This document analyzes the impact of revenue allocation formulas on economic growth in Nigeria. It finds that past revenue allocation formulas have affected Nigeria's economic growth and development path. There is a need to address problems with more efficient revenue allocation to reduce wastage and mismanagement of funds. The revenue allocation formula influences capital formation, employment, and economic growth. Changes to Nigeria's internal structure through increased state creation have distorted the revenue allocation formula and weakened federalism. The objectives of the study are to examine how past revenue allocation formulas have impacted economic growth in Nigeria and propose solutions to problems in the formula to support rapid economic growth.
The spending allocation pattern of national governments varies depending on public policy for
desired effects but the outcome is rather controversial according to existing literature. This research aims to
explore the relationship between government expenditure, economic development and economic growth in
Brazil from 1994 to 2017. The Human Development Indicator (HDI) index is a representative measure of
economic development and is comprised of three dimensions:
Using time series data, this study investigated the effect of aggregated and disaggregated public spending on economic growth in Nigeria during the period 1980 – 2015. Time series data such as aggregated expenditure proxy by total federal government expenditure (TFGE), disaggregated expenditure proxy by recurrent expenditure (REXP) and capital expenditure (CEXP,) and economic growth proxy by GDP were obtained from central bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin. Error Correction Model (ECM) was used to estimate the model. The result of the finding revealed that the total federal government expenditure (TFGE) and capital expenditure (CEXP) exerts positive and significant influences on GDP while recurrent expenditure (REXP) has a positive and insignificant influence on GDP. This implies that the higher the public spending, the higher the GDP. The researchers therefore, recommend that for sustainable Economic Growth (GDP), federal government should increase capital expenditure by allocating more funds to the productive sector of the economy. More so, the positive contributions of public spending to economic growth necessitate the continued use of fiscal policy instruments to pursue macroeconomic objectives in Nigeria.
Abstract: The paper examines the impact of public sectoral expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria for the period 1981-2013. It was observed that the growth of government expenditure has not fully felt by the economy. The econometric methodology employed is the ARDL model and results show that while the impact of government expenditure on administration and debt servicing were positive on economic growth in the long and short run, expenditure on economic and social sectors has negative impact. We argue that this may not be unconnected with the high level of corruption prevalent in the public sector where funds that are meant for provision or maintenance of social-economic activities like agriculture, roads, transportations, schools and hospitals are diverted for personal use. The CUSUM and CUSUMSQ test show the model is stable as neither of them cross the 5% boundary. The paper recommended that government should increase expenditure to the social and economic sectors while debts or debt servicing should be reduced. Also, corruption so prevalent in the public sector must be minimized if cannot be eradicated.
The spending allocation pattern of national governments varies depending on public policy for
desired effects but the outcome is rather controversial according to existing literature. This research aims to
explore the relationship between government expenditure, economic development and economic growth in
Brazil from 1994 to 2017. The Human Development Indicator (HDI) index is a representative measure of
economic development and is comprised of three dimensions:
Using time series data, this study investigated the effect of aggregated and disaggregated public spending on economic growth in Nigeria during the period 1980 – 2015. Time series data such as aggregated expenditure proxy by total federal government expenditure (TFGE), disaggregated expenditure proxy by recurrent expenditure (REXP) and capital expenditure (CEXP,) and economic growth proxy by GDP were obtained from central bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin. Error Correction Model (ECM) was used to estimate the model. The result of the finding revealed that the total federal government expenditure (TFGE) and capital expenditure (CEXP) exerts positive and significant influences on GDP while recurrent expenditure (REXP) has a positive and insignificant influence on GDP. This implies that the higher the public spending, the higher the GDP. The researchers therefore, recommend that for sustainable Economic Growth (GDP), federal government should increase capital expenditure by allocating more funds to the productive sector of the economy. More so, the positive contributions of public spending to economic growth necessitate the continued use of fiscal policy instruments to pursue macroeconomic objectives in Nigeria.
Abstract: The paper examines the impact of public sectoral expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria for the period 1981-2013. It was observed that the growth of government expenditure has not fully felt by the economy. The econometric methodology employed is the ARDL model and results show that while the impact of government expenditure on administration and debt servicing were positive on economic growth in the long and short run, expenditure on economic and social sectors has negative impact. We argue that this may not be unconnected with the high level of corruption prevalent in the public sector where funds that are meant for provision or maintenance of social-economic activities like agriculture, roads, transportations, schools and hospitals are diverted for personal use. The CUSUM and CUSUMSQ test show the model is stable as neither of them cross the 5% boundary. The paper recommended that government should increase expenditure to the social and economic sectors while debts or debt servicing should be reduced. Also, corruption so prevalent in the public sector must be minimized if cannot be eradicated.
It is widely accepted that Indian economy is recovering, albeit slowly, from the disruptions created by demonetization (November 2016) and implementation of GST (July 2017). The GDP growth is forecast to recover from below 6% in FY17 to more than 7% in FY19. At this rate, India will be the fastest growing economy amongst all major global economies.
The positives are all well known and appreciated by markets and global agencies, as the entire government machinery is busy marketing these.
Nonetheless, for investors, it is important to take a note of the red flags that are too conspicuous and could have serious repercussions on the sustainability of the economic recovery and hence corporate earnings.
Law and DisorderCrucial matters that came up in the Supreme Court and Delhi High Court indicate a crisis in India’s basic governance. The CrPC and Police Acts clearly lay down that it is the job of DMs and SDMs to maintain law and order, but their role has been taken over by the police with questionable results.
Effectiveness of Aggregate Determinants of Deficit Financing on Capital Forma...YogeshIJTSRD
In Nigeria, despite the huge expansion of public expenditure based on the budget deficit status over the years, the expected level of economic growth as a result capital formation has not been achieved and it is against this backdrop, that this study investigated the effectiveness of aggregate deficit financing on capital formation in Nigeria for the period 1981 2019 with the help of the ARDL model of estimation. Based on the issues covered in the literature review, empirical investigations were carried out on the effect of deficit financing on capital formation in Nigeria. Results showed that External Debt Stock LNEXDBT had a positive relationship with GCF GDP in the current year, 1st and 2nd lags but statistically insignificant in the long run, Domestic Debt Stock LNDMDBT had a negative relationship with GCF GDP in the current year, 1st and 2ndyear lags and long run, Aggregate Gross Savings LNADBTS had a positive significant relationship with GCF GDP in the current year and in the long run, Aggregate Debt Service LNADBTS had a positive relationship with GCF GDP in the current year and in the long run while Total external reserves had a negative relationship with GCF GDP in the current year and in the long run. Based on the findings, the study recommended that the Government should demonstrate a high sense of transparency in its monetary and fiscal operations to curb high prevalence of external and domestic borrowing, improved gross savings to reduce the incidence of inflation which will translate to economic prosperity. Justin. C. Alugbuo | Emeka Eze "Effectiveness of Aggregate Determinants of Deficit Financing on Capital Formation in Nigeria: An Approach Based on the ARDL Model" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-3 , April 2021, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd39820.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/economics/market-economy/39820/effectiveness-of-aggregate-determinants-of-deficit-financing-on-capital-formation-in-nigeria-an-approach-based-on-the-ardl-model/justin-c-alugbuo
Economic challenges face by Pakistan"s economy and their solutions (1)Muhammad Zubair
After reading this chapter you will able to understand what are the economy issues face by Pakistan and what are the solutions to solve those economic issues.
