This document provides an overview of futures studies and foresight work. It discusses key concepts like the three "laws" of futures, which are that the future is not predetermined, not predictable, and can be influenced by present-day choices. It also outlines different types of potential futures, levels of depth in futures thinking, approaches to implementing foresight, and a generic foresight process. The overall purpose is to introduce some foundational concepts for those new to the field of futures studies and foresight.
A snapshot of changes in the meaning and definition of curriculum from the past to the present as well as five significant trends that will impact on the curriculum of the future.
The Future of Humanity Nick Bostrom Future of Humanit.docxbarbaran11
The Future of Humanity
Nick Bostrom
Future of Humanity Institute
Faculty of Philosophy & James Martin 21st Century School
Oxford University
www.nickbostrom.com
[Complete draft circulated (2007)]
[Published in New Waves in Philosophy of Technology, eds. Jan-Kyrre Berg Olsen, Evan
Selinger, & Soren Riis (New York: Palgrave McMillan, 2009)]
[Reprinted in the journal Geopolitics, History, and International Relations, forthcoming]
Abstract
The future of humanity is often viewed as a topic for idle speculation. Yet our beliefs and
assumptions on this subject matter shape decisions in both our personal lives and public
policy – decisions that have very real and sometimes unfortunate consequences. It is
therefore practically important to try to develop a realistic mode of futuristic thought about
big picture questions for humanity. This paper sketches an overview of some recent attempts
in this direction, and it offers a brief discussion of four families of scenarios for humanity’s
future: extinction, recurrent collapse, plateau, and posthumanity.
The future of humanity as an inescapable topic
In one sense, the future of humanity comprises everything that will ever happen to any
human being, including what you will have for breakfast next Thursday and all the scientific
discoveries that will be made next year. In that sense, it is hardly reasonable to think of the
future of humanity as a topic: it is too big and too diverse to be addressed as a whole in a
single essay, monograph, or even 100-volume book series. It is made into a topic by way of
abstraction. We abstract from details and short-term fluctuations and developments that
affect only some limited aspect of our lives. A discussion about the future of humanity is
about how the important fundamental features of the human condition may change or remain
constant in the long run.
What features of the human condition are fundamental and important? On this there
can be reasonable disagreement. Nonetheless, some features qualify by almost any standard.
For example, whether and when Earth-originating life will go extinct, whether it will
colonize the galaxy, whether human biology will be fundamentally transformed to make us
posthuman, whether machine intelligence will surpass biological intelligence, whether
1
http://www.nickbostrom.com/
population size will explode, and whether quality of life will radically improve or deteriorate:
these are all important fundamental questions about the future of humanity. Less
fundamental questions – for instance, about methodologies or specific technology projections
– are also relevant insofar as they inform our views about more fundamental parameters.
Traditionally, the future of humanity has been a topic for theology. All the major
religions have teachings about the ultimate destiny of humanity or the end of the world.1
Eschatological themes have also been explored by big-name philosopher.
Ecology & Environment. Kenneth E Boulding.
What can we know and teach about social systems?
Recently I came upon the reassuring news that the year
1910 was a crucial one in human history because this was
the year when the medical profession began to do more
good than harm. I wonder whether the teaching profession has reached this watershed yet.
Crazy Futures I an exploration on the necessity of pushing your thinking pas...Wendy Schultz
Don't merely consider what you think is plausible - recognise that you may not have the whole story on emerging changes, and that what's emerging may shatter the bounds of what's currently 'plausible'. Get creative, test assumptions, test values and worldviews.
A snapshot of changes in the meaning and definition of curriculum from the past to the present as well as five significant trends that will impact on the curriculum of the future.
The Future of Humanity Nick Bostrom Future of Humanit.docxbarbaran11
The Future of Humanity
Nick Bostrom
Future of Humanity Institute
Faculty of Philosophy & James Martin 21st Century School
Oxford University
www.nickbostrom.com
[Complete draft circulated (2007)]
[Published in New Waves in Philosophy of Technology, eds. Jan-Kyrre Berg Olsen, Evan
Selinger, & Soren Riis (New York: Palgrave McMillan, 2009)]
[Reprinted in the journal Geopolitics, History, and International Relations, forthcoming]
Abstract
The future of humanity is often viewed as a topic for idle speculation. Yet our beliefs and
assumptions on this subject matter shape decisions in both our personal lives and public
policy – decisions that have very real and sometimes unfortunate consequences. It is
therefore practically important to try to develop a realistic mode of futuristic thought about
big picture questions for humanity. This paper sketches an overview of some recent attempts
in this direction, and it offers a brief discussion of four families of scenarios for humanity’s
future: extinction, recurrent collapse, plateau, and posthumanity.
