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Assessing Rice Consumers’ Preferences and
their Willingness to Pay in Haiti
A Choice experiment with 252 participants in 2 counties in Haiti
Cleeford Pavilus
Advisor: Dr. Alvaro Durand - Morat
University of Arkansas
Outline
• Introduction
• Important facts
• Consumers preferences and WTP
• Hypotheses & Objectives of this research
• Methods
• Results
• Discussions
Rice: Main Meal in Haiti
Evolution of the Rice Consumption in Haiti from 1961
to 2013
• Clear substitution
through the years.
Rice has supplanted
corn in the Haitian
diet.
Figure 7. Share of caloric intakes from the staples food in Haiti
• Less than 5% of the
caloric intakes came
from rice in 1961
against 26% for corn
Important facts:
b) Rice Production Vs Rice Imports
• Increasing Rice’s domestic
production at any cost.
What about Rice Consumer’ Preference
in Haiti? And their WTP???
Objective
Assessing the consumer
valuation for selected rice
attributes: retail price; the
percentage of broken
grains in the bag; the rice
origin; and the parboiling
state of the rice
(parboiled or not).
Hypothesis
• Providing information about parboiled rice has a
positive effect on consumer choices for parboiled
rice,
• Everything else equal, Haitian consumers prefer
domestic over imported rice,
• Haitian consumers favor rice with low presence of
broken
Theories
• Lancastrian consumer theory (Lancaster 1966), the consumer subdivides the products in
attributes, then assigns a utility to each of them.
• Consumer makes their choice based on information that they have about the product
(Hammond 1955; Slovic and Lichtenstein 1971; Anderson 1970, 1981, 1982).
• Random Utility Theory supposes that consumers are rational, consequently, they make
their choice to maximize their utility from consuming the given product (Loureiro,
Umberger, 2006).
Methods – The Experiment Design
• Hypothetical choice experiment with 252 participants
• Seven sets of 3 choices were offered to each respondent
• Respondents were chosen in
Universities (Students, faculty
staff), in the streets, in
supermarkets (Upper class),
neighborhood stores, and
restaurants
Methods – The Experiment Design
• A “trap set” of choice was inserted in the seven sets to
capture inattention, and 71 failed, which let us with 181
respondents.
• The respondents were randomly split in two groups; one
group had information about the difference between
parboiled rice, the other had not.
• A socio – demographic
questionnaire is followed (gender,
income, education level, farm
background, household size …)
The Sample – Stat Descriptive
The Sample – Descriptive Statistics (2)
• 21% of the population reported having
cooked at least 5 days a week.
• 32% of the population reported that they
cook rice 5 days at least a week
• 44.8% of the population has rice stored at
home for at least 3 weeks.
The Sample – Descriptive Statistics (3)
• Only 12.7% of the population report that
they prefer sticky rice
• 49.2% of the population report that they
prefer yellow rice
• 20.4% of the population report that they
prefer the strong aroma which characterizes
the domestic rice
The Sample – Descriptive Statistics (4)
• 62.4% of the population report that they
wash rice before cooking it.
• Only 1.1% of the population reported that
they stir fry rice in oil before boiling it with
an exact level water.
Results – Estimation of the
Consumers’ WTP for the three
Models With gender
heterogeneity
• The results provided by the three models
are consistent and robust, however, one
model is chosen: the uncorrelated RPL
with error component.
• BIC suggests that the uncorrelated RPL
with Error Component (with gender
heterogeneity) is the closest model to the
true model. This model has both
minimum BIC values for the control and
the treatment groups.
Results – Consumers’ WTP for the three Models
Willingness to Pay for each attribute
RPL - EC
Control Group Treatment Group
Broken -2.27* -1.85
Origin 156.95*** 160.18***
Parboiled 7.86 73.83**
Parboiled.Female (σ) 7.58 -82.9**
Signif. Codes : 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’
1
Results – Interpretation - Parboiled Rice
• In all three models, providing information about parboiled rice positively impact
consumers’ valuation for parboiled rice. The average WTP for the three models is
HTG73.83 for the treatment group.
• The parameter is random across all the models (see the σ).
• that gender affects the respondents’ WTP for parboiled rice, with women having a
lower WTP than men.
• Significant variation on how the random parameters are perceived by the
respondents (Sarrias & Daziano, 2017).
Results – Interpretation - Origin
• In all three models, the attribute origin is significant in both control and
treatment groups. It also has the highest WTP among the other attributes.
• The parameter is random across all the models (see the σ), and there is a
significant variation on how the random parameter is perceived by the
respondents (Sarrias & Daziano, 2017).
Results – Interpretation - Broken
• The results for the attribute “Broken” are consistent across the three models in
terms of level of significance. Moreover, the WTP for it is relative low comparing
to the WTP of the other attributes. This suggests that Haitian do not pay too much
attention to it. In other words, it is the least important attributes.