Economic theories speculate that savings generate investment which in turn creates employment opportunities that give birth to demand, prices, profit and more production expansion. This expansion if properly utilized will lead to economic growth of a country. This paper attempts to investigate the causal relationship between domestic savings, domestic investment and economic growth in Nigeria. The study uses annual time series data from 1970-2015. Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, Johansen cointegration, fully modified least squares; Vector error correction model (VECM) and Granger causality test based on Toda-Yamamoto procedure were employed in this study. The results shows that all variables are integrated of order one and hence cointegrated. The study finds domestic investment as having positive and significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria in the long-run. The economic impacts of domestic saving and investment on economic growth in the short-run are found to be low, permanent and long lasting. The VECM model has identified a sizeable speed of adjustment by 68.78% for correcting disequilibrium annually for achieving long term equilibrium steady state position. The Granger causality test result shows statistical evidence of bidirectional causality between domestic investment and economic growth and bidirectional causality between domestic savings and domestic investment in the short-run. However, there is no short-run Granger causality between domestic savings and economic growth. The study recommends that promoting investment for higher economic growth is a better policy strategy for Nigeria. Enhancing investment growth through savings is also a policy option suitable for short-run to long-run as evidenced by this study.
Re-Engineering the fiscal Budget of PakistanWaqas Siddiqui
The National Budgeting process of Pakistan fails to entertain and cater the national aspiration of the fiscal demands and people, hence severely disappoint year by year the people and the institutions of country every time. To fill this , this paper considers a number of Problem areas in Budgeting Policies, Processes, and Priorities along with concise yet clear indicative studies.
The Power-point discusses the macroeconomics of china. It discusses the inflation, unemployment in china, fiscal and monetary policy of china and the foreign exchange rate mechanism of china. It also discusses what can be the endgame for china for changing in its policy.
The study examines the factors underlying the jobless and wageless recovery in the Nigerian
economy. The study administered questionnaire to elicit information in randomly selected states in the six geopolitical
zones namely: Abuja, Bauchi,
Monetary Policy is key driver of growth. It plays very important role in economy of the nation. Islamic Finance is growing fast and it has major role in new Economic Policies of the nation. There can be different strategy and plan to build long term perspective of Islamic Monetary Policy.
Financial sector has always been potential ingredient in bringing growth in an economy, the indirect impact of
financial markets and institutions through saving mobilization and credit expansion is of extraordinary importance.
By employing Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) approach impact of financial sector on economic growth of
Tanzania is examined. The results show that, in both long-run and short-run, financial development exerts significant
but negative effect on economic growth contrary to our expectations. The study employs the ratio of broad money to
GDP (financial depth) as a proxy measure of financial development, along with inflation rate, real interest rate, real
exchange rate, share on of investment to GDP, proportion of development expenditure to total expenditure and
dummy for structural reforms as control variables during our estimations. Results also suggest non-existence of
causality between financial development and economic growth. Thus the study suggests strengthening data
availability on flow of credit from financial institution to the public is necessary to materialize the effect of financial
sector in Tanzania
Meet decision makers from Telco Operators from Nigeria, chance to network, learn and influence the market for 2012-2013. Contact us now for Agenda and list of Speakers...
It is widely accepted that Indian economy is recovering, albeit slowly, from the disruptions created by demonetization (November 2016) and implementation of GST (July 2017). The GDP growth is forecast to recover from below 6% in FY17 to more than 7% in FY19. At this rate, India will be the fastest growing economy amongst all major global economies.
The positives are all well known and appreciated by markets and global agencies, as the entire government machinery is busy marketing these.
Nonetheless, for investors, it is important to take a note of the red flags that are too conspicuous and could have serious repercussions on the sustainability of the economic recovery and hence corporate earnings.
Law and DisorderCrucial matters that came up in the Supreme Court and Delhi High Court indicate a crisis in India’s basic governance. The CrPC and Police Acts clearly lay down that it is the job of DMs and SDMs to maintain law and order, but their role has been taken over by the police with questionable results.
Effectiveness of Aggregate Determinants of Deficit Financing on Capital Forma...YogeshIJTSRD
In Nigeria, despite the huge expansion of public expenditure based on the budget deficit status over the years, the expected level of economic growth as a result capital formation has not been achieved and it is against this backdrop, that this study investigated the effectiveness of aggregate deficit financing on capital formation in Nigeria for the period 1981 2019 with the help of the ARDL model of estimation. Based on the issues covered in the literature review, empirical investigations were carried out on the effect of deficit financing on capital formation in Nigeria. Results showed that External Debt Stock LNEXDBT had a positive relationship with GCF GDP in the current year, 1st and 2nd lags but statistically insignificant in the long run, Domestic Debt Stock LNDMDBT had a negative relationship with GCF GDP in the current year, 1st and 2ndyear lags and long run, Aggregate Gross Savings LNADBTS had a positive significant relationship with GCF GDP in the current year and in the long run, Aggregate Debt Service LNADBTS had a positive relationship with GCF GDP in the current year and in the long run while Total external reserves had a negative relationship with GCF GDP in the current year and in the long run. Based on the findings, the study recommended that the Government should demonstrate a high sense of transparency in its monetary and fiscal operations to curb high prevalence of external and domestic borrowing, improved gross savings to reduce the incidence of inflation which will translate to economic prosperity. Justin. C. Alugbuo | Emeka Eze "Effectiveness of Aggregate Determinants of Deficit Financing on Capital Formation in Nigeria: An Approach Based on the ARDL Model" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-5 | Issue-3 , April 2021, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd39820.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/economics/market-economy/39820/effectiveness-of-aggregate-determinants-of-deficit-financing-on-capital-formation-in-nigeria-an-approach-based-on-the-ardl-model/justin-c-alugbuo
Economic challenges face by Pakistan"s economy and their solutions (1)Muhammad Zubair
After reading this chapter you will able to understand what are the economy issues face by Pakistan and what are the solutions to solve those economic issues.
