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The AssignmentSometimes one’s choices may involve catastrophic d.docx
The Assignment
Sometimes one’s choices may involve catastrophic decisions and bear great risk and yet there can be no clear answer. For example, if a person gets a divorce, shutters a plant, sells a losing investment, or closes their business, will he or she be better off? The following case incorporates nearly all of the material you have covered this far and presents an example of one such choice where nearly all of the alternatives have a significant downside risk.
Review the following information from the article “A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood Protection System” by Stéphane Hallegatte (2005):
Hallegatte, an environmentalist, assigns a probability (p) of a Katrina-like hurricane of 1/130 in his cost-benefit analysis for flood protection. However, the levees that protect New Orleans also put other regions at greater risk. You may assume the frequency of other floods is greater than Katrina-like events (Vastag & Rein, 2011).
The new levees that were built in response to Katrina cost approximately fourteen billion dollars (in 2010). This is in addition to the direct costs of Katrina (eighty-one billion dollars in 2005).
50 percent of New Orleans is at or below sea level.
A
100-year
event means that there is a 63 percent chance that such an event will occur within a 100-year period.
The following are the
interested (anchored and/or biased)
constituencies:
Residents of New Orleans—both those that can move and those who cannot move
Residents of the surrounding floodplains at risk from New Orleans levees
The Mayor of New Orleans
The federal government—specifically taxpayers and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)
Assume that the availability heuristics make people more risk averse (populations drop, at least in the short term). Consider how this would affect the local economy.
You are an analyst at FEMA and are in charge of developing a recommendation for both the state and the local governments on whether or not to redevelop New Orleans.
Write a report with your recommendation. Address the following in your report:
Part A
Analyze the economics of New Orleans in light of the above parameters and develop your own Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) for rebuilding.
Evaluate the value of the CBA for each constituency and integrate these estimates into a scenario model and/or decision tree. Analyze the results.
Clearly each of these constituencies may both overlap and be prey to a variety of group dynamics internally. For one of these options, discuss the decision pitfalls to which they may be susceptible and make a recommendation on how to alleviate these pressures.
Starting with your CBA, estimate the relevant expected utility for the
interested constituencies
.
Note:
You need not have absolute amounts but your relevant utilities should be proportional to one another.
Hint:
If you assume that your
total
CBA for New Orleans is fixed for each constituency (do not forget the overlaps), then each constituency will have .
Page 1 of 2 Management Decision Models ©2012 Argosy Univ.docx
Page 1 of 2
Management Decision Models
©2012 Argosy University Online Programs
Required Assignment 2—The Case For, or Against, New Orleans
Sometimes one’s choices may involve catastrophic decisions and bear great risk and yet there can be no
clear answer. For example, if a person gets a divorce, shutters a plant, sells a losing investment, or closes
their business, will he or she be better off? The following case incorporates nearly all of the material you
have covered this far and presents an example of one such choice where nearly all of the alternatives have
a significant downside risk.
Review the following information from the article “A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood
Protection System” by Stéphane Hallegatte (2005):
• Hallegatte, an environmentalist, assigns a probability (p) of a Katrina-like hurricane of 1/130 in his
cost-benefit analysis for flood protection. However, the levees that protect New Orleans also put
other regions at greater risk. You may assume the frequency of other floods is greater than Katrina-
like events (Vastag & Rein, 2011).
• The new levees that were built in response to Katrina cost approximately fourteen billion dollars (in
2010). This is in addition to the direct costs of Katrina (eighty-one billion dollars in 2005).
• 50 percent of New Orleans is at or below sea level.
• A 100-year event means that there is a 63 percent chance that such an event will occur within a
100-year period.
• The following are the interested (anchored and/or biased) constituencies:
o Residents of New Orleans—both those that can move and those who cannot move
o Residents of the surrounding floodplains at risk from New Orleans levees
o The Mayor of New Orleans
o The federal government—specifically taxpayers and the Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA)
Assume that the availability heuristics makes people more risk averse (populations drop, at least in the
short term). Consider how this would affect the local economy.
You are an analyst at FEMA and are in charge of developing a recommendation for both the state and the
local governments on whether or not to redevelop New Orleans.
Write a report with your recommendation. Address the following in your report:
Part A
• Analyze the economics of New Orleans in light of the above parameters and develop your own
Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) for rebuilding.
• Evaluate the value of the CBA for each constituency and integrate these estimates into a scenario
model and/or decision tree. Analyze the results.
• Clearly each of these constituencies may both overlap and be prey to a variety of group dynamics
internally. For one of these options, discuss the decision pitfalls to which they may be susceptible
and make a recommendation on how to alleviate these pressures.
• Starting with your CBA, estimate the relevant expected utility for the interested constituencies.
Note: You need not have absolute a.
A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans FloodProtection.docx
A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood
Protection System
Stéphane Hallegatte
To cite this version:
Stéphane Hallegatte. A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood Protection System.
AEI-Brookings Joint Center. Regulatory Analysis, 2006, pp.06-02. <hal-00164628>
HAL Id: hal-00164628
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00164628
Submitted on 22 Jul 2007
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1
A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood Protection System
Stéphane Hallegatte1
Center for Environmental Sciences and Policy, Stanford University,
and
Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement, Ecole Nationale des
Ponts-et-Chaussées
Abstract
In the early stages of rebuilding New Orleans, a decision has to be made on the
level of flood protection the city should implement. Such decisions are usually
based on cost-benefit analyses. But in such an analysis, the results are contingent on
a number of underlying assumptions and varying these assumptions can lead to
different recommendations. Indeed, though a standard first-order analysis rules out
category 5 hurricane protection, taking into account climate change and other
human-related disruptions of environment, second-order impacts of large-scale
disasters, possible changes in the discount rate, risk aversion and damage
heterogeneity may make such a hurricane protection a rational investment, even if
countervailing risks and moral hazard issues are included in the analysis. These
results stress the high sensitivity of the CBA recommendation to several uncertain
assumptions, highlight the importance of second-order costs and damage
heterogeneity in welfare losses, and show how climate change creates an additional
layer of uncertainty in infrastructure design that increases the probability of either
under-adaptation (and increased risk) or over-adaptation (and sunk costs).
