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Advisory	
  
Products	
  
Positional Calls
Stocks
Nifty/ Bank Nifty
Momentum Calls
Intraday
BTST / STBT
Investment Ideas
MOSt Value
Mid – Cap Research
E-Gold, E-Silver SIP - NSEL
Delivery Ideas
MOSt Velocity
Leveraged Delivery (Pyramid)
Hours
DaysWeeks
Months/Years
Disciplined Trading System
Participate in both sides of the Market | Follow Stop Loss | Intelligent system-based Trade signals
Advisory Products
OPT In
(Options’
Strategies)
Spreads /
Straddles /
Strangles
MOSt	
  Pyramid	
  
The	
  Smarter	
  way	
  to	
  grow	
  your	
  business…	
  
Presen'ng	
  
a	
  
MOSt	
  Pyramid	
  
a	
  
Strategy	
  to	
  build	
  strong	
  por4olio	
  along	
  with	
  the	
  op'on	
  to	
  book	
  
short	
  term	
  profits	
  
	
  
The	
  8ming	
  is	
  right	
  
The	
  opportunity	
  exists	
  
We	
  have	
  the	
  right	
  product	
  
Por>olio	
  diversifica8on	
  in	
  4-­‐5	
  sectors	
  
Value	
  averaging	
  by	
  buying	
  at	
  lower	
  levels	
  
Regular	
  profit	
  booking	
  ensuring	
  reduced	
  acquisi8on	
  costs	
  
Product	
  customizable	
  as	
  per	
  client	
  requirement	
  
Strategic	
  entry	
  and	
  exit	
  @	
  -­‐5%	
  &	
  +6%	
  respec8vely	
  
Investment	
  in	
  specific	
  blue	
  chip	
  stocks	
  
Investment	
  in	
  4	
  tranches	
  with	
  3	
  churns	
  
Stock	
  Change	
  –	
  Change	
  in	
  stock	
  valua'on	
  |	
  Change	
  in	
  research	
  view	
  
Min.	
  2.5	
  lakhs	
  of	
  capital	
  investment	
  (mid-­‐long	
  term	
  investment)	
  
MOSt	
  Pyramid–	
  Our	
  Approach	
  
First	
  Entry	
  Level	
  
Rs.100	
  
Rs.95	
  (5%)	
  
Rs.90	
  (5%)	
  
Rs.85	
  (5%)	
  
Rs.140	
  
Rs.130	
  
Rs.120	
  
First	
  Entry	
  Level	
  Rs.
110	
  
Book	
  Profit	
  at	
  
Rs.90	
  
Book	
  Profit	
  at	
  
Rs.95	
  
Book	
  
Profit	
  at	
  
Rs.100	
  
Re-­‐enter	
  
at	
  Rs.95	
  
Re-­‐enter	
  
at	
  Rs.90	
  
Re-­‐enter	
  
at	
  Rs.85	
  
Book	
  Profit	
  
at	
  Rs.136	
  
Re-­‐enter	
  
at	
  Rs.140	
  
Re-­‐enter	
  
at	
  Rs.130	
  
Re-­‐enter	
  
at	
  Rs.120	
  
Book	
  
Profit	
  at	
  
Rs.126	
  
Book	
  
Profit	
  at	
  
Rs.116	
  
MOSt	
  Pyramid	
  –	
  How	
  it	
  works	
  
MOSt	
  Pyramid	
  
Performance Summary
Open Position
MOSt	
  Pyramid	
  
MOSt	
  Velocity	
  
Por>olio	
  Building	
  Approach…	
  
MOSt	
  Velocity	
  
• 	
   A	
   structured	
   advisory	
   process	
   that	
   recommends	
   investments	
   in	
  
stocks/ETFs	
   with	
   short-­‐medium	
   term	
   perspec've	
   to	
   extract	
   value	
  
out	
  of	
  market	
  momentum.	
  	
  
• 	
  Our	
  Solid	
  Research	
  and	
  Advice	
  will	
  steer	
  you	
  through	
  the	
  ups	
  and	
  
downs	
  of	
  the	
  market.	
  
•  	
   Mul'	
   Cap	
   Investment	
   Strategy	
   that	
   depends	
   on	
   market	
  
momentum	
  
•  	
   Recommended	
   Weight	
   ages:	
   2.5%	
   (min)	
   to	
   10%	
   (max)	
   in	
   a	
  
par'cular	
  Stock	
  and	
  25%	
  (max)	
  in	
  a	
  Sector	
  
• 	
  Entry	
  and	
  exits	
  advice	
  in	
  Stocks/ETF's	
  would	
  be	
  determined	
  with	
  
market	
  winds	
  
• 	
  Performance	
  to	
  be	
  benchmarked	
  with	
  BSE	
  200	
  
Stock	
  Selec8on	
  &	
  Universe.	
  