Economic theories speculate that savings generate investment which in turn creates employment opportunities that give birth to demand, prices, profit and more production expansion. This expansion if properly utilized will lead to economic growth of a country. This paper attempts to investigate the causal relationship between domestic savings, domestic investment and economic growth in Nigeria. The study uses annual time series data from 1970-2015. Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, Johansen cointegration, fully modified least squares; Vector error correction model (VECM) and Granger causality test based on Toda-Yamamoto procedure were employed in this study. The results shows that all variables are integrated of order one and hence cointegrated. The study finds domestic investment as having positive and significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria in the long-run. The economic impacts of domestic saving and investment on economic growth in the short-run are found to be low, permanent and long lasting. The VECM model has identified a sizeable speed of adjustment by 68.78% for correcting disequilibrium annually for achieving long term equilibrium steady state position. The Granger causality test result shows statistical evidence of bidirectional causality between domestic investment and economic growth and bidirectional causality between domestic savings and domestic investment in the short-run. However, there is no short-run Granger causality between domestic savings and economic growth. The study recommends that promoting investment for higher economic growth is a better policy strategy for Nigeria. Enhancing investment growth through savings is also a policy option suitable for short-run to long-run as evidenced by this study.
Re-Engineering the fiscal Budget of PakistanWaqas Siddiqui
The National Budgeting process of Pakistan fails to entertain and cater the national aspiration of the fiscal demands and people, hence severely disappoint year by year the people and the institutions of country every time. To fill this , this paper considers a number of Problem areas in Budgeting Policies, Processes, and Priorities along with concise yet clear indicative studies.
The Power-point discusses the macroeconomics of china. It discusses the inflation, unemployment in china, fiscal and monetary policy of china and the foreign exchange rate mechanism of china. It also discusses what can be the endgame for china for changing in its policy.
The study examines the factors underlying the jobless and wageless recovery in the Nigerian
economy. The study administered questionnaire to elicit information in randomly selected states in the six geopolitical
zones namely: Abuja, Bauchi,
Monetary Policy is key driver of growth. It plays very important role in economy of the nation. Islamic Finance is growing fast and it has major role in new Economic Policies of the nation. There can be different strategy and plan to build long term perspective of Islamic Monetary Policy.
Financial sector has always been potential ingredient in bringing growth in an economy, the indirect impact of
financial markets and institutions through saving mobilization and credit expansion is of extraordinary importance.
By employing Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) approach impact of financial sector on economic growth of
Tanzania is examined. The results show that, in both long-run and short-run, financial development exerts significant
but negative effect on economic growth contrary to our expectations. The study employs the ratio of broad money to
GDP (financial depth) as a proxy measure of financial development, along with inflation rate, real interest rate, real
exchange rate, share on of investment to GDP, proportion of development expenditure to total expenditure and
dummy for structural reforms as control variables during our estimations. Results also suggest non-existence of
causality between financial development and economic growth. Thus the study suggests strengthening data
availability on flow of credit from financial institution to the public is necessary to materialize the effect of financial
sector in Tanzania
Meet decision makers from Telco Operators from Nigeria, chance to network, learn and influence the market for 2012-2013. Contact us now for Agenda and list of Speakers...
The paper examines the impact of public sectoral expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria for the period 1981-2013. It was observed that the growth of government expenditure has not fully felt by the economy. The econometric methodology employed is the ARDL model and results show that while the impact of government expenditure on administration and debt servicing were positive on economic growth in the long and short run, expenditure on economic and social sectors has negative impact. We argue that this may not be unconnected with the high level of corruption prevalent in the public sector where funds that are meant for provision or maintenance of social-economic activities like agriculture, roads, transportations, schools and hospitals are diverted for personal use. The CUSUM and CUSUMSQ test show the model is stable as neither of them cross the 5% boundary. The paper recommended that government should increase expenditure to the social and economic sectors while debts or debt servicing should be reduced. Also, corruption so prevalent in the public sector must be minimized if cannot be eradicated.
Public Expenditure on Education; A Measure for Promoting Economic DevelopmentIOSR Journals
The rational utilization and allocation of public expenditure would result into an economic development of the country. It has been observed that allocation and utilization of expenditure in Pakistan have been very little towards development. The allocation of current expenditure such as debt servicing and defense has increased by a greater percentage every year as compared to education. Money borrowed by the economy over the years, if had been put to the development of projects, the economy would have seen much higher development and growth. The objective of the research lies in evaluating the public expenditure and its role in economic development by considering education as an indicator to social development in Pakistan.
Analyzing the Effect of Government Expenditure on Inflation Rate in Nigeria 1...ijtsrd
Nigeria is a developing economy with active participation of the federal government in various economic sectors not only to promote economic growth and development but also to instill fiscal and economic discipline in the economy. Government participation in the economy means greater funding of economic activities and this is expected to impact on economic indicators. This study analyses the effect of government expenditure on inflation rate in Nigeria within a period of 39 years spanning 1981 2019 . The study specifically seek to ascertain, determine, explore and assess the extent to which government expenditures on key sectors of agriculture, education, health and telecommunications respectively affect inflation rate in Nigeria. In line with the specific objectives of this study, four research questions are raised and four hypotheses duly formulated. Data used for this study were collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria CBN Statistical Bulletin. Government Expenditure on Agriculture GOA , Government Expenditure on Education GOE , Government Expenditure on Health GOH and Government Expenditure on Telecommunication GOT are the independent variables while inflation rate INF is the dependent variable. Descriptive statistics, diagnostic test employing the Augmented Dickey Fuller and a multivariate regression based on Johanson Cointegration and Error Correction Model ECM are used to analyze the data. Our findings indicate that government expenditures on education and agriculture have positive but insignificant effect on inflation rate and on the other hand, government expenditure on health and government expenditure on telecommunications have positive and significant effect on inflation rate. Based on our findings, the study recommends that government should increase its allocation to the health and education sectors to trigger increased skills and healthcare of economic operators for enhanced human capital development and economic productivity. Government should also provide adequate infrastructures to facilitate economic growth and reduce high inflation rate. Mbanefo, Patrick Amaechi | Atueyi, Chidi Leonard "Analyzing the Effect of Government Expenditure on Inflation Rate in Nigeria (1981-2019)" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-6 | Issue-2 , February 2022, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd49237.pdf Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/management/management-development/49237/analyzing-the-effect-of-government-expenditure-on-inflation-rate-in-nigeria-19812019/mbanefo-patrick-amaechi
The main focus of this study is to investigate the impact of expansion in economic growth on
government expenditure in Nigeria covering the periods 1970 to 2012. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was
used as a proxy for economic growth, and the GDP time series was decomposed using the partial sum approach
in order to achieve asymmetry in the variable. The asymmetric ARDL estimation technique was appropriately
employed in this study. The findings of this study revealed that expansion in economic growth has significant
impact on government expenditure in Nigeria. The study further provided evidence of long-run causality from
boom/expansion in economic growth to government expenditure in Nigeria but could not support any evidence
of short-run causality. The researcher recommended among others, that Governments in Nigeria should give
more impetus to policies that will guarantee sustainable economic growth.
