Gold pared early gains on Thursday as the U.S. dollar recovered and global stocks rallied after oil producers agreed to curb output. The Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries on Wednesday agreed modest oil output cuts in the first such deal
Gold rose on Tuesday due to rising physical demand from India but growing expectations of a U.S. interest rate hike kept a lid on prices. The metal is highly sensitive to rising U.S. rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets while boosting the dollar. Spot gold XAU= was up
Gold edged higher on Friday, climbing for the first time in four sessions as it shrugged off data showing rising U.S. job numbers, with analysts saying that an expected rise in interest rates had
already been priced in. U.S. employers boosted hiring in November, pushing down the
Gold prices fell to the lowest level since May on Friday as the dollar rallied to almost 14-year highs amid a rally driven by the U.S. presidential election and expectations that the Federal Reserve will
raise interest rates next month. Gold for December delivery on the Comex division of the New
Commodity Research Report 21 December 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Gold slipped on Thursday, giving back some of its overnight gains, in choppy trading after the Federal Reserve raised US interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. The US central bank's policy-setting
Gold prices touched fresh 10-month lows on Friday and the precious metal posted its fifth straight weekly decline as expectations for higher U.S. interest rates continued to weigh. Gold
for February delivery settled down 0.94% at $1,161.4 on the Comex division of the New York
Gold rose on Wednesday as the dollar steadied though analysts said the likelihood of higher U.S. rates later this year was likely to keep prices under pressure, while oversupply pushed platinum to
its lowest since April. Spot platinum XPT= fell to $937.25 earlier, its lowest since touching $936.81
Gold steadied on Thursday after three days of gains as the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged and maintained the parameters of its 1.74 trillion euro asset
buying scheme. The ECB has provided extraordinary stimulus in recent years in response
Gold rose to a two-week high on Friday as the Federal Reserve's decision to leave US interest rates unchanged weighed on the dollar and added to uncertainty over the timing of the first rate hike in a decade. Spot gold was up 0.5 per cent at $1,136.06 an ounce, having earlier touched
$1,138.80, keeping it on track to snap a three-week losing streak.
Gold rose on Tuesday due to rising physical demand from India but growing expectations of a U.S. interest rate hike kept a lid on prices. The metal is highly sensitive to rising U.S. rates, which lift the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets while boosting the dollar. Spot gold XAU= was up
Gold edged higher on Friday, climbing for the first time in four sessions as it shrugged off data showing rising U.S. job numbers, with analysts saying that an expected rise in interest rates had
already been priced in. U.S. employers boosted hiring in November, pushing down the
Gold prices fell to the lowest level since May on Friday as the dollar rallied to almost 14-year highs amid a rally driven by the U.S. presidential election and expectations that the Federal Reserve will
raise interest rates next month. Gold for December delivery on the Comex division of the New
Commodity Research Report 21 December 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Gold slipped on Thursday, giving back some of its overnight gains, in choppy trading after the Federal Reserve raised US interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. The US central bank's policy-setting
Gold prices touched fresh 10-month lows on Friday and the precious metal posted its fifth straight weekly decline as expectations for higher U.S. interest rates continued to weigh. Gold
for February delivery settled down 0.94% at $1,161.4 on the Comex division of the New York
Gold rose on Wednesday as the dollar steadied though analysts said the likelihood of higher U.S. rates later this year was likely to keep prices under pressure, while oversupply pushed platinum to
its lowest since April. Spot platinum XPT= fell to $937.25 earlier, its lowest since touching $936.81
Gold steadied on Thursday after three days of gains as the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged and maintained the parameters of its 1.74 trillion euro asset
buying scheme. The ECB has provided extraordinary stimulus in recent years in response
Gold rose to a two-week high on Friday as the Federal Reserve's decision to leave US interest rates unchanged weighed on the dollar and added to uncertainty over the timing of the first rate hike in a decade. Spot gold was up 0.5 per cent at $1,136.06 an ounce, having earlier touched
$1,138.80, keeping it on track to snap a three-week losing streak.
Gold prices ended lower on Friday, reversing earlier gains, as disappointing U.S. employment data was seen as unlikely to alter the Federal Reserve’s plan for raising interest rates before the end of the year.
Gold for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange dipped $ 1.10, or 0.09%, to settle at $1,251.90 a troy ounce by close of trade.
Gold edged higher on Thursday in response to a lower dollar and also uncertainty about the outcome of a tight U.S. presidential race. Democrat Hillary Clinton maintained her narrow lead
over Republican rival Donald Trump just days ahead of the Nov. 8 election, according to two
Gold's image as a haven asset has taken a battering with the metal heading for its third-straight annual loss amid the sale of gold-backed funds by investors. Bullion for immediate delivery
rose 0.2 per cent to $1,063.22 an ounce at 3:32 pm. in Singapore after declining 0.7 per cent on Wednesday,
Commodity Research Report 23 November 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
• Nickel smelter developers are putting projects on hold as they struggle to get financing with metal prices near their lowest in more than a decade, industry and government stakeholders
said on Wednesday.
