Belize national transportation master plan 2014

Jung Wook KIM
(Korea Development Institute)
Eui Young SHON
(THE UNIVERSITY OF SEOUL)
Seol Joo KIM
(TESO ENGINEERING)
The National Transportation
Master Plan in Belize
2014. 4. 25

C o n t e n t s
I. Overview
II. Korea’s Experiences
III. Transportation Situation &
Alternatives
IV. Future Demand Forecasting
V. Evaluation & Transportation
Master Plan
VI. Financing Sources
2

Ⅰ Overview
6
Korea`s Experience
Collect
Local Opinion
Draw Problems
Financing
Sources
AHP
Analysis
New Transportation Network
Prospect of
Future Condition
Selection Alt.
B / C
Analysis
Subscription
Local Data
Situation
Investigation & Analysis
Related Plans
NoNo
Yes

Ⅱ Korea’s Experiences
8
 Before 1960s
• Restoring devastated infrastructure
- Without establishing the national plan, then government only completed restoring work
through grants from the USA
 Five-Year Economic Development Plan(1962-2002)
• Six more consecutive Five-Year Economic Development Plan
• Government initiated medium-term economic plan for economic growth
• Developing industrial areas mainly connecting Seoul to Incheon port and Busan port
- Connect these major industrial area instead of paving national roads.
 Comprehensive National Land Use Development Plan
• Transportation infrastructure investment was simply determined by economic
development policy in the Plans
• Need to establish a comprehensive and systematic land use development plan
• Imbalance in regional growth and urban problems
• Establish the foundation for long-term economic growth by utilizing national land
efficiently

9
 Background
• The transportation plan has been a sub-set
part of the plan in response to the high-level
plan such as industrial area development plan,
tourist area development plan, and social
infrastructure expansion plan.
• Transportation infrastructure investment was
significantly increased
• Existing transportation plan, could not
adequately cope with the issues.
• Not efficiently achieving national
transportation goals
• Balanced budgeting by region and category
 National Transportation Master Plan
• Aims to establish independent national
transportation plan for increasing
transportation projects and investment

10
 Limitation of Past Planning
• Transportation investment in infrastructure was mostly tied to the national economic
development plan
• Too much planned more than financial capability
→ most of planned transportation project was not actually constructed
 Problems in Past Project Evaluation
• The feasibility study was conducted by institute under line ministries
• Planning duplicated functions and routes on different transportation mode
• The feasibility study team now seemed heavily under the influence of relevant line
ministries → overestimated B/C ratio
• Hindering prioritizing project investment
• Standardized guidelines and databases had not existed → varied by researching institute

11
 Background
• Strong and effective project evaluation study, to oversee the project selection process of
the line ministries, was required
• Standardized transportation related database should be managed to enhance analytic
conformity and accuracy
 Preliminary Feasibility Study(PFS)
• Analyzes project’s economic and policy feasibility and verifies its investment priority,
adequate investment time, and financing methods
• Carried out under the supervision of the Minister of Strategy and Finance
• Consisted of economic analysis, policy analysis, and multi-criteria analysis
 Korean Transportation Database(KTDB)
• Need to conduct reliable demand and benefits estimation done in PFS
• Data for feasibility studies on transportation projects varied by research institute and
experts, which made feasibility study result less reliable

12
 Preliminary Feasibility Study(PFS)
• Prevent budgetary waste and contribute to enhancing the efficiency of financial
management
• PFS is an evaluation of a project to produce information for budgetary decisions
• Economic analysis
- Estimation of cost & benefit → B/C ratio, NPV
• Policy analysis
- Examining effect of project in qualitative and quantitative terms
• AHP
- Synthesize the economic and policy analysis

13
 Korean Transportation Database(KTDB)
• To survey the operation of transportation facilities and modes, traffic volumes, and the
transportation networks at the national level
- To gather and analyze traffic data as database that allows jointly data such as O/D and
networks to use for an efficient project evaluation.
• Prevented similar and duplicate surveys in line with the implementation of road and
railroad projects
- Reducing related costs, as well as the utilization of future O/D and networks in the
formulation of mid- and long-term master plan.

14
 Background
• Stable funding sources are essential to increase the efficiency and procurement of
transportation infrastructure investment.
 Transportation infrastructure special fund
• Use road, railway, airport, seaport and even metropolitan transportation infrastructure
• This fund revenue sources are classified into transport and other taxes, non-tax revenues
such as facility user chargers, and transfers from general accounts
Account Revenue Expenditure
Road
Account
‒ Earmarked fuel tax
‒ General tax
‒ Passenger car excise
‒ Road construction, management
operation, survey and research, and
technology development
‒ Investment and subsidies to public
agencies

15
 Background
• At the beginning of the 1990s, a serious shortage of infrastructure
• Government has limit in budget that need to be allocated all kinds of sectors
• Need to induce private sector participation in infrastructure investment
 Requirement for PPP
• Make legal & regulatory framework relevant PPP
• Establish institute such as supervision and evaluation
• Introduction competitive bidding system
 Precaution
• Minimum revenue guarantee(MRG)
- The government guarantees 90% of estimated revenue
- Abuse by the private sector
- In mid-2000, MRG was eliminated

16
 Transportation masterplan
• It should be established transportation masterplan considering the other plans such as
horizon 2030, medium term development strategy 2010-2013, etc.
• Must establish a feasible plan considering government budget.
 Project prioritigation
• Establish method, such as PFS in Korea, to select prioritige projects.
 Financing sources
• Establish earmarked tax such as transportation infrastructure special fund.
• Introduce PPP projects

18
Total Urban Rural Urbanization
Total 311 159 151 51%
Belize 89 65 24 73%
Cayo 73 36 37 50%
Orange Walk 45 13 32 30%
Stann Creek 32 9 23 28%
Corozal 40 20 20 25%
Toledo 31 15 15 17%
Source : 2010 Population and Housing Census, Belize, 2010
(Unit : 1,000 persons)
Ⅲ Transportation Situation & Alternatives
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Belize
301 312 322 333 325
Growth Rate : 1.9%
2011
333
301
2007 2010
322
2009
312
2008
325
Source : Belize Population and Housing Census, Belize, 2013
(Unit :1,000 persons)
 Total population is 325 thousand persons in 2010 (Annual Growth Rate 1.9%)
 Urbanization rates are higher in Belize and Cayo districts

19
 Industrial structure : 67% of Tertiary, 21% of Secondary and 12% of Primary
⇒ Rapid growth in tertiary and lack of competitiveness in low secondary industries
Source : Abstract of Statistics Belize, Statistical Institute of Belize, 2012
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Primary
Industries 310 304 316 282 301
Secondary
Industries 312 327 422 463 524
Tertiary
Industries 1,294 1,401 1,466 1,575 1,658
Total 1,916 2,032 2,204 2,320 2,484
(Unit : Mill. BZD)
Tertiary
66.8%
Secondary
21.1%
Primary
12.1%
 GDP : About 100mill. USD 14.5 in 2011 with 3.2% of annual growth rate
⇒ Relatively high growth rate, considering the global economic growth
14.0
12.8
2008 2011
13.5
2010
13.6
2009
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
GDP
(100mill. USD)
12.8 13.6 13.5 14.0 14.5
Growth Rate : 3.2%
GDP per capita,
PPP(USD)
4,099 4,233 4,049 4,057 4,059
2007
Source : World Bank Data, World Bank, 2013
14.5

