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Masterclass Market Intelligence.
1.
Market intelligence &
Brand coaching M O R A W S K I Masterclass Market Intelligence © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
2.
2 © 2014 John
Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching “It is tempting, if the only tool you have is a hammer, to treat everything as if it were a nail” “The psychology of science: a reconnaissance.”, Abraham Maslow, 1966
3.
Content 1. Introduction to
Market Intelligence 1.1 Definition 1.2. To research or not to research 1.3. Types of market research 1.4. The process 2. Special topics 2.1. Segmentation 2.2. Focus Groups 2.3. Net Promoter Score 2.4. Conjoint analysis 2.5. The Brand Funnel 3 © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
4.
1. Introduction to Market
Intelligence 1.1 Definition 1.2. To research or not to research 1.3. Types of market research 1.4. The process 4 © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
5.
1.1 Definition –
What is Market Intelligence? 5 © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
6.
1.1. Definition -
What is Market Intelligence? (1/4) 6 My definition of Market intelligence: “Market Intelligence is the discipline that aims to manage (plan, identify, capture, process, communicate and stimulate optimal use) relevant market information/insights in order to support internal stakeholders.” Market Intelligence includes gathering of data from the company’s external environment, whereas Business Intelligence primarily is based on internal recorded events such as own customer data, sales, shipments, other business operations … . © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
7.
7 Market Intelligence is
the discipline that aims to manage (identify, plan capture, process, communicate and stimulate optimal use) … Needs in order to manage properly – professional and experienced people with managerial, organizational, analytical and communicational skills – data and field resources (secondary and primary research, information providers, research agencies) – technology and the platforms to capture, process, distribute and store the information/insights – the support of, and access to top management 1.1. Definition - What is Market Intelligence? (2/4) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
8.
16/10/2015 8 Market Intelligence
is the discipline that aims to manage (plan, identify, capture, process, communicate and stimulate optimal use) relevant market information/insights … Can cover relevant market information/insights of the actual status and future trends of • the market consumer/customer (needs, motivations, perceptions, behavior, socio-demo’s, segmentation, satisfaction, loyalty, recommendation/advocacy, …) brands (brand funnel, image, communication, market size, market share volume/price, strategy, …) products/services (benefits, volume, price, promotion, packaging, NPD, …) channels (own sales, direct sales partners, integrators, distributors, emerging channels) competitors (consumer/customer, market share volume/price, brands, products, services, channels, strategy, organization, capabilities, investments, stock reports, …) • new markets (potential markets, emerging markets, …) • the relevant macro environment (economic, political, demographic, social, cultural, legislation, technological, …) 1.1. Definition - What is Market Intelligence? (3/4) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
9.
16/10/2015 9 Market Intelligence
is the discipline that aims to manage (plan, identify, capture, process, communicate and stimulate optimal use) relevant market information/insights in order to support internal stakeholders. Supports internal stakeholders • Marketing • Communication • Business Intelligence • Sales and account management • CRM • Strategy • Business development • PR • Finance • Board, R&D, other executives … 1.1. Definition - What is Market Intelligence? (4/4) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
10.
1.2. To research
or not to research … 10 © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
11.
11 1.2. To research
or not to research (1/5) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Research is an investment, not an expense In order to reduce risks of poor or even wrong decision making and on the other hand increase the probability of making the right decisions, one has to invest in market research. It not only helps reducing costs of mistakes but also helps to reach the objectives It helps you to make decisions about your brand, positioning, communication, product/service, pricing, promotion, distribution, … It helps you in diagnosing problems, and finding causes and solutions for problems your company is experiencing It leads you to actions resulting in significant, positive outcomes for your company
12.
12 1.2. To research
or not to research (2/5) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Quick and dirty When time is short and budget is limited, in some cases one can do quick research, but without being (too) dirty. It’s always better to do some research instead of making decisions only based on your gut feeling e.g. a disaster check: short interviews with 10-20 consumers/customers will give you more helpful insights than staying at your office and thinking you know what consumers think But always consider the limits for decision making (not quantitative, not representative)
13.
13 1.2. To research
or not to research (3/5) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Research will be a useless expense … when it’s not properly used Shortcomings in the process (objectives, methodology, sample, questionnaire, field, analysis, reporting) Findings nice to know but not need to know (not actionable) Used as an alibi. When things go wrong one can blame the research (or the researcher) To postpone or slacken decisions Only for supporting own vision To justify past decisions I’ve seen huge investments in advertising post tests with the objective to find out if the campaign was effective and with no or little room for corrective actions. When good results: Champaign. When bad results: big silence. On the other hand investments for proactive research (campaign development and pre-testing) where lacking or insufficient (so, also wrong management of research budget allocation)
14.