Gold prices closed at the lowest level in nine months on Friday as expectations for higher U.S. interest rates continued to cloud the demand outlook for the precious metal.
Friday saw another rise in the price of gold, a 16 per cent rise since the year began. However, with rising prices, the market has also slipped into a historically high discount for physical
delivery. In the past two days, a discount of $30 an ounce or higher (Rs 680-700 per 10g) was quoted. In Ahmadabad on Friday, it was $32.5 an oz, by NCDEX poll data.
Commodity Research Report 26 October 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
China's central bank cut interest rates on Friday for the sixth time in less than a year, and it again lowered the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves in a bid to jump start growth
in its stuttering economy
GOLD - Last week, spot gold prices rose marginally by 0.1 percent to close at $1235.2 per ounce as the dollar weakened after a 10-day winning streak and investors took the opportunity to buy bullion as
a hedge against political uncertainty in the United States and Europe. On the MCX, gold prices rose by
Gold rebounded to a fresh three-week high on Friday, as investor risk aversion lifted appetite for the metal,
putting it on track for a second straight weekly rise. Often perceived as an insurance against economic and
financial concerns,
Commodity Research Report 28 December 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Silver prices slipped from highs as U.S. home re-sales posted their sharpest drop in five years in November. The prices stayed higher earlier as the dollar slipped against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as more traders booked profits on bullish greenback bets following the Federal Reserve's interest rate increase last week.
Oil futures edged up on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar backed off a two-week high hit the day before, although doubts that crude producers would agree next month to an output freeze continued to drag on prices.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
Commodity Research Report 02 November 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Gold prices today fell Rs 76 to Rs 26,777 per 10 gram in futures trade amid a weak global trend. At Multi Commodity Exchange, gold delivery in far-month February next year fell Rs 76, or 0.28%, to Rs 26,777 per 10 gram, in a business turnover of four lots.
Gold prices edged lower on Friday as stocks firmed and the US dollar rose on expectations the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates by the end of the year. Spot gold was down 0.1 per
cent at $1,256.50 an ounce by 0257 GMT. The metal was on track to end the week mostly flat.
Commodity Research Report 14 December 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Gold drifted lower on Friday and was headed for the seventh weekly drop in eight weeks as investors positioned for a looming US rate hike. A strong US nonfarm payrolls report last week
cemented expectations of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on December 15- 16.
The U.S. dollar climbed against its Canadian counterpart on Friday, as the release of downbeat Canadian data dented demand for the local currency, while hopes for an upcoming U.S. tax overhaul boosted the greenback.
Gold scaled higher on Friday, further off a four-month low, as the dollar tumbled against the euro on signs of progress in Greece's efforts to secure fresh funding. Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at $1,161.88 an ounce by 1029 GMT.
Gold jumped almost two percent on Thursday as the dollar fell to a 17- month low against the Japanese yen following minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest meeting and global hares fell, rekindling investor
appetite for safer assets.
GOLD - MCX Gold may witness choppy trade in line with international price but bias may remain weak. COMEX gold trades in a narrow range near $ 1320/oz ahead of US GDP data and Fed Chair
Janet Yellen's comments. Market players are looking at US economic data and Fed's stance to gauge
GOLD -Gold on MCX settled up 0.29% at 28331 as the euro jumped in the wake of a ECB meeting, putting pressure on the
dollar. The ECB, as expected, left interest-rate policy and other stimulative measures untouched. But the euro jumped as investors
Bullion extended losses after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said global risks and a U.S. hiring
slowdown warrant a cautious approach to raising interest rates
Gold prices ended lower on Friday, reversing earlier gains, as disappointing U.S. employment data was seen as unlikely to alter the Federal Reserve’s plan for raising interest rates before the end of the year.
Gold for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange dipped $ 1.10, or 0.09%, to settle at $1,251.90 a troy ounce by close of trade.
Gold edged higher on Thursday in response to a lower dollar and also uncertainty about the outcome of a tight U.S. presidential race. Democrat Hillary Clinton maintained her narrow lead
over Republican rival Donald Trump just days ahead of the Nov. 8 election, according to two
Gold's image as a haven asset has taken a battering with the metal heading for its third-straight annual loss amid the sale of gold-backed funds by investors. Bullion for immediate delivery
rose 0.2 per cent to $1,063.22 an ounce at 3:32 pm. in Singapore after declining 0.7 per cent on Wednesday,
Commodity Research Report 23 November 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
• Nickel smelter developers are putting projects on hold as they struggle to get financing with metal prices near their lowest in more than a decade, industry and government stakeholders
said on Wednesday.
Gold prices closed at the lowest level in nine months on Friday as expectations for higher U.S. interest rates continued to cloud the demand outlook for the precious metal.
Friday saw another rise in the price of gold, a 16 per cent rise since the year began. However, with rising prices, the market has also slipped into a historically high discount for physical
delivery. In the past two days, a discount of $30 an ounce or higher (Rs 680-700 per 10g) was quoted. In Ahmadabad on Friday, it was $32.5 an oz, by NCDEX poll data.
