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Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
February 17, 2021
Customer Segmentation: Understanding Your
Customers to Better Develop Personalized
Relationships
BigML Machine Learning School
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Welcome
print ("Welcome to BigML Machine
Learning School!")
Output:
Welcome to BigML
Machine Learning School!
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
About me
Associate Professor Business Analytics at ICADE Business School
Twitter:
@r2_moreno
Clubhouse:
@r2moreno
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
About me
Disclaimer
I think the BigML team are great experts and that they have built a top-class
machine learning platform.
I have worked with BigML in the past and love them.
Now, everything that I share with you is my honest assessment of the value of
BigML as a tool to teach machine learning at business schools.
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Agenda
My perspective on teaching ML
• Setting (the right) expectations for the course
• Theoretical background + hands-on experience (for managers)
• BigML at the core of my teaching experience
• Case Study – Clustering for better understanding your customers
• Questions? Google Meet and Slack channel
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
1. Approach business problems data-analytically
• Think carefully & systematically about whether & how data can improve
decision performance
2. Be able to interact competently on the topic of data mining for business
analytics
• Know the basics of data mining processes, techniques, & concepts well
enough
3. Live hands-on experience applying ML models
• You should be able to follow up on ideas or opportunities that present
themselves
6
Setting (the right) expectations for the course
The goal for the class is three-fold
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
7
Setting (the right) expectations for the course
Data-related jobs are in explosive demand
Source: Indeed
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
8
Setting (the right) expectations for the course
And Schools have already / are in the process of adapting
Source: Indeed
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Setting (the right) expectations for the course
Importance of Business Analytics
Source: McKinsey&Co.
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Setting (the right) expectations for the course
Importance of Business Analytics
Assortment
optimization
Next-product-
to-buy mailing
Promotion
optimization
Inventory
management
Real-time
advertising
Shopper
segmentation
Shopper
loyalty/
Churn
Source: McKinsey&Co.
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
1. Not a computer science class. I don’t expect students to program, so
implementation won’t be covered in the class.
2. Not a Math class either. We explore just enough in order for you to
understand the concept. (i.e.: entropy of a dataset or “distance” between two
elements,…)
3. Not a course on big data technologies (data engineering and data
processing)
But also, ML education must stay away from an existing ML-charlatan trend.
Above all, it’s our duty to teach to use data with responsibility. (i.e.: stay away
from low-quality processes around data, models or evaluation)
11
Setting (the right) expectations for the course
The NO-goal for this class is three-fold
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
2
Setting (the right) expectations for the course
What should be the goal for business students?
• Improve decision making?
• Build well “performant” models?
• Deploy models of all kinds supervised or unsupervised?
• Make sure there is as much data as possible?
• Ok… Just throw millions and hire thousands of developers and let data for
the data scientists!?
• … Other?
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Setting (the right) expectations for the course
Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM; Shearer, 2000)
Industry average is that ~
80% of the time of any data
science project is spent
here.
There is a lot of domain
expertise required but
basic data transformation
skills.
This is the ideal territory for
business students to
participate
Source: Data Science for Business – Foster, Provost
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Setting (the right) expectations for the course
Develop the habit of data understanding
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
• Gather data. Plot data. Hypothesize with data. Infer (if possible) from data.
REPEAT!
• Introduce the data mining process
o The concept
o The role
o The process
o The techniques
• Do that through business examples (real problems, real datasets) to
illustrate type of algorithms and the data mining process
Class structure
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Class project (30%): your first data-mining project
• Groups of 2
• Pick a theme that you are interested in or CHOOSE out of my suggestions
• Final Report delivery and class presentation following the CRISP-DM
methodology
o Business Understanding
o Data Understanding (& Preparation)
o Modeling
o Evaluation
o Deployment
How?: My first data science project
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
• Select a problem that you want to work on (your business objective) and
explain why this is relevant for you and who else is interested
• Find the data to work on that problem from the data repositories
• Presentation 1: Evaluation and inspection of the data using BigML, Tableau
and/or Jupyter Notebooks.
• Presentation 2: Determining the objective function. Feature generation,
feature selection.
• Presentation 3: Choosing and building the model(s)
• Presentation 4: Evaluation of the model(s). REPEAT!
• Final Presentation: Data Science Project Presentation
My first data science project
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
• “If you can’t explain it simply, you don’t understand it well enough” — Albert
Einstein
• We go at a level of detail that students can later explain and question.
