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Explore and Evaluate
Aguide to research and data forthe uninitiated
Picture: Niels Heidenreich
What do you know
about data?
Qual Quant
Qual Quant
Subjective
Objective
Longitudinal
InterdependentFidelity
Significant
p-valueconfidence interval
n
alpha normally distribute
correlated ordinal
behavioural
attitudinal
self-report
All clear?
Think of research
as a jigsaw puzzle.
Picture: Curt Smith
First you explore
the lay of the land.
What are the main colours? Where are the corners and
edges? What are good distinct starting points?
Then you start
evaluating
individual pieces
Is this the same colour as that?Are those part ofthe same
object? Does that piece fit where I think it fits?
Explore / Evaluate
The one distinction to get right!
Picture: Pablo Ruiz Múzquiz
Exploration research
is like a fishing net
Picture: Christian Haugen
Explore
You can go fishing with simple tools or complex machinery
You won’t know exactly what you will get in advance
Your catch will give you ideas about what is under the surface
Throwing the net out repeatedlywill have diminishing returns
Missing a fish will have no serious consequences
Checklist
What is it you are exploring? 

Describe the population and the part oftheir life that you’re interested in
Are you exploring all sources available to you? 

From talking to people on the street to digging through usage logs
Is your scope wide enough? 

Do not restrict the flow of incoming data. Let yourself be surprised.
Evaluative research is
like a sniper rifle
Picture: Ian Norman
Evaluate
A sniper rifle is a sophisticated and specific device
You will either hit or miss - there is little ambiguity.
You need a good idea where and what you’re aiming at
Your required accuracy is a function of the target size
Zooming in on the target reduces your breadth ofvision
Missing a shot can have serious consequences
Checklist
What are your hypotheses? 

Be specific - you want to be able to evaluate with a clear yes or no.
What accuracy do you need? 

How small is the effect you want to evaluate? Can you get enough sample for that?
When is it time to zoom out? 

Be aware that yourview is very limited. Go back to exploration frequently.
Applying research
Explore
Kick off
Time frame
depends on
Resources
depend on
Deliverables
Evaluate
As early as possible Once you have formed
hypotheses
Size of area to explore, existing
knowledge, method used
Whether hypothesis is time
based (e.g. retention)
Accessibility of the population and
what methods you need to employ
Whether a framework for evaluating
hypotheses exists (e.g. AB testing)
Condensation of the signals into
themes, potentially hypotheses
Yes/no evaluation of the hypothesis
in question
Explore
User 

Testing
Surveys
A/B Tests
Evaluate
• Small sample (3-15)
• Focus on describing the entirety of
observations
• Recommend to fix/evaluate issues
• Add caveats around reported opinions
• Match sample with desired precision
• Standardise task description and order
• Count success/fail
• Report completion rates with confidence
intervals
• Small-mid sample (<50 per segment)
• Focus on open questions
• Keep closed questions general
• Report relative frequencies
• Report confidence intervals
• Large sample (150+ per segment)
• Focus on closed questions
• Mix general and specific questions
• Report relevant means with added
confidence intervals
• Very large sample
• Compare high level metrics
• Drill into funnels to discover differences
• Look at click maps
• Report all significant differences
• Very large sample
• Focus on metrics as formulated in
hypotheses
• Report significant differences on
hypothesis metrics
Strategy
Picture: Tauno Töhk
1 Continuous delivery
Explore
Evaluate
Hypothesis A/B test
Short, concurrent exploration sprints.
Exploration through usertesting andA/B test
result analysis to generate hypotheses.
Regular A/B testing (every 2-3 weeks) to
validate hypotheses and produce more data
to explore.
2 Big bang innovation
Explore
Evaluate
Long, initial exploration phase.
Moving through prototype stage while
evaluating and refining functionality and
experience.
Build & release as a final evaluation.
Gathering data
Build and test
Form hypotheses
Initial exploration of available data, identify
themes to test.
High level evaluation of hypothesis themes.
Break down themes into test waves.
Iterate through themes in parallel.
Next waves informed by test result and
concurrent exploration.
3 Iterative redesign
Explore
Evaluate
Explore
Evaluate
Direction
Start evaluating themes
Define themes to take forward
Iterate on MVPtests
Release and iterate
What do you know
about data?
What do you know
about data?Explore
Evaluate
Thank you.
Ben Dressler
Data visualisation: Niels Heidenreich https://www.flickr.com/photos/schoschie/
LHC: Pablo Ruiz Múzquiz https://www.flickr.com/photos/angelaypablo/
Fishing net: Christian Haugen https://www.flickr.com/photos/christianhaugen/3290641932/
Rifle: Ian Norman https://www.flickr.com/photos/inorman/
Roundabout:Tauno Tõhk https://www.flickr.com/photos/toehk/
Puzzle: Curt Smith https://www.flickr.com/photos/curtsm/5295530152/
Picture credits