The future of humanity as an inescapable topic
In one sense, the future of humanity comprises everything that will ever happen to any
human being, including what you will have for breakfast next Thursday and all the scientific
discoveries that will be made next year. In that sense, it is hardly reasonable to think of the
future of humanity as a topic: it is too big and too diverse to be addressed as a whole in a
single essay, monograph, or even 100-volume book series. It is made into a topic by way of
abstraction. We abstract from details and short-term fluctuations and developments that
affect only some limited aspect of our lives. A discussion about the future of humanity is
about how the important fundamental features of the human condition may change or remain
constant in the long run.
What features of the human condition are fundamental and important? On this there
can be reasonable disagreement. Nonetheless, some features qualify by almost any standard.
For example, whether and when Earth-originating life will go extinct, whether it will
colonize the galaxy, whether human biology will be fundamentally transformed to make us
posthuman, whether machine intelligence will surpass biological intelligence, whether
1
http://www.nickbostrom.com/
population size will explode, and whether quality of life will radically improve or deteriorate:
these are all important fundamental questions about the future of humanity. Less
fundamental questions – for instance, about methodologies or specific technology projections
– are also relevant insofar as they inform our views about more fundamental parameters.
Traditionally, the future of humanity has been a topic for theology. All the major
religions have teachings about the ultimate destiny of humanity or the end of the world.1
Eschatological themes have also been explored by big-name philosopher.
Ecology & Environment. Kenneth E Boulding.
What can we know and teach about social systems?
Recently I came upon the reassuring news that the year
1910 was a crucial one in human history because this was
the year when the medical profession began to do more
good than harm. I wonder whether the teaching profession has reached this watershed yet.
Crazy Futures I an exploration on the necessity of pushing your thinking pas...Wendy Schultz
Don't merely consider what you think is plausible - recognise that you may not have the whole story on emerging changes, and that what's emerging may shatter the bounds of what's currently 'plausible'. Get creative, test assumptions, test values and worldviews.
Essay about Sci-fI Films
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Feminism Essay | Essay on Feminism for Students and Children in English .... Feminism & Women Empowerment Essay: Outline, Examples, & 100+ Feminism .... Feminist Theory and Liberal Feminists Essay Example | Topics and Well .... Essay about feminism | FEMINISM essays. Feminist essay by Ashley Judd. Essay feminist movement - iopsnceiop.web.fc2.com.
First steps into Futuring @daniel_eggerDaniel Egger
This presentation provides a short introduction into futuring and futures that are divided in: the future of the past, the future of the present, the future of the future (After Next).
The Help Essay — — The Help by Kathryn Stockett - review. Self help is the best help essay colorado state university. The Help Book Essay Topics - “The Help” by Kathryn Stockett Essay. Reflective essay: Write a narrative essay about helping a friend in trouble. Essays on the help – Logan Square Auditorium. essay on help. Essay on helping - Experiencing Happiness in Helping Others. What Is So Fascinating About Help in Writing My Essay? - Off Broadway .... The Help Essay Questions - Book Discussion Questions: The Help by .... Essay on help each other. School essay: Essay to help others. Essay on the topic self help is the best help - copywriterquotes.x.fc2.com. Essay helping - writerkesey.x.fc2.com. Here’s What I Know About Help with Essays | Qrius. Essay on helping others. Essay Writing Service.. The help essay - College Homework Help and Online Tutoring.. Essay Helping Someone – Coretan. Essays on the help | Order Custom Essays at littlechums.com..