• 	
  All	
  scrip's	
  under	
  MOSL	
  Research	
  coverage	
  and	
  all	
  ETFs	
  are	
  in	
  our	
  
universe.	
  
• 	
   Scrip's	
   are	
   chosen	
   based	
   on	
   quarterly	
   updates,	
   management	
  
meets	
  and	
  sector	
  developments.	
  
• 	
   Entry	
   and	
   Exit	
   levels	
   will	
   be	
   advised	
   based	
   on	
   fundamentals	
   as	
  
well	
  as	
  technical	
  factors.	
  
• 	
  Model	
  Por4olio	
  would	
  be	
  communicate	
  every	
  day	
  in	
  MOSt	
  Market	
  
Roundup.	
  
MOSt	
  Velocity	
  
MOSt	
  Velocity	
  –	
  Last	
  10	
  Exit	
  Trades	
  
MID	
  Cap	
  
Midcaps
•  10 recommendations maximum at a time
•  Mid-month profit  loss booking only
•  Monthly rebalancing of portfolio
–  Move from current month winners to losers
–  No reinvestment in partly booked stocks
•  Fully invested strategy
•  Medium risk since only mid-cap
Midcaps
Midcaps
18
Our Past Multibaggers
Long Short
Why	
  Long	
  /	
  Short	
  ?	
  
Concerns with existing Positional
Ø Oscillating markets not allowing movements for gains of 8-10%
Ø Due to low volatility, technical setup does not provide favorable
risk/reward
Ø Chances of 4-5% stop loss more likely in oscillation than 8-10%
movement for target
Ø Setup failures are more often within oscillation
Ø Holding period is longer due to lack of direction
Why	
  Long	
  /	
  Short	
  ?	
  
How can Long / Short help ?
Ø Can work in Oscillating / Directional market dynamics
Ø Portfolio approach rather than individual stop’s
Ø Short term pattern failures shall not create much impact on the overall
anticipated direction & portfolio
Ø Portfolio can be self adjusting & realistic approach with inter-correlations within
portfolio components
Ø Holding period for favorable scrip’s can turn longer and un-favorable ones can be
exited as setup suggests
Ø Will address the concern of open calls and trades will be open mostly at all times
Ø Better expected revenues due to continuous open calls and addition/deletion of
stocks
Ra8onale	
  
ü  Stock picking with multi-Level filter for better quality
Market Outlook
Sector Rotation Model
Stock Rotation Model
Individual
Chart Analysis
Portfolio
Fit
Key Pointers
Ø Exit to be based on pattern failures / model stop
losses
Ø Adherence to money management in context of
portfolio
Ø Portfolio Standard Deviation to be tracked for risk
Ø Absolute Profit approach
Product Guidelines
Ø Positions at any given time could be a mix of long/short positions
or completely long/short depending on market conditions
Ø 2 lots to be executed for every given trade
Ø Index / Single stock options can be used for hedging
Ø Trades can be initiated/exited in one/two lots at a time,
depending on market
Ø Margin requirement : Rs 10 lacs
Long	
  Short	
  -­‐	
  Performance	
  
Op8ons	
  Strategies	
  	
  
Trading	
  Rules	
  
	
  
.	
  Prefer	
  ATMs	
  or	
  at	
  the	
  most	
  one	
  stop	
  OTM	
  while	
  trading	
  Direc'onal	
  op'ons.	
  
	
  
.	
  Trade	
  op'ons	
  like	
  a	
  security	
  with	
  Target	
  and	
  Stop	
  Loss	
  as	
  exit	
  points	
  instead	
  of	
  	
  	
  
Expiry	
  as	
  exit	
  point.	
  	
  
	
  
.Be	
  loud	
  about	
  the	
  perishable	
  nature	
  of	
  Op8ons	
  compel	
  on	
  doing	
  8me	
  stop.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Hedging	
  Rules	
  
.	
  	
  Hedging	
  is	
  beaer	
  than	
  keeping	
  a	
  stop	
  loss	
  for	
  short	
  term	
  trades.	
  	
  
	
  
Benefit	
  	
  :	
  A.	
  Even	
  if	
  the	
  stock	
  hits	
  your	
  stop	
  loss	
  and	
  then	
  achieves	
  your	
  target,	
  you	
  can	
  
s'll	
  take	
  	
  	
   	
  advantage.	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  B.	
  	
