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Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
41
A New Method For Feature Selection in Diagnosis Using
DEMATEL and ANP; Case Study: Asthma
Somayeh akhavan darabi1*
babak teymourpour2
hassan heydarnejad3
azamdokht safi samgh abadi4
1. Department of economic, management and accounting, Payame Noor University, daran, Iran
2. Department of Information Technology, Tarbit Modares University, Tehran, Iran
3. Department of Medical, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran
4. Department of Industrial Engineering, Payame Noor University, Iran
* E-mail of the corresponding author: akhavan.star@yahoo.com
Abstract
Disease is one of the effective factors in decreasing life quality of human beings and since many factors are
effective in engendering this disease and each of these effective factors can cause prevalence and aggravation of
disease, recognition of risk factors and also relationships among these factors are so important. Using the opinion
of experts can make new method in intelligent systems of disease recognition. In the present research at first we
mentioned the relationships among asthma disease factors by using experts’ opinion in group decision making
method, DEMATEL and then we extracted the most important factors by analysis network path (ANP) and since
risk factors are different in multiple countries, for recognition of local factors in Iran country, database including
325 cases of asthmatic and non-asthmatic disease is prepared and the most important risk factors of asthma
disease in Iran society are recognized. The results of research show that the most important variables of asthma
disease in Iran country are genetic factors of individuals, wheeze and environmental pollution.
Keywords: DEMATEL, ANP, Feature Selection, Asthma
1. Introduction
Asthma is the most prevalent chronic disease in children and adolescents which causes much morbidity increase,
mortality and health care expenditure. In addition to the mortality augmentation caused by this disease, asthma
has a lot of effects on the life quality and children’s educational activities. It is clear that false diagnosis and
inappropriate therapy are two factors which help morbidity and mortality increase in asthmatic illness which
both occur for the reason of lack of knowledge in the patients and the families. Documents show that there is a
considerable difference between accepted asthma prevalence by physicians and the asthma related to symptoms
in medical researches which it shows the lack of asthma recognition by physicians in Iran (Tootoonchi, 2004).
By better identification of pathogenic mechanisms in asthma ailment and the efficient communication in
effective variables in asthma and determining the most important of them, one can promote people and patients’
knowledge and this trend causes the disease symptoms and the asthmatic patient’s life quality to be connection
intensity as scoring searches. Feedbacks with their significance and accepts the transferable relationships.
Hence the important risk factors of asthma selection is required to handle several complex factors in a better
sensible and logical manner. Thus, the important risk factors of asthma selection is a kind of multiple criteria
decision-making (MCDM) problem, and requires MCDM methods to solve it appropriately.
Many traditional MCDM methods are based on the additive concept along with the independence assumption,
but each individual criterion is not always completely independent. (Leung, Hui, & Zheng, 2003; Shee, Tzeng, &
Tang, 2003). For solving the interactions among elements, the analytic network process (ANP) as a relatively
new MCDM method was proposed by Saaty (1996). The ANP is a mathematical theory that can deal with all
kinds of dependence systematically (Saaty, 2004). The ANP has been successfully applied in many fields
(Agarwal & Shankar, 2002;, Chung, Lee, & Pearn, 2005; Coulter & Sarkis, 2005; Kahraman, Ertay, &
Buyukozkan, 2006; Karsak, Sozer, & Alptekin, 2003; Lee & Kim, 2001; Meade & Presley, 2002; Niemira &
Saaty, 2004; Partovi, 2001; Partovi & Corredoira, 2002; Partovi, 2006; Shang, Tjader, & Ding, 2004;
Tesfamariam & Lindberg, 2005; Yurdakul, 2004).
However, the treatments of inner dependences in those ANP works were not complete and perfect. Indeed, the
Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) not only can convert the relations between cause
and effect of criteria into a visual structural model (Gabus Shimizu, 1999), but also can be used as a wise way to
handle the inner dependences within a set of criteria, As the ANP and the DEMATEL have these advantages.
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
42
This paper proposes an effective solution based on a combined ANP and DEMATEL approach to help doctors
make a correct diagnosis and appropriate treatment of asthma. Also, uses DEMATEL to explore the relationship
between various elements of the asthma development in Iran and uses ANP to explore the most important
factors of asthma in Iran.
In this research, for the target of risk factor identification and the influence of each of them on one another, they
are introduced by using the feedback rings. Henceforth by applying ANP technique, the important factors which
are the basic causes of the other factors are identified and prioritized. Liang L-W and his colleagues at first
applied six aspects of the financial tools and strategies in agricultural business and they also provided a
questionnaire by the assistant of specialists and experts. They applied DEMATEL method for the aim of
ascertaining strategies and important financial tools and also the direct link among effective factors.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, Literature Review, In Section 3, the theoretical
foundations of DEMATEL and ANP, in Section 4, is devoted to discussion. In Section 5, the conclusions are
discussed and in section 6, finally Suggestions for Future Research are given.
2. Literature Review
According to the research, Cheng and Zhang (2007) used ANP to find out key selecting criteria for a strategic
partner and further to identify the relative importance among the criteria. Lee et al. (2002) uses ANP to analyze
the problem of network technology, to consider the related technology network technology require, and to seek
out the core technology and the characteristics of network technology. Hsieh et al. (2008) applied ANP to
investigate customer preferences toward service quality and finally to determine the top hotel from the five hot
spring hotels in Taiwan. Additional researches adopted ANP are (2008a), Lin et al. (2008b), and Lin et al. (2008c)
and others.
Wen-Rong Jerry Ho, (2011) presented a novel MCDM model, including DEMATEL, ANP, and VIKOR for
exploring portfolio selection based on CAPM. They probe into the influential factors and relative weights of
risk-free rate, expected market return, and beta of the security. Their model examined leading semiconductor
companies spanning the hottest sectors of integrated circuit (IC) design, wafer foundry, and IC packaging by
experts. In the eight evaluation criteria, macroeconomic criterion was the most important factor affecting
investment decisions, followed by exchange rate and firm-specific risk.
Chi-Yo Huang, et.al. (2012) researched on the smartphone operation system. OS is one of the major factors
influencing consumers’ purchase decisions toward purchasing smartphones. However, the analysis and
predictions of consumer behaviors toward the smartphone OSs are not easy due to due to the fast emerging
technology and highly competitive market situation. To resolve this problem, they aimed to propose a novel
multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) based approach for discovering the factors influencing the
technology acceptances of the smartphone OSs based on industry experts’ opinions.
Chun-An Chen (2012) studied about the development of medical tourism in Taiwan by DEMATEL. DEMATEL
method can confirm interrelationships among diverse factors and identify the key factors. This structure divided
into five main aspects, including the strengthening of infrastructure and tourist services, the clarity of market
segmentation, marketing planning, as well as government policy. The results show that the internet can provide
detailed information on medical tourism and strengthen the marketing in order to develop medical tourism
industry in Taiwan.
Since companies and organizations have grown to rely on their computer systems and networks, the issue of
information security management has become more significant. To maintain their competitiveness, enterprises
should safeguard their information and try to eliminate the risk of information being compromised or reduce this
risk to an acceptable level. Yu-Ping Ou Yang (2013) proposed an information security risk-control assessment
model that could improve information security for these companies and organizations. He proposed an MCDM
model combining VIKOR, DEMATEL, and ANP to solve the problem of conflicting criteria that show
dependence and feedback. The results show that their proposed method can be effective in helping IT managers
validate the effectiveness of their risk controls.
3. Methodology
In this section we will talk about theoretical foundations and generalities of the theory of DEMATEL and ANP.
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
43
General framework of the model which presented in this part is displayed in figure 1. The evaluation of variables
is an important problem in statistical researches and the methods of machine learning. Feature selection
algorithms choose more effective set of data matrix variables. In fact we attribute a degree to each variable that it
is the indicator of effect rate of variable in group classification. Whatever the degree of a variable is more, that
variable has more share in calculations [18]. In the present research the selection of features is performed by
combining DEMATEL and ANP methods.
