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Sherman Tam Cheng Wei
Investment Consultant
17 February 2020
20|20
VISION
E
Y E S
O N T H E
M A R K E T S
PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR EXTERNAL CIRCULATION. CO. REG. NO. 200000231R
YTD Market Performance
The party was interruptedby casual visitor– 2019-nCOV; US holding up well
4.3%
2.7%
0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1%
-0.8% -1.1% -1.3% -1.7% -1.9% -2.2% -2.6% -2.8% -3.3%
-4.2%
-6.4%
-7.6%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., iFAST compilations. Data as of 10 February 2020.
Year Of 2019 In Review
Trade optimism and dovish central banks boosted risk sentiment
Returns
1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 YTD
World 11.1% 5.2% 1.4% 6.5% 2.9%
Asia ex Japan 11.9% 0.8% -3.2% 9.2% 0.1%
Emerging Markets 9.7% 7.4% -0.2% 5.7% 0.9%
United States 12.0% 5.7% 3.0% 6.5% 4.5%
China (A) 31.5% -1.1% -1.9% 7.7% -4.2%
FBM KLCI Index -0.6% 2.6% -4.2% 0.9% -2.1%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., iFAST Compilation. Data as of 7 February 2020. Returns
in MYR terms.
2020 Outlook – The Dawn Of A Major Upswing
Key investmentthemes in 2020
Asia to witness major
turnaround
• Semiconductor cyclical
upswing
• US-China Phase 1 trade
deal
• Redirection of new
orders into Asian
economies
Global semiconductor
upswing
• Steady uptrend on
global semiconductor
sales
• Asian economies the
key of global
electronics supply
chain
Optimism in EM
and Asian equities
• Jumpstart in the
region-wide to
pass on positive
effects
• Positive fund
inflows
Earnings upgrade in EM and
Asian corporates
• Improved economic
growth and earnings
prospect
• Valuation undermanding
Our Call On Asia ex-Japan and Emerging Markets
EM and Asiaex-Japan have performed poorly in 2019 on the back of weakened sentiments
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Jan-19
Jan-19
Jan-19
Feb-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
Apr-19
May-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Jul-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
PriceChangeYTD(%)
Period
AC World Developed Markets Emerging Markets Asia ex Japan
Source: Bloomberg, iFAST compilations. Data as of Dec 2019.
Our Call On Asia ex-Japan and Emerging Markets
Growth for AsiaEx-Japan surpassedregional peers and largesteconomies
0.8
5.7
1.2
1.9
2.6
2.6
1.6
3.2
5.3
0.3
5.9
1.0
1.8
2.4
2.0
1.3
3.1
5.2
0.9
6.1
1.1
2.3
2.1
1.1
1.6
3.0
5.3
Japan
China
Eurozone
United States
EMEA
Latin America
G-8
World
Asia Ex-Japan
2019 2020 2021
Source: Bloomberg, iFAST compilations. Data as of Dec 2019.
Potential Upside For The Markets
Asiaex-Japan, particularlyChina equitieshave strong upsidepotential
54.5%
30.5% 30.0% 28.2%
25.7% 25.6%
14.4% 13.3% 12.0% 10.8% 10.7% 10.4% 9.5% 7.9%
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., iFAST compilations. Data as of December 2019.
2020 Outlook – The Dawn Of A Major Upswing
Our views in asset classes
• Improved market outlook in 2020
and low interest rate to support
equities
• Major catalysts for rebound in
Asian equities
• Sentiment remain cautious,
leaving room for bull run
• Yield should edge up modestly
• Short-lived yield curve inversions
are not worrisome. Prefer a
blend of quality bonds (MY
bonds) and tactically-oriented
bonds (Asian & EM HY)
• US Dollar – Bearish
• EM Currencies (ex China) – Bullish
• China Yuan – Bullish
Market Outlook For Key Sectors
Our thematic ideas
• Prices to remain supported in 2020
• Expect no significant headwinds ahead for REITs
• Global monetary policies to remain accommodative
• Look beyond FAANG for growth
and value
• Commercialisation of 5G
broadband cellular network
technology
• Semiconductor sector is also on
the verge of a recovery
• Aging global demographics, rising
wealth and the expansion of the
health care system in Asia
• Strong earnings growth to drive
performance going forward
Technology
Healthcare
REITs
Risks To Our Views
Activeinvestmentis anticipatingwhat is ahead
Risks to Our
Views
Re-escalation of
trade disputes
Unfavourable Brexit outcome
Slower-than-
expected economy
Weakening corporate
earnings and fundamentals
Delay in semiconductor upcycle
US Presidential Election 2020
Where Are The Investment Opportunities?
