Global steel use should grow at a slightly slower pace this year than last because of China's slow down, although elsewhere steel use is mostly improving and 2016 prospects look brighter, the World Steel Association said on Monday.
BULLION Gold fell on Monday as pressure from speculation over a potential increase in U.S. interest rates this
month offset the metal's safe-haven appeal amid widespread weakness across other assets. Spot gold was down almost
Indian economy to grow at 7.3% in 2015: Moody's Analytics: Indian economy is expected to grow marginally higher at 7.3 percent during the year compared with 7.2 percent in 2014 and interest rate cuts will buttress private sector spending, said a group company of global rating agency Moody's.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
China's economic policymakers clearly didn't consult mother-of-one Chen Xuejun when they
decided to try stimulating consumer demand by slashing import tariffs on sneakers to skincare.
The 28-year-old speaks for many Chinese shoppers when she says the move last week won't
make her shift her purchases back home from overseas, suggesting the economic upside may be
less than Beijing has bargained for.
Oil prices tumbled more than 1 percent on Friday, extending losses after weekly industry data showed U.S.
drillers added rigs for only the second time this year
"Highlights":
* Macroeconomic recovery expected in 2017
* Budget deficit target met; financing of priorities in 2017
* Stable growth in both loans and deposits
"In Focus":
* The tourism industry in Latvia as a Mirror of the Economy, autore: Linda Vecgaile
The Washington-based lender expects the developing East Asia and Pacific (EAP) region,
which includes China, to grow 6.7 percent in each of 2015 and 2016, down from 6.9 percent
growth in 2014. That's down from its previous forecast in October of 6.9 percent growth this
year and 6.8 percent in 2016. China's growth is likely to slow due to policies aimed at putting
its economy on a more sustainable footing and tackling financial vulnerabilities, the World
Bank said in its latest East Asia and Pacific Economic Update report on Monday.
GOLD - Gold on MCX settled up 0.34% at 28509 as the U.S. Federal Reserve's cautious message on interest rates left the dollar around five-week lows, making bullion cheaper those holding other currencies. The Fed raised
BULLION Gold fell on Monday as pressure from speculation over a potential increase in U.S. interest rates this
month offset the metal's safe-haven appeal amid widespread weakness across other assets. Spot gold was down almost
Indian economy to grow at 7.3% in 2015: Moody's Analytics: Indian economy is expected to grow marginally higher at 7.3 percent during the year compared with 7.2 percent in 2014 and interest rate cuts will buttress private sector spending, said a group company of global rating agency Moody's.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
China's economic policymakers clearly didn't consult mother-of-one Chen Xuejun when they
decided to try stimulating consumer demand by slashing import tariffs on sneakers to skincare.
The 28-year-old speaks for many Chinese shoppers when she says the move last week won't
make her shift her purchases back home from overseas, suggesting the economic upside may be
less than Beijing has bargained for.
Oil prices tumbled more than 1 percent on Friday, extending losses after weekly industry data showed U.S.
drillers added rigs for only the second time this year
"Highlights":
* Macroeconomic recovery expected in 2017
* Budget deficit target met; financing of priorities in 2017
* Stable growth in both loans and deposits
"In Focus":
* The tourism industry in Latvia as a Mirror of the Economy, autore: Linda Vecgaile
The Washington-based lender expects the developing East Asia and Pacific (EAP) region,
which includes China, to grow 6.7 percent in each of 2015 and 2016, down from 6.9 percent
growth in 2014. That's down from its previous forecast in October of 6.9 percent growth this
year and 6.8 percent in 2016. China's growth is likely to slow due to policies aimed at putting
its economy on a more sustainable footing and tackling financial vulnerabilities, the World
Bank said in its latest East Asia and Pacific Economic Update report on Monday.
GOLD - Gold on MCX settled up 0.34% at 28509 as the U.S. Federal Reserve's cautious message on interest rates left the dollar around five-week lows, making bullion cheaper those holding other currencies. The Fed raised
Vladimir N. Kniaginin, Director, Foundation Center for Strategic Research «North-West»
Economic Policy Dialogue among think tanks of emerging economies
China's factories suffered their fastest drop in activity in a year in April as new orders shrank, a private business survey showed on Monday, hardening the case for fresh policy stimulus to halt a slowdown in the world's second-largest economy. The HSBC/Markit Purchasing Managers'
Index (PMI) fell to 48.9 in April - the lowest level since April 2014 - from 49.6 in March, as demand faltered and deflationary pressures persisted.
"Highlights":
* Manufacturing output continues to rise despite weak demand
* Latvian exports sluggish in complex circumstances
* Inflation starting to go up
"In Focus":
Macroeconomic balance maintained in 2016, supply side should be strengthened in 2017, autors: Oļegs Krasnopjorovs
Plunging iron ore prices are providing a lifeline for some of China's biggest steel mills, but
raising the prospect of a rising tide of exports and increased friction with the European Union
and countries such as India.