Commodity Research Report 26 October 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
China's central bank cut interest rates on Friday for the sixth time in less than a year, and it again lowered the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves in a bid to jump start growth
in its stuttering economy
GOLD - Last week, spot gold prices rose marginally by 0.1 percent to close at $1235.2 per ounce as the dollar weakened after a 10-day winning streak and investors took the opportunity to buy bullion as
a hedge against political uncertainty in the United States and Europe. On the MCX, gold prices rose by
Gold rebounded to a fresh three-week high on Friday, as investor risk aversion lifted appetite for the metal,
putting it on track for a second straight weekly rise. Often perceived as an insurance against economic and
financial concerns,
Commodity Research Report 28 December 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Silver prices slipped from highs as U.S. home re-sales posted their sharpest drop in five years in November. The prices stayed higher earlier as the dollar slipped against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as more traders booked profits on bullish greenback bets following the Federal Reserve's interest rate increase last week.
Oil futures edged up on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar backed off a two-week high hit the day before, although doubts that crude producers would agree next month to an output freeze continued to drag on prices.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
Commodity Research Report 02 November 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Gold prices today fell Rs 76 to Rs 26,777 per 10 gram in futures trade amid a weak global trend. At Multi Commodity Exchange, gold delivery in far-month February next year fell Rs 76, or 0.28%, to Rs 26,777 per 10 gram, in a business turnover of four lots.
Gold prices edged lower on Friday as stocks firmed and the US dollar rose on expectations the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates by the end of the year. Spot gold was down 0.1 per
cent at $1,256.50 an ounce by 0257 GMT. The metal was on track to end the week mostly flat.
Commodity Research Report 14 December 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Gold drifted lower on Friday and was headed for the seventh weekly drop in eight weeks as investors positioned for a looming US rate hike. A strong US nonfarm payrolls report last week
cemented expectations of a rate hike at the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on December 15- 16.
The U.S. dollar climbed against its Canadian counterpart on Friday, as the release of downbeat Canadian data dented demand for the local currency, while hopes for an upcoming U.S. tax overhaul boosted the greenback.
Gold scaled higher on Friday, further off a four-month low, as the dollar tumbled against the euro on signs of progress in Greece's efforts to secure fresh funding. Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at $1,161.88 an ounce by 1029 GMT.
Gold jumped almost two percent on Thursday as the dollar fell to a 17- month low against the Japanese yen following minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest meeting and global hares fell, rekindling investor
appetite for safer assets.
GOLD - MCX Gold may witness choppy trade in line with international price but bias may remain weak. COMEX gold trades in a narrow range near $ 1320/oz ahead of US GDP data and Fed Chair
Janet Yellen's comments. Market players are looking at US economic data and Fed's stance to gauge
GOLD -Gold on MCX settled up 0.29% at 28331 as the euro jumped in the wake of a ECB meeting, putting pressure on the
dollar. The ECB, as expected, left interest-rate policy and other stimulative measures untouched. But the euro jumped as investors
Bullion extended losses after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said global risks and a U.S. hiring
slowdown warrant a cautious approach to raising interest rates
The Market has opened Positive on Monday with Equity benchmark Nifty 50 was up 16 points or 0.18 percent at 8654 or above its crucial level 8650. The crucial Constitutional Amendments Goods and Services bill has passed by the Rajya
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
Monsoon may set in over Kerala during June 3 to 9, says agro-met advisory Meteorological
subdivision-level rainfall forecast indicates rainfall activity over South India during June 3 to 9, which
can bring the onset of the South-West monsoon
The data released from US yesterday showed that the Philly Fed manufacturing index in July hit -2.9,a stark divergence from the 5.1 estimate The data released from Japan showed that the FlashManufacturing PMI came at 49.0 against 48.1 in June.
NIFTY FIFTY : - The Equity benchmark Nifty50 has opened flat basis on Monday up by 1 point at 8667. Nifty had a luck-luster movement last week where it moved in a narrow band of 125 points.
Oil prices extended gains on Tuesday, buoyed after top producers Russia and Saudi Arabia agreed to cooperate on stabilizing the oil market, but a lack of immediate action to rein in output capped gains. London Brent crude for
NIFTY FIFTY : - The Indian Benchmark Index, Nifty fell 2.12% for the week ended 11 Nov 2016. Volatility was the order of the week with the panic gap down low of 8076 being made on Wednesday on 9th Nov. Morning as it suffered from the double whammy
NIFTY FIFTY : - Indian Benchmark Index Nifty had a negative last week which was the result of a combination of local and Global factors. The local being, currency notes reforms initiated by the
government which is bringing in temporary pain to the economy and thereby affecting sentiments.