20
 Increase in export & import since 2009
⇒ Chronic trade deficit due to imbalance between import and export
2008 2009 2010 2011
Import
(Mill. USD)
788 621 647 774
Export
(Mill. USD)
480 384 476 603
 Increase in export volumes of crude oil and bananas, decrease in sugar
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Growth
Rate(%)
Crude Oil 89 143 231 121 201 22.8%
Citrus Concentrate 109 117 113 99 82 -6.8%
Bananas 51 42 66 67 80 12.2%
Marine Products 86 42 44 49 61 -8.3%
Sugar 101 88 71 89 59 -12.7%
Others 102 76 60 77 77 13.7%
Crude Oil
36.0%
Citrus
Concentrate
14.7%
Bananas 14.3%
Marine Products
10.8%
Sugar 10.5%
Others
13.7%
(Unit : Mill. BZD)
Source : World Handbook, Korea Export-Import Bank, 2012

21
 Among international passenger arrivals, the highest portion is tourist
⇒ High potential to promote tour industry as a major industry
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Returning Residents 67 68 182 231 329
Tourist Visitors 817 888 994 1,041 950
Business Visitors 10 9 9 9 11
Transit Visitors 108 83 76 104 86
Official Visitors 9 1 2 2 2
Others 12 9 11 41 129
Total 1,023 1,059 1,273 1,428 1,507
(Unit : 1,000 passengers/year)
Passenger Arrivals by Category (2011)
Tourist
63.1%
Returning
Residents
21.9%
 The highest number of 735 thousand passengers arrives through Belize City Seaport
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Rate of
2011(%)
Philip Goldson Int. Airport 208 224 212 215 224 14.9
Santa Elena, Corozal 84 82 188 237 340 22.6
Belize Western Border Sta. 162 141 154 184 192 12.7
Belize City Seaport 555 597 705 779 735 48.8
Punta Gorda Seaport 12 13 12 11 11 0.7
Dangriga Seaport 1 1 2 2 5 0.3
Total 1,023 1,059 1,273 1,428 1,507 100

22
 The vast majority (76.4%) of overnight tourist visitor comes through the Philip Goldson
International Airport.
Source : 2012 Travel & Tourism Statistics Digest, Belize Tourism Board, 2013
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Rate of 2012(%)
Philip Goldson Int. Airport 183 178 168 172 182 212 76.4
Santa Elena, Corozal 23 24 21 25 29 30 10.8
Belize Western Border Sta. 36 33 33 35 28 25 9.0
Stann Creek (Southern) Seaport 1 1 1 2 4 3 1.2
Punta Gorda Seaport 9 9 9 8 8 7 2.6
Total 251 245 232 242 250 277 100
Arrivals by port (2012)
PGIA 76.4%
SE 10.8%
BWBS 9.0%
Purpose Leisure Business Friends Religion
Not
Stated
Other Total
Proportion 87.9% 3.0% 4.1% 2.3% 0.1% 2.6% 100%
Purpose of Visit (2012)
Leisure
87.9%
 The primary purpose of visiting Belize is leisure activities with 87.9%.

23
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Average annual
Increasing Rate
Altun Ha 73,375 79,564 74,532 73,691 80,834 83,823 2.7%
Cahal Pech 15,926 14,103 12,351 15,171 16,746 23,875 8.4%
Lamanai 29,301 31,922 24,057 29,870 39,508 42,483 7.7%
Xunantunich 52,243 48,079 33,018 47,670 51,087 73,932 7.2%
Tunichil 10,698 12,006 3,344 9,752 14,816 19,387 12.6%
TOTAL 214,107 215,075 166,711 200,448 229,768 274,764 5.1%
 Altun Ha is the most visited site with 83,823 tourists among Maya sites.
 The highest annual increasing rate is 12.6% in Tunichil.
(Unit : No. of person/year)

24
Private
85.1%
Goods 8.5% Public 6.4%
 Rate of Private car 85% and 66% of cars in Belize and Cayo districts
⇒ Rapid growth in vehicles but poor road conditions are not improved
No. of vehicles (2007)
Public Service 3,612 (6.4%)
Private 47,725 (85.1%)
Goods Vehicles 4,757 (8.5%)
Total 56,094 (100.0%)
(Unit : No. of Vehicles)
2004 2005 2006 2007 Rate of 2007(%)
Corozal 5,221 5,501 5,977 6,390 11.4%
Orange Walk 5,558 5,534 5,982 6,090 10.9%
Belize
Belize City 15,740 16,189 16,854 16,830
38.5%Belize Rural 3,380 3,786 4,348 4,788
San Pedro 1,436 1,643 1,716 -
Cayo
Cayo Rural 6,867 7,170 7,766 8,110
27.5%
Belmopan 4,881 5,088 5,965 7,281
Stann Creek 3,102 3,082 3,232 4,015 7.2%
Toledo 2,115 2,318 2,387 2,590 4.6%
Total 48,300 50,311 54,227 56,094 100.0%
(Unit : No. of Vehicles)

25
 Annual average increase rate is 7.5%, and needs urgent improvement on traffic safety
⇒ Increase in traffic accidents due to the high car ownership growth and poor road condition
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Growth
Rate(%)
Killed 60 68 78 75 54 -2.6
Injured 593 954 782 726 817 8.3
Total 653 1,022 860 801 871 7.5
(Unit : No. of Accidents)
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Growth
Rate(%)
Pedestrian 101 135 139 121 117 3.7%
Passengers 262 446 338 307 362 8.4%
Cyclists 151 183 161 132 130 -3.7%
Drivers 139 258 222 241 262 17.2%
Total 653 1022 860 801 871 7.5%
 Due to the high increase in cars, accidents on drivers and passengers are particularly rising
653
1,022
860
801
871

26
 High traffic accidents in Cayo, Belize and Corozal districts, more than 3 accidents
per 1,000 persons
2008 2009 2010 2011per 1,000 persons (2011)
Corozal
Fatal 7 18 7 4
3.1Injury 180 69 59 124
Orange
Walk
Fatal 7 11 5 4
1.8Injury 88 77 81 77
Belize
Fatal 17 27 27 23
3.4Injury 311 284 244 282
Cayo
Fatal 20 11 13 11
3.6Injury 258 243 247 253
Stann
Creek
Fatal 10 10 19 9
2.0Injury 85 65 57 56
Toledo
Fatal 7 1 4 3
0.9Injury 32 44 38 25
Total
Fatal 68 78 75 54
2.8Injury 954 782 728 817

27
Source : Global status report on road safety 2013, WHO, 2013Source : Global status report on road safety 2013, WHO, 2013
Nation
Traffic death per
100,000 persons
Death per 100,000
cars
Bahamas 13.7 176.8
Trinidad and Tobago 16.7 44.2
Barbados 7.3 64.9
Venezuela 37.2 148.3
Panama 14.1 105.8
Mexico 14.7 78.4
Costa Rica 12.7 94.5
Republic of Suriname 19.6 102.4
Saint Lucia 14.9 106
Colombia 15.6 201.7
St. Vincent and the Grenadines 4.6 32.4
(Unit : No. of person)
Nation
Traffic death per
100,000 persons
Death per 100,000
cars
Cuba 7.8 226.3
Dominican Republic 41.7 140.7
Jamaica 11.6 65.4
Belize 16.4 87.6
Guyana 27.8 209.5
El Salvador 21.9 150
Guatemala 6.7 125.6
Honduras 18.8 139.2
Nicaragua 18.8 249.1
Average 17.1 127.4
 RelativelylowNo.oftraffic deathinBelizeas16.4person/100,000 persons and87.6person/100,000 cars,
compared toCARICOM membercountries withaverageof17.1person/100,000 persons and127.4
person/100,000 cars.

