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DIVIDEND THEORY
By Dr. B. Krishna ReddyBy Dr. B. Krishna Reddy
Professor and Head_SKIMProfessor and Head_SKIM
Overview of Management
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
• Highlight the issues of dividend policy
• Critically evaluate why some experts feel that
dividend policy matters
• Discuss the bird-in-the-hand argument for
paying current dividends
• Explain the logic of the dividend irrelevance
• Identify the market imperfections that make
dividend policy relevant
• Understand information content of dividend
policy
Overview of Management
INTRODUCTION
• Dividend policy involves the balancing of
the shareholders’ desire for current
dividends and the firm’s needs for funds
for growth
Overview of Management
Issues in Dividend Policy
• Earnings to be Distributed – High Vs. Low
Payout.
• Objective – Maximize Shareholders
Return.
• Effects – Taxes, Investment and Financing
Decision.
Overview of Management
Relevance Vs. Irrelevance
• Walter's Model
• Gordon's Model
• Modigliani and Miller Hypothesis
• The Bird in the Hand Argument
• Informational Content
• Market Imperfections
Overview of Management
DIVIDEND RELEVANCE:
WALTER’S MODEL
Walter’s model is based on the following
assumptions:
• Internal financing
• Constant return and cost of capital
• 100 per cent payout or retention
• Constant EPS and DIV
• Infinite time
Overview of Management
Walter’s formula to determine
the market price per share:
Overview of Management
Optimum Payout Ratio
• Growth Firms – Retain all earnings
• Normal Firms – Distribute all earnings
• Declining Firms – No effect
Overview of Management
Example: Dividend Policy:
Application of Walter’s Model
Overview of Management
Criticism of Walter’s Model
• No external financing
• Constant return, r
• Constant opportunity cost of capital, k
Overview of Management
DIVIDEND RELEVANCE:
GORDON’S MODEL
Gordon’s model is based on the
following assumptions:
– All-equity firm
– No external financing
– Constant return
– Constant cost of capital
– Perpetual earnings
– No taxes
– Constant retention
– Cost of capital greater than growth rate
Overview of Management
Valuation
• Market value of a share is equal to the present value of
an infinite stream of dividends to be received by
shareholders.
Overview of Management
Example: Application of
Gordon’s Dividend Model
Overview of Management
It is revealed that under
Gordon’s model:
Overview of Management
DIVIDEND AND UNCERTAINTY:
THE BIRD-IN-THE-HAND
ARGUMENT
• Argument put forward, first of all, by
Kirshman
• Investors are risk averters. They consider
distant dividends as less certain than near
dividends. Rate at which an investor
discounts his dividend stream from a
given firm increases with the futurity of
dividend stream and hence lowering share
prices
Overview of Management
DIVIDEND IRRELEVANCE: THE
MILLER–MODIGLIANI (MM)
HYPOTHESIS
• According to M-M, under a perfect market situation, the
dividend policy of a firm is irrelevant as it does not affect
the value of the firm. They argue that the value of the
firm depends on firm earnings which results from its
investment policy. Thus when investment decision of the
firm is given, dividend decision is of no significance.
• It is based on the following assumptions:-
– Perfect capital markets
– No taxes
– Investment policy
– No risk
Overview of Management
Market Imperfections
1. Tax Differential – Low Payout Clientele
2. Flotation Cost
3. Transaction and Agency Cost
4. Information Asymmetry
5. Diversification
6. Uncertainty – High Payout Clientele
7. Desire for Steady Income
8. No or Low Tax on Dividends
Overview of Management
Informational Content of
Dividend
• …. In an uncertain world in which verbal
statements can be ignored or
misinterpreted, dividend action does
provide a clear cut means of ‘making a
statement’ that speaks louder than a
thousand words. — Solomon

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6 diviudent theory

  • 1. DIVIDEND THEORY By Dr. B. Krishna ReddyBy Dr. B. Krishna Reddy Professor and Head_SKIMProfessor and Head_SKIM
  • 2. Overview of Management LEARNING OBJECTIVES • Highlight the issues of dividend policy • Critically evaluate why some experts feel that dividend policy matters • Discuss the bird-in-the-hand argument for paying current dividends • Explain the logic of the dividend irrelevance • Identify the market imperfections that make dividend policy relevant • Understand information content of dividend policy
  • 3. Overview of Management INTRODUCTION • Dividend policy involves the balancing of the shareholders’ desire for current dividends and the firm’s needs for funds for growth
  • 4. Overview of Management Issues in Dividend Policy • Earnings to be Distributed – High Vs. Low Payout. • Objective – Maximize Shareholders Return. • Effects – Taxes, Investment and Financing Decision.
  • 5. Overview of Management Relevance Vs. Irrelevance • Walter's Model • Gordon's Model • Modigliani and Miller Hypothesis • The Bird in the Hand Argument • Informational Content • Market Imperfections
  • 6. Overview of Management DIVIDEND RELEVANCE: WALTER’S MODEL Walter’s model is based on the following assumptions: • Internal financing • Constant return and cost of capital • 100 per cent payout or retention • Constant EPS and DIV • Infinite time
  • 7. Overview of Management Walter’s formula to determine the market price per share:
  • 8. Overview of Management Optimum Payout Ratio • Growth Firms – Retain all earnings • Normal Firms – Distribute all earnings • Declining Firms – No effect
  • 9. Overview of Management Example: Dividend Policy: Application of Walter’s Model
  • 10. Overview of Management Criticism of Walter’s Model • No external financing • Constant return, r • Constant opportunity cost of capital, k
  • 11. Overview of Management DIVIDEND RELEVANCE: GORDON’S MODEL Gordon’s model is based on the following assumptions: – All-equity firm – No external financing – Constant return – Constant cost of capital – Perpetual earnings – No taxes – Constant retention – Cost of capital greater than growth rate
  • 12. Overview of Management Valuation • Market value of a share is equal to the present value of an infinite stream of dividends to be received by shareholders.
  • 13. Overview of Management Example: Application of Gordon’s Dividend Model
  • 14. Overview of Management It is revealed that under Gordon’s model:
  • 15. Overview of Management DIVIDEND AND UNCERTAINTY: THE BIRD-IN-THE-HAND ARGUMENT • Argument put forward, first of all, by Kirshman • Investors are risk averters. They consider distant dividends as less certain than near dividends. Rate at which an investor discounts his dividend stream from a given firm increases with the futurity of dividend stream and hence lowering share prices
  • 16. Overview of Management DIVIDEND IRRELEVANCE: THE MILLER–MODIGLIANI (MM) HYPOTHESIS • According to M-M, under a perfect market situation, the dividend policy of a firm is irrelevant as it does not affect the value of the firm. They argue that the value of the firm depends on firm earnings which results from its investment policy. Thus when investment decision of the firm is given, dividend decision is of no significance. • It is based on the following assumptions:- – Perfect capital markets – No taxes – Investment policy – No risk
  • 17. Overview of Management Market Imperfections 1. Tax Differential – Low Payout Clientele 2. Flotation Cost 3. Transaction and Agency Cost 4. Information Asymmetry 5. Diversification 6. Uncertainty – High Payout Clientele 7. Desire for Steady Income 8. No or Low Tax on Dividends
  • 18. Overview of Management Informational Content of Dividend • …. In an uncertain world in which verbal statements can be ignored or misinterpreted, dividend action does provide a clear cut means of ‘making a statement’ that speaks louder than a thousand words. — Solomon