Introduction
Six months after the deadly landfall of the category 4 Hurricane Katrina on New Orleans, there is
an active debate about the reconstruction of New Orleans and the design of its future flood
protection system (e.g., Schwartz, 2005; Bohannon and Enserink, 2005). Although the
reconstruction of New Orleans has been questioned by House Speaker Dennis Hastert and is still a
debated question (Hahn, 2005), this paper will .
THE NEW ORLEANS FLOOD PROTECTION SYSTEM 1.docx
THE NEW ORLEANS FLOOD PROTECTION SYSTEM 1
Case Study: The New Orleans Flood
LAARIF MEZRI
Professor Fernando Garcia
Management Decision Models
Argosy University
INTRODUCTION
Six months after the deadly landfall of the category 4 Hurricane Katrina on New Orleans, there is an active debate about the reconstruction of New Orleans and the design of its future flood protection system (e.g., Schwartz, 2005; Bohannon and Enserink, 2005). Although the reconstruction of New Orleans has been questioned by House Speaker Dennis Hastert and is still a debated question (Hahn, 2005), this report tries to:
· Analyze the economics of New Orleans in light of the parameters given and developing a Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) for rebuilding.
· Evaluate the value of the CBA for each constituency and integrate these estimates into a scenario model and/or decision tree.
· For either of these options, to discuss the decision pitfalls to which they may be susceptible and make a recommendation on how to alleviate these pressures
· estimate the relevant expected utility for the interested constituencies
An analysis of the economics of new Orleans in light of the parameters given and developing a Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) for rebuilding. To carry out a CBA of a category 5 flood protection system in New Orleans, I assessed the cost, C, of such a system, and its expected benefits, B. On the one hand, assessing the cost, C, of an upgrade of the protection system was not that complicated, even though it required a precise definition of the system and an assessment of its construction and maintenance costs (Timmerman, 2012). In the very early stages of rebuilding, FEMA analysts evaluated that the new levees that will be built in response to Katrina cost approximately fourteen billion dollars (in 2010). This is in addition to the direct costs of Katrina (eighty-one billion dollars in 2005).
On the other hand, assessing expected benefits is much more problematic, as one would need to take into account benefits of various natures (avoidance of casualties, injuries, economic losses, psychological trauma, etc...) impacting different groups of people and possibly lying far in the future. This aggregation problem has been largely discussed; see, for instance, Adler (2005) or Schneider et al. (2000) for aggregation issues between different categories of impacts and Portney and Weyant (1999) for issues concerning inter-temporal aggregation.
Regardless of these important problems, benefits can be defined as the net present value of the expected amount of damages avoided by the protection system upgrade. These benefits can, therefore, be calculated as the discounted sum, for each year from now through the lifetime of the protection system, of the annual probability that a category 5 hurricane hits New Orleans multiplied by the difference between the damages of such a hurricane on a category 4 versus a category 5 protection system. Thi ...
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Hazard Mitigation PaperBased on the instructions found in Week 1 a.docx
Hazard Mitigation Paper
Based on the instructions found in Week 1 and using the outline approved in Week 3, submit your final 7+ page "Hazard Mitigation Paper"
Hazard Mitigation Response Paper for W7 Instructions
Download "
Hazard Mitigation Template
" ********SEE ATTACHED******
This assignment is intended to grasp your insight into the numerous potential and man-made disasters for which emergency planners must be prepared to deal. Emergency management is a quickly evolving profession with many opportunities for individuals who wish to pursue it as a career. This exercise will offer insights into the scope and responsibilities of individuals in the profession.
You will be provided a "Hazard Mitigation Template" (see above), from the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency. You will be asked to complete the five exercises in the worksheet for your community, or a community of your choice, as the focus for the mitigation study. This exercise requires a deal of research and analysis on their part.
After doing the research required to complete each of the five sections of the worksheet, you must also final report which thoroughly examines the risks, preparedness, and response capabilities of the community.
At the end of Week 3, you will develop an outline and email that course of action for the exercise to your instructor for approval, and comments.
For the final report you should also include suggestions on how to mitigate the risks and improve response capabilities. You may also include relevant charts, graphs, and other illustrations to support, supplement and/or clarify.
Thorough data collection for this exercise requires time. You should start data collection immediately in order to have enough time to collect, synthesize and report on the data.
Some possible resources for data include:
Emergency management web sites of the community the students have selected.
Police and fire websites.
Their local emergency management department. Often communities of size have an emergency management department. In smaller communities it is often the fire chief who is the designated emergency manager.
The community’s Streets Department or Traffic Engineering Department.
Local utility companies.
Other internet sources.
Outside readings for this project include:
Your text
The Hazard Mitigation Planning Template itself is a great source of information.
The Hazard Mitigation Planning Tools and Techniques Guide,
Download here.
The community’s planning department.
The community’s budget department.
You must remember when doing the exercise to also consider surrounding communities because their disasters can also affect your community and become your responsibility. Consider industrial manufacturing using toxic substances, military bases, large scale utility sites, etc. that may be close by. This exercise is a chance for you to develop a mitigation plan for the community you have chosen.
View this exercise as if you are the newly appointed e.
1 A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood P.docx
1
A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood Protection System
Stéphane Hallegatte1
Center for Environmental Sciences and Policy, Stanford University,
and
Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement, Ecole Nationale des
Ponts-et-Chaussées
Abstract
In the early stages of rebuilding New Orleans, a decision has to be made on the
level of flood protection the city should implement. Such decisions are usually
based on cost-benefit analyses. But in such an analysis, the results are contingent on
a number of underlying assumptions and varying these assumptions can lead to
different recommendations. Indeed, though a standard first-order analysis rules out
category 5 hurricane protection, taking into account climate change and other
human-related disruptions of environment, second-order impacts of large-scale
disasters, possible changes in the discount rate, risk aversion and damage
heterogeneity may make such a hurricane protection a rational investment, even if
countervailing risks and moral hazard issues are included in the analysis. These
results stress the high sensitivity of the CBA recommendation to several uncertain
assumptions, highlight the importance of second-order costs and damage
heterogeneity in welfare losses, and show how climate change creates an additional
layer of uncertainty in infrastructure design that increases the probability of either
under-adaptation (and increased risk) or over-adaptation (and sunk costs).