14 1.2. To research
or not to research (4/5) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Research will be a useless expense … when it’s not relevant anymore. Some research can be continued for years whilst nobody ever questioned whether it is (still) relevant After taking over the responsibility for a market intelligence department after 6 months I’ve found out a continuous survey that started 4 years before was not used. Somebody build and started a train that continued riding to nowhere without conductor
15.
15 1.2. To research
or not to research (5/5) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Research will be a useless expense … when it’s not used at all! The responsibility for market research goes beyond the reporting of the research results Yes, sometimes one has to be a pain in the ass for stakeholders who neglect the outcome of investments in research. Top management has to support the authority of the researcher.
16.
1.3. Types of
market research 16 © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
17.
17 1.3. Types of
market research © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching 1.3.1 By research purpose • Exploratory • Descriptive • Causal 1.3.2. By type of data • Secondary • Primary 1.3.3. By time dimension • Cross-sectional • Longitudinal 1.3.4. By research setting • Non-contrived • Contrived 1.3.5. By data collection method • Qualitative • Quantitative
18.
18 1.3.1. By research
purpose (1/3) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Exploratory research • Purpose Identify key issues and key variables Discover ideas and insights Provide better understanding Produce hypotheses No final answers or decisions Often broad in focus • Types Literature search In-depth interviews Focus groups Case studies (benchmarking)
19.
19 1.3.1. By research
purpose (2/3) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Descriptive research • Purpose Describe characteristics of a population or a phenomenon Who, what, when, where, why and how To make predictions To determine relationships between variables • Types Observation (naturalistic – laboratory) Case study Survey
20.
20 1.3.1. By research
purpose (3/3) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Causal research • Purpose Establish cause-and-effect relationships between variables Hypothesis testing To become stronger evidence that a particular action is more likely to produce a particular outcome • Types Laboratory experiments Field experiments As market tests: simulation Controlled test markets Full test markets
21.
21 1.3.2. By type
of data © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Secondary data • Are collected yet by someone other than the researcher Could have been collected for other purposes Could have some relevance and utility for your research Internal and external sources Less control Primary data • Are collected a first-hand They are original, especially collected for your research purposes More control on it
22.
22 1.3.3. By time
dimension © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Cross-sectional study • One punctual measurement at a single point in time A picture One shot, “how are things now?”, without history or trend Longitudinal study • Variables are measured repeatedly through time A movie More likely to identify (causal) relationships Continuous panels: repeated measurements of the same variables; true time-series analysis (Nielsen, GfK, …) Discontinuous panels: information collected varies Trend study: looks at the evolution of parameters over time
23.
23 1.3.4. By research
setting © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Contrived setting • Research parameters are strictly controlled in an artificial environment In the “laboratory” Cause => effect relationships beyond any reasonable doubt Participants are carefully selected Stimuli are manipulated Non-contrived setting • Research parameters are studied in the natural environment where they normally occur In the field Field studies: no or minimal inference of the researcher, observation Field experiments: some manipulation of the variables
24.
24 1.3.5. By data
collection method © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Qualitative Quantitative Text-based Number-based No statistics Statistics More subjective: describes a problem or condition from the point of view of those experiencing it More objective: provides observed effects (interpreted by researchers) of a program on a problem or condition Primarily inductive process used to gather first insights, formulate theory or hypotheses Primarily deductive process used to measure, to test More in-depth information on a few cases Less in-depth but more breadth of information across a large number of cases Unstructured or semi-structured response options Fixed response options Not (or less) generalizable Generalizable Heavy challenge for professional interviewer, moderator, observator Less challenge for interviewer Less time and money expenditure More time and money expenditure
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1.4. The process 25 ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
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26 1.4. The process
(1/3) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Definition of the research problem Development of the research plan Data collection Data analysis Report of the results Identify and clarify information needs Define research problem and questions Specify research objectives Confirm information value Decide on Budget Data sources Methodology Questionnaire Sample and sampling Methods of analysis Collect data Quantitative Qualitative Statistics and/or (subjective) interpretation Facts Findings Conclusions Recommendations The “Request for Market Research” The “Request for Proposal” Choice, screening and selection of the research agency Questionnaires The fieldwork (most costly stage in the process) needs close control The type of analysis depends on the type of research Statistics Full reporting for the market research stakeholder and adapted reporting for the stakeholders 1 2 3 4 5
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27 1.4. The process
