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Law in the Global Marketplace Conference
Intellectual Property and Related Issues
Hosted by:
Comparative Patent Quality
November 4, 2015
Keynote Address
Colleen V. Chien
Associate Professor, Santa Clara University School of Law
Former White House Office of Science and Technology Policy
Contact: colleenchien@gmail.com, @colleen_chien
Patent quality is an international priority
2
“Only high-quality patents and processes
serve the needs of inventors, innovation
and society alike”
- EPO Annual Report 2014
"I know well the difficulty of drawing a line between the
things which are worth to the public the
embarrassment of an exclusive patent, and those
which are not.“ – Thomas Jefferson, 1813
3
The difficulty in ensuring patent quality are
not new
4
But recent developments highlight the cost
of low-quality patents
5
And the question of when and how broadly
quality filters should be applied
Stage of Patent
Lifecycle
Quality Mechanisms
Pre-Application Legal requirements, fees, quality of
submission, third-party submissions
Pre-Grant Prosecution levers
Post-Grant Post-Grant Procedures, Reissue,
Reexam, Maintenance Fees
This presentation applies a comparative lens
to patent quality
6
Bearing in mind that there are many differences
between the European and US systems…
7
Factor US Europe
Examiner Pay US civil service grades Double US levels,
limited taxes
Examiner Turnover ~33% per year 5% per year
Bifurcation of Search
& Examination
No Yes
Loser Pays No Yes
Sources: Drahos (2010), van Pottelsberghe de la Potterie (2011), Temmerman (2013),
EPO, USPTO 2015
“And the wisdom to know the difference…”
This presentation considers US and EP ouctomes
at aggregate and “matched pair” levels
8
- “Exact match” matched pair approach for prosecution outcomes
(Graham & Harhoff, 2006). Filing date / priority date matches.
- Data sources: Innography, Lex Machina, PATSTAT, Google Patents,
WIPO/Schmcoch, NSF, PTO/EPO
- Related work: Jensen, et al. (2005, 2007, 2008 2011, 2014), Graham
& Harhoff (2006, 2009), Wright (2009), Sampat et al. (2015)
Exact
Match
The quantity and quality of patents in force is
the result of three sets of decisions
9
Patents in Force
Patent Application
x
Patent
Examination
x
Patent Renewal
Each is influenced by doctrinal, institutional,
economic, and market factors
10
Patents in Force
Patent Application
x
Patent
Examination
x
Patent Renewal
Comparing the US and EP at each of these
stages…
11
US PATENTS
(FILED 2002)
EPO PATENTS
(FILED 2002)
Sources: PATSTAT 2015 (application and grant numbers), Trilateral
Statistics 2002 Report (projected renewal rates).
273K US
applications
x
74% grant rate
x
37% projected*
Y20 renewal rate
75K US
patents in
force in Y20
120K EPO
applications
x
50% grant rate
x
12% projected*
Y20 renewal rate
6.9K EPO
patents in
force in Y20
EPO v. US PATENTS
(2002)
2.3 x applications
x
1.5 x grant rate
x
3x renewal rate
10x more US
patents in
force than EPO
At each stage, the US tilts towards more
quantity – ex: 2002
EPO v. US Patents
(Tech* 2002)
3.0 x
applications
x
1.8 x grant rate
x
3x renewal rate
17x more US
tech patents in
force than EPO
EPO v. US PATENTS
(2013)
3.8 x
applications
x
1.8 x grant rate
x
2x renewal rate
14x more US
patents in force
than EPO
2.3 x
applications
x
1.5 x grant rate
x
3x renewal rate
10x more US
patents in force
than EPO
Sources: PATSTAT 2015 (application and grant numbers), Trilateral Statistics
2002 Report (projected renewal rates).*“Electrical Engineering” patents as defined
by WIPO/Schmoch
EPO v. US PATENTS
(2002)
The disparities are greatest in tech, and
growing
What explains the differences in
applications?