28
 Four highways of 323 mile are paved
 They connect 6 principal cities including Belize City and Belmopan
 Apart from highways, only few major roads are paved
Source : Belize(concise Notes), Ministry of Trade, Investment Promotion, Private Sector
Development and Consumer Protection Belmopan
Classification
Route Length
(mile)From To
Northern Highway Belize City Mexican border 92
Western Highway Belize City Banque Viejo 75
Hummingbird Highway Belmopan Dangriga 56
Southern Highway Dangriga Punta Gorda 100
Total 323

29
Source : GIS Data (Ministry of Natural resources in Belize)
Classification
Length
(mile)
1 Primary Road 443
2 Secondary Road 1,138
3 Major Road 1,492
4 Minor Road 1,646
5 Foot Paths 3,495
Total 8,213
 The Belize roads on GIS data are classified into five roads by the hierarchical order.
 The length of primary road is 443 miles, providing inter-regional transportation netwroks.
Note : Primary road includes 4 Highways, Coastal Highway, Old Northern Highway, etc.

30
Source : World-factbook, CIA, 2013
Nation Paved road rate (%)
Bahamas 60.0%
Trinidad and Tobago 51.1%
Barbados 100.0%
Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela 33.6%
Panama 42.0%
Mexico 36.4%
Costa Rica 26.0%
Republic of Suriname 26.3%
Saint Lucia 70.0%
Colombia 14.0%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 70.0%
Nation Paved road rate (%)
Cuba 49.0%
Dominican Republic 50.1%
Jamaica 73.0%
Belize 17.0%
Guyana 7.4%
El Salvador 46.9%
Guatemala 59.1%
Honduras 22.8%
Nicaragua 12.9%
Average 43.4%
 Relatively low rate of paved road in Belize as 17%, compared to CARICOM member countries
with average rate of 43.4%.
 Also low rate of paved road in Belize, compared to four similar GDP per capita countries with
average rate of 38.9%. ⇒ Need of road pavement for road user’s safety.

31
 1 int’l airport (Philip Goldson), 7 main municipal airstrips and 7 secondary
municipal airstrips
⇒ Poor conditions of many airstrips and lack of access roads
Source : Belize City Municipal Airport Project, Belize Airports Authority , 2009
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Philip Goldson Int’l Airport 208 224 212 215 224
Main
Municipal
Airstrip
San Pedro
Belize
Municipal
Placencia Dangriga
Cay
Caulker
Corozal
Punta
Gorda
18,300 17,334 6,880 6,261 3,949 3,012 2,846
Secondary
Municipal
Airstrip
Tower Hill
Central
Farm
Privacion Sarteneja Belmopan Melinda Big Creek
291 171 158 136 63 2 1
(Unit : No. of Landing)
① San Pedro
② Belize Municipal
③ Placencia
④ Dangriga
⑤ CayCaulker
⑥ Corozal
⑦ PuntaGorda
⑧ Tower Hill
⑨ CentralFarm
⑩ Privacion
⑪ Sarteneja
⑫ Belmopan
⑬ Melinda
⑭ Big Creek
⑮ Agustine Pine Ridge
 The highest travel volume is 54,118 passengers between
Belize municipal and Placencia airstrips.
 The high no. of landings at airstrips: San Pedro and
Belize municipal
Source : Belize City Municipal Airport Project, Belize Airports Authority , 2009

32
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Growth
rate(%)
Belize City Seaport 555 597 705 779 735 7.3
Punta Gorda Seaport 12 13 12 11 11 -3.6
San Pedro Seaport - - - - - -
Dangriga Seaport 1 1 2 2 5 41.7
Total 568 611 719 792 751 7.2
 The total No. of passenger arrival in 2011 is 751,000 passengers, and mostly
through Belize City seaport.
 The total No. of cruise ship passengers are 728,000.
⇒ Difficulty in approaching seaports by cruise-ship due to shallow water
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Growth
rate(%)
Passenger 624 597 705 765 728 3.9

33
Road
 Travel time estimated by straight line distances and by actual road
distances between main cities
⇒ Longer travel time spent by actual roads, compared to straight line
distances for some cities
Note : The matrix data is based on Abstract of Statistics Belize (Statistical Institute of Belize, 2012)
Classifica
tion
Northern
Border
Corozal
Town
Orange
Walk
Town
Belize
City
Belmo
-pan
San
Ignacio
Western
Border
Dangriga Placencia
Punta
Gorda
Northern
Border - 11 51 118 152 175 188 180 235 285
Corozal
Town 11 - 41 108 141 166 178 170 222 275
Orange
Walk
Town
51 41 - 81 101 125 137 137 186 236
Belize
City 118 108 81 - 72 109 119 63 117 179
Belmo
-pan 152 141 101 72 - 33 47 69 98 136
San
Ignacio 175 166 125 109 33 - 12 99 111 128
Western
Border 188 178 137 119 47 12 - 104 110 120
Dangriga 180 170 137 63 69 99 104 - 56 122
Placencia 235 222 186 117 98 111 110 56 - 70
Punta
Gorda 285 275 236 179 136 128 120 122 70 -
Classifica
tion
Northern
Border
Corozal
Town
Orange
Walk
Town
Belize
City
Belmo
-pan
San
Ignacio
Western
Border
Dangriga Placencia
Punta
Gorda
Northern
Border - 13 65 158 244 273 286 339 368 502
Corozal
Town 13 - 53 145 232 260 273 326 360 490
Orange
Walk
Town
65 53 - 93 179 207 221 273 309 437
Belize
City 158 145 93 - 87 115 128 181 247 345
Belmo
-pan 244 232 179 87 - 37 50 94 164 258
San
Ignacio 273 260 207 115 37 - 13 131 203 295
Western
Border 286 273 221 128 50 13 - 144 217 308
Dangriga 339 326 273 181 94 131 144 - 88 184
Placencia 368 360 309 247 164 203 217 88 - 171
Punta
Gorda 502 490 437 345 258 295 308 184 171 -
(Unit : min) (Unit : min)