– 1. Definition of the research problem (1/2) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching First off all there has to be a real need for market research • Starting point should be a clear “Request for Market Research” • The requestor is asked to fill in a template properly while answering questions on e.g. background, the problem, the research objectives (target group(s), specific questions to be answered, which decisions/actions to be made based on the research results, budget provided (if it is their budget responsibility), timings … • By this way the requestor is stimulated to first structure his/her thinking before asking • The “Request for Market Research” is discussed with the market researcher and optimized/modified/accepted/rejected • It can happen no research will be done because of sufficient internal insights from former research or because of the needed budget doesn’t justify the benefits • The experienced researcher can propose a research methodology and in order to assess the needed budget one can ask some research agencies to give a quote
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28 1.4. The process
– 1. Definition of the research problem (2/2) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching REQUEST FOR MARKET RESEARCH Date: ……………………. Name requestor: ……………………………. Name(s) other significant stakeholder(s): ………………………………… Project name: ……………………………..;; Background and problem description Description of relevant background information/the context of research What is the problem? Importance description Why do you need this research? What will happen when this request will not be answered? Priority What is the priority? What are the dependencies with other projects? Objectives Clearly describe the objectives. What would you like to know? Questions Try to make a first draft of the questions. Which questions would you like to be answered? Target group(s) From whom would you like to know this? Action standards What can you decide and do when you will have the information? Stimulus material Which stimulus material is needed for using in the research? When will the final stimulus material be available? Timing & deliverables When first results with actionable recommendations are needed? When a final written reporting? When an oral presentation? Budget available? How much do you want to spend on this project? Whats the proposed budget for the best methodology and for alternatives (and the impact on the results of those alternatives)
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29 1.4. The process
– 2. Development of the research plan (1/7) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching When the “request for market research is” optimized and accepted the next step is good planning. • The researcher uses the template “Request for proposal”, a document needed for briefing research agencies • The “request for proposal” covers and elaborates all the topics of the “request for market research” completed with e.g. , expected sample specifications, checklist/questionnaire items and length, deliverables, budget template, experience, references, invoicing terms, confidentiality and quality demands, agency selection criteria, contact details, … • This document has to be discussed with the requestor, optimized and accepted
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30 1.4. The process
– 2. Development of the research plan (2/7) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Choice of the right research agency – Shortlist and contacts • Make a shortlist of research agencies • If you are experienced you can make a shortlist of the agencies you know and/or you have worked with yet • You also can consult the list of research agencies who are member of a federation (for Belgium: FEBELMAR) and/or an association (for Europe: ESOMAR) (But being member of a federation or an association is not a full waterproof guarantee for quality. Next to membership and general reputation of the agency, professionalism of their people working for you is crucial. Don’t accept seniors selling you a project while afterwards delegating the project execution to juniors) • Before sending the “request for proposal” ask the research agencies to sign a confidentiality agreement • When sending the “request for proposal” invite the research agencies to contact you if they have any questions. The type and depth of questions they ask can give you some insights yet in their quality
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31 1.4. The process
– 2. Development of the research plan (3/7) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Research providers - FEBELMAR • Founded in 1980 • 33 members • 85% of all market research spendings in Belgium • The FEBELMAR website shows a listing of members, some company information, link to their website and a search function to find members by research solutions and market sectors
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32 1.4. The process
– 2. Development of the research plan (4/7) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching BUDGET QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH Set-up Questionnaire development Fieldwork Data-processing Analysis Reporting Oral presentation Management BUDGET QUALITATIVE RESEARCH Set-up (kick-off meeting Development checklist/interview guide Fieldwork (recruitment, accommodations, interviewer, moderator, observator/notice taker, incentives, …) Analysis Reporting Oral presentation Management QUALITATIVE EVALUATION OF PROPOSAL Fit with Request for Proposal Delivered on time Proposed methodology and sample Proposed techniques Added value proposals/suggestions Experience (domain, methods, techniques, people) Extra questions Choice of the right research agency – Screening and selection
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33 1.4. The process
