Long Term and Short Term
Projection of Climate Change on
Crop Pest Interaction
Introduction
Changes in climate may trigger changes in-
Geographical distribution,
Increased overwintering,
Changes in population growth rates,
Increases in the number of generations,
Changes in crop-pest synchrony,
Changes in interspecific interactions,
Pest biotypes,
Activity and abundance of natural enemies,
Species extinction,
Increased risk of invasion by migrant pests and efficacy of
crop protection technologies
Climate change will also reduce the effectiveness of-
Host plant resistance,
Transgenic plants,
Natural enemies,
Biopesticides,
Synthetic chemicals for
pest management
introduction…
Higher temperatures and longer growing seasons
could result in increased pest population
Pest infestations often corresponds with changes in
climatic conditions
Such as early or late rains, drought, or increases in
humidity, which can reduce yields
Climate change have increased pesticide use due to
presence of diseases and pests
A 2.4 to 2.7-fold increase in pesticide use by 2050
introduction…
 Insects are poikilothermic animals
A poikilotherm : Is an organism whose internal
temperature varies considerably
 They are highly sensitive to their surrounding climate
particularly the temperature
introduction…
Increased temperature
 Insects are stenotherms (cold-blooded), sensitive to
temperature
 Higher temperature increase rates of development and
with less time between generations
20C temperature increase insects experience one to five
additional life cycles per season
Eg. Cabbage maggot, Onion maggot, European corn
borer, Colorado potato beetle
 Warmer winters -
Reduce winterkill and consequently induce increased insect
populations
It cause delay in onset and early summer may lead to faster
termination of diapauses in insects
 Reproductive rate-
 Rising temperatures will lengthen the breeding season and
increase the reproductive rate
 raise the total number of insects attacking a crop and
subsequently increase crop losses
increased temperature…
Natural enemy
 Parasitoids depend on a series of adaptations to
the ecology and physiology of their hosts
 According to a survey of over 1700 species, 50% of these
wild species are already affected
 Even a mid-range climate warming scenario predicts that
15% to 37% of the species may become extinct by 2050
 Parasitism could be reduced if host populations emerge
and pass through vulnerable life stages before
parasitoids emerge
 The tritrophic interactions between plants, herbivorous
insects, and their natural enemies (predators,
parasitoids, and pathogens)
 Coevolutionary process specific to a particular
environment and relatively stable climatic conditions
natural enemy…
These tritrophic interactions are affected by
climatic changes in diverse ways
natural enemy…
Effect of Changing Precipitation on
Insects
 Precipitation whether optimal, excessive or insufficient
 Key variable that affects crop-pest interactions
 Warmer environment has a tendency to hold more
water, it results in more intense and frequent rainfalls
 Small body-sized insects may be physically dislodged from the
host plant by heavy rainfall
 Often more of a problem during dry seasons when the
mortality factor is missing
 Drought stress sometimes brings increased insect pest
outbreaks
 Drought can change the physiology of host species,
leading to changes in the insects that feed on them
 Cool, wet conditions can also bring on severe insect
infestations, although excessive soil moisture may
drown out soil-residing insects
precipitation on insects…
Increase in the frequency of flooding of fields
could tend to suppress some soil dwelling
insect populations
Eg. cranberry fruit worm and other cranberry
insect pests
precipitation on insects…
 Most fungi which are known to cause various diseases in
insects (entomopathogens)
 Fungal pathogens of insects are favoured by high
humidity
 Lengthen periods of high humidity and reducing insect
pest populations
Eg. Wet northern California
winter, the fungal pathogen
(Pandora neoaphidis) causes
catastrophic mortality
to pea aphid
precipitation on insects…
CO2 would increase canopy size and density of
plants
Produce high biomass and microclimates may
become more conducive for foliar pathogens
Eg. Rusts, Mildews, Leaf spots and Blights
Effect of Rising CO2 on Insects
 Insect pests could occur through indirect effects on host
biochemical composition
i.e. Increased simple sugars in the leaves
 Greenhouse and lab studies have shown that high CO2
atmosphere increase C:N ratio
Insects respond to this ratio by increasing their feeding in
order to fulfill their metabolic needs for nitrogen
effect of rising co2 on insects…
Climate change on Pollination
Climate change impact pollination by altering-
The geographic ranges
Plant phenologies
Daily activity patterns of their pollinators
Mutualistic interactions
Miscellaneous
 Certain pesticides like Pyrethroids, Organophosphates
and especially the Biopesticides being highly thermo
unstable degrade faster at higher temperature
 These products to be less or not effective in pest
control, necessitating frequent insecticide applications
for effective control
 Transgenic crops
Interactions among factors
Disease
Triangle
Environment
Climate change
Temperature
CO2
Precipitation
Pathogen change
Genetic shift
Movement
Host change
Variety
Cultural practice
Chemical practice
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Climate change and pest interaction
Climate change and pest interaction
Climate change and pest interaction

Climate change and pest interaction

  • 1.