Fiscal Decentralization and Special Local Autonomy: Evidence from an Emerging...Suwandi, Dr. SE.,MSi
The quest of searching the endogeny variables of financial decentralization in emerging markets have become a serious topic due to the increasing wave of decentralized regions in many countries. The paper aimsto examine the effects of fiscal decentralization and specific local autonomy on economic growth, employment, poverty, and welfare in the special province Papua (Indonesia). The study exploited the main data of the decentralization fund by using a panel data of eight regencies and municipals, particularly the regional autonomy fund, direct and indirect government expenditure, and economic growth. The paper used the path analysis to explore the relationships of the observed variables. The results revealed that the decentralization fund influenced significantly on government’s direct expenditure and economic growth. The special local autonomy's fund has influenced considerably on government’s indirect expenditure. Its effect has increased, through economic growth as the intermediating variable, meaningfully on employment, poverty, and welfare. The results are in line with the prior studies, which explore the consequences of decentralization and specific autonomy to spur the economic growth in certain regions. It implies that the economic development strategies in Indonesia’s less-developed regions should be started with a bigger autonomy transfer program to those regions and simultaneously enhanced it by special budget allocation to trigger and support the development.
Taxation: The Instrument of Economic Growth in NigeriaAJHSSR Journal
ABSTRACT: The provision of basic infrastructures are very important to the economic development of a
nation. The extent to which the government is able to provide these amenities is determined by the number of
resources at the government's disposal. The inability of the government to provide these basic amenities have
led to the winding up and relocation of many multinational companies operating in Nigeria to other African
countries. As a result, this study investigated the effects of corporate income tax (CIT) and customs and excise
duty (CED) on economic growth. The study used a descriptive research design, and data from 1971 to 2020
were gathered from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin and Federal Inland Revenue Service
(FIRS) publicationThe study concluded that the provision of basic infrastructures will boost the economy and
will drive individual taxpayers towards a positive response to tax payments. This will increase the level of tax
compliance and result in additional revenue for the government.This study recommended that the government
should make developmental projects their top agenda item as the availability of infrastructural facilities is a
necessary condition for investment that will grow the economy.
KEYWORDS: Company Income Tax, Custom and Excise Duty, Economic Growth, Gross Domestic Product,
Taxation
JMeter webinar - integration with InfluxDB and GrafanaRTTS
Watch this recorded webinar about real-time monitoring of application performance. See how to integrate Apache JMeter, the open-source leader in performance testing, with InfluxDB, the open-source time-series database, and Grafana, the open-source analytics and visualization application.
In this webinar, we will review the benefits of leveraging InfluxDB and Grafana when executing load tests and demonstrate how these tools are used to visualize performance metrics.
Length: 30 minutes
Session Overview
-------------------------------------------
During this webinar, we will cover the following topics while demonstrating the integrations of JMeter, InfluxDB and Grafana:
- What out-of-the-box solutions are available for real-time monitoring JMeter tests?
- What are the benefits of integrating InfluxDB and Grafana into the load testing stack?
- Which features are provided by Grafana?
- Demonstration of InfluxDB and Grafana using a practice web application
To view the webinar recording, go to:
https://www.rttsweb.com/jmeter-integration-webinar
UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series, part 3DianaGray10
Welcome to UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series part 3. In this session, we will cover desktop automation along with UI automation.
Topics covered:
UI automation Introduction,
UI automation Sample
Desktop automation flow
Pradeep Chinnala, Senior Consultant Automation Developer @WonderBotz and UiPath MVP
Deepak Rai, Automation Practice Lead, Boundaryless Group and UiPath MVP
Kubernetes & AI - Beauty and the Beast !?! @KCD Istanbul 2024Tobias Schneck
As AI technology is pushing into IT I was wondering myself, as an “infrastructure container kubernetes guy”, how get this fancy AI technology get managed from an infrastructure operational view? Is it possible to apply our lovely cloud native principals as well? What benefit’s both technologies could bring to each other?
Let me take this questions and provide you a short journey through existing deployment models and use cases for AI software. On practical examples, we discuss what cloud/on-premise strategy we may need for applying it to our own infrastructure to get it to work from an enterprise perspective. I want to give an overview about infrastructure requirements and technologies, what could be beneficial or limiting your AI use cases in an enterprise environment. An interactive Demo will give you some insides, what approaches I got already working for real.
Neuro-symbolic is not enough, we need neuro-*semantic*Frank van Harmelen
Neuro-symbolic (NeSy) AI is on the rise. However, simply machine learning on just any symbolic structure is not sufficient to really harvest the gains of NeSy. These will only be gained when the symbolic structures have an actual semantics. I give an operational definition of semantics as “predictable inference”.
All of this illustrated with link prediction over knowledge graphs, but the argument is general.
Essentials of Automations: Optimizing FME Workflows with ParametersSafe Software
Are you looking to streamline your workflows and boost your projects’ efficiency? Do you find yourself searching for ways to add flexibility and control over your FME workflows? If so, you’re in the right place.
Join us for an insightful dive into the world of FME parameters, a critical element in optimizing workflow efficiency. This webinar marks the beginning of our three-part “Essentials of Automation” series. This first webinar is designed to equip you with the knowledge and skills to utilize parameters effectively: enhancing the flexibility, maintainability, and user control of your FME projects.
Here’s what you’ll gain:
- Essentials of FME Parameters: Understand the pivotal role of parameters, including Reader/Writer, Transformer, User, and FME Flow categories. Discover how they are the key to unlocking automation and optimization within your workflows.
- Practical Applications in FME Form: Delve into key user parameter types including choice, connections, and file URLs. Allow users to control how a workflow runs, making your workflows more reusable. Learn to import values and deliver the best user experience for your workflows while enhancing accuracy.
- Optimization Strategies in FME Flow: Explore the creation and strategic deployment of parameters in FME Flow, including the use of deployment and geometry parameters, to maximize workflow efficiency.
- Pro Tips for Success: Gain insights on parameterizing connections and leveraging new features like Conditional Visibility for clarity and simplicity.
We’ll wrap up with a glimpse into future webinars, followed by a Q&A session to address your specific questions surrounding this topic.
Don’t miss this opportunity to elevate your FME expertise and drive your projects to new heights of efficiency.
LF Energy Webinar: Electrical Grid Modelling and Simulation Through PowSyBl -...DanBrown980551
Do you want to learn how to model and simulate an electrical network from scratch in under an hour?
Then welcome to this PowSyBl workshop, hosted by Rte, the French Transmission System Operator (TSO)!
During the webinar, you will discover the PowSyBl ecosystem as well as handle and study an electrical network through an interactive Python notebook.