Figure 1: general framework of model
3-1 DEMATEL
DEMATEL method was originally developed from 1972 to 1979 by the Science and Human Affairs Program of
the Battelle Memorial Institute of Geneva, with the purpose of studying the complex and intertwined problematic
group. It has been widely accepted as one of the best tools to solve the cause and effect relationship among the
evaluation criteria (Chiu et al., 2006, Liou et al., 2007, Tzeng et al., 2007, Wu and Lee, 2007, Lin and Tzeng,
2009). This method is applied to analyze and form the relationship of cause and effect among evaluation criteria
(Yang et al., 2008) or to derive interrelationship among factors (Lin and Tzeng, 2009). Based on Yu and Tseng
(2006), Liou, et al., (2007), Tzeng, et al., (2007), Yang, et al., (2008),Wu and Lee (2007), Shieh et al., (2010
[ Detcharat Sumrit a, and Pongpun Anuntavoranich, 2013].
Calculation steps of DEMATEL:
The DEMATEL method can be summarized in the following steps:
Step 1: Find the average matrix. Suppose we have H experts in this study and n factors to consider. Each
stakeholder is asked to indicate the degree to which he or she believes a factor i affects factor j. These pairwise
comparisons between any two factors are denoted by aij and are given an integer score ranging from 0, 1, 2, 3,
and 4, representing ‘No influence (0),’ ‘Low influence (1),’ ‘Medium influence (2),’ ‘High influence (3),’ and
‘Very high influence (4),’ respectively. The scores by each expert will give us a n x n non-negative answer matrix
k
X =[
k
ijx ], with Hk ££1 . Thus
1
X ,
2
X ,…,
H
X are the answer matrices for each of the H experts, and
each element of
k
X is an integer denoted by
k
ijx . The diagonal elements of each answer matrix
k
X are all set
to zero. We can then compute the n x n average matrix A for all expert opinions by averaging the H experts’
scores as follows:
å=
=
H
k
k
ijij x
H
a
1
1
(1)
The average matrix A=[ ija ] is also called the initial direct relation matrix. A shows the initial direct effects that a
factor exerts on and receives from other factors. Furthermore, we can map out the causal effect between each
pair of factors in a system by drawing an influence map. Figure 2 below is an example of such an influence map.
data collection
Performing pairwise comparisons
recognition of internal
relationship by DEMATEL
recognition of weighing
to variables by ANP
recognition of important
factors and their priorities
variable
identification
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
44
Here each letter represents a factor in the system. An arrow from c to d shows the effect that c has on d, and the
strength of its effect is 4. DEMATEL can convert the structural relations among the factors of a system into an
intelligible map of the system.
Figure 2: example flounce of map
Step 2: Calculate the normalized initial direct-relation matrix. The normalized initial direct-relation matrix D is
obtained by normalizing the average matrix A in the following way:
let
÷
÷
ø
ö
ç
ç
è
æ
åå=
=££=££
n
i
ij
nj
n
j
ij
ni
aas
1111
max,maxmax (2)
then
s
A
D = (3)
Since the sum of each row j of matrix A represents the total direct effects that factor i gives to the other factors,
å=
££
n
j
ij
ni
a
1
1
max represents the total direct effects of the factor with the most direct effects on others. Likewise, since
the sum of each column i of matrix A represents the total direct effects received by factor i, å=
££
n
i
ij
nj
a
1
1
max
represents the total direct effects received of the factor that receives the most direct effects from others. The
positive scalar s takes the lesser of the two as the upper bound, and the matrix D is obtained by dividing each
element of A by the scalar s. Note that each element ijd of matrix D is between zero and less than 1.
Step 3: Compute the total relation matrix. A continuous decrease of the indirect effects of problems
along the powers of matrix D, e.g.
2 3
, ,..., ,¥
D D D guarantees convergent solutions to the matrix inversion
similar to an absorbing Markov chain matrix. Note that lim [0]m
n n
m
´
®¥
=D and
2 3 1
lim( ... ) ( )m
m
-
®¥
+ + + + + = -I D D D D I D , where 0 is the n ×n null matrix and I is the n x n identity
matrix. The total relation matrix T is an n× n matrix and is defined as follow:
T = [tij] i, j = 1, 2,…, n
where T = D + D2
+ … + Dm
=
2 m 1
+ + ... + ( ... )m-
I= + + + +2
D D D D D D D
c
d g
e
f
4 3
1
3
4
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
45
( )1 -1
[( ... ) 1- ](1- )m-
I + + + +2
= D D D D D D = D(I-D)-1
, as m ®¥ (4)
We also define r and c as n x 1 vectors representing the sum of rows and sum of columns of the total relation
matrix T as follows:
r=[ri]n×i = ( ij)n×i (5)
1[ ]j nc ´
¢=c =
1 1
n
ij
i n
t
= ´
¢æ ö
ç ÷
è ø
å (6)
where superscript ¢ denotes transpose.
Let ri be the sum of i-th row in matrix T. Then ri shows the total effects, both direct and indirect, given by factor
i to the other factors. Let cj denotes the sum of j-th column in matrix T. Then cj shows the total effects, both
direct and indirect, received by factor j from the other factors. Thus when j = i, the sum (ri+ci) gives us an index
representing the total effects both given and received by factor i. In other words, (ri+ci) shows the degree of
importance (total sum of effects given and received) that factor i plays in the system. In addition, the difference
(ri - ci) shows the net effect that factor i contributes to the system. When (ri - ci) is positive, factor i is a net causer,
and when (ri - ci) is negative, factor i is a net receiver (Tzeng et al. 2007; Tamura et al., 2002).
Step 4: Set a threshold value and obtain the impact-relations-map. In order to explain the structural relation
among the factors while keeping the complexity of the system to a manageable level, it is necessary to set a
threshold value p to filter out some negligible effects in matrix T. While each factor of matrix T provides
information on how one factor affects another, the decision-maker must set a threshold value in order to reduce
the complexity of the structural relation model implicit in matrix T. Only some factors, whose effect in matrix T
is greater than the threshold value, should be chosen and shown in an impact-relations-map (IRM) (Tzeng et al.,
2007).
Step 5: Build a cause and effect relationship diagram
The cause and effect diagram is constructed by mapping all coordinate sets of (ri +ci, ri –ci) to visualize the
complex interrelationship and provide information to judge which are the most important factors and how
influence affected factors (Shieh et al., 2010). The factors that tij is greater than α, are selected shown in cause
and effect diagram (Yang et al., 2008).
3-2. ANP
Saaty (1999) demonstrated several types of ANP models, such as the Hamburger Model the Car Purchase BCR
model, and the National Missile Defense model. This kind of model can effectively capture the complex effects
of interplay in human society, especially when risk and uncertainty are involved Saaty (2003). However, paper
suggests a modified feedback system model Fig. 3) that allows inner dependences within the criteria cluster, in
which the looped are signifies. The inner dependences of this study involves numbers of pairwise comparison for
deriving the priorities of different alternative evaluation. Synthesizing experts’ opinions is in compliance with
the geometric mean method Buckley (1985). The valuation scales used in the study are those recommended by
Saaty )1980,1996( ,where 1 is equal importance, 3 is moderate importance, 5 is strong importance, 7 is very
strong or demonstrated importance, and 9 is extreme importance. Even numbered values will fall in between
importance levels. Reciprocal values (e.g. 1/3, 1/5, etc.) mean less importance, even less importance, etc.