The Help Essay — — The Help by Kathryn Stockett - review. Self help is the best help essay colorado state university. The Help Book Essay Topics - “The Help” by Kathryn Stockett Essay. Reflective essay: Write a narrative essay about helping a friend in trouble. Essays on the help – Logan Square Auditorium. essay on help. Essay on helping - Experiencing Happiness in Helping Others. What Is So Fascinating About Help in Writing My Essay? - Off Broadway .... The Help Essay Questions - Book Discussion Questions: The Help by .... Essay on help each other. School essay: Essay to help others. Essay on the topic self help is the best help - copywriterquotes.x.fc2.com. Essay helping - writerkesey.x.fc2.com. Here’s What I Know About Help with Essays | Qrius. Essay on helping others. Essay Writing Service.. The help essay - College Homework Help and Online Tutoring.. Essay Helping Someone – Coretan. Essays on the help | Order Custom Essays at littlechums.com..
Crazy Futures I an exploration on the necessity of pushing your thinking past...Wendy Schultz
Don't merely consider what you think is plausible - recognise that you may not have the whole story on emerging changes, and that what's emerging may shatter the bounds of what's currently 'plausible'. Get creative, test assumptions, test values and worldviews.
Dear readers, as far as I'm concerned "THE CHAOS THEORY" is EXPLICITABLE WITH A SEQUENCE OF FEW IMAGES (THAT FOR OBVIOUS REASONS CAN NOT EXPLICATE IN THIS CONTEXT), EVERY way by pointing out faulty sources, I will try, to follow, to describe some in formation about IT.
School paper: Human evolution essay. Human Evolution - University Biological Sciences - Marked by Teachers.com. Evolution assignment - 511 Words - NerdySeal. Evolution The Core Theme Of Biology Essay - Theme Image.
School paper: Human evolution essay. Human Evolution - University Biological Sciences - Marked by Teachers.com. Evolution assignment - 511 Words - NerdySeal. Evolution The Core Theme Of Biology Essay - Theme Image.
Crazy Futures: Why Plausibility is MaladaptiveWendy Schultz
Explores how images of the future are perceived and categorized, and how the discipline itself uses 'plausibility' as an evaluative criterion - and why that may be a mistake.
Piaget's Theory of Cognitive Development Free Essay Example. Piaget Essay Plan | PDF | Cognitive Development | Thought. ⇉Piaget’s Theory of Cognitive Development Essay Example | GraduateWay. An examination of Piaget’s Theory of Human Development | Matthew ....
(DOC) Effects of Globalization essay | Estelle Gras - Academia.edu. An important role of globalization - Free Essay Example | PapersOwl.com. Globalisation Essay | Economics - Year 12 HSC | Thinkswap. How Does Globalization Affect Us Essay - QLABOL. Globalisation Essay. handwritten notes of Globalisation-[political science] class 12th ....
Essay about Sci-fI Films
Science Essay
Scientific Theory Essay
Evolution of Science Essay
My Love For Science
Essay about Life Science
My Passion For Science
Environmental Science Essay
Essay on Forensic Science
What Is Earth Science? Essay
Feminism Essay | Essay on Feminism for Students and Children in English .... Feminism & Women Empowerment Essay: Outline, Examples, & 100+ Feminism .... Feminist Theory and Liberal Feminists Essay Example | Topics and Well .... Essay about feminism | FEMINISM essays. Feminist essay by Ashley Judd. Essay feminist movement - iopsnceiop.web.fc2.com.
First steps into Futuring @daniel_eggerDaniel Egger
This presentation provides a short introduction into futuring and futures that are divided in: the future of the past, the future of the present, the future of the future (After Next).
The Help Essay — — The Help by Kathryn Stockett - review. Self help is the best help essay colorado state university. The Help Book Essay Topics - “The Help” by Kathryn Stockett Essay. Reflective essay: Write a narrative essay about helping a friend in trouble. Essays on the help – Logan Square Auditorium. essay on help. Essay on helping - Experiencing Happiness in Helping Others. What Is So Fascinating About Help in Writing My Essay? - Off Broadway .... The Help Essay Questions - Book Discussion Questions: The Help by .... Essay on help each other. School essay: Essay to help others. Essay on the topic self help is the best help - copywriterquotes.x.fc2.com. Essay helping - writerkesey.x.fc2.com. Here’s What I Know About Help with Essays | Qrius. Essay on helping others. Essay Writing Service.. The help essay - College Homework Help and Online Tutoring.. Essay Helping Someone – Coretan. Essays on the help | Order Custom Essays at littlechums.com..
