The Ugly

000        Maurice Mars

        Dept of TeleHealth
      University of KwaZulu-
       Natal, South Africa

      International Society for
            Telemedicine
             and eHealth
Reasonable Expectations
What is the Global Health Problem ?




              Money
The Developed World - The Problems
The Global Health Problem : Money
• Developed world – rising health costs,
  ageing population, chronic disease.




• Developing world – poverty and low
  health budgets, burden of disease
The Developing World ?
              Developed World
                 ~ 1 Billion
         Emerging and
          Developing
            Nations
           ~ 5 Billion


The Bottom Billion
Population Distribution (% Total Pop)
               World 2010
Population Distribution %
Africa 2010 World 2010
                    Europe 2010
Median Age By Region
Population Growth
Population Data (Millions)
                                    1950           2010         2050
World                              2,529          6,829         9,150
Africa                                227         1,010         1,998
Asia                               1,403          4,121         5,231
Europe                                547            732          691
Latin America / Caribbean 167                        582          729
Northern America                      172            348          448
Oceania                                13              35           51
  Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects
  2008 Revision (Medium variant)
Telemedicine in the Developing World
The Problem


       Can one justify

       spending money

      on ICT solutions ?
Population Living on <US$1 /Day (PPP)

    African region                           42.6%
    South-East Asia region                   38.4
    Global Average                           22.7
    Western Pacific region                   16.0
    Eastern Mediterranean                    11.0
    Region of the Americas                     4.8
    European region                            -
                      WHO World Health Stats 2012
The Global Problem
Per Capita Government Health Spend US$
   South-East Asia region                   19
   African region                           41
   Eastern Mediterranean                    96
   Western Pacific region                 361
   Global Average                         549
   Region of the Americas              1,566
   European region                     1,677
                     WHO World Health Stats 2012
The Most Bang For Your Buck
The Problem
The Global Situation
   Doctors per 100,000 people
African region                           22
South-East Asia region                   56
Eastern Mediterranean                  109
Global Average                         142
Western Pacific region                 148
Region of the Americas                 200
European region                        332
                  WHO World Health Stats 2012
ICT Cost
  Cost of a bundle of telephone, mobile phone,
  broadband as a percentage of GNI per month
Country    Rank   Telephone        Mobile      Fixed
                                   Cellular Broadband
 Niger     165      41.3%           73.4%     210.5%
Malawi     164       18.2            91.0           2,408.0
S Africa    99        5.2             4.8              5.7
 USA        12        0.3             0.8              0.5
Monaco      1         0.1             0.3              0.3
                  International Telecommunications Union 2011
Darkest Africa
Digital Divide
Global ICT Developments, 2001 - 2011
                      100
                              Mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions

                       90     Internet users

                       80     Fixed telephone lines
Per 100 inhabitants




                       70     Active mobile-broadband subscriptions
                       60     Fixed (wired)-broadband subscriptions
                       50
                       40
                       30
                       20
                       10
                        0
                            2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*
                                                      Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
Fixed Phone Lines /100 People 2011
45
40
      39,1

35
30              28,5
                         26,3
25
20                                     16,6
15                                                   13,0
                                                                   9,7
10
 5                                                                               1,4
 0
     Europe     The      CIS**        World       Asia &         Arab         Africa
              Americas                            Pacific       States
                                 Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
Internet Users / 100 People, 2001-2011*
                      100
                                 Developed
                       90
                       80        World
Per 100 inhabitants




                       70        Developing
                       60
                       50
                       40
                       30
                       20
                       10
                        0
                            2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*
                                                Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
Proportion of Households With Internet
              Access 2002 - 2011
100
 90         Developed
 80
            World
 70
 60         Developing
%




 50
 40
 30
 20
 10
    0
        2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*
                            Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
Fixed Broadband Subscriptions / 100
                               People, 2001 - 2011
                      30

                                 Developed
                      25
                                 World
Per 100 inhabitants




                      20
                                 Developing
                      15

                      10

                       5

                       0
                           2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011*
                                               Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
Active mobile-broadband subscriptions /
        100 People, 2007 - 2011
                      60
                             Developed
                      50
                             World
Per 100 inhabitants




                      40
                             Developing
                      30

                      20

                      10

                      0
                           2007      2008          2009              2010              2011*
                                            Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
Digital Divide and the Health Divide

     The digital divide is widening

             Why is this?

 Is this increasing the health divide ?