• The parameter is random across all the models (see the σ) except for the control
group in the correlated RPL-EC, and there is a significant variation on how the
random parameter is perceived by the respondents (Sarrias & Daziano, 2017).
Results - Interpretation
Control Group
• Gender does NOT affect the consumers
valuation for parboiled rice. Origin matters,
Percentage of broken does not.
• Significant variation on how the random
parameters are perceived by the respondents
(Sarrias & Daziano, 2017).
•  
Discussion
Government intervention
• Labelling (origin, nutrition facts,
developing a special tag for
parboiled rice).
• Educating the population that they
can understand the nutrition facts.
• Developing a standardization for
rice commercialization
Private initiative
• Since Broken is not that significant,
it is not a urgent to invest money to
develop a more sophisticated milling
industry in Haiti
• Investing in the parboiling process,
making it less costly.
References
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Assessment Centre, January
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, 2017, from
http://www.ers.usda.gov/media/2000883/rcs-16a-01.pdf
Sarrias M, Daziano R (2017). Multinomial Logit Models with Continuous and
Discrete Individual Heterogeneity in R: The gmnl Package. Journal of Statiscal
Software, 79(2), 1-41, July 2017
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Assessing rice consumers'preferences and their willingness to pay in haiti thesis presentation for a master degree

  • 1. Assessing Rice Consumers’ Preferences and their Willingness to Pay in Haiti A Choice experiment with 252 participants in 2 counties in Haiti Cleeford Pavilus Advisor: Dr. Alvaro Durand - Morat University of Arkansas
  • 2. Outline • Introduction • Important facts • Consumers preferences and WTP • Hypotheses & Objectives of this research • Methods • Results • Discussions
  • 3. Rice: Main Meal in Haiti
  • 4. Evolution of the Rice Consumption in Haiti from 1961 to 2013 • Clear substitution through the years. Rice has supplanted corn in the Haitian diet. Figure 7. Share of caloric intakes from the staples food in Haiti • Less than 5% of the caloric intakes came from rice in 1961 against 26% for corn
  • 5. Important facts: b) Rice Production Vs Rice Imports • Increasing Rice’s domestic production at any cost.
  • 6. What about Rice Consumer’ Preference in Haiti? And their WTP???
  • 7. Objective Assessing the consumer valuation for selected rice attributes: retail price; the percentage of broken grains in the bag; the rice origin; and the parboiling state of the rice (parboiled or not). Hypothesis • Providing information about parboiled rice has a positive effect on consumer choices for parboiled rice, • Everything else equal, Haitian consumers prefer domestic over imported rice, • Haitian consumers favor rice with low presence of broken
  • 8. Theories • Lancastrian consumer theory (Lancaster 1966), the consumer subdivides the products in attributes, then assigns a utility to each of them. • Consumer makes their choice based on information that they have about the product (Hammond 1955; Slovic and Lichtenstein 1971; Anderson 1970, 1981, 1982). • Random Utility Theory supposes that consumers are rational, consequently, they make their choice to maximize their utility from consuming the given product (Loureiro, Umberger, 2006).
  • 9. Methods – The Experiment Design • Hypothetical choice experiment with 252 participants • Seven sets of 3 choices were offered to each respondent • Respondents were chosen in Universities (Students, faculty staff), in the streets, in supermarkets (Upper class), neighborhood stores, and restaurants
  • 10. Methods – The Experiment Design • A “trap set” of choice was inserted in the seven sets to capture inattention, and 71 failed, which let us with 181 respondents. • The respondents were randomly split in two groups; one group had information about the difference between parboiled rice, the other had not. • A socio – demographic questionnaire is followed (gender, income, education level, farm background, household size …)
  • 11. The Sample – Stat Descriptive
  • 12. The Sample – Descriptive Statistics (2) • 21% of the population reported having cooked at least 5 days a week. • 32% of the population reported that they cook rice 5 days at least a week • 44.8% of the population has rice stored at home for at least 3 weeks.
  • 13. The Sample – Descriptive Statistics (3) • Only 12.7% of the population report that they prefer sticky rice • 49.2% of the population report that they prefer yellow rice • 20.4% of the population report that they prefer the strong aroma which characterizes the domestic rice
  • 14. The Sample – Descriptive Statistics (4) • 62.4% of the population report that they wash rice before cooking it. • Only 1.1% of the population reported that they stir fry rice in oil before boiling it with an exact level water.
  • 15. Results – Estimation of the Consumers’ WTP for the three Models With gender heterogeneity • The results provided by the three models are consistent and robust, however, one model is chosen: the uncorrelated RPL with error component. • BIC suggests that the uncorrelated RPL with Error Component (with gender heterogeneity) is the closest model to the true model. This model has both minimum BIC values for the control and the treatment groups.
