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A/B Testing for Lean Startups

Everything you ever              Secrets from the
wanted to know                   experts revealed
about split testing.

       Watch Presentation                   Learn More




                                   Pete Mauro @mauronic
                            Mucker Labs, February 27, 2012
In 2009 Tropicana wanted a new juice box
So they redesigned the package




                   New box launched in
                   thousands of stores
                   nationwide
How did it go?

      • “Ugly, stupid, cheap and
        generic looking”
      • Ad agency defends it
      • Sales plunge 20%
      • Agency CEO fired
      • Total cost: $33 Million
8 Months +
$33 Million Dollars =
 This Package Sucks
Very un-lean, dude
Lean Startups are Data Driven
Lean Startups Listen to their Customers
Lean Startups are Scientific
The Scientific Method
       Ask Question



        Do research



        Hypothesis



       Analyze Data



        Conclusion
Believe it or not, some people leave Facebook
Let’s pretend we work at Facebook
Ask Question   How can we stop more people from deactivating their
               Facebook account?

Do research    The reason why people use Facebook is because their friends
               are on Facebook.

Hypothesis     If you remind people about their friends who are being left
               behind, we will lower the deactivation rate.
Facebook’s Actual A/B Test
          Control




        Experiment




                       Source: Julie Zhou, Facebook
The guilt trip worked
            Control




         Experiment



          ✔
 Reduced Deactivation Rate by 7%
                                   Source: Julie Zhou, Facebook
Quiz: Guess the Winner
                       A            B




Source: http://www.abtests.com/
5
                 Quiz: Guess the Winner                 Points



                       A                      B




                                          ✔
                                  80% improvement on sign ups


Source: http://www.abtests.com/
Quiz: Guess the Winner
                                  A




                                  B




Source: http://www.abtests.com/
10
                 Quiz: Guess the Winner              Points

                                  A




                                  B




Source: http://www.abtests.com/
                                  ✔   +60% signups
Designing a Test
•   Anyone at the company should contribute
•   Ideas can come from user testing
•   Use best practices
•   Be creative, try crazy ideas
•   Use common sense: don’t piss off your users
    for the sake of metrics
The 41 Shades of Blue Test at Google




              Link Color
The Local Maxima




Source: Joshua Porter
A/B Testing Tools
•   Kissmetrics
•   Visual Website Optimizer
•   Optimizely
•   Unbounce
•   Mailchimp (email campaigns)
•   Google Website Optimizer
•   And more…
Mailchimp Split Test
Further Reading
• Metrics Driven Design (See Joshua Porter on
  Slideshare)
• The New Science of Product Development
  (See James Birchler on Slideshare)
• Quora: “What are the most unexpected things
  people have learned from A/B tests?”
• Abtests.com & whichtestwon.com
Thanks!




Follow me         I’m on Twitter
@mauronic         @mauronic

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A/B Testing for Lean Startups

  • 1. A/B Testing for Lean Startups Everything you ever Secrets from the wanted to know experts revealed about split testing. Watch Presentation Learn More Pete Mauro @mauronic Mucker Labs, February 27, 2012
  • 2.
  • 3. In 2009 Tropicana wanted a new juice box
  • 4. So they redesigned the package New box launched in thousands of stores nationwide
  • 5. How did it go? • “Ugly, stupid, cheap and generic looking” • Ad agency defends it • Sales plunge 20% • Agency CEO fired • Total cost: $33 Million
  • 6. 8 Months + $33 Million Dollars = This Package Sucks
  • 8. Lean Startups are Data Driven
  • 9. Lean Startups Listen to their Customers
  • 10. Lean Startups are Scientific
  • 11. The Scientific Method Ask Question Do research Hypothesis Analyze Data Conclusion
  • 12. Believe it or not, some people leave Facebook
  • 13. Let’s pretend we work at Facebook Ask Question How can we stop more people from deactivating their Facebook account? Do research The reason why people use Facebook is because their friends are on Facebook. Hypothesis If you remind people about their friends who are being left behind, we will lower the deactivation rate.
  • 14. Facebook’s Actual A/B Test Control Experiment Source: Julie Zhou, Facebook
  • 15. The guilt trip worked Control Experiment ✔ Reduced Deactivation Rate by 7% Source: Julie Zhou, Facebook
  • 16. Quiz: Guess the Winner A B Source: http://www.abtests.com/
  • 17. 5 Quiz: Guess the Winner Points A B ✔ 80% improvement on sign ups Source: http://www.abtests.com/
  • 18. Quiz: Guess the Winner A B Source: http://www.abtests.com/
  • 19. 10 Quiz: Guess the Winner Points A B Source: http://www.abtests.com/ ✔ +60% signups
  • 20. Designing a Test • Anyone at the company should contribute • Ideas can come from user testing • Use best practices • Be creative, try crazy ideas • Use common sense: don’t piss off your users for the sake of metrics
  • 21. The 41 Shades of Blue Test at Google Link Color
  • 22. The Local Maxima Source: Joshua Porter
  • 23. A/B Testing Tools • Kissmetrics • Visual Website Optimizer • Optimizely • Unbounce • Mailchimp (email campaigns) • Google Website Optimizer • And more…
  • 25. Further Reading • Metrics Driven Design (See Joshua Porter on Slideshare) • The New Science of Product Development (See James Birchler on Slideshare) • Quora: “What are the most unexpected things people have learned from A/B tests?” • Abtests.com & whichtestwon.com
  • 26. Thanks! Follow me I’m on Twitter @mauronic @mauronic

Editor's Notes

  1. The marketing people felt that they needed to modernize their imageTropicana hired Arnell Group, a subsidiary of Omnicom Group, to reimagine the packaging
  2. His team spent 6 months and tens of thousands of dollars to develop this new package
  3. Customers hated itAd agency CEO defends design in a press conference saying “emotionally it is very difficult for people to grasp this bold new change”Two moths after introduction its pulled from the shelves
  4. Eric Ries’ big ideaProgress is not measured by what you make, but what you learn.Goal: spin through this loop as fast as possible
  5. Steve blank says get out of the buildingYour opinion doesn’t matter, your customer’s does
  6. Just because we use this method does not be that we lack vision or creativity
  7. Lets look at a case study
  8. Your hypothesis must be measurable
  9. Millions of users retainedFacebook likes to say “the code wins”. What this really means is let’s stop arguing about what we think is right and test it with our users.
  10. Kiss metrics video anecdote
  11. Can you even tell what the difference is?
  12. Just about every conversion goal that tracked showed a dramatic improvement. Signups for free trial: +60%Engagement rate (inverse of bounce rate): +20%Visit to signup page: +30%Visit to homepage: +13%Visit to blog main page: +78%
  13. Tests are powerful because opinions don’t matter anymore Don’t piss off users: Appsumo pop-up, signup on blog post, ipad app download interstitial on
  14. This is testing gone astray~ 2.5% of users each got a shade for 2 weeksDoug Bowman cited this test as epitomizing the reason why he left as head designer at google
  15. Don’t get caught in a micro-optimization loopBig gains come from bold changes
  16. Nowadays there is no excuse not to A/B testEach of these sites have great resources on things like landing page best practices
  17. Web based testing software is ridiculously easy to use now