Monsoon may set in over Kerala during June 3 to 9, says agro-met advisory Meteorological
subdivision-level rainfall forecast indicates rainfall activity over South India during June 3 to 9, which
can bring the onset of the South-West monsoon
Bullion counter may trade on positive path as weaker greenback and safe haven demand can give support to the prices. Meanwhile movement of local currency rupee will give further direction to the prices. Gold
can move in range of 29300-29700 while silver can move in range of 39000-40000 in near term. Gold
prices rose early on Monday, pulling further away from a two-month low, as fresh concerns over North
Korea's nuclear ambitions stoked safehaven demand for the precious metal and weighed on the dollar.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
A risk report I produced on Russia for my International Banking and Finance unit, highlighting key sovereign and foreign exchange risks facing the country. Obtained the highest grade of all students for the assignment.
Achiievers Equities' daily commodity report brings to you market round up and daily trading ideas for MCX, NCDEX futures and options. Get technical analysis on gold, silver,Crudeoil and more.
Capitalstars Financial Research Private Limited(SEBI Registered, CRISIL-NSIC Rated , ISO Certified) is a research house where we provide calls for traders which include tips like Stock Tips, Commodity Tips, MCX Tips, Equity Tips and Intraday Tips also we provide free trials for better Satisfaction.
For More Information Call On 9977499927.
China’s factory activity showed some signs of stabilizing in June but still contracted for the
fourth straight month, according to a preliminary private survey, suggesting more stimulus
measures may be needed to support the world’s second-largest economy.
European Central Bank head Mario Draghi said that "growth is too low everywhere" in the
19-country eurozone despite a modest recovery. Draghi made the blunt remark as he opened a
conference on the unemployment problem plaguing several of the European Union member
countries that share the euro currency.
Vladimir N. Kniaginin, Director, Foundation Center for Strategic Research «North-West»
Economic Policy Dialogue among think tanks of emerging economies
China's factories suffered their fastest drop in activity in a year in April as new orders shrank, a private business survey showed on Monday, hardening the case for fresh policy stimulus to halt a slowdown in the world's second-largest economy. The HSBC/Markit Purchasing Managers'
Index (PMI) fell to 48.9 in April - the lowest level since April 2014 - from 49.6 in March, as demand faltered and deflationary pressures persisted.
"Highlights":
* Manufacturing output continues to rise despite weak demand
* Latvian exports sluggish in complex circumstances
* Inflation starting to go up
"In Focus":
Macroeconomic balance maintained in 2016, supply side should be strengthened in 2017, autors: Oļegs Krasnopjorovs
Plunging iron ore prices are providing a lifeline for some of China's biggest steel mills, but
raising the prospect of a rising tide of exports and increased friction with the European Union
and countries such as India.
Monsoon may set in over Kerala during June 3 to 9, says agro-met advisory Meteorological
subdivision-level rainfall forecast indicates rainfall activity over South India during June 3 to 9, which
can bring the onset of the South-West monsoon
Bullion counter may trade on positive path as weaker greenback and safe haven demand can give support to the prices. Meanwhile movement of local currency rupee will give further direction to the prices. Gold
can move in range of 29300-29700 while silver can move in range of 39000-40000 in near term. Gold
prices rose early on Monday, pulling further away from a two-month low, as fresh concerns over North
Korea's nuclear ambitions stoked safehaven demand for the precious metal and weighed on the dollar.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
Swedbank was founded in 1820, as Sweden’s first savings bank was established. Today, our heritage is visible in that we truly are a bank for each and every one and in that we still strive to contribute to a sustainable development of society and our environment. We are strongly committed to society as a whole and keen to help bring about a sustainable form of societal development. Our Swedish operations hold an ISO 14001 environmental certification, and environmental work is an integral part of our business activities.
A risk report I produced on Russia for my International Banking and Finance unit, highlighting key sovereign and foreign exchange risks facing the country. Obtained the highest grade of all students for the assignment.
Achiievers Equities' daily commodity report brings to you market round up and daily trading ideas for MCX, NCDEX futures and options. Get technical analysis on gold, silver,Crudeoil and more.
Capitalstars Financial Research Private Limited(SEBI Registered, CRISIL-NSIC Rated , ISO Certified) is a research house where we provide calls for traders which include tips like Stock Tips, Commodity Tips, MCX Tips, Equity Tips and Intraday Tips also we provide free trials for better Satisfaction.
For More Information Call On 9977499927.
China’s factory activity showed some signs of stabilizing in June but still contracted for the
fourth straight month, according to a preliminary private survey, suggesting more stimulus
measures may be needed to support the world’s second-largest economy.
European Central Bank head Mario Draghi said that "growth is too low everywhere" in the
19-country eurozone despite a modest recovery. Draghi made the blunt remark as he opened a
conference on the unemployment problem plaguing several of the European Union member
countries that share the euro currency.
U.S. industrial production rose more than expected in July, according to Federal Reserve datareleased on Tuesday.
The Labor Department said on Tuesday that the flat reading in its Consumer Price Index was
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
As China's economy slows and Beijing becomes more relaxed about letting its companies fail, a rising number of foreign bondholders risk being caught up in the country's unpredictable court system.
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the second time in three months and said it would begin cutting its holdings of bonds and other securities this year, signaling its confidence in a growing U.S. economy and
strengthening job market. In lifting its benchmark lending rate by a quarter percentage point to a target range of
The euro is on track for its biggest weekly rise in a month as investors put political concerns on the back-burner and look ahead to a European Central Bank meeting at which it is expected to outline plans to unwind its huge stimulus programme.
