The document outlines critical strategies for addressing climate change, focusing on transitioning to 100% renewable energy in electricity, transportation, and buildings, and implementing strong policies and regulations. It emphasizes the importance of strong climate leadership, targeted actions for emissions reduction, and the need for collaborative efforts at national and global levels. Additionally, it highlights the economic opportunities within the green sector and the importance of balancing carbon pricing with flexible regulations.

1. Guy Dauncey
October 2016
CLIMATE SOLUTIONS
ClimaCon 2016, Ottawa
Canada

2. This is a short version of part of my larger presentation:
www.slideshare.net/GuyDauncey/climate-action-now-2016

3. www.earthfuture.com

5. The Paris Climate Agreement
Great
Collapse
Great
Transition

6. Fossil Fuels
65%
Forests 11%
Methane 16%
N2O 6%
Industrial meat
& dairy 15%
IPCC 2014Global Emissions

7. Canada’s Emissions
Oil & Gas
Transport
Buildings
Electricity
Industry
Agriculture
Other

8. Provincial Emissions, 2014
Alberta
Ontario
Quebec
Sask
BC

11. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
1. Strong climate leadership, vision, engagement,
education and adaptation

12. Vision…

13. Globally – a Huge Way To Go

14. Vision…

15. CITY OF VICTORIA
just voted to go
100% RENEWABLE
Vision…

16. Vision…

17. Oslo voted to slash emissions 95% by 2030
Vision…

19. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
1. Strong climate leadership, vision, engagement,
education and adaptation
Individual NGO Municipal
Business
College
Organization
Province Canada
Who can act on this solution?

20. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
2. Targets, policies and regulations to achieve 100%
renewable energy for electricity

21. 100% Renewable Electricity
1. Phase out all coal-fired power by 2025
2. Phase out all gas-fired power by 2030
3. Supportive policies for solar, wind & renewables
4. Policy & finance supports for geothermal power
5. R & D investment in grid, DSM, energy storage

22. 100% Renewable Electricity
Regulatory policies
Fiscal Incentives and
Public Financing

23. Farewell and Thank
You, Fossil Fuels
Welcome,
Solar Age!

24. Price of
Solar Module
per Watt
1977: $77
1997: $7
2013: $0.7

25. Renewable Electricity Supply
330 TWh/year
Needed for 100%:
an additional 420 TWh/year
Canada’s Electrical Demand
2014: 511 TWh
2040: 750 TWh
Assumes transition to 100% renewables by 2040

26. 100% Renewable Electricity
1. Phase out all coal-fired power by 2025
2. Phase out all gas-fired power by 2030
3. Feed-in tariffs for solar, wind & renewables
4. Policy & finance supports for geothermal power
5. R & D investment in energy storage

27. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
3. Targets, policies and regulations to achieve a
transition to sustainable transportation

28. 100% Renewable Energy
Transportation
1. Active support for pedestrian cities
2. Major investment in safe, separated cycling
3. Major investment in transit, LRT
4. Zero emissions for all cars/light trucks by 2025/30
5. Solar electrification of railways
6. R&D Investment in trucking, shipping, flying

29. Safe Separated Bike-Lanes

32. All buses in Barcelona will be electric by 2020.
Self-financing over 12 years

33. Electric bus in Victoria, BC

34. Australian-Chinese Brighsun Bus
500 km on one charge with full load

35. Real-time electronic bus stops

36. Car sharing - Car2Go
118,000 members in Vancouver

37. Ambitious targets and incentives
for EV uptake and charging network

38. 1990

39. 1990

40. 1990

41. 1990

42. 1990

43. 1990

44. 1990

45. 1990
25% of new sales

46. 1990

47. Almost 400,000 advance orders placed for
new US $35,000 Tesla Model 3.
320 kilometres range

48. The falling price of EV batteries

50. October 2016

51. April 2016: Holland’s Lower House voted
to end purchase of gas/diesel cars by 2025

53. I M A G I N E
An Electric Vehicles
Climate Solutions Treaty
40 nations agree to
A Zero Emissions Standard
All new cars by 2030
All light trucks by 2032