Introduction
Six months after the deadly landfall of the category 4 Hurricane Katrina on New Orleans, there is
an active debate about the reconstruction of New Orleans and the design of its future flood
protection system (e.g., Schwartz, 2005; Bohannon and Enserink, 2005). Although the
reconstruction of New Orleans has been questioned by House Speaker Dennis Hastert and is still a
debated question (Hahn, 2005), this paper will assume that it will be eventually carried out and
focus on an adjacent question, namely the necessity of making the city flood protection system able
to cope with category 5 hurricanes.
1 corresponding author ([email protected]). I am grateful to Philippe Ambrosi, Hans-Martin Füssel, François
Gusdorf, Minh Ha-Duong, Robert Hahn, Mike Jackson, Mike Mastrandrea and Jonathan Wiener for very useful
suggestions and advices on the form and content of this article. This research was supported by the European
Commission's Project No. 12975 (NEST) “Extreme events: Causes and consequences (E2-C2)”.
2
The design of natural disaster protection systems is based on cost-benefit analyses (CBA; see for
instance Arrow et al., 1996), even though other decision-making frameworks have been proposed
(e.g., the precautionary principle). In a CBA framework, New Orleans would only benefit from a
flood protection system able to cope with category 5 hurrica ...
Disaster Resilience Scorecard for Cities
Based on the 'Ten Essentials', this disaster resilience scorecard identifies risk and provides a basis for future investments.
IBM and AECOM have developed the Disaster Resilience Scorecard for the United Nations Making Cities Resilient Campaign, to be available free to any city to enable it to assess its resilience to natural hazards. While some hazards such as earthquakes and tsunamis have always been present, others such as floods, hurricanes, tornados or heat events are expected to increase in frequency and severity due to the changing climate. With growing populations and urbanization putting more lives and economic activity in harm’s way, it is imperative that the world’s cities learn to understand and manage the risks that they face. The scorecard provides a mechanism to measure a city’s progress in this activity and allow the city to develop a prioritized list of actions to be taken to improve resilience. This document answers frequently asked questions.
Public health professionals must be involved in numerous plannin.docx
Public health professionals must be involved in numerous planning activities that are related to emergency public health responses. This aspect of environmental health is fast becoming a highly popular sector. Events related to natural disasters and responses to terror attacks over the past decade have become very real.
This assignment addresses emergency public health responses that are capable of providing meaningful help to communities when such events become evident.
Consider the following:
The city of Centervale has a population of 75,000 and continues to grow. It is located approximately forty-five miles outside of a huge metropolitan area of over two million people.
Centervale has been developing their local disaster management plan since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. The city elects a mayor and city council which contracts a city manager.
City officials and planners have been following the latest protocols as provided for instate and federal guidelines for a community of its size and configuration. However, the city’s plans have mostly focused on responses to terrorism threats. Plans show incomplete responses to other public health emergencies or natural disasters. For the most part they have continued to rely on local first responder protocols that have been in place for years.
You have been invited as a Disaster Management and Emergency Preparedness specialist to make a proposal to the city council, in the hopes that they will hire you to help Centervale fully develop its plans to include protocols for a full and measured response to other disasters of a public health nature, including natural disasters.
The city council is allowing you forty-five minutes for your presentation. Keep in mind the scalability factor for the size of population and location. Your presentation must include a risk-based, all-hazards, and capability-approach response. Be sure to address the following in your presentation:
Common Mission Area
Prevent Mission Area
Respond Mission Area
Protect Mission Area
Recover Mission Area
Use the National Preparedness Guidelines (NPG) as a starting point in researching relevant information.
Complete the following:
Develop a PowerPoint presentation that outlines your suggested path to updating Centervale’s disaster management plan.
Ensure you support your arguments with examples and scholarly references.
Use the slide speaker’s notes to clarify further explanations. You may also use the audio function in your presentation.
Develop a 10–15-slide presentation in PowerPoint format. Apply APA standards to citation of sources. Use the following file naming convention: LastnameFirstInitial_M5_A2.doc.
By the due date assigned
, deliver your assignment to the
Submissions Area
.
LASA Grading Criteria
:
Assignment ComponentsMaximum Points
Identify two public health threats to Centervale, one that arises from terrorism and one that arises from natural disasters.
CO 1, 2, 4
PO 1.b, 2.a, 4.a ...
Page 1 of 3 This assessment provides you with the o.docx
Page 1 of 3
This assessment provides you with the opportunity to apply your knowledge of population
health principles and epidemiology to a public health issue in Cockatoo Rest.
CONTEXT:
The Cockatoo Rest Hospital has alerted the community that it is currently experiencing a staff
shortage, especially in their nursing workforce. It is believed that increasing numbers of
hospitalisations for selected health conditions might also be contributing to the problem. Three
conditions are of particular concern: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), stroke,
and falls injuries. Given the recognised difficulties of attracting and retaining health care
professionals in rural areas, the local authorities believe that the development of public health
prevention strategies might be an efficient and sustainable approach to reduce hospitalisations
related to these conditions and hence alleviate pressures on the health system in the short and
longer term.
YOUR TASK:
As a member of the Cockatoo Rest Public Health team, you have been asked to write a report
on one of the three conditions (i.e., you will need to choose either Chronic Obstructive
Pulmonary Disease OR Falls Injury OR Stroke to write your report), which should cover (1) the
hospitalisation rate for that condition within the Cockatoo Rest community and a comparison
to Australian statistics, (2) potential risk factors related to the condition; and (3) public health
prevention strategies.
Details for each section are provided below:
Hospitalisation rates:
The table below reports the number of hospitalisations within Cockatoo Rest in 2010 by
selected age groups for the three health conditions:
Chronic Obstructive
Pulmonary Disease (COPD)
Stroke Falls injury
Age Group
Number of
Hospitalisations
Age Group
Number of
Hospitalisations
Age Group
Number of
Hospitalisations
55-69 9 55-64 2 65-69 3
70-84 18 65-74 3 70-74 5
85+ 5 75-84 6 75-79 8
85+ 4 80-84 9
85+ 40
SP5 Population Health 2015 (HLTH 1038)
Assignment 2: Essay (40%)
Assignment 2: HLTH 1038 Population Health SP5 2015
Page 2 of 3
Your task is to use the above data and calculate the hospitalisation rate for the condition you
have chosen for the Cockatoo Rest Community for 2010 and compare it to relevant national
statistics. Hospitalisation rate is defined as the number of hospital separations (i.e., when a
patient is discharged) over a period of time for a given population. Although we have not
discussed hospitalisation rates in the course, you can assume it is like a period prevalence
where the events or cases are the hospitalisations. Information on the Cockatoo Rest
Population is presented by age group and gender in the Cockatoo Rest archive on the course
site. This section should also include a comparison of hospitalisation rates in Cockatoo Rest
with an Australian estimate you have found to determine whether hospitalisation rates are
higher.