The Help Essay — — The Help by Kathryn Stockett - review. Self help is the best help essay colorado state university. The Help Book Essay Topics - “The Help” by Kathryn Stockett Essay. Reflective essay: Write a narrative essay about helping a friend in trouble. Essays on the help – Logan Square Auditorium. essay on help. Essay on helping - Experiencing Happiness in Helping Others. What Is So Fascinating About Help in Writing My Essay? - Off Broadway .... The Help Essay Questions - Book Discussion Questions: The Help by .... Essay on help each other. School essay: Essay to help others. Essay on the topic self help is the best help - copywriterquotes.x.fc2.com. Essay helping - writerkesey.x.fc2.com. Here’s What I Know About Help with Essays | Qrius. Essay on helping others. Essay Writing Service.. The help essay - College Homework Help and Online Tutoring.. Essay Helping Someone – Coretan. Essays on the help | Order Custom Essays at littlechums.com..
Crazy Futures I an exploration on the necessity of pushing your thinking past...Wendy Schultz
Don't merely consider what you think is plausible - recognise that you may not have the whole story on emerging changes, and that what's emerging may shatter the bounds of what's currently 'plausible'. Get creative, test assumptions, test values and worldviews.
Dear readers, as far as I'm concerned "THE CHAOS THEORY" is EXPLICITABLE WITH A SEQUENCE OF FEW IMAGES (THAT FOR OBVIOUS REASONS CAN NOT EXPLICATE IN THIS CONTEXT), EVERY way by pointing out faulty sources, I will try, to follow, to describe some in formation about IT.
School paper: Human evolution essay. Human Evolution - University Biological Sciences - Marked by Teachers.com. Evolution assignment - 511 Words - NerdySeal. Evolution The Core Theme Of Biology Essay - Theme Image.
School paper: Human evolution essay. Human Evolution - University Biological Sciences - Marked by Teachers.com. Evolution assignment - 511 Words - NerdySeal. Evolution The Core Theme Of Biology Essay - Theme Image.
Crazy Futures: Why Plausibility is MaladaptiveWendy Schultz
Explores how images of the future are perceived and categorized, and how the discipline itself uses 'plausibility' as an evaluative criterion - and why that may be a mistake.
Piaget's Theory of Cognitive Development Free Essay Example. Piaget Essay Plan | PDF | Cognitive Development | Thought. ⇉Piaget’s Theory of Cognitive Development Essay Example | GraduateWay. An examination of Piaget’s Theory of Human Development | Matthew ....
(DOC) Effects of Globalization essay | Estelle Gras - Academia.edu. An important role of globalization - Free Essay Example | PapersOwl.com. Globalisation Essay | Economics - Year 12 HSC | Thinkswap. How Does Globalization Affect Us Essay - QLABOL. Globalisation Essay. handwritten notes of Globalisation-[political science] class 12th ....
Our HK Foundation's report -- based on a draft provided by the Victor and William Fung Foundation through the work of Fung Business Intelligence Centre
Software Delivery At the Speed of AI: Inflectra Invests In AI-Powered QualityInflectra
In this insightful webinar, Inflectra explores how artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming software development and testing. Discover how AI-powered tools are revolutionizing every stage of the software development lifecycle (SDLC), from design and prototyping to testing, deployment, and monitoring.
Learn about:
• The Future of Testing: How AI is shifting testing towards verification, analysis, and higher-level skills, while reducing repetitive tasks.
• Test Automation: How AI-powered test case generation, optimization, and self-healing tests are making testing more efficient and effective.
• Visual Testing: Explore the emerging capabilities of AI in visual testing and how it's set to revolutionize UI verification.
• Inflectra's AI Solutions: See demonstrations of Inflectra's cutting-edge AI tools like the ChatGPT plugin and Azure Open AI platform, designed to streamline your testing process.
Whether you're a developer, tester, or QA professional, this webinar will give you valuable insights into how AI is shaping the future of software delivery.
UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series, part 4DianaGray10
Welcome to UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series part 4. In this session, we will cover Test Manager overview along with SAP heatmap.
The UiPath Test Manager overview with SAP heatmap webinar offers a concise yet comprehensive exploration of the role of a Test Manager within SAP environments, coupled with the utilization of heatmaps for effective testing strategies.
Participants will gain insights into the responsibilities, challenges, and best practices associated with test management in SAP projects. Additionally, the webinar delves into the significance of heatmaps as a visual aid for identifying testing priorities, areas of risk, and resource allocation within SAP landscapes. Through this session, attendees can expect to enhance their understanding of test management principles while learning practical approaches to optimize testing processes in SAP environments using heatmap visualization techniques
What will you get from this session?
1. Insights into SAP testing best practices
2. Heatmap utilization for testing
3. Optimization of testing processes
4. Demo
Topics covered:
Execution from the test manager
Orchestrator execution result
Defect reporting
SAP heatmap example with demo
Speaker:
Deepak Rai, Automation Practice Lead, Boundaryless Group and UiPath MVP
UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series, part 3DianaGray10
Welcome to UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series part 3. In this session, we will cover desktop automation along with UI automation.
Topics covered:
UI automation Introduction,
UI automation Sample
Desktop automation flow
Pradeep Chinnala, Senior Consultant Automation Developer @WonderBotz and UiPath MVP
Deepak Rai, Automation Practice Lead, Boundaryless Group and UiPath MVP
GDG Cloud Southlake #33: Boule & Rebala: Effective AppSec in SDLC using Deplo...James Anderson
Effective Application Security in Software Delivery lifecycle using Deployment Firewall and DBOM
The modern software delivery process (or the CI/CD process) includes many tools, distributed teams, open-source code, and cloud platforms. Constant focus on speed to release software to market, along with the traditional slow and manual security checks has caused gaps in continuous security as an important piece in the software supply chain. Today organizations feel more susceptible to external and internal cyber threats due to the vast attack surface in their applications supply chain and the lack of end-to-end governance and risk management.
The software team must secure its software delivery process to avoid vulnerability and security breaches. This needs to be achieved with existing tool chains and without extensive rework of the delivery processes. This talk will present strategies and techniques for providing visibility into the true risk of the existing vulnerabilities, preventing the introduction of security issues in the software, resolving vulnerabilities in production environments quickly, and capturing the deployment bill of materials (DBOM).
Speakers:
Bob Boule
Robert Boule is a technology enthusiast with PASSION for technology and making things work along with a knack for helping others understand how things work. He comes with around 20 years of solution engineering experience in application security, software continuous delivery, and SaaS platforms. He is known for his dynamic presentations in CI/CD and application security integrated in software delivery lifecycle.
Gopinath Rebala
Gopinath Rebala is the CTO of OpsMx, where he has overall responsibility for the machine learning and data processing architectures for Secure Software Delivery. Gopi also has a strong connection with our customers, leading design and architecture for strategic implementations. Gopi is a frequent speaker and well-known leader in continuous delivery and integrating security into software delivery.
Let's dive deeper into the world of ODC! Ricardo Alves (OutSystems) will join us to tell all about the new Data Fabric. After that, Sezen de Bruijn (OutSystems) will get into the details on how to best design a sturdy architecture within ODC.
LF Energy Webinar: Electrical Grid Modelling and Simulation Through PowSyBl -...DanBrown980551
Do you want to learn how to model and simulate an electrical network from scratch in under an hour?
Then welcome to this PowSyBl workshop, hosted by Rte, the French Transmission System Operator (TSO)!
During the webinar, you will discover the PowSyBl ecosystem as well as handle and study an electrical network through an interactive Python notebook.
PowSyBl is an open source project hosted by LF Energy, which offers a comprehensive set of features for electrical grid modelling and simulation. Among other advanced features, PowSyBl provides:
- A fully editable and extendable library for grid component modelling;
- Visualization tools to display your network;
- Grid simulation tools, such as power flows, security analyses (with or without remedial actions) and sensitivity analyses;
The framework is mostly written in Java, with a Python binding so that Python developers can access PowSyBl functionalities as well.
