Former President Lula was released from the illegal prison based on the correct decision of the Federal Supreme Court on November 7th in the light of the Federal Constitution which provides that any citizen should only be imprisoned after being tried in all instances of the Justice. Lula's release from prison, however, has numerous consequences immediate and for the political future of Brazil.
Nowadays, countries structure their governments on the basis of presidential and parliamentary systems. In the presidential system, the republican regime, as in Brazil, the president-elect receive popular mandate to govern for a certain period of time while in the parliamentary system, the republican or monarchical regimes, the majority party in parliament is tasked to choose the first -Minister, structuring the required parliamentary majority to govern and set up his office. If the majority party cannot compose a new government, new parliamentary elections would be held. In the presidential system, can take place the elected president rule without possessing the necessary parliamentary majority, a fact that constitutes political instability factor difficult to overcome as it has been in Brazil for many years, and particularly in the current situation. Unlike the parliamentary system that enables the replacement of the incumbent government by another in times of political crisis, the presidential system hinders this type of solution given that the elected president can only be dismounted from power legally during his tenure in case of a crime committed or by force through coup d'etat.
What is at stake in Brazil at the present moment is, above all, our right to life, our right to freedom of thought and opinion, our right to speak what we think. At stake in these elections is the preservation of democracy with the set of rights conquered after the military dictatorship. For all this, Bolsonaro must be defeated in the October 28 elections. NOT TO FASCISM VOTING IN FERNANDO HADDAD.
HOW TO STRENGTHEN DEMOCRACY THREATENED BY NEO-FASCISM IN BRAZIL.pdfFaga1939
This article aims to present how to strengthen Brazilian democracy in the face of the threat of Bolsonarist neo-fascism. All democrats need to understand that it is not enough to have won the last presidential elections to eradicate the Bolsonarist neo-fascist threat. Neo-fascists are regrouping to try to achieve their goals, which is to convulse Brazil with a view to implanting an extreme right-wing dictatorship in the country. It is absolutely necessary for all Brazilian democrats to understand that the neo-fascist serpent is still alive and will try to return to power, starting with the municipal elections of 2024 and, later, in 2026, for state governments and, above all, for the Presidency. of the Republic. One of the conditions to prevent this from happening is that the Lula government does not fail in its search for a solution to Brazil's economic and social problems. The success of the Lula government in overcoming economic and social problems is the “sine-qua-non” condition to prevent Bolsonarist neo-fascism from returning to power in Brazil. In order to avoid the end of the current democratic system in Brazil, it is necessary that a broad democratic and anti-fascist front be constituted in Parliament and in Civil Society to defend the 1988 Constitution and fight against the acts of the political forces of opposition to the democratic system that are contrary to to the interests of the vast majority of the population and democracy in Brazil. This broad front must also be used to promote the reconstruction of the Brazilian economy, which is the necessary condition for the Lula government to be successful in the fight in defense of democracy against the Bolsonarist neo-fascist serpent. I take this opportunity to wish all Brazilian democrats my best wishes for a Happy 2023, including their families.
Just as the removal of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency of Republicl and Lula arrest for corruption may increase political violence in Brazil, the same can happen with the permanence of Dilma Rousseff in power. In other words, either with dismissal or stay in power Dilma Rousseff, Brazil may be convulsed by a political struggle with unpredictable consequences. To prevent Brazil to be brought to social upheaval would require the establishment of a provisional government composed of respectable public figures uncompromised of political forces in confrontation that would have the mandate to convene a new constituent assembly to reorganize the national life, seek consensus country in the solution of economic and social crisis, prevent the escalation of violence in Brazil and hold new general elections in the country. This would be the way to avoid a fratricidal struggle or a civil war in Brazil. If not is formed a provisional government composed of respectable public figures uncompromised of political forces in confrontation able to order the national life, there will only be one outcome to the institutional impasse in which lives the Brazilian nation that is the intervention of the armed forces for the maintenance of constitutional order.
The fascism of the Bolsonaro government is characterized by disrespect for human rights and the environment, the identification of enemies as a unifying cause, the emphasis on militarism, the high level of sexism, the control of the media, religion and interconnected governments, attack to labor rights, disdain for intellectuals and the arts, obsession with crime and punishment and the creation of a police state. Jair Bolsonaro's political goal is to gain full power through the dominance of the legislature and judiciary, as well as the executive branch and, if necessary, the closure of the first two to put his fascist government project into practice.
Pt workers party and demoralization of the left in brazilFernando Alcoforado
All the facts of the recent history of Brazil are leading to discredit the PT and the left forces that give you political support. It is confirmed in practice the theory of Immanuel Wallerstein presented in its work Utopística ou as Decisões Históricas do Século Vinte e Um (Utopianism or the Historic Decisions of the Twenty-first Century) (Editora Vozes. Petrópolis, 1998) that "the main element that led to the people to put away of these parties was the disappointment, one feeling that these parties had had a historic opportunity, which had obtained support based on a strategy of two steps to transform the world (take state power, then transform it), and they had not fulfilled its historic promise. This Wallerstein thesis applies entirely to contemporary Brazil. After having failed in Brazil management by bringing it to bankruptcy and not having met the expectations of the majority of the population, PT and its leftist parties allies are desperately fighting for power maintenance claiming that their opponents are coup plotters when, in fact, who is sponsor of the coup d´état is Lula supported by PT and its left-wing parties allied with the rise of the former president to the ministry of Dilma Rousseff that turn her into "queen of England", that is, all power would be with Lula. Besides the economic, political and administrative failure, the left parties allies of PT are complicit with the greatest corruption in Brazil promoted by a political party in power.
The current damage of the Bolsonaro government to Brazil is mainly due to its inaction in overcoming the country's economic problems, its deliberate action to eliminate the existing social benefits for the Brazilian population, the lack of measures necessary to overcome social problems and by the compromise of national sovereignty. The future damage that can be done by the Bolsonaro government concerns the end of democracy in Brazil with the establishment of a dictatorship.
Political conciliation and political confrontation in brazilFernando Alcoforado
Just as the removal of Dilma Rousseff of presidential power and Lula arrest for corruption may increase political violence in Brazil, the same can happen with the permanence of Dilma Rousseff in power. In other words, either with Dilma Rousseff dismissal or stay in power, Brazil may be convulsed by a political struggle with unpredictable consequences. The greater the delay in the solution of economic, political and institutional problems of Brazil the larger will be the chance of political violence become more virulent that will result civil disobedience by political forces that feel affected in this process.
Nowadays, countries structure their governments on the basis of presidential and parliamentary systems. In the presidential system, the republican regime, as in Brazil, the president-elect receive popular mandate to govern for a certain period of time while in the parliamentary system, the republican or monarchical regimes, the majority party in parliament is tasked to choose the first -Minister, structuring the required parliamentary majority to govern and set up his office. If the majority party cannot compose a new government, new parliamentary elections would be held. In the presidential system, can take place the elected president rule without possessing the necessary parliamentary majority, a fact that constitutes political instability factor difficult to overcome as it has been in Brazil for many years, and particularly in the current situation. Unlike the parliamentary system that enables the replacement of the incumbent government by another in times of political crisis, the presidential system hinders this type of solution given that the elected president can only be dismounted from power legally during his tenure in case of a crime committed or by force through coup d'etat.
What is at stake in Brazil at the present moment is, above all, our right to life, our right to freedom of thought and opinion, our right to speak what we think. At stake in these elections is the preservation of democracy with the set of rights conquered after the military dictatorship. For all this, Bolsonaro must be defeated in the October 28 elections. NOT TO FASCISM VOTING IN FERNANDO HADDAD.