  No	
  uncertainty	
  of	
  large	
  nega've	
  moves.	
  	
   	
  	
  	
  
	
  
.	
  Important	
  to	
  note	
  :	
  Place	
  your	
  hedge	
  at	
  the	
  'me	
  of	
  entering	
  the	
  trade.	
  	
  
Ø Op'on	
  strategies	
  involve	
  buying	
  or	
  selling	
  of	
  one	
  or	
  more	
  op'ons	
  of	
  may	
  be	
  different	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
strikes/types	
  (Call/Put).	
  
Ø Different	
  combina'ons	
  helps	
  in	
  trading	
  Bullish/Bearish/Vola'le/Range	
  bound	
  view.	
  
Ø Our	
  Strategies	
  are	
  designed	
  with	
  a	
  view	
  of	
  3-­‐5	
  sessions	
  and	
  with	
  around	
  2%	
  Stop	
  Loss	
  
and	
  4-­‐5%	
  Target.	
  
Currency Roll Maximiser
India – Growth Story
Ø Macroeconomic fundamentals start to improve
Ø Non-Oil trade deficit lower. Gold demand should fade as
investors shy away from falling asset
Ø Global commodity price correction provides some elbow room for
RBI to cut rates and spur growth
Ø INR outlook improves on commodity correction
Ø Govt. initiatives to kick start the investment cycle and excess
liquidity floating in global markets to keep the funds inflow steady
from overseas investors
Long term play with interest-rate
arbitrage
Ø Though short term appears to be uncertain for the Rupee, the long
term prospects look pretty solid
Ø We see that the worst is behind us and believe it is just a matter of
time before the growth in Indian economy revives
Ø Over and above the long term positives, the Rupee has the
advantage of interest rate arbitrage
Ø As the interest rate cycle peaks out, and the inflation cools the
currency can pick up gradually
What is an interest rate arbitrage?
Borrow $1000 @
Dollar interest
rate of 0.25%
Sell $ and buy
Rupees
(55,000)
Invest Rupees in
Indian interest
@ 6-7%
On Maturity
Convert back in
to $ and pay off
This arbitrage would work well, till the depreciation of the borrowed currency (US$)
doesn’t appreciate more that the interest generated by the borrower’s currency ()
How it Works
• Being Long Rupee and Short Dollar gives the advantage of rollover
premium to be received
• As we expect the Rupee to appreciate towards 50 over the next two
years, the appreciation adds to profits
• Low margins improve returns
• Invest 10% and earn interest (premium) on 100%
Illustration
Disclaimer: All the returns are indicative in nature and subject to market conditions, trading in any of the instruments mentioned is purely at your
discretion and involves risk. Above figures are purely for illustrative purpose only # Assumed entry point of 55.00, and roll over premium of 25paisa
Returns in various scenarios
Product Specs
Open a currency account
– For existing equity customer
• No new KYC
• Consent form
• No franking, No expenses
– For new customer, normal KYC
• Collect full margin
– Flexibility to collect 2,500 (post haircut) worth of stocks as collateral
– 7500 as cash margin for MTM purposes
• No churning, one transaction in a month
• Batch orders can be put in at your end
What to do?
• Execution would happen at the Franchisee / Branch end
• Entry is open, one can start the product on any day and at any price
• 24 month, rollover period is recommended
• Exit is also open, and client can decide whenever he want to stop
• Roll over price difference will be monitored and rollover trigger
would be communicated through AWAC message and Gayatri Chat
(No SMS would be sent)
• Typically rollover would happen during the last week of the month
• Not required to punch all the rollovers at a time, rollovers can be
done over the period of a couple of days
• Batch order functionality would be available on request
• Weekly performance report would be circulated through mail
Execution
Further Details
Ø Ashish Jain (+91-9899790407)
Business Partner – Motilal Oswal
THANK YOU

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Solid Research Solid Advice (Equity)