Discussion of “Anatomy of sovereign distress: The role of financial sector fr...
A presentation by Olivier Delobbe (Banque Centrale du Luxembourg) at the Workshop on Public Finances in Riga on 21 June 2016
Assessment essay
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Click on the following links for the Phase 4 Reading AssignmentNI.docx
Click on the following links for the Phase 4 Reading Assignment:
NIMS Supporting Technology Evaluation Program
For this assignment, you will research and examine an actual emergency situation of your choosing (either a man-made or natural disaster) occurring within the last 8 years that required interaction among the local, state, and national levels. The research and examination should be reported in a paper written from the position of a local emergency management employee assigned to draft a report to the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). This assignment will require research into the authority, responsibility, and technological capabilities of FEMA.
Within the past 8 years, there have been many catastrophes, not necessarily involving terrorist acts but requiring crisis management resources. Examples include Hurricane Katrina; the 2010 oil well explosion and oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico; the broken natural gas pipeline and resulting explosion in San Bruno, California; and major wildfires in California, Colorado, and other states, to name a few.
Assignment Guidelines
Address the following in a report of 750 words:
Briefly describe and summarize the event.
When did the event occur, and what happened?
Were there any casualties or injuries?
Was there any environmental damage? If so, explain
What was the primary cause of the event? Explain.
What intergovernmental jurisdictions were involved? How were they coordinated? Explain.
What types of technology were used during the response and recovery phases? Summarize them.
What tools, equipment, or technology could have significantly improved relief efforts? How?
Were any special technologies or scientific developments used to restore the situation back to normal? If so, explain.
Who should be responsible for funding and providing the tools, equipment, and technology—federal, state, or local governments? Why?
Were there any coordination problems, such as interagency communication or conflict? Why or why not?
What types of forecasting technologies could have been or were used in the event you selected? Explain.
Were they effective? Why or why not?
What conclusions and recommendations could you make? Explain.
Compile your responses in the final report, and submit the file to your instructor.
Be sure to reference all sources using APA style.
.
Integrated vulnerability and risk assessment framework for cities karki joshi
Vulnerability and risk assessment framework for climatic and non-climatic hazards in cities
Stochastic life cycle costing
Life cycle costing (LCC) analysis helps you compare several investment opportunities based on the costs and revenues each investment generates over several years. You can learn how to perform a simple LCC in the application note "Life cycle costing (LCC): the basics".
Basic LCC is a good method for making informed decisions, but the outcome of such an analysis depends heavily on the quality of the input data and the assumptions you make. Energy prices, maintenance expenses, availability and discount rates are just some of the parameters you need to estimate. But it doesn’t stop there. You also need to able to defend your estimates. After all, each parameter can have a huge impact on your final decision. A critical audience, such as your management or funders, will undoubtedly test the robustness of your decision.
You can strengthen your case by including a sensitivity and risk analysis – in other words, perform a stochastic LCC analysis. It doesn’t necessarily require more or better information than a basic LCC analysis, but it does allow you to deal more effectively with the limited information at your disposal. A sensitivity analysis shows you how robust your decision is: in other words, would your choice between several investment opportunities change if any of the input parameters changed? A risk analysis shows you which risks you could manage to safeguard the profitability of your project.
This application note will teach you the basics of Monte Carlo Simulation, a powerful method that allows you to deal with risks and uncertainty by building and running a stochastic LCC model. Each step in the 5-step procedure is illustrated with a running example, which you can check yourself in MS Excel, using a free software add-in.
Assignment 1 LASA 2 Monitoring Our Home PlanetThe Internet is a .docx
Assignment 1: LASA 2: Monitoring Our Home Planet
The Internet is a powerful tool that provides the ability to monitor natural phenomena and disasters that happen all over planet Earth.
In this assignment, you will research resources available on the Internet for monitoring natural phenomena including earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunamis, global climate, and weather.
Based on your research, do the following:
Identify a minimum of three different natural phenomena that are typically responsible for natural disasters. Analyze the potential impact of these disasters.
Analyze how these phenomenon are monitored, or not, via the Internet. Critique available Web sites, which publicly display up-to-date monitored information related to each of the natural phenomena you have identified. Focus on the following aspects:
Geography
What parts of the world are potentially affected by these phenomena? Specifically identify the countries.
Resources
What kinds of resources are allocated toward monitoring these phenomena and why?
What types of Web resources monitor the phenomena and provide up-to-date information about them?
What kinds of technology are involved in monitoring the phenomena?
Politics
What political ramifications would this disaster-preparedness technology cause between more-developed countries and less-developed countries?
What kinds of issues could this technology cause between less-developed countries?
Economics
How would this technology directly impact the economies of those countries that have the technology versus those countries that do not?
Do you predict any indirect impacts? What current evidence supports your position?
Disaster Preparedness
What types of systems are in place in terms of disaster preparedness related to these monitored phenomena?
Summarize your findings. Evaluate how this technology will impact the future of humanity, both positively and negatively. Be sure to consider the political and economic issues discussed in your future predictions.
Support your statements with examples. Use a minimum of six reliable references, two of which should be peer-reviewed articles.
Write a 7–8-page paper in Word format. Apply APA standards to citation of sources. Use the following file naming convention: LastnameFirstInitial_M5_A1.doc.
By
Monday, April 24, 2017
, deliver your assignment to the
M5: Assignment 1 Dropbox
.
Grading Criteria and Rubric
Assignment 1 Grading Criteria
Maximum Points
Identify a minimum of three different naturally occurring phenomena that are typically responsible for natural disasters and analyze the potential impact of the disaster.
104
Analyze ways different Web sites monitor phenomena by critiquing available Web resources. Analysis should include topics such as geography, resources, political/economic issues, and disaster preparedness.
104
Summarize and discuss future projections on humanity regarding the use of technology. Include research on political and economic issues.