     If so what do we need to do?
Population Living on <US$1 /Day (PPP)

    African region                           42.6%
    South-East Asia region                   38.4
    Western Pacific region                   16.0
    Eastern Mediterranean                    11.0
    Global Average                           22.7
    Region of the Americas                     4.8
    European region                            -
                      WHO World Health Stats 2012
Rethinking the Problem
             Understand the problem
             Prioritise young vs old?
             Reduce digital divide
             Reduce communication costs
             Reverse the brain drain
             New funding paradigm – eAid
Think Developing World in all that you do
Take Home Messages
The developing world is different
Expectations must be relevant
ICT solutions must be appropriate
National budgets are low – sustainability
Get the most bang for the buck
Is eHealth for ageing a priority ?
The Ugly

  The developing World

continues to be left behind

            It

           Needs

           YOU

3 mars ageingv2

  • 1.
    The Ugly 000 Maurice Mars Dept of TeleHealth University of KwaZulu- Natal, South Africa International Society for Telemedicine and eHealth
  • 2.
  • 3.
    What is theGlobal Health Problem ? Money
  • 4.
    The Developed World- The Problems
  • 5.
    The Global HealthProblem : Money • Developed world – rising health costs, ageing population, chronic disease. • Developing world – poverty and low health budgets, burden of disease
  • 6.
    The Developing World? Developed World ~ 1 Billion Emerging and Developing Nations ~ 5 Billion The Bottom Billion
  • 7.
    Population Distribution (%Total Pop) World 2010
  • 8.
    Population Distribution % Africa2010 World 2010 Europe 2010
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
    Population Data (Millions) 1950 2010 2050 World 2,529 6,829 9,150 Africa 227 1,010 1,998 Asia 1,403 4,121 5,231 Europe 547 732 691 Latin America / Caribbean 167 582 729 Northern America 172 348 448 Oceania 13 35 51 Source: United Nations Population Division, World Population Prospects 2008 Revision (Medium variant)
  • 12.
    Telemedicine in theDeveloping World
  • 13.
    The Problem Can one justify spending money on ICT solutions ?
  • 14.
    Population Living on<US$1 /Day (PPP) African region 42.6% South-East Asia region 38.4 Global Average 22.7 Western Pacific region 16.0 Eastern Mediterranean 11.0 Region of the Americas 4.8 European region - WHO World Health Stats 2012
  • 15.
    The Global Problem PerCapita Government Health Spend US$ South-East Asia region 19 African region 41 Eastern Mediterranean 96 Western Pacific region 361 Global Average 549 Region of the Americas 1,566 European region 1,677 WHO World Health Stats 2012
  • 16.
    The Most BangFor Your Buck
  • 17.
  • 18.
    The Global Situation Doctors per 100,000 people African region 22 South-East Asia region 56 Eastern Mediterranean 109 Global Average 142 Western Pacific region 148 Region of the Americas 200 European region 332 WHO World Health Stats 2012
  • 19.
    ICT Cost Cost of a bundle of telephone, mobile phone, broadband as a percentage of GNI per month Country Rank Telephone Mobile Fixed Cellular Broadband Niger 165 41.3% 73.4% 210.5% Malawi 164 18.2 91.0 2,408.0 S Africa 99 5.2 4.8 5.7 USA 12 0.3 0.8 0.5 Monaco 1 0.1 0.3 0.3 International Telecommunications Union 2011
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
    Global ICT Developments,2001 - 2011 100 Mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions 90 Internet users 80 Fixed telephone lines Per 100 inhabitants 70 Active mobile-broadband subscriptions 60 Fixed (wired)-broadband subscriptions 50 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
  • 23.
    Fixed Phone Lines/100 People 2011 45 40 39,1 35 30 28,5 26,3 25 20 16,6 15 13,0 9,7 10 5 1,4 0 Europe The CIS** World Asia & Arab Africa Americas Pacific States Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
  • 24.
    Internet Users /100 People, 2001-2011* 100 Developed 90 80 World Per 100 inhabitants 70 Developing 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
  • 25.
    Proportion of HouseholdsWith Internet Access 2002 - 2011 100 90 Developed 80 World 70 60 Developing % 50 40 30 20 10 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
  • 26.
    Fixed Broadband Subscriptions/ 100 People, 2001 - 2011 30 Developed 25 World Per 100 inhabitants 20 Developing 15 10 5 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
  • 27.
    Active mobile-broadband subscriptions/ 100 People, 2007 - 2011 60 Developed 50 World Per 100 inhabitants 40 Developing 30 20 10 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* Source: ITU World Telecommunication /ICT Indicators database
  • 28.
    Digital Divide andthe Health Divide The digital divide is widening Why is this? Is this increasing the health divide ? If so what do we need to do?
  • 29.
    Population Living on<US$1 /Day (PPP) African region 42.6% South-East Asia region 38.4 Western Pacific region 16.0 Eastern Mediterranean 11.0 Global Average 22.7 Region of the Americas 4.8 European region - WHO World Health Stats 2012
  • 30.
    Rethinking the Problem Understand the problem Prioritise young vs old? Reduce digital divide Reduce communication costs Reverse the brain drain New funding paradigm – eAid Think Developing World in all that you do
  • 31.
    Take Home Messages Thedeveloping world is different Expectations must be relevant ICT solutions must be appropriate National budgets are low – sustainability Get the most bang for the buck Is eHealth for ageing a priority ?
  • 32.
    The Ugly The developing World continues to be left behind It Needs YOU