– 2. Development of the research plan (5/7) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Sampling In quantitative research in order to use statistics for extrapolation results to make generalizations about the total target population … • The sample has to be representative A subset of a statistical population that accurately reflects the members of the entire population An unbiased indication of what the population is like • The sample has to be choosen at random: probability sampling Every unit in the population has a chance (greater than zero) of being selected in the sample. The combination of these traits makes it possible to produce unbiased estimates of population totals, by weighting sampled units according to their probability of selection Nonprobability sampling is any sampling method where some elements of the population have no chance of selection, or where the probability of selection can't be accurately determined. Nonprobability sampling does not allow the estimation of sampling errors. Information about the relationship between sample and population is limited, making it difficult to extrapolate from the sample to the population
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34 1.4. The process
– 2. Development of the research plan (6/7) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Questionnaire development • Less = More • Scale types: nominal, ordinal, interval, ratio, … • My simple use evaluation: 6-point scale without neutral mid point (example: very good, good, fairly good, not so good, not good, not good at all) intentional behaviour: 5-point scale with neutral mid point (example: certainly, probably, maybe or maybe not, probably not, certainly not) satisfaction: unbalanced 5-point scale without neutral mid point (example: delighted, very satisfied, satisfied, not satisfied, not satisfied at all) choice: single choice in a list or top 3 preference ranking • At least, be consistent
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35 1.4. The process
– 2. Development of the research plan (7/7) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Benchmarking • Benchmark with competitors (external benchmarking). It seems obvious to get a good understanding of how you differ from your competition regarding critical aspects (e.g. positioning, branding, product/services, pricing, distribution, market share, segmentation, target groups, communication, …) • Benchmark also with your former research findings (internal benchmarking). Monitor how you are gradually evolving in reaching your own objectives (they can differ from competitors objectives)
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36 1.4. The process
– 3. Collection of data (1/2) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching The fieldwork takes the biggest part of the budget and needs close control. • Qualitative research Pilot (e.g. for in-depth interviews) Ask proof of good recruitement (completed recruitement questionnaires) Debrief after first interview/focus group (modify if needed) Invite other stakeholders (e.g. advertising agency, engagement) Let the agency do their job (don’t start analyzing and interpreting) • Quantitative research Pilot (e.g. computer aided telephonic interviewing) Check questionnaire duration Follow-up quota Follow-up response rates At the end of the fieldwork ask a full detailed reporting
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37 1.4. The process
– 3. Collection of data (2/2) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Errors in sample surveys • Sampling errors and biases Selection bias: the true selection probabilities differ from those assumed in calculating the results Random sampling error: random variation in the results due to the elements in the sample being selected at random. • Non-sampling error Non-sampling errors are other errors which can impact the final survey estimates, caused by problems in data collection, processing, or sample design Overcoverage: Inclusion of data from outside of the population Undercoverage: Sampling frame does not include elements in the population Measurement error: e.g. when respondents misunderstand a question, or find it difficult to answer Processing error: Mistakes in data coding Non-response: Failure to obtain complete data from all selected individuals. Two types: unit non-response and item non-response Non-response is particularly a problem in internet sampling. Reasons for this problem include improperly designed surveys, over-surveying (or survey fatigue), and the fact that potential participants hold multiple e-mail addresses, which they don't use anymore or don't check regularly.
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38 1.4. The process
– 4. Data analysis (1/2) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching • Qualitative research Interpretation Subjectivity Ask procedure, methodology and techniques of analysis Who, how many people? • Quantitative research Statistics!
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39 1.4. The process
– 4. Data analysis (2/2) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Nauwkeurigheid bij 95% betrouwbaarheid 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4 4,5 5 5,5 6 6,5 7 7,5 8 8,5 9 9,5 10 10,5 11 11,5 12 12,5 13 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 N=60 N=100 N=200 N=300 N=600 N=750 N=900 N=1000 N=1200 A B 14% 11% 9% 20% Binnen eenzelfde steekproef Het verhogen van de steekproef van 100 naar 200 respondenten levert een winst in verschil op van 6% (van 20% minstens verschil naar 14% minstens verschil). Het verhogen van de steekproef van 200 naar 300 respondenten levert een winst in verschil op van 3% (van 14% minstens verschil naar 11% minstens verschil). Het verhogen van de steekproef van 200 naar 600 respondenten levert een winst in verschil op van 6% (van 14% minstens verschil naar 8% minstens verschil).
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40 1.4. The process
– 5. Reporting (1/6) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Types of reports • Complete reporting Fieldwork report Table report Presentation report • Stakeholders reports Responding to their needs Comments by the researcher sometimes needed
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41 1.4. The process