The Federal Reserve should be cautious on interest rate increases due to lingering risks to the U.S. economy, one of its most influential policymakers said on Monday, appearing to signal the chance of a hike by the end of the year was fading.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
The step down in job gains could temper expectations of a strong rebound in economic activity in the second
quarter after growth nearly stalled in the first three months of the year
The government is gearing up to launch the gold monetization scheme around Diwali with an interest rate of 1.5-2% on gold deposits.As regards the sovereign gold bond scheme, the government aims to raise Rs 15,000 crore and the timing of the launch will be decided consultations with the Reserve Bank.
Commodity Research Report 28 December 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
Silver prices slipped from highs as U.S. home re-sales posted their sharpest drop in five years in November. The prices stayed higher earlier as the dollar slipped against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as more traders booked profits on bullish greenback bets following the Federal Reserve's interest rate increase last week.
Most emerging Asian currencies rose on Friday to see weekly gains on growing expectations the US Federal Reserve will delay interest rate hikes after soft economic data.Malaysia's ringgit hovered near a two-week high as the economy grew at a faster-than-expected pace in the first quarter and its current account surplus almost doubled. The US dollar stayed around a four-month low against a basket of major currencies as softer-than-expected US producer prices deepened concerns over slowing growth in the world's top economy.
Weekly News: The government cancels approvals of nine SEZ - SMCIndiaNotes.com
The government has cancelled approvals of nine special economic zones, including that of Hindalco Industries, Essar and Adani as no "satisfactory" progress was made to execute the projects.
Ways2Capital is one of the leading research house across the globe. The company basically provides recommendations for stocks cash & F&O traded in NSE & BSE,commodities including bullions, metals and agro commodities traded in MCX & NCDEX.
Commodity Research Report 16 November 2015 Ways2Capitalways2capitalindore
U.S. retail sales rose less than expected in October amid a surprise decline in automobile purchases, suggesting a slowdown in consumer spending that could temper expectations of a strong pickup in fourth-quarter economic growth. The Commerce Department said retail
sales edged up 0.1 percent last month after being unchanged in both September and August. Economists had forecast sales increasing 0.3 percent.
Similar to Commodity report 27 april 2015 Ways2Capital (20)
Gold in the European market settled on Monday near the highest in a week sup-ported by the decline of the US dollar against a basket of currencies and thanks to this decline prices on
The Indian Equity market remained remained positive throughout last week as the indices posted a gain of 1.6 percent each largely supported by metal, auto, energy and infra stocks. The Nifty50 index managed to close above 11,000 for the first time since September 2018. Nifty gained 172 points in the truncated week ended March 8. On a weekly basis, the rupee rose over 1
Gold prices continued to fall on Monday dropping through the 1,290 level. The dol-lar continued to gain ground early despite the comment from President Trump that he does not want to see a stronger greenback. Late in the trading session the dollar
The Indian Equity market remained volatile in February weighed down by Indo-Pak tensions, US-China trade war concerns, rise in crude oil prices, concerns regarding lenders selling pledged shares, weak GDP data as well as mixed earnings from India Inc. The index was below its crucial psychological levels of 11000. The index fell down 0.36 percent in February. But in last week of
On Wednesday spot gold prices declined 0.13 percent to close at $1266.9 per ounce amid concerns about global economic growth and a partial U.S. government shut down although a rebound in investor risk appetite in the previous session lim-
After a weak start for a truncated week, the Indian indices recovered from the lows and ended with a percent gain. The Nifty was up 0.98 percent, or 105.9 points, to close at 10,859.9. Positive lead from Wall Street and rally in banking & financial stocks lifted investor sentiment. Ending the week with a Hammer candle implies further strength in the index in coming sessions. The
Gold traded on flat note on Friday after jumping more than 1 percent in the previ-ous session boosted by a crumbling dollar and as sliding stocks prompted an influx of safe haven bids after the U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy stance aug-
Last week our Indian Equity market opened on a gap up not on Monday and continuing its previous week's momentum. It remained bullish till Thursdays session but Indian indices witnessed bloodbath in Friday trading session as Nifty closed 197 points lower at 10,754. Fears of a global slowdown spooked investors across the globe, including India on Friday. Global mar-
Gold prices steadied on Friday after slipping to a week low in the previous session supported by the uncertainty around the Federal Reserves next years policy out-look while the dollar strengthened on expectations of a rate hike next week.