28
Writing Components:
Organization .
davospan
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
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The AssignmentSometimes one’s choices may involve catastrophic d.docx
The Assignment
Sometimes one’s choices may involve catastrophic decisions and bear great risk and yet there can be no clear answer. For example, if a person gets a divorce, shutters a plant, sells a losing investment, or closes their business, will he or she be better off? The following case incorporates nearly all of the material you have covered this far and presents an example of one such choice where nearly all of the alternatives have a significant downside risk.
Review the following information from the article “A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood Protection System” by Stéphane Hallegatte (2005):
Hallegatte, an environmentalist, assigns a probability (p) of a Katrina-like hurricane of 1/130 in his cost-benefit analysis for flood protection. However, the levees that protect New Orleans also put other regions at greater risk. You may assume the frequency of other floods is greater than Katrina-like events (Vastag & Rein, 2011).
The new levees that were built in response to Katrina cost approximately fourteen billion dollars (in 2010). This is in addition to the direct costs of Katrina (eighty-one billion dollars in 2005).
50 percent of New Orleans is at or below sea level.
A
100-year
event means that there is a 63 percent chance that such an event will occur within a 100-year period.
The following are the
interested (anchored and/or biased)
constituencies:
Residents of New Orleans—both those that can move and those who cannot move
Residents of the surrounding floodplains at risk from New Orleans levees
The Mayor of New Orleans
The federal government—specifically taxpayers and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)
Assume that the availability heuristics make people more risk averse (populations drop, at least in the short term). Consider how this would affect the local economy.
You are an analyst at FEMA and are in charge of developing a recommendation for both the state and the local governments on whether or not to redevelop New Orleans.
Write a report with your recommendation. Address the following in your report:
Part A
Analyze the economics of New Orleans in light of the above parameters and develop your own Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) for rebuilding.
Evaluate the value of the CBA for each constituency and integrate these estimates into a scenario model and/or decision tree. Analyze the results.
Clearly each of these constituencies may both overlap and be prey to a variety of group dynamics internally. For one of these options, discuss the decision pitfalls to which they may be susceptible and make a recommendation on how to alleviate these pressures.
Starting with your CBA, estimate the relevant expected utility for the
interested constituencies
.
Note:
You need not have absolute amounts but your relevant utilities should be proportional to one another.
Hint:
If you assume that your
total
CBA for New Orleans is fixed for each constituency (do not forget the overlaps), then each constituency will have .
Page 1 of 2 Management Decision Models ©2012 Argosy Univ.docx
Page 1 of 2
Management Decision Models
©2012 Argosy University Online Programs
Required Assignment 2—The Case For, or Against, New Orleans
Sometimes one’s choices may involve catastrophic decisions and bear great risk and yet there can be no
clear answer. For example, if a person gets a divorce, shutters a plant, sells a losing investment, or closes
their business, will he or she be better off? The following case incorporates nearly all of the material you
have covered this far and presents an example of one such choice where nearly all of the alternatives have
a significant downside risk.
Review the following information from the article “A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood
Protection System” by Stéphane Hallegatte (2005):
• Hallegatte, an environmentalist, assigns a probability (p) of a Katrina-like hurricane of 1/130 in his
cost-benefit analysis for flood protection. However, the levees that protect New Orleans also put
other regions at greater risk. You may assume the frequency of other floods is greater than Katrina-
like events (Vastag & Rein, 2011).
• The new levees that were built in response to Katrina cost approximately fourteen billion dollars (in
2010). This is in addition to the direct costs of Katrina (eighty-one billion dollars in 2005).
• 50 percent of New Orleans is at or below sea level.
• A 100-year event means that there is a 63 percent chance that such an event will occur within a
100-year period.
• The following are the interested (anchored and/or biased) constituencies:
o Residents of New Orleans—both those that can move and those who cannot move
o Residents of the surrounding floodplains at risk from New Orleans levees
o The Mayor of New Orleans
o The federal government—specifically taxpayers and the Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA)
Assume that the availability heuristics makes people more risk averse (populations drop, at least in the
short term). Consider how this would affect the local economy.
You are an analyst at FEMA and are in charge of developing a recommendation for both the state and the
local governments on whether or not to redevelop New Orleans.
Write a report with your recommendation. Address the following in your report:
Part A
• Analyze the economics of New Orleans in light of the above parameters and develop your own
Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) for rebuilding.
• Evaluate the value of the CBA for each constituency and integrate these estimates into a scenario
model and/or decision tree. Analyze the results.
• Clearly each of these constituencies may both overlap and be prey to a variety of group dynamics
internally. For one of these options, discuss the decision pitfalls to which they may be susceptible
and make a recommendation on how to alleviate these pressures.
• Starting with your CBA, estimate the relevant expected utility for the interested constituencies.
Note: You need not have absolute a.
A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans FloodProtection.docx
A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood
Protection System
Stéphane Hallegatte
To cite this version:
Stéphane Hallegatte. A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood Protection System.
AEI-Brookings Joint Center. Regulatory Analysis, 2006, pp.06-02. <hal-00164628>
HAL Id: hal-00164628
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00164628
Submitted on 22 Jul 2007
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1
A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood Protection System
Stéphane Hallegatte1
Center for Environmental Sciences and Policy, Stanford University,
and
Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement, Ecole Nationale des
Ponts-et-Chaussées
Abstract
In the early stages of rebuilding New Orleans, a decision has to be made on the
level of flood protection the city should implement. Such decisions are usually
based on cost-benefit analyses. But in such an analysis, the results are contingent on
a number of underlying assumptions and varying these assumptions can lead to
different recommendations. Indeed, though a standard first-order analysis rules out
category 5 hurricane protection, taking into account climate change and other
human-related disruptions of environment, second-order impacts of large-scale
disasters, possible changes in the discount rate, risk aversion and damage
heterogeneity may make such a hurricane protection a rational investment, even if
countervailing risks and moral hazard issues are included in the analysis. These
results stress the high sensitivity of the CBA recommendation to several uncertain
assumptions, highlight the importance of second-order costs and damage
heterogeneity in welfare losses, and show how climate change creates an additional
layer of uncertainty in infrastructure design that increases the probability of either
under-adaptation (and increased risk) or over-adaptation (and sunk costs).
Introduction
Six months after the deadly landfall of the category 4 Hurricane Katrina on New Orleans, there is
an active debate about the reconstruction of New Orleans and the design of its future flood
protection system (e.g., Schwartz, 2005; Bohannon and Enserink, 2005). Although the
reconstruction of New Orleans has been questioned by House Speaker Dennis Hastert and is still a
debated question (Hahn, 2005), this paper will .
