson, “Predic6ve Analy6cs: Extending the Value of Your DW Investment,” TDWI Research, 2007.
  • 17. Self-­‐service predic4ve analy4cs? © Eckerson Group LLC Workflow 1. Select a func6on 2. Load data 3. Hit Run Business analysts Value 1. Put power in more hands 2. Prototyping 3. Deliver “good enough” results
  • 19. From Descriptive to Prescriptive: Evolving Your BI Strategy David Ross Senior Director, Product Management FICO © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. This presentation is provided for the recipient only and cannot be reproduced or shared without Fair Isaac Corporation’s express consent.
  • 20. Moving from Insights to Tangible Solutions © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 20 Confidential.
  • 21. Maturing from Descriptive to Prescriptive Analytics Business Intelligence © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 21 Confidential. Descriptive Analytics Predictive Analytics Prescriptive Analytics Summarize Past and Current Behavior Automatically take the ideal action on each individual Target each decision to a customer’s future behavior Make different offers to groups of customers Understand the trends in the business Predict Future Behavior and Adapt Decision Value Analytic Capability
  • 22. Decision Management Provides the Solution Increase decision accuracy by orders of magnitude Optimize for the best outcome across actions Adapt and learn to continually act correctly Develop and deploy solutions in a tenth of the time Deploy analytic models in hours not months Make changes in a fraction of the time and cost © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 22 Confidential. Benefits of Decision Management
  • 23. Through innovative techniques… …drive more profitable decisions Transforming 1:1 marketing • Delivers over 100MM highly targeted offers every week. • Unprecedented scale in retail analytics. Individual recommendations selected from thousands of product categories each with their own ‘auto-generated propensity model’. • Creates a marketplace for manufacturer investments in 1:1 marketing. • New Innovations include: Time to Event Analytics and Up-lift Models “Coupons normally had a response rate of 1 percent or 2 percent. With eValues, as many as 20 percent to 30 percent of eligible customers collect the discount they are offered.” © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 23 Confidential. Linda Vytlacil, Vice President Member Insights and Innovation, Sam’s Club
  • 24. The Strengths of Decision Management Historical Data Industry Data Transactional Data Policies and Guidelines 24 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Analytics/Modeling Business Rules Optimization Personalized Treatments Predictive Offers Optimal Pricing Consistency Accuracy Auditability Compliance Continuous Improvement Decision Management
  • 25. Your Challenge: Do More… Do It Faster… Do It for Less… Deliver Cross-Channel Maintain and Update 25 © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. Do It with Fewer People Provide Single Customer View Add New Services Add New Products Assure Compliance Future-Proof Investment
  • 26. Insight Thrives on Data ► Access to any data, anytime ► Assess what data is valuable ► More reliable predictions ► Better decisions ► Understand the correlations from macro to micro data ► Advanced analytic techniques develop advanced predictions ► Mining consumers as a source of data © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 26 Confidential.
  • 27. Analytics Give Decisions Insight “There is nothing so terrible as activity without insight” - Goethe ► Connect data and experience ► Analytics can predict what will happen and when ► Decisions can determine the right action at the right time ► Optimization will derive the best outcome for the business ► Knowledge can be continually gained: Expertise → Insight → Optimal activity © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 27 Confidential.
  • 28. Monitor, Act and Learn ► Understand how your business is performing ► Connect decision performance to overall business performance ► Know when you and how you need to change ► Align business performance improvement to cost of change © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 28 Confidential.
  • 29. Shortening Time to Value Gains Earlier Returns ► Business users controlling which decisions to improve and when ► Simple and easy decision assessment, update and deployment ► Business process and business decisions closely coupled ► Faster integration, easier deployment and scalable infrastructure ► Cloud and on-premise implementation © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 29 Confidential.
  • 30. FICO® Decision Management Platform is at the heart of analytically driven applications AUTHOR EXECUTE MANAGE Big Data © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 30 Confidential. IMPROVE Analytics Optimization Decisions
  • 31. Conclusions / Summary An effective and holistic decision management strategy creates a significant competitive advantage ► The need to adapt and change only continues to increase ► Decision management is central to improving business performance ► Availability and access to data is exploding ► The right data and insight ensure the best decisions are made ► Understanding performance ensures the improvements made ► Decisions can be made consistently across organizations ► Complicated methods do not require complicated tools © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. 31 Confidential.
  • 32. Thank You Please contact FICO at: 1-888-342-6336 inside@fico.com © 2014 Fair Isaac Corporation. Confidential. This presentation is provided for the recipient only and cannot be reproduced or shared without Fair Isaac Corporation’s express consent.
  • 33.
  • 34. THANK YOU! The Archive Trifecta: • Inside Analysis www.insideanalysis.com • SlideShare www.slideshare.net/InsideAnalysis • YouTube www.youtube.com/user/BloorGroup