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Explore and Evaluate - A different intro to research and data

  • 1. Explore and Evaluate Aguide to research and data forthe uninitiated Picture: Niels Heidenreich
  • 2. What do you know about data?
  • 4. Qual Quant Subjective Objective Longitudinal InterdependentFidelity Significant p-valueconfidence interval n alpha normally distribute correlated ordinal behavioural attitudinal self-report
  • 6. Think of research as a jigsaw puzzle. Picture: Curt Smith
  • 7. First you explore the lay of the land. What are the main colours? Where are the corners and edges? What are good distinct starting points?
  • 8. Then you start evaluating individual pieces Is this the same colour as that?Are those part ofthe same object? Does that piece fit where I think it fits?
  • 9. Explore / Evaluate The one distinction to get right! Picture: Pablo Ruiz Múzquiz
  • 10. Exploration research is like a fishing net Picture: Christian Haugen
  • 11. Explore You can go fishing with simple tools or complex machinery You won’t know exactly what you will get in advance Your catch will give you ideas about what is under the surface Throwing the net out repeatedlywill have diminishing returns Missing a fish will have no serious consequences
  • 12. Checklist What is it you are exploring? 
 Describe the population and the part oftheir life that you’re interested in Are you exploring all sources available to you? 
 From talking to people on the street to digging through usage logs Is your scope wide enough? 
 Do not restrict the flow of incoming data. Let yourself be surprised.
  • 13. Evaluative research is like a sniper rifle Picture: Ian Norman
  • 14. Evaluate A sniper rifle is a sophisticated and specific device You will either hit or miss - there is little ambiguity. You need a good idea where and what you’re aiming at Your required accuracy is a function of the target size Zooming in on the target reduces your breadth ofvision Missing a shot can have serious consequences
  • 15. Checklist What are your hypotheses? 
 Be specific - you want to be able to evaluate with a clear yes or no. What accuracy do you need? 
 How small is the effect you want to evaluate? Can you get enough sample for that? When is it time to zoom out? 
 Be aware that yourview is very limited. Go back to exploration frequently.
  • 17. Explore Kick off Time frame depends on Resources depend on Deliverables Evaluate As early as possible Once you have formed hypotheses Size of area to explore, existing knowledge, method used Whether hypothesis is time based (e.g. retention) Accessibility of the population and what methods you need to employ Whether a framework for evaluating hypotheses exists (e.g. AB testing) Condensation of the signals into themes, potentially hypotheses Yes/no evaluation of the hypothesis in question
  • 18. Explore User 
 Testing Surveys A/B Tests Evaluate • Small sample (3-15) • Focus on describing the entirety of observations • Recommend to fix/evaluate issues • Add caveats around reported opinions • Match sample with desired precision • Standardise task description and order • Count success/fail • Report completion rates with confidence intervals • Small-mid sample (<50 per segment) • Focus on open questions • Keep closed questions general • Report relative frequencies • Report confidence intervals • Large sample (150+ per segment) • Focus on closed questions • Mix general and specific questions • Report relevant means with added confidence intervals • Very large sample • Compare high level metrics • Drill into funnels to discover differences • Look at click maps • Report all significant differences • Very large sample • Focus on metrics as formulated in hypotheses • Report significant differences on hypothesis metrics
  • 20. 1 Continuous delivery Explore Evaluate Hypothesis A/B test Short, concurrent exploration sprints. Exploration through usertesting andA/B test result analysis to generate hypotheses. Regular A/B testing (every 2-3 weeks) to validate hypotheses and produce more data to explore.
  • 21. 2 Big bang innovation Explore Evaluate Long, initial exploration phase. Moving through prototype stage while evaluating and refining functionality and experience. Build & release as a final evaluation. Gathering data Build and test Form hypotheses
  • 22. Initial exploration of available data, identify themes to test. High level evaluation of hypothesis themes. Break down themes into test waves. Iterate through themes in parallel. Next waves informed by test result and concurrent exploration. 3 Iterative redesign Explore Evaluate Explore Evaluate Direction Start evaluating themes Define themes to take forward Iterate on MVPtests Release and iterate
  • 23. What do you know about data?
  • 24. What do you know about data?Explore Evaluate
  • 26. Data visualisation: Niels Heidenreich https://www.flickr.com/photos/schoschie/ LHC: Pablo Ruiz Múzquiz https://www.flickr.com/photos/angelaypablo/ Fishing net: Christian Haugen https://www.flickr.com/photos/christianhaugen/3290641932/ Rifle: Ian Norman https://www.flickr.com/photos/inorman/ Roundabout:Tauno Tõhk https://www.flickr.com/photos/toehk/ Puzzle: Curt Smith https://www.flickr.com/photos/curtsm/5295530152/ Picture credits