– 5. Reporting (2/6) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Ongewogen Resultaten Als u de naam Pajottenland hoort, waaraan denkt u dan? Wat roept deze naam bij u op? % Provincies (Splitsing Pajottenland en rest Vlaams Brabant) Totaal Pajottenland Rest VL.Brabant Antwerpen Limburg O-Vlaanderen W-Vlaanderen N= 696 120 114 117 113 115 117 A B C D E F Mooie streek 7% 16% 10% 2% 0% 4% 9% C E Landelijk 21% 33% 24% 22% 8% 21% 10% D F Bezienswaardigheden 6% 5% 5% 7% 5% 3% 7% Heuvels 19% 40% 18% 14% 6% 22% 6% B C D F D F Streekbieren 9% 21% 5% 8% 1% 10% 3% B D F Urbanus 14 5 13 14 22 14 19 A A Streekproducten 3% 8% 0% 4% 0% 0% 1% Breughel 2% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1% 3% Kastelen 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Willem Vermandere 1% 1% 0% 3% 0% 2% 1% Fietsen & wandelen 5% 3% 6% 11% 3% 5% 3% Vlaanderen 6% 2% 8% 6% 9% 3% 13% Vlaams Brabant 13% 10% 12% 13% 6% 21% 14% Natuur 12% 25% 18% 7% 5% 12% 3% C D F F Accent 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0%
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42 1.4. The process
– 5. Reporting (3/6) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Results • Facts Facts and figures (Information and data) Objective • Findings Statements (description in words) Objective • Conclusions Inferences drawn from the findings Objective • Recommendations Course of actions
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43 1.4. The process
– 5. Reporting (4/6) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
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44 1.4. The process
– 5. Reporting (5/6) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Purchase intention Concept D Concept C Concept A Concept E Concept B Switch intention
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45 1.4. The process
– 5. Reporting (6/6) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Purchase intention Concept D Concept C Concept A Concept E Concept B Switch intention Score 1 Avg score = 7 on 10 point scale Avg score = 6.2 on 10 point scale
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46 1.4. The process
– Full control checklist © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching YES NO Not applicable and why 1. Definition of information needs internally 1.a. Template (standard document) to be completed by the requestor of research 1.b. Oral discussion of with the research requestor 1.c. Clearing out why the information is required and what decisions will be made 1.d. Review of existing sources of relevant information if any by MI 1.e. Identification of information gaps to be addressed and redefine information needs 1.f. 2. Shortlist of suppliers 2.a. Look for suppliers with relevant experience 2.b. Check any internal Preferred Supplier lists Involve key people in the choice Agree who to involve in the briefing Inform relevant parties that research will be conducted Send brief to at least 3 suppliers Check confidentiality agreements/any possible conflicts of interest. 3. Request for proposal (briefing) Background information: therapeutic area, brand and marketing Overall objectives, both marketing and research The business decision that will be made on the basis of the research Clear key selection criteria for the successful proposal. 4. Proposal requirements 5. Supplier selection 6. Code of Conduct Adherence 7. Project Acceptance 8. Initial Project Kick-off Meeting 9. Understanding how Suppliers work with Fieldwork Suppliers 10. Suppliers working with Other Suppliers – Best Practice 11. Reporting the Results 12. Review of the project with the supplier
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47 1.4. The process
– Top 5 when starting a market research project © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching 1. Prove of the need for the project 2. Choice of the best research provider to serve you 5. Full support from top management 3. The best methodology 4. Full cooperation and agreement of direct stakeholders
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2. Special topics 2.1. Segmentation 2.2.
Focus groups 2.3. Net Promoter Score 2.4. Conjoint analysis 2.5. The Brand funnel 2.6. The Market Intelligence Audit 48 © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
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2.1. Segmentation 49 © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching
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50 2.1. Segmentation © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching The basic proposition behind market segmentation. “Most – probably all – markets are not monolithic but instead consist of submarkets that are relatively homogeneous in terms of certain essential characteristics. These submarkets are market segments”. Market segments consist of groups of people or organizations that are similar in terms of how they respond to a particular marketing mix or in other ways that are meaningful for marketing planning purposes. Market S2 S1 S4 1. Differential (must be different different marketing mixes must be necessary) 2. Substantial (large or big enough to serve) 3. Identifiable 4. Accessible (via communication & distribution) 5. Measurable 6. Simple (max. 4 – 6 segments) Segmentation criteria:
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51 2.1. Segmentation © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Market segmentation • is a systematic approach for controlled market coverage and expansion • the identification of groups of customers – or market segments – that have similarities in characteristics or similarities in needs who are likely to exhibit similar purchase behavior and/or responses to changes in the marketing mix • provides the necessary research base on which all other marketing strategies can be successfully formulated. This includes all aspects of marketing – product and service development, route structure, pricing and fare programs, and communications • based on the segmentation, one can select target markets – one or more groups that will respond favorably to certain product or service configurations and messages about these products or services •. next one can position its products and services by developing unique marketing strategies to appeal to the selected target market(s).