  • 2. Positional Calls Stocks Nifty/ Bank Nifty Momentum Calls Intraday BTST / STBT Investment Ideas MOSt Value Mid – Cap Research E-Gold, E-Silver SIP - NSEL Delivery Ideas MOSt Velocity Leveraged Delivery (Pyramid) Hours DaysWeeks Months/Years Disciplined Trading System Participate in both sides of the Market | Follow Stop Loss | Intelligent system-based Trade signals Advisory Products OPT In (Options’ Strategies) Spreads / Straddles / Strangles
  • 3. MOSt  Pyramid   The  Smarter  way  to  grow  your  business…  
  • 4. Presen'ng   a   MOSt  Pyramid   a   Strategy  to  build  strong  por4olio  along  with  the  op'on  to  book   short  term  profits     The  8ming  is  right   The  opportunity  exists   We  have  the  right  product  
  • 5. Por>olio  diversifica8on  in  4-­‐5  sectors   Value  averaging  by  buying  at  lower  levels   Regular  profit  booking  ensuring  reduced  acquisi8on  costs   Product  customizable  as  per  client  requirement   Strategic  entry  and  exit  @  -­‐5%  &  +6%  respec8vely   Investment  in  specific  blue  chip  stocks   Investment  in  4  tranches  with  3  churns   Stock  Change  –  Change  in  stock  valua'on  |  Change  in  research  view   Min.  2.5  lakhs  of  capital  investment  (mid-­‐long  term  investment)   MOSt  Pyramid–  Our  Approach  
  • 6. First  Entry  Level   Rs.100   Rs.95  (5%)   Rs.90  (5%)   Rs.85  (5%)   Rs.140   Rs.130   Rs.120   First  Entry  Level  Rs. 110   Book  Profit  at   Rs.90   Book  Profit  at   Rs.95   Book   Profit  at   Rs.100   Re-­‐enter   at  Rs.95   Re-­‐enter   at  Rs.90   Re-­‐enter   at  Rs.85   Book  Profit   at  Rs.136   Re-­‐enter   at  Rs.140   Re-­‐enter   at  Rs.130   Re-­‐enter   at  Rs.120   Book   Profit  at   Rs.126   Book   Profit  at   Rs.116   MOSt  Pyramid  –  How  it  works  
  • 7. MOSt  Pyramid   Performance Summary Open Position
  • 9. MOSt  Velocity   Por>olio  Building  Approach…  
  • 10. MOSt  Velocity   •    A   structured   advisory   process   that   recommends   investments   in   stocks/ETFs   with   short-­‐medium   term   perspec've   to   extract   value   out  of  market  momentum.     •   Our  Solid  Research  and  Advice  will  steer  you  through  the  ups  and   downs  of  the  market.   •    Mul'   Cap   Investment   Strategy   that   depends   on   market   momentum   •    Recommended   Weight   ages:   2.5%   (min)   to   10%   (max)   in   a   par'cular  Stock  and  25%  (max)  in  a  Sector   •   Entry  and  exits  advice  in  Stocks/ETF's  would  be  determined  with   market  winds   •   Performance  to  be  benchmarked  with  BSE  200  
  • 11. Stock  Selec8on  &  Universe.   •   All  scrip's  under  MOSL  Research  coverage  and  all  ETFs  are  in  our   universe.   •    Scrip's   are   chosen   based   on   quarterly   updates,   management   meets  and  sector  developments.   •    Entry   and   Exit   levels   will   be   advised   based   on   fundamentals   as   well  as  technical  factors.   •   Model  Por4olio  would  be  communicate  every  day  in  MOSt  Market   Roundup.  
  • 13. MOSt  Velocity  –  Last  10  Exit  Trades  
  • 16. •  10 recommendations maximum at a time •  Mid-month profit loss booking only •  Monthly rebalancing of portfolio –  Move from current month winners to losers –  No reinvestment in partly booked stocks •  Fully invested strategy •  Medium risk since only mid-cap Midcaps
  • 20. Why  Long  /  Short  ?   Concerns with existing Positional Ø Oscillating markets not allowing movements for gains of 8-10% Ø Due to low volatility, technical setup does not provide favorable risk/reward Ø Chances of 4-5% stop loss more likely in oscillation than 8-10% movement for target Ø Setup failures are more often within oscillation Ø Holding period is longer due to lack of direction
  • 21. Why  Long  /  Short  ?   How can Long / Short help ? Ø Can work in Oscillating / Directional market dynamics Ø Portfolio approach rather than individual stop’s Ø Short term pattern failures shall not create much impact on the overall anticipated direction & portfolio Ø Portfolio can be self adjusting & realistic approach with inter-correlations within portfolio components Ø Holding period for favorable scrip’s can turn longer and un-favorable ones can be exited as setup suggests Ø Will address the concern of open calls and trades will be open mostly at all times Ø Better expected revenues due to continuous open calls and addition/deletion of stocks
  • 22. Ra8onale   ü  Stock picking with multi-Level filter for better quality Market Outlook Sector Rotation Model Stock Rotation Model Individual Chart Analysis Portfolio Fit
  • 23. Key Pointers Ø Exit to be based on pattern failures / model stop losses Ø Adherence to money management in context of portfolio Ø Portfolio Standard Deviation to be tracked for risk Ø Absolute Profit approach