Commodity Research Report 16 November 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
U.S. retail sales rose less than expected in October amid a surprise decline in automobile purchases, suggesting a slowdown in consumer spending that could temper expectations of a strong pickup in fourth-quarter economic growth. The Commerce Department said retail
sales edged up 0.1 percent last month after being unchanged in both September and August. Economists had forecast sales increasing 0.3 percent.
Gold prices rallied to new 15 months high on Friday as the dollar continued to slip against the basket of
currencies after the Bank of Japan decided to skit any fresh stimulus in its economy in the latest monetary
policy.
BULLION Gold fell on Monday as pressure from speculation over a potential increase in U.S. interest rates this
month offset the metal's safe-haven appeal amid widespread weakness across other assets. Spot gold was down almost
GOLD - Gold prices inching upside in recent days over 4% from its all time low of $1122.5 in Comex. We can expect the short term rally to continue till its psychological resistance at $ 1200. The medium
The finance ministry is considering introducing measures to stop malpractices of importing pure gold under that garb of dore bars or unrefined gold. It may ask jewellers and refiners to follow know your
supplier, clients norms prescribed by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
GOLD -Gold have been getting Support for week for Bullish rally but we thinks this is more of a short-term reaction to subsiding geopolitical fears and reiterates his long-term bullish outlook based on a number of
fundamental drivers. In early May, the price of gold was roughly $ 1,250 an ounce. Last week, Spot gold prices
GOLD - The price of gold has traded in positive side most of the trading session in last trading week. Investment demand from hedge funds in the futures market and investors using exchange-traded
Last week, spot and MCX gold prices are trading lower by around 1 percent as dollar gained sharply after the ECB press conference. The ECB in its latest meeting said it would trim bond purchases to 30 billion
Commodity Research Report 07 December 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Goldman Sachs said on Friday that oil prices will likely remain "lower for even longer," as OPEC members failed to agree on a new production ceiling at the cartel's meeting in Vienna.
GOLD - Gold on MCX settled down 0.05% at 28576 as investors looked ahead to a key batch of U.S. economic data to gauge
how it will impact the Federal Reserve's view on monetary policy. Gold has been well-supported in recent weeks as fading
GOLD - Gold prices traded lower on last week on the account of profit booking at higher levels while strengthening dollar index will further lower gold prices in the near term. The Gold is on an upward
trajectory as investors look for a safe haven in an increasingly uncertain world. Despite the strength of
U.S. payrolls surged in December and the job count for the prior two months was revised sharply higher, showing the economy on solid ground despite a troubling international
backdrop. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 292,000 last month, the Labor Department said on Friday, as hiring got a boost from unseasonably warm weather.
Commodity Research Report 30 November 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Gold futures were down by Rs 37 to Rs 25,244 per 10 gram today as participants trimmed their positions. In futures trading, gold for delivery in December traded Rs 37, or 0.15% lower at Rs
25,244 per 10 gram in a business turnover of 350 lots at the Multi Commodity Exchange
GOLD - Gold on MCX settled down -0.44% at 28952 as investors looked ahead to minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting for further hints on the timing of the next U.S. rate hike. The U.S. dollar was on the defensive on Thursday after the minutes from the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting showed policymakers were increasingly wary of recent softness in inflation
Plunging iron ore prices are providing a lifeline for some of China's biggest steel mills, but
raising the prospect of a rising tide of exports and increased friction with the European Union
and countries such as India.
Similar to Commodity Research Report 03 October 2016 Ways2Capital (16)
Gold in the European market settled on Monday near the highest in a week sup-ported by the decline of the US dollar against a basket of currencies and thanks to this decline prices on
The Indian Equity market remained remained positive throughout last week as the indices posted a gain of 1.6 percent each largely supported by metal, auto, energy and infra stocks. The Nifty50 index managed to close above 11,000 for the first time since September 2018. Nifty gained 172 points in the truncated week ended March 8. On a weekly basis, the rupee rose over 1
Gold prices continued to fall on Monday dropping through the 1,290 level. The dol-lar continued to gain ground early despite the comment from President Trump that he does not want to see a stronger greenback. Late in the trading session the dollar
The Indian Equity market remained volatile in February weighed down by Indo-Pak tensions, US-China trade war concerns, rise in crude oil prices, concerns regarding lenders selling pledged shares, weak GDP data as well as mixed earnings from India Inc. The index was below its crucial psychological levels of 11000. The index fell down 0.36 percent in February. But in last week of
On Wednesday spot gold prices declined 0.13 percent to close at $1266.9 per ounce amid concerns about global economic growth and a partial U.S. government shut down although a rebound in investor risk appetite in the previous session lim-
After a weak start for a truncated week, the Indian indices recovered from the lows and ended with a percent gain. The Nifty was up 0.98 percent, or 105.9 points, to close at 10,859.9. Positive lead from Wall Street and rally in banking & financial stocks lifted investor sentiment. Ending the week with a Hammer candle implies further strength in the index in coming sessions. The
Gold traded on flat note on Friday after jumping more than 1 percent in the previ-ous session boosted by a crumbling dollar and as sliding stocks prompted an influx of safe haven bids after the U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy stance aug-
Last week our Indian Equity market opened on a gap up not on Monday and continuing its previous week's momentum. It remained bullish till Thursdays session but Indian indices witnessed bloodbath in Friday trading session as Nifty closed 197 points lower at 10,754. Fears of a global slowdown spooked investors across the globe, including India on Friday. Global mar-
Gold prices steadied on Friday after slipping to a week low in the previous session supported by the uncertainty around the Federal Reserves next years policy out-look while the dollar strengthened on expectations of a rate hike next week.