HOW TO STRENGTHEN DEMOCRACY THREATENED BY NEO-FASCISM IN BRAZIL.pdfFaga1939
This article aims to present how to strengthen Brazilian democracy in the face of the threat of Bolsonarist neo-fascism. All democrats need to understand that it is not enough to have won the last presidential elections to eradicate the Bolsonarist neo-fascist threat. Neo-fascists are regrouping to try to achieve their goals, which is to convulse Brazil with a view to implanting an extreme right-wing dictatorship in the country. It is absolutely necessary for all Brazilian democrats to understand that the neo-fascist serpent is still alive and will try to return to power, starting with the municipal elections of 2024 and, later, in 2026, for state governments and, above all, for the Presidency. of the Republic. One of the conditions to prevent this from happening is that the Lula government does not fail in its search for a solution to Brazil's economic and social problems. The success of the Lula government in overcoming economic and social problems is the “sine-qua-non” condition to prevent Bolsonarist neo-fascism from returning to power in Brazil. In order to avoid the end of the current democratic system in Brazil, it is necessary that a broad democratic and anti-fascist front be constituted in Parliament and in Civil Society to defend the 1988 Constitution and fight against the acts of the political forces of opposition to the democratic system that are contrary to to the interests of the vast majority of the population and democracy in Brazil. This broad front must also be used to promote the reconstruction of the Brazilian economy, which is the necessary condition for the Lula government to be successful in the fight in defense of democracy against the Bolsonarist neo-fascist serpent. I take this opportunity to wish all Brazilian democrats my best wishes for a Happy 2023, including their families.
Just as the removal of Dilma Rousseff of the Presidency of Republicl and Lula arrest for corruption may increase political violence in Brazil, the same can happen with the permanence of Dilma Rousseff in power. In other words, either with dismissal or stay in power Dilma Rousseff, Brazil may be convulsed by a political struggle with unpredictable consequences. To prevent Brazil to be brought to social upheaval would require the establishment of a provisional government composed of respectable public figures uncompromised of political forces in confrontation that would have the mandate to convene a new constituent assembly to reorganize the national life, seek consensus country in the solution of economic and social crisis, prevent the escalation of violence in Brazil and hold new general elections in the country. This would be the way to avoid a fratricidal struggle or a civil war in Brazil. If not is formed a provisional government composed of respectable public figures uncompromised of political forces in confrontation able to order the national life, there will only be one outcome to the institutional impasse in which lives the Brazilian nation that is the intervention of the armed forces for the maintenance of constitutional order.
The fascism of the Bolsonaro government is characterized by disrespect for human rights and the environment, the identification of enemies as a unifying cause, the emphasis on militarism, the high level of sexism, the control of the media, religion and interconnected governments, attack to labor rights, disdain for intellectuals and the arts, obsession with crime and punishment and the creation of a police state. Jair Bolsonaro's political goal is to gain full power through the dominance of the legislature and judiciary, as well as the executive branch and, if necessary, the closure of the first two to put his fascist government project into practice.
Pt workers party and demoralization of the left in brazilFernando Alcoforado
All the facts of the recent history of Brazil are leading to discredit the PT and the left forces that give you political support. It is confirmed in practice the theory of Immanuel Wallerstein presented in its work Utopística ou as Decisões Históricas do Século Vinte e Um (Utopianism or the Historic Decisions of the Twenty-first Century) (Editora Vozes. Petrópolis, 1998) that "the main element that led to the people to put away of these parties was the disappointment, one feeling that these parties had had a historic opportunity, which had obtained support based on a strategy of two steps to transform the world (take state power, then transform it), and they had not fulfilled its historic promise. This Wallerstein thesis applies entirely to contemporary Brazil. After having failed in Brazil management by bringing it to bankruptcy and not having met the expectations of the majority of the population, PT and its leftist parties allies are desperately fighting for power maintenance claiming that their opponents are coup plotters when, in fact, who is sponsor of the coup d´état is Lula supported by PT and its left-wing parties allied with the rise of the former president to the ministry of Dilma Rousseff that turn her into "queen of England", that is, all power would be with Lula. Besides the economic, political and administrative failure, the left parties allies of PT are complicit with the greatest corruption in Brazil promoted by a political party in power.
The current damage of the Bolsonaro government to Brazil is mainly due to its inaction in overcoming the country's economic problems, its deliberate action to eliminate the existing social benefits for the Brazilian population, the lack of measures necessary to overcome social problems and by the compromise of national sovereignty. The future damage that can be done by the Bolsonaro government concerns the end of democracy in Brazil with the establishment of a dictatorship.
Political conciliation and political confrontation in brazilFernando Alcoforado
Just as the removal of Dilma Rousseff of presidential power and Lula arrest for corruption may increase political violence in Brazil, the same can happen with the permanence of Dilma Rousseff in power. In other words, either with Dilma Rousseff dismissal or stay in power, Brazil may be convulsed by a political struggle with unpredictable consequences. The greater the delay in the solution of economic, political and institutional problems of Brazil the larger will be the chance of political violence become more virulent that will result civil disobedience by political forces that feel affected in this process.
The lulopetista fundamentalism and risk of political backspace in brazilFernando Alcoforado
A characteristic of fundamentalism that now dominates the Brazilian political life is “lulopetismo” that now involves some intellectuals, urban and rural proletariat and the lumpenproletariat many of which carry commissioned positions in Dilma Rousseff government. The “lulopetismo” has Lula as greatest leader, his followers are connected to PT (Workers´Party) and allied parties and integrate trade unions and civil society organizations. The “lulopetistas” are fundamentalists because they are blind to corruption, the serious administrative and financial irregularities and political errors committed by PT governments of Lula and Dilma Rousseff and many of its members. A feature common to fundamentalists is that they are intolerant to the extreme. Intolerance is a term that describes the mental attitude characterized by unwillingness to recognize and respect differences or religious beliefs, political or any third party nature by fundamentalists. If political intolerance prevail between supporters and opponents of PT and the Dilma Rousseff government, Brazil will move swiftly into a state of civil war. This scenario may occur either with the impeachment or the permanence of Dilma Rousseff in power.
The continuity of the situation currently experienced by Brazil in the State and civil society is unsustainable paving the way for a time of catastrophe in the country. The crisis in the Brazilian economy that threatens to take her to collapse adds to the water crisis in especially São Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio de Janeiro and the electricity sector crisis with the threat of "blackouts" tends to produce social tensions and irresistible political radicalization. Four alternative futures can result in Brazil with the evolution of economic, social and political-institutional crisis: 1) the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff with proof of his involvement in Petrobras corruption; 2) the resignation of Dilma Rousseff before the national rejection by their hold on power and its replacement by Vice President Michel Temer; 3) the joint resignation of Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer and the formation of an interim government of national unity that would have the task of convening a new Constituent Assembly and, after this, new general elections; and, 4) the deposition.of current in power by the military to order convulsed national life.
Why bolsonaro act irresponsibly and criminal in the fight against coronavirus...Fernando Alcoforado
No government can sustain itself in a democratic capitalist society without the support of the majority of the population, the majority of the National Congress and the economic power. The economic disaster of the Bolsonaro government aggravated by the creation of the Coronavirus will cause him to lose the support of the business community and will be the end of his government. The current moment is demanding Bolsonaro's immediate removal from the Presidency of the Republic because he lost the conditions to govern the country. In turn, the Coronavirus crisis requires that the powers of the Republic and the Brazilian population are united in the fight against the enemy common. Bolsonaro does not contribute to achieving this goal.
Luis Nassif's article, "Bolsonaro já não governa mais o Brasil, diz Luis Nassif" (Bolsonaro no longer rules Brazil, says Luis Nassif), makes it quite evident that Bolsonaro no longer governs Brazil because he encounters resistance inside and outside the government itself against his purpose of ending social isolation to protect the Brazilian population from Coronavirus.