34
Road
 Analysis on degree of detour by straight line distances and actual road
distances
 It shows detour degree is 289% between Belize City and Dangriga due
to no direct roads.
Classification
Northern
Border
Corozal
Town
Orange
Walk Town
Belize City Belmopan San Ignacio
Western
Border
Dangriga Placencia
Punta
Gorda
Northern
Border - 117 129 133 161 156 152 188 156 176
Corozal
Town 117 - 127 134 164 156 154 192 162 178
Orange Walk
Town 129 127 - 114 178 166 161 199 166 185
Belize
City 133 134 114 - 121 106 107 289 211 192
Belmopan 161 164 178 121 - 111 105 136 167 190
San
Ignacio 156 156 166 106 111 - 110 133 184 230
Western
Border 152 154 161 107 105 110 - 139 198 256
Dangriga 188 192 199 289 136 133 139 - 158 151
Placencia 156 162 166 211 167 184 198 158 - 244
Punta
Gorda 176 178 185 192 190 230 256 151 244 -
(Unit : %)

35
Airport
 Lack of capacity and poor safety conditions
 Limited roads
Seaport
 Inherent inefficiency of ports due to shallow water
 Poor conditions
Road
 High degree of detour between some cities,
imbalance between regions
 Shortage of paved roads and poor conditions
 Need for a few new road networks
 Existing roads improvement
Some expansion, safety measures
 Existing access roads improvement
 A new port or feeder service
expansion
 Existing ports improvement
Logistics  No logistics facilities, inefficient logistics
 New logistics facilities in northern
& western borders and Belize port
Tourist
Attraction
 Poor access roads to tourist attraction
 New roads and existing access
roads improvement

36
 Rich in agricultural products
 New oil production by exploiting oilfields
 Various historical sites of ancient ruins
 Natural resources in the Caribbean sea
 Beneficiary of the Caribbean Basin
Initiative
 Possibility of freight industry development
 Tourist industry development by foreign
funds
 Increase in exports by new oil production
 Lack in manufacturing sector due to small
domestic markets
 Chronic trade deficits
 Lack of labor and professional manpower
 Poor transportation infrastructure
 Natural hazards vulnerability
 High dependency on foreign trades
 Decrease in tourists due to global
financial recession
 Poor security by high crime occurrence
S W
O T
Strength Weakness
Opportunity Threats

37
 Completion of the southern highway
 The Belize/Guatemala border road project
 Completion of the Corozal border crossing reconstruction project
 Rehabilitation of sugar feeder roads
 Upgrade of the northern highway from the Haulover Creek bridge to its
junction with the airport cut-off road to a four-lane roadway
 Construction of the Kendall and Mullins river bridges
Source : Final Report: Preparing Horizon 2030, Ministry of Economic Development, June 2011
Source : Belize Medium Term Development Strategy 2010-2013, Ministry of Economic Development, June 2010
 Resilient economy for all businesses and entrepreneurs using appropriate
technology to increase productivity and competitiveness in an environmentally
sustainable way
⇒ Develop & Invest Infrastructure (Roads, Bridges, Utilities, Tour)

38
 Road to Caracol development
Placencia marina development
National caving Trail - Cayo national reef trail – Reef
Port Loyola development
Source : National Sustainable Masterplan for BELIZE 2030, Ministry of Tourism, June 2011
 Upgrading of Caracol road to paved standard (83km)
 Paved upgrading of the Manatee road (59km)
 New Haulover Bridge (130m)
Source : Upgrading of Caracol Road to paved standard, Paved upgrading of the Manatee road,
New Haulover Bridge, Ministry of Works & Transport Belmopan
 Improvement and expansion of 7 Belize municipal airstrips within Belize
City, San Pedro, Dangriga, Caye Caulker, Placencia, Corozal and Punta Gorda
including 7 new airstrips sections
Source : Municipal Airstrip Expansion Program Final Report, Belize Airport Authority, September 2009
Belize city cruise hub development
Destination development - Stann Creek
Central farm regional airport development
 Port Loyola development

39
 Road to Caracol development
Placencia marina development
National caving Trail - Cayo national reef trail – Reef
Port Loyola development
Source : National Sustainable Masterplan for BELIZE 2030, Ministry of Tourism, June 2011
 Upgrading of Caracol road to paved standard (83km)
 Paved upgrading of the Manatee road (59km)
 New Haulover Bridge (130m)
Source : Upgrading of Caracol Road to paved standard, Paved upgrading of the Manatee road,
New Haulover Bridge, Ministry of Works & Transport Belmopan
 Improvement and expansion of 7 Belize municipal airstrips within Belize
City, San Pedro, Dangriga, Caye Caulker, Placencia, Corozal and Punta Gorda
including 7 new airstrips sections
Source : Municipal Airstrip Expansion Program Final Report, Belize Airport Authority, September 2009
Belize city cruise hub development
Destination development - Stann Creek
Central farm regional airport development
 Port Loyola development

40
Classifi
cation Infrastructure Name Section/ Location Remarks
Compl
e tion
Road
And
Bridge
New Haulover Bridge
Belize City~ Aviation
Access road
Reconstruction
(130m)
-
Chetumal Link Road
Fabers Rd
~Western Hwy
New construction -
Paved upgrading of
the Manatee road
Link section from
North to south of
Belize
Road Improvement
(59km)
-
Caracol Road
Georgeville
~Caracol Ruin Site
Road pavement &
expansion(83km)
2015
Aviation
Corozal airstrip Corozal airstrip
Runway widening to
18m
2021
Taxiway improvement 2024
San Pedro Airport San Pedro Airport Taxiway improvement 2025
Belize Airport Belize Airport
Airstrips expansion
Access road
-
Cay Caulker Cay Caulker
Runway widening to
18m
2022
Dangriga Dangriga
Runway widening
Structure alteration
2021
Agustine Pine Ridge
Municipal airstrip
Cayo New construction 2018
Placencia Placencia Taxiway improvement 2026
Punta Gorda Punta Gorda Taxiway improvement 2025
Port
Big Creek Port Big Creek Port Container expansion -
Commerce Bight Port Commerce Bight Port New construction -
1
A
2
3
4
B
C
D
F
G
H
b
E
a

41
Residents
 Better road quality of transportation services
- Accessibility - Safety
 More employment opportunities for Belizean
Tourists
 Supply of more tourist attractions
 Better road and air accessibility for tourists
Freight
 Provision of logistics facilities in northern
and western border crossings for agriculture
and other products

42

43

44

Ⅱ Transportation Situation & Alternatives
45

46

47
Upgrading Arterial Road : Hope Creek ∼ La Democracia*
(Length≒36 miles)
New Arterial Road 1 : San Isidro ∼ Ringtail
(Length≒55miles)
New Arterial Road 2 : Blackman Eddy
∼ Orange Walk Town *
(Length≒70miles)
→ Travel time reduction among major cities
 Access Roads
Northern and western border, and Belize City
Upgrading Road 1 : Sand Hill ∼ Altunha
(Length ≒ 12miles)
Upgrading Road 2: Caracol ∼ Georgeville
(Length ≒ 38miles)
1
2
3
A
B
* Source : New and Alternative route according to the local opinions

48
1

49
2
 Bridge
• Name : Yanggu bridge
• Length : 393m
• Width : 8.4m
• Lane : Two-lane
• Bridge Type : Steel Plate Girder
 Tunnel
• Name : Baehuryeong Tunnel
• Length : 5.1km
• Width : 11m
• Lane : Two-lane
• Tunnel Type : NATM

