Mr. Christopher Gow's presentation at QITCOM 2011
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QITCOM 2011 Presentation: Wireless Technology Presenter: Christopher Gow, Director of Regulatory Affairs Wireless Spectrum, Cisco
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Mr. Christopher Gow's presentation at QITCOM 2011
- 1. Cisco Confidential 1© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Wireless technology Broadband regulation and ecosystem Chris Gow, Cisco Government Affairs QITCOM, 25 May 2011
- 2. Cisco Confidential 2© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
- 3. © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 3 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Terabytes/Month Central & Eastern Europe (#7) Middle East & Africa (#6) Latin America (#5) Japan (#4) North America (#3) Western Europe (#2) Asia Pacific (#1) 26.3% 29.3% 15.7% 7.8% 6.2% 5.5% 9.2% Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2010–2015 92% CAGR 2010–2015
- 4. © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 4 Source: Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast, 2010–2015 More Mobile Connections Enhanced Computing Faster Mobile Speeds Rich Media Apps/Content 2G > 3G > 4G
- 5. Cisco Confidential 5© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
- 6. Flexible spectrum management Make spectrum available for mobile broadband Do it in a timely manner Consider licence- exempt spectrum © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 6
- 7. © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 7 • US....700 MHz • Germany and Sweden….800 MHz and 2.6 GHz • Japan….1.5 GHz • Finland, Norway, Denmark, Estonia, Austria....urban roll-out
- 8. © 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Confidential 8 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.95.1 Europe USA Japan China India 5.0 Contiguous 5.150GHz – 5.925 Indoor Unlicensed Band Enable Channel Bonding Indoor Mobile Data Capacity Cost Effective Clients
- 9. Cisco Confidential 9© 2010 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
- 10. Continue with spectrum liberalisation Open up 4G spectrum Be ambitious for future wireless needs Take the lead on Wi-Fi © 2011 Cisco and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Cisco Public 10
- 11. Thank you.
Editor's Notes
- This chart shows how each region stacks up in terms of its contribution to the total amount of global mobile data traffic growth. Asia-Pac and Western Europe will make up more than 55 percent of the world’s global mobile data traffic by 2015. The Middle East and Africa have the highest regional mobile data traffic growth rate, with a CAGR of 129 percent (63-fold growth) over the forecast period.
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- Could consider other areas such as network sharing or enabling network innovation but in short time available want to focus on spectrum
- Flexible spectrum management Service and technology neutrality; market mechanisms for allocation (auction); secondary trading Process began in NZ/Aus in early 90s, before spreading to parts of Lat Am (Gua and El S), N America and Europe (telecom package and RSPP) Analysys 2004 - €8 – 9 billion value per annum for EEA to implement trading and liberalisation Practical example – hold up of refarming 2G for 3G in Europe N.B. Qatar implements service neutrality but not trading Make spectrum available for mobile broadband US – 700MHz in 2008 Europe – 800MHz by 2013, 2.6GHz by 2012; some countries already allocated; 700MHz next? S. America – most planning same as US Australia – planning 126MHz release US and UK – 500 MHz by 2020 (National Broadband Plan); US - poss 120MHz more from broadcasters in incentive auctions Timely manner Spectrum Value Partners report 2007 highlighted a four year delay in the release of 800MHz would cost €20 billion in Europe Licence exempt spectrum Not relevant in all bands but an important part of the mix Look at making licensed and unlicensed spectrum available for wireless BB in more detail…..
- US 2008 700MHz band auction - VZ rolled out, AT&T plans Germany VF rolled out in 1500 ‘white’ areas with 800MHz and 3 cities with 2.6GHz Sweden TeliaSonera will have rolled out in 228 cities by end of 2011 Finland, Norway, Denmark, Estonia, Austria Urban roll-out using 2.6GHz Japan NTT DoCoMo using 1.5GHz
- There is a growing need for Wi-Fi in order to handle HD video applications in a range of settings such as enterprise, schools, hospitals, stadia and the home. Wi-Fi also plays an important role in offloading traffic from the mobile network onto fixed. 31% of smartphone traffic is currently offloaded via wi-fi or femtocell and this is set to grow at the same exponential rate as mobile traffic over the next few years. This can exploit synergies with the Qatari National Broadband Network plan. In order to meet the growing need for WLAN spectrum a new standard is under creation (.11ac). Implementing it will require more contiguous spectrum. This will allow for bigger overlapping channels, with 5 - 7 distinct channels required for enterprise. WLAN technologies, including Wi-Fi, already have allocations at 2.4 and 5GHz on a global level. The 5GHz allocation is detailed in the graph above. As you can see, in most geographies this amounts to two main blocks. Our proposal is to extend the 5GHz allocation to cover 5150 – 5925 MHz. This would amount to ‘filling the gap’ at 5350 – 5470 MHz and adding a little at the top (5875 – 5925 MHz) in order to cope with the wider channels. The allocation would be on an unlicensed, shared basis and the new allocations would be for indoor use. As such, it is likely to cause limited upheaval to existing users who need not be moved from the band. A further advantage is that such spectrum is less coveted by other users than lower frequencies, meaning its use is less likely to be controversial or disputed.
- Liberalisation Allow trading (currently set to be reviewed in 5 years) and refarming (e.g. EU approach) 4G spectrum Consider following the Region 1 plan and adopt the CEPT band plan for 800MHz No need for delay as not currently used by broadcasters even though analogue till 2015 700MHz, 800MHz, 1800MHz and 2.6GHz all look like they will be global bands N.B. VF wants spectrum at 800, 900 and 2.6 for LTE; Qtel operates a microwave multipoint distribution service (MMDS) at 2.6GHz hence is reluctant for it to be opened (though only 1500 subscribers and set to be replaced by IPTV over time). Ambitious US and UK have longer term plan to open spectrum 700MHz may be next – should consider in plans for digital switchover Wi-fi Gaining traction in EU with EP RSPP report – opportunity for Qatar to be a first mover (already has 2.4 and 5GHz allocations).