What you will learn during the webinar:
- For beginners: discover PowSyBl's functionalities through a quick general presentation and the notebook, without needing any expert coding skills;
- For advanced developers: master the skills to efficiently apply PowSyBl functionalities to your real-world scenarios.
Essentials of Automations: Optimizing FME Workflows with ParametersSafe Software
Are you looking to streamline your workflows and boost your projects’ efficiency? Do you find yourself searching for ways to add flexibility and control over your FME workflows? If so, you’re in the right place.
Join us for an insightful dive into the world of FME parameters, a critical element in optimizing workflow efficiency. This webinar marks the beginning of our three-part “Essentials of Automation” series. This first webinar is designed to equip you with the knowledge and skills to utilize parameters effectively: enhancing the flexibility, maintainability, and user control of your FME projects.
Here’s what you’ll gain:
- Essentials of FME Parameters: Understand the pivotal role of parameters, including Reader/Writer, Transformer, User, and FME Flow categories. Discover how they are the key to unlocking automation and optimization within your workflows.
- Practical Applications in FME Form: Delve into key user parameter types including choice, connections, and file URLs. Allow users to control how a workflow runs, making your workflows more reusable. Learn to import values and deliver the best user experience for your workflows while enhancing accuracy.
- Optimization Strategies in FME Flow: Explore the creation and strategic deployment of parameters in FME Flow, including the use of deployment and geometry parameters, to maximize workflow efficiency.
- Pro Tips for Success: Gain insights on parameterizing connections and leveraging new features like Conditional Visibility for clarity and simplicity.
We’ll wrap up with a glimpse into future webinars, followed by a Q&A session to address your specific questions surrounding this topic.
Don’t miss this opportunity to elevate your FME expertise and drive your projects to new heights of efficiency.
Smart TV Buyer Insights Survey 2024 by 91mobiles.pdf91mobiles
91mobiles recently conducted a Smart TV Buyer Insights Survey in which we asked over 3,000 respondents about the TV they own, aspects they look at on a new TV, and their TV buying preferences.
Transcript: Selling digital books in 2024: Insights from industry leaders - T...BookNet Canada
The publishing industry has been selling digital audiobooks and ebooks for over a decade and has found its groove. What’s changed? What has stayed the same? Where do we go from here? Join a group of leading sales peers from across the industry for a conversation about the lessons learned since the popularization of digital books, best practices, digital book supply chain management, and more.
Link to video recording: https://bnctechforum.ca/sessions/selling-digital-books-in-2024-insights-from-industry-leaders/
Presented by BookNet Canada on May 28, 2024, with support from the Department of Canadian Heritage.
Kubernetes & AI - Beauty and the Beast !?! @KCD Istanbul 2024Tobias Schneck
As AI technology is pushing into IT I was wondering myself, as an “infrastructure container kubernetes guy”, how get this fancy AI technology get managed from an infrastructure operational view? Is it possible to apply our lovely cloud native principals as well? What benefit’s both technologies could bring to each other?
Let me take this questions and provide you a short journey through existing deployment models and use cases for AI software. On practical examples, we discuss what cloud/on-premise strategy we may need for applying it to our own infrastructure to get it to work from an enterprise perspective. I want to give an overview about infrastructure requirements and technologies, what could be beneficial or limiting your AI use cases in an enterprise environment. An interactive Demo will give you some insides, what approaches I got already working for real.
Accelerate your Kubernetes clusters with Varnish CachingThijs Feryn
A presentation about the usage and availability of Varnish on Kubernetes. This talk explores the capabilities of Varnish caching and shows how to use the Varnish Helm chart to deploy it to Kubernetes.
This presentation was delivered at K8SUG Singapore. See https://feryn.eu/presentations/accelerate-your-kubernetes-clusters-with-varnish-caching-k8sug-singapore-28-2024 for more details.
Neuro-symbolic is not enough, we need neuro-*semantic*Frank van Harmelen
Neuro-symbolic (NeSy) AI is on the rise. However, simply machine learning on just any symbolic structure is not sufficient to really harvest the gains of NeSy. These will only be gained when the symbolic structures have an actual semantics. I give an operational definition of semantics as “predictable inference”.
All of this illustrated with link prediction over knowledge graphs, but the argument is general.