Find the webinar recording here: https://youtu.be/m-bJ4vfubUo Ashraf Laidi - Incisive Global Markets Analysis Stefano Gianti - Swissquote Old Trafford trading event

1. Ashraf LAIDI
& Stefano GIANTI
Market update
8 charts, 4 markets, 4 trading ideas

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11. © AshrafLaidi.com 2017 Past performance doesn't guarantee
futures results
8 Charts, 4 Markets, 4 Trading Ideas
May 3, 2018

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12
The Fed’s reference to symmetric
objective means it anticipates inflation to
reach the 2.0% target and is willing to
allow it to edge towards 2.5%, just as it
has allowed to undershoot to as low as
1.4% last summer.
Said differently, just as the Fed did not
interrupt its campaign of gradual
tightening when inflation went below
target last year ….
Golden Opportunity

13. © AshrafLaidi.com 2018 Past performance doesn't guarantee futures results
13
The Fed’s reference to symmetric
objective means it anticipates inflation to
reach the 2.0% target and is willing to
allow it to edge towards 2.5%, just as it
has allowed to undershoot to as low as
1.4% last summer.
Said differently, just as the Fed did not
interrupt its campaign of gradual
tightening when inflation went below
target last year …. it may not necessarily
accelerate the frequency of rate hikes
this year when inflation reaches 2.2% or
2.3%
Golden Opportunity

14. © AshrafLaidi.com 2018 Past performance doesn't guarantee futures results
14
As the Fed sells more treasuries to
reduce its balance sheet, it cannot afford
to maintain the same rate of pace of
interest rate hikes to prevent grave
consequences in the bond market (rapid
ascent on yields)

15. © AshrafLaidi.com 2018 Past performance doesn't guarantee futures results
15
As the Fed sells more treasuries to
reduce its balance sheet, it cannot afford
to maintain the same rate of pace of
interest rate hikes to prevent grave
consequences in the bond market (rapid
ascent on yields)
Holding back on price tightening (Fed
hikes) will also be consistent with the
Fed’s symmetrical assessment for
inflation i.e. allowing inflation to run
towards 2.3% and event 2.5%

16. © AshrafLaidi.com 2018 Past performance doesn't guarantee futures results
16
As the Fed sells more treasuries to
reduce its balance sheet, it cannot afford
to maintain the same rate of pace of
interest rate hikes to prevent grave
consequences in the bond market (rapid
ascent on yields)
Holding back on price tightening (Fed
hikes) will also be consistent with the
Fed’s symmetrical assessment for
inflation i.e. allowing inflation to run
towards 2.3% and event 2.5%. This is
exactly what gold bulls will want and
USD bears are waiting for

17. © AshrafLaidi.com 2018 Past performance doesn't guarantee futures results
17
Where we
are now

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futures results
18
GOLD Weekly …then

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futures results
19
GOLD Weekly … & now

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futures results
20
2000-2002 Analog

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futures results
21
2000-2002 Analog- TODAY

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22
Much noise was
made this week
about USDX
breaking above
its 200-DMA

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futures results
23
USDX - Daily

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futures results
24
EURUSD Daily

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futures results
25
USDJPY Daily

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futures results
26
GBPUSD Daily

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futures results
27
GOLD Daily

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28
Bearish
on
USDCAD

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futures results
29
USDCAD Daily

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futures results
30
USDCAD Weekly

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31
Questionable
FTSE100

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futures results
32
FTSE100 Daily

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futures results
33
FTSE100 Monthly

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futures results
34
FTSE100 vs GBPUSD

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35
And the 4th
Trading
Idea is …

36. © AshrafLaidi.com 2016 Past performance doesn't guarantee futures results
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