EPO v. US PATENTS
(2002)
2.3 x applications
x
1.5 x grant rate
x
3x renewal rate
10x more US
patents in
force than EPO
The EPO did not experience the same surge in
tech patenting that the US did
$5.73 $5.44
$5.00
$1.04
$-
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
FIG__: R&D (in $M) per US Origin Patent Application
1980-2007 (inflation adjusted)
Chemicals Electrical Equipment and Computers
Source: NSF, USPTO via PATSTAT 2015, Lybbert and Zolas 2013
What has driven the surge in US tech patents?
Defensive/FTO driven patenting is likely one factor
- Relative value of US v. EU patents
- Scope of patentability
- Size, importance of US v. EU markets
- Loser pays in EU, overall enforcement
climate
Other factors that contribute to the differences
What explains the differences in grants?
EPO v. US PATENTS
(2002)
2.3 x applications
x
1.5 x grant rate
x
3x renewal rate
10x more US
patents in
force than EPO
Across categories US patents are more likely to be
issued than EPO patents, on the same applications
68%
76%
75%
82%
52%
43%
53%
66%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Chemistry
Electrical engineering
Instruments
Mechanical engineering
Comparative Patent Grant Rates
(September 2002 ~7K Matched Patent Applications)*
EPO US
*Matched on priority date. Source: PATSTAT 2015, Innography 2015. Accord,
Jensen et al 2008, Graham & Harhoff, 2009
The majority
of nongranted
apps in the EPO
are withdrawn,
not refused
13%
81%
6%
FIG ___The Resolution of Non-Granted
European Patent Applications (N= 3,517
2002 Matched Pairs)
Pending Withdrawn Refused
EPO’s lower grant rate is due to higher
applicant withdrawal rates (not refusals)
Less than half of IPRed US patents* that were filed for in
Europe have actually been granted in Europe… with many
of the remainder withdrawn…
100%
47%
20%
31%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
US EPO
Comparative Examination and IPR Outcomes
N = 169 Matched US Patent-EPO Applications*
Granted Denied Withdrawn Pending
*IPRed patents that have been the subject of a final decision as of June 2015.
Source: Lex Machina, Innography
22
The ‘137 DataTreasury patent was the subject of 7 EP
Applications, none of which matured into a patent
44%
20%
34%
29%
50%
59%
14%
6%
11%
6%
13%
27%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Average All
Other fields
Instruments
Mechanical engineering
Electrical engineering
Chemistry
FIG___: US v. EPO Examiner Use of Non-Patent
Literature (~7K 2002 Matched App Pairs)
US Examiner-cited NPL EPO Examiner-cited NPL
Source: EP Register 2015, USPTO PAIR 2015, Google Patents (Front Page
information)
EPO examiners are more likely to cite non-
patent literature (NPL)
Google Patents, 2015 Edition:
Sources of Data
Why does EP have high satisfaction even
with relatively lower grant rate?
25
The majority
of nongranted
apps in the EPO
are withdrawn,
not refused
13%
81%
6%
FIG ___The Resolution of Non-Granted
European Patent Applications (N= 3,517
2002 Matched Pairs)
Pending Withdrawn Refused
EPO’s lower grant rate is due to higher
applicant withdrawal rates (not refusals)
“In the EPO, patents are granted in 49% of total filings,
with 22% of applications abandoned after the search report
and 29% abandoned after examination.”
- EPO President Battistelli at the 30th Annual US Bar- EPO
Liaison Council Meeting, 10/30/2014
What makes EPO applicants withdraw?
EPO conducts a single search, invests in quality
upfront. PTO is more tolerant, allows refilings
Can refile
through
continuations
No
continuations
While time for searching prior art varies, EP prior art searching take ~8-12 avg.,
vs. ~2 hours on average at the PTO (van Pottelsberghe de la Potterie (2011), EPO)
Jefferson was “quite favorable to the granting of patents,
and granted them with great consideration, the other duties
of members of this Board, in view of their high offices, made
it impossible for them to devote much time to this work. As a
result the law was changed in 1793 to make the granting of
patents a clerical function.” – PJ Frederico, 1952
Time pressure during examination is nothing new
20%
48%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
PercentageofPatentsMaintained
Years After Filing Date
EPO vs. USPTO Patent Maintenance
EPO
Source: IP5 2013 Report
What explains the difference in renewal
rates?
