The document provides a comprehensive guide on writing an exploratory essay focused on earthquake prediction, emphasizing the need to outline the problem, its causes, and potential solutions. It highlights the importance of discussing the limitations of current prediction methods and includes suggestions for thesis statements and topics related to earthquake prediction. The essay should reflect the writer's research process and incorporate statistical analysis and various geological methods.

1. COMPLETE GUIDE ON
WRITING AN
EXPLORATORY ESSAY ON
EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

2. COMPLETE GUIDE ON WRITING AN EXPLORATORY
ESSAY
You won’t just be writing about the topic itself but rather establish arguments
on popular beliefs.
The essay should complement your research, explaining how you did it and
where you got the information. That’s what differentiates an exploratory essay
from a classic one; you need to tell the reader how you worked through that
problem.
The introduction should have a clear outline of what the problem is and why it
caught your attention. Tell your reader what the cause of the problem is,
who bears the responsibility and what the possible solutions are.
The body contains most of the information and should be able to sell your idea to
the reader. You should include where you got the information.
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3. 4 MUST-FOLLOW RULES FOR WRITING
AN EXPLORATORY ESSAY ON EARTHQUAKE
PREDICTION
The exploratory essay on earthquakes should be a retrospect of your
thinking process, while you’re working your way through a problem.
Mention, that to this day, there hasn’t been a system that can predict an
earthquake, big or small, with 100% accuracy. Too often predictions have been
labelled false alarms.
It is important to come up with forecasts that are based on a probabilistic
analysis because of the uncertainty in prediction parameters. It is not feasible that
the predictions are deterministic; the forecast of seismicity should be based on
statistical analysis.
Mention that the focal mechanism is a very important parameter that needs to
be considered during an earthquake forecast. Focal mechanisms along with
“time-space-size” are all very important parameters of an earthquake. Through
them, we can calculate low-frequency seismograms or static deformation of an
event.
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4. 1. Reliability of Deterministic Approach towards Earthquake Prediction
2. How Is Strain Accumulation on Plate Boundaries Calculated?
3. Reliability of Deterministic Approach towards Earthquake Prediction
4. What Causes Seismicity Variations
5. How Can Variations in Geochemical and Electromagnetic Signals Be
Used to Detect Earthquakes?
6. How Difficult Is it to Predict Earthquakes?
7. Prediction of Earthquakes through Low-frequency Seismograms or Static
Deformation of an Event
7+ TOPICS FOR THE EXPLORATORY ESSAY ON
EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
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5. 5 IDEAS FOR THESIS STATEMENTS FOR AN EXPLORATORY
ESSAY ON EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
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Quantitative methods can predict earthquakes far more efficiently. Global
tectonic gives us information about the strain accumulation on plate boundaries,
and through various geological and geodetic methods, tectonic deformation can
be measured.
Earthquake predictions are done for a few months, a year, or a decade. These
timescales depend on the earthquake mitigation measures or the technique
used.
It is much easier to devise the null hypothesis for extreme earthquakes because
their clustering is weak for at least a couple of years. Therefore, the Poisson
process can at times work on behalf of the null hypothesis.
Earthquakes are asymmetric in terms of time and amount of foreshocks are very
negligible. Since seismicity is asymmetric in nature, it is different from the flow of
fluids which is turbulent; this is why prediction of earthquakes is more difficult
than the prediction of weather.
Recent studies have shown that there is a relationship between stress and
earthquakes. However, certain difficulties have occurred due to the translation
into the designs of stress accumulation, earthquakes and stress tensors.
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6. 5 INTERESTING FACTS FOR AN EXPLORATORY ESSAY ON
EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
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The elements leading up to an earthquake are multidimensional. Therefore, it
is important to research space, magnitude and time-related aspects of the
earthquake.
Natural events like meteor impacts or volcanic eruptions can cause
earthquakes. However, the majority of the naturally-occurring earthquakes are
triggered by the earth plates movement.
Annually, up to 20,000 earthquakes are being recorded by The National
Earthquake Information Center all over the globe. Nonetheless, there are
millions of earthquakes estimated to occur each year, but they’re too weak to
be recorded.
More often than not, earthquakes are caused by various geological faults. At
the same time, they can also be caused by nuclear testing, landslides, mine
tests, as well as volcanic activities.
There are more earthquakes on the territory of the Northern Hemisphere in
contrast to the Southern Hemisphere.
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7. 1. Hough, S. E. (2007). Richter’s Scale: Measure of an Earthquake, Measure of a Man.
Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
2. Kagan, Y. (2015). Earthquakes: Models, Statistics, Testable Forecasts. Chichester:
Wiley & Sons.
3. Silver, N. (2015). The Signal And The Noise Why So Many Predictions Fail – But
Some Don’t. New York, NY: Penguin Books.
4. Advances in Earthquake Prediction. (2008). Berlin: Springer-Verlag Berlin and
Heidelberg GmbH & KG.
5. Earthquake Prediction with Radio Techniques. (2015). S.l.: John Wiley & Sons
(Asia) Pte.
6. Lomnitz, C. (1994). Fundamentals of earthquake prediction. New York: John Wiley
& Sons.
7. Earthquake Storms: The Fascinating History and Volatile Future of the San Andreas
Fault. (2014). S.l.: Pegasus Books.
REFERENCES:

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