54. Swiss E-Force 18 tonne electric truck
300 km range
80–110 kWh per 100 km at highway speed

55. Future railways
electric, 100% renewable energy

56. Guy Dauncey 2015
www.earthfuture.com
Railway Electrification in Canada
50,000 kilometres
14,000 jobs a year over 25 years

57. Norway’s Electric Ferry ZeroCat
5.7 km route, 20 minute round trip
Range will increase as batteries improve

58. Most air pollution – gone

59. Long-Distance Trucking: nothing ready yet

60. Long-Distance Shipping : nothing ready yet

61. Flying: nothing ready yet

62. 100% Renewable Energy
Transportation
1. Active support for pedestrian cities
2. Major investment in safe, separated cycling
3. Major investment in transit, LRT
4. Zero emissions for all cars/light trucks by 2025/30
5. Solar electrification of railways
6. R&D Investment in trucking, shipping, flying

63. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
4. Targets, policies and regulations to achieve a
transition to sustainable buildings

64. 100% renewable energy buildings
1. All new buildings Passive House design by 2021
2. Major home energy retrofit program
3. Condos energy retrofit program
4. Commercial & Industrial energy retrofit programs
5. Urban Centres District Heat programs

65. Passive Houses, Victoria
90% reduced heat loss

66. Passive House, Victoria, B.C.
90% less heat energy, 15 kwh/m2, 4.4% more cost
www.bernhardtpassive.com

67. Brussels, Belgium
Since 2015, all new buildings and retrofits are
required to be Nearly-Zero Energy,
based on the Passive House Standard.

68. Stockholm, 80,000 apartments
district heat from treated sewage

69. Vancouver Olympic Village
District Heat from sewage pump station

70. Six Sources of Renewable Heat
Air-source heat Ground-source heat Stored solar heat
Biomass/Biogas Heat exchange ventilator Dog-source heat

71. 100% renewable energy buildings
1. All new buildings Passive House design by 2021
2. Major home energy retrofit program
3. Condos energy retrofit program
4. Commercial & Industrial energy retrofit programs
5. Urban Centres District Heat programs

72. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
5. Balance an annually increasing
price on carbon with the use of flexible regulations

73. FLEXIBLE
REGULATIONS
CARBON
PRICING
GREENHOUSE
GASES

74. FLEXIBLE
REGULATIONS
GREENHOUSE
GASES
Fewer Flex-Regs = Higher Price on Carbon
Needs $200 a tonne by 2030 to meet Paris
(Is Win-Win Possible? Mark Jaccard et al, 2016)

75. CARBON
PRICING
GREENHOUSE
GASES
More Flex-Regs = Lower Price on Carbon

76. Take your pick:
• Revenue-neutral carbon tax, balanced by tax reductions
• Revenue positive carbon tax, income to climate solutions
• Carbon fee and dividend, everyone gets annual cheque
• Carbon cap-and-trade, caps for industry, trading for
carbon allowances

77. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
5. Balance an annually increasing
price on carbon with the use of flexible regulations

78. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
6. Build a green, cooperative, entrepreneurial
economy for the 21st century

79. Mark Carney,
Governor, Bank of England
“Climate change initiatives offer a
$5-7 trillion funding opportunity
for capital markets.”

80. Almost Twice as Many
Green Jobs in Canada
By Guy Dauncey
800,000 fossil fuel jobs lost
1,000,000 green energy jobs gained

82. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
6. Build a green, cooperative, entrepreneurial
economy for the 21st century

83. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
7. Targets, policies and regulations
to reduce fossil fuel industry emissions

84. ALBERTA OIL SANDS
Plan Zero by 2040 into all NEB decisions.
Freeze production at an agreed level.
Question licenses for all new pipelines.
Close down the last oil sands operation by 2040.
Firm up requirements for boreal forest restoration.