US Patents may be more valuable – they are
also cheaper and easier to renew
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
US
UK
France
Germany
Russia
India
Australia
Republic of Korea
Sweden
Patent Costs Relative to Market Size
(Total Fees per $B GDP)
Source: Park, On Patenting Costs, 2010, updated to 2014 data
Stepping back…
Should we worry about quality for every patent?
When is the right time?
Sorting between patents that matter and patents
that don’t
Stage of Patent
Lifecycle
Quality Mechanisms
Pre-Application Legal requirements, fees, quality of
submission, third-party submissions
Pre-Grant Prosecution levers
Post-Grant Post-Grant Procedures, Reissue,
Reexam, Maintenance Fees
34
Who should decide?
Quality
Mechanisms
Third Parties Patentees?
Post Grant Post Grant
Procedures
Sorting between patents that are likely to be
enforced and those that aren’t
35
My proposal to enhance quality: reward patentees for
designating patents as defensive only or available for
FRAND-licensing
Quality
Mechanisms
Third Parties Patentees?
Post Grant Post Grant
Procedures
Defensive
only/FRAND-
friendly patent
option
Sorting between patents that are likely to be
enforced and those that aren’t
Facilitating “Defensive Only” / “FRAND” friendly patent
options
Sources:
Chien, Exclusionary and
Diffusionary Levers in
Patent Law, 2015
Chien, Why Its Time to
Open the Patent System,
2015.
- Patentee can elect at any time to make patent “defensive” or
available on FRAND and in return, get a 50% discount on fees
- Once a patent becomes defensive, must remain defensive
- Demand expressed in the marketplace through proliferation
of defensive pledges: OIN, DPL, LOT, Tesla, many others
- Companies that go defensive will reduce their own costs
and costs of entry/patenting for startups
- Akin to DE/UK License of Right
Thank you
Colleen Chien
Associate Professor, Santa Clara University
School of Law
colleenchien@gmail.com, @colleen_chien

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Comparative Patent Quality

  • 1. Law in the Global Marketplace Conference Intellectual Property and Related Issues Hosted by: Comparative Patent Quality November 4, 2015 Keynote Address Colleen V. Chien Associate Professor, Santa Clara University School of Law Former White House Office of Science and Technology Policy Contact: colleenchien@gmail.com, @colleen_chien
  • 2. Patent quality is an international priority 2 “Only high-quality patents and processes serve the needs of inventors, innovation and society alike” - EPO Annual Report 2014
  • 3. "I know well the difficulty of drawing a line between the things which are worth to the public the embarrassment of an exclusive patent, and those which are not.“ – Thomas Jefferson, 1813 3 The difficulty in ensuring patent quality are not new
  • 4. 4 But recent developments highlight the cost of low-quality patents
  • 5. 5 And the question of when and how broadly quality filters should be applied Stage of Patent Lifecycle Quality Mechanisms Pre-Application Legal requirements, fees, quality of submission, third-party submissions Pre-Grant Prosecution levers Post-Grant Post-Grant Procedures, Reissue, Reexam, Maintenance Fees
  • 6. This presentation applies a comparative lens to patent quality 6
  • 7. Bearing in mind that there are many differences between the European and US systems… 7 Factor US Europe Examiner Pay US civil service grades Double US levels, limited taxes Examiner Turnover ~33% per year 5% per year Bifurcation of Search & Examination No Yes Loser Pays No Yes Sources: Drahos (2010), van Pottelsberghe de la Potterie (2011), Temmerman (2013), EPO, USPTO 2015 “And the wisdom to know the difference…”
  • 8. This presentation considers US and EP ouctomes at aggregate and “matched pair” levels 8 - “Exact match” matched pair approach for prosecution outcomes (Graham & Harhoff, 2006). Filing date / priority date matches. - Data sources: Innography, Lex Machina, PATSTAT, Google Patents, WIPO/Schmcoch, NSF, PTO/EPO - Related work: Jensen, et al. (2005, 2007, 2008 2011, 2014), Graham & Harhoff (2006, 2009), Wright (2009), Sampat et al. (2015) Exact Match