  • 16. Results – Consumers’ WTP for the three Models
  • 17. Willingness to Pay for each attribute RPL - EC Control Group Treatment Group Broken -2.27* -1.85 Origin 156.95*** 160.18*** Parboiled 7.86 73.83** Parboiled.Female (σ) 7.58 -82.9** Signif. Codes : 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05 ‘.’ 0.1 ‘ ’ 1
  • 18. Results – Interpretation - Parboiled Rice • In all three models, providing information about parboiled rice positively impact consumers’ valuation for parboiled rice. The average WTP for the three models is HTG73.83 for the treatment group. • The parameter is random across all the models (see the σ). • that gender affects the respondents’ WTP for parboiled rice, with women having a lower WTP than men. • Significant variation on how the random parameters are perceived by the respondents (Sarrias & Daziano, 2017).
  • 19. Results – Interpretation - Origin • In all three models, the attribute origin is significant in both control and treatment groups. It also has the highest WTP among the other attributes. • The parameter is random across all the models (see the σ), and there is a significant variation on how the random parameter is perceived by the respondents (Sarrias & Daziano, 2017).
  • 20. Results – Interpretation - Broken • The results for the attribute “Broken” are consistent across the three models in terms of level of significance. Moreover, the WTP for it is relative low comparing to the WTP of the other attributes. This suggests that Haitian do not pay too much attention to it. In other words, it is the least important attributes. • The parameter is random across all the models (see the σ) except for the control group in the correlated RPL-EC, and there is a significant variation on how the random parameter is perceived by the respondents (Sarrias & Daziano, 2017).
  • 21. Results - Interpretation Control Group • Gender does NOT affect the consumers valuation for parboiled rice. Origin matters, Percentage of broken does not. • Significant variation on how the random parameters are perceived by the respondents (Sarrias & Daziano, 2017). •  
  • 22. Discussion Government intervention • Labelling (origin, nutrition facts, developing a special tag for parboiled rice). • Educating the population that they can understand the nutrition facts. • Developing a standardization for rice commercialization Private initiative • Since Broken is not that significant, it is not a urgent to invest money to develop a more sophisticated milling industry in Haiti • Investing in the parboiling process, making it less costly.
  • 23.
  • 24. References Adamowicz, W., J. Louviere and J. Swait. 1998a. ‘Introduction to attribute-based stated choice methods’, report to NOAA Resource Valuation Brach, Damage Assessment Centre, January Cochrane N., Childs N. & Rosen S., 2016. Haiti’s U.S. Rice Imports (p.2 - 8). Retrieved August 27th , 2017, from http://www.ers.usda.gov/media/2000883/rcs-16a-01.pdf Sarrias M, Daziano R (2017). Multinomial Logit Models with Continuous and Discrete Individual Heterogeneity in R: The gmnl Package. Journal of Statiscal Software, 79(2), 1-41, July 2017
  • 25. References • Adair, C. R., Beachell, H. M., Jodon, N. E., Johnston, T. H., Thysell, J. R., Green Jr, V. E., ... & Atkins, J. G. (1966). Rice breeding and testing methods in the US In: Rice in the US: varieties and production. USDA Agricultural Research Services Handbook, 289, 19-64. • Adamowicz, W., J. Louviere and J. Swait. 1998a. ‘Introduction to attribute-based stated choice methods’, report to NOAA Resource Valuation Brach, Damage Assessment Centre, January. • Aoki, K., Akai, K., & Ujiie, K. (2017). A choice experiment to compare preferences for rice in Thailand and Japan: The impact of origin, sustainability, and taste. Food Quality and Preference, 56, 274-284. • Anang, B. T., Adjetey, S. N. A., & Abiriwe, S. A. (2011). Consumer preferences for rice quality characteristics and the effects on price in the Tamale metropolis, northern region, Ghana. International Journal o AgriScience, 1(2), 67-74.
  • 26. References • Azabagaoglu, M. O., & Gaytancioglu, O. (2009). Analyzing consumer preference to different rice varieties in Turkey. Agricultura Tropica Et Subtropica, 42(3), 118-125. • Banque de la République d’Haiti (Central Bank of Haiti) PIBinternet.xls - pibsecteur.pdf. (n.d.). Retrieved October 3rd, 2017, from http://www.brh.net/tableaux/pibsecteur.pdf • Berinsky, A. J., Margolis, M. F., & Sances, M. W. (2014). Separating the shirkers from the workers? Making sure respondents pay attention on self‐administered surveys. American Journal of Political Science, 58(3), 739-753. • Bordalo, P., Gennaioli, N., & Shleifer, A. (2013). Salience and consumer choice. Journal of Political Economy, 121(5), 803-843. • Boxall, P. C., Adamowicz, W. L., Swait, J., Williams, M., & Louviere, J. (1996). A comparison of stated preference methods for environmental valuation. Ecological economics, 18(3), 243-253. • Cameron, T. A., & DeShazo, J. R. (2010). Differential attention to attributes in utility-theoretic choice models. Journal of choice modelling, 3(3), 73-115.
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