85. The Scientifically Needed Solution
That’s Not Happening Yet
1. Each nation is allocated a cap, based on the
climate maths.
2. Every producer or importer of fossil fuels bids for a
permit in an annual national auction.
A Global Carbon Cap

86. Fossil fuels imported
Fossil fuels extracted
An Annual Fossil Fuel Permits Auction
Each year, 25 Mt CO2 fewer permits

87. 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Every year
5-10% CO2 reduction

88. 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Every year
5-10% renewable energy
increase

89. The Scientifically Needed Solution
That’s Not Happening Yet
1. Each nation is allocated a cap, based on the
climate maths.
2. Every producer or importer of fossil fuels bids for a
permit in an annual national auction.
A Global Carbon Cap

90. Carbon rationing
for individuals and businesses

91. Carbon rationing
for individuals and businesses

92. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
7. Targets, policies and regulations
to reduce fossil fuel industry emissions

93. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
8. Direct Action to ensure no new
fossil fuel expansion projects

95. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
8. Direct Action to ensure no new
fossil fuel expansion projects

96. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
9. Targets, policies and regulations to help Canada’s
emissions-intensive industries reduce their emissions
and shift to 100% renewable energy

97. INDUSTRY
Improve energy efficiency
Replace coal and gas with biomass/hydrogen
R&D for future green heat

98. Industrial Heat: No coal substitutes yet

99. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
9. Targets, policies and regulations to help Canada’s
emissions-intensive industries reduce their emissions
and shift to 100% renewable energy

100. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
10. Targets, policies and regulations
to help Canada’s farmers, ranchers and foresters
reduce their emissions

101. End Deforestation
Globally and in Canada
1.5
Gigatonnes of carbon
a year globally

102. Current logging practices in BC

104. The livestock industry – meat & dairy –
is causing 15% of global warming

105. Who,
- me?

106. Me?

107. Why so big?
N2O from manure
Methane from manure
Methane from
anaerobic digestion
(burping)US Data
Each molecule of methane traps 34 x more heat
than CO2 over 100 years; 84 x more over 20 years.

108. Under discussion in Denmark

109. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
10. Targets, policies and regulations
to help Canada’s farmers, ranchers and foresters
reduce their emissions

110. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
11. Strengthen efforts to eco-sequestrate the excess
carbon out of the atmosphere

111. Atmospheric carbon
1850 2016
560 Gt 807 Gt
260 ppm 400 ppm

112. Atmospheric carbon
807 Gt
700 GT
350 ppm

113. Sustainable
ForestryOrganic
Farming
New
Ranching

114. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
11. Strengthen efforts to eco-sequestrate the excess
carbon out of the atmosphere

115. LEARN
EDUCATE
ACT
DREAM
INNOVATION
NEW
SUPPORT
POLICIES
INCENTIVES
R& D
ECO-INVESTMENT
ECONOMY
JOBS
PUBLIC, YOU & ME,
SCHOOLS, NGOs
GOVERNMENTS
BUSINESS
GREENHOUSE
GASES
CARBON
PRICING
FLEXIBLE
REGULATIONS
Climate Action - Putting it all together

116. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
12. Work with other nations
to accelerate global progress

117. Denmark

118. Denmark

120. “Since Sweden accounts for less than 0.2% of
total global emissions, the country could easily
have gone unnoticed in the climate debate.
Instead, Sweden has chosen to do more than
many other countries on issues regarding
energy and the climate.”

121. “Sweden’s goals to reduce GHG emissions
compared with 1990 by 40% by 2020, and to
have a vehicle fleet completely rid of fossil
fuels by 2030, are stepping stones to the
overarching goal of a society with no net GHG
emissions by 2050.”

122. The Twelve Most Important
Climate Action Clusters
12. Work with other nations
to accelerate global progress

124. The vision of a future in which we have
achieved a great transition,
avoided collapse,
and live in harmony with Nature.

126. Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey
www.earthfuture.com