Last week our Indian Equity market opened on a gap down not on Monday backed by most of the exit polls results indicating possible defeat of BJP in key states. It remained in pressure till 1st session of the Tuesday where after state assembly results came out in favor of congress. Which lifted the sentiments of the market and it recovered from lower levels and it remained
Gold traded firm near a five month peak hit early on Monday supported by a disap-pointing U.S. jobs data that fuelled speculation that the Federal Reserve may stop
Last week our Indian Equity market opened on negative note and remained bearish throughout the week. The December series kick-started on a volatile note with Nifty making swing high of 10,974 and a swing low of 10,611 to end the week with a loss of 1.4 percent. The IT sector outperformed while huge selling was seen in the pharma sector (mainly Sun Pharma), auto, metals,
Gold prices were steady early on Monday as the dollar weakened on U.S. China trade truce that revived investor demand for riskier assets. Spot gold inched up 0.1 percent to $1,222.97 per ounce at the time of writing. U.S. gold futures were up 0.2
The Nifty Bank index started the last week on positive note on Monday and extended its positive run in most of the trading session in the week . The Bank Nifty ended the November F&O expiry on an optimistic note and well above the previous hurdle of 26,400 to give index closing at 26,914 on positive note on weekly basis with gain of 3.50%. Participation was seen
Gold prices traded on flat note on Thursday after rising to a two week high in the previous session as the dollar slipped with uncertainty on the pace of interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve also supporting the metal. Spot gold traded at
Last week our Indian Equity market opened on a gap up note but Nifty failed to hold on to its important resistance levels of 10700 and saw a sharp correction in the last 3 trading session that dragged the index below 10,550. The Nifty index closed at the week’s low level of 10,511 down by almost 1.46 %. Broad-based selling was seen in cement, pharma, technology and metal
Gold prices rose on Friday as investors sought safe haven assets amid fears of a chaotic departure for Britain from the European Union. Spot gold was up 0.2 per-
The Indian Equity market, which remained range-bound for first 3-4 session of the week showed some strength in Friday's trading session to ended the week on a positive note. The Nifty closed close to 0.90 percent higher week on week amid a mixed set of results from India Inc, some appreciation in the rupee, weakening crude oil prices and
Gold prices were steady on Monday having dipped to a one month low in the previ-ous session after the U.S. dollar firmed on the Federal Reserves plans to gradually keep tightening borrowing costs.
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Putting the SPARK into Virtual Training.pptxCynthia Clay
This 60-minute webinar, sponsored by Adobe, was delivered for the Training Mag Network. It explored the five elements of SPARK: Storytelling, Purpose, Action, Relationships, and Kudos. Knowing how to tell a well-structured story is key to building long-term memory. Stating a clear purpose that doesn't take away from the discovery learning process is critical. Ensuring that people move from theory to practical application is imperative. Creating strong social learning is the key to commitment and engagement. Validating and affirming participants' comments is the way to create a positive learning environment.
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3.0 Project 2_ Developing My Brand Identity Kit.pptxtanyjahb
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Enterprise Excellence is Inclusive Excellence.pdfKaiNexus
Enterprise excellence and inclusive excellence are closely linked, and real-world challenges have shown that both are essential to the success of any organization. To achieve enterprise excellence, organizations must focus on improving their operations and processes while creating an inclusive environment that engages everyone. In this interactive session, the facilitator will highlight commonly established business practices and how they limit our ability to engage everyone every day. More importantly, though, participants will likely gain increased awareness of what we can do differently to maximize enterprise excellence through deliberate inclusion.
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RMD24 | Debunking the non-endemic revenue myth Marvin Vacquier Droop | First ...BBPMedia1
Marvin neemt je in deze presentatie mee in de voordelen van non-endemic advertising op retail media netwerken. Hij brengt ook de uitdagingen in beeld die de markt op dit moment heeft op het gebied van retail media voor niet-leveranciers.
Retail media wordt gezien als het nieuwe advertising-medium en ook mediabureaus richten massaal retail media-afdelingen op. Merken die niet in de betreffende winkel liggen staan ook nog niet in de rij om op de retail media netwerken te adverteren. Marvin belicht de uitdagingen die er zijn om echt aansluiting te vinden op die markt van non-endemic advertising.
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4. ✍ MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
✍ INTERNATIONAL NEWS
✍ World steel demand to decrease in 2015: World steel
Global steel use should grow at a slightly slower pace this year than last because of China's
slow down, although elsewhere steel use is mostly improving and 2016 prospects look brighter,
the World Steel Association said on Monday.
"We hear increasingly positive use from developed economies, especially ... the euro zone. In
the developing world we see increased optimism about India and growth in the MENA and
ASEAN countries," said Hans Jurgen Kerkhoff, chairman of the group's Economics
Committee.
"While these developments will not be enough to counter-balance the deceleration of China, we
expect to see gradually improving growth prospects beyond 2016," he added. Global apparent
steel use - steel both known and assumed to have been used - is expected to grow by 0.5
percent this year to 1.544 billion tonnes, compared with growth of 0.6 percent last year,
Worldsteel said.
This primarily because use in China, which accounts for about half of the world's steel
consumption, is expected to fall 0.5 percent to 707.2 million tonnes from last year. Next year,
however, global apparent steel use is expected to grow 1.4 percent to 1.566 billion tonnes.
Emerging and developing economies should be up 4 percent, developed economies 1.8 percent.
Global steel prices are nonetheless currently languishing at their lowest levels in nearly six
years amid structural oversupply. Usage in China, the world's second largest economy, is falling
and it produces about 100 million tonnes more than it consumes. Beijing is introducing
measures to cut excess steel capacity but there is a question about how successful it will be.
Also a concern, especially for miners of iron ore, a key steelmaking ingredient, is whether
Chinese steel use has peaked. Iron ore prices have plunged some 60 percent since last year after
a concerted effort by major producers to expand output and boost their market share by driving
out high cost rivals. An iron ore glut has since built, one that would not easily disappear if
Chinese steel use is in long term decline.
"China is at the beginning of long and flat peak steel use. The peak might stretch over 3-5
years, with (demand) hovering around 720-750 mln tonnes, then we may see a gradual decline
to 680 million tonnes in the mid-2020s," Worldsteel director general Edwin Basson said. "So
we don't see a rapid increase in iron ore costs in our industry.