THE SCENARIOS OF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS IN BRAZIL.pdfFaga1939
This article aims to outline scenarios for Brazil's presidential elections in 2022. In the race for the Presidency of the Republic, Lula and Bolsonaro have the preference of the electorate, followed by Ciro Gomes with a wide difference. By considering Lula and Bolsonaro as their preferred candidates, the Brazilian people are not realizing that both have neoliberal economic programs which, in Bolsonaro's case, is radically ultra-neoliberal, while in Lula's case it incorporates developmentalist and humanist elements. Ciro Gomes, in turn, who presents the best economic program for Brazil because it is a national developmentalist, will hardly surpass Lula or Bolsonaro in the 1st round of the presidential elections. One scenario assumes that the elections will take place without incident and the winner will assume power from 2023 and the alternative scenario is that there will be no elections thanks to the coup of state to be perpetrated by Bolsonaro before and during the elections. This means that Brazil may have two alternative futures: 1) Neoliberalism with humanist social policies and democracy with Lula in power if he is victorious in the elections if they are held; and, 2) Ultra-neoliberalism with social tightening and dictatorship with Bolsonaro in power if he succeeds in preventing the holding of elections.
It is not by chance that Machiavellianism has become synonymous with a political practice devoid of morality and good faith, an astute and rogue procedure. It is in this way that the behavior of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) that submitted to the retrograde forces of the National Congress can be characterized by abdicating its constitutional power to keep the corrupt Senator Aécio Neves out of parliament transferring this decision to the Federal Senate where he will resume certainly his mandate. STF President Carmen Lúcia's pathetic vow of minerva, which represented the capitulation of the Federal Supreme Court to the country's retrograde political forces, was regrettable because it showed her lack of courage in the face of the challenge she faced. In these circumstances, the Supreme Court ceased to be the highest judicial body. In deciding to maintain the immunity of Aécio Neves in the exercise of parliamentary activity, the STF transformed immunity into parliamentary impunity.
Self criticism that leftist political parties need to makeFernando Alcoforado
Changing the world through the state was the paradigm that prevailed in the left-wing political parties of the eighteenth century until the 1990s of the twentieth century when the Soviet Union and the socialist countries of Eastern Europe were dismantled. The thesis of the leftist political parties that founded these conceptions is simple: the state that until then was an instrument of the bourgeoisie was transformed into an instrument of the working class through the Reformation or the Social Revolution. The thesis of considering the state as the center of radiance of change was a resounding failure in all parts of the world, both in the countries that tried to build socialism and in the peripheral countries that adopted a nationalist stance in promoting their development.
The only way to avoid the ascension of fascism and the establishment of a right-wing dictatorship in Brazil is the formation of a broad anti-fascist front with the support of the most capable candidate to defeat the fascist forces that support Bolsonaro in the upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections.
In order to prevent Brazil from facing an exception regime, it is necessary to carry out as urgently as possible a new National Constituent Assembly that allows for the conclusion of a new social contract on the basis of which the economic, political and social systems are reorganized. To hold general elections in Brazil in 2018 as it is defended by some parties and social segments with the maintenance of the corrupt and incompetent political class that governs the Country at the present moment without being preceded by a Constituent will represent a worsening of the serious crisis experienced by Brazil at the moment. Without a new Constituent we will be threatened to live with a new dictatorship in Brazil because the deterioration of the economic base and the political and legal superstructure will lead the country to total ungovernability..
The current global crisis has highlighted a theoretical vacuum of the Left. With the crisis of neoliberal thesis, the old Left nothing presented as an alternative. Some old Left parties in Brazil led by PT (Worker Party) abdicated entirely the social revolution as a way to make social change abandoning this goal replacing it with a power project to make use of its advantages as evidenced in the process of “mensalão” (buying votes of parliamentarians in Congress by the Lula government) and “petrolão” (systemic corruption in the state oil company, Petrobras). The PT and its old Left allies have now become the new Right in Brazil because, in power, collaborate with the ruling classes and contribute to demobilize social movements in the fight for their interests. A truly leftist government would not submit to the interests of national and international finance capital as it has the Lula and Dilma Rousseff governments. Never in the history of Brazil, banks have earned as much money as the in PT governments.
A bolsonaro government is a threat to political stability and social peace of...Fernando Alcoforado
Brazilian government under Bolsonaro's direction would escalate the confrontation between left and right extremists, just as it would be with a Lula government or its candidate supported by him. The victory of Bolsonaro or Lula or his replacement may lead the Country to political and social upheaval. History has proven that, from the confrontation between the forces of left and right, the implantation of dictatorships, respectively, of left or right, can result. The only scenario that would prevent the triggering of violence between left and right with the consequent implementation of dictatorships would occur if the Brazilian people were to vote in the elections next October a candidate for President of the Republic who had the capacity to bring together the Brazilian nation around a common project of political, economic and social development that should result from a broad debate in an exclusive National Constituent Assembly that the future president of the Republic would call after his election.
Governability and democracy threatened in brazil with ascension to the power ...Fernando Alcoforado
The facts of history demonstrate that when the economic crisis deepens, the crisis of governability materializes with the paralysis of the government that can occur in Brazil after the elections of 2018 produced to a large extent by the struggle between the political forces of right and left which may result in a civil war followed by the establishment of a right-wing or left-wing dictatorship. The greatest possibility is that a right-wing dictatorship is implanted either with Bolsonaro's victory to keep him in power and Haddad's victory after overthrowing him.
From the confrontation between the defending forces and the opponents of the current democratic system may result in the maintenance of representative democracy in Brazil or its end.
Left versus right how to avoid catastrophic confrontation in contemporary b...Fernando Alcoforado
The only scenario that would prevent the triggering of violence between left and right with the consequent implementation of dictatorships to carry out, respectively, the social revolution and the counterrevolution would occur with the emergence of a candidate for President of the Republic who has the ability to bring together the Brazilian nation around a common project of political, economic and social development that should result from a broad debate in an exclusive National Constituent Assembly that the future President of the Republic would call after his election in 2018. The National Constituent Assembly would serve not only to deliberate on the economic, political and social future of Brazil, but above all to celebrate a social pact and thus to make social peace overlap with the social conflict that would result if this path were not adopted.
Brazil's economic scenario after 2015 is catastrophic because the country will be faced with the problem of stagflation meaning the negative economic growth, the retraction of the consumer market, the decline in income of the population and escalating of inflation and unemployment. Stagflation is a term used in economics that indicates, in short, a situation that may result in reduction of economic growth and simultaneously increase in the general price level. When the country reaches the state of stagflation, is established also social chaos.
The economic deceleration associated with the general increase in prices is catastrophic for the vast majority of the population because, besides increasing unemployment, reduce your purchasing power. It would be formed in this way, the culture broth to the increase of social stresses in Brazil. The catastrophic economic situation tends to lead Brazil to social chaos, and therefore to three alternative scenarios of development of the crisis, as described in this article.
Brazil is currently facing the greatest crisis in its history, represented by the Coronavirus pandemic, the greatest stagnation of the economy in the entire history of the country, the neo-fascist threat to democracy and the large-scale impoverishment of the Brazilian population. Brazil faces the four knights of its apocalypse. The first knight of the apocalypse is represented by the Coronavirus pandemic that further aggravated the economic, political and social catastrophes that have existed in Brazil since 2014 to the point of transforming them into the second, third and fourth knights of the country's apocalypse where the greatest horrors are practiced by the Bolsonaro government to the detriment of the vast majority of the Brazilian people.
