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CAPITAL MOBILITY & FINANCIAL INTEGRATION IN EMERGING ECONOMIES
by
Bala Batavia,
DePaul University, Chicago, USA
Parameswar Nandakumar
Indian Institute of Management, Calicut, India
Cheick Wagué
South Stockholm University College, Södertörn, Sweden
INTRODUCTION
The economic mantra of the 1990s, taught by leading economists and institutions alike, was financial
openness and capital account convertibility. The echoes are now dying out after the East Asian crisis and
the popular approach prevailing is to go in for a kind of tempered financial liberalization where the flood
ports are thrown open only after the domestic economy has been put through the paces of internal financial
reforms and judicial prudential regulations.
The point being held aloft is that there are benefits, but also costs associated with financial globalization,
and that the costs for the individual economy diminish if the ground is well-prepared prior to opening up.
Put in other words, financial integration is beneficial, just as trade liberalization is, if the sequencing is right
– and then it is not just a question of the sequencing of trade and financial reforms. The inference is that
financial integration does not mean merely opening up for capital in- and out-flows. Such a distinction
between financial ‘openness’ and ‘integration’ is strongly made in Le (2000). He argues, in the context of
the crises of the 1990s that unstable capital market developments occur when there is a mismatch between
financial openness and financial integration. A stable equilibrium can be re-attained if this gap is removed,
which can be achieved in quite different ways. Thus, Malaysia tackled such a problem of financial
imbalance by placing restraints on capital movements so that the degree of financial openness was cut
down towards the level of financial integration. On the other hand, Thailand and Korea took the harder
alternative of undertaking reforms and increasing the level of financial integration to remove the imbalance.
The foregoing discussion implies that a country may find itself at different positions on an international
comparison of the extent of financial liberalization depending on which of these two measures of financial
liberalization is used. An estimate of financial openness can be obtained by looking at the growth in direct
investment and financial flows, and the changes in the regulations – and the barriers – associated with these
flows. A measure of financial integration is clearly a more involved one, requiring more information. This
paper makes an attempt to develop and compare indices of financial openness and integration of some
17 emerging or newly industrialized countries.
It may be noted that even between countries with avowed intentions of a speedy process of financial
liberalization, there are considerable differences in actual achievement in this regards. Verdier1 (1998)
makes an enquiry into the characteristics of OECD countries which have embraced financial globalization
most enthusiastically. Some of his results may seem counter-intuitive, but are rigorously derived, and it
may be of interest to see whether they are applicable to countries outside the OECD group.
This study seeks to distinguish the factors determining the DEGREE of financial integration of countries.
Variables representing the basic economic structure and chosen development paths, as well as
characteristics often reflecting political choices or the influence of dominant pressure groups are tried out.
Such a choice of a broad spectrum of variables is especially crucial in a study involving Asian countries
among which inter-country differences reign far more than is the case within the OECD family.
The scheme of the study is as follows: The section that follows makes a comparison of the indices of
financial openness and integration, highlighting the fact that the concepts are quite different. This section
(II) also includes a brief, but fairly comprehensive survey of earlier work on tests of financial integration.
The subsequent section (III) conducts tests for the factors that influence the EXTENT or degree of financial
integration, using a sample of 17 emerging economies, working with data for the 1990s. There is a final
section which brings together the conclusions and suggestions for further research.
For further details contact Publications &Research Dissemination Office, IIM
Kozhikode, IIMK Campus PO – 673 570, Kozhikode, Kerala, India. Phone: (91) 0495
2809126, Email:prd@iimk.ac.in.

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Capital mobility

  • 1. CAPITAL MOBILITY & FINANCIAL INTEGRATION IN EMERGING ECONOMIES by Bala Batavia, DePaul University, Chicago, USA Parameswar Nandakumar Indian Institute of Management, Calicut, India Cheick Wagué South Stockholm University College, Södertörn, Sweden INTRODUCTION The economic mantra of the 1990s, taught by leading economists and institutions alike, was financial openness and capital account convertibility. The echoes are now dying out after the East Asian crisis and the popular approach prevailing is to go in for a kind of tempered financial liberalization where the flood ports are thrown open only after the domestic economy has been put through the paces of internal financial reforms and judicial prudential regulations. The point being held aloft is that there are benefits, but also costs associated with financial globalization, and that the costs for the individual economy diminish if the ground is well-prepared prior to opening up. Put in other words, financial integration is beneficial, just as trade liberalization is, if the sequencing is right – and then it is not just a question of the sequencing of trade and financial reforms. The inference is that financial integration does not mean merely opening up for capital in- and out-flows. Such a distinction between financial ‘openness’ and ‘integration’ is strongly made in Le (2000). He argues, in the context of the crises of the 1990s that unstable capital market developments occur when there is a mismatch between financial openness and financial integration. A stable equilibrium can be re-attained if this gap is removed, which can be achieved in quite different ways. Thus, Malaysia tackled such a problem of financial imbalance by placing restraints on capital movements so that the degree of financial openness was cut down towards the level of financial integration. On the other hand, Thailand and Korea took the harder alternative of undertaking reforms and increasing the level of financial integration to remove the imbalance. The foregoing discussion implies that a country may find itself at different positions on an international comparison of the extent of financial liberalization depending on which of these two measures of financial liberalization is used. An estimate of financial openness can be obtained by looking at the growth in direct investment and financial flows, and the changes in the regulations – and the barriers – associated with these flows. A measure of financial integration is clearly a more involved one, requiring more information. This paper makes an attempt to develop and compare indices of financial openness and integration of some 17 emerging or newly industrialized countries. It may be noted that even between countries with avowed intentions of a speedy process of financial liberalization, there are considerable differences in actual achievement in this regards. Verdier1 (1998) makes an enquiry into the characteristics of OECD countries which have embraced financial globalization most enthusiastically. Some of his results may seem counter-intuitive, but are rigorously derived, and it may be of interest to see whether they are applicable to countries outside the OECD group. This study seeks to distinguish the factors determining the DEGREE of financial integration of countries. Variables representing the basic economic structure and chosen development paths, as well as characteristics often reflecting political choices or the influence of dominant pressure groups are tried out. Such a choice of a broad spectrum of variables is especially crucial in a study involving Asian countries among which inter-country differences reign far more than is the case within the OECD family. The scheme of the study is as follows: The section that follows makes a comparison of the indices of financial openness and integration, highlighting the fact that the concepts are quite different. This section (II) also includes a brief, but fairly comprehensive survey of earlier work on tests of financial integration. The subsequent section (III) conducts tests for the factors that influence the EXTENT or degree of financial integration, using a sample of 17 emerging economies, working with data for the 1990s. There is a final section which brings together the conclusions and suggestions for further research.
  • 2. For further details contact Publications &Research Dissemination Office, IIM Kozhikode, IIMK Campus PO – 673 570, Kozhikode, Kerala, India. Phone: (91) 0495 2809126, Email:prd@iimk.ac.in.