5. ✍ China cuts bank reserves again to counter slowdown
China's central bank on Sunday cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves, the
second industry-wide cut in two months, adding more liquidity to the world's second-biggest
economy to help spur bank lending and combat slowing growth.
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) lowered the reserve requirement ratio for all banks by 100
basis points to 18.5 percent. The reduction is effective from April 20, the central bank said in a
statement on its website www.pbc.gov.cn.
The latest cut in the reserve requirement shows how the central bank is stepping up efforts to
ward off a sharp slowdown in the economy. Weighed down by a property downturn, factory
overcapacity and local debt, growth is expected to slow to a quarter-century low of around 7
percent this year from 7.4 percent in 2014, even with expected additional stimulus measures.
The PBOC last cut the reserve requirement ratio for all commercial banks by 50 basis points on
February 4, the first industry-wide cut since May 2012. The central bank has also cut interest
rates twice since November in a bid to lower borrowing costs and spur demand.
✍ Russia has bigger concerns than oil, ruble: Russia Dep PM
Faced with the triple whammy of plunging oil prices, currency volatility and Western sanctions,
there's no dearth of challenges for Russia's ailing economy, but Deputy Prime Minister Arkady
Dvorkovich said what hurts most is the scarcity of financing for new investments.
"The shortness of financing for new investments is where the Russian economy is being hit in
the most important way," Dvorkovich told CNBC on the sidelines of World Economic Forum
on East Asia in Jakarta.
"How do we deal with this? We are working with new partners. This is why we are in China, in
other countries, looking for new partners who can bring new investments into the country," he
added. Russia's economy, which grew by just 0.6 percent in 2014, is expected to enter a deep
recession this year under the weight of lower oil prices and sanctions, which have compounded
the country's underlying structural weaknesses and undermined business and consumer
confidence.
Earlier this month, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) slashed its growth outlook for the
country, forecasting a contraction of 3.8 percent in 2015 and 1.1 percent in 2016. Its earlier
estimate was for a contraction of 3 percent this year and 1 percent next.
Nevertheless, Dvorkovich says the country has built up enough reserves to weather the rout in
the commodities market.
"We were not counting on higher oil prices in our economic policies. We were saving some
6. money for the times like what we face now, so we have reserves that allow us to smooth this
stage and to help poor families and increase unemployment benefits," he said.
As for the precipitous fall in the ruble over the past year, Dvorkovich said the implications are
not all negative as it gives Russian manufacturing and agricultural exports a pricing edge in
global markets.
From economics to geopolitics Responding to criticism over the Kremlin's decision to lift a
self-imposed ban on supplying a sophisticated missile air defense system to Iran, Dvorkovich
said: "We are not breaking any sanctions." "We will fulfill our commitments and
responsibilities in full compliance with international legislations. Our partners shouldn't doubt
that we would work in that manner," he said.
Read More: Why Russia is delivering missiles to Iran The end to the ban on shipping the S-300
surface-to-air missile system to Iran, which had been in place since 2010, was spurred by the
recent progress in talks over Tehran's nuclear program. The U.S. and Israel, among the most
vocal critics, fear the S-300s could be used to protect Iranian nuclear sites from future
airstrikes. As for Moscow's deepening ties with Pyongyang, Dvorkovich, said "we are friendly
countries to each other." "We are long standing partners with North Korea. The political and
economic systems are different, but it requires big investment especially into infrastructure. We
will continue our consultations, and we will be work in a way that is predictable and safe for
both partners as we did before."
✍ China factory activity falls to one-year low
China's manufacturing activity fell to a one-year low in April, a private survey showed on
Thursday. The flash HSBC Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by Markit, came in at
49.2, compared with a Reuters forecast for a 49.6 print, and following the final March reading
of 49.6. A figure below 50 signals contraction.
"Operating conditions in China's manufacturing sector deteriorated slightly for the second
month running in April," said Markit economist Annabel Fiddes. "Production increased only
marginally, while total new business declined for the second successive month."
Fiddes said stronger deflationary pressures in the sector reflected weak demand conditions,
while job shedding across manufacturing firms was recorded for the eighteenth month in a row.
"On a brighter note, demand from overseas improved in April, with new export work rising for
the first time in three months," she added.
China markets pulled back modestly following the data; Shanghai Composite fell deeper into
negative terrain, down 0.3 percent, while the Hang Seng index trimmed gains to 0.6 percent
from 0.8 percent. The Australian dollar fell as low as $0.7718, from $0.7733 before the data.
Over the weekend, the People's Republic of China slashed the reserve requirement ratio (RRR)
7. of major banks. The 100 basis point-cut to 18.5 percent is the biggest since 2008, during the
height of the global financial crisis. The move was the latest in a series of aggressive measures
by policymakers to stem further slowdown in the world's second largest economy.
China grew 7 percent in the first quarter on an annual basis, growth figures revealed last week,
the slowest pace in six years. The flash redaing is typically based on approximately 85–90
percent of total PMI survey responses each month. April's final PMI data will be released on
May 4.