    Long Term andShort Term Projection of Climate Change on Crop Pest Interaction
  • 2.
    Introduction Changes in climatemay trigger changes in- Geographical distribution, Increased overwintering, Changes in population growth rates, Increases in the number of generations, Changes in crop-pest synchrony, Changes in interspecific interactions, Pest biotypes, Activity and abundance of natural enemies, Species extinction, Increased risk of invasion by migrant pests and efficacy of crop protection technologies
  • 3.
    Climate change willalso reduce the effectiveness of- Host plant resistance, Transgenic plants, Natural enemies, Biopesticides, Synthetic chemicals for pest management introduction…
  • 4.
    Higher temperatures andlonger growing seasons could result in increased pest population Pest infestations often corresponds with changes in climatic conditions Such as early or late rains, drought, or increases in humidity, which can reduce yields Climate change have increased pesticide use due to presence of diseases and pests A 2.4 to 2.7-fold increase in pesticide use by 2050 introduction…
  • 5.
     Insects arepoikilothermic animals A poikilotherm : Is an organism whose internal temperature varies considerably  They are highly sensitive to their surrounding climate particularly the temperature introduction…
  • 6.
    Increased temperature  Insectsare stenotherms (cold-blooded), sensitive to temperature  Higher temperature increase rates of development and with less time between generations 20C temperature increase insects experience one to five additional life cycles per season Eg. Cabbage maggot, Onion maggot, European corn borer, Colorado potato beetle
  • 7.
     Warmer winters- Reduce winterkill and consequently induce increased insect populations It cause delay in onset and early summer may lead to faster termination of diapauses in insects  Reproductive rate-  Rising temperatures will lengthen the breeding season and increase the reproductive rate  raise the total number of insects attacking a crop and subsequently increase crop losses increased temperature…
  • 8.
    Natural enemy  Parasitoidsdepend on a series of adaptations to the ecology and physiology of their hosts  According to a survey of over 1700 species, 50% of these wild species are already affected  Even a mid-range climate warming scenario predicts that 15% to 37% of the species may become extinct by 2050
  • 9.
     Parasitism couldbe reduced if host populations emerge and pass through vulnerable life stages before parasitoids emerge  The tritrophic interactions between plants, herbivorous insects, and their natural enemies (predators, parasitoids, and pathogens)  Coevolutionary process specific to a particular environment and relatively stable climatic conditions natural enemy…
  • 10.
    These tritrophic interactionsare affected by climatic changes in diverse ways natural enemy…
  • 11.
    Effect of ChangingPrecipitation on Insects  Precipitation whether optimal, excessive or insufficient  Key variable that affects crop-pest interactions  Warmer environment has a tendency to hold more water, it results in more intense and frequent rainfalls  Small body-sized insects may be physically dislodged from the host plant by heavy rainfall  Often more of a problem during dry seasons when the mortality factor is missing
  • 12.
     Drought stresssometimes brings increased insect pest outbreaks  Drought can change the physiology of host species, leading to changes in the insects that feed on them  Cool, wet conditions can also bring on severe insect infestations, although excessive soil moisture may drown out soil-residing insects precipitation on insects…
  • 13.
    Increase in thefrequency of flooding of fields could tend to suppress some soil dwelling insect populations Eg. cranberry fruit worm and other cranberry insect pests precipitation on insects…
  • 14.
     Most fungiwhich are known to cause various diseases in insects (entomopathogens)  Fungal pathogens of insects are favoured by high humidity  Lengthen periods of high humidity and reducing insect pest populations Eg. Wet northern California winter, the fungal pathogen (Pandora neoaphidis) causes catastrophic mortality to pea aphid precipitation on insects…
  • 15.
    CO2 would increasecanopy size and density of plants Produce high biomass and microclimates may become more conducive for foliar pathogens Eg. Rusts, Mildews, Leaf spots and Blights Effect of Rising CO2 on Insects
  • 16.
     Insect pestscould occur through indirect effects on host biochemical composition i.e. Increased simple sugars in the leaves  Greenhouse and lab studies have shown that high CO2 atmosphere increase C:N ratio Insects respond to this ratio by increasing their feeding in order to fulfill their metabolic needs for nitrogen effect of rising co2 on insects…
  • 17.
    Climate change onPollination Climate change impact pollination by altering- The geographic ranges Plant phenologies Daily activity patterns of their pollinators Mutualistic interactions
  • 18.
    Miscellaneous  Certain pesticideslike Pyrethroids, Organophosphates and especially the Biopesticides being highly thermo unstable degrade faster at higher temperature  These products to be less or not effective in pest control, necessitating frequent insecticide applications for effective control  Transgenic crops
  • 19.
    Interactions among factors Disease Triangle Environment Climatechange Temperature CO2 Precipitation Pathogen change Genetic shift Movement Host change Variety Cultural practice Chemical practice
  • 20.