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52 2.1. Segmentation © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Demographics/ Geographic's Behavior Values/Beliefs /Attitudes Needs/ Motivations Advantages Easiest to explain Easiest to target actions Can tap into factors that really matter More powerful Identifies perceptions, believes and hopes Most powerful Disadvantages Least powerful Behavior can change over time Tells what happen but not why Harder to explain Harder to act on Difficult to measure Examples Age Gender Social class Income Life cycle Urbanization Population density Intensity of usage Spendings Purchase behavior Loyalty Life style Health Environment Religion Family Maslow’s needs Motivational frame Market segmentation criteria
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53 2.1. Segmentation © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Needs based segmentation (A. Maslow)
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54 2.1. Segmentation © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Receptivit y Complianc e OpennessLiveliness Defensiveness Rigidity SeriousnessConfidence POTENCY ENJOYMENT CONTROL SECURITY EXCITEMENT TRADITION AFFILIATIONSTATUS/PRESTIGE RELEASE OF TENSION SUPPRESSION OF TENSION EXPRESSION EXTRAVERT SOCIAL AFFILIATION BELONGING EGO ASSERTIVENESS REPRESSION INTROVERT Friendly SelfConfident Active Reserved Motivations based market segmentation
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55 2.1. Segmentation © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Friendly Self Confident Active Reserved Self- actualization RELEASE OF TENSION SUPPRESSION OF TENSION Know and understand Receptivi ty Complianc e OpennessLiveliness Defensiveness Rigidity Seriousnes s Confidence POTENCY ENJOYMENT CONTROL SECURITY EXCITEMENT TRADITION AFFILIATIONSTATUS/PRESTIGE EXPRESSION EXTRAVERT SOCIAL AFFILIATION BELONGING EGO ASSERTIVENESS REPRESSION INTROVERT Self- actualization Self- actualization Physiological needs Love needs Safety needs Esteem needs Self- actualization Self- actualization Self- actualization Needs/Motivations based market segmentation
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56 2.1. Segmentation © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Market Intelligence support for market segmentation • Desk study Has to be always the first step • Qualitative research Digging as deep as possible (needs, motivations, values, beliefs, attitudes) Develop hypothetical segmentation (based on needs, motivations, values, beliefs, attitudes) • Quantitative research Validating the hypotheses of the qualitative research Quantifying needs, motivations, values, attitudes, behavior, geographics and demographics
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16/10/2015 57 © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching 2.2. Focus groups
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16/10/2015 58 2.2. Focus
groups (2/10) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Some definitions “A focus group is a form of qualitative research in which a group of people are asked about their perceptions, opinions, beliefs and attitudes towards a product, a service, concept, advertisement, idea, or packaging” (Henderson, Naomi R., 2009) “A focus group is a group of individuals selected and assembled by researchers to discuss and comment on, from personal experience, the topic that is the subject of the research” (Powell et al, 1996) “Focus groups are a form of group interviewing but it is important to distinguish between the two. Group interviewing involves interviewing a number of people at the same time, the emphasis being on questions and responses between the researcher and participants. Focus groups however rely on interaction within the group based on topics that are supplied by the researcher” (Morgan, 1997) “…”
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16/10/2015 59 2.2. Focus
groups (3/10) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Objectives Exploring respondents’ behavior, experiences, ideas, beliefs, perceptions, attitudes, feelings, and reactions in a social setting Generating hypotheses Finding common language Revealing group dynamism and norms Brainstorming (product-ideas/concepts, communication-ideas/concepts, …) Developing questions or concepts for questionnaires Early prototyping
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16/10/2015 60 2.2. Focus
groups (4/10) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Types Single focus groups: the classical type of a focus group Two-way focus groups: each focus group alternatively watches the other group and discusses their observations Dual moderator focus groups: one moderator leads the session and the other takes care for covering all topics and ensures relevant evolutions in the discussion are explored further Dueling moderator focus group: two moderators take opposite positions Respondent moderator focus group: one of the respondents act as the moderator temporarily Other participants focus groups: one or more of the client representatives (client, copy writer, designer, creative, …) participate (temporarily) in the discussion (as group member or moderator) (covertly or overtly) Mini focus groups: groups of four or five members instead of 6 to 12 members Teleconference focus groups: via a telephone network Online focus groups: via chat rooms
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16/10/2015 61 2.2. Focus
groups (5/10) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Techniques Direct open questioning Projective techniques: role-playing (lovers, haters, users, non users, …); mood boards; psycho drawing, associations (planet, island, person, animal, …), photo sort, … Sub grouping: creating subgroups, let them work independently, and afterwards confront them with the output and ask for reactions Self-administered questioning: forcing the respondents to take an individual independent position before throwing it in the group Check lists: confronting respondents with item lists of brand characteristics, personality traits, benefits, … (carefully timed during the focus group in order give room for spontaneous reactions and answering) Confrontation with stimulus material: products, packaging, advertising, promotional material, ideas, concepts (verbal, visual)
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16/10/2015 62 2.2. Focus
groups (6/10) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Advantages/strengths Less expensive than some other research Fast way of gathering a lot of insights Social interaction effects, group processes, learning process effects (but in an artificial set-up!) Interaction between consumer/customer and client Group dynamic stimulates conversation, reactions
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16/10/2015 63 2.2. Focus
groups (7/10) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Disadvantages/weaknesses Less control over the data No generalization of findings to the whole population (it’s qualitative research with small numbers, no representative nor ad random sampling) Gives not the individual’s authentic point of view Influence of the researcher on the results Polarizing (taking more extreme positions) and/or amplifying (want to please each other and or the moderator) Excessive optimism encouraging risk-taking (risk is shared by the group members, so less vulnerable) Effect of the most dominant (character, experience, commitment) respondent(s) Consensus searching, searching for one single solution (strived for by respondents and/or the moderator and/or the client) Self censorship of idea’s/reactions against opposite idea’s/reactions of other group members (social pressure, conflict avoiding) Incapacity to register (and react on) all the verbal and non-verbal (body language, silence) information