Last week our Indian Equity market opened on a gap down not on Monday backed by most of the exit polls results indicating possible defeat of BJP in key states. It remained in pressure till 1st session of the Tuesday where after state assembly results came out in favor of congress. Which lifted the sentiments of the market and it recovered from lower levels and it remained
Gold traded firm near a five month peak hit early on Monday supported by a disap-pointing U.S. jobs data that fuelled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop
Last week our Indian Equity market opened on negative note and remained bearish throughout the week. The December series kick-started on a volatile note with Nifty making swing high of 10,974 and a swing low of 10,611 to end the week with a loss of 1.4 percent. The IT sector outperformed while huge selling was seen in the pharma sector (mainly Sun Pharma), auto, metals,
Gold prices were steady early on Monday as the dollar weakened on U.S. China trade truce that revived investor demand for riskier assets. Spot gold inched up 0.1 percent to $1,222.97 per ounce at the time of writing. U.S. gold futures were up 0.2
The Nifty Bank index started the last week on positive note on Monday and extended its positive run in most of the trading session in the week . The Bank Nifty ended the November F&O expiry on an optimistic note and well above the previous hurdle of 26,400 to give index closing at 26,914 on positive note on weekly basis with gain of 3.50%. Participation was seen
Gold prices traded on flat note on Thursday after rising to a two week high in the previous session as the dollar slipped with uncertainty on the pace of interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve also supporting the metal. Spot gold traded at
Last week our Indian Equity market opened on a gap up note but Nifty failed to hold on to its important resistance levels of 10700 and saw a sharp correction in the last 3 trading session that dragged the index below 10,550. The Nifty index closed at the week’s low level of 10,511 down by almost 1.46 %. Broad-based selling was seen in cement, pharma, technology and metal
Gold prices rose on Friday as investors sought safe haven assets amid fears of a chaotic departure for Britain from the European Union. Spot gold was up 0.2 per-
The Indian Equity market, which remained range-bound for first 3-4 session of the week showed some strength in Friday's trading session to ended the week on a positive note. The Nifty closed close to 0.90 percent higher week on week amid a mixed set of results from India Inc, some appreciation in the rupee, weakening crude oil prices and
Gold prices were steady on Monday having dipped to a one month low in the previ-ous session after the U.S. dollar firmed on the Federal Reserves plans to gradually keep tightening borrowing costs.
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5. MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
BULLION✍
Gold pared early gains on Thursday as the U.S. dollar recovered and global stocks
rallied after oil producers agreed to curb output. The Organization of Petroleum
Exporting Countries on Wednesday agreed modest oil output cuts in the first such deal
since 2008, with the group's leader Saudi Arabia softening its stance on arch-rival Iran
amid mounting pressure from low crude prices. shares pulled regional stock markets
higher on Thursday. ‘ Once again struggled to find direction in low volumes, with
regional names happy to sit on the sidelines as gold threatens a test of the 100-day
moving average around $ 1,310," "With some time still to pass until the currently
expected U.S. Federal reserve rate rise in December, gold looks likely to hold range-
bound over the short term." Division between Federal Reserve policy makers on when
to raise U.S. interest rates has sapped investor enthusiasm for trading on comments by
officials from the central bank. gold and dollar markets are currently without very
strong direction. The mixed views from U.S. Fed officials have weakened their
credibility and the market has stopped buying their comments," Spot gold XAU= was
steady at $1,320.62 an ounce by 0706 GMT. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 were up nearly
0.1 percent at $1,324.30 an ounce.
Gold prices hit a one-week low on Wednesday, as the dollar firmed and investors
assessed Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's testimony before a Congressional
committee. The Federal Reserve is considering changing the annual stress tests it gives
to U.S. banks to see if they can withstand a massive financial crisis, Yellen said. The
Fed's chair did not comment on the outlook for the economy or monetary policy in her
prepared remarks. gold XAU= fell 0.4 percent to $1,322.95 an ounce by 1409 GMT. It
fell nearly one percent on Tuesday, its biggest single-day loss in one month on a higher
appetite for risk. U.S. gold futures GCcv1 eased 0.3 percent to $1,326.20 an ounce.
