Challenges of
Monetary Policy Communication:
  Bank of Uganda Experience
           October 2012

     By Kelvin Kizito Kiyingi
Introduction
Who is Kelvin Kizito Kiyingi?
MABJ, Reuters Fellow
City University of New York
Post Bank, Communication Manager
 U.S. Embassy Kampala, Information Assistant
 Bank of Uganda, Assistant Director,
 Communications Department

10/23/2012                                      2
Outline

Monetary Policy Decision Making at BoU

Content and Structure of BoU’s Monetary
    Policy Communication

Background: New Monetary Policy Framework

Challenges

Conclusion
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New Monetary Policy Framework
In July 2011, Bank of Uganda introduced
 Inflation Targeting lite (ITL) monetary policy
 framework, replacing monetary aggregate
 targeting.
ITL more discretion on the part of policy
 makers than monetary aggregate targeting.
Therefore, credibility and transparency play
 important roles

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New Monetary Policy Framework

Sensitization workshops/seminars for key
    stakeholders.

Use of the policy rate, the Central Bank Rate.

High Inflation, Depreciating Exchange Rate.



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Monetary Policy Decision Making
         at Bank of Uganda
Daily Financial Markets Operations Sub-
 Committee Meeting Chaired by Deputy
 Governor
 Technically this committee does not make
 monetary policy decisions, it only implements
Weekly Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
 Meeting Chaired by Governor
Key Monthly MPC which sets CBR, key
 meeting for taking decisions
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Monetary Policy Communication
              Functions
External Communication
 Enhance the effectiveness of Monetary Policy
  decisions
 Contribute to the credibility of Central Bank

Internal Communication
 Build a better understanding amongst
  Central Bank staff, management and board

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Content & Structure of BoU’s
       Monetary Policy Communication
Monthly
 Monetary Policy
 Statement
 One hour after MPC
 In-depth
  explanation
 Forecast of inflation
 Media engagement
 Media with EDR
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Content & Structure of BoU’s
       Monetary Policy Communication
The Media
 Publishing the Monetary Policy
  Statement verbatim in key newspapers
 Placing articles in the press
 Talk shows both on Radio & Television
 Press interviews

10/23/2012                                9
Content & Structure of BoU’s
Monetary Policy Communication
The Media
 Since the introduction ITL, the media devotes
  much more attention to monetary policy.
 CBR is “visible” in a way that monetary
  aggregates are not
 Everybody knows/sees interest rates.
  Therefore bound to attract more attention

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Content & Structure of BoU’s
       Monetary Policy Communication
Website
 Social Media
 Statements
 Policy Reports
 Exchange
  Rates

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External Tools
                                   Website


                      Radio/TV                  Media
                     Talk Shows                Training




              Monetary            Monetary                Money
                Policy
                                   Policy                 Museum
             Statements




                                               Outreach
                     Placements
                                              Programmes

                                   Monetary
                                     Policy
                                    Reports




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Internal Tools
                             • Statements
                  Intranet
                             • Rates




                                 • Interpretations
                       E-mails
                                 • Information



                             • Knowledge
                 Exchanges     Sharing
                             • Internal Forums

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Challenges of Monetary Policy
                    Communication
Language
 Official/business language is English
 The functional literacy in English is
  limited
 Over 40 languages in Uganda



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Challenges of Monetary Policy
         Communication
Lack of informed debate
 Low economic and monetary literacy
  levels
 Little understanding of the demand
  management concept: Private
  Consumption; Private Investments;
  Government Spending; Exports
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Challenges of Monetary Policy
         Communication
Lack of informed debate contd.
 Lack of understanding of BoU’s role amidst a
  liberalised environment
 Failure to understand difference between
  monetary and fiscal policy
 Relationship between interest rates, exchange
  rate and inflation

10/23/2012                                    17
Challenges of Monetary Policy
         Communication
Lack of informed debate contd.
 Limited knowledge what macroeconomic
  policy can do and cannot do
 Paucity of independent institutions which can
  contribute informed analysis, forecast etc...




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Challenges of Monetary Policy
                    Communication
Website & Social Media
 Limited bandwidth
 Internet Access
 Social hubs, You tube
 No Mobile phone version of BoU website


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Challenges of Monetary Policy
              Communication
(Play a video from BoU website: Optional)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JqmyKA8s
 f0I&feature=player_embedded#t=20s
Video Slide: A Clip of Governor, Bank of
 Uganda, Professor Emmanuel Tumusiime-
 Mutebile, addressing a press conference at
 which the Monetary Policy Statement for
 September 2012 was issued.