50
3

51
A

52
B

Ⅴ Evaluation & Transportation Master Plan
53
• Petroleum fuel cost reduction of 30 ∼ 35%
than SMA
• Emission CO₂ & greenhouse gas reduction by
35%
• Safety improvement by hydroplaning removal
• Minimizingeffectofecosystem bynoisereduction
• Flood damage mitigation by rainwater
penetration into the ground evenly
 Middle temperature asphalt pavement  Porous low noise asphalt pavement

Ⅱ Transportation Situation & Alternatives
• Logistic complex is composed of logistic and supporting facilities
- Logistic facilities: Logistic Terminal, Warehouse, Concentration and Delivery Complex, Wholesale-Retail Center
and Agricultural & Marine Products Wholesale Market
- Supporting facilities: Information, Finance, Education / Research, Resident Convenient Facilities
▶ Logistic cost reduction effect by improving connectivity and distribution structure system
among logistic facilities
54
Location Size
Northern Logistic
& Industrial Facilities
Northern Belize,
Mexico Border
13,000㎡
Belize Logistic
Eastern Belize,
Near Belize Port
37,000㎡
Western Logistic
Western Belize,
Guatemala Border
7,000㎡
Processing
Marketing
Customs
Clearance
Collection
/ Delivery
Distribution
Function
Storage
Source: Construction cost is based on F/S for logistic center and
facility construction of smaller businesses, KOSBI, 2013

Ⅳ Future Demand Forecasting
56
 Total number of Zone : 88
 Urban : 8 towns
 Rural : 60 villages more than 1,000 persons in 2010
 Tour places : 20
•Mayan sites : 12
- Caracol, Altun Ha, San Pedro, Caye Caulker, Cahal Pech, Xunantunich, Nim Li Punit,
Lubaabntun, Cerros, El Pilar, Barton Creek, Tunichil
• National parks : 6
- Guanacaste national park, Crooked tree wildlife sanctuary, Cockscomb basin wildlife
sanctuary, Blue Hole national monument, Half Moon Caye national monument, St.
Hermans Blue Hole national park
• Other tour places : 2
- Caves Branch, Lamanai
 Domestic airports : 0
• All 12 airports are close to towns

57
District Urban Rural Tour place Total
Corozal 1 14 2 17
Orange Walk 1 12 1 14
Belize 1 8 5 14
Cayo 3 15 8 26
Stann Creek 1 8 2 11
Toledo 1 3 2 6
Total 8 60 20 88
 Zone by district
• Cayo : 26
- Belmopan, Benque Viejo(Western border), Cahal Pech, St. Hermans Blue Hole national
park, etc.
•Belize : 14
- Belize City, Ladyville(PGS international aiport), San Pedro, Blue Hole national monument
etc.

58
 Trip generation by zone
• GDP per capita in Belize in 2010 and that in Korea in 1988 are similar.
- Belize USD 4,349, Korea USD 4,548
• Number of vehicle per capita in Belize in 2011 and that in Korea in 1992 are similar.
- Belize 0.159, Korea 0.160
• Belize’s GDP per capita and vehicle per capita are similar to Korea in the late 80s and early
90s.
• Therefore trip generation per capita in Belize is assumed to be that in Korea in the late 80s
and early 90s.
• In 1985, trip generation per capita in Seoul is 2.04
• Trip generation per capita in Belize is assumed to be 2.00.
•Intra-zonal trips should be excluded.
• An area similar to Belize is Jeollanam-do and Gyeongsangnam-do in Korea.
- Belize 22,966km2, Jeollanam-do and Gyeongsangnam-do in Korea 22,805km2
- No. of Zone : Belize 49, Jeollanam-do and Gyeongsangnam-do 44
• The ratio of intra-zonal trip is 90%.
• Finally, trip generation per capita of Belize is assumed to be 0.20.

59
 Trip distribution by zone
• Model : Gravity model
• Data : population by zone in 2010, distance between zone
Trip
Corozal Orange Walk Belize Cayo Stann Creek Toledo
Total
Corozal
San
Narciso
…
Orange
Walk
Trial
Farm
…
Belize
City
Ladyville … Belmopan
San
Ignacio
Benque
Viejo
… Dangriga …
Punta
Gorda
…
Corozal
Corozal … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 2,596
San Narciso … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 611
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Orange
Walk
Orange Walk … … … … 3,313 … … … … … … … … … … … … 3,459
Trial Farm … … … 3,313 … … … … … … … … … … … … … 1,076
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Belize
Belize City … … … … … … … 684 … 279 … … … … … … … 14,426
Ladyville … … … … … … 684 … … … … … … … … … … 1,377
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Cayo
Belmopan … … … … … … 279 … … … … … … … … … … 3,515
San Ignacio … … … … … … … … … … … 133 … … … … … 2,647
Benque Viejo … … … … … … … … … … 133 … … … … … … 1,551
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Stann
Creek
Dangriga … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 2,420
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Toledo
Punta Gorda … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 1,350
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Total 2,596 611 … 3,459 1,076 … 14,426 1,377 … 3,515 2,647 1,551 … 2,420 … 1,350 … 64,906
(Unit : trip/day)

60
International
airport
Road Seaport
Total
PGIA
Northern
border
Western
border
Subtotal
Belize City
(Cruise ship)
Punta
Gorda
Dangriga Subtotal
Person(year) 181,996 28,710 27,797 56,507 727,878 7,633 4,127 739,638 978,141
Rate(%) 18.6 2.9 2.8 5.7 74.4 0.8 0.4 75.6 100
Source : Statistical Institute of Belize, 2012, Abstract of Statistics 2012.
 Trip generation of tourist
• Cruise ship tourist and overnight tourist in 2012 :『Visits to Destinations 2006-12』 , 『2002-
2012 Tourism Summary Indicators 』
- Cruise ship tourist 1,755/day, overnight tourist 759/day
• In the last five years, trip generation by one overnight tourist is 1.7 :『Visits to Destinations
2006-12』
• That by one cruise ship tourist is 0.6 :『2002-2012 Tourism Summary Indicators 』
• In the last five years, average length of stay of overnight tourist is 7.5days : 『 Visits to
Destinations 2006-12 』(Belize, 2013)
- Overnight tourist travels around 5.5 days except two days for entry and exit.
• Entry points 6
- International airport is 18.6%, road 5.7%, seaport 75.6%
- Entry point is close to zones.
• Add tourist OD to nearby zones.