Gold's next technical support level stands at $ 1,320, while the closest resistance is $
1,350, MKS SA head of trading Afshin Nabavi said. Minneapolis Fed President Neel
Kashkari said the central bank could keep rates low for a while as inflation remains
weak. markets will also monitor Cleveland Fed President Mester and Kansas City Fed
President George's speeches on the economy and monetary policy at separate events. "It
is probably going to be a case of watching out for these Fed officials' comments," We
also have Friday's U.S. inflation reading, which is the bank's preferred measure of
inflation and if that shows tick up towards the 2 percent target, it would give more
6. confidence to markets that the Fed will move to raise rates in December." Butler added
that traders were also watching a meeting of oil producers in Algiers this week to see if
an agreement could be reached to ease a global glut of crude. Gold is often seen as a
hedge against oil-led inflation. The dollar .DXY was up 0.1 percent against a basket of
six major currencies, making gold more expensive for foreign currency holders.
Holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust GLD , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-
traded fund, fell 0.22 percent to 949.14 tonnes on Tuesday.
Gold edged up on Thursday as the US dollar weakened in the wake of an oil producer
agreement to curb output. Division between Federal Reserve policymakers on when to
raise US interest rates has sapped investor enthusiasm for trading on comments by
officials from the central bank. "The gold and dollar markets are currently without very
strong direction. The mixed views from US Fed officials have weakened their
credibility and the market has stopped buying on their comments," said Jiang Shu, chief
analyst at Shandong Gold Group. "For now, we can see gold move in the band of $1,300
to $1,350." Spot gold had risen 0.3 per cent to $ 1,325 an ounce by 0345 GMT. US gold
futures were up 0.4 per cent at $ 1,328.60 an ounce. The Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries on Wednesday agreed modest oil output cuts in the first such deal
since 2008, with the group's leader Saudi Arabia softening its stance on arch-rival Iran
amid mounting pressure from low crude prices. Oil futures extended gains on Thursday
after rising nearly 6 percent the day before on the surprise OPEC move. "Further oil
price rallies may feed more convincingly into the gold market, especially if other non-
oil commodities also rally, and the broader commodity indices, such as the GSCI, rise,"
The gold market will absorb another raft of US., European and Japanese economic data
on Thursday, he said. US GDP numbers are due, as well as European Union business
confidence data."We think prices may stay on the defensive in the absence of new
developments, unless oil prices continue to rise enough to lend support to bullion." The
dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, fell as much
as 0.1 per cent to 95.338 Silver was up 0.4 percent at $19.24 an ounce. Platinum and
palladium rose over 1 per cent to $1,033.99 and $717 respectively. Palladium earlier
touched its highest in over seven weeks at $721.30.
Gold prices inched up during Europe's session on Thursday, but remained near a one-
week low as market players looked ahead to more U.S. economic data for clues on the
likelihood of a December rate hike. Comments from a barrage of Federal Reserve
officials, including the Fed chair, later in the session will also be in focus. Gold for
December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange
7. tacked on $ 1.60, or 0.12%, to $ 1,325.30 a troy ounce by 4:20AM ET. On Wednesday,
prices fell to $ 1,321.10, a level not seen since September 21. Data due on Thursday
includes weekly jobless claims, the final look at second-quarter GDP and the trade
deficit, all at 8:30 AM ET. Pending home sales are reported at 10:00AM ET. A handful
of Fed policymakers are also due to make public appearances on Thursday that may
offer insight into how divided they are about raising rates. Philadelphia Fed President
Patrick Harker, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, Fed Governor Jerome Powell,
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Kansas City Fed President Esther George
are all scheduled to speak during the day.
✍ ENERGY
Oil futures retreated on Thursday as the market grew more sceptical on how OPEC
would implement a plan to curb oil output, a day after the group agreed to limit
production. "Further oil price rallies may feed more convincingly into the gold market,
especially if other non-oil commodities also rally, and the broader commodity indices
rise," HSBC analyst James Steel said in a note. Goldman Sachs said the deal reached by
OPEC crude producers on Wednesday to curb output should add $ 7 to $ 10 to oil prices
in the first half of next year. Members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries agreed on Wednesday to modest oil output cuts in the first such deal since
2008, with group leader Saudi Arabia softening its stance on arch-rival Iran amid
mounting pressure from low oil prices. "Strict implementation of today's deal in 2017
would represent 480,000 to 980,000 barrels per day less output," Goldman analysts said
in a note dated Wednesday. "Longer term, we remain sceptical on the implementation of
the proposed quotas, if ratified," the analysts said. Still, the bank reiterated its year-end
and 2017 oil price forecasts, given the uncertainty of the OPEC proposal. Goldman kept
its end-2016 forecast for US West Texas Intermediate crude at $ 43 per barrel and its
2017 forecast at $ 53 per barrel. WTI was trading around $ 47 a barrel, after gaining
more than five per cent on Wednesday on OPEC's planned output cut. "If this proposed
cut is strictly enforced and supports prices, we would expect it to prove self-defeating
medium term with a large drilling response around the world,"
WTI oil prices rose by 8.5 percent last week to close at $48.2 per barrel with Brent
nearing $50 a barrel on optimism over OPEC's first planned output cut in eight years,
although gains were limited as some analysts doubted the reduction would be enough to
make a substantial dent in
the global crude glut. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed on
8. Wednesday to cut output to 32.5-33.0 million barrels per day from around 33.5 million
bpd, estimated by Reuters to be the output level in August. OPEC said other details will
be known at its policy meeting in November, leaving unanswered when the agreement
will come into effect, what new quotas for member countries will be and for what
periods, and how compliance will be verified. Key members such as Saudi Arabia and
Iran resisted, becoming more protective of individual market share even though the rout
hurt the group's oil-dependent economies. The deal in Algiers follows failed talks in
Qatar in April for a production freeze. Key OPEC member Iran, the fourth largest crude
exporter which is still trying to recapture output before Western sanctions in 2012. On
the MCX, oil prices rose by 8 percent to close at Rs.3212 per barrel.