THE NEW ORLEANS FLOOD PROTECTION SYSTEM 1.docx
THE NEW ORLEANS FLOOD PROTECTION SYSTEM 1
Case Study: The New Orleans Flood
LAARIF MEZRI
Professor Fernando Garcia
Management Decision Models
Argosy University
INTRODUCTION
Six months after the deadly landfall of the category 4 Hurricane Katrina on New Orleans, there is an active debate about the reconstruction of New Orleans and the design of its future flood protection system (e.g., Schwartz, 2005; Bohannon and Enserink, 2005). Although the reconstruction of New Orleans has been questioned by House Speaker Dennis Hastert and is still a debated question (Hahn, 2005), this report tries to:
· Analyze the economics of New Orleans in light of the parameters given and developing a Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) for rebuilding.
· Evaluate the value of the CBA for each constituency and integrate these estimates into a scenario model and/or decision tree.
· For either of these options, to discuss the decision pitfalls to which they may be susceptible and make a recommendation on how to alleviate these pressures
· estimate the relevant expected utility for the interested constituencies
An analysis of the economics of new Orleans in light of the parameters given and developing a Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA) for rebuilding. To carry out a CBA of a category 5 flood protection system in New Orleans, I assessed the cost, C, of such a system, and its expected benefits, B. On the one hand, assessing the cost, C, of an upgrade of the protection system was not that complicated, even though it required a precise definition of the system and an assessment of its construction and maintenance costs (Timmerman, 2012). In the very early stages of rebuilding, FEMA analysts evaluated that the new levees that will be built in response to Katrina cost approximately fourteen billion dollars (in 2010). This is in addition to the direct costs of Katrina (eighty-one billion dollars in 2005).
On the other hand, assessing expected benefits is much more problematic, as one would need to take into account benefits of various natures (avoidance of casualties, injuries, economic losses, psychological trauma, etc...) impacting different groups of people and possibly lying far in the future. This aggregation problem has been largely discussed; see, for instance, Adler (2005) or Schneider et al. (2000) for aggregation issues between different categories of impacts and Portney and Weyant (1999) for issues concerning inter-temporal aggregation.
Regardless of these important problems, benefits can be defined as the net present value of the expected amount of damages avoided by the protection system upgrade. These benefits can, therefore, be calculated as the discounted sum, for each year from now through the lifetime of the protection system, of the annual probability that a category 5 hurricane hits New Orleans multiplied by the difference between the damages of such a hurricane on a category 4 versus a category 5 protection system. Thi ...
Climatic change august 2011 tell us more 10.1007 s10584 011-0187-5[1]
Climatic change august 2011 tell us more 10.1007 s10584 011-0187-5[1]Princeton University Energy & Climate Scholars
Hazard Mitigation PaperBased on the instructions found in Week 1 a.docx
Hazard Mitigation Paper
Based on the instructions found in Week 1 and using the outline approved in Week 3, submit your final 7+ page "Hazard Mitigation Paper"
Hazard Mitigation Response Paper for W7 Instructions
Download "
Hazard Mitigation Template
" ********SEE ATTACHED******
This assignment is intended to grasp your insight into the numerous potential and man-made disasters for which emergency planners must be prepared to deal. Emergency management is a quickly evolving profession with many opportunities for individuals who wish to pursue it as a career. This exercise will offer insights into the scope and responsibilities of individuals in the profession.
You will be provided a "Hazard Mitigation Template" (see above), from the Pennsylvania Emergency Management Agency. You will be asked to complete the five exercises in the worksheet for your community, or a community of your choice, as the focus for the mitigation study. This exercise requires a deal of research and analysis on their part.
After doing the research required to complete each of the five sections of the worksheet, you must also final report which thoroughly examines the risks, preparedness, and response capabilities of the community.
At the end of Week 3, you will develop an outline and email that course of action for the exercise to your instructor for approval, and comments.
For the final report you should also include suggestions on how to mitigate the risks and improve response capabilities. You may also include relevant charts, graphs, and other illustrations to support, supplement and/or clarify.
Thorough data collection for this exercise requires time. You should start data collection immediately in order to have enough time to collect, synthesize and report on the data.
Some possible resources for data include:
Emergency management web sites of the community the students have selected.
Police and fire websites.
Their local emergency management department. Often communities of size have an emergency management department. In smaller communities it is often the fire chief who is the designated emergency manager.
The community’s Streets Department or Traffic Engineering Department.
Local utility companies.
Other internet sources.
Outside readings for this project include:
Your text
The Hazard Mitigation Planning Template itself is a great source of information.
The Hazard Mitigation Planning Tools and Techniques Guide,
Download here.
The community’s planning department.
The community’s budget department.
You must remember when doing the exercise to also consider surrounding communities because their disasters can also affect your community and become your responsibility. Consider industrial manufacturing using toxic substances, military bases, large scale utility sites, etc. that may be close by. This exercise is a chance for you to develop a mitigation plan for the community you have chosen.
View this exercise as if you are the newly appointed e.
1 A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood P.docx
1
A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the New Orleans Flood Protection System
Stéphane Hallegatte1
Center for Environmental Sciences and Policy, Stanford University,
and
Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement, Ecole Nationale des
Ponts-et-Chaussées
Abstract
In the early stages of rebuilding New Orleans, a decision has to be made on the
level of flood protection the city should implement. Such decisions are usually
based on cost-benefit analyses. But in such an analysis, the results are contingent on
a number of underlying assumptions and varying these assumptions can lead to
different recommendations. Indeed, though a standard first-order analysis rules out
category 5 hurricane protection, taking into account climate change and other
human-related disruptions of environment, second-order impacts of large-scale
disasters, possible changes in the discount rate, risk aversion and damage
heterogeneity may make such a hurricane protection a rational investment, even if
countervailing risks and moral hazard issues are included in the analysis. These
results stress the high sensitivity of the CBA recommendation to several uncertain
assumptions, highlight the importance of second-order costs and damage
heterogeneity in welfare losses, and show how climate change creates an additional
layer of uncertainty in infrastructure design that increases the probability of either
under-adaptation (and increased risk) or over-adaptation (and sunk costs).