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Challenges of Monetary Policy
                    Communication
The Media
 Lack of qualified business journalists
 Limited interpretative reporting
 Business sections are heavily influenced
  by advertising from big companies



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Challenges of Monetary Policy
        Communication
Dual Role
 Perhaps the biggest challenge informing and
  educating concurrently
 Lack of monetary policy communication capacity
 Under the ITL framework, convincing the public
  what will happen over the next few months
 Convincing the public the most likely outcome and
  therefore the interest rate decision is the most
  correct one.
10/23/2012                                            22
Challenges of Monetary Policy
               Communication
During tough
 times
 Some want both
  low interest
  rates, low
  inflation and a
  strong shilling at
  the same time.
 Deputy
  Governor wrote
10/23/2012                              23
Proposed Solutions
 Monetary Policy Fact Sheets: Once a year, to
  use as publication for guests and for
  induction. (Internal and External)
 Recordings of press conferences and posting
  the entire transcript on the website
 Live broadcast (internet, television and
  radio)Coverage of press conferences
 Monetary Forums (already in use in Kenya)
 Introduce Monetary Policy School/University
  Challenges (already in use in South Africa).
10/23/2012                                       24
Conclusion
For effective communication of monetary policy I
  recommend five main things:
 Use of more local languages
 Concerted and continuous media training
 Continuous public awareness initiatives
 Re-positioning of the website
 We are entering a new era with ITL, which requires a
  much more complicated communication approach.
 We should not be afraid of debate; we should
  stimulate public debate.