✍ BASE METAL
LME Copper prices rose 0.2 percent last week to $4865/tonne as the 14-member OPEC
agreed to cut production for the first time since 2008, proposing new production levels
at 32.5 million to 33 millionbarrels a day, a 700,000 drop on August production levels at
33.24 million barrels a day. Besides, comments from Chilean President Michelle
Bachelet said the country's budgeted spending will rise 2.7 percent in 2017 compared
with this year, one of the lowest rates of growth since the 1990s, as a sluggish economy
has crimped income. Also, Industrial profit growth in China surged 19.5 percent to
534.8 billion Yuan in August to the highest level since 2013 helped by rising sales,
higher prices and lower costs, shown recent signs of stabilization. However, stock
additions at LME’s South East Asian warehouses of Gwangyang, Klang and Busan
restricted sharp upside. MCX copper prices traded higher by 0.2 percent to close at
Rs.328.6 per kg on Friday.
The Engineering Export Promotion Council of India has opposed extension of minimum
import price on steel as it said the non-tariff barrier on crucial inputs was resulting in an
inversion of duty with imports of finished goods increasing at a faster pace than the raw
material. “Any inversion in duty at this stage would be a big setback to Make in India
where the entire focus is on taking the country several notches up on the value and
technology chain so that we become a global factory,” said EEPC India Chairman T S
Bhasin. Imports for finished goods in the form of products of steel and iron increased at
up to 51 per cent between June and August this year, EEPC India said in a statement.
On the other hand, imports for the raw material by way of steel and iron used purely for
raw material dropped between June and August. On August 4, Directorate General of
Foreign Trade extended the minimum import price on 66 steel products till October 4.
The MIP is in the range of $341-$752 per tonne. The government had earlier levied MIP
9. on 173 steel products ranging from $341 to $752 per tonne on February 5, which was
valid for six months. While the measure has led to curtailment of cheaper imports to
some extent, it has also increased idling capacities of small steel manufacturers and
downstream industry, EEPC said.
Domestic steel industry remains engaged in mulling the quantum of October price hike,
demand for the commodity is expected to catch pace in coming months, thanks to a rise
in construction activity.“Second half of this year has seen demand rising for steel as
government projects are likely to take-off,” said Sanak Mishra, secretary general at
Indian Steel Association . Domestic demand for steel is expected to grow 5.3 per cent in
the current fiscal to 85.8 million tonne as consumption from construction and capital
goods is seen higher, supported by higher infrastructure spending, ISA has said in its
recent report. In addition, a pick-up in rural income due to good monsoon and
government initiatives is expected to help in creating sustainable demand in the region.
Railways and intermediate sectors are also expected to witness growth. “Government
initiatives by way of increments to its employees and public sector staff is likely to
boost automotive and consumer durables demand in the current financial year,” said ISA
in its short-term domestic steel demand outlook.The association sees consistent rise in
domestic demand for the next eight quarters, taking 2017-18 demand to 90.6 million
tonne, achieving a growth of 5.6 per cent from previous year.
Lead prices drifted lower by 0.24 per cent to Rs. 126.40 per kg in futures trade today as
traders trimmed their positions amid sluggish demand from battery-makers in the spot
market. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, lead for delivery in September declined by
30 paise or 0.24 per cent to Rs 126.40 per kg in business turnover of 370 lots. Likewise,
the metal for delivery in October contracts traded lower by a similar margin to Rs
127.05 per kg in 3 lots. Market analysts said offloading of positions by participants
owing to slackened demand from battery-makers in the spot market led to decline in
lead prices at futures trade.
NCDEX - WEEKLY MARKET REVIEW
Crop prices are beginning to fall as the bumper harvest reaches the market. Soybean
prices are falling steadily, down 10-12% from last year.The government has estimated
soybean output to rise 50% this year. In the Indore market, a major hub for soybean,
farmers were getting Rs 3000 a quintal, which at factory the price was Rs 3200 a
10. quintal. Overall with production looking good, prices could further come down, said
Anand Garg of Anand Trading Company, Indore. Similarly, Davish Jain, chairman of
the Soybean Processors Association of India said that the crop was looking good and
arrivals were expected to jump in the next fortnight ahead of Diwali, leading to a further
slump in prices. Jain who has just come back from a visit of Thailand, Philippines,
Vietnam, Indonesia and Japan, said the export opportunity looked promising this year.