✍ BULLION
Bullion shines amidst dollar drop:
Gold futures surged in the domestic market on Thursday as investors and speculators booked
fresh positions in the precious metal tracking a firm trend in the overseas market as a tumbling
US dollar boosted the appeal of the bullion as an alternative asset.Stronger greenback makes
gold cheaper for those holding other currencies, thus bolstering demand.Disappointing US
factory, housing and labour market data signaled softness in the world’s biggest economy,
boosting the case for the Federal Reserve to delay monetary tightening, and bolstering the lure
for gold as a store of value. Thursday’s economic releases showed an uptick in US jobless
claims last week, a drop in new home sales in March and slower gains in manufacturing in
April.Gold may trade on a subdued note today as investors stay cautious ahead of US durable
goods orders data which will offer further cues over the economy’s health.
Gold eases in Asia as HSBC China flash PMI shows continued weakness:
Gold prices held weaker in Asia on Thursday after China showed continued weak
manufacturing in a survey of purchasing managers. Meanwhile, in Australia is the first quarter
NAB business confidence and business conditions survey showed confidence flat from plus-2
in the fourth quarter and conditions down to plus-2 from plus-5.
In China, the HSBC (LONDON:HSBA) flash manufacturing PMI fell to 49.2 in April from
March's final of 49.6, shrinking for the third month in-a-row. "The HSBC Flash China
Manufacturing PMI signaled a slight deterioration in the health of China's manufacturing sector
in March," said Annabel Fiddes, economist at Markit.
A renewed fall in total new business contributed to a weaker expansion of output while
companies continued to trim their workforce numbers. Meanwhile, manufacturing companies
continued to benefit from falling input costs stemming from the recent global oil-price decline.
However, relatively muted client demand has led firms to pass on savings in a bid to boost new
work and cut their selling prices at a similarly sharp rate." On the Comex division of the New
8. York Mercantile Exchange, Gold futures for June delivery eased 0.12% to $1,185.50.
Elsewhere, Silver for May delivery fell 0.15% to 15.773 a troy ounce.
Copper for May delivery rose 0.19% to $2.676 a pound. Overnight, gold futures prices
plummeted on Tuesday slipping under $1,200 an ounce, as upbeat U.S.
economic data fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve might institute an interest-rate hike
by June after all. Gold prices dipped on Wednesday after the National Association of Realtors
said existing home sales increased 6.1% last month to 5.19 million, its highest level in 18
months. Economists polled by Reuters expected the figure to tick up to increase to 5.03 million.
Separately, the Mortgage Bankers Association said mortgage applications swelled by 5% for
the week ending April 17, marking its fourth increases over the last five weeks. A decrease of
four basis points in mortgage rate in comparison with the prior week helped boost demand.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) also said Wednesday that its House Price Index
(HPI) ticked up 0.7% in February, above a 0.4% increase a month earlier. The index, which
covers single-family housing by evaluating data compiled by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac,
increased 5.4% on a year-over-year basis.
In its previous monthly report, the FHFA said the index rose 5.1% from its level during the
same period last year. The Fed is taking a data-driven approach, as it contemplates on the
timing of its first interest-rate hike since 2009.
In recent weeks, worse than expected import/export, industrial production and employment
data have lowered expectations of an imminent rate hike when the Federal Open Market
Committee meets in June. When the Fed released the minutes from its Federal Open Market
Committee meeting in March on April 8, it reiterated that it will phase in monetary policy
changes gradually when it is confident that the economy is strong enough to handle a rate
increase.
"When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a
balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation
of 2%," the Fed said in the minutes. "The Committee currently anticipates that, even after
employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for
some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as
normal in the longer run."
Gold struggles to compete with high yield-bearing assets in periods of rising interest rates. On
March 6, gold plunged by more than $30 an ounce when a strong U.S. jobs report for the month
of February provided an indication that the Federal Reserve could alter its interest rate
environment.
Gold flat to weaker in early Asia with attention set on Greece debt:
9. Gold prices were flat to weaker in Asia on Wednesday as investors eyed euro zone woes over
Greece that threaten to lead to a possible exit of the single-currency union. On the Comex
division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold for June delivery eased 0.04% to
$1,202.60 a troy ounce.
Elsewhere, Silver futures for May delivery fell 0.09% to 15.993 a troy ounce. Copper for May
delivery rose 0.11% to $2.698 a pound, after a bond default in the Chinese construction sector.
Kaisa Group Holdings, a Shenzen-based company, became the first Chinese property developer
to default on its dollar bonds, after it failed to meet a coupon payment on two notes on Monday.
China accounts for more than 40% of the world's copper consumption with houssing and
construction major users of the commodity. Overnight, gold futures edged up on Tuesday
reversing some of its losses during the previous session, as a potential Greek default on its
sovereign debt remained in focus.
On Tuesday, Jeroen Dijisselbloem, the head of the euro group of prominent finance ministers,
steadfastly insisted that Greece must meet all of its obligations in the coming weeks if it wants
to remain in the euro zone. Next month, Greece owes the International Monetary Fund a
payment of more than €773 million on a loan under the IMF's first Greek bailout in 2010,
before it must meet two separate obligations of more than €300 million to the IMF in June.
By late-July, Greece owes an additional €3.45 billion to the European Central Bank for bonds
related to a 2012 default. "The money is starting to run out," Dijisselbloem told European
broadcaster RTL. Dijisselbloem remained adamant that every effort must be undertaken to
prevent a Greek exit from the euro zone, a move that has earned the popular moniker "Grexit,"
in recent weeks.
"If Greece leaves the euro zone you would get very dangerous instability," he added. "It's in the
interests of Greece and the euro zone as a whole to avoid that." The sentiments were echoed on
Tuesday by Jason Furman, the chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers.