Figure 3: Study feedback system model
Saaty (1980) proved that for consistent reciprocal matrix, the λmax value is equal to the number of comparisons,
or λmax = n. A measure of consistency was given, called Consistency Index as deviation or degree of consistency
using the following formula. If the value of C.I. Ratio C.I. =(λmax − n)/(n−1) is smaller or equal to 10%, the
inconsistency is acceptable. If the C.I. ratio is greater than 10%, the subjective judgment needs to be revised. n in
purposes
alternatives criteria
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
46
the formula denotes the number of elements that have been compared. When λmax = 0, the complete consistency
exists within judgment procedures and then λmax = n. The consistency ratio (C.R.) of C.I. to the mean random
consistency index (R.I.) is expressed as C.R. (C.R. = C.I./ R.I.) less than 0.1. Saaty randomly generated
reciprocal matrix using scale 1/9, 1/8, 1/7, .....1,...., 8, 9 (similar to the idea of Bootstrap) and took the random
C.I. to see if it was about 10% or less. After eigen-vector decomposed, the priority weights in the same hierarchy
are computed through normalization. The normalized weight vectors are W = (x1, x2,....., xn). The outcome of the
process above is able to compose an unweighted supermatrix. Its columns contain the priorities derived from the
pairwise comparisons of the elements. In an unweighted supermatrix, its columns may not be column stochastic.
To obtain a stochastic matrix, i.e., each column sums to one, the blocks of the unweighted supermatrix should be
multiplied by the corresponding cluster priority. The supermatrix should then be raised to a large power to
capture first, second, and third degree influences. When the differences between corresponding elements of a
column are less than a very small number, for successive powers of the supermatrix, the process has converged.
To derive the overall priorities of elements, this method involves multiplying submatrices numerous times in turn,
until the columns stabilize and become identical in each block of submatrices. The research model requires
adjusting of the unweighted supermatrix to keep it column stochastic because it involves inner dependences and
interdependency in the element clusters, The weighted supermatrix (the adjusted unweighted supermatrix) can
then be raised to limiting powers to calculate the overall priority weights. The ANP employs the limiting process
method lim k→∞Wk
of the powers of the supermatrix (Saaty 1996; Meade and Sarkis 1998; Sekitani and
Takahashi 2001; Tseng et al. 2008). For synthesizing overall priorities for the alternatives, the unweighted
supermatrix requires adjusting in order to keep it column stochastic (Sarkis 1999). The weighted supermatrix
(the adjusted unweighted supermatrix) can be raised to limiting powers to calculate the overall priorities.
However, before forming the unweighted supermatrix, the treatment of inner dependences needs to employ the
DEMATEL. The treatment of inner dependences can theoretically use the ANP, but DEMATEL might be a better
option as it can produce more valuable information for making decisions.
3-3. Data Gathering
Database including 325 cases of asthmatic and non-asthmatic diseases is collected by referring to Tehran Masih
Daneshvari subspecialty hospital in the year 90-91. All numbers and weights which are used in ANP and
DEMATEL techniques are collected by specialty physicians of asthma and allergy of Masih daneshvari hospital.
Effective variables in asthma disease are recognized by using performed articles, book studies in related field
and also by using experts’ opinion. Variables in medical background classes of the person are divided into
environmental factors, Allergy, genetic factors and social factors. At last recognized variables in five groups are
presented in figure 4.
3-4. Result of DEMATEL
The steps of DEMATEL method is transcribed by software R. For finding direct relations of variables, five
experts expressed their ideas by scale 0 to 4 (for consensus, the median of numbers is considered). The
matrix of direct and indirect relative relations in table 1 showed the relations among criteria. The number of
lines and columns is indicator of variables that presented in figure 3.
Table 1: The direct and indirect relation matrix
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 0.011 0.0042 0.005 0.032 0.002027 0.067 0.01 6.17E-
10
0 6.30E-
07
6.36E-
10
3.15E-
072 0.013 0.0091 0.006 5E-
04
7.99E-05 0.037 0 7.11E-
10
0 7.27E-
07
7.33E-
10
3.63E-
073 0.035 0.0074 0.02 0.009 0.009834 0.052 0.04 1.28E-
07
0 0.00013 1.32E-
07
6.52E-
054 0.104 0.0343 0.035 0.005 0.063162 0.044 0.04 4.39E-
09
0 4.49E-
06
4.53E-
09
2.24E-
065 0.071 0.0332 0.036 0.034 0.00244 0.041 0 4.49E-
09
0 4.59E-
06
4.63E-
09
2.29E-
066 0.04 0.0004 0.005 0.001 0.000127 0.007 0.06 6.19E-
10
0 6.32E-
07
6.38E-
10
3.16E-
077 0.069 0.0005 0.005 0.002 0.000185 0.039 0 6.41E-
10
0 6.55E-
07
6.61E-
10
3.27E-
078 0.106 0.0165 0.02 0.053 0.060354 0.063 0.01 0.00104 0 0.03547 0.03233 0.03233
9 0.103 0.016 0.02 0.052 0.057488 0.061 0.01 0.00104 0 0.03344 0.03232 7.01E-
0510 0.061 0.0126 0.013 0.046 0.051105 0.052 0.01 0.00098 0 0.00397 0.00101 0.00102
11 0.041 0.0031 0.004 0.005 0.037548 0.009 0 0.00098 0 0.002 0.00101 3.40E-
0512 0.043 0.0036 0.005 0.006 0.040049 0.01 0 1.92E-
06
0 0.00196 1.98E-
06
0.00098
13 0.01 0.0048 0.006 0.006 0.038039 0.007 0 2.95E- 0 3.01E- 3.04E- 1.50E-
0.06 0.01 0.01 0.015 0.049984 0.052 0.01 0.03137 0 0.06392 0.03236 0.00108
0.062 0.0121 0.012 0.016 0.051662 0.023 0.04 6.15E- 0 0.06282 6.34E- 0.03135
0.042 0.0036 0.004 0.005 0.034713 0.04 0.03 2.59E- 0 2.64E- 2.67E- 1.32E-
0.121 0.1031 0.045 0.102 0.072439 0.055 0.01 7.70E- 0 7.87E- 7.94E- 3.93E-
0.1 0.0954 0.035 0.003 0.000533 0.044 0 4.39E- 0 4.49E- 4.53E- 2.24E-
0.138 0.0757 0.083 0.08 0.105862 0.096 0.01 7.54E- 0 7.70E- 7.77E- 3.84E-
0.113 0.0377 0.039 0.07 0.006749 0.079 0.04 4.90E- 0 5.01E- 5.06E- 2.50E-
0.013 0.0058 0.008 0.006 0.005622 0.008 0 3.12E- 0 3.18E- 3.21E- 1.59E-
0.035 0.0002 5E- 0.001 7.49E-05 0.005 0.06 5.94E- 0 6.07E- 6.12E- 3.03E-
0.135 0.0462 0.082 0.078 0.108941 0.094 0.04 1.45E- 0 1.48E- 1.49E- 7.39E-
0.14 0.049 0.116 0.053 0.050704 0.099 0.05 2.10E- 0 2.15E- 2.17E- 1.07E-
0.035 0.0003 0.002 0.001 9.11E-05 0.035 0 2.94E- 0 3.01E- 3.04E- 1.50E-
0.07 0.0037 0.065 0.003 0.000762 0.04 0 8.18E- 0 8.36E- 8.44E- 4.17E-
0.146 0.0171 0.045 0.059 0.094678 0.088 0.02 2.01E- 0 0.00021 2.07E- 0.0001
0.124 0.0074 0.11 0.014 0.01306 0.089 0.01 8.03E- 0 8.21E- 8.29E- 4.10E-
0.146 0.0127 0.058 0.053 0.078323 0.072 0.05 1.94E- 0 0.00198 2.00E- 0.00099
0.141 0.0184 0.051 0.026 0.082833 0.098 0.05 7.31E- 0 7.47E- 7.54E- 3.73E-
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
47
Figure 4: Variables of Asthma
The internal relations of variable are presented in table 2. Yellow cells show the presence of relations among
variables and the number of line and column shows disease variables. The efficiency of line factor towards
columns factors is considered in this table. For instance the cough variable has relationship with Just daily cough,
Phlegm, Seasonal cough, Wheeze, Symptoms exercise, Allergy rhinitis in Father or Mother, Allergy rhinitis in
Father and Mother, Allergy rhinitis in immediate and Eczema in Father or mother.