Introduction
Six months after the deadly landfall of the category 4 Hurricane Katrina on New Orleans, there is
an active debate about the reconstruction of New Orleans and the design of its future flood
protection system (e.g., Schwartz, 2005; Bohannon and Enserink, 2005). Although the
reconstruction of New Orleans has been questioned by House Speaker Dennis Hastert and is still a
debated question (Hahn, 2005), this paper will assume that it will be eventually carried out and
focus on an adjacent question, namely the necessity of making the city flood protection system able
to cope with category 5 hurricanes.
1 corresponding author ([email protected]). I am grateful to Philippe Ambrosi, Hans-Martin Füssel, François
Gusdorf, Minh Ha-Duong, Robert Hahn, Mike Jackson, Mike Mastrandrea and Jonathan Wiener for very useful
suggestions and advices on the form and content of this article. This research was supported by the European
Commission's Project No. 12975 (NEST) “Extreme events: Causes and consequences (E2-C2)”.
2
The design of natural disaster protection systems is based on cost-benefit analyses (CBA; see for
instance Arrow et al., 1996), even though other decision-making frameworks have been proposed
(e.g., the precautionary principle). In a CBA framework, New Orleans would only benefit from a
flood protection system able to cope with category 5 hurrica ...
Disaster Resilience Scorecard for Cities
Based on the 'Ten Essentials', this disaster resilience scorecard identifies risk and provides a basis for future investments.
IBM and AECOM have developed the Disaster Resilience Scorecard for the United Nations Making Cities Resilient Campaign, to be available free to any city to enable it to assess its resilience to natural hazards. While some hazards such as earthquakes and tsunamis have always been present, others such as floods, hurricanes, tornados or heat events are expected to increase in frequency and severity due to the changing climate. With growing populations and urbanization putting more lives and economic activity in harm’s way, it is imperative that the world’s cities learn to understand and manage the risks that they face. The scorecard provides a mechanism to measure a city’s progress in this activity and allow the city to develop a prioritized list of actions to be taken to improve resilience. This document answers frequently asked questions.
Public health professionals must be involved in numerous plannin.docx
Public health professionals must be involved in numerous planning activities that are related to emergency public health responses. This aspect of environmental health is fast becoming a highly popular sector. Events related to natural disasters and responses to terror attacks over the past decade have become very real.
This assignment addresses emergency public health responses that are capable of providing meaningful help to communities when such events become evident.
Consider the following:
The city of Centervale has a population of 75,000 and continues to grow. It is located approximately forty-five miles outside of a huge metropolitan area of over two million people.
Centervale has been developing their local disaster management plan since the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. The city elects a mayor and city council which contracts a city manager.
City officials and planners have been following the latest protocols as provided for instate and federal guidelines for a community of its size and configuration. However, the city’s plans have mostly focused on responses to terrorism threats. Plans show incomplete responses to other public health emergencies or natural disasters. For the most part they have continued to rely on local first responder protocols that have been in place for years.
You have been invited as a Disaster Management and Emergency Preparedness specialist to make a proposal to the city council, in the hopes that they will hire you to help Centervale fully develop its plans to include protocols for a full and measured response to other disasters of a public health nature, including natural disasters.
The city council is allowing you forty-five minutes for your presentation. Keep in mind the scalability factor for the size of population and location. Your presentation must include a risk-based, all-hazards, and capability-approach response. Be sure to address the following in your presentation:
Common Mission Area
Prevent Mission Area
Respond Mission Area
Protect Mission Area
Recover Mission Area
Use the National Preparedness Guidelines (NPG) as a starting point in researching relevant information.
Complete the following:
Develop a PowerPoint presentation that outlines your suggested path to updating Centervale’s disaster management plan.
Ensure you support your arguments with examples and scholarly references.
Use the slide speaker’s notes to clarify further explanations. You may also use the audio function in your presentation.
Develop a 10–15-slide presentation in PowerPoint format. Apply APA standards to citation of sources. Use the following file naming convention: LastnameFirstInitial_M5_A2.doc.
By the due date assigned
, deliver your assignment to the
Submissions Area
.
LASA Grading Criteria
:
Assignment ComponentsMaximum Points
Identify two public health threats to Centervale, one that arises from terrorism and one that arises from natural disasters.
CO 1, 2, 4
PO 1.b, 2.a, 4.a ...
Page 1 of 3 This assessment provides you with the o.docx
Page 1 of 3
This assessment provides you with the opportunity to apply your knowledge of population
health principles and epidemiology to a public health issue in Cockatoo Rest.
CONTEXT:
The Cockatoo Rest Hospital has alerted the community that it is currently experiencing a staff
shortage, especially in their nursing workforce. It is believed that increasing numbers of
hospitalisations for selected health conditions might also be contributing to the problem. Three
conditions are of particular concern: Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), stroke,
and falls injuries. Given the recognised difficulties of attracting and retaining health care
professionals in rural areas, the local authorities believe that the development of public health
prevention strategies might be an efficient and sustainable approach to reduce hospitalisations
related to these conditions and hence alleviate pressures on the health system in the short and
longer term.
YOUR TASK:
As a member of the Cockatoo Rest Public Health team, you have been asked to write a report
on one of the three conditions (i.e., you will need to choose either Chronic Obstructive
Pulmonary Disease OR Falls Injury OR Stroke to write your report), which should cover (1) the
hospitalisation rate for that condition within the Cockatoo Rest community and a comparison
to Australian statistics, (2) potential risk factors related to the condition; and (3) public health
prevention strategies.
Details for each section are provided below:
Hospitalisation rates:
The table below reports the number of hospitalisations within Cockatoo Rest in 2010 by
selected age groups for the three health conditions:
Chronic Obstructive
Pulmonary Disease (COPD)
Stroke Falls injury
Age Group
Number of
Hospitalisations
Age Group
Number of
Hospitalisations
Age Group
Number of
Hospitalisations
55-69 9 55-64 2 65-69 3
70-84 18 65-74 3 70-74 5
85+ 5 75-84 6 75-79 8
85+ 4 80-84 9
85+ 40
SP5 Population Health 2015 (HLTH 1038)
Assignment 2: Essay (40%)
Assignment 2: HLTH 1038 Population Health SP5 2015
Page 2 of 3
Your task is to use the above data and calculate the hospitalisation rate for the condition you
have chosen for the Cockatoo Rest Community for 2010 and compare it to relevant national
statistics. Hospitalisation rate is defined as the number of hospital separations (i.e., when a
patient is discharged) over a period of time for a given population. Although we have not
discussed hospitalisation rates in the course, you can assume it is like a period prevalence
where the events or cases are the hospitalisations. Information on the Cockatoo Rest
Population is presented by age group and gender in the Cockatoo Rest archive on the course
site. This section should also include a comparison of hospitalisation rates in Cockatoo Rest
with an Australian estimate you have found to determine whether hospitalisation rates are
higher.