As per industry estimates, India can export 3-4 million tonnes of soymeal this year
compared to just 0.4 million tonnes last year.
One of the largest traders in the sugar market said world sugar output in the next crop
season will trail demand by more than previously forecast as adverse growing
conditions threaten yields in Brazil and India, the biggest growers. The deficit in the
2016-17 season, which starts October 1 in most countries, will be 4 million metric tons,
Paris-based Sucden & Denrees said Thursday, up from a July projection of 3 million.
India’s crop will drop by about 2 million tons to 23.2 million, creating a domestic
shortfall of 2.7 million that may spur the country to import, Sucden said in a report.
While Brazil’s Center-South region could produce a record 35.4 million tons, according
to the trader, some forecasters point to a rainy October curbing the sucrose content of
the sugar-cane. That could collapse yields, raising concern about how much sugar-cane
is available for processing, anddelay the start of next year’s harvest. Harsh weather in
the country’s northeastern sections “means more downside may be on the horizon
there.” “As always, weather conditions going forward can influence sugar production
and can therefore bring some volatility,” Sucden said. “Also, while funds posted a new
record long recently and seem to be willing to persist on the long side, it cannot be ruled
out that a macro event might, at some point, trigger a sell-off.”
Subdued export demand, rainfall in Andhra Pradesh and expected good crop from
Madhya Pradesh have pulled down prices of chilli, which had touched a new peak this
year. The prices of the largest exported spice from India have dropped by 10% to 15%
and the falling trend may continue in the coming weeks. The chilli prices are currently
hovering in the range of Rs 110 to Rs 125 per kg. “The high prices in the last few
months had impacted exports. Good harvest in China also led to sluggish purchase by
the country. Now the export demand has thinned considerably,” said AP Murugan,
director of Paprika Oleos , a major exporter. At present, chilli exports are limited to Sri
Lanka and Bangladesh in small quantities. The weak export trend along with anticipated
good crop from Madhya Pradesh could trigger a downward push in the prices, according
to the traders. Last year, Madhya Pradesh’s chilli crop fell short because of pest
problems. Indian chilli exports had touched close to Rs 4,000 crore in 2015-16, a record.
11. Exactly a year after strengthening regulation of the 13-year-old commodity derivatives
market, the Securities and Exchange Board of India has taken the first steps towards its
growth by allowing exchanges like MCX and NCDEX to launch options in
commodities. Also, it has expanded the list of notified commodities that exchanges can
launch by adding to it eggs, diamonds, skimmed milk powder, tea, cocoa, pig iron,
biofuels and brass. ET had reported in its edition of September 27 that Sebi would
approve the launch of the options this week. On July 1, this paper was the first to report
that the regulator was considering a diamond contract. Sebi will spell out the details of
the type of options and the products on which they can be launched in due course. An
advisory committee constituted by Sebi after erstwhile commodity regulator FMC was
merged with it on September 29 last year had recommended launch of gold and refined
soya oil options initially.
The domestic sugar prices have remained firm and increased from around Rs.
31,500/MT in March 2016 to Rs. 36,000/MT in August 2016 and continue to hover
around the same price in September 2016, supported by an expected decline in the sugar
production during sugar year 2017 , actual decline in the domestic sugar stocks during
SY2016, and also a global sugar deficit scenario, which drove up international sugar
prices. Further, the domestic sugar prices are likely to remain firm in the next three to
four quarters, given the tight domestic situation. Mr. Sabyasachi Majumdar, Senior
Vice-President, ICRA, said: “While the Government implemented stock holding limits
in September 2016, this hasn’t resulted in any significant impact on domestic sugar
prices. Sugar prices are expected to remain firm in the near term in spite of this, given
the tight stock position. However, imposition of export duty and stock holding limit
measures may dampen prospects of a further significant price rise. In the next 3-4
quarters, any further increase from the current levels would depend upon the following
factors: expectations of sugar production during SY2017, sugar mills’ own actions on
supplies depending upon their inventory-holding capacity, and the Government action
on price control measures.”
Crop prices are beginning to fall as the bumper harvest reaches the market. Soybean
prices are falling steadily, down 10-12% from last year.The government has estimated
soybean output to rise 50% this year. In the Indore market, a major hub for soybean,
farmers were getting Rs 3000 a quintal, which at factory the price was Rs 3200 a
quintal. Overall with production looking good, prices could further come down, said
Anand Garg of Anand Trading Company, Indore. Similarly, Davish Jain, chairman of
the Soybean Processors Association of India said that the crop was looking good and
12. arrivals were expected to jump in the next fortnight ahead of Diwali, leading to a further
slump in prices. Jain who has just come back from a visit of Thailand, Philippines,
Vietnam, Indonesia and Japan, said the export opportunity looked promising this year.
As per industry estimates, India can export 3-4 million tonnes of soymeal this year
compared to just 0.4 million tonnes last year.
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