• We don't get into technical details, yet deep enough so that students
understand the main questions to be asked related to the why of the
outcomes of models.
1
Focus on understanding what we are doing
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Using tangible projects
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Making them look accessible
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Through tools they control…
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
5
Look for living examples of data science put to work
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
28
28
Source: https://www.kdnuggets.com/2016/09/poll-algorithms-used-data-scientists.html
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
29
29
Source: https://www.kdnuggets.com/2016/09/poll-algorithms-used-data-scientists.html
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
Theoretical background + hands-on experience
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
The Data Mining Process
Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM; Shearer, 2000)
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
BigML at the core of my teaching experience
Sound theoretical background with business practice
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
BigML at the core of my teaching experience
33
33
1
ACCESS TO DATA: READY-TO-USE DATASETS, SIMPLICITY TO
CONNECT TO EXTERNAL FILES OR DATABASES
2
MODEL CATALOGUE: SUPERVISED AND UNSUPERVISED
MODELS AVAILABLE BOTH 1-CLICK AND CUSTOMIZABLE
3
KEY ML ELEMENTS AT THE CORE: TRAINING-TEST SPLIT,
EXPLAINABILITY FEATURES, CONFUSSION MATRIX
BigML allows me to focus on what matters most for Business students
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
/Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers
34
34
Why are we doing this? Setting the business objective
BUSINESS CASE:
CAN MY CUSTOMER DATA BE USED TO
DEVELOP PERSONALIZED
RELATIONSHIPS WITH MY CUSTOMERS?
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
/Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers
35
35
Let’s see the data. Does it make sense from a business perspective?
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
/Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers
36
36
Analysis of correlations
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
/Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers
37
37
On to clustering… [REPEAT]
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
/Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers
38
38
Applications and Conclusions
Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE
/Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers
39
39
Applications and Conclusions
ANY BUSINESS OUTCOME?
DO NOT ACCEPT THE FIRST NICE
SOLUTION, KEEP ITERATING AND
QUESTIONING WHETHER THIS MAKES
ANY SENSE FOR THE BUSINESS.
TEST.

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BigMLSchool: Customer Segmentation

  • 1. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE February 17, 2021 Customer Segmentation: Understanding Your Customers to Better Develop Personalized Relationships BigML Machine Learning School
  • 2. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Welcome print ("Welcome to BigML Machine Learning School!") Output: Welcome to BigML Machine Learning School!
  • 3. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE About me Associate Professor Business Analytics at ICADE Business School Twitter: @r2_moreno Clubhouse: @r2moreno
  • 4. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE About me Disclaimer I think the BigML team are great experts and that they have built a top-class machine learning platform. I have worked with BigML in the past and love them. Now, everything that I share with you is my honest assessment of the value of BigML as a tool to teach machine learning at business schools.
  • 5. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Agenda My perspective on teaching ML • Setting (the right) expectations for the course • Theoretical background + hands-on experience (for managers) • BigML at the core of my teaching experience • Case Study – Clustering for better understanding your customers • Questions? Google Meet and Slack channel
  • 6. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE 1. Approach business problems data-analytically • Think carefully & systematically about whether & how data can improve decision performance 2. Be able to interact competently on the topic of data mining for business analytics • Know the basics of data mining processes, techniques, & concepts well enough 3. Live hands-on experience applying ML models • You should be able to follow up on ideas or opportunities that present themselves 6 Setting (the right) expectations for the course The goal for the class is three-fold
  • 7. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE 7 Setting (the right) expectations for the course Data-related jobs are in explosive demand Source: Indeed
  • 8. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE 8 Setting (the right) expectations for the course And Schools have already / are in the process of adapting Source: Indeed
  • 9. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Setting (the right) expectations for the course Importance of Business Analytics Source: McKinsey&Co.
  • 10. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Setting (the right) expectations for the course Importance of Business Analytics Assortment optimization Next-product- to-buy mailing Promotion optimization Inventory management Real-time advertising Shopper segmentation Shopper loyalty/ Churn Source: McKinsey&Co.
  • 11. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE 1. Not a computer science class. I don’t expect students to program, so implementation won’t be covered in the class. 2. Not a Math class either. We explore just enough in order for you to understand the concept. (i.e.: entropy of a dataset or “distance” between two elements,…) 3. Not a course on big data technologies (data engineering and data processing) But also, ML education must stay away from an existing ML-charlatan trend. Above all, it’s our duty to teach to use data with responsibility. (i.e.: stay away from low-quality processes around data, models or evaluation) 11 Setting (the right) expectations for the course The NO-goal for this class is three-fold
  • 12. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE 2 Setting (the right) expectations for the course What should be the goal for business students? • Improve decision making? • Build well “performant” models? • Deploy models of all kinds supervised or unsupervised? • Make sure there is as much data as possible? • Ok… Just throw millions and hire thousands of developers and let data for the data scientists!? • … Other?