Discussion of “Anatomy of sovereign distress: The role of financial sector fr...
A presentation by Olivier Delobbe (Banque Centrale du Luxembourg) at the Workshop on Public Finances in Riga on 21 June 2016
Assessment essay
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Click on the following links for the Phase 4 Reading AssignmentNI.docx
Click on the following links for the Phase 4 Reading Assignment:
NIMS Supporting Technology Evaluation Program
For this assignment, you will research and examine an actual emergency situation of your choosing (either a man-made or natural disaster) occurring within the last 8 years that required interaction among the local, state, and national levels. The research and examination should be reported in a paper written from the position of a local emergency management employee assigned to draft a report to the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). This assignment will require research into the authority, responsibility, and technological capabilities of FEMA.
Within the past 8 years, there have been many catastrophes, not necessarily involving terrorist acts but requiring crisis management resources. Examples include Hurricane Katrina; the 2010 oil well explosion and oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico; the broken natural gas pipeline and resulting explosion in San Bruno, California; and major wildfires in California, Colorado, and other states, to name a few.
Assignment Guidelines
Address the following in a report of 750 words:
Briefly describe and summarize the event.
When did the event occur, and what happened?
Were there any casualties or injuries?
Was there any environmental damage? If so, explain
What was the primary cause of the event? Explain.
What intergovernmental jurisdictions were involved? How were they coordinated? Explain.
What types of technology were used during the response and recovery phases? Summarize them.
What tools, equipment, or technology could have significantly improved relief efforts? How?
Were any special technologies or scientific developments used to restore the situation back to normal? If so, explain.
Who should be responsible for funding and providing the tools, equipment, and technology—federal, state, or local governments? Why?
Were there any coordination problems, such as interagency communication or conflict? Why or why not?
What types of forecasting technologies could have been or were used in the event you selected? Explain.
Were they effective? Why or why not?
What conclusions and recommendations could you make? Explain.
Compile your responses in the final report, and submit the file to your instructor.
Be sure to reference all sources using APA style.
.
Integrated vulnerability and risk assessment framework for cities karki joshi
Vulnerability and risk assessment framework for climatic and non-climatic hazards in cities
Stochastic life cycle costing
Life cycle costing (LCC) analysis helps you compare several investment opportunities based on the costs and revenues each investment generates over several years. You can learn how to perform a simple LCC in the application note "Life cycle costing (LCC): the basics".
Basic LCC is a good method for making informed decisions, but the outcome of such an analysis depends heavily on the quality of the input data and the assumptions you make. Energy prices, maintenance expenses, availability and discount rates are just some of the parameters you need to estimate. But it doesn’t stop there. You also need to able to defend your estimates. After all, each parameter can have a huge impact on your final decision. A critical audience, such as your management or funders, will undoubtedly test the robustness of your decision.
You can strengthen your case by including a sensitivity and risk analysis – in other words, perform a stochastic LCC analysis. It doesn’t necessarily require more or better information than a basic LCC analysis, but it does allow you to deal more effectively with the limited information at your disposal. A sensitivity analysis shows you how robust your decision is: in other words, would your choice between several investment opportunities change if any of the input parameters changed? A risk analysis shows you which risks you could manage to safeguard the profitability of your project.
This application note will teach you the basics of Monte Carlo Simulation, a powerful method that allows you to deal with risks and uncertainty by building and running a stochastic LCC model. Each step in the 5-step procedure is illustrated with a running example, which you can check yourself in MS Excel, using a free software add-in.
Assignment 1 LASA 2 Monitoring Our Home PlanetThe Internet is a .docx
Assignment 1: LASA 2: Monitoring Our Home Planet
The Internet is a powerful tool that provides the ability to monitor natural phenomena and disasters that happen all over planet Earth.
In this assignment, you will research resources available on the Internet for monitoring natural phenomena including earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunamis, global climate, and weather.
Based on your research, do the following:
Identify a minimum of three different natural phenomena that are typically responsible for natural disasters. Analyze the potential impact of these disasters.
Analyze how these phenomenon are monitored, or not, via the Internet. Critique available Web sites, which publicly display up-to-date monitored information related to each of the natural phenomena you have identified. Focus on the following aspects:
Geography
What parts of the world are potentially affected by these phenomena? Specifically identify the countries.
Resources
What kinds of resources are allocated toward monitoring these phenomena and why?
What types of Web resources monitor the phenomena and provide up-to-date information about them?
What kinds of technology are involved in monitoring the phenomena?
Politics
What political ramifications would this disaster-preparedness technology cause between more-developed countries and less-developed countries?
What kinds of issues could this technology cause between less-developed countries?
Economics
How would this technology directly impact the economies of those countries that have the technology versus those countries that do not?
Do you predict any indirect impacts? What current evidence supports your position?
Disaster Preparedness
What types of systems are in place in terms of disaster preparedness related to these monitored phenomena?
Summarize your findings. Evaluate how this technology will impact the future of humanity, both positively and negatively. Be sure to consider the political and economic issues discussed in your future predictions.
Support your statements with examples. Use a minimum of six reliable references, two of which should be peer-reviewed articles.
Write a 7–8-page paper in Word format. Apply APA standards to citation of sources. Use the following file naming convention: LastnameFirstInitial_M5_A1.doc.
By
Monday, April 24, 2017
, deliver your assignment to the
M5: Assignment 1 Dropbox
.
Grading Criteria and Rubric
Assignment 1 Grading Criteria
Maximum Points
Identify a minimum of three different naturally occurring phenomena that are typically responsible for natural disasters and analyze the potential impact of the disaster.
104
Analyze ways different Web sites monitor phenomena by critiquing available Web resources. Analysis should include topics such as geography, resources, political/economic issues, and disaster preparedness.
104
Summarize and discuss future projections on humanity regarding the use of technology. Include research on political and economic issues.
28
Writing Components:
Organization .
davospan
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
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