Medical History
17. Sinusitis
18. GER
19. Allergy
rhinitis
20. Cold
21. Eczema
22. BMI
Allergy Factors
23. Allergies
24. Irritant
25. Food allergies
26. Emotional
Genetic Factors
8. Allergy rhinitis in
Father or Mother
9. Allergy rhinitis in
Father & Mother
10. Allergy rhinitis
in immediate
11. Eczema in
Father or mother
12. Eczema in
father and mother
13. Eczema in
immediate
14. Asthma in
Father or Mother
15. Asthma in
Father and Mother
16. Asthma in
immediate
Social Factors
27. Location: village or
city
28. Exposure to
chemical materials
29. Air pollution
30. High density of
dust
31. Exposure to
smoking
32. Exposure to water
cooler
33. Precedent of pets
34. Humidity in house
35. Climate with
humidity
Symptoms
1. Cough
2. Just nocturnal
3. Just daily cough
4. Phlegm
5. Seasonal cough
6. Wheeze
7. Symptoms
exercise
36. Time of cough
37. Frequency of
cough
38. Time of wheeze
39. Frequency of
wheeze
40. Type of wheeze
41. Chest tightness
42. Dyspnea
Diagnosis of Asthma
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Vol.4, No.4, 2014
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Table 2: The inner relations variables
Threshold= /01516212
3-5. RESULT OF ANP
Pairwise comparison table filling by experts is analyzed by Expert choice software. Then supermatrix ANP is
made and variable weights achieved according noted steps. Harmonic supermatrix based on table 3 is achieved
by normalizing the column of primitive matrix so that sum of each column is one. Also this step is transcribed by
software R.
By exponentiation of harmonic matrix, we had limited matrix that all numbers of each line of this matrix are
equal and finally these numbers show variables’ weights. Limited matrix is presented in table 4 (this stage is
transcribed in software R). Now we have priority of criteria based on achieved weights. Each variable is in high
priority if it has maximum weight. Finally priority variables are presented in table 5.
Table 3: Weighted Matrix
121110987654321
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
10
11
12
Goal A B C D E 1 2 3 4
Goal 0.192913 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.045045 0
A 0.098425 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
B 0.098425 0 0 0 0
0.01
0 0 0 0
C 0.061024 0 0 0 0 0.099 0.059252 0.175 0 0.010771
D 0.139764 0 0 0 0 0.058 0.059252 0.078 0.043043 0
E 0.314961 0 0 0 0 0.069 0 0 0 0
1 0.07874 0 0 0 0 0.012 0 0 0 0
2 0 0.088088 0 0 0 0.022 0.055094 0.043 0.044044 0.024943
3 0 0.141141 0 0 0 0.041 0.071726 0.061 0.078078 0.481859
4 0 0.068068 0 0 0 0.029 0 0 0.052052 0.022676
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
49
Table 4: The Limited Matrix
5.
Conclusion
Prevalence increase of asthma causes world consideration to asthma researches. We can improve people and
patients intelligence by better recognition of disease mechanisms on asthma and effective relations in asthma
effective variables and also recognition of the most important ones that it causes the control of disease symptoms,
correct recognition and suitable cure of asthma. In this research the relations among variables achieved by using
DEMATEL technique and we weighed to variables by using ANP method that variables had priority based on
present weights. According to previous studies, the most important variables of asthma disease in Iran country
are genetic factors of individuals, wheeze and environmental pollution.
6. Suggestions for future Studies
1. Since the opinions of physicians express in descriptive and qualitative mode, but it is proposed that we used
fuzzy DEMATEL and ANP methods for receiving better results.
2. This method is investigated on non- adult asthmatic patients.
3. We can establish internal relationship of variables by meta-analysis method. In this method we can receive the
relationship of variables based on articles and documents.
Table 5: Rank of Features
Rank of features
Precedent allergic rhinits in father and mother
Precedent asthma in father and mother
Precedent allergic rhinits in father or mother
Precedent allergic rhinits in immediate relatives
Precedent asthma in father or mother
Goal A B C D E 1 2 3
Goal 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118
A 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387
B 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058
C 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002
D 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414
E 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778
1 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109
2 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946
3 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532
Precedent eczema in father and mother
Wheeze
High density of dust in environment (sand storm)
Precedent of pets
Air pollution
Allergy rhinits
Sinusitis
Allergies
GER
Precedent asthma in immediate relatives
Irritants
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
50
References
Agarwal, A., & Shankar, R. (2002). Analyzing alternatives for improvement in supply chain performance. Work
Study, 51(1), 32–38.
Chen, P., and Zhang, G. (2007), “How do accounting variables explain stock price movements? Theory and
evidence,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 43(2-3), 219-244.
Chung, S. H., Lee, A. H. I., & Pearn, W. L. (2005).NAnalytic network process (ANP) approach for product mix
planning in semiconductor fabricator. International Journal of Production Economics, 96(1), 15–36.
Coulter, K., & Sarkis, J. (2005). Development of a media selection model using the analytic network process.
International Journal of Advertising., 24(2), 193–216.
Gabus, A., & Fontela, E. (1973). Perceptions of the World problematique: Communication procedure,
communicating with those bearing collective responsibility (DEMATEL Report No. 1). Switzerland Geneva:
Battelle Geneva Research Centre.
Kahraman, C., Ertay, T., & Buyukozkan, G. (2006). A fuzzy optimizationmodel for QFD planning process using
analytic network approach. European Journal of Operational Research, 171(2), 390–411.
Karsak, E. E., Sozer, S., & Alptekin, S. E. (2003). Product planning in quality function deployment using a
combined analytic network process and goal programming approach. Computers and Industrial Engineering,
44(1), 171–190.
Lee, B.S., and Rui, O.M. (2002), ”The Dynamic relationship between stock returns and trading volume:
Domestic and cross- country evidence,” Journal of Banking & Finance, 26(1), 51- 78.
Lee, J. W., & Kim, S. H. (2001). An integrated approach for interdependent information system project selection.
International Journal of Project Management, 19(2), 111–118.
Leung, L. C., Hui, Y. V., & Zheng, M. (2003). Analysis of compatibility between interdependent matrices in ANP.
Journal of the Operational Research Society, 54(7), 758–768.
Meade, L. M., & Presley, A. (2002). R&D project selection using the analytic network process. IEEE
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Niemira, M. P., & Saaty, T. L. (2004). An analytic network process model for financial-crisis forecasting.
International Journal of Forecasting, 20(4), 573–587.
Phlegm
Exposure to cooler or gas
Exposure to smoking now
Seasonal cough
Cold
Precedent eczema in father or mother
Precedent eczema in immediate relatives
Food allergy
Cough
Eczema
Exposure to chemical substance
Emotional symptoms
Symptoms exercise
Just nocturnal cough
BMI
Humidity in house
Just daily cough
Type of wheeze
Chest tightness
Time of cough
Frequency of cough
Time of wheeze
Frequency of wheeze
Climate with humidity
Dyspnoea
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org
ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online)
Vol.4, No.4, 2014
51
P. Tootoonchi, “Prevalence of Asthma, Related Symptoms and Risk Factors in Children Younger Than 5 years”.
Acta Medica Iranica,Vol. 42, No. 6: pp. 450-454, 2004.
Partovi, F. Y. (2001). An analytic model to quantify strategic service vision. International Journal of Service
Industry Management, 12(5), 476–500.
Partovi, F. Y. (2006). An analytic model for locating facilities strategically. Omega, 34(1), 41–55.