61
 Trip distribution of overnight tourist
• All overnight tourists are assumed to travel by bus.
• Attraction by overnight tourist: 『 Visits to Destinations 2006-12 』(Belize, 2013)
- Same rate assumed
• Main tour places
- Ambergris Caye 26.4%, Belize District 17.7%, San Ignacio/Cayo 14.8%
Ambergris Caye Belize District San Ignacio/Cayo Etc.
Rate(%) 26.4 17.7 14.8 41.1
Source : 2002-2012 Tourism summary indicators

62
 Trip distribution of cruise ship tourist
•Attraction by cruise ship tourist : 『 2002-2012 Tourism Summary Indicators 』(Belize, 2013)
- Same rate assumed
• Main tour places
- Caves Branch 25.4%, Altun Ha 16.1%, Xunantunich 14.2%
Caves Branch Altun Ha Xunantunich Etc.
Rate(%) 25.4 16.1 14.2 44.3
Source : 2002-2012 Tourism summary indicators

63
 Tourist OD by zone
Destination
Origin
Corozal
Orange
Walk
Belize Cayo Stann Creek Toledo
Total
San
Pedro
Norther
nborder
Cerros Lamani PGIA Belize
Caver
Branc
h
Altun
Ha
…
Xunantu
nich
… Placenia …
Punta
Gorda
…
Corozal
SanPedro … 105 … … 666 … … … … … … … … … 916
Northernborder 105 … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 382
Cerros … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 96
Orange
Walk Lamani … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 108
Belize
PGIA 666 … … … … … 132 132 … … … … … … … 2,421
Belize … … … … … … … 911 … 804 … … … … … 2,766
CaverBranch … … … … 132 … … … … … … … … … … 182
AltunHa … … … 132 911 … … … … … … … … … 1,093
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Cayo
Xunantunich … … … … 804 … … … … … … … … … … 882
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Stann
Creek
Placenia … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 224
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Toledo
PuntaGorda … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 102
… … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … …
Total 916 382 96 108 2,421 2,766 182 1,093 … 882 … 224 … 102 … 11,698
(Unit : trip/day)

64
 Necessary data
• Frequency & number of air & cruise ship passenger, GRDP of San Pedro & Caye caulker,
occupancy rate of air
• Belize has not established above data mentioned.
• And, total number of air passenger from local resident has not existed in Belize
• Thus, we established using daily average tourist.
 Trip generation by zone
• The total air passenger is assumed as daily average tourist in San Pedro, Blue Hole, Caye
caulker
• The total air passengers by local residents and tourists
- 5,780 airport passengers per day

65
Source : Flightstats Homepage, http://www.flightstats.com/go/Home/home.do
Destination Origin Averagedailyservicefrequency Rate(%)
San Pedro
BelizeCityMunicipal 7 14.6
CayeCaulker 31 64.6
Corozal 10 20.8
Total 48 -
Caye Caulker
San Pedro 31 81.6
BelizeCityMunicipal 7 18.4
Total 38 -
BelizeCityMunicipal
San Pedro 6 50.0
CayeCaulker 6 50.0
Total 12 -
 Trip distribution
• Based on the location of airport and service frequency of airplane
• Service frequency of San Pedro airport 48
-Caye Caulker 64.6%, Corozal 20.8%, Belize City 14.6%
• Air passenger O/D is assumed that it is distributed using service frequency rate
• Tourists through road entry are assumed that use nearest airport.

66
 Air Passenger OD by zone
Destination
Origin
San Pedro Corozal
Northern
border
Belize City
municiple
Caye
cauker
Blue Hole
national
monument
Half Moon
Caye
national mon
ument
Western
border
Punta
Gorda
Dangriga Total
SanPedro … … … … 306 … … … … … 1,374
Corozal … … … … … … … … … … 179
Northernborder … … … … … … … … … … 294
Belize City municiple … … … … … … … … … … 293
Cayecauker 306 … … … … 98 … … … … 501
BlueHolenationalmonument … 98 … … … … … … … … 1368
HalfMoonCayenationalmonument … … … … … … … … … … 1367
Westernborder … … … … … … … … … … 284
PuntaGorda … … … … … … … … … … 78
Dangriga … … … … … … … … … … 42
Total 1,374 179 294 293 501 1368 1.367 284 78 42 5,780
(Unit : trip/day)

67
 Level of road
• Highways, major roads, minor roads
 Assumption
• Lane
- Highways and major roads : two lane in one direction
- Minor roads : one lane in one direction
• Capacity of road
- Paved road in highway and major road : 1,000 passenger car/hour/lane
- Unpaved road in major road : 300 passenger car/hour/lane
- Unpaved road in minor road : 100 passenger car/hour/lane
• Free flow speed
- Paved road in highway and major road : 50mile/h
- Unpaved road in major road : 20mile/h
- Unpaved road in minor road : 10mile/h

68
ArcGIS EMME/2

69
EMME/3

70
 Data
• Total number of trips by passenger car and intercity bus
• Service frequency of intercity bus by route
 Passenger car
• Load factor in passenger car in Korea
- In 1999 1.9, In 2001 2.0
- It is assumed to be 2.0
 Intercity bus
• Load factor in bus in Korea
- In 1999 22.0
Tourist
• Load factor in bus

71
 Service frequency of intercity bus
• Company : 12
- Express 2, regular 9, shuttle 1
• Most routes are centered in Belize City
• Service frequency by bus type
- Express 3, regular 39, shuttle 3
• Service frequency by route
- Belize City ~ Northern border 18/day
- Belize City ~ Punta Gorda 12/day
From To
Service
frequency
(one direction)
Express
Belmopan Belize City 2
Belize City Punta Gorda 1
Regular
Belize City Northern border 18
Belize City Punta Gorda 12
Dangriga Placencia 3
Belize City Flores 3
Belize City Chetumal 3
Shuttle Placencia Plantation Area 3
Total 45

72
 Total trips by intercity bus
• Service frequency of intercity bus considering round trip: 90
• Passengers in intercity bus 50.0
• Trips by intercity bus: 90 × 50.0 = 4,500
 Modal split of passenger car and intercity bus
• Total trips : 76,604 (local residents trip 64,906, tourist trip 11,698)
• All tourist assumed to use buses.
• Modal split of passenger car : 78.9%, intercity bus 21.1%
Passenger car Intercity bus Total
Trip(per day) 60,406 16,198 76,604
Rate(%) 78.9 21.1 100

73

74

75
 Highways volume around Belmopan & San Ignacio
•Compared with 『 The city of Belmopan Transportation Assessment Inception Report 』(Beca
2010), 『 San Ignacio / Santa Elena Transportation Assessment Inception Report 』(Beca,
2010)

76

77
 Future population estimation
• Assumed to be having similar growing patterns in last 10 years
• Average annual population growth 3.26% from 2001 to 2010
2000 2010 2018 2020 2030
Population 248,916 324,528 419,478 447,274 616,445
 Future GDP per capita estimation
• Assumed to be having similar growing patterns in last 10 years
• Average annual GDP growth 3.64% from 2001 to 2010
2000 2010 2018 2020 2030
RealGDP
(USDthousand)
(constant2000)
831,750 1,221,053 1,530,100 1,643,519 2,349,897
GDPpercapita(USD)
(constant2000)
3,330 3,542 3,648 3,675 3,812

78
 Future local O/D estimation
• Model : Double-log regression model
• Independent variables : population, GDP per capita
ln 𝑇𝑡 = ∝ + 𝛽1 ln 𝑃𝑡 + 𝛽2 ln 𝐺𝑡
- where, 𝑇𝑡 is total trip in t year, , 𝑃𝑡 is population in t year, 𝐺𝑡 is GDP per capita in t year
2000 2010 2018 2020 2030
Population(person) 248,916 324,528 419,478 447,274 616,445
GDPpercapita(USD) 3,330 3,542 3,648 3,675 3,812
Totaltrip(trip/day) - 64,906 78,298 82,058 130,741
∝ 𝛽1 𝛽2
Parameter -0.00895 0.7 0.27
 Future local O/D estimation result
• Total trip is increased each year.
• In 2018 74,994 trip/day, in 2020 77,027trip/day, in 2030 87,983trip/day

