U.S. retail sales rose less than expected in October amid a surprise decline in automobile purchases, suggesting a slowdown in consumer spending that could temper expectations of a strong pickup in fourth-quarter economic growth. The Commerce Department said retail sales edged up 0.1 percent last month after being unchanged in both September and August. Economists had forecast sales increasing 0.3 percent.

2. ✍ MCX DAILY LEVELS
DAILY EXPIRY DATE R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
ALUMINIUM 30 NOV 2015 102 101 100 99 98 97 96 95 94
COPPER 30 NOV 2015 325 323 321 319 317 315 313 311 309
CRUDE OIL 19 NOV 2015 2760 2740 2720 2700 2680 2660 2640 2620 2600
GOLD 04 DEC 2015
2015
2570
0
25700 25600 25550 25500 25450 25400 25350 25300
LEAD 30 NOV 2015 110.
30
109.30 108.30 107.30 106.30 105.30 104.30 103.30 102.30
NATURAL GAS 24 NOV 2015 164 162 160 158 156 154 152 150 148
NICKEL 30 NOV 2015 647 642 637 632 627 622 617 612 607
SILVER 04 DEC 2015 3440
0
34300 34200 34100 34000 33900 39800 33700 33600
ZINC 30 NOV 2015 110.
50
109.50 108.50 107.50 106.50 105.50 104.50 103.50 102.50
✍ MCX WEEKLY LEVELS
WEEKLY EXPIRY R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
ALUMINIUM 30 NOV 2015 105 103 101 99 97 95 93 91 89
COPPER 30 NOV 2015 330 326 323 320 317 315 312 309 306
CRUDE OIL 19 NOV 2015 2810 2780 2750 2720 2680 2650 2620 2590 2560
GOLD 04 DEC 2015 25900 25800 25700 25600 25500 25400 25300 25200 25100
LEAD 30 NOV 2015 113.40 111.40 109.40 107.40 105.20 103.70 101.20 100 98.70
NATURAL GAS 24 NOV 2015 168 165 162 159 157 154 151 148 145
NICKEL 30 NOV 2015 663 653 643 633 623 613 603 593 583
SILVER 04 DEC 2015 34800 34600 34400 34200 34000 33800 33600 33400 33200
ZINC 30 NOV 2015 113.50 111.50 109.50 107.50 105.50 103.50 101.50 100.50 98.70

3. WEEKLY MCX CALL
SELL GOLD DEC BELOW 25500 TGT 25200 SL 25803
PREVIOUS WEEK CALL
SELL GOLD DEC BELOW 25650 TGT 25400 SL 25931 TGT ACHEIVED
FOREX✍ DAILY LEVELS
DAILY EXPIRY DATE R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
USDINR 26 NOV 2015 67.1
0
66.90 66.70 66.50 66.30 66.10 65.90 65.70 65.50
GBPINR 26 NOV 2015 101.
60
101.4
0
101.20 101 100.80 100.60 100.40 100.20 100
EURINR 26 NOV 2015 71.9
0
71.70 71.50 71.30 71 70.80 70.60 70.40 70.20
JPYINR 26 NOV 2015 54.7
0
54.55 54.40 54.25 54.10 53.95 53.80 53.55 53.40
FOREX✍ WEEKLY LEVELS
DAILY EXPIRY DATE R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
USDINR 26 NOV 2015 68 67.50 67 66.60 66 65.70 65 64.40 63.90
GBPINR 26 NOV 2015 102.
50
102 101.50 101.10 100.80 100.40 100 99.30 98.80
EURINR 26 NOV 2015 73 72.40 72 71.40 71 70.70 70.20 69.80 69.30
JPYINR 26 NOV 2015 55.4
0
55 54.70 54.40 54 53.70 53.40 53 52.70
WEEKLY FOREX CALL
SELL JPYINR NOV BELOW 53.90 TGT 53.40 SL 54.40
PREVIOUS WEEK CALL
BUY USDINR NOV ABOVE 66.75 TGT 67.25 SL 66.20 - NOT EXECUTED.