  • 9. The quantity and quality of patents in force is the result of three sets of decisions 9 Patents in Force Patent Application x Patent Examination x Patent Renewal
  • 10. Each is influenced by doctrinal, institutional, economic, and market factors 10 Patents in Force Patent Application x Patent Examination x Patent Renewal
  • 11. Comparing the US and EP at each of these stages… 11
  • 12. US PATENTS (FILED 2002) EPO PATENTS (FILED 2002) Sources: PATSTAT 2015 (application and grant numbers), Trilateral Statistics 2002 Report (projected renewal rates). 273K US applications x 74% grant rate x 37% projected* Y20 renewal rate 75K US patents in force in Y20 120K EPO applications x 50% grant rate x 12% projected* Y20 renewal rate 6.9K EPO patents in force in Y20 EPO v. US PATENTS (2002) 2.3 x applications x 1.5 x grant rate x 3x renewal rate 10x more US patents in force than EPO At each stage, the US tilts towards more quantity – ex: 2002
  • 13. EPO v. US Patents (Tech* 2002) 3.0 x applications x 1.8 x grant rate x 3x renewal rate 17x more US tech patents in force than EPO EPO v. US PATENTS (2013) 3.8 x applications x 1.8 x grant rate x 2x renewal rate 14x more US patents in force than EPO 2.3 x applications x 1.5 x grant rate x 3x renewal rate 10x more US patents in force than EPO Sources: PATSTAT 2015 (application and grant numbers), Trilateral Statistics 2002 Report (projected renewal rates).*“Electrical Engineering” patents as defined by WIPO/Schmoch EPO v. US PATENTS (2002) The disparities are greatest in tech, and growing
  • 14. What explains the differences in applications? EPO v. US PATENTS (2002) 2.3 x applications x 1.5 x grant rate x 3x renewal rate 10x more US patents in force than EPO
  • 15. The EPO did not experience the same surge in tech patenting that the US did
  • 16. $5.73 $5.44 $5.00 $1.04 $- $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 FIG__: R&D (in $M) per US Origin Patent Application 1980-2007 (inflation adjusted) Chemicals Electrical Equipment and Computers Source: NSF, USPTO via PATSTAT 2015, Lybbert and Zolas 2013 What has driven the surge in US tech patents? Defensive/FTO driven patenting is likely one factor
  • 17. - Relative value of US v. EU patents - Scope of patentability - Size, importance of US v. EU markets - Loser pays in EU, overall enforcement climate Other factors that contribute to the differences
  • 18. What explains the differences in grants? EPO v. US PATENTS (2002) 2.3 x applications x 1.5 x grant rate x 3x renewal rate 10x more US patents in force than EPO
  • 19. Across categories US patents are more likely to be issued than EPO patents, on the same applications 68% 76% 75% 82% 52% 43% 53% 66% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Chemistry Electrical engineering Instruments Mechanical engineering Comparative Patent Grant Rates (September 2002 ~7K Matched Patent Applications)* EPO US *Matched on priority date. Source: PATSTAT 2015, Innography 2015. Accord, Jensen et al 2008, Graham & Harhoff, 2009
  • 20. The majority of nongranted apps in the EPO are withdrawn, not refused 13% 81% 6% FIG ___The Resolution of Non-Granted European Patent Applications (N= 3,517 2002 Matched Pairs) Pending Withdrawn Refused EPO’s lower grant rate is due to higher applicant withdrawal rates (not refusals)
  • 21. Less than half of IPRed US patents* that were filed for in Europe have actually been granted in Europe… with many of the remainder withdrawn… 100% 47% 20% 31% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% US EPO Comparative Examination and IPR Outcomes N = 169 Matched US Patent-EPO Applications* Granted Denied Withdrawn Pending *IPRed patents that have been the subject of a final decision as of June 2015. Source: Lex Machina, Innography
  • 22. 22 The ‘137 DataTreasury patent was the subject of 7 EP Applications, none of which matured into a patent