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Questions




10/23/2012               26

Challenges of Monetary Policy Communication

  • 1.
    Challenges of Monetary PolicyCommunication: Bank of Uganda Experience October 2012 By Kelvin Kizito Kiyingi
  • 2.
    Introduction Who is KelvinKizito Kiyingi? MABJ, Reuters Fellow City University of New York Post Bank, Communication Manager  U.S. Embassy Kampala, Information Assistant  Bank of Uganda, Assistant Director, Communications Department 10/23/2012 2
  • 3.
    Outline Monetary Policy DecisionMaking at BoU Content and Structure of BoU’s Monetary Policy Communication Background: New Monetary Policy Framework Challenges Conclusion 10/23/2012 3
  • 4.
    New Monetary PolicyFramework In July 2011, Bank of Uganda introduced Inflation Targeting lite (ITL) monetary policy framework, replacing monetary aggregate targeting. ITL more discretion on the part of policy makers than monetary aggregate targeting. Therefore, credibility and transparency play important roles 10/23/2012 4
  • 5.
    New Monetary PolicyFramework Sensitization workshops/seminars for key stakeholders. Use of the policy rate, the Central Bank Rate. High Inflation, Depreciating Exchange Rate. 10/23/2012 5
  • 6.
    Monetary Policy DecisionMaking at Bank of Uganda Daily Financial Markets Operations Sub- Committee Meeting Chaired by Deputy Governor  Technically this committee does not make monetary policy decisions, it only implements Weekly Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Meeting Chaired by Governor Key Monthly MPC which sets CBR, key meeting for taking decisions 10/23/2012 6
  • 7.
    Monetary Policy Communication Functions External Communication  Enhance the effectiveness of Monetary Policy decisions  Contribute to the credibility of Central Bank Internal Communication  Build a better understanding amongst Central Bank staff, management and board 10/23/2012 7
  • 8.
    Content & Structureof BoU’s Monetary Policy Communication Monthly Monetary Policy Statement  One hour after MPC  In-depth explanation  Forecast of inflation  Media engagement  Media with EDR 10/23/2012 8
  • 9.
    Content & Structureof BoU’s Monetary Policy Communication The Media  Publishing the Monetary Policy Statement verbatim in key newspapers  Placing articles in the press  Talk shows both on Radio & Television  Press interviews 10/23/2012 9
  • 10.
    Content & Structureof BoU’s Monetary Policy Communication The Media  Since the introduction ITL, the media devotes much more attention to monetary policy.  CBR is “visible” in a way that monetary aggregates are not  Everybody knows/sees interest rates. Therefore bound to attract more attention 10/23/2012 10
  • 11.
    Content & Structureof BoU’s Monetary Policy Communication Website  Social Media  Statements  Policy Reports  Exchange Rates 10/23/2012 11
  • 12.
    External Tools Website Radio/TV Media Talk Shows Training Monetary Monetary Money Policy Policy Museum Statements Outreach Placements Programmes Monetary Policy Reports 10/23/2012 13
  • 13.
    Internal Tools • Statements Intranet • Rates • Interpretations E-mails • Information • Knowledge Exchanges Sharing • Internal Forums 10/23/2012 14
  • 14.
    Challenges of MonetaryPolicy Communication Language  Official/business language is English  The functional literacy in English is limited  Over 40 languages in Uganda 10/23/2012 15
  • 15.
    Challenges of MonetaryPolicy Communication Lack of informed debate  Low economic and monetary literacy levels  Little understanding of the demand management concept: Private Consumption; Private Investments; Government Spending; Exports 10/23/2012 16
  • 16.
    Challenges of MonetaryPolicy Communication Lack of informed debate contd.  Lack of understanding of BoU’s role amidst a liberalised environment  Failure to understand difference between monetary and fiscal policy  Relationship between interest rates, exchange rate and inflation 10/23/2012 17
  • 17.
    Challenges of MonetaryPolicy Communication Lack of informed debate contd.  Limited knowledge what macroeconomic policy can do and cannot do  Paucity of independent institutions which can contribute informed analysis, forecast etc... 10/23/2012 18
  • 18.
    Challenges of MonetaryPolicy Communication Website & Social Media  Limited bandwidth  Internet Access  Social hubs, You tube  No Mobile phone version of BoU website 10/23/2012 19
  • 19.
    Challenges of MonetaryPolicy Communication (Play a video from BoU website: Optional) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JqmyKA8s f0I&feature=player_embedded#t=20s Video Slide: A Clip of Governor, Bank of Uganda, Professor Emmanuel Tumusiime- Mutebile, addressing a press conference at which the Monetary Policy Statement for September 2012 was issued. 10/23/2012 20
  • 20.
    Challenges of MonetaryPolicy Communication The Media  Lack of qualified business journalists  Limited interpretative reporting  Business sections are heavily influenced by advertising from big companies 10/23/2012 21
  • 21.
    Challenges of MonetaryPolicy Communication Dual Role  Perhaps the biggest challenge informing and educating concurrently  Lack of monetary policy communication capacity  Under the ITL framework, convincing the public what will happen over the next few months  Convincing the public the most likely outcome and therefore the interest rate decision is the most correct one. 10/23/2012 22
  • 22.
    Challenges of MonetaryPolicy Communication During tough times  Some want both low interest rates, low inflation and a strong shilling at the same time.  Deputy Governor wrote 10/23/2012 23
  • 23.
    Proposed Solutions  MonetaryPolicy Fact Sheets: Once a year, to use as publication for guests and for induction. (Internal and External)  Recordings of press conferences and posting the entire transcript on the website  Live broadcast (internet, television and radio)Coverage of press conferences  Monetary Forums (already in use in Kenya)  Introduce Monetary Policy School/University Challenges (already in use in South Africa). 10/23/2012 24
  • 24.
    Conclusion For effective communicationof monetary policy I recommend five main things:  Use of more local languages  Concerted and continuous media training  Continuous public awareness initiatives  Re-positioning of the website  We are entering a new era with ITL, which requires a much more complicated communication approach.  We should not be afraid of debate; we should stimulate public debate. 10/23/2012 25
  • 25.

Editor's Notes

  • #2 Topic
  • #3 Introduction
  • #4 Contents
  • #5 Inflation TargetingLite introduced July 2011
  • #6 Implementation
  • #7 Key components of monetary policy decision making process
  • #8 Broad functions
  • #9 At times the Governor uses Verbal Intervention
  • #10 Business journalism is relatively new in Uganda
  • #11 Improvement in business journalism
  • #12 Social media affected by limited access to the internet
  • #13 School children are involved
  • #14 Tools for external monetary policy communication
  • #15 BoU staff play an ‘ambassadorial’ role
  • #16 The communication process is disrupted
  • #17 One of the key challenges
  • #18 At one time certain section of business community (traders) demanded for low interest rates, low exchange rate and low inflation
  • #19 Lack of awareness of monetary policy limitations
  • #20 Futuristic, but mainly for the youth
  • #22 For effectiveness, Media buys (advertisements) are the better options
  • #23 This is unlike in the developed economies
  • #24 The Deputy Governor’s article was widely read by several audiences
  • #25 These are some of the key suggestions
  • #26 The conclusive remarks point to the possible way forward.
  • #27 I hope my presentation has not raised more questions than answers.