79
 Future tourist OD estimation
• In 『National sustainable tourism masterplan for Belize 2030』(Belize tourism board, 2011)
- Growth rate : cruise ship tourist 3.68%, overnight tourist 3.8%
- Trip distribution is assumed the same as the current
2010 2018 2020 2030
Cruise
tourist(day)
tourists(person/day) 2,015 2,595 2,790 4,004
Trip(trip/day) 1,209 1,557 1,674 2,402
Overnight
tourist(day)
tourists(person/day) 665 863 966 1,351
Trip(trip/day) 1,131 1,467 1,642 2,297
Totaltrip(trip/day) 11,698 15,121 16,581 23,496

80
 Future air passenger OD estimation
• Growth rate : assumed the same as the tourist
- Trip distribution is assumed the same as the current
2010 2018 2020 2030

81
 Road
• Existing network + planned network
• Reflect alternatives on each target year
 Network establishment
• 2018, 2020, 2030
Project Target year
New road
Southern Arterial road 2020
Northern Arterial road 2020
Upgrading road
Coastal road 2020
Altun Ha road 2020
Caracol road 2020

82
 Road
• Road alternatives changes should be applied
on network.
• Free flow speed & road capacity is reflect as
higher value
Before After
Capacity
(pcphpl)
Speed
(mile/h)
Capacity
(pcphpl)
Speed
(mile/h)
Coastal road 100 10 1,000 50
Southern arterial
road
- - 1,000 50
Northern Arterial
road
- - 1,000 50
Altun Ha road 100 10 300 20
Caracol road 100 10 300 20

83
 Future modal split -road
• Future modal split rate is assumed the same as the current
2011 2018 2020 2030
Passengercartrip(trip/day) 60,406 73,798 77,558 99,241
Intercitybustrip(trip/day) 16,198 19,621 21,081 27,996

84
 Upgrading Coastal road
• In 2030, from 45 veh/day to 691 veh/day
• Increasing more than 646 veh/day
 Upgrading Caracol road
•Tourists of Caracol are assumed that of
Xunantunich.
• In 2030, from 61 veh/day to 1,735 veh/day
 Upgrading Altun Ha road
•Traffic volume in Altun Ha road is increased
twice.
• In 2030, from 338 veh/day to 1,871 veh/day

85
 Ari passenger
• All airway routes have increased demand.
• This is mainly resulted from air passenger O/D is established by overnight tourist.

86
 Forecast freight demand
• Belize has not measured freight transportation related data.
• Belize port can be toughly evaluated by port related research from 『Assessment of Port
performance and Port Connectivity study in Central America 』(IDB, 2013)
 Port location
• Low productivity than other neighboring
countries
• Santo Tomas de Castilla port(Guatemala) &
Castilla port(Houndras) has good geographic
positions, which are directly connected by
land routes.
• Most of international freight primarily is
gone through Guatemala & Houndras for
transshipment rather than Belize.

87
 International trade volume(?)
• In 2010, international trade volume of Belize
-Panama 14TEU, Dominican Republic 5TEU, Houndras 4TEU
 Strategy for the port
• Due to its nature and the size of its operation, the widening of the Canal will have little
impact on the Port of Belize.
• Trade to Guatemala, El Salvador and Honduras will be cheaper by land if land connectivity
and security increases.
• Focus on enhancing the port efficiency
• Investment on road can be more efficient way to enhance trading industry.

89
Economic
analysis
Policy
analysis
Traffic volume,
time value,
oil price
Benefit
estimation
Cost
estimation
- Time savings
- Vehicle operating cost
savings
- Design/Supervision
cost
- Construction cost
- Operating cost
- National development
agenda or Consistency
with high-level plans
- Willingness to
implement project
- Regional economic
impacts
Multi-Criteria Analysis(Analysis Hierarchy Process)
Cost-benefit analysis

90
Weighted average loan interest rate Inflation rate Real discount rate
Central Bank of Belize1) 10.33% 1.30% 8.91%
World Bank2) 12.45% 1.30% 11.01%
IMF3) 12.00% 1.30% 10.56%
1) Central Bank of Belize, 2013, 『2012 Annual report & statement of accounts』
2) World bank, http://www.worldbank.org/
3) IMF, 2013, 『IMF country report』, No. 13/227

91
 Earth Work & Bridge
• Use of local data
- The data provided by local government
 Tunnel
•Use of proportion of Korea tunnel/bridge construction cost, and Belize bridge construction
cost
-Belize tunnel construction cost is calculated by the proportion of Korea tunnel/bridge
construction cost, and Belize bridge construction cost』 The unit price of Korea bridge
and tunnel(Bridge: 311 million Won/㎞, Tunnel: 500 million Won/㎞), The proportion of
Tunnel/Bridge 62.2%(=311/500)』- Highway Work Manual, MoLIT, 2013
Classification Unit price
Earthwork 0.8 Mill. USD/mile
Bridge 35,000 USD/m
Tunnel 35.0 Mill. USD/mile

92
 Route alignment
• To figure out the topography and hydrosphere and select routes considering the future
national development plan and logistic industry development.
 Construction cost for logistic facilities
• To apply the Korea logistic facility construction cost of USD750 per 1 ㎡.
*Source : Construction cost is based on F/S for logistic center and facility, construction of smaller businesses, KOSBI, 2013
Total area of logistic facilities* 9,267,000 ㎡
No. of population 51,156,000 person
The area of logistic facilities
per population
0.18 ㎡/person
No. of population 316,000 person
Planning capacity of logistic
facilities
57,244 ㎡
 Cost estimate of logistic facilities
• Capacity of logistic facilities
- To apply the Korea logistic facility area unit cost of 0.18㎡/person, and then estimating
the Belize logistic facility capacity.

93
1
Classification
New Road
Pavement & Alignment
Improvement
Total
Length Cost Length Cost Length Cost
Structure
Earthwork - - 36.2mile 22.0Mill. USD 36.2mile 22.0Mill.USD
Bridge - -
0.088mile
(140m, 6EA)
4.9Mill. USD
0.088mile
(140m, 6EA)
4.9Mill.USD
Tunnel - - - - - -
Total - - 36.3mile 26.9Mill. USD 36.3mile 26.9Mill.USD
Classification
New Road
Improvement
Total
Structure
Earthwork 49.1mile 39.3Mill. USD 1.6mile 1.0 Mill. USD 50.7mile 40.3Mill.USD
Bridge
0.075mile
(120m, 4EA)
4.2Mill. USD - -
0.075mile
(120m, 4EA)
4.2Mill. USD
Tunnel 3.9mi (1EA) 134.9Mill.USD - - 3.9mi (1EA) 134.9Mill.USD
Total 53.1mile 178.4Mill.USD 1.6mile 1.0Mill. USD 54.7mile 179.3Mill.USD
2