  • 13. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Setting (the right) expectations for the course Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM; Shearer, 2000) Industry average is that ~ 80% of the time of any data science project is spent here. There is a lot of domain expertise required but basic data transformation skills. This is the ideal territory for business students to participate Source: Data Science for Business – Foster, Provost
  • 14. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Setting (the right) expectations for the course Develop the habit of data understanding
  • 15. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience • Gather data. Plot data. Hypothesize with data. Infer (if possible) from data. REPEAT! • Introduce the data mining process o The concept o The role o The process o The techniques • Do that through business examples (real problems, real datasets) to illustrate type of algorithms and the data mining process Class structure
  • 16. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience Class project (30%): your first data-mining project • Groups of 2 • Pick a theme that you are interested in or CHOOSE out of my suggestions • Final Report delivery and class presentation following the CRISP-DM methodology o Business Understanding o Data Understanding (& Preparation) o Modeling o Evaluation o Deployment How?: My first data science project
  • 17. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience • Select a problem that you want to work on (your business objective) and explain why this is relevant for you and who else is interested • Find the data to work on that problem from the data repositories • Presentation 1: Evaluation and inspection of the data using BigML, Tableau and/or Jupyter Notebooks. • Presentation 2: Determining the objective function. Feature generation, feature selection. • Presentation 3: Choosing and building the model(s) • Presentation 4: Evaluation of the model(s). REPEAT! • Final Presentation: Data Science Project Presentation My first data science project
  • 18. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience
  • 19. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience
  • 20. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience
  • 21. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience • “If you can’t explain it simply, you don’t understand it well enough” — Albert Einstein • We go at a level of detail that students can later explain and question. • We don't get into technical details, yet deep enough so that students understand the main questions to be asked related to the why of the outcomes of models. 1 Focus on understanding what we are doing
  • 22. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience Using tangible projects
  • 23. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience Making them look accessible
  • 24. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience Through tools they control…
  • 25. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience 5 Look for living examples of data science put to work
  • 26. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience
  • 27. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience
  • 28. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience 28 28 Source: https://www.kdnuggets.com/2016/09/poll-algorithms-used-data-scientists.html
  • 29. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience 29 29 Source: https://www.kdnuggets.com/2016/09/poll-algorithms-used-data-scientists.html
  • 30. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE Theoretical background + hands-on experience
  • 31. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE The Data Mining Process Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM; Shearer, 2000)
  • 32. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE BigML at the core of my teaching experience Sound theoretical background with business practice
  • 33. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE BigML at the core of my teaching experience 33 33 1 ACCESS TO DATA: READY-TO-USE DATASETS, SIMPLICITY TO CONNECT TO EXTERNAL FILES OR DATABASES 2 MODEL CATALOGUE: SUPERVISED AND UNSUPERVISED MODELS AVAILABLE BOTH 1-CLICK AND CUSTOMIZABLE 3 KEY ML ELEMENTS AT THE CORE: TRAINING-TEST SPLIT, EXPLAINABILITY FEATURES, CONFUSSION MATRIX BigML allows me to focus on what matters most for Business students
  • 34. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE /Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers 34 34 Why are we doing this? Setting the business objective BUSINESS CASE: CAN MY CUSTOMER DATA BE USED TO DEVELOP PERSONALIZED RELATIONSHIPS WITH MY CUSTOMERS?
  • 35. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE /Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers 35 35 Let’s see the data. Does it make sense from a business perspective?
  • 36. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE /Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers 36 36 Analysis of correlations
  • 37. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE /Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers 37 37 On to clustering… [REPEAT]
  • 38. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE /Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers 38 38 Applications and Conclusions
  • 39. Arturo Moreno #BigMLSchool ICADE /Case Study – Clustering & Understand customers 39 39 Applications and Conclusions ANY BUSINESS OUTCOME? DO NOT ACCEPT THE FIRST NICE SOLUTION, KEEP ITERATING AND QUESTIONING WHETHER THIS MAKES ANY SENSE FOR THE BUSINESS. TEST.