4. ✍ NCDEX DAILY LEVELS
DAILY EXPIRY
DATE
R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
SYOREFIDR 18 DEC 2015 608 606 604 602 600 599 597 595 592
SYBEANIDR 18 DEC 2015 3960 3940 3920 3900 3880 3860 3840 3820 3800
RMSEED 18 DEC 2015 4900 4880 4860 4840 4820 4800 4780 4760 4740
JEERAUNJHA 18 DEC 2015 15580 15480 15380 15280 15180 15080 14980 14880 14750
CHANA 18 DEC 2015 4010 4980 4960 4940 4920 4900 4880 4860 4840
CASTORSEED 18 DEC 2015 4360 4340 4320 4300 4280 4260 4240 4220 4200
✍ NCDEX WEEKLY LEVELS
WEEKLY EXPIRY
DATE
R4 R3 R2 R1 PP S1 S2 S3 S4
SYOREFIDR 18 DEC 2015 613 610 607 604 601 598 595 592 589
SYBEANIDR 18 DEC 2015 4010 3970 3940 3910 3880 3850 3820 3790 3760
RMSEED 18 DEC 2015 4930 4900 4870 4840 4810 4780 4750 4720 4690
JEERAUNJHA 18 DEC 2015 15900 15700 15500 15300 15100 15900 15700 15500 15300
CHANA 18 DEC 2015 4050 4010 3980 3960 3930 3900 3870 3840 3810
CASTORSEED 18 DEC 2015 4400 4370 4340 4310 4280 4250 4220 4190 4160
WEEKLY NCDEX CALL
SELL DHANIYA DEC BELOW 9700 TGT 9500 SL 9903
PREVIOUS WEEK CALL
SELL RM SEED DEC BELOW 4890 TGT 4780 SL 5061 - TGT ACHEIVED.

5. MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
✍ PRECIOUS METAL
1. U.S. retail sales rose less than expected in October amid a surprise decline in automobile
purchases, suggesting a slowdown in consumer spending that could temper expectations of
a strong pickup in fourth-quarter economic growth. The Commerce Department said retail
sales edged up 0.1 percent last month after being unchanged in both September and August.
Economists had forecast sales increasing 0.3 percent.
2. Multiple attacks in Paris on Friday killed more than 130 people, prompting France to
launch air strikes in Syria against Islamic State, which claimed responsibility for the
attacks.
3. University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index rose to 93.1 in early November from a
reading of 90.0 in October.
4. Data on Friday showed a second straight monthly decline in producer prices as the cost of
services fell. Still, the soft inflation and signs of slowing consumer spending are unlikely to
deter the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates next month, economists said.
BULLION
Indian Gold and Silver prices slumped on Thursday, trading weak overseas prices. December
Gold futures prices ended a very choppy U.S. trading session lower and hit a fresh contract low
Thursday. December Silver futures prices closed nearer the session low and hit another
10-week low on Thursday, The Dollar remained higher against the other major currencies on
Thursday, still hovering close to a seven-month peak after data showed that U.S. jobless claims
held steady at a two-month high last week, but remained in territory consistent with a
strengthening labor market.
However, the Dollar trimmed gains after Fed Chair Janet Yellen gave no
indications on the nearterm outlook for the U.S. economy or monetary policy in a speech on
Thursday. She added that The U.S. Federal Reserve must weigh the effects of post-crisis
financial regulations and new channels through which policy affects markets as it prepares to
raise interest rates. Yellen said the U.S. central bank also must weigh the disadvantages of its
policy actions in light of new tools meant to help the Fed raise rates. Fed "policymakers should
be mindful of new channels for monetary policy transmission that may have emerged from the

6. intricate economic and financial linkages in our global economy that were revealed by the
crisis," she said in prepared remarks.  The Euro weakened against the Dollar after European
Central Bank President Mario Draghi said the central bank "will re-examine the degree of
monetary policy accommodation" at its December meeting. Speaking to the European
Parliament, Draghi said inflation dynamics had somewhat weakened and that a "sustained
normalization" of inflation could take longer to achieve than thought. The World Gold Council
has reported demand for gold in the third quarter rose by 8% worldwide. The report added that
demand in China soared by 70%, while demand in India rose 6% in the quarter. China and
India are the two largest gold importers in the world.
SPDR Gold Trust fund said its holdings fell 0.22% to 661.94 MT on
Thursday from 663.43 MT on Wednesday. In terms of ounces, holdings fell to 21,282,135.35
ounces from 21,329,996.1 ounces. Holdings Silver Trust have remained unchanged on
Wednesday from Tuesday. COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) Total MT in Trust: 159.85 MT: -0.45 MT
change from yesterday’s data. Silver Trust (SLV) Total Tonnes in Trust: 9,756.57 MT: No
change from yesterday’s data. 
COPPER
Copper prices slid to a six-year low on Friday as worries about economic and demand growth
in top consumer China escalated and abundant supplies reinforced expectations of surpluses.
Some producers have cut output and others are planning to cut, but analysts say more will be
needed before participants start to believe that a more balanced market is in sight. Data this
week showed China's industrial output was at a seven month low in October and investment
expanded at its weakest pace since 2000. However, one thing that could trigger another attempt
at the downside is a higher U.S. currency, which makes dollar denominated commodities more
expensive for non-U.S. firms. Expectations of higher U.S. interest rates after the Federal
Reserve's Dec. 15-16 meeting are growing, keeping the dollar strong and adding to pressure on
commodity prices.
ENERGY
Natural gas futures gained over 4 percent on Friday on colder weather forecasts expected to
boost heating demand over the next two weeks and a slightly smaller-than-projected storage
build. Despite Friday's gain, the front-month ended down for the first week in three. Traders
have warned for weeks that futures were vulnerable to a short covering rally if the weather
suddenly turned colder because speculators could quickly exit big bearish bets. Over the past
several weeks, hedge funds have built up net short positions on the NYMEX and
Intercontinental Exchange to the highest levels in at least five years as they bet prices - recently
at a three-year low - had further to fall. Traders said prices for the rest of the winter and all of
2016 were depressed as storage levels were at all-time highs, producers continue to pump
record amounts of gas out of the ground, and forecasts call for weaker-than-normal heating
demand this winter due to warmer-than normal weather expected from the El Nino weather
pattern.