  • 23. 44% 20% 34% 29% 50% 59% 14% 6% 11% 6% 13% 27% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Average All Other fields Instruments Mechanical engineering Electrical engineering Chemistry FIG___: US v. EPO Examiner Use of Non-Patent Literature (~7K 2002 Matched App Pairs) US Examiner-cited NPL EPO Examiner-cited NPL Source: EP Register 2015, USPTO PAIR 2015, Google Patents (Front Page information) EPO examiners are more likely to cite non- patent literature (NPL)
  • 24. Google Patents, 2015 Edition: Sources of Data
  • 25. Why does EP have high satisfaction even with relatively lower grant rate? 25
  • 26. The majority of nongranted apps in the EPO are withdrawn, not refused 13% 81% 6% FIG ___The Resolution of Non-Granted European Patent Applications (N= 3,517 2002 Matched Pairs) Pending Withdrawn Refused EPO’s lower grant rate is due to higher applicant withdrawal rates (not refusals)
  • 27. “In the EPO, patents are granted in 49% of total filings, with 22% of applications abandoned after the search report and 29% abandoned after examination.” - EPO President Battistelli at the 30th Annual US Bar- EPO Liaison Council Meeting, 10/30/2014 What makes EPO applicants withdraw?
  • 28. EPO conducts a single search, invests in quality upfront. PTO is more tolerant, allows refilings Can refile through continuations No continuations While time for searching prior art varies, EP prior art searching take ~8-12 avg., vs. ~2 hours on average at the PTO (van Pottelsberghe de la Potterie (2011), EPO)
  • 29. Jefferson was “quite favorable to the granting of patents, and granted them with great consideration, the other duties of members of this Board, in view of their high offices, made it impossible for them to devote much time to this work. As a result the law was changed in 1793 to make the granting of patents a clerical function.” – PJ Frederico, 1952 Time pressure during examination is nothing new
  • 30. 20% 48% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 PercentageofPatentsMaintained Years After Filing Date EPO vs. USPTO Patent Maintenance EPO Source: IP5 2013 Report What explains the difference in renewal rates?
  • 31. US Patents may be more valuable – they are also cheaper and easier to renew 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 US UK France Germany Russia India Australia Republic of Korea Sweden Patent Costs Relative to Market Size (Total Fees per $B GDP) Source: Park, On Patenting Costs, 2010, updated to 2014 data
  • 33. Should we worry about quality for every patent? When is the right time? Sorting between patents that matter and patents that don’t Stage of Patent Lifecycle Quality Mechanisms Pre-Application Legal requirements, fees, quality of submission, third-party submissions Pre-Grant Prosecution levers Post-Grant Post-Grant Procedures, Reissue, Reexam, Maintenance Fees
  • 34. 34 Who should decide? Quality Mechanisms Third Parties Patentees? Post Grant Post Grant Procedures Sorting between patents that are likely to be enforced and those that aren’t
  • 35. 35 My proposal to enhance quality: reward patentees for designating patents as defensive only or available for FRAND-licensing Quality Mechanisms Third Parties Patentees? Post Grant Post Grant Procedures Defensive only/FRAND- friendly patent option Sorting between patents that are likely to be enforced and those that aren’t
  • 36. Facilitating “Defensive Only” / “FRAND” friendly patent options Sources: Chien, Exclusionary and Diffusionary Levers in Patent Law, 2015 Chien, Why Its Time to Open the Patent System, 2015. - Patentee can elect at any time to make patent “defensive” or available on FRAND and in return, get a 50% discount on fees - Once a patent becomes defensive, must remain defensive - Demand expressed in the marketplace through proliferation of defensive pledges: OIN, DPL, LOT, Tesla, many others - Companies that go defensive will reduce their own costs and costs of entry/patenting for startups - Akin to DE/UK License of Right
  • 37. Thank you Colleen Chien Associate Professor, Santa Clara University School of Law colleenchien@gmail.com, @colleen_chien