  • 24. Product Guidelines Ø Positions at any given time could be a mix of long/short positions or completely long/short depending on market conditions Ø 2 lots to be executed for every given trade Ø Index / Single stock options can be used for hedging Ø Trades can be initiated/exited in one/two lots at a time, depending on market Ø Margin requirement : Rs 10 lacs
  • 25. Long  Short  -­‐  Performance  
  • 26. Op8ons  Strategies     Trading  Rules     .  Prefer  ATMs  or  at  the  most  one  stop  OTM  while  trading  Direc'onal  op'ons.     .  Trade  op'ons  like  a  security  with  Target  and  Stop  Loss  as  exit  points  instead  of       Expiry  as  exit  point.       .Be  loud  about  the  perishable  nature  of  Op8ons  compel  on  doing  8me  stop.         Hedging  Rules   .    Hedging  is  beaer  than  keeping  a  stop  loss  for  short  term  trades.       Benefit    :  A.  Even  if  the  stock  hits  your  stop  loss  and  then  achieves  your  target,  you  can   s'll  take        advantage.                                    B.    No  uncertainty  of  large  nega've  moves.             .  Important  to  note  :  Place  your  hedge  at  the  'me  of  entering  the  trade.    
  • 27. Ø Op'on  strategies  involve  buying  or  selling  of  one  or  more  op'ons  of  may  be  different                           strikes/types  (Call/Put).   Ø Different  combina'ons  helps  in  trading  Bullish/Bearish/Vola'le/Range  bound  view.   Ø Our  Strategies  are  designed  with  a  view  of  3-­‐5  sessions  and  with  around  2%  Stop  Loss   and  4-­‐5%  Target.  
  • 28.
  • 30. India – Growth Story Ø Macroeconomic fundamentals start to improve Ø Non-Oil trade deficit lower. Gold demand should fade as investors shy away from falling asset Ø Global commodity price correction provides some elbow room for RBI to cut rates and spur growth Ø INR outlook improves on commodity correction Ø Govt. initiatives to kick start the investment cycle and excess liquidity floating in global markets to keep the funds inflow steady from overseas investors
  • 31. Long term play with interest-rate arbitrage Ø Though short term appears to be uncertain for the Rupee, the long term prospects look pretty solid Ø We see that the worst is behind us and believe it is just a matter of time before the growth in Indian economy revives Ø Over and above the long term positives, the Rupee has the advantage of interest rate arbitrage Ø As the interest rate cycle peaks out, and the inflation cools the currency can pick up gradually
  • 32. What is an interest rate arbitrage? Borrow $1000 @ Dollar interest rate of 0.25% Sell $ and buy Rupees (55,000) Invest Rupees in Indian interest @ 6-7% On Maturity Convert back in to $ and pay off This arbitrage would work well, till the depreciation of the borrowed currency (US$) doesn’t appreciate more that the interest generated by the borrower’s currency ()
  • 33. How it Works • Being Long Rupee and Short Dollar gives the advantage of rollover premium to be received • As we expect the Rupee to appreciate towards 50 over the next two years, the appreciation adds to profits • Low margins improve returns • Invest 10% and earn interest (premium) on 100%
  • 34. Illustration Disclaimer: All the returns are indicative in nature and subject to market conditions, trading in any of the instruments mentioned is purely at your discretion and involves risk. Above figures are purely for illustrative purpose only # Assumed entry point of 55.00, and roll over premium of 25paisa
  • 35. Returns in various scenarios
  • 37. Open a currency account – For existing equity customer • No new KYC • Consent form • No franking, No expenses – For new customer, normal KYC • Collect full margin – Flexibility to collect 2,500 (post haircut) worth of stocks as collateral – 7500 as cash margin for MTM purposes • No churning, one transaction in a month • Batch orders can be put in at your end What to do?
  • 38. • Execution would happen at the Franchisee / Branch end • Entry is open, one can start the product on any day and at any price • 24 month, rollover period is recommended • Exit is also open, and client can decide whenever he want to stop • Roll over price difference will be monitored and rollover trigger would be communicated through AWAC message and Gayatri Chat (No SMS would be sent) • Typically rollover would happen during the last week of the month • Not required to punch all the rollovers at a time, rollovers can be done over the period of a couple of days • Batch order functionality would be available on request • Weekly performance report would be circulated through mail Execution
  • 39. Further Details Ø Ashish Jain (+91-9899790407) Business Partner – Motilal Oswal