Partovi, F. Y., & Corredoira, R. A. (2002). Quality function deployment for the good of soccer. European Journal
of Operational Research, 137(3), 642–656.
Saaty, T. L. (2004). The analytic network process: Dependence and feedback in decision making (Part 1): Theory
and validation examples, SESSION 4B: Theory and development of the analytic hierarchy process/analytic
network process, In The 17th International Conference on Multiple Criteria Decision Making, August 6-11, 2004
at The Whistler Conference Centre, Whistler, British Columbia, Canada.
Shang, J. S., Tjader, Y., & Ding, Y. (2004). A unified framework for multicriteria evaluation of transportation
projects. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 51(3), 300–313.
Shee, D. Y., Tzeng, G. H., & Tang, T. I. (2003). AHP, fuzzy measure and fuzzy integral approaches for the
appraisal of information service providers in Taiwan. Journal of Global Information Technology Management,
6(1), 8–30.
Tesfamariam, D., & Lindberg, B. (2005). Aggregate analysis of manufacturing systems using system dynamics
and ANP. Computers and Industrial Engineering, 49(1), 98–117.
Yurdakul, M. (2004). AHP as a strategic decision-making tool to justify machine tool selection. Journal of
Materials Processing Technology, 146(3), 365–376.
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A new method for feature selection in diagnosis using

  • 1. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 41 A New Method For Feature Selection in Diagnosis Using DEMATEL and ANP; Case Study: Asthma Somayeh akhavan darabi1* babak teymourpour2 hassan heydarnejad3 azamdokht safi samgh abadi4 1. Department of economic, management and accounting, Payame Noor University, daran, Iran 2. Department of Information Technology, Tarbit Modares University, Tehran, Iran 3. Department of Medical, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran 4. Department of Industrial Engineering, Payame Noor University, Iran * E-mail of the corresponding author: akhavan.star@yahoo.com Abstract Disease is one of the effective factors in decreasing life quality of human beings and since many factors are effective in engendering this disease and each of these effective factors can cause prevalence and aggravation of disease, recognition of risk factors and also relationships among these factors are so important. Using the opinion of experts can make new method in intelligent systems of disease recognition. In the present research at first we mentioned the relationships among asthma disease factors by using experts’ opinion in group decision making method, DEMATEL and then we extracted the most important factors by analysis network path (ANP) and since risk factors are different in multiple countries, for recognition of local factors in Iran country, database including 325 cases of asthmatic and non-asthmatic disease is prepared and the most important risk factors of asthma disease in Iran society are recognized. The results of research show that the most important variables of asthma disease in Iran country are genetic factors of individuals, wheeze and environmental pollution. Keywords: DEMATEL, ANP, Feature Selection, Asthma 1. Introduction Asthma is the most prevalent chronic disease in children and adolescents which causes much morbidity increase, mortality and health care expenditure. In addition to the mortality augmentation caused by this disease, asthma has a lot of effects on the life quality and children’s educational activities. It is clear that false diagnosis and inappropriate therapy are two factors which help morbidity and mortality increase in asthmatic illness which both occur for the reason of lack of knowledge in the patients and the families. Documents show that there is a considerable difference between accepted asthma prevalence by physicians and the asthma related to symptoms in medical researches which it shows the lack of asthma recognition by physicians in Iran (Tootoonchi, 2004). By better identification of pathogenic mechanisms in asthma ailment and the efficient communication in effective variables in asthma and determining the most important of them, one can promote people and patients’ knowledge and this trend causes the disease symptoms and the asthmatic patient’s life quality to be connection intensity as scoring searches. Feedbacks with their significance and accepts the transferable relationships. Hence the important risk factors of asthma selection is required to handle several complex factors in a better sensible and logical manner. Thus, the important risk factors of asthma selection is a kind of multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) problem, and requires MCDM methods to solve it appropriately. Many traditional MCDM methods are based on the additive concept along with the independence assumption, but each individual criterion is not always completely independent. (Leung, Hui, & Zheng, 2003; Shee, Tzeng, & Tang, 2003). For solving the interactions among elements, the analytic network process (ANP) as a relatively new MCDM method was proposed by Saaty (1996). The ANP is a mathematical theory that can deal with all kinds of dependence systematically (Saaty, 2004). The ANP has been successfully applied in many fields (Agarwal & Shankar, 2002;, Chung, Lee, & Pearn, 2005; Coulter & Sarkis, 2005; Kahraman, Ertay, & Buyukozkan, 2006; Karsak, Sozer, & Alptekin, 2003; Lee & Kim, 2001; Meade & Presley, 2002; Niemira & Saaty, 2004; Partovi, 2001; Partovi & Corredoira, 2002; Partovi, 2006; Shang, Tjader, & Ding, 2004; Tesfamariam & Lindberg, 2005; Yurdakul, 2004). However, the treatments of inner dependences in those ANP works were not complete and perfect. Indeed, the Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) not only can convert the relations between cause and effect of criteria into a visual structural model (Gabus Shimizu, 1999), but also can be used as a wise way to handle the inner dependences within a set of criteria, As the ANP and the DEMATEL have these advantages.
  • 2. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 42 This paper proposes an effective solution based on a combined ANP and DEMATEL approach to help doctors make a correct diagnosis and appropriate treatment of asthma. Also, uses DEMATEL to explore the relationship between various elements of the asthma development in Iran and uses ANP to explore the most important factors of asthma in Iran. In this research, for the target of risk factor identification and the influence of each of them on one another, they are introduced by using the feedback rings. Henceforth by applying ANP technique, the important factors which are the basic causes of the other factors are identified and prioritized. Liang L-W and his colleagues at first applied six aspects of the financial tools and strategies in agricultural business and they also provided a questionnaire by the assistant of specialists and experts. They applied DEMATEL method for the aim of ascertaining strategies and important financial tools and also the direct link among effective factors. The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, Literature Review, In Section 3, the theoretical foundations of DEMATEL and ANP, in Section 4, is devoted to discussion. In Section 5, the conclusions are discussed and in section 6, finally Suggestions for Future Research are given. 2. Literature Review According to the research, Cheng and Zhang (2007) used ANP to find out key selecting criteria for a strategic partner and further to identify the relative importance among the criteria. Lee et al. (2002) uses ANP to analyze the problem of network technology, to consider the related technology network technology require, and to seek out the core technology and the characteristics of network technology. Hsieh et al. (2008) applied ANP to investigate customer preferences toward service quality and finally to determine the top hotel from the five hot spring hotels in Taiwan. Additional researches adopted ANP are (2008a), Lin et al. (2008b), and Lin et al. (2008c) and others. Wen-Rong Jerry Ho, (2011) presented a novel MCDM model, including DEMATEL, ANP, and VIKOR for exploring portfolio selection based on CAPM. They probe into the influential factors and relative weights of risk-free rate, expected market return, and beta of the security. Their model examined leading semiconductor companies spanning the hottest sectors of integrated circuit (IC) design, wafer foundry, and IC packaging by experts. In the eight evaluation criteria, macroeconomic criterion was the most important factor affecting investment decisions, followed by exchange rate and firm-specific risk. Chi-Yo Huang, et.al. (2012) researched on the smartphone operation system. OS is one of the major factors influencing consumers’ purchase decisions toward purchasing smartphones. However, the analysis and predictions of consumer behaviors toward the smartphone OSs are not easy due to due to the fast emerging technology and highly competitive market situation. To resolve this problem, they aimed to propose a novel multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) based approach for discovering the factors influencing the technology acceptances of the smartphone OSs based on industry experts’ opinions. Chun-An Chen (2012) studied about the development of medical tourism in Taiwan by DEMATEL. DEMATEL method can confirm interrelationships among diverse factors and identify the key factors. This structure divided into five main aspects, including the strengthening of infrastructure and tourist services, the clarity of market segmentation, marketing planning, as well as government policy. The results show that the internet can provide detailed information on medical tourism and strengthen the marketing in order to develop medical tourism industry in Taiwan. Since companies and organizations have grown to rely on their computer systems and networks, the issue of information security management has become more significant. To maintain their competitiveness, enterprises should safeguard their information and try to eliminate the risk of information being compromised or reduce this risk to an acceptable level. Yu-Ping Ou Yang (2013) proposed an information security risk-control assessment model that could improve information security for these companies and organizations. He proposed an MCDM model combining VIKOR, DEMATEL, and ANP to solve the problem of conflicting criteria that show dependence and feedback. The results show that their proposed method can be effective in helping IT managers validate the effectiveness of their risk controls. 3. Methodology In this section we will talk about theoretical foundations and generalities of the theory of DEMATEL and ANP.