We believe valuationsare attractiverelativeto fundamentals
➢ We prefer equity over fixed income; regionally, EM to DM
➢ Avoid timing the market, stay invested
➢ Active management could outperform passive
The Multi-dollarQuestion
How do we add-valuefor our clients?Where do we go from here?
Early Cycle Mid Cycle Late Cycle Down Cycle
BONDS
EQUITIES
AND RISK
ASSETS
MULTI-ASSET/CASH/ALTERNATIVES
BONDS
17 February 2020
2019-nCoV outbreak
Our Thoughts
We help investors around the world invest globally and profitably
PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR EXTERNAL CIRCULATION. CO. REG. NO. 200000231R
Sherman Tam Cheng Wei
Investment Consultant
EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived
Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol
2019-nCOV
Cases
71,329
Deaths
1,775
Fatality Rate
2.5%
Source: China’s NHC, state media, other authorities. *US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimated data from 2019-2020 Season. Data as of 16
February 2020.
EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived
Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol
EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived
Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol
EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived
Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol
EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived
Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol
iFAST Managed Portfolio – Ride Through Volatility
5 Key Benefitsfor Advisors
Time & Cost
Effective
• Hands-off approach
to fund selection.
• More time spent
on building client
relationship.
Professionally
Managed
• Over 30 investment
professional in 5
countries.
• Structured
Investment
Methodology.
Support
• Monthly factsheet/
commentaries
• Bi-weekly portfolio
updates.
• Joint client events.
Less Surprises
• Managed Portfolio
is designed to be
well-diversified.
• This reduces
client’s risk of
adverse market
movements of a
single market.
Stable AUA
• long-term
investment
principle provides
advisors with stable
recurring Income.
iFAST Managed Portfolio – Ride Through Volatility
Snapshot of DPMS performance
Performance of Islamic Managed Portfolio as at 7 Feb 2020
Performance of Conventional Managed Portfolio as at 7 Feb 2020
iFAST Managed Portfolio shows resiliency amid
the Covid-19 outbreak
“Delivering risk adjusted returns to achieve your financial goals”
Thank You

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  • 1. Sherman Tam Cheng Wei Investment Consultant 17 February 2020 20|20 VISION E Y E S O N T H E M A R K E T S PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR EXTERNAL CIRCULATION. CO. REG. NO. 200000231R
  • 2. YTD Market Performance The party was interruptedby casual visitor– 2019-nCOV; US holding up well 4.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% -0.8% -1.1% -1.3% -1.7% -1.9% -2.2% -2.6% -2.8% -3.3% -4.2% -6.4% -7.6% -10.0% -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., iFAST compilations. Data as of 10 February 2020.
  • 3. Year Of 2019 In Review Trade optimism and dovish central banks boosted risk sentiment Returns 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 YTD World 11.1% 5.2% 1.4% 6.5% 2.9% Asia ex Japan 11.9% 0.8% -3.2% 9.2% 0.1% Emerging Markets 9.7% 7.4% -0.2% 5.7% 0.9% United States 12.0% 5.7% 3.0% 6.5% 4.5% China (A) 31.5% -1.1% -1.9% 7.7% -4.2% FBM KLCI Index -0.6% 2.6% -4.2% 0.9% -2.1% Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., iFAST Compilation. Data as of 7 February 2020. Returns in MYR terms.
  • 4. 2020 Outlook – The Dawn Of A Major Upswing Key investmentthemes in 2020 Asia to witness major turnaround • Semiconductor cyclical upswing • US-China Phase 1 trade deal • Redirection of new orders into Asian economies Global semiconductor upswing • Steady uptrend on global semiconductor sales • Asian economies the key of global electronics supply chain Optimism in EM and Asian equities • Jumpstart in the region-wide to pass on positive effects • Positive fund inflows Earnings upgrade in EM and Asian corporates • Improved economic growth and earnings prospect • Valuation undermanding
  • 5. Our Call On Asia ex-Japan and Emerging Markets EM and Asiaex-Japan have performed poorly in 2019 on the back of weakened sentiments -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Jan-19 Jan-19 Jan-19 Feb-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 Apr-19 May-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Jul-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 PriceChangeYTD(%) Period AC World Developed Markets Emerging Markets Asia ex Japan Source: Bloomberg, iFAST compilations. Data as of Dec 2019.