7. Crude Oil slumped again on Friday, extending the week's loss to the
largest in eight months, as swelling storage of crude on both land and sea pressured prices.
Brent, the global benchmark for oil, settled down 1 percent and less than $2 from a new
6-1/2-year low. U.S. crude fell 2 percent, barely holding above $40 a barrel. Both benchmarks
lost 8 percent on the week, the most since mid-March. Oil prices have fallen in seven of the last
eight sessions, with losses accelerating after U.S. government data on Thursday affirmed a
seventh weekly rise in U.S. crude inventories that took stockpiles near April's record highs.
Adding more pressure to prices, data on Friday showed the first rise in the U.S. oil rig count in
11 weeks. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said there was a record 3 billion barrels of
crude and oil products in tanks worldwide. An estimated oversupply of 0.7 million to 2.5
million barrels per day has pushed crude prices down by almost two-thirds since June 2014.
Tens of millions of barrels are sitting on tankers at sea, looking for buyers. The IEA said a mild
winter could further swell the global glut.
✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
CORIANDER
Coriander futures traded lower due to reports of sluggish demand in major spot markets. As
well, likely higher acreage in the major producing states of Rajasthan, Gujarat, and Madhya
Pradesh and concern over the poor quality of the stocks at the exchange warehouses pull down
the prices. Also, there are reports that India’s coriander imports are likely to remain high, with
the country set to import 2000 tonnes from Bulgaria and Ukraine in November. The import
deals are likely to have been sealed at $800 per tn, which is equivalent to 5200-5300 rupees per
100 kg on a warehouse-delivery basis, the source said. A similar quantity had been contracted
for import in September and October too. Import deals during Sep-Oct were at 4000 tn and
prices were contracted at $850-900 per tn, the source said. In 2014-15, (Apr-Mar) India's
coriander imports were pegged at 9750 tn, while the number was 4640 tn in the preceding year,
data from Spices Board of India showed. India’s total coriander output in 2014-15 is now seen
at 344000 tonnes, up from 314000 tonnes estimated earlier, the farm ministry said in its third
estimate.
CHILI
Prices of chilli are set to rise as the dry weather in India may lead to a sharp drop in crop yields,
as per market source. Chilli crop in Andhra Pradesh are dependent on canal water for irrigation,
but with the sharp fall in reservoir levels following scanty rains, the government is in no
position to release the water. Acreage under chilli in Andhra Pradesh is 123,717 ha in the
current year, as against 106,674 ha last year, according to the state agriculture department.
Added, chilli output for 2015-16 is estimated to be 15-17% higher from last year's 1.0-1.2 mln
tn. Expectation of a rise in chilli exports, as seen over the last five years, may also push prices
higher. The significant rise in exports is mainly because of bad crop in China. If the crop in