Nowadays, countries structure their governments on the basis of presidential and parliamentary systems. In the presidential system, the republican regime, as in Brazil, the president-elect receive popular mandate to govern for a certain period of time while in the parliamentary system, the republican or monarchical regimes, the majority party in parliament is tasked to choose the first -Minister, structuring the required parliamentary majority to govern and set up his office. If the majority party cannot compose a new government, new parliamentary elections would be held. In the presidential system, can take place the elected president rule without possessing the necessary parliamentary majority, a fact that constitutes political instability factor difficult to overcome as it has been in Brazil for many years, and particularly in the current situation. Unlike the parliamentary system that enables the replacement of the incumbent government by another in times of political crisis, the presidential system hinders this type of solution given that the elected president can only be dismounted from power legally during his tenure in case of a crime committed or by force through coup d'etat.
Este artigo tem por objetivo demonstrar que o povo brasileiro vive o inferno representado pelas catástrofes políticas, econômicas, sociais e ambientais que estão conduzindo o País a um desastre humanitário sem precedentes em sua história de gigantescas proporções. A catástrofe política no Brasil poderá ocorrer com o fim do processo democrático resultante da escalada do fascismo na sociedade pela ação do presidente Jair Bolsonaro que busca colocar em prática sua proposta de governo tipicamente fascista baseada no culto explícito da ordem, na violência de Estado, em práticas autoritárias de governo, no desprezo social por grupos vulneráveis e fragilizados e no anticomunismo. Soma-se à catástrofe política, a catástrofe econômica caracterizada pela estagnação da economia brasileira que amarga uma recessão em 2020 agravada pela pandemia do novo coronavirus porque o PIB caiu 4,1% em relação ao de 2019, a menor taxa da série histórica, iniciada em 1996, bem como com a taxa de desemprego em patamar recorde de 14,8 milhões de pessoas em busca de emprego no País. A catástrofe social se manifesta no fato de o governo Bolsonaro nada fazer para reduzir as taxas de desemprego reativando a economia, atuar em prejuízo dos interesses dos trabalhadores promovendo medidas contra os direitos sociais da população e contribuir para o número elevado de infectados e mortos pelo coronavirus no Brasil ao sabotar o combate ao vírus. Finalmente, a catástrofe ambiental se manifesta no fato de o governo Bolsonaro contribuir para a inação de órgãos governamentais responsáveis pela fiscalização contra as agressões ao meio ambiente, abrir caminho para atividades de mineração, agricultura, pecuária e madeireira na Floresta Amazônica e afastar o Brasil do Acordo do Clima de Paris.
Cet article vise à démontrer que le peuple brésilien vit l'enfer représenté par les catastrophes politiques, économiques, sociales et environnementales qui conduisent le pays à une catastrophe humanitaire sans précédent dans son histoire aux proportions gigantesques. La catastrophe politique au Brésil pourrait survenir avec la fin du processus démocratique résultant de l'escalade du fascisme dans la société par l'action du président Jair Bolsonaro, qui cherche à mettre en pratique sa proposition de gouvernement typiquement fasciste. fondée sur le culte explicite de l'ordre, la violence d'État, les pratiques gouvernementales autoritaires, le mépris social pour les groupes vulnérables et fragiles et l'anticommunisme. Outre la catastrophe politique, la catastrophe économique caractérisée par la stagnation de l'économie brésilienne après une récession en 2020, aggravée par la nouvelle pandémie de coronavirus, car le PIB a baissé de 4,1% par rapport à 2019, le taux le plus bas du série historique, commencée en 1996, ainsi qu'avec le taux de chômage à un niveau record de 14,8 millions de personnes à la recherche d'un emploi dans le pays.La catastrophe sociale se manifeste par le fait que le gouvernement Bolsonaro ne fait rien pour réduire les taux de chômage en réactivant la économique, agissant au détriment des intérêts des travailleurs, promouvant des mesures contre les droits sociaux de la population et contribuant au nombre élevé de personnes infectées et tuées par le coronavirus au Brésil en sabotant la lutte contre le virus. Enfin, la catastrophe environnementale se manifeste par le fait que le gouvernement Bolsonaro contribue à l'inaction des agences gouvernementales chargées de surveiller les agressions contre l'environnement, ouvrant la voie aux activités minières, agricoles, d'élevage et d'exploitation forestière dans la forêt amazonienne et retirant le Brésil de l'Accord de Paris sur le climat.
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Similar to Brazil's political scenarios after the prison's lula exits
The lulopetista fundamentalism and risk of political backspace in brazilFernando Alcoforado
A characteristic of fundamentalism that now dominates the Brazilian political life is “lulopetismo” that now involves some intellectuals, urban and rural proletariat and the lumpenproletariat many of which carry commissioned positions in Dilma Rousseff government. The “lulopetismo” has Lula as greatest leader, his followers are connected to PT (Workers´Party) and allied parties and integrate trade unions and civil society organizations. The “lulopetistas” are fundamentalists because they are blind to corruption, the serious administrative and financial irregularities and political errors committed by PT governments of Lula and Dilma Rousseff and many of its members. A feature common to fundamentalists is that they are intolerant to the extreme. Intolerance is a term that describes the mental attitude characterized by unwillingness to recognize and respect differences or religious beliefs, political or any third party nature by fundamentalists. If political intolerance prevail between supporters and opponents of PT and the Dilma Rousseff government, Brazil will move swiftly into a state of civil war. This scenario may occur either with the impeachment or the permanence of Dilma Rousseff in power.
The continuity of the situation currently experienced by Brazil in the State and civil society is unsustainable paving the way for a time of catastrophe in the country. The crisis in the Brazilian economy that threatens to take her to collapse adds to the water crisis in especially São Paulo, Minas Gerais and Rio de Janeiro and the electricity sector crisis with the threat of "blackouts" tends to produce social tensions and irresistible political radicalization. Four alternative futures can result in Brazil with the evolution of economic, social and political-institutional crisis: 1) the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff with proof of his involvement in Petrobras corruption; 2) the resignation of Dilma Rousseff before the national rejection by their hold on power and its replacement by Vice President Michel Temer; 3) the joint resignation of Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer and the formation of an interim government of national unity that would have the task of convening a new Constituent Assembly and, after this, new general elections; and, 4) the deposition.of current in power by the military to order convulsed national life.
Why bolsonaro act irresponsibly and criminal in the fight against coronavirus...Fernando Alcoforado
No government can sustain itself in a democratic capitalist society without the support of the majority of the population, the majority of the National Congress and the economic power. The economic disaster of the Bolsonaro government aggravated by the creation of the Coronavirus will cause him to lose the support of the business community and will be the end of his government. The current moment is demanding Bolsonaro's immediate removal from the Presidency of the Republic because he lost the conditions to govern the country. In turn, the Coronavirus crisis requires that the powers of the Republic and the Brazilian population are united in the fight against the enemy common. Bolsonaro does not contribute to achieving this goal.
Luis Nassif's article, "Bolsonaro já não governa mais o Brasil, diz Luis Nassif" (Bolsonaro no longer rules Brazil, says Luis Nassif), makes it quite evident that Bolsonaro no longer governs Brazil because he encounters resistance inside and outside the government itself against his purpose of ending social isolation to protect the Brazilian population from Coronavirus.