  • 3. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 43 General framework of the model which presented in this part is displayed in figure 1. The evaluation of variables is an important problem in statistical researches and the methods of machine learning. Feature selection algorithms choose more effective set of data matrix variables. In fact we attribute a degree to each variable that it is the indicator of effect rate of variable in group classification. Whatever the degree of a variable is more, that variable has more share in calculations [18]. In the present research the selection of features is performed by combining DEMATEL and ANP methods. Figure 1: general framework of model 3-1 DEMATEL DEMATEL method was originally developed from 1972 to 1979 by the Science and Human Affairs Program of the Battelle Memorial Institute of Geneva, with the purpose of studying the complex and intertwined problematic group. It has been widely accepted as one of the best tools to solve the cause and effect relationship among the evaluation criteria (Chiu et al., 2006, Liou et al., 2007, Tzeng et al., 2007, Wu and Lee, 2007, Lin and Tzeng, 2009). This method is applied to analyze and form the relationship of cause and effect among evaluation criteria (Yang et al., 2008) or to derive interrelationship among factors (Lin and Tzeng, 2009). Based on Yu and Tseng (2006), Liou, et al., (2007), Tzeng, et al., (2007), Yang, et al., (2008),Wu and Lee (2007), Shieh et al., (2010 [ Detcharat Sumrit a, and Pongpun Anuntavoranich, 2013]. Calculation steps of DEMATEL: The DEMATEL method can be summarized in the following steps: Step 1: Find the average matrix. Suppose we have H experts in this study and n factors to consider. Each stakeholder is asked to indicate the degree to which he or she believes a factor i affects factor j. These pairwise comparisons between any two factors are denoted by aij and are given an integer score ranging from 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4, representing ‘No influence (0),’ ‘Low influence (1),’ ‘Medium influence (2),’ ‘High influence (3),’ and ‘Very high influence (4),’ respectively. The scores by each expert will give us a n x n non-negative answer matrix k X =[ k ijx ], with Hk ££1 . Thus 1 X , 2 X ,…, H X are the answer matrices for each of the H experts, and each element of k X is an integer denoted by k ijx . The diagonal elements of each answer matrix k X are all set to zero. We can then compute the n x n average matrix A for all expert opinions by averaging the H experts’ scores as follows: å= = H k k ijij x H a 1 1 (1) The average matrix A=[ ija ] is also called the initial direct relation matrix. A shows the initial direct effects that a factor exerts on and receives from other factors. Furthermore, we can map out the causal effect between each pair of factors in a system by drawing an influence map. Figure 2 below is an example of such an influence map. data collection Performing pairwise comparisons recognition of internal relationship by DEMATEL recognition of weighing to variables by ANP recognition of important factors and their priorities variable identification
  • 4. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 44 Here each letter represents a factor in the system. An arrow from c to d shows the effect that c has on d, and the strength of its effect is 4. DEMATEL can convert the structural relations among the factors of a system into an intelligible map of the system. Figure 2: example flounce of map Step 2: Calculate the normalized initial direct-relation matrix. The normalized initial direct-relation matrix D is obtained by normalizing the average matrix A in the following way: let ÷ ÷ ø ö ç ç è æ åå= =££=££ n i ij nj n j ij ni aas 1111 max,maxmax (2) then s A D = (3) Since the sum of each row j of matrix A represents the total direct effects that factor i gives to the other factors, å= ££ n j ij ni a 1 1 max represents the total direct effects of the factor with the most direct effects on others. Likewise, since the sum of each column i of matrix A represents the total direct effects received by factor i, å= ££ n i ij nj a 1 1 max represents the total direct effects received of the factor that receives the most direct effects from others. The positive scalar s takes the lesser of the two as the upper bound, and the matrix D is obtained by dividing each element of A by the scalar s. Note that each element ijd of matrix D is between zero and less than 1. Step 3: Compute the total relation matrix. A continuous decrease of the indirect effects of problems along the powers of matrix D, e.g. 2 3 , ,..., ,¥ D D D guarantees convergent solutions to the matrix inversion similar to an absorbing Markov chain matrix. Note that lim [0]m n n m ´ ®¥ =D and 2 3 1 lim( ... ) ( )m m - ®¥ + + + + + = -I D D D D I D , where 0 is the n ×n null matrix and I is the n x n identity matrix. The total relation matrix T is an n× n matrix and is defined as follow: T = [tij] i, j = 1, 2,…, n where T = D + D2 + … + Dm = 2 m 1 + + ... + ( ... )m- I= + + + +2 D D D D D D D c d g e f 4 3 1 3 4
  • 5. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 45 ( )1 -1 [( ... ) 1- ](1- )m- I + + + +2 = D D D D D D = D(I-D)-1 , as m ®¥ (4) We also define r and c as n x 1 vectors representing the sum of rows and sum of columns of the total relation matrix T as follows: r=[ri]n×i = ( ij)n×i (5) 1[ ]j nc ´ ¢=c = 1 1 n ij i n t = ´ ¢æ ö ç ÷ è ø å (6) where superscript ¢ denotes transpose. Let ri be the sum of i-th row in matrix T. Then ri shows the total effects, both direct and indirect, given by factor i to the other factors. Let cj denotes the sum of j-th column in matrix T. Then cj shows the total effects, both direct and indirect, received by factor j from the other factors. Thus when j = i, the sum (ri+ci) gives us an index representing the total effects both given and received by factor i. In other words, (ri+ci) shows the degree of importance (total sum of effects given and received) that factor i plays in the system. In addition, the difference (ri - ci) shows the net effect that factor i contributes to the system. When (ri - ci) is positive, factor i is a net causer, and when (ri - ci) is negative, factor i is a net receiver (Tzeng et al. 2007; Tamura et al., 2002). Step 4: Set a threshold value and obtain the impact-relations-map. In order to explain the structural relation among the factors while keeping the complexity of the system to a manageable level, it is necessary to set a threshold value p to filter out some negligible effects in matrix T. While each factor of matrix T provides information on how one factor affects another, the decision-maker must set a threshold value in order to reduce the complexity of the structural relation model implicit in matrix T. Only some factors, whose effect in matrix T is greater than the threshold value, should be chosen and shown in an impact-relations-map (IRM) (Tzeng et al., 2007). Step 5: Build a cause and effect relationship diagram The cause and effect diagram is constructed by mapping all coordinate sets of (ri +ci, ri –ci) to visualize the complex interrelationship and provide information to judge which are the most important factors and how influence affected factors (Shieh et al., 2010). The factors that tij is greater than α, are selected shown in cause and effect diagram (Yang et al., 2008). 3-2. ANP Saaty (1999) demonstrated several types of ANP models, such as the Hamburger Model the Car Purchase BCR model, and the National Missile Defense model. This kind of model can effectively capture the complex effects of interplay in human society, especially when risk and uncertainty are involved Saaty (2003). However, paper suggests a modified feedback system model Fig. 3) that allows inner dependences within the criteria cluster, in which the looped are signifies. The inner dependences of this study involves numbers of pairwise comparison for deriving the priorities of different alternative evaluation. Synthesizing experts’ opinions is in compliance with the geometric mean method Buckley (1985). The valuation scales used in the study are those recommended by Saaty )1980,1996( ,where 1 is equal importance, 3 is moderate importance, 5 is strong importance, 7 is very strong or demonstrated importance, and 9 is extreme importance. Even numbered values will fall in between importance levels. Reciprocal values (e.g. 1/3, 1/5, etc.) mean less importance, even less importance, etc. Figure 3: Study feedback system model Saaty (1980) proved that for consistent reciprocal matrix, the λmax value is equal to the number of comparisons, or λmax = n. A measure of consistency was given, called Consistency Index as deviation or degree of consistency using the following formula. If the value of C.I. Ratio C.I. =(λmax − n)/(n−1) is smaller or equal to 10%, the inconsistency is acceptable. If the C.I. ratio is greater than 10%, the subjective judgment needs to be revised. n in purposes alternatives criteria
