California housing forecast 2013 (Summary)
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The document provides a forecast for the California housing market in 2013. It predicts that in 2013, home sales will increase by 1.3% and the median home price will rise by 5.7% compared to 2012. The dollar volume of home sales is also expected to increase, up 7% in 2013 after a 16.5% rise in 2012. The forecast expects continued recovery in the California housing market in 2013, with both home sales transactions and median home prices increasing compared to 2012 levels.
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- Home sales and new listings declined significantly (over 25%) in 2022 from record highs in 2021, as mortgage rates rose sharply reducing affordability.
- Median home prices increased slightly (0.8%) countywide to $1,450,000, though prices decreased for single family homes and condos.
- Inventory remained very low, with only 653 active listings at the end of the year despite a 28.6% decline in new listings.
- The hot housing market that defined 2021 cooled considerably in 2022 as affordability challenges took hold, though demand remained robust in more
San Francisco Market Report December 2022.pdf
In 2022, rising inflation, interest rates, and home prices slowed the US housing market. Pending and existing home sales declined significantly year-over-year in December. In San Francisco, median home prices fell 7.5% for single family homes and 26.5% for condos from December 2021 to December 2022, as higher mortgage rates reduced buyer demand and purchasing power. New listings, pending sales, and closed sales all declined substantially from 2021 levels. Economists predict further price softening and slowing sales in 2023 if inventory remains limited and rates stay high.
San Francisco Market Report November 2022.pdf
Residential real estate activity in San Francisco saw declines in November 2022 compared to the previous year. The median sales price for single-family homes decreased 20.2% year-over-year to $1,500,000, while the median price for condos fell 8.9% to $1,148,000. New listings were down 12.3% for single-family properties and 41.9% for condos. Pending sales declined 31.7% for single-family homes and 49.2% for condos. With mortgage rates over double what they were a year ago, housing affordability remains a challenge and fewer buyers and sellers are participating in the market.
San Francisco Market Report October 2022.pdf
- Residential real estate activity in San Francisco declined in October 2022, with new listings, pending sales, and sold listings all decreasing between 24-39% year-over-year for both single family homes and condos.
- The median sales price decreased 7.2% for single family homes to $1,675,000 and 3.8% for condos to $1,200,000 compared to October 2021.
- Months supply of inventory increased over last year for both property types, up 15.8% for single family and 5.7% for condos, as high mortgage rates and inflation dampened homebuyer demand.
San Francisco Market Report September 2022.pdf
The real estate market in San Francisco continues to slow in September 2022 as interest rates rise and homebuyer budgets are squeezed. Key metrics show a year-over-year decrease for both single family homes and condos, including new listings down 13.2% and 19.8%, pending sales down 38.2% and 28.8%, and median sales prices down 5.7% and 2.5% respectively. Inventory remains lower than normal but is expected to rise as the market shifts in the coming months.
San Francisco Market Report August 2022.pdf
- Real estate activity in San Francisco County declined in August 2022 compared to the previous year according to the report. Key metrics such as new listings, pending sales, and median sales prices decreased for both single family homes and condo/co-op properties.
- New listings were down 13.7% for single family homes and 20.4% for condos. Pending sales decreased 25.2% and 29.1% respectively. Median sales prices declined 12.0% for single family homes and 14.1% for condos.
- Higher interest rates, inflation, and recession fears have discouraged buyers and sellers, leading to fewer transactions and declining prices compared to the strong market in previous years.
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- 2. California Housing Market Outlook Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p 2013f SFH Resales (000s) 441.81 546.86 492.29 497.86 523.25 530 % Change 27.3% 23.8% -10.0% 1.1% 5.1% 1.3%% Change 27.3% 23.8% -10.0% 1.1% 5.1% 1.3% Median Price ($000s) 348.5$ 275.0$ 305.0$ 286.0$ 317.0$ 335.0$ % Change -37.8% -21.1% 10.9% -6.2% 10.9% 5.7% 30-Yr FRM 6.0% 5.1% 4.7% 4.5% 3.8% 4.0% 1-Yr ARM 5.2% 4.7% 3.5% 3.0% 2.8% 2.8%
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- 6. California Economic Outlook Indicator 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012p 2013f Nonfarm Job Growth -1.3% -6.0% -1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% Unemployment Rate 7.2% 11.3% 12.4% 11.7% 10.7% 9.9%Unemployment Rate 7.2% 11.3% 12.4% 11.7% 10.7% 9.9% Population Growth 0.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% Real Disposable Income, % Change 1.0% -3.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.3% 1.0%