THE SCENARIOS OF THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS IN BRAZIL.pdfFaga1939
This article aims to outline scenarios for Brazil's presidential elections in 2022. In the race for the Presidency of the Republic, Lula and Bolsonaro have the preference of the electorate, followed by Ciro Gomes with a wide difference. By considering Lula and Bolsonaro as their preferred candidates, the Brazilian people are not realizing that both have neoliberal economic programs which, in Bolsonaro's case, is radically ultra-neoliberal, while in Lula's case it incorporates developmentalist and humanist elements. Ciro Gomes, in turn, who presents the best economic program for Brazil because it is a national developmentalist, will hardly surpass Lula or Bolsonaro in the 1st round of the presidential elections. One scenario assumes that the elections will take place without incident and the winner will assume power from 2023 and the alternative scenario is that there will be no elections thanks to the coup of state to be perpetrated by Bolsonaro before and during the elections. This means that Brazil may have two alternative futures: 1) Neoliberalism with humanist social policies and democracy with Lula in power if he is victorious in the elections if they are held; and, 2) Ultra-neoliberalism with social tightening and dictatorship with Bolsonaro in power if he succeeds in preventing the holding of elections.
It is not by chance that Machiavellianism has become synonymous with a political practice devoid of morality and good faith, an astute and rogue procedure. It is in this way that the behavior of the Federal Supreme Court (STF) that submitted to the retrograde forces of the National Congress can be characterized by abdicating its constitutional power to keep the corrupt Senator Aécio Neves out of parliament transferring this decision to the Federal Senate where he will resume certainly his mandate. STF President Carmen Lúcia's pathetic vow of minerva, which represented the capitulation of the Federal Supreme Court to the country's retrograde political forces, was regrettable because it showed her lack of courage in the face of the challenge she faced. In these circumstances, the Supreme Court ceased to be the highest judicial body. In deciding to maintain the immunity of Aécio Neves in the exercise of parliamentary activity, the STF transformed immunity into parliamentary impunity.
Self criticism that leftist political parties need to makeFernando Alcoforado
Changing the world through the state was the paradigm that prevailed in the left-wing political parties of the eighteenth century until the 1990s of the twentieth century when the Soviet Union and the socialist countries of Eastern Europe were dismantled. The thesis of the leftist political parties that founded these conceptions is simple: the state that until then was an instrument of the bourgeoisie was transformed into an instrument of the working class through the Reformation or the Social Revolution. The thesis of considering the state as the center of radiance of change was a resounding failure in all parts of the world, both in the countries that tried to build socialism and in the peripheral countries that adopted a nationalist stance in promoting their development.
The only way to avoid the ascension of fascism and the establishment of a right-wing dictatorship in Brazil is the formation of a broad anti-fascist front with the support of the most capable candidate to defeat the fascist forces that support Bolsonaro in the upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections.
In order to prevent Brazil from facing an exception regime, it is necessary to carry out as urgently as possible a new National Constituent Assembly that allows for the conclusion of a new social contract on the basis of which the economic, political and social systems are reorganized. To hold general elections in Brazil in 2018 as it is defended by some parties and social segments with the maintenance of the corrupt and incompetent political class that governs the Country at the present moment without being preceded by a Constituent will represent a worsening of the serious crisis experienced by Brazil at the moment. Without a new Constituent we will be threatened to live with a new dictatorship in Brazil because the deterioration of the economic base and the political and legal superstructure will lead the country to total ungovernability..
The current global crisis has highlighted a theoretical vacuum of the Left. With the crisis of neoliberal thesis, the old Left nothing presented as an alternative. Some old Left parties in Brazil led by PT (Worker Party) abdicated entirely the social revolution as a way to make social change abandoning this goal replacing it with a power project to make use of its advantages as evidenced in the process of “mensalão” (buying votes of parliamentarians in Congress by the Lula government) and “petrolão” (systemic corruption in the state oil company, Petrobras). The PT and its old Left allies have now become the new Right in Brazil because, in power, collaborate with the ruling classes and contribute to demobilize social movements in the fight for their interests. A truly leftist government would not submit to the interests of national and international finance capital as it has the Lula and Dilma Rousseff governments. Never in the history of Brazil, banks have earned as much money as the in PT governments.
A bolsonaro government is a threat to political stability and social peace of...Fernando Alcoforado
Brazilian government under Bolsonaro's direction would escalate the confrontation between left and right extremists, just as it would be with a Lula government or its candidate supported by him. The victory of Bolsonaro or Lula or his replacement may lead the Country to political and social upheaval. History has proven that, from the confrontation between the forces of left and right, the implantation of dictatorships, respectively, of left or right, can result. The only scenario that would prevent the triggering of violence between left and right with the consequent implementation of dictatorships would occur if the Brazilian people were to vote in the elections next October a candidate for President of the Republic who had the capacity to bring together the Brazilian nation around a common project of political, economic and social development that should result from a broad debate in an exclusive National Constituent Assembly that the future president of the Republic would call after his election.
Governability and democracy threatened in brazil with ascension to the power ...Fernando Alcoforado
The facts of history demonstrate that when the economic crisis deepens, the crisis of governability materializes with the paralysis of the government that can occur in Brazil after the elections of 2018 produced to a large extent by the struggle between the political forces of right and left which may result in a civil war followed by the establishment of a right-wing or left-wing dictatorship. The greatest possibility is that a right-wing dictatorship is implanted either with Bolsonaro's victory to keep him in power and Haddad's victory after overthrowing him.
From the confrontation between the defending forces and the opponents of the current democratic system may result in the maintenance of representative democracy in Brazil or its end.
Left versus right how to avoid catastrophic confrontation in contemporary b...Fernando Alcoforado
The only scenario that would prevent the triggering of violence between left and right with the consequent implementation of dictatorships to carry out, respectively, the social revolution and the counterrevolution would occur with the emergence of a candidate for President of the Republic who has the ability to bring together the Brazilian nation around a common project of political, economic and social development that should result from a broad debate in an exclusive National Constituent Assembly that the future President of the Republic would call after his election in 2018. The National Constituent Assembly would serve not only to deliberate on the economic, political and social future of Brazil, but above all to celebrate a social pact and thus to make social peace overlap with the social conflict that would result if this path were not adopted.
Brazil's economic scenario after 2015 is catastrophic because the country will be faced with the problem of stagflation meaning the negative economic growth, the retraction of the consumer market, the decline in income of the population and escalating of inflation and unemployment. Stagflation is a term used in economics that indicates, in short, a situation that may result in reduction of economic growth and simultaneously increase in the general price level. When the country reaches the state of stagflation, is established also social chaos.
The economic deceleration associated with the general increase in prices is catastrophic for the vast majority of the population because, besides increasing unemployment, reduce your purchasing power. It would be formed in this way, the culture broth to the increase of social stresses in Brazil. The catastrophic economic situation tends to lead Brazil to social chaos, and therefore to three alternative scenarios of development of the crisis, as described in this article.
Brazil is currently facing the greatest crisis in its history, represented by the Coronavirus pandemic, the greatest stagnation of the economy in the entire history of the country, the neo-fascist threat to democracy and the large-scale impoverishment of the Brazilian population. Brazil faces the four knights of its apocalypse. The first knight of the apocalypse is represented by the Coronavirus pandemic that further aggravated the economic, political and social catastrophes that have existed in Brazil since 2014 to the point of transforming them into the second, third and fourth knights of the country's apocalypse where the greatest horrors are practiced by the Bolsonaro government to the detriment of the vast majority of the Brazilian people.
Nowadays, countries structure their governments on the basis of presidential and parliamentary systems. In the presidential system, the republican regime, as in Brazil, the president-elect receive popular mandate to govern for a certain period of time while in the parliamentary system, the republican or monarchical regimes, the majority party in parliament is tasked to choose the first -Minister, structuring the required parliamentary majority to govern and set up his office. If the majority party cannot compose a new government, new parliamentary elections would be held. In the presidential system, can take place the elected president rule without possessing the necessary parliamentary majority, a fact that constitutes political instability factor difficult to overcome as it has been in Brazil for many years, and particularly in the current situation. Unlike the parliamentary system that enables the replacement of the incumbent government by another in times of political crisis, the presidential system hinders this type of solution given that the elected president can only be dismounted from power legally during his tenure in case of a crime committed or by force through coup d'etat.