PowSyBl is an open source project hosted by LF Energy, which offers a comprehensive set of features for electrical grid modelling and simulation. Among other advanced features, PowSyBl provides:
- A fully editable and extendable library for grid component modelling;
- Visualization tools to display your network;
- Grid simulation tools, such as power flows, security analyses (with or without remedial actions) and sensitivity analyses;
The framework is mostly written in Java, with a Python binding so that Python developers can access PowSyBl functionalities as well.
What you will learn during the webinar:
- For beginners: discover PowSyBl's functionalities through a quick general presentation and the notebook, without needing any expert coding skills;
- For advanced developers: master the skills to efficiently apply PowSyBl functionalities to your real-world scenarios.
UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series, part 4DianaGray10
Welcome to UiPath Test Automation using UiPath Test Suite series part 4. In this session, we will cover Test Manager overview along with SAP heatmap.
The UiPath Test Manager overview with SAP heatmap webinar offers a concise yet comprehensive exploration of the role of a Test Manager within SAP environments, coupled with the utilization of heatmaps for effective testing strategies.
Participants will gain insights into the responsibilities, challenges, and best practices associated with test management in SAP projects. Additionally, the webinar delves into the significance of heatmaps as a visual aid for identifying testing priorities, areas of risk, and resource allocation within SAP landscapes. Through this session, attendees can expect to enhance their understanding of test management principles while learning practical approaches to optimize testing processes in SAP environments using heatmap visualization techniques
What will you get from this session?
1. Insights into SAP testing best practices
2. Heatmap utilization for testing
3. Optimization of testing processes
4. Demo
Topics covered:
Execution from the test manager
Orchestrator execution result
Defect reporting
SAP heatmap example with demo
Speaker:
Deepak Rai, Automation Practice Lead, Boundaryless Group and UiPath MVP
Elevating Tactical DDD Patterns Through Object CalisthenicsDorra BARTAGUIZ
After immersing yourself in the blue book and its red counterpart, attending DDD-focused conferences, and applying tactical patterns, you're left with a crucial question: How do I ensure my design is effective? Tactical patterns within Domain-Driven Design (DDD) serve as guiding principles for creating clear and manageable domain models. However, achieving success with these patterns requires additional guidance. Interestingly, we've observed that a set of constraints initially designed for training purposes remarkably aligns with effective pattern implementation, offering a more ‘mechanical’ approach. Let's explore together how Object Calisthenics can elevate the design of your tactical DDD patterns, offering concrete help for those venturing into DDD for the first time!
Encryption in Microsoft 365 - ExpertsLive Netherlands 2024Albert Hoitingh
In this session I delve into the encryption technology used in Microsoft 365 and Microsoft Purview. Including the concepts of Customer Key and Double Key Encryption.
Accelerate your Kubernetes clusters with Varnish CachingThijs Feryn
A presentation about the usage and availability of Varnish on Kubernetes. This talk explores the capabilities of Varnish caching and shows how to use the Varnish Helm chart to deploy it to Kubernetes.
This presentation was delivered at K8SUG Singapore. See https://feryn.eu/presentations/accelerate-your-kubernetes-clusters-with-varnish-caching-k8sug-singapore-28-2024 for more details.
Accelerate your Kubernetes clusters with Varnish Caching
3 jesd owolabi doc---29-37
1. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1700 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2855 (Online)
Vol.2, No.3
Revenue Allocation Formula and Its Impact On Economic Growth
Process In Nigeria
Usman Owolabi Akeem
Faculty of Management Science,
PMB4000,Ladoke Akintola University, Ogbomoso, Nigeria
Tel: +234 836675099 E-mail-labisky@yahoo.com
Abstract
This study attempts to analyze the impact of allocation formula on the Nigeria growth process. The analysis reveals
the extent to which revenue allocation formula adopted in the past has affected the path of economic growth and
development in Nigeria. The data is purely secondary data and was sourced from the world bank publication, CBN,
Journal and other published and unpublished materials.
There is need, therefore to address the problem by formulating a move efficient revenue allocation wastage
and mismanagement of founds. Also effort should be geared towards articulation of policies that will enhance
capital formulation, employment of the abundant and measures may include attachment of more weight to the share
of local government from the federal collected revenue, placing more emphasis on the internal revenue generation,
redefinition of the concept of definition and sustaining the present effort of government as regards budget
monitoring and implementation.
Keywords: Revenue, Allocation, Economic Growth, Nigeria
1. Introduction
Nigeria as a nation operates a federal structure of government federalism refers the existence in one country of more
than one level of government, each with different expenditure responsibilities and taxing powers. This shows that
fiscal federalism, a consequence of federalism, is all about the relationship among the different units of functions
and tax powers to the constituent units. The existence of imbalance between functions and resource base makes it
expedient for the higher level of government to transfer revenue to the lower level. This is referred to as ‘efficiency
transfer or balancing’
The sharing of funds from the federation account is one of the contentious and sensitive issues in the Nigeria polity
this has remained a central element of interfiscal relations. In Nigeria revenue allocation is taken as the distribution
of national revenue among the various tiers of government in the federation in such away as to reflect the structure
of fiscal federalism. This issue is so important that in some other countries it has become a national question
(mbanefoh 1993, emenuqua, 1993). For instance kayoed (1993) observed that a satisfacto ry solution to the question
and its solution”
This shows that in any nation the stability as a political entity depends to a large extent on revenue location. A
democratically elected government can be sustained if only there is an appropriate distribution of nation revenue
among state governments themselves.
1.1 Statement of The Problem
The return of democratic government is expected to lead to the practice of a more balanced system of fiscal
federalism, more transparency, fiscal accountability and more devolution of power to lower units of government and
hence more fiscal decentralization. While a greater degree of decentralization would, no doubt, contribute to greater
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grassroots participation, generate more local development, increase efficiency and equity, create employment
opportunity and promote poverty alleviation, it must not be done in such a way as to conflict with the national
objective or unduly complicate it.
The change in the Internal geographic structure of the nation as a result of strong and continuous agitation
for state creation has led to distortion in the revenue allocation formula and this has weakened the fabrics of
federalism. For example, 12 states were created out of four regions in 1967. in 1976, the number of state rose to 19
while local government and in 1996, the number of state rose to 36 with 774 local governments. Till date we still
have 36 states and 774 local governments. Given the associated rising cost of running that is provision of
secretariats, staff salaries and allowances rental and buildings, provision of utilities and increasing outlays on
maintained and new projects, statutory allocations to state and local government together with internal revenues
have become grossly inadequate. It is in the light of the economic growth process in Nigeria has not been utilized.
Hence the need to examine empirically whether revenue allocation formular adopted in the past has had any
meaningful impact on the economic growth process in Nigeria. The issue of revenue allocation in Nigeria is a
fundamental one that border on promotion of national unity and rapid economic growth. It is however sad the
despite continious increase in revenue generation in Nigeria over the years, the expected impact on economic growth
in Nigeria has not been realized. Hence the need to examine empirically whether revenue allocation formula adopted
in the past had any meaningful impact on the economic growth process in Nigeria.
