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  Cost of Capital Estimation: Considering Industry Risk Brown Bag Presentation September 15, 2008 Paul Daddio
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Subject Company for Examples:  “Aero Pieces” ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Size Risk Premia: Aero Pieces ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overview of Modified CAPM Method ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Modified CAPM Method Considerations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Modified CAPM Method Using  SBBI Historical ERP: Aero Pieces ,[object Object]
Modified CAPM Method Using  SBBI Supply Side ERP: Aero Pieces ,[object Object]
Modified CAPM Method Using  Duff & Phelps ERP: Aero Pieces ,[object Object]
Overview of SBBI Industry Risk Premium ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SBBI Industry Risk Premium Considerations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Adjusting SBBI Industry Risk Premium When Using Alternative Equity Risk Premium Measures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Build-up Method with IRP Using  SBBI Historical ERP: Aero Pieces ,[object Object],[object Object]
Build-up Method with IRP Using  SBBI Supply Side ERP: Aero Pieces ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Build-up Method with IRP Using  Duff & Phelps ERP: Aero Pieces ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Overview of the Traditional Build-up Method ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Traditional Build-up Method Using  SBBI Historical ERP: Aero Pieces ,[object Object]
Traditional Build-up Method Using  SBBI Supply Side ERP: Aero Pieces ,[object Object]
Traditional Build-up Method Using  Duff & Phelps ERP: Aero Pieces ,[object Object]
Summary: Aero Pieces

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Cost Of Capital Estmation - Considering Industry Risk

  • 1. Cost of Capital Estimation: Considering Industry Risk Brown Bag Presentation September 15, 2008 Paul Daddio
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Editor's Notes

  1. Underlying theoretical issues: e.g., we won’t discuss how to adjust CSRP for when you’re using beta-adjusted size premium vs. non-beta adjusted
  2. SBBI says to use beta-adjusted size premia, but use non-beta-adjusted size premium when accounting for industry risk in CSRP instead of using an IRP Discuss differences b/w beta-adjusted and non-beta-adjusted
  3. Estimate beta: Performed by selecting publicly traded companies comparable to the subject, then regressing their stock returns against a market return such as S&P 500. From these betas, the beta of the subject company is estimated. Estimate size premium: use beta-adjusted size premium for all MCAPM methods. This avoids double-counting because beta-adjusted size premia exclude the portion of returns on small stocks that can be explained by their higher betas. Estimate CSRP: Be sure to take into account that SBBI size premium data is not at all precise (unlike Duff & Phelps). So, if, for example, the subject is significantly smaller than the median sized company in the selected SBBI size category the CSRP would be larger than if using D&P to account for the additional risk due to the subject’s size that is not picked up through the size premium.
  4. Estimate company-specific risk premium: D&P is precise about size, so CSRP will tend to be narrower (i.e., closer to 0) than when using SBBI because size risk is fully captured in D&P.
  5. Estimate size premium: Select the non-beta-adjusted size premium for all build-up methods. This implicitly makes the assumption that the systematic risk of the subject company is the same as the risk of the small company portfolio.