Similar to Brazil's political scenarios after the prison's lula exits (20)
Este artigo tem por objetivo demonstrar que o povo brasileiro vive o inferno representado pelas catástrofes políticas, econômicas, sociais e ambientais que estão conduzindo o País a um desastre humanitário sem precedentes em sua história de gigantescas proporções. A catástrofe política no Brasil poderá ocorrer com o fim do processo democrático resultante da escalada do fascismo na sociedade pela ação do presidente Jair Bolsonaro que busca colocar em prática sua proposta de governo tipicamente fascista baseada no culto explícito da ordem, na violência de Estado, em práticas autoritárias de governo, no desprezo social por grupos vulneráveis e fragilizados e no anticomunismo. Soma-se à catástrofe política, a catástrofe econômica caracterizada pela estagnação da economia brasileira que amarga uma recessão em 2020 agravada pela pandemia do novo coronavirus porque o PIB caiu 4,1% em relação ao de 2019, a menor taxa da série histórica, iniciada em 1996, bem como com a taxa de desemprego em patamar recorde de 14,8 milhões de pessoas em busca de emprego no País. A catástrofe social se manifesta no fato de o governo Bolsonaro nada fazer para reduzir as taxas de desemprego reativando a economia, atuar em prejuízo dos interesses dos trabalhadores promovendo medidas contra os direitos sociais da população e contribuir para o número elevado de infectados e mortos pelo coronavirus no Brasil ao sabotar o combate ao vírus. Finalmente, a catástrofe ambiental se manifesta no fato de o governo Bolsonaro contribuir para a inação de órgãos governamentais responsáveis pela fiscalização contra as agressões ao meio ambiente, abrir caminho para atividades de mineração, agricultura, pecuária e madeireira na Floresta Amazônica e afastar o Brasil do Acordo do Clima de Paris.
Cet article vise à démontrer que le peuple brésilien vit l'enfer représenté par les catastrophes politiques, économiques, sociales et environnementales qui conduisent le pays à une catastrophe humanitaire sans précédent dans son histoire aux proportions gigantesques. La catastrophe politique au Brésil pourrait survenir avec la fin du processus démocratique résultant de l'escalade du fascisme dans la société par l'action du président Jair Bolsonaro, qui cherche à mettre en pratique sa proposition de gouvernement typiquement fasciste. fondée sur le culte explicite de l'ordre, la violence d'État, les pratiques gouvernementales autoritaires, le mépris social pour les groupes vulnérables et fragiles et l'anticommunisme. Outre la catastrophe politique, la catastrophe économique caractérisée par la stagnation de l'économie brésilienne après une récession en 2020, aggravée par la nouvelle pandémie de coronavirus, car le PIB a baissé de 4,1% par rapport à 2019, le taux le plus bas du série historique, commencée en 1996, ainsi qu'avec le taux de chômage à un niveau record de 14,8 millions de personnes à la recherche d'un emploi dans le pays.La catastrophe sociale se manifeste par le fait que le gouvernement Bolsonaro ne fait rien pour réduire les taux de chômage en réactivant la économique, agissant au détriment des intérêts des travailleurs, promouvant des mesures contre les droits sociaux de la population et contribuant au nombre élevé de personnes infectées et tuées par le coronavirus au Brésil en sabotant la lutte contre le virus. Enfin, la catastrophe environnementale se manifeste par le fait que le gouvernement Bolsonaro contribue à l'inaction des agences gouvernementales chargées de surveiller les agressions contre l'environnement, ouvrant la voie aux activités minières, agricoles, d'élevage et d'exploitation forestière dans la forêt amazonienne et retirant le Brésil de l'Accord de Paris sur le climat.
Cet article a pour objectif de présenter et d'analyser le rapport du Groupe d'experts intergouvernemental sur l'évolution du climat (GIEC), agence liée à l'ONU, rendu public le 9 août 2021 à travers lequel il montre l'ensemble des connaissances acquises depuis la publication de son précédent rapport en 2014 sur le climat de la planète Terre. 234 auteurs de 66 pays ont examiné plus de 14 000 études scientifiques et leur travail a été reçu avec plus de 78 000 commentaires et observations de chercheurs et d'experts qui travaillant pour les 195 gouvernements auxquels ce travail est destiné. Ce rapport révèle une connaissance approfondie du climat passé, présent et futur de la Terre. Le résumé de ce rapport est à lire dans l'article Selon le GIEC, le changement climatique est irréversible, mais peut encore être corrigé disponible sur le site <https://www.sciencesetavenir.fr/nature-environnement/climat/selon-le-giec-le-changement-climatique-s-accelere-est-irreversible-mais-peut-etre-corrige_156431>. Alors que peut-on faire pour éviter cette catastrophe climatique ? La solution est de réduire de moitié les émissions mondiales de gaz à effet de serre d'ici 2030 et de zéro émission nette d'ici le milieu de ce siècle pour arrêter et éventuellement inverser la hausse des températures. La réduction à zéro des émissions nettes consiste à réduire autant que possible les émissions de gaz à effet de serre en utilisant les technologies propres et les énergies renouvelables, ainsi que comme capter et stocker le carbone, ou l'absorber en plantant des arbres. Très probablement, le monde ne réussira pas à empêcher d'autres changements climatiques en raison de l'absence d'un système de gouvernance mondiale capable d'empêcher l'augmentation du réchauffement climatique et le changement climatique catastrophique résultant de l'impuissance de l'ONU.
AQUECIMENTO GLOBAL, MUDANÇA CLIMÁTICA GLOBAL E SEUS IMPACTOS SOBRE A SAÚDE HU...Fernando Alcoforado
Este artigo tem por objetivo apresentar os impactos do aquecimento global e da consequente mudança climática sobre a saúde humana e as soluções que permitam evitar suas maléficas consequências contra a humanidade. Para alcançar este objetivo, é necessário promover uma transformação profunda da sociedade atual que tem sido extremamente destruidora das condições de vida do planeta. Diante disso, é imprescindível que seja edificada uma sociedade sustentável substituindo o atual modelo econômico dominante em todo o mundo por outro que leve em conta o homem integrado com o meio ambiente, com a natureza, ou seja, o modelo de desenvolvimento sustentável. Foi analisado o Acordo de Paris com base na COP 21 organizada pela ONU através do qual 195 países e a União Europeia definiram como a humanidade lutará contra o aquecimento global nas próximas décadas, bem como foi analisada literatura relacionada com o aquecimento global e a mudança climática para extrair as conclusões que apontam como substituir o modelo de desenvolvimento atual pelo modelo de desenvolvimento sustentável.
GLOBAL WARMING, GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS IMPACTS ON HUMAN HEALTHFernando Alcoforado
This article aims to present the impacts of global warming and the consequent global climate change on human health and the solutions to avoid its harmful consequences against humanity. In order to achieve this goal, it is necessary to promote a profound transformation of current society, which has been extremely destructive of the planet's living conditions. Therefore, it is essential to build a sustainable society, replacing the current dominant economic model throughout the world with one that takes into account man integrated with the environment, with nature, that is, the model of sustainable development. The Paris Agreement was analyzed based on the COP 21 organized by the UN through which 195 countries and the European Union defined how humanity will fight global warming in the coming decades, as well as was analyzed literature related to global warming and climate change to extract the conclusions that point out how to replace the current development model with the sustainable development model.
