Asset Liability Management

     Jawwad Ahmed Farid
ALM at a glance

         Interest
                     Repricing
          Rates



Maturities                     Funding
                 Value/
                 Income
Dimensions

            Funding




Liquidity


                  Maturity
ALM


Equity   Liabilities      Assets




          Re-price     Re-price
         Liabilities    Assets
Risk - Return
Metric or       Change in   Change in
 Target          Interest    Market
Account          Income       Value

                Change in
 Driver          Interest
                   Rate


                 Balance      Income
 Setting          Sheet     Statement
ALM Framework - I
          Business
           Model

Stress                 Risk
Tests                 Analysis




Capital               Financial
Model                  Model

          Liquidity
           Model
ALM – Framework - II



Value at                      Portfolio
           Simulation   ALM               Capital
  Risk                         Review
Building the ALM model
  Balance
                   P&L          Valuation
   Sheet




Calculation    Interest Rate
                               ALM Reports
  Engine         Generator




Presentation
ALM Cheat Sheet
Sigma

Duration

Convexity

Asset Sensitive

Liability Sensitive

Value at Risk

Hedging Tools
ALM Cheat Sheet
See link above for ALM convention & FAQ’s

•   R.P  Reprice
•   As  Assets
•   L  Liabilities
•   NII  Net Interest Income (PnL)
•   MVE  Market Value of Equity (Value)
•   EaR  Earning at Risk (NII with VaR)
•   Asset Sensitive
•   Liability Sensitive
ALM Cheat Sheet
Liquidity Risk & Stress Testing
Name Crisis



Change in market   Operational       Asset      Regulatory   Accounting
   conditions         Loss       related Loss    scandal      Scandal
Liquidity Crisis
              Liquidity
                            Name
               driven
                            Crisis
             Asset Sale




                                      Asset and
 Margin
                                        share
  and
                                        price
Collateral
                                       under
  Calls
                                      pressure



             Counterpar
               ty Limits    Rating
             Withdrawn     Downgrad
                   or         e
              restricted
Cash Generation
               • Repurchase agreements
               • Discount window
Asset Sales    • Outright sale at depressed prices
               • Off market settlement for netting off liabilities



               • Secured Term loans
  Cash         • Equity Injection
               • Asset Swap for Cash
Generation     • Regulatory driven cash injection or take over



               • Realignment and restructuring of resources
   Cash        • Discontinued operations
               • Limit management
conservation   • Centralization of cash management
Bear Stearns

  Under 90 days


Crisis in full bloom
  20th December
 2007 – Q4 Loss


  JP Morgan
 Takeover 16th
March 2008 @ 2$
    a share
Lehman
9th June: $45 billion in liquidity, 20% reduction risky assets, leverage from 31:1 to 25:1.
Survived March Bear fallout. Raised US$ 10 billion through capital issues in April/June


    Under 30 days


 Crisis in full bloom
 19th August 2008
 – Q3 Loss & write
        downs


      Lehman
  Bankruptcy Filing
   15th Sep 2008
Jawwad Ahmed Farid




      alchemya.com
FinanceTrainingCourse.com
  jawwad@alchemya.com

Asset Liability Management - Intro

  • 1.
    Asset Liability Management Jawwad Ahmed Farid
  • 2.
    ALM at aglance Interest Repricing Rates Maturities Funding Value/ Income
  • 3.
    Dimensions Funding Liquidity Maturity
  • 4.
    ALM Equity Liabilities Assets Re-price Re-price Liabilities Assets
  • 5.
    Risk - Return Metricor Change in Change in Target Interest Market Account Income Value Change in Driver Interest Rate Balance Income Setting Sheet Statement
  • 6.
    ALM Framework -I Business Model Stress Risk Tests Analysis Capital Financial Model Model Liquidity Model
  • 7.
    ALM – Framework- II Value at Portfolio Simulation ALM Capital Risk Review
  • 8.
    Building the ALMmodel Balance P&L Valuation Sheet Calculation Interest Rate ALM Reports Engine Generator Presentation
  • 9.
    ALM Cheat Sheet Sigma Duration Convexity AssetSensitive Liability Sensitive Value at Risk Hedging Tools
  • 10.
    ALM Cheat Sheet Seelink above for ALM convention & FAQ’s • R.P  Reprice • As  Assets • L  Liabilities • NII  Net Interest Income (PnL) • MVE  Market Value of Equity (Value) • EaR  Earning at Risk (NII with VaR) • Asset Sensitive • Liability Sensitive
  • 11.
  • 12.
    Liquidity Risk &Stress Testing
  • 13.
    Name Crisis Change inmarket Operational Asset Regulatory Accounting conditions Loss related Loss scandal Scandal
  • 14.
    Liquidity Crisis Liquidity Name driven Crisis Asset Sale Asset and Margin share and price Collateral under Calls pressure Counterpar ty Limits Rating Withdrawn Downgrad or e restricted
  • 15.
    Cash Generation • Repurchase agreements • Discount window Asset Sales • Outright sale at depressed prices • Off market settlement for netting off liabilities • Secured Term loans Cash • Equity Injection • Asset Swap for Cash Generation • Regulatory driven cash injection or take over • Realignment and restructuring of resources Cash • Discontinued operations • Limit management conservation • Centralization of cash management
  • 16.
    Bear Stearns Under 90 days Crisis in full bloom 20th December 2007 – Q4 Loss JP Morgan Takeover 16th March 2008 @ 2$ a share
  • 17.
    Lehman 9th June: $45billion in liquidity, 20% reduction risky assets, leverage from 31:1 to 25:1. Survived March Bear fallout. Raised US$ 10 billion through capital issues in April/June Under 30 days Crisis in full bloom 19th August 2008 – Q3 Loss & write downs Lehman Bankruptcy Filing 15th Sep 2008
  • 19.
    Jawwad Ahmed Farid alchemya.com FinanceTrainingCourse.com jawwad@alchemya.com