  • 6. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 46 the formula denotes the number of elements that have been compared. When λmax = 0, the complete consistency exists within judgment procedures and then λmax = n. The consistency ratio (C.R.) of C.I. to the mean random consistency index (R.I.) is expressed as C.R. (C.R. = C.I./ R.I.) less than 0.1. Saaty randomly generated reciprocal matrix using scale 1/9, 1/8, 1/7, .....1,...., 8, 9 (similar to the idea of Bootstrap) and took the random C.I. to see if it was about 10% or less. After eigen-vector decomposed, the priority weights in the same hierarchy are computed through normalization. The normalized weight vectors are W = (x1, x2,....., xn). The outcome of the process above is able to compose an unweighted supermatrix. Its columns contain the priorities derived from the pairwise comparisons of the elements. In an unweighted supermatrix, its columns may not be column stochastic. To obtain a stochastic matrix, i.e., each column sums to one, the blocks of the unweighted supermatrix should be multiplied by the corresponding cluster priority. The supermatrix should then be raised to a large power to capture first, second, and third degree influences. When the differences between corresponding elements of a column are less than a very small number, for successive powers of the supermatrix, the process has converged. To derive the overall priorities of elements, this method involves multiplying submatrices numerous times in turn, until the columns stabilize and become identical in each block of submatrices. The research model requires adjusting of the unweighted supermatrix to keep it column stochastic because it involves inner dependences and interdependency in the element clusters, The weighted supermatrix (the adjusted unweighted supermatrix) can then be raised to limiting powers to calculate the overall priority weights. The ANP employs the limiting process method lim k→∞Wk of the powers of the supermatrix (Saaty 1996; Meade and Sarkis 1998; Sekitani and Takahashi 2001; Tseng et al. 2008). For synthesizing overall priorities for the alternatives, the unweighted supermatrix requires adjusting in order to keep it column stochastic (Sarkis 1999). The weighted supermatrix (the adjusted unweighted supermatrix) can be raised to limiting powers to calculate the overall priorities. However, before forming the unweighted supermatrix, the treatment of inner dependences needs to employ the DEMATEL. The treatment of inner dependences can theoretically use the ANP, but DEMATEL might be a better option as it can produce more valuable information for making decisions. 3-3. Data Gathering Database including 325 cases of asthmatic and non-asthmatic diseases is collected by referring to Tehran Masih Daneshvari subspecialty hospital in the year 90-91. All numbers and weights which are used in ANP and DEMATEL techniques are collected by specialty physicians of asthma and allergy of Masih daneshvari hospital. Effective variables in asthma disease are recognized by using performed articles, book studies in related field and also by using experts’ opinion. Variables in medical background classes of the person are divided into environmental factors, Allergy, genetic factors and social factors. At last recognized variables in five groups are presented in figure 4. 3-4. Result of DEMATEL The steps of DEMATEL method is transcribed by software R. For finding direct relations of variables, five experts expressed their ideas by scale 0 to 4 (for consensus, the median of numbers is considered). The matrix of direct and indirect relative relations in table 1 showed the relations among criteria. The number of lines and columns is indicator of variables that presented in figure 3. Table 1: The direct and indirect relation matrix 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 0.011 0.0042 0.005 0.032 0.002027 0.067 0.01 6.17E- 10 0 6.30E- 07 6.36E- 10 3.15E- 072 0.013 0.0091 0.006 5E- 04 7.99E-05 0.037 0 7.11E- 10 0 7.27E- 07 7.33E- 10 3.63E- 073 0.035 0.0074 0.02 0.009 0.009834 0.052 0.04 1.28E- 07 0 0.00013 1.32E- 07 6.52E- 054 0.104 0.0343 0.035 0.005 0.063162 0.044 0.04 4.39E- 09 0 4.49E- 06 4.53E- 09 2.24E- 065 0.071 0.0332 0.036 0.034 0.00244 0.041 0 4.49E- 09 0 4.59E- 06 4.63E- 09 2.29E- 066 0.04 0.0004 0.005 0.001 0.000127 0.007 0.06 6.19E- 10 0 6.32E- 07 6.38E- 10 3.16E- 077 0.069 0.0005 0.005 0.002 0.000185 0.039 0 6.41E- 10 0 6.55E- 07 6.61E- 10 3.27E- 078 0.106 0.0165 0.02 0.053 0.060354 0.063 0.01 0.00104 0 0.03547 0.03233 0.03233 9 0.103 0.016 0.02 0.052 0.057488 0.061 0.01 0.00104 0 0.03344 0.03232 7.01E- 0510 0.061 0.0126 0.013 0.046 0.051105 0.052 0.01 0.00098 0 0.00397 0.00101 0.00102 11 0.041 0.0031 0.004 0.005 0.037548 0.009 0 0.00098 0 0.002 0.00101 3.40E- 0512 0.043 0.0036 0.005 0.006 0.040049 0.01 0 1.92E- 06 0 0.00196 1.98E- 06 0.00098 13 0.01 0.0048 0.006 0.006 0.038039 0.007 0 2.95E- 0 3.01E- 3.04E- 1.50E- 0.06 0.01 0.01 0.015 0.049984 0.052 0.01 0.03137 0 0.06392 0.03236 0.00108 0.062 0.0121 0.012 0.016 0.051662 0.023 0.04 6.15E- 0 0.06282 6.34E- 0.03135 0.042 0.0036 0.004 0.005 0.034713 0.04 0.03 2.59E- 0 2.64E- 2.67E- 1.32E- 0.121 0.1031 0.045 0.102 0.072439 0.055 0.01 7.70E- 0 7.87E- 7.94E- 3.93E- 0.1 0.0954 0.035 0.003 0.000533 0.044 0 4.39E- 0 4.49E- 4.53E- 2.24E- 0.138 0.0757 0.083 0.08 0.105862 0.096 0.01 7.54E- 0 7.70E- 7.77E- 3.84E- 0.113 0.0377 0.039 0.07 0.006749 0.079 0.04 4.90E- 0 5.01E- 5.06E- 2.50E- 0.013 0.0058 0.008 0.006 0.005622 0.008 0 3.12E- 0 3.18E- 3.21E- 1.59E- 0.035 0.0002 5E- 0.001 7.49E-05 0.005 0.06 5.94E- 0 6.07E- 6.12E- 3.03E- 0.135 0.0462 0.082 0.078 0.108941 0.094 0.04 1.45E- 0 1.48E- 1.49E- 7.39E- 0.14 0.049 0.116 0.053 0.050704 0.099 0.05 2.10E- 0 2.15E- 2.17E- 1.07E- 0.035 0.0003 0.002 0.001 9.11E-05 0.035 0 2.94E- 0 3.01E- 3.04E- 1.50E- 0.07 0.0037 0.065 0.003 0.000762 0.04 0 8.18E- 0 8.36E- 8.44E- 4.17E- 0.146 0.0171 0.045 0.059 0.094678 0.088 0.02 2.01E- 0 0.00021 2.07E- 0.0001 0.124 0.0074 0.11 0.014 0.01306 0.089 0.01 8.03E- 0 8.21E- 8.29E- 4.10E- 0.146 0.0127 0.058 0.053 0.078323 0.072 0.05 1.94E- 0 0.00198 2.00E- 0.00099 0.141 0.0184 0.051 0.026 0.082833 0.098 0.05 7.31E- 0 7.47E- 7.54E- 3.73E-