1.2 Objectives of the Study
The major aim of the study is to assess the impact of revenue allocation on economic growth in Nigeria. This is
important in view of the fact that the exists a link between revenue allocation formular and economic growth when
one considers the position of government is gross fixed capital above, the specific objectives of this study are to;
1. Examine the extent to which the revenue allocation formula adopted in the past has affected the path of
economic growth and development in Nigeria.
2. Proffer solution to the teething problem of revenue allocation formula in view of macro economic
aspiration of rapid economic growth and development. The important of this is that whatsoever revenue
formula that is being canvassed for or is adopted; the important thing is whether or not it improves the
quality of life of people in Nigeria.
2. Literature Review
2.1 Fiscal Revenue and Economic Growth
In line with most growth theories, natural resources, human resources, capital enterprises and technonlogy
are all important for rapidly economic growth. Expenditures on human resources development via spending on
education and research, provision of infrastructural facilities health care, housing and urban development,
environment, quality of national statistics, securities and administration of justice are made possible or better still
financed through the revenue gotten from the nation’s resources. These invariably lead to economic growth. This
therefore posits that an efficient revenue allocation is of great importance in the equation of growth.
Similarly, successive governments do make provisions for human capital development and technological
improvement through improvement in educating funding and expenditure on research because of the fact that these
are necessary ingredients for economic growth and development it is often said that economic growth is possible
even when an economy is deficient in natural resources. As pointed out by Lewis, (1990) “a country’ which is often
considered to be poor in resources today may be considered very rich in resources at some later time, not merely
because unknown resource are discovered, but equally because new users are discovered for the known resources”
Japan is one such country which is deficient in natural resources but it is one of the advanced countries of the world
because. It has been able to discover new uses for limited resources. Moreover, by importing certain raw materials
and minerals from other countries, it has been successful in over coming the deficiency of its natural resources
through superior technology, new researches and higher knowledge.
It is also important to note that capital accumulation is one of the factors than enhance economic growth.
Capital means the stock of physical reproducible factor of production. When the capital stock increases with the
passage of time this is called capital accumulation (or capital formation). The process of capital formulation is
cumulative and self-feeding and includes three inter-related stages.
1. The existence of real saving and rise in them
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2. The existence of credit and financial institutions to institution to mobilize savings and to divert them in
desired channels, and
3. To use these savings for investment in capital goods
There are various possibilities of increasing the rate of capital accumulation. Since the prospensity to save IS low in
most LDCs, Voluntary savings will not be forth coming in sufficient quantities. Therefore, the consumption and
thereby release resources for capital formation.
The various methods of forced saving are taxation, deficit financing and borrowing. These now brings out the role of
revenue allocation formula because of the simple fact that in LDCs, the government does the above. It is obvious
that how the fund/resources from this forced saving is been shared and the expenditure pattern is of great importane
when the talk of rapid economic growth. Moreso, capital formation helps in providing machines, tools and
equipment for the rising labour force. The provision for social and economic overheads like transport, power,
education etc in the country is through capital formation. It is also capital formation that leads to the exploitation of
natural resources, industrialization and expansion of market, which are essential for economic progress.
For an economy that is open like ours, the issue of economic growth cannot be discussed without bringing
in particular. It is important to note that international free trade has been regarded as the “Engine of growth” that
propelled the developed of today’s economically advanced nations during the nineteenth and early twentieth
centuries. Rapidly expanding export market provided an additional stimulus to growing local demands that led to the
establishment of large manufacturing industries. Together with a relatively stable political structure and flexible
social institutions, these increased export earning enables the developing country of the nineteenth century to
borrow funds in the intenration capital market at very low interest rates. This capital accumulation, which is very
important to growth in turn stimulated further production, made possible increased imports and led to a more
diversified industrial structure.
Having gone through some of the importance economic actors of growth, it is important to note that there
are some non-economic factors that are also crucial to rapid economic growth and development. It is sufficie to say
that the final distinction between the historical experience of developed countries and the situation faced by
contemporary developing nations relates to the nature of social and political institutions. One very obvious different
between the now developed and the under developed nations IS that well before their industrial evolutions, the
former were in dependent consolidated nations states able to pursue national policies on the basis of consensus
toward modernizations.
2.2 Theoretical Framework
2.2.1 Traditional Neoclassical Growth Theory
According to Dernburg-IMcdougall (1980), economic thinking of the 1930s concentrated almost exclusively on
labor as a factor of production. Conversely, the early post World War II growth theorist pushed the pendulum to tile
opposite extreme and concentrated on, the role of capital in the growth process. More recently economist have tried
to develop an integrated view that combines the effects of labour force Growth, capital growth, and improved
technology in explaining economic growth. Many very interesting questions have bee raided. If output per capital
tends to grow at a particular rate in a full employment economy, what is the magnitude of the growth rate, and what
are their determinant? What fraction of growth is due to the fact that each worker has more capital to work with?
What fraction is due to the fact that the capital is improved? And, finally, what fraction is due to the fact that labour
itself might be becoming’ more productive as standards of health, education and training improve?
Todaro (2003) stated that another cornerstone of the neoclassical free market argument is the assertion that
liberalization of national markets draws additional domestic and foreign investment thus increasing the rate of
capital accumulation in terms of GNP growth. This is equivalent to raising domestics savings rates, which enhances
capital – labour ratio and pr capital incomes in capital poor developing countries, Traditional neoclassical models of
growth are a direct out growth of the Harrod Domar and Solow models, which both. Stress the importance of
savings.
The RLM. Solow neoclassifical growth model in particular expanded on the Harrod-Domar formulation by adding a
second factor, labour and introducing a third independent variables technology to the growth equation. Unlike the
fixed –coeficnet, constant-returns-to-scale as assumption of the Harrod – Domar model, Solow’s neoclassical
growth model exhibited diminishing returns to labour and capital separately and constant returns to both factors
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jointly. Technological progress become the residual factor explaining long-term growth and its level was assumed
by Solow and other growth theorists to be determined exogenously, that is, independently of all other factors.
More formally the Solow growth model uses a standard aggregate production function in which Y = k (J
1-
(AL) ………………………(1)
Where Y is gross domestic product, k is the capital stock (which may include human capital as well as physical
capital), L is labour, and A represent the productivity of labour, which grow at an exogenous rate. In equation (1)
represents the elasticity of output with respect to capital (the percentage increase in GDP resulting from a % increase
in human and physical capital). It is usually measured statistically as the share of capital in a country’s national
income accounts. Since is assumed to be less than 1 and private capital is assumed to be paid it marginal product
so that there are no external economies, this formulation of neoclassical growth theory yields diminishing returns to
capital and labour
In line with the traditional neoclassicial growth theory, Output growth results from one or more of three
factors: Increases in labour quantity and quality (through population growth and education in which public fund is
been expanded upon), and improvement in technology. This underscores the importance of revenue allocation
formula and other factors that are crucial to rapid economic growth and development.