  • 6. Our Call On Asia ex-Japan and Emerging Markets Growth for AsiaEx-Japan surpassedregional peers and largesteconomies 0.8 5.7 1.2 1.9 2.6 2.6 1.6 3.2 5.3 0.3 5.9 1.0 1.8 2.4 2.0 1.3 3.1 5.2 0.9 6.1 1.1 2.3 2.1 1.1 1.6 3.0 5.3 Japan China Eurozone United States EMEA Latin America G-8 World Asia Ex-Japan 2019 2020 2021 Source: Bloomberg, iFAST compilations. Data as of Dec 2019.
  • 7. Potential Upside For The Markets Asiaex-Japan, particularlyChina equitieshave strong upsidepotential 54.5% 30.5% 30.0% 28.2% 25.7% 25.6% 14.4% 13.3% 12.0% 10.8% 10.7% 10.4% 9.5% 7.9% Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., iFAST compilations. Data as of December 2019.
  • 8. 2020 Outlook – The Dawn Of A Major Upswing Our views in asset classes • Improved market outlook in 2020 and low interest rate to support equities • Major catalysts for rebound in Asian equities • Sentiment remain cautious, leaving room for bull run • Yield should edge up modestly • Short-lived yield curve inversions are not worrisome. Prefer a blend of quality bonds (MY bonds) and tactically-oriented bonds (Asian & EM HY) • US Dollar – Bearish • EM Currencies (ex China) – Bullish • China Yuan – Bullish
  • 9. Market Outlook For Key Sectors Our thematic ideas • Prices to remain supported in 2020 • Expect no significant headwinds ahead for REITs • Global monetary policies to remain accommodative • Look beyond FAANG for growth and value • Commercialisation of 5G broadband cellular network technology • Semiconductor sector is also on the verge of a recovery • Aging global demographics, rising wealth and the expansion of the health care system in Asia • Strong earnings growth to drive performance going forward Technology Healthcare REITs
  • 10. Risks To Our Views Activeinvestmentis anticipatingwhat is ahead Risks to Our Views Re-escalation of trade disputes Unfavourable Brexit outcome Slower-than- expected economy Weakening corporate earnings and fundamentals Delay in semiconductor upcycle US Presidential Election 2020
  • 11. Where Are The Investment Opportunities? We believe valuationsare attractiverelativeto fundamentals ➢ We prefer equity over fixed income; regionally, EM to DM ➢ Avoid timing the market, stay invested ➢ Active management could outperform passive
  • 12. The Multi-dollarQuestion How do we add-valuefor our clients?Where do we go from here? Early Cycle Mid Cycle Late Cycle Down Cycle BONDS EQUITIES AND RISK ASSETS MULTI-ASSET/CASH/ALTERNATIVES BONDS
  • 13. 17 February 2020 2019-nCoV outbreak Our Thoughts We help investors around the world invest globally and profitably PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL. NOT FOR EXTERNAL CIRCULATION. CO. REG. NO. 200000231R Sherman Tam Cheng Wei Investment Consultant
  • 14. EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol 2019-nCOV Cases 71,329 Deaths 1,775 Fatality Rate 2.5% Source: China’s NHC, state media, other authorities. *US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimated data from 2019-2020 Season. Data as of 16 February 2020.
  • 15. EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol
  • 16. EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol
  • 17. EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol
  • 18. EconomicImpacts From Such Factor Are Likely To Be Short-lived Markets willeventually recover and rebound strongly once the virus is undercontrol
  • 19. iFAST Managed Portfolio – Ride Through Volatility 5 Key Benefitsfor Advisors Time & Cost Effective • Hands-off approach to fund selection. • More time spent on building client relationship. Professionally Managed • Over 30 investment professional in 5 countries. • Structured Investment Methodology. Support • Monthly factsheet/ commentaries • Bi-weekly portfolio updates. • Joint client events. Less Surprises • Managed Portfolio is designed to be well-diversified. • This reduces client’s risk of adverse market movements of a single market. Stable AUA • long-term investment principle provides advisors with stable recurring Income.
  • 20. iFAST Managed Portfolio – Ride Through Volatility Snapshot of DPMS performance Performance of Islamic Managed Portfolio as at 7 Feb 2020 Performance of Conventional Managed Portfolio as at 7 Feb 2020 iFAST Managed Portfolio shows resiliency amid the Covid-19 outbreak “Delivering risk adjusted returns to achieve your financial goals”