94
Classification
New Road
Improvement
Total
Structure
Earthwork 41.9mile 33.5Mill. USD 28.2mile 22.6Mill. USD 70.1mile 56.1Mill.USD
Bridge - -
0.019mile
(30m, 1EA)
1.1Mill. USD
0.019mile
(30m, 1EA)
1.1Mill.USD
Tunnel - - - - - -
Total 41.9mile 33.5Mill. USD 28.3mile 23.6Mill. USD 70.2mile 57.2Mill.USD
3
Classification
New Road
Improvement
Total
Structure
Earthwork - - 11.5mile 9.2Mill. USD 11.5mile 9.2Mill.USD
Bridge - - - - - -
Tunnel - - - - - -
Total - - 11.5mile 9.2Mill. USD 11.5mile 9.2Mill.USD
A

95
Classification
New Road
Improvement
Total
Structure
Earthwork 13.1mile 10.5Mill. USD 24.6mile 19.7Mill. USD 37.7mile 30.2Mill.USD
Bridge
0.056mile
(90m, 3EA)
3.2Mill. USD
0.019mile
(30m, 1EA)
1.1Mill. USD
0.075mile
(120m, 4EA)
4.2Mill. USD
Tunnel - - - - - -
Total 13.2mile 13.6Mill. USD 24.6mile 20.7Mill. USD 37.8mile 34.4Mill.USD
B
Classification Location Size Project Cost
Northern Logistic & Industrial
Facilities
Northern Belize,
Mexico Border
13,000㎡ 10 Mill.USD
Belize Logistic & Industrial
Facilities
Eastern Belize,
Near Belize Port
37,000㎡ 28 Mill.USD
Western Logistic & Industrial
Facilities
Western Belize,
Guatemala Border
7,000㎡ 5 Mill.USD

96

97

98

99
Alternative Benefit category 2018 2020 2030
Coastal
road
Travel time savings 1,928.2 4,957.2
Vehicle operating cost savings 633.5 1,713.7
Accident cost savings 192.2 494.2
Pollution cost savings 172.5 443.5
Total 2,926.5 7,608.6
Southern
arterial
road
Vehicle operating cost savings 679.3 1,007.2
Total 1,930.4 2,743.9
Northern
arterial
road
Vehicle operating cost savings 586.7 806.8
Total 2,777.7 6,371.4
Altun Ha
road
Travel time savings 269.5 736.8 1,867.4
Vehicle operating cost savings 7.1 180.2 644.4
Accident cost savings 26.9 73.5 186.2
Pollution cost savings 24.1 65.9 167.1
Total 327.6 1,056.4 2,865.0
Caracol
road
Travel time savings 1,898.2 2,680.6 6,319.0
Vehicle operating cost savings 656.0 926.3 2,180.4
Accident cost savings 189.2 267.2 629.9
Pollution cost savings 169.8 239.8 565.3
Total 2,913.2 4,113.9 9,694.6
(Unit : thou. USD/year)

100
Present Value(USD thou.)
B/C
NPV
(USD thou.)Total cost Total benefit
Coastal road 2,575 2,648 1.03 74
Southern arterial road 9,657 1,159 0.12 -8,498
Northern arterial road 5,475 2,295 0.42 -3,180
Altun Ha road 962 562 0.58 -400
Caracol road 3,598 2,107 0.59 -1,491

101

102
Coastal road Southern
arterial road
Northern
Arterial road Altun Ha road Caracol road
Imp-2) Status Quo Imp-2) Status Quo Imp-2) Status Quo Imp-2) Status Quo Imp-2) Status Quo
Total 0.709 0.291 0.502 0.498 0.553 0.447 0.629 0.371 0.636 0.364
Res. 11) 0.658 0.342 0.518 0.482 0.536 0.464 0.563 0.437 0.564 0.436
Res. 2 0.763 0.237 0.768 0.232 0.766 0.234 0.707 0.293 0.683 0.317
Res. 3 0.771 0.229 0.450 0.550 0.540 0.460 0.761 0.239 0.752 0.248
Res. 4 0.644 0.356 0.513 0.487 0.509 0.491 0.541 0.459 0.586 0.414
Res. 5 0.705 0.295 0.475 0.525 0.582 0.418 0.617 0.383 0.639 0.361
1) Res. 1 stands for Respondent 1,
2) Imp- stands for Project Implementation

103
arterial road
Northern
Total costs
(USD thou.) 3,411 12,795 7,254 1,167 4,362
B/C 1.03 0.12 0.42 0.58 0.59
AHP 0.709 0.502 0.553 0.629 0.636
Priority 1 5 4 3 2

104
arterial road
Northern
Total costs
(USD thou.) 3,411 12,795 7,254 1,167 4,362
B/C 1.03 0.12 0.42 0.58 0.59
AHP 0.709 0.502 0.553 0.629 0.636
Priority 1 5 4 3 2

105

106

107

108

109

110

111
Section Phase Project Problem Masterplan
Road
1st phase
(2014-
2020)
Coastal road
• Natural disaster such as flood
• Poor accessibility to Dangriga,
Placencia
• Saving travel time
• Improve accessibility
Altun Ha road • Poor accessibility to tour place
• Poor connectivity
• Saving travel time
• Improve accessibility & connectivity
2nd phase
(2021-
2030)
Caracol road
Southern arterial road
• Lack of connectivity by region • Saving travel time
• Improve connectivity
3rd phase Northern arterial road
Airstrip
1st phase
(2014-
2020)
Augustine Pine Ridge municipal
• Lack of capacity
• Poor safety condition
• Limited road
• New construction
2nd phase
(2021-
2030)
Corozal airstrip, Dangriga,
San Pedro airstrip,
Caye Caulker, Placencia,
Punta Gorda
• Runway widening
• Expansion access road
• Taxiway improvement
Seaport
3rd phase
(after
2030)
Big Creek, Commerce bight port • Poor condition
• Inefficient ports • Construction by a feasibility study
Logistics
3rd phase
(after
2030)
Northern, Belize, Western • Inefficient logistics • Construction by some feasibility
study

Ⅵ Financing Sources
113
2007/08 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
Total Budget (USD mill.) 292.6 344.9 360.8 364.8
Budget in Transportation
Sector(USD mill.) 5.5 5.3 5.7 4.0
Rate(%) 1.9 1.5 1.6 1.1
Source : 1) Abstract of Statistics Belize 2009, Statistical Institute of Belize, 2009
2) Abstract of Statistics Belize 2012, Statistical Institute of Belize, 2012

Ⅵ Financing Sources
114
2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12
Total Revenue (USD mill.) 325.5 364.5 375.6 392.1 392.0
Tax Revenue (USD mill.) 297.0 318.4 335.1 351.7 343.7
Tax Revenue (USD mill.) 28.5 46.1 40.5 40.4 48.4
Transportation Sector
(USD mill.) 0.0 2.4 2.3 0.8 0.1
Source : Abstract of Statistics Belize 2012, Statistical Institute of Belize, 2012

Jung Wook KIM : Korea Development Institute
(E-mail : awaker2@kdi.re.kr)
Eui Young SHON : University of Seoul
(E-mail : eyshon@uos.ac.kr)
Seol Joo KIM : TESO Engineering Co.
(E-mail : seoljookim@gmail.com )

Belize national transportation master plan 2014

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