LE RÉCHAUFFEMENT CLIMATIQUE, LE CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE MONDIAL ET SES IMPACTS ...Fernando Alcoforado
Cet article a pour objectif de présenter les impacts du réchauffement climatique et du changement climatique qui en découle sur la santé humaine et les solutions pour éviter ses conséquences néfastes contre l'humanité. Pour atteindre cet objectif, il est nécessaire de promouvoir une transformation profonde de la société d'aujourd'hui qui a été extrêmement destructrice des conditions de vie sur la planète. Il est donc essentiel de construire une société durable, en remplaçant le modèle économique actuel dominant à travers le monde par un autre qui prenne en compte l'homme intégré à l'environnement, à la nature, c'est-à-dire le modèle de développement durable. L'Accord de Paris a été analysé sur la base de la COP 21 organisée par l'ONU à travers laquelle 195 pays et l'Union européenne ont défini comment l'humanité luttera contre le réchauffement climatique dans les prochaines décennies, ainsi que a été analysée la littérature liée au réchauffement climatique et au changement climatique pour extraire les conclusions qui indiquent comment remplacer le modèle de développement actuel par le modèle de développement durable.
Cet article a trois objectifs : 1) démontrer qu'il y a un changement drastique du climat de la Terre grâce au réchauffement climatique, qui contribue à la survenue d'inondations dans les villes aux effets de plus en plus catastrophiques ; 2) proposer des mesures pour lutter contre le changement climatique mondial ; et 3) proposer des mesures pour préparer les villes à faire face à des événements météorologiques extrêmes. Récemment, des inondations se sont produites qui exposent la vulnérabilité des villes d'Europe et de Chine aux conditions météorologiques les plus extrêmes. Après les inondations qui ont fait des morts en Allemagne, en Belgique et en Chine, le message a été renforcé que des changements importants sont nécessaires pour préparer les villes à faire face à des événements similaires à l'avenir. Les gouvernements doivent admettre que les infrastructures qu'ils ont construites dans le passé pour les villes, même à une époque plus récente, sont vulnérables à ces phénomènes météorologiques extrêmes. Pour faire face aux inondations qui deviendront de plus en plus fréquentes, les gouvernements doivent agir simultanément dans trois directions : la première est de lutter contre le changement climatique mondial ; le second est de préparer les villes à faire face à des événements météorologiques extrêmes et le troisième est de mettre en œuvre une société durable aux niveaux national et mondial.
This article has three objectives: 1) to demonstrate that there is a drastic change in the Earth's climate thanks to global warming, which is contributing to the occurrence of floods in cities that are increasingly catastrophic in their effects; 2) propose measures to combat global climate change; and 3) propose measures to prepare cities to face extreme weather events. Recently, floods have occurred that expose the vulnerability of cities in Europe and China to the most extreme weather. After the floods that killed people in Germany, Belgium and China, the message was reinforced that significant changes are needed to prepare cities to face similar events in the future. Governments need to admit that the infrastructure they built in the past for cities, even in more recent times, is vulnerable to these extreme weather events. To deal with the floods that will become more and more frequent, governments need to act simultaneously in three directions: the first is to combat global climate change; the second is to prepare cities to face extreme weather events and the third is to implement a sustainable society at the national and global levels.
Este artigo tem três objetivos: 1) demonstrar que está havendo uma mudança drástica no clima da Terra graças ao aquecimento global que está contribuindo para a ocorrência de inundações nas cidades que se repetem de forma cada vez mais catastrófica em seus efeitos; 2) propor medidas para combater a mudança climática global; e, 3) propor medidas visando preparar as cidades para enfrentar eventos climáticos extremos. Recentemente, ocorreram enchentes que expõem a vulnerabilidade das cidades da Europa e da China ao clima mais extremo. Depois das enchentes que mataram pessoas na Alemanha, Bélgica e China foi reforçada a mensagem de que são necessárias mudanças significativas para preparar as cidades para enfrentar eventos similares no futuro. Os governos precisam admitir que a infraestrutura que construíram no passado para as cidades, mesmo em tempos mais recentes, é vulnerável a esses eventos de clima extremo. Para lidar com as inundações que serão cada vez mais frequentes, os governos precisam agir simultaneamente em três direções: a primeira consiste em combater a mudança climática global; a segunda consiste em preparar as cidades para enfrentar eventos extremos no clima e a terceira consiste em implantar uma sociedade sustentável nas esferas nacional e global.
CIVILIZAÇÃO OU BARBÁRIE SÃO AS ESCOLHAS DO POVO BRASILEIRO NAS ELEIÇÕES DE 2022 Fernando Alcoforado
Este artigo tem por objetivo demonstrar que as eleições de 2022 são decisivas para o futuro do Brasil porque que o povo brasileiro terá que decidir entre os valores da civilização e da democracia ou os da barbárie e do fascismo defendidos pelos candidatos à Presidência da República. É preciso observar que a Civilização é considerada o estágio mais avançado que uma sociedade humana pode alcançar do ponto de vista político, econômico, social, cultural, científico e tecnológico. O contrário de civilização é a Barbárie que é a condição daquilo que é selvagem, cruel, desumano e grosseiro, ou seja, quem ou o que é tido como bárbaro que atenta contra o progresso político, econômico, social, cultural, científico e tecnológico. A barbárie sempre se caracterizou ao longo da história da humanidade por grupos que usam a força e a crueldade para alcançar seus objetivos.
CIVILISATION OU BARBARIE SONT LES CHOIX DU PEUPLE BRÉSILIEN AUX ÉLECTIONS DE ...Fernando Alcoforado
Cet article vise à démontrer que les élections de 2022 sont décisives pour l'avenir du Brésil car le peuple brésilien devra trancher entre les valeurs de civilisation et de démocratie ou celles de barbarie et de fascisme défendues par les candidats à la Présidence de la République. Il convient de noter que la civilisation est considérée comme le stade le plus avancé qu'une société humaine puisse atteindre d'un point de vue politique, économique, social, culturel, scientifique et technologique. Le contraire de la civilisation est la barbarie, qui est la condition de ce qui est sauvage, cruel, inhumain et grossier, c'est-à-dire qui ou ce qui est considéré comme barbare qui attaque le progrès politique, économique, social, culturel, scientifique et technologique. La barbarie a toujours été caractérisée tout au long de l'histoire de l'humanité par des groupes qui utilisent la force et la cruauté pour atteindre leurs objectifs.
CIVILIZATION OR BARBARISM ARE THE CHOICES OF THE BRAZILIAN PEOPLE IN THE 2022...Fernando Alcoforado
This article aims to demonstrate that the 2022 elections are decisive for the future of Brazil because the Brazilian people will have to decide between the values of civilization and democracy or those of barbarism and fascism defended by candidates for the Presidency of the Republic. It should be noted that Civilization is considered the most advanced stage that a human society can reach from a political, economic, social, cultural, scientific and technological point of view. The opposite of civilization is Barbarism, which is the condition of what is savage, cruel, inhuman and coarse, that is, who or what is considered barbaric that attacks political, economic, social, cultural, scientific and technological progress. Barbarism has always been characterized throughout human history by groups that use force and cruelty to achieve their goals.
COMO EVITAR A PREVISÃO DE STEPHEN HAWKING DE QUE A HUMANIDADE SÓ TEM MAIS 100...Fernando Alcoforado
Este artigo tem por objetivo apresentar o que foi dito pelo falecido cientista Stephen Hawking que afirmou em 2018 que a espécie humana poderia ser levada à extinção em 100 anos e que, devido a isto, forçaria os seres humanos a saírem da Terra, bem como demonstrar que as ameaças de extinção da espécie humana citadas por Hawking podem ser enfrentadas sem que haja a necessidade de fuga de seres humanos da Terra.
