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Arsenic and cancer: how
geography determines
policy
Arindam Basu,
Prepared for Geography Seminar,
11th August, 2017
About 200 million people in Bangladesh and 100
million people in India are exposed to Arsenic in DW
Hotspots of Arsenic
Overview of Arsenic Metabolism
Arsenic metabolism and nutrition (source: BMJ)
Arsenic-caused skin cancer and lesions
Arsenic skin cancer
As caused bladder cancer
Inhaled and ingested Arsenic causes lung cancer
Prevalence of Arsenic exposure Worldwide
Prevalence of As Exposure, part 2
If the prevalence and source of As Vary Across the
World, do the risk estimates of cancers caused by
Arsenic also differ in populations across the world?
Concept of Population Attributable Risk
Population Attributable Risk = function of Prevalence of
Exposure & Relative Risk Estimate
Worldwide, how do arsenic cancer risk estimates
vary across populations?
Arsenic exposure and bladder cancer risk
meta analysis, citation:
Christoforidou, E. P., Riza, E., Kales, S. N., Hadjistavrou, K., Stoltidi, M.,
Kastania, A. N., & Linos, A. (2013). Bladder cancer and arsenic through drinking
water: A systematic review of epidemiologic evidence. Journal of Environmental
Science and Health, Part A, 48(14), 1764–1775.
http://doi.org/10.1080/10934529.2013.823329)
19 Studies across different countries
Different comparisons were selected
Tally of the Variability Across Populations (Christoforidou, 2013)
United States
Taiwan
Argentina
Chile
Bangladesh
Finland
Pakistan
Denmark
Variation in the risk estimates based on studies with individual data with
updated information from other populations
Forest plot of the meta-analysis
Results of the meta analysis
Smaller effect sizes
are contributed by
countries where the
exposure to As is
low, for example
United States, and
larger effect sizes
are contributed by
countries where the
exposure levels are
higher
What may explain the discrepancy in risk estimates?
Smoking interacts with Arsenic to increase the risk
Diet and micronutrient intake can interact with the methylation: high protein diet
and micronutrients will supply the needed substrates for methylation and offset the
diversion of methyl groups even in face of high As load
Genetic differences?
Gaps, and policy implications for Arsenic control
Data on all arsenic-caused cancers would be beneficial
Studies from India, & Bangladesh for individual risk estimates are missing
Arsenic is currently labelled as Type I Carcinogen by IARC
Different levels of acceptable As exposure in different countries: in India,
Bangladesh, Argentina, Chile: 50 ug/L as acceptable level; in Taiwan, United
States, Europe: 10 ug/L; worldwide, WHO recommends 10 ug/L - this needs to be
revised in the light of new evidence

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Arsenic and bladder cancer variation in estimates

  • 1. Arsenic and cancer: how geography determines policy Arindam Basu, Prepared for Geography Seminar, 11th August, 2017
  • 2. About 200 million people in Bangladesh and 100 million people in India are exposed to Arsenic in DW
  • 4. Overview of Arsenic Metabolism
  • 5. Arsenic metabolism and nutrition (source: BMJ)
  • 9. Inhaled and ingested Arsenic causes lung cancer
  • 10. Prevalence of Arsenic exposure Worldwide
  • 11. Prevalence of As Exposure, part 2
  • 12. If the prevalence and source of As Vary Across the World, do the risk estimates of cancers caused by Arsenic also differ in populations across the world?
  • 13. Concept of Population Attributable Risk Population Attributable Risk = function of Prevalence of Exposure & Relative Risk Estimate
  • 14. Worldwide, how do arsenic cancer risk estimates vary across populations?
  • 15. Arsenic exposure and bladder cancer risk meta analysis, citation: Christoforidou, E. P., Riza, E., Kales, S. N., Hadjistavrou, K., Stoltidi, M., Kastania, A. N., & Linos, A. (2013). Bladder cancer and arsenic through drinking water: A systematic review of epidemiologic evidence. Journal of Environmental Science and Health, Part A, 48(14), 1764–1775. http://doi.org/10.1080/10934529.2013.823329) 19 Studies across different countries Different comparisons were selected
  • 16. Tally of the Variability Across Populations (Christoforidou, 2013) United States Taiwan Argentina Chile Bangladesh Finland Pakistan Denmark
  • 17. Variation in the risk estimates based on studies with individual data with updated information from other populations
  • 18. Forest plot of the meta-analysis
  • 19. Results of the meta analysis Smaller effect sizes are contributed by countries where the exposure to As is low, for example United States, and larger effect sizes are contributed by countries where the exposure levels are higher
  • 20. What may explain the discrepancy in risk estimates? Smoking interacts with Arsenic to increase the risk Diet and micronutrient intake can interact with the methylation: high protein diet and micronutrients will supply the needed substrates for methylation and offset the diversion of methyl groups even in face of high As load Genetic differences?
  • 21. Gaps, and policy implications for Arsenic control Data on all arsenic-caused cancers would be beneficial Studies from India, & Bangladesh for individual risk estimates are missing Arsenic is currently labelled as Type I Carcinogen by IARC Different levels of acceptable As exposure in different countries: in India, Bangladesh, Argentina, Chile: 50 ug/L as acceptable level; in Taiwan, United States, Europe: 10 ug/L; worldwide, WHO recommends 10 ug/L - this needs to be revised in the light of new evidence