2.3 National Revenue Mobilization, Allocation And Fiscal Commission (NRMAFC)
The Babangida government decided to revisit the Dina revenue allocation commission of 1968 which had
recommended the setting up of a permanent revenue planning and fiscal commission but which was at that time
rejected by government. Decree no 49 of 1989 provided for the setting up of a permanent commission to review
revenue allocation formula. The decree established the national revenue mobilization, allocation and fiscal
commission (NRMAFC), which was also charged with the responsibility of revenue mobilizations, and promotion
of fiscal efficiency.
Some of the specific functions of the commission include the design and mobilization on all sources of public
revenues, the periodic review of revenue allccation formulae, the prescription and application of revenue allocation
formulae as well as monitoring the accruals form the federation account and other joint accounts. In carrying out this
task, the commission gave more emphasis to the local government as it allocated an all time high allocation of 15%
to local government administration as shown below.
APPROVAL RECOMMENDATION GOVERNMENT
Federal Government 47% 50%
State Government 30% 30%
Local Government 15% 15%
Special Fund 8% 5%
For the sharing aomong the states, the commission recommended the following:
RECOMMENDATION GOVERNMENT
APPROVAL
Equality of state 40% 40%
Population 30% 30%
Internal revenue effort 20% 10%
Health, water, land mass and difficulty of terrain 10%
Land mass and terrain 10%
2.3.1 June 1992 Revenue Allocation Formula
Between 1990 and June 1992 there were about four revisions to the revenue allocation formula. However the June
1992 was more important because of the inability of local government to effectively administer primary education.
Consequently the vertical renveue allocation formula was revised and the armed forces ruling council (AFRC)
accepted the following revenue arrangement
Federal Government 48.5%
State Government 24%
Local Government 20%
Special Funds 7.5%
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2.3.2 The Revenue Mobilization Allocation And Fiscal Commission (RMAFC)
on the inception of the new democratic dispensation after several years of military rules and in accordance with
section 162 (2) of the 1999 constitution, the Obasanjo led administration set up a commission in September 1999
headed by Engr. Hamman Tukur. It would be necessary to stated that the 1992 revenue allocation formular backed
by decree 106 was in place and used into the new era of democracy. But this could not address changing realities
like the increase in numbers of states (6) local government councils (185) and the constitutional provision that
increases derivation principle form 1% to 13%
By the time collations were made and analysed, a critical study on constitutional responsibilities of each tier was
done to assign commensurate indices through percentages to the beneficiaries. It was therefore not surprising that it
look the commission almost a whole year to submit its first proposal to the president in August 2001, which was
subsequently passed to the National Assembly in its original form. The proposed revenue formula remained the
National Assembly for almost eight months before the Supreme Court verdict of April 2002 on resource control
nullified special fund in the existing formula, which invariable affected the fate of the pending formula with the
legislators.
Since an executive order, as authoritative interim measure which legalized by a subsequent ruling of
Supreme Court was in place, the commission had to device another strategy in making sure that the revised formula
is fair and just without emotion or sentiments. It therefore with drew the early submission and asked for fresh inputs
from stakeholders and general public on how to apply the special fund. The commission came up with the final
sharing formula with federal government having 46.63% states 33% and local government 20.37%. it further
recommended that FCT should be treated like state so also the municipal councils. The implementation of
institution, compulsory contributory pension scheme to address the problems that are common and peculiar sources
of discontent among tiers and provision of fund that will take care of ecology, technology research, solid mineral
development, national reserve and agricultural development (Shauib 2003)
2.3.3 Vertical Revenue Allocation Balance In Nigeria
As earlier stated in the beginning of this chapter, Nigeria been a country that practices federalism provides the
primary basis for the inter-governmental fiscal problems of the Nigeria public sector. Normally each tier of
government should be given adequate resources to be able to discharge its constitutional responsibilities, which is
very important for the preservation of the autonomy of the constituent units. However, this is practically impossible
in practice instead we notice that some may not have enough to meat their expenditure responsibilities from their
own revenue source.
In Nigeria, fiscal imbalances have followed a distinctive pattern where the federal government is in a
superior position and sub-national levels in the inferior position. This means that the central government engages in
functional expenditure obligations than both the state and local government does.
An anomaly observed in the Nigerian situation is the inclusion of derivation as a part of vertical revenue
allocation under a special fund instead of the universal practice of including it as a principle in horizontal revenue
allocation. This explains partly the measure percentage allocated to it. (Tijani and Godowoli 1992) observed that the
apparent oscillation in the use of the principle is responsible for the state apparent oscillation in the use of the
principle is responsible for the state of affairs. In Particular, certain sections of the country (especially the oil
producing states) felt circumvented that the principle of derivation was lightly emphasized in revenue sharing
arrangements from the 1940s through the 1960s when the nations economic mainstay was agriculture, but the
emphasized when oil became the major revenue earner from the early 1970s. The issue was further politicized with
argument over on shore and off shore oil until the recent time.
Thus, while some people argued that derivation should be used to compensate those areas where buljk of
the revenue that goes to the federation account comes from because of the associated costs (of pollution, distruption
of socio-economic life of the communities etc), other are the view that unbridled use of derivation as a principle for
revenue allocation will accentuate regional inequalities. Indeed, the Aboyade commission (1979) had argued along
the line of (Scott 1964) that the derivation principle has little or no place in cohesive fiscal system for economic
growth, national unit and social development.
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3. Research Methodology
3.1 Model Specification
In theory, economic growth is influenced by miscellaneous factors. But in the study will shall adopt the
neoclassical growth moedel, which stresses the important of labour, capital and technology. Thus the expanded
version of Harnod-Domar model by Robert Solow stated more formally the growth of model as follows:
Y = K (AL) 1 - ………….(i)
Following Iyoha (1968, we include the shares of state, local and federal government revenue from federation
account into our model. This is because revenue enters the growth equation through expenditure on capital
formation and employed. This is particularly important when one consider the fact that the roles of the private sector
in Nigeria, until recent time is not pronounced like the private sector.
Thus, our model become: GD.PR = F(K, L, Fed Stat, Locl)……..(2)
Although in Iyoha (1998) model, he failed to incorporate political instability but the role of this factor was stress by
Borno and Lee, (1993); Gillian (1993). Hence a dummy variables is introduced to capture the influence of political
instability in our model. GDPR = FCK, L, Fd, Stat, Loc, Dum……..(3)
Finally, inflation rate is included just like Iyoha did to capture macroeconomic instability during this
period. It is postulated to be detrimental to economic growth and development for the familiar economic reason.
These include uncertainty about the profitability of long term investment and tendency toward speculative activities.