It is commonly thought by a number of economists that a Greek departure from the euro zone
could have a contagion effect, impacting countries such as Spain, Italy and Portugal whose
yields on its government debt have slipped into negative territory.
"A Greek exit would not just be bad for the Greek economy, it would be taking a very large and
unnecessary risk with the global economy just when a lot of things are starting to go right,"
Furman said in an interview with Reuters.
Athens officials on Monday reportedly issued a decree to local governments forcing them to
transfer all cash balances to the Greek Central Bank ahead of Friday's critical meeting of euro
zone finance ministers in Latvia. Greece prime minister Alexis Tsipras is expected to present a
revised list of reform measures that could unlock a vital financial lifeline to the cash-strapped
country. The effort could raise about €2 billion, according to multiple reports.
10. ✍ BASE METAL
Copper futures climb to 2-week high on China stimulus move:
Copper prices rose to a two-week peak on Monday, after China's central bank cut banks' reserve
requirement ratios in a surprise decision over the weekend. On the Comex division of the New
York Mercantile Exchange, copper for May delivery hit a session high of $2.829 a pound, the
most since April 6, before trading at $2.789 during European morning hours, up 1.5 cents, or
0.56%.
Futures were likely to find support at $2.668, the low from April 15, and resistance at $2.831,
the high from April 6. The People's Bank of China lowered the amount of deposits it requires
banks to hold as reserves to 18.5% from 19.5% effective April 20, it announced on Sunday.
The move came after official data last week showed that China's economy grew 7.0% in the
first quarter, the slowest pace of growth since the global financial crisis in 2008. Data on
industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment also fell short of forecasts,
indicating that China needs to act to prevent a further slowdown in the economy. The Asian
nation is the world's largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumption
last year.
✍ Zinc surges on strong buying support :
Zinc prices rose by 1.08 per cent on Monday at the domestic markets due to the decline in the
zinc stockpiles at the London Metal Exchange (LME) on account of the strong demand for the
commodity.
LME zinc stocks fell by 2975 metric tonnes to 492975 metric tonnes as on April 20, 2015. Zinc
futures for April 2015 contract, at MCX, were trading at Rs 140.05 per kg, up by 1.08 per cent
after opening at Rs. 138.80 against the previous closing price of Rs. 138.55. It touched the
intra-day high of Rs. 140.30 till the trading. Major refined zinc exporting countries are Canada,
Australia and Rep. of Korea, while major refined zinc importing countries are China, USA and
Germany.
✍ Lead drops on sluggish industrial demand:
Lead prices fell by 1.01 per cent on Thursday at the domestic markets as a result of low demand
for the commodity from battery-maker in the spot market in the midst of weak overseas trend.
At the MCX, Lead futures, for the April 2015 contract, is trading at Rs 127.65 per kg, down by
1.01 per cent, after opening at Rs 128.25, against a previous close of Rs 128.95. However,
losses were curbed due to the decline in the lead stockpiles at the London Metal Exchange
(LME) on account of the strong demand for the commodity. LME lead stocks fell by 4500
11. metric tonnes to 187875 metric tonnes as on April 23, 2015.
✍ ENERGY
Oil prices dip as Saudi output remains near record high:
Oil prices eased back from midday highs on Monday after Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali
al-Naimi said production in the world's biggest crude exporter would stay near record highs at
around 10 million barrels per day (bpd) in April. Brent crude was trading at USD 63.73 per
barrel at 0748 GMT, down from an intraday peak of USD 64.34, while US crude for May
delivery was at USD 56.14 a barrel, down from an earlier high of USD 56.65.
"I have said many times we will always be happy to supply to our customers with what they
want. Now they want 10 million," Naimi told Reuters on Monday in South Korea's capital
Seoul, where he is due to attend a board meeting of the state oil firm Saudi Aramco. Naimi
earlier this month said Saudi Arabia produced 10.3 million bpd of crude in March, eclipsing a
previous record of 10.2 million bpd, in what is seen as a move to defend market share against
non-OPEC competition, including the United States. US oil drilling rigs fell for a record 19th
straight week to the lowest since 2010, data from Baker Hughes showed, which has helped lift
prices from six-year lows reached in January.
Since the beginning of April, oil prices have risen around 17 percent, pushed up by reports of a
possible dip in US output, but Morgan Stanley warned on Monday that Saudi production could
be more important than developments in the United States.
"We worry about the market's fixation on the US ... OPEC production may be more important
as production increased 1 million barrels per day month-on-month in March. Saudi Arabia
alone added the equivalent of half of Bakken (the largest US shale oil field) production in a
matter of months – far beyond any US slowdown," the bank said in a note.
✍ Natural Gas futures extend rally ahead of storage data:
Natural Gas futures ended higher in the domestic and overseas market on Wednesday as
investors and speculators booked fresh positions in the energy commodity as traders eyed the
weekly EIA storage numbers set for release on Thursday to gauge the strength of demand for
the fuel in the world’s biggest fuel consumer, the US. Analysts expect an 80 billion cubic feet
build in US stockpiles in the week ended April 17, 2015, which will be well above the 45
billion cubic feet uptick witnessed in the same period a year ago, and topping the five-year
average gain of 46 billion cubic feet. At the MCX, Natural Gas futures for April 2015 contract
closed at Rs 164.1 per 1 kg, up by 1.11 per cent after opening at Rs 161.7, against the previous
closing price of Rs 162.3. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 165.4
12. ✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
NCDEX ties up with DD Kisan to provide agri-price information
NCDEX has tied up with public broadcaster Prasar Bharati for providing spot and futures
prices of farm items to the soon-to-be-launched DD Kisan' channel.