  • 7. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 47 Figure 4: Variables of Asthma The internal relations of variable are presented in table 2. Yellow cells show the presence of relations among variables and the number of line and column shows disease variables. The efficiency of line factor towards columns factors is considered in this table. For instance the cough variable has relationship with Just daily cough, Phlegm, Seasonal cough, Wheeze, Symptoms exercise, Allergy rhinitis in Father or Mother, Allergy rhinitis in Father and Mother, Allergy rhinitis in immediate and Eczema in Father or mother. Medical History 17. Sinusitis 18. GER 19. Allergy rhinitis 20. Cold 21. Eczema 22. BMI Allergy Factors 23. Allergies 24. Irritant 25. Food allergies 26. Emotional Genetic Factors 8. Allergy rhinitis in Father or Mother 9. Allergy rhinitis in Father & Mother 10. Allergy rhinitis in immediate 11. Eczema in Father or mother 12. Eczema in father and mother 13. Eczema in immediate 14. Asthma in Father or Mother 15. Asthma in Father and Mother 16. Asthma in immediate Social Factors 27. Location: village or city 28. Exposure to chemical materials 29. Air pollution 30. High density of dust 31. Exposure to smoking 32. Exposure to water cooler 33. Precedent of pets 34. Humidity in house 35. Climate with humidity Symptoms 1. Cough 2. Just nocturnal 3. Just daily cough 4. Phlegm 5. Seasonal cough 6. Wheeze 7. Symptoms exercise 36. Time of cough 37. Frequency of cough 38. Time of wheeze 39. Frequency of wheeze 40. Type of wheeze 41. Chest tightness 42. Dyspnea Diagnosis of Asthma
  • 8. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 48 Table 2: The inner relations variables Threshold= /01516212 3-5. RESULT OF ANP Pairwise comparison table filling by experts is analyzed by Expert choice software. Then supermatrix ANP is made and variable weights achieved according noted steps. Harmonic supermatrix based on table 3 is achieved by normalizing the column of primitive matrix so that sum of each column is one. Also this step is transcribed by software R. By exponentiation of harmonic matrix, we had limited matrix that all numbers of each line of this matrix are equal and finally these numbers show variables’ weights. Limited matrix is presented in table 4 (this stage is transcribed in software R). Now we have priority of criteria based on achieved weights. Each variable is in high priority if it has maximum weight. Finally priority variables are presented in table 5. Table 3: Weighted Matrix 121110987654321 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 Goal A B C D E 1 2 3 4 Goal 0.192913 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.045045 0 A 0.098425 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 B 0.098425 0 0 0 0 0.01 0 0 0 0 C 0.061024 0 0 0 0 0.099 0.059252 0.175 0 0.010771 D 0.139764 0 0 0 0 0.058 0.059252 0.078 0.043043 0 E 0.314961 0 0 0 0 0.069 0 0 0 0 1 0.07874 0 0 0 0 0.012 0 0 0 0 2 0 0.088088 0 0 0 0.022 0.055094 0.043 0.044044 0.024943 3 0 0.141141 0 0 0 0.041 0.071726 0.061 0.078078 0.481859 4 0 0.068068 0 0 0 0.029 0 0 0.052052 0.022676
  • 9. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 49 Table 4: The Limited Matrix 5. Conclusion Prevalence increase of asthma causes world consideration to asthma researches. We can improve people and patients intelligence by better recognition of disease mechanisms on asthma and effective relations in asthma effective variables and also recognition of the most important ones that it causes the control of disease symptoms, correct recognition and suitable cure of asthma. In this research the relations among variables achieved by using DEMATEL technique and we weighed to variables by using ANP method that variables had priority based on present weights. According to previous studies, the most important variables of asthma disease in Iran country are genetic factors of individuals, wheeze and environmental pollution. 6. Suggestions for future Studies 1. Since the opinions of physicians express in descriptive and qualitative mode, but it is proposed that we used fuzzy DEMATEL and ANP methods for receiving better results. 2. This method is investigated on non- adult asthmatic patients. 3. We can establish internal relationship of variables by meta-analysis method. In this method we can receive the relationship of variables based on articles and documents. Table 5: Rank of Features Rank of features Precedent allergic rhinits in father and mother Precedent asthma in father and mother Precedent allergic rhinits in father or mother Precedent allergic rhinits in immediate relatives Precedent asthma in father or mother Goal A B C D E 1 2 3 Goal 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 0.025118 A 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 0.018387 B 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 0.029058 C 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 0.021002 D 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 0.021414 E 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 0.041778 1 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 0.005109 2 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 0.062946 3 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 0.122532 Precedent eczema in father and mother Wheeze High density of dust in environment (sand storm) Precedent of pets Air pollution Allergy rhinits Sinusitis Allergies GER Precedent asthma in immediate relatives Irritants
  • 10. Journal of Information Engineering and Applications www.iiste.org ISSN 2224-5782 (print) ISSN 2225-0506 (online) Vol.4, No.4, 2014 50 References Agarwal, A., & Shankar, R. (2002). Analyzing alternatives for improvement in supply chain performance. Work Study, 51(1), 32–38. Chen, P., and Zhang, G. (2007), “How do accounting variables explain stock price movements? Theory and evidence,” Journal of Accounting and Economics, 43(2-3), 219-244. Chung, S. H., Lee, A. H. I., & Pearn, W. L. (2005).NAnalytic network process (ANP) approach for product mix planning in semiconductor fabricator. International Journal of Production Economics, 96(1), 15–36. Coulter, K., & Sarkis, J. (2005). Development of a media selection model using the analytic network process. International Journal of Advertising., 24(2), 193–216. Gabus, A., & Fontela, E. (1973). Perceptions of the World problematique: Communication procedure, communicating with those bearing collective responsibility (DEMATEL Report No. 1). Switzerland Geneva: Battelle Geneva Research Centre. Kahraman, C., Ertay, T., & Buyukozkan, G. (2006). A fuzzy optimizationmodel for QFD planning process using analytic network approach. European Journal of Operational Research, 171(2), 390–411. Karsak, E. E., Sozer, S., & Alptekin, S. E. (2003). Product planning in quality function deployment using a combined analytic network process and goal programming approach. Computers and Industrial Engineering, 44(1), 171–190. Lee, B.S., and Rui, O.M. (2002), ”The Dynamic relationship between stock returns and trading volume: Domestic and cross- country evidence,” Journal of Banking & Finance, 26(1), 51- 78. Lee, J. W., & Kim, S. H. (2001). An integrated approach for interdependent information system project selection. International Journal of Project Management, 19(2), 111–118. Leung, L. C., Hui, Y. V., & Zheng, M. (2003). Analysis of compatibility between interdependent matrices in ANP. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 54(7), 758–768. Meade, L. M., & Presley, A. (2002). R&D project selection using the analytic network process. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 49(1), 59–66. Niemira, M. P., & Saaty, T. L. (2004). An analytic network process model for financial-crisis forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 20(4), 573–587. Phlegm Exposure to cooler or gas Exposure to smoking now Seasonal cough Cold Precedent eczema in father or mother Precedent eczema in immediate relatives Food allergy Cough Eczema Exposure to chemical substance Emotional symptoms Symptoms exercise Just nocturnal cough BMI Humidity in house Just daily cough Type of wheeze Chest tightness Time of cough Frequency of cough Time of wheeze Frequency of wheeze Climate with humidity Dyspnoea
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