This document summarizes progress tracking key Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) indicators and implementation processes. It finds that while agricultural expenditure and value added in Africa have increased over time, growth rates remain below CAADP targets. Intra-African agricultural trade more than doubled between 2003-2021 but is below the target of tripling by 2025. The rate of undernourishment in Africa declined from 2003-2014 but increased in 2014-2021, particularly in Eastern Africa. To make further progress on CAADP goals, the document recommends increasing agricultural funding levels and productivity, boosting intra-African trade through the African Continental Free Trade Area, and improving investments in resilience and capacity.

1. Senior Associate Scientist, AKADEMIYA2063
Tracking key CAADP indicators
and implementation processes
Wondwosen Tefera

2. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Tracking key CAADP indicators and
implementation processes
Julia Collins, Tsitsi Makombe, Wondwosen Tefera, and
Augustin Wambo Yamdjeu
AKADEMIYA2063
October 27, 2022

3. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Outline
1. Introduction
2. Progress in CAADP Implementation Processes
3. Progress in CAADP Indicators
4. Conclusions and Implications

4. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Introduction

5. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Introduction
• ReSAKSS tracks CAADP implementation
processes and indicators through the ATOR
and the ReSAKSS website
• CAADP Phase 1 (2003-2015): CAADP M&E
Framework
• ReSAKSS led the development of the
first CAADP M&E framework for
assessing CAADP implementation
progress and performance
• Between 2008 and 2014, ReSAKSS used
the M&E framework to track CAADP
implementation processes and indicators

6. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Introduction (cont’d)
• CAADP Phase II- Malabo Declaration
(2015-2025)
• In 2014 AUC and AUDA-NEPAD
developed a new CAADP Results
Framework (RF) for 2015–2025
• The CAADP RF combines a logical
flow of three levels of results.
• There are 38 indicators in the CAADP
RF
• Considerable overlap between the
CAADP RF indicators and the CAADP
BR indicators (24 of the RF overlaps
with the BR indicators)

7. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Introduction (cont’d)
• ReSAKSS tracks 27 of the 38 CAADP
RF indicators for which data is
available
• Chapter 9 of the 2022 ATOR discusses
progress in the CAADP
implementation processes and on 27
of the 38 CAADP RF indicators
• Other 12 indicators relevant to the
CAADP agenda are also tracked

8. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Introduction (cont’d)

9. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Introduction (cont’d)
• ReSAKSS website:
www.resakss.org
• Allows to customize
indicators and
countries/subgroups
• Displays the results
in a variety of
formats, including
maps and charts

10. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Progress in CAADP
Implementation
Processes

11. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Progress in CAADP
Implementation Processes
• ReSAKSS has been strengthening agriculture JSRs since 2014 by conducting assessments of JSR
• ReSAKSS conducted/initiated agriculture JSR assessments in 21 countries & 2 RECs (ECOWAS &
EAC)
• 42 countries have drafted or validated Malabo compliant NAIP
• ReSAKSS analysis informs design of NAIPs: SAP, MGM
Note: JSR = Joint Sector Review; NAIP = National Agriculture Investment Plan

12. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Progress in CAADP
Implementation Processes (cont’d)
• Along with other technical partners, ReSAKSS supports the BR process

13. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Progress on CAADP
Indicators

14. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Progress on CAADP Indicators
Agricultural expenditure
• GAE has increased over
time but at a slower rate.
• Africa’s share of GAE in
total government
expenditure remained
below the 10 percent
CAADP target.
• Few countries were able to
meet or surpass the 10%
CAADP target (Ethiopia,
Malawi, Sierra Leon, and
Niger during 2014-2021)

15. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Progress on CAADP Indicators
(cont’d)
Agriculture value added
• Africa’s Ag value added
moderately increased
reaching at 3.3 percent
during 2014–2021
• Africa has not been able to
meet the CAADP 6 percent
annual growth target in
agriculture value added
• Few countries achieved the
CAADP 6 percent growth
target in the 2008–2021
period while a handful of
other countries managed
to meet the target in one
of the two periods

16. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Progress on CAADP Indicators
(cont’d)
Intra-African agricultural trade
• Africa improved its intra-African agricultural trade
during the entire CAADP period (more than doubled
between 2003 and 2021)
• Growth trend is below the target of tripling intra-
African agricultural trade by 2025
Central
Africa, 1.10
Eastern
Africa, 22.83
Northern
Africa, 17.89
Southern
Africa, 43.34
Western
Africa, 14.83
Export (2014-2021)
Central
Africa,
7.00
Eastern
Africa,
17.42
Northern
Africa,
21.05
Southern
Africa,
37.35
Western
Africa,
17.18
Import (2014-2021)
• Intra-African agricultural exports and imports
dominated by southern Africa at 43 % and 37 %,
respectively in 2014-2021

17. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Progress on CAADP Indicators
(cont’d)
Undernourishment
• Declined during 2003-2014
• Increased notably in 2014-
2021 partly related to the
COVID-19 pandemic,
• Eastern Africa showed the
largest increase (4.6%)

18. #2022ReSAKSS #2022ATOR
Conclusions and implication
• Africa remained below the CAADP 6 percent annual agricultural growth target and the
CAADP 10 % budget allocation target
• Africa is below the target of tripling intra-African agricultural trade by 2025
• Increasing rates of undernourishment, likely deteriorated further with the onset of
COVID-19. In addition, the Russia-Ukraine war is expected to trigger sharper increases
in undernourishment and poverty
• There is a need to
• raise the level and shares of GAE, improve the quality and composition of spending,
• Action to improve/intensify the productivity of agriculture sector
• Continued implementation of AfCFTA to boost intra-African trade
• Improved investments to increase resilience and productive capacity

19. THANK YOU