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16/10/2015 64 2.2. Focus
groups (8/10) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Key role of the moderator A good moderator is able to … understand fully the research objectives make feel respondents at ease build trust listen be alert be flexible (without loosing focus) show sensitivity observe be attentive for non verbal behavior link reactions together encourage participation of each respondent facilitate/stimulate interaction between respondents challenge group members keep control over the converstion probe synthesize …
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16/10/2015 65 2.2. Focus
groups (9/10) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Some do’s for clients in charge • Decide to use focus groups only for the right purpose(s) • Take and keep control on all the stages of the process Sampling: when too heterogeneous groups: the differences between participants can make a considerable impact on their contributions; when too homogenous groups with regard to specific characteristics: diverse opinions and experiences may not be revealed Interview guide/checklist: focus on the research issue while leaving room for spontaneous reactions and new openings Recruitment: check method of recruitment, control respondent’s sample characteristics before starting the focus groups Fieldwork: debriefing session especially after the first focus group to maximize its usefulness (additional information needed, issues that need clarification, particular questions that did not work well and why, any information that contradicts or confirms data collected in previous sessions, new topics that arose during the focus group, provide the moderator and note-taker a forum for giving constructive feedback) Analysis: ask the research agency how the data will be organized and interpreted Reporting: background information, executive summary, key findings (with verbatim quotes), conclusions, recommendations and next steps
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16/10/2015 66 2.2. Focus
groups (10/10) © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Conclusion • Focus group interviews do not generate quantitative information. The results strictly speaking should not be generalized or "projected" to a larger population • The results of focus groups should be used as a basis for further evaluation and user validation using both qualitative and quantitative methods • Never use focus groups as a stand alone research method (… when possible)
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16/10/2015 67 © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching 2.3. Net Promoter Score
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68 2.3. Net Promoter
Score © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching The Net Promoter Score • The Net Promoter Score (NPS) is a loyalty metric developed by Fred Reichheld, a Fellow of Bain & Co and a board member of Satmetrics • In Reichheld’s bestselling book “The Ultimate Question”, NPS is touted as the most important metric for business • The ultimate question:
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69 2.3. Net Promoter
Score © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching The Net Promoter Score – Reasons for success • Extremely attractive to a management team as it is a single number that appears to be linked to some significant KPIs • Easy to measure • Cheap to measure (one single question, higher response rates, and often no research agency needed) • Easy to calculate • Easy to understand and to communicate • When it was launched and subsequently widely promoted, the claim was that research showed that there was a strong link between an NPS score and business growth
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70 2.3. Net Promoter
Score © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching The Net Promoter Score – Criticisms • Misses the predictors of future sales or growth, such as the company’s product line, product innovations, accuracy of pricing, or operating efficiency • An attitudinal measure of intention to recommend, rather than actual behavior • Some products are not interesting, discussed, or recommended (e.g., toilet paper, toothpaste, laundry detergent, copy paper, etc.), while other highly interesting products and brands can easily generate passionate fans (e.g., fashion, restaurants, music, etc.) • NPS values are not numerically unique in meaning (e.g. an NPS of 20 can be derived in many different ways. A company with a 20 NPS could have 20 percent promoters, 80 percent passives, and 0 percent detractors, while another company with a 20 NPS could have 60, 0, and 40. A company with 20 percent promoters and 0 percent detractors is very different than the one with a polarized customer base with 60 percent promoters versus 40 percent detractors, but the NPS is the same • Not actionable. What if you had a good or bad NPS? A bad NPS could reflect poor product performance, overstated advertising promises, poor customer service or many other issues, none of which are identified by the NPS • Finally 2007 saw the release in the UK of research findings that question the very validity of the link between NPS and company growth, and NPS as a predictor of future customer loyalty. If this foundation stone of NPS is seen to crumble who knows what the impact will be on the house of NPS!
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16/10/2015 71 © 2014
John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching 2.4. Conjoint Analysis
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72 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching What is conjoint analysis? • Conjoint analysis is a technique enabling to measure the value of elements or attributes that define a particular product or service • It allows the respondent to evaluate several elements (price, brand, packaging, etc.) “conjointly”. The choice made by the respondent is therefore based not on one single element, but on the mixture of the elements proposed • This method foresees the respondents making their choice among several possible alternative mixes (e.g. brand, price, packaging, etc.) and ’’trade- off’’ their preferences • Instead of directly asking the importance of several elements of a service package (which often leads to poor discrimination or socially acceptable answers): conjoint analysis works with derived importance • Two types: choice based: natural buying situation; 4-5 variables; price elasticity curves based on the interactions between the variables adaptive: greater number of variables because questions are adapted in function of former answers of the respondent; e.g. used for improving products/services
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73 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Questions a conjoint analysis can give an answer to How can I optimize the packaging format for a product ? How should we price the different elements of product or a service ? What is the performance of new product/service concepts? What is the price-elasticity of our offer compared to the other competitors ? Does the existence of an added service offer justify a higher price setting ? What will be the impact of a line extension (market share, cannibalization, …)?