Besides providing data for price tickers, NCDEX will also provide news stories, expert analysis
and feature stories to showcase the economic turnaround stories from hinterlands and rural
India.
A memorandum of understanding (MoU) was signed in this regard last week.The government
and Prasar Bharati are preparing in full swing forlaunching the channel at the earliest.
In his 2014-15 Budget speech, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley had allocated Rs 100 crore for
launch of Kisan channel to provide real-time information on various farming and agricultural
matters.
✍ Agri commodity prices start upward move
Up trend in agri commodity is expected to continue due to fear of decline in output as
unseasonal rain affected the crop. Prices of most agricultural commodities moved up in futures
trading on the National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange, amid concerns of lower output in
the ensuing kharif season on prediction of lower monsoon rain this year.
Soybean moved up 3.2 per cent to trade at Rs 3,900 a quintal. Chana and sugar rose 2.3 per
cent and 1.45 per cent to quote at Rs 3,968 a qtl and 2,453 a qtl, respectively.
The price rise is an immediate impact, which might start correcting. Logically, agri
commodities’ prices should move up on fear of lower production. But it didn’t happen last year,
when rainfall was predicted at less. In fact, food price inflation came down this year despite
lower production of foodgrain.
A second year of a weaker monsoon may decrease the efficacy of India’s irrigation system and
hit agricultural output and farmers. Unseasonal rain since early March have already had a
13. negative impact on many crops.
Prices of agri commodities have seen an upside which was restricted due to high inventory
from last year. These have seen an upside due to unseasonal rain and hail.further strong upside
movement for agri commodities can be expected this year.
✍ NCDEX forward trade volume touches 8,000-tonne mark in 6 mths
In September 2014, NCDEX had launched trading in forward contracts.
Initially, it offered forward trading in sugar and maize but gradually expanded the product
basket to 27.
A forward contract is a bilateral agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset or a
commodity of specified quantity and quality at a future date on a mutually agreed delivery
price.
In order to make the forward trading platform more accessible to farmers and traders in mandis,
NCDEX introduced membership category known as 'Commodity Participant Members' (CPMs)
and a special discount was offered to farmer producer organisations (FPOs) to become
members on the forwards segment.The initiative is a path breaking approach to bring real
inclusiveness in the real economy in commodities."
So far, 10 FPOs from Bihar, Delhi, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh have actively participated
in the trade, while over 14 have applied for membership.
The exchange registered a total commodities trade volume of 7,888 tonnes, worth Rs 24.94
crore, in the last six months.
Of that, maize accounted for bulk of the trade with 4,100 tonnes, followed by castor seed at
2,330 tonnes, sugar at 600 tonnes, coriander at 520 tonnes and jeera at 228 tonnes, respectively.
✍ Chana
Chana prices kept rising contunuously on friday by 0.94% to Rs 4,079 per quintal in futures
trade on Friday.
At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX), chana for delivery in May
14. rose by Rs 38, or 0.94%, to Rs 4,079 per quintal with an open interest of 1,14,050 lots.
Also, the commodity for delivery in June was trading higher by Rs 36, or 0.88%, at Rs 4,144
per quintal in 70,060 lots.
Speculators enlarged positions amid concern over lower output due to unseasonal rainfall in
key producing areas. Further rise can be expected in near future.
✍ Soybean
Soybean prices have gained more than 10 per cent from the beginning of the current month on
low supplies in the domestic markets, said traders.
Soybean prices in Indore market auctions were Rs 3,500-3,650 per 100 kg compared with Rs
3,200-3,300 per 100 kg in the beginning of the current month.
Plant delivery prices were Rs 3,750-3,800 per 100 kg compared with Rs 3,350-3,450 per 100
kg in the beginning of the month. Indore is the soybean trade hub of the country.
Other factors like export incentives and local demand also supported the market but prices
mainly went up due to low domestic supplies.
Average daily arrivals in Madhya Pradesh are around 65-70 thousand bags of 100 kg each
which was 70-80 thousand bags last month. Current supplies are considered extremely low by
traders and there are no signs of improvement in the coming days. Traders feel the prices may
gain further in the coming days due to forecasts of below normal monsoon.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Wednesday predicted below normal monsoon
this year with north-east and central India among the most affected states.
✍ Refined soya
Refine soya prices traded higher by 0.42 per cent to Rs 586.50 per 10 kg in futures trade on
tuesday as speculators created fresh positions, amid pick up in domestic demand and restricted
supplies from producing belts.
At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, refined soya oil contract for June
month rose by Rs 2.45, or 0.42 per cent to Rs 586.50 per 10 kg with an open interest of
1,14,955 lots.
The August contract traded higher by Rs 1.40, or 0.25 per cent to Rs 570.60 per 10 kg in
1,18,465 lots.
The frresh positions built up by speculators due to pick up in demand in spot market led to rise
in refined soya oil prices at futures trade and arrivals from producing belts, also supported the
upside.
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