COMMENT ÉVITER LA PRÉVISION DE STEPHEN HAWKING QUE L'HUMANITÉ N'A QUE 100 ANS...Fernando Alcoforado
Cet article vise à présenter ce qu'a dit le regretté scientifique Stephen Hawking qui a déclaré en 2018 que l'espèce humaine pourrait être amenée à l'extinction dans 100 ans et que, de ce fait, il forcerait les êtres humains à quitter la Terre, ainsi que démontrer que les menaces d'extinction de l'espèce humaine citées par Hawking peuvent être affrontées sans que les êtres humains aient besoin de s'échapper de la Terre.
Today the French Revolution is commemorated, which was a dividing mark in the history of humanity, starting the contemporary age. It was such an important event that its ideals influenced many movements around the world.
On commémore aujourd'hui la Révolution française, qui a marqué l'histoire de l'humanité en commençant l'ère contemporaine. C'était un événement si important que ses idéaux ont influencé de nombreux mouvements à travers le monde.
Hoje é comemorada a Revolução Francesa que foi um marco divisório da história da humanidade dando início à idade contemporânea. Foi um acontecimento tão importante que seus ideais influenciaram vários movimentos ao redor do mundo.
O TARIFAÇO DE ENERGIA É SINAL DE INCOMPETÊNCIA DO GOVERNO FEDERAL NO PLANEJAM...Fernando Alcoforado
É bastante evidente o descalabro do setor elétrico do Brasil. O planejamento eficaz do setor elétrico é aquele que deve ser desenvolvido com vários anos de antecedência e baseado em estudos técnicos e econômicos. A gestão competente tem que ser baseada no planejamento de longo prazo e com visão sistêmica que está faltando ao governo Bolsonaro. Sem a cultura do planejamento e a não utilização de profissionais competentes nas ações do governo federal, o resultado só poderia ser o que vem se registrando no setor elétrico que está ameaçado de “apagões” e de racionamento de energia elétrica.
LES RÉVOLUTIONS SOCIALES, LEURS FACTEURS DÉCLENCHEURS ET LE BRÉSIL ACTUELFernando Alcoforado
Cet article vise à analyser les facteurs déclencheurs des révolutions sociales qui se sont produites tout au long de l'histoire de l'humanité et à évaluer la possibilité de leur occurrence dans le Brésil contemporain.
SOCIAL REVOLUTIONS, THEIR TRIGGERS FACTORS AND CURRENT BRAZILFernando Alcoforado
This article aims to analyze the triggering factors of social revolutions that have occurred throughout human history and assess the possibility of their occurrence in contemporary Brazil.
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Welcome to the new Mizzima Weekly !
Mizzima Media Group is pleased to announce the relaunch of Mizzima Weekly. Mizzima is dedicated to helping our readers and viewers keep up to date on the latest developments in Myanmar and related to Myanmar by offering analysis and insight into the subjects that matter. Our websites and our social media channels provide readers and viewers with up-to-the-minute and up-to-date news, which we don’t necessarily need to replicate in our Mizzima Weekly magazine. But where we see a gap is in providing more analysis, insight and in-depth coverage of Myanmar, that is of particular interest to a range of readers.
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हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
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Future Of Fintech In India | Evolution Of Fintech In IndiaTheUnitedIndian
Navigating the Future of Fintech in India: Insights into how AI, blockchain, and digital payments are driving unprecedented growth in India's fintech industry, redefining financial services and accessibility.
ys jagan mohan reddy political career, Biography.pdfVoterMood
Yeduguri Sandinti Jagan Mohan Reddy, often referred to as Y.S. Jagan Mohan Reddy, is an Indian politician who currently serves as the Chief Minister of the state of Andhra Pradesh. He was born on December 21, 1972, in Pulivendula, Andhra Pradesh, to Yeduguri Sandinti Rajasekhara Reddy (popularly known as YSR), a former Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh, and Y.S. Vijayamma.
‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
Brazil's political scenarios after the prison's lula exits
1. 1
BRAZIL'S POLITICAL SCENARIOS AFTER THE PRISON'S LULA EXITS
Fernando Alcoforado*
Former President Lula was released from the illegal prison based on the correct decision
of the Federal Supreme Court on November 7th in the light of the Federal Constitution
which provides that any citizen should only be imprisoned after being tried in all instances
of the Justice. Lula's release from prison, however, has numerous consequences
immediate and for the political future of Brazil.
The release of Lula has two immediate consequences: 1) Bolsonaro's supporters, who
were in blatant conflict with each other, will again articulate more decisively in the fight
against the common enemy (Lula, PT and their allies); and, 2) Lula's supporters, who
were inert by the absence of their leader, will again articulate more decisively in the
struggle against the Bolsonaro government. This means that there will be a political
polarization similar to that which occurred in the past presidential election.
Bolsonaro-Lula polarization may contribute to the occurrence of the political and
ideological radicalization that could endanger the democratic process in Brazil until the
next presidential elections. Political radicalization will also be fueled by the social
problems generated by the economic stagnation and mass unemployment that has affected
the country for 5 years. Bolsonaro supporters will hold the PT governments responsible
for the current crisis and Lula's supporters will hold the Bolsonaro government
responsible for its anti-social policy and inability to solve the current economic crisis.
Bolsonaro-Lula polarization can also help to strengthen the emergence of a third way on
both the right and left of the political spectrum. It could strengthen the emergence of a
third way if new leadership appears capable of competently criticizing the PT
governments and the Bolsonaro government and bringing together the majority of the
Brazilian population around a development project that overcomes the current huge
economic and social problems and builds social peace in the country.
Due to its anti-social policy and the inability to solve the current economic crisis, the
unpopularity of Bolsonaro and his government should increase favoring Lula's supporters
and also the third way supporters, especially those on the left of the political spectrum, in
the next presidential elections. Given the political radicalization between Bolsonaro and
Lula supporters and the prospect of losing the next presidential elections with the return
of the PT and Lula to power, Bolsonaro and his allies could create the conditions to justify
a self-coup of state ending the democratic process inaugurated in 1988 in Brazil and
implanting a fascist dictatorship.
The possibility of victory, however, of a third way candidate, especially the one on the
right of the political spectrum, would have a chance of being accepted by Bolsonaro's
supporters and thus avoid the self-coup of state to prevent the return of the PT and Lula
to power. In other words, the democratic process in Brazil will be threatened in Brazil
with the return of Lula's supporters in power. The permanence of democracy in Brazil
depends on the victory in the forthcoming presidential elections of a third way candidate
on both the right and left of the political spectrum.
* Fernando Alcoforado, 79, awarded the medal of Engineering Merit of the CONFEA / CREA System,
member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor in Territorial Planning and Regional
2. 2
Development by the University of Barcelona, university professor and consultant in the areas of
strategic planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is author of the
books Globalização (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova (Des)ordem
Mundial (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, São Paulo, 2000), Os
condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado. Universidade de
Barcelona,http://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globalização e Desenvolvimento (Editora
Nobel, São Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX e Objetivos Estratégicos
na Era Contemporânea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of the Economic and Social
Development- The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Müller Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG,
Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe Planetária (Viena- Editora e Gráfica,
Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2010), Amazônia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e combate
ao aquecimento global (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, São Paulo, 2011), Os Fatores
Condicionantes do Desenvolvimento Econômico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012), Energia no Mundo
e no Brasil- Energia e Mudança Climática Catastrófica no Século XXI (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2015), As
Grandes Revoluções Científicas, Econômicas e Sociais que Mudaram o Mundo (Editora CRV, Curitiba,
2016), A Invenção de um novo Brasil (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2017), Esquerda x Direita e a sua
convergência (Associação Baiana de Imprensa, Salvador, 2018, em co-autoria) and Como inventar o futuro
para mudar o mundo (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2019).