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74 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching €2.4 None of these Q.3 - Which shampoo would you buy? €2.1 €2.3
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75 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Output of conjoint analysis gives results on 3 different levels: • Utilities Building blocks of each conjoint model. For each level of variables tested value is attributed. The distribution of utilities is usually reported for each variable The combination of all the maximum utilities would give the optimal offering for the total sample (=average customer) • Relative importance The level of relative importance (=with regard to other variables included in the model) is calculated based on the span (max-min) of the utility values. • Simulations Possibility to simulate product/service changes. For each offering the sum of the utility values is calculated on an individual level assuming that the respondent will optimise his/her choice by maximizing perceived (utility) value. The end results of these calculations are shares of preference/choice for each offering proposed
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76 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Size of pack 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 200ml 330ml 500ml 750ml Utility Utilities
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77 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching 18 16 14 12 12 11 9 9 0 5 10 15 20 25 C om m unication costs C ontract Voice m ail O n-nettariffs PSB C ontractlength SM S m essages O ffpeak hours Total sample % of importance Importance
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78 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching 13 15 12 13 10 15 14 9 22 20 13 11 9 8 9 9 14 21 13 12 8 7 16 10 0 5 10 15 20 25 Contract Communication costs On-net tarification PSB Off peak hours Contract length Voice mail SMS A: Prof usage B: Private off peak callers C: Mixed extended usage The type of usage seems a more discriminating variable in terms of importance attributed Importance
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79 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Brand Price Service level / shop Saving system Brand Loyals Added Value Seekers My brand for low price Price sensitives Importance
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80 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Segment A (43%): Prof usage Segment B (25%): Mostly private usage Segment C (32%): Mixed lib prof usage Relatively most important: Length of contract Relatively most important: Contract & comm costs Relatively most important: Communication costs & Voice mail Relatively less important: Contract & costs Relatively less important: Voice mail, PSB Relatively less important: Off peak hours X & Y brand relative strong X brand relative strong Z brand relative strong 50% private or mostly private usage 86% private or mostly private usage 78% private or mostly private usage 62% low SMS usage 38% low SMS usage 60% low SMS message 20% off-peak callers, 55% on net callers 40% off-peak callers, 29% on net callers 24% off-peak callers, 22% on net callers 35% low spenders (<40€ a month) 77% of low spenders (<40€ a month) 47% of low spenders (<40€ a month) 46% would choose Z if proposed best offer 40% would choose Z if proposed best offer 34% would choose Z if proposed best offer Importance
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81 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Price elasticity curve 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Official - 0,10€ Official - 0,08€ Official - 0,06€ Official - 0,04€ Official - 0,02€ Official - 0,01€ Official Price Gasoil 95 oct 98 oct Simulations
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82 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Brand A 3,30€ 33 +8 Brand B 2,90€ 19 -4 Brand C 3.00€ 16 -4 Brand D 3.45€ 16 0 Brand E 3.00€ 10 +1 Brand F 2,95€ 4 -1 Brand G 3,15€ 2 0 Brand A lowers its price by 10% Brand Price (€) Share (%) Gain/Loss Simulations
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83 2.4. Conjoint analysis ©
2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Add new formulae: What if: we add a new formula F characteristics XYZ to our actual offer of A and B ? Some cannibalization on our formulas of 5 percent point: a net gain of 8 percent point of share of preference at expense of E. Base case: C 14% D 20% E 23% B 18% A 25% C 14% D 20% E 15% F 13% B 16% A 22% Simulations
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John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching 2.5. The Brand Funnel
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85 2.5. The Brand
Funnel © 2014 John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Brand D ++ Brand A + Brand G - - CRM Advertising PLANNING / ACTIONS / INVESTMENTS EVALUATION / ROI / ADAPTATION Brand development Market research ACTION Choice of Brand C AWARENESS Brand G Brand F Brand BBrand A Brand C Brand D Brand E INTEREST / ATTRACTION Brand D Brand C Brand A Brand C Brand D CONSIDERATION Brand C PREFFERENCE SATISFACTION LOYALTY NPS THE BRAND FUNNEL Promotion PR Sponsoring Social media Direct marketing Pricing NPD Distribution Segmentation Market research Business intelligence Business case Online marketing POS Trade shows Mobile marketing Positioning Lifetime value The brand funnel model helps you to structure, plan and manage your branding and market research activities Business intelligence BRAND TRACKER SWOT analysis IMAGE Brand C +++ Brand C Brand F -- PROSPECTSCUSTOMERSPROSPECTSCUSTOMERS AQUISITION RETENTION ADVOCACY OBJECTIVS AQUISITION RETENTION ADVOCACY
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86 © 2014 John
Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching John Morawski Market intelligence & Brand coaching Rogery 6671 Bovigny Belgium GSM +32 (0)477 62 18 75 E-mail: john.morawski@skynet.be