8. China is poor this year as well, India stands to benefit from incremental demand from China,
and other Asian countries that earlier imported chilli from China.
SOYABEAN AND SOYAOIL
Indian Oilseed complex prices ended lower on weak overseas prices amid strong arrivals.
Rupee ended higher on Wednesday. According to COOIT, India’s Soybean 2015 output is at 7.2
million MT, 15% lower from previous year
India's Soy meal exports in October were 4237 MT vs. 26,690 MT in October 2014 and 6886
MT in Sep 2015. Total oil meal exports in Oct 2015 were 13,716 MT vs. 238,703 MT in Oct
2014 and 139,649 MT in Sep 2015. India’s veg oil imports in September were 1.20 million MT
vs. 1.36 million MT in August and 1.01 million MT in Sep 2014. In Nov- Sep period, India
imported 12.77 million MT of veg oils vs. 10.38 million MT in the corresponding period during
previous year. According to 1st Advance estimates for 2015-16 released by GoI, India’s output
for Soybean is estimated at 11.83 million MT. USDA estimates India 2015-16 output at 9.5
million MT vs. 9.0 million MT in the previous year.
CBOT Soy complex prices ended mixed yesterday. Supplies of new Soy crop
from US and sowing progress in Brazil are negative forces. However, robust demand from
China is a positive force. China imported 5.53 million MT of Soybeans in October, down
23.8% from 7.26 million MT in September. Imports of vegetable oils in October were 480,000
MT, down 31.4% from the previous month. USDA data showed US Soybeans harvest was 92%
complete vs. 87% a week ago. According to CFTC CoT report, for the week ending 3
November, non commercial traders increased their net short positions in CBOT Soybeans. ICE
Canola prices closed firm yesterday.
JEERA
Jeera futures traded weak as demand remained sluggish due to the absence of premium quality
in the physical market. Thin trade in the spot market due to Diwali also weighed on prices.
Jeera market in Unjha will remain closed during the week on account of Diwali. The
government has raised its estimate for jeera output to 599000 tonnes for 2014-15 (Jul-Jun) from
the previous projection of 514000 tonnes, the farm ministry said in its third estimate for
horticulture crops. According to the latest report from Spices Board of India, jeera exports
during Apr-Jun declined sharply, by 45 percent on year to 27000 tonnes, compared with 49000
tonnes last year. Jeera is the second largest exported spice. Higher prices compared to past
couple of years may create positive outlook among farmers to sow more of the spice for the
2015-16 season, which may cause bearish sentiment, restraining prices from trading higher.
TURMERIC
The NCDEX turmeric futures started the week on a positive note extending its previous gains
tracking bullish fundamental factors  The active Dec contract futures hit a fresh contract high

9. on Monday at Rs. 9590 per quintal Subdued trading was witnessed in the spot market ahead of
Diwali Concerns over crop production due to unfavorably weather condition had been
supporting the turmeric futures to trade on a positive note . However, towards end of the day,
prices paired morning gains and ended the day slightly on a positive note .
Turmeric futures may trade higher due to reports of limited arrivals and good demand
for the spice in major spot markets. The prospects of rise in demand from overseas market and
low output estimates may too limit the fall in price. The government has cut its estimate for
turmeric output to 852000 tonnes for 2014-15 (Jul-Jun) from the previous projection of 1.19
million tonnes. According to latest report from Spices Board of India, shipments of turmeric
during Apr-Jun increased 8 percent to 24500 tonnes. Telangana, the major turmeric producing
state was lagging the year ago sowing level due to deficient rainfall. Turmeric acreage in
Telangana was at 40823 ha as on 07th Oct 2015, compared with 43470 ha a year ago, according
to latest data from the state's agriculture department. The normal area for turmeric as on date in
the state is 49691 ha. As per trade source, turmeric area in Andhra Pradesh has recently risen to
around 11700 ha from the year ago level of 10300 ha, but the yield there still remains a
concern. Conversely, there are reports that Erode is likely to compensate for the declines in
other areas due to good irrigation facilities in the district. Another dampener for the bulls would
be abuzz of ample carryover stocks.
CARDAMOM
Cardamom futures traded with negative bias due to higher arrivals in major spot markets.
Staggered delivery period for November contract commenced on Monday. The contract will
expire on Nov 13. Total arrivals of cardamom for the auction on Thursday were around 52
tonnes with the spot price on an average quoted as Rs.604 per kg. The maximum price was
Rs.900 per kg. The country's cardamom output estimate for 2014-15 has been raised to 22000
tonnes from 21000 tonnes seen earlier, the farm ministry said in its third estimate for
horticulture crops. As per the latest report from Spices Board of India, shipments of small
cardamom rose 128 percent on year in Apr-Jun to 975 tonnes and export of large cardamom
increased 24 percent compared with previous year to 65 tonnes. Also, there were media reports
that export of cardamom from Guatemala increased 15 percent during Sep-June, compared to
previous same period

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