Thus, our model to be estimated takes the form of a single equation in economic growth as GDPR=
FCK, L, Fed, Sta, Loc, un, infl)…………………….(4)
More formally, the model is specified as
GDPR = ab + a, Poc + a2 inv + a3sta + a4Loc + a5INF + a6DUM + ut….(5)
3.2 Data Sources And Characteristics
GDPR = Real gross domestic population growth rate.
POG=Population growth rate in Nigeria. Rising population connotes cheap labour and large market for product of
enterprises, which expected to promote the economic growth (Green and Villanueva 1991; Fry 1991; Oyedije 1994;
as sited ein james 1998).
INV = Gross fixed capital formation/GDP ratio
FED=Growth rate of share of federal government from the federation account.
STA = growth rate of share of rate of state government from the federal account
LOC = growth rate of shares of local government from the federal account
INF= inflation rate
DUM= Dummy variable presenting political instability
Ut= stochastic error in with usual while noise properties
Hint? a0 ……………..a7 are the regression coefficient or impact multipliers to be estimated and a 0………a5 and a7<0.
Data used in this study is purely secondary data and was sourced from the World Bank publication (gdpr, inf).
CBN, (Fed, sta and Loc), Journal and other published and unpublished material
3.3 Estimation Technique
For the purpose of this project we shall use the ordinary least square method to estimate its properties and
correlation coefficient which measure the goodness of fit of the regression line shall also be employed. This goes
further to explain the percentage of total variable of the dependent variable that can be explained by the explanatory
variables gdpr = Y(K,L, fed. Stat, Loc…..)
4. Data Analysis
Analysis of variance (ANOVA) conducted in this study to test the overall significance relationship between the
economic growth process in Nigeria and the existing revenue allocation formular and other factors captured in the
model. The decision rules is that we accept Hi if FX>F 0,05 or vise versa. The test that Fx = 4.42 while F 0.005=2.51
at 5% with VI = K-1 = 7, and V2 = N-k=24.
The R2 which is the coefficient of multiple determination, tell us the percentage of the total variation in the
dependent variable (GDPR) as explained by the regression line. The higher the R2, the greater the percentage of the
variation in GDPR as explained by the explanatory variables and the better the goodness of fit of the regression line
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to the sample observations. The R2 in the estimated regression Is 0.66 and this means that about 66% of changes in
the Nigeria growth process is explain by changes in the explanatory variables in the model.
The result also shows that the signes and the magnitude of the coefficient confirm to a prior expectation
with the coefficients of inflation rate, Loc and FED been significant while others are not significant. The value of the
Durbin Watson (2010) shows that there is no serial auto correlation.
4.1 Presentation of Regression Result
The result of the regression of equation is presented in table 1.0 below
TABLE 1.
The results in table 1 above shows that all the parameters conformed to prior expectation. It is also clear
from the table that LOC, INF, FED are all significant based on the standard error and T-values of this coefficients.
However, others are not significant even though they appear with the right signs. The F-value of 4.42 reveal that the
result is relatively stable an to bust while 2(0.66) shows that about 66% of the systematic variation in GDPR is
caused by the variables in the model. Lastly the DW value of 2.010 shows that there is no serial auto correlation in
our model.
4.2 Discussion of Result
Table 1.0 shows that there exists a direct relationship between the revenue allocation formula as prioxies by the
share of federal, state and local government from the federation account and economic growth process in Nigeria.
This implies that the revenue allocation formula is a catalyst for economic growth and development. The sign of
these variables onform to economic growth and development. The sign of theses variable conform to the aprior
expection that is positive and except for the sharte of the state that is not statically significant, other were significant
at 10%. The magnitude of the coefficient especially FED and LOC further conform the need improve the finding of
local government considering the elascticity of these variables as regards economic growth process. This
interpretation should be consider under a condition of equal absorptive capacity between states and local
government.
However, inflation rate turn out to negatively related economic growth and statistically significant. Thus
policy to maintain macroeconomic stability by controlling the rate of inflation within reasonable limit is required to
promote economic growth and development. More importantly high and variable rate of inflation not only
complicates the problem of government expenditure planning for economic growth and development, they also send
wrong signals to private sector investors. However the case of political instability tends to be insignificant but we do
not fail to establish the fact the negative relationship exist between economic growth and political instability because
of the earlier reason given in this study.
5. Findings and Policy Implications
The policy implication of the study is that during the period under review, the share of local and federal government
from the federation account contributed to the economic growth process of Nigeria. Hence the share of local
government must be increased for improved performance. This is consistent with the findings of Iyoha (1998).
However, the share of state from the Federation on account does not perform as expected. Hence, effort should be
geared towards effective and efficient utilization of fund at the state level. The scenario at the state level may be due
to mismanagement and embezzlement of fund.
In addition, high level of inflation rate in the country during this period reflects macroeconomic instability.
This may be caused by the continuous importation of good especially consumable items. Thus putting pressure on
the local currency and high cost of doing business in Nigeria.
With respect to the dummy variable the findings upport the review that political instability affects growth
negatively. The results corroborate the conclusions of other studies (see Barro Lee (1993), Gillian 193).
The duo of labour and capital were as control variables here and the result confirms that labour and capital
are growth catalyzing factors. Although they were not significant in this study and this may be partly due to the low
growth rate of capital and the high level of unemployment, thus, showing that labour has not been fully utilized.
Effort should be geared towards increase in investment through expansion in private sector investment. On the other
hand, public sector investment which has been in the provision of inefficient social infrastructure, and moribund
projects that fail to produce stimulating multiplier effects on the economy in long run should be discourage..
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5.1 Conclusion
In this study, we have been able to review the existing revenue allocation formula from 1960 to date, determine the
extent to which the revenue allocation adopted has affected the path of economic growth and development. We have
also been able to identify the critical problems buffeting the current system of fiscal federalism in Nigeria.
The result reveal that beginning from 1960 till date Nigeria experimented with over fifteen revenue
allocation formulae (horizontal or vertical). Greater changes were witness in the horizontal revenue allocation
formula. The findings also reveal that the Aboyade and Okigho commission as well as NRMAFC provided objective
basis for revenue allocating using measurable criteria. However, because of the technicality involved the Aboyade
commission, his recommendations were rejected but government never the less accepted its vertically allocation
formula.
The establishment NRMAFC as a permanent revenue allocation committee is found to have significantly
reduced the adhoc nature in which previous revenue allocation schemes have been revised or modified. In the past
many attributed financial problem of states of local government to the prevailing vertical revenue allocation
formula. However, this study reveals that the major cause of declining proportion of federally collected revenue
going to the sub-national government in recent years is the introduction of petroleum. Trust Fund, Dedicated
Account and Stabilization Fund. This situation has made thing worse considering the ever-increasing needs of urban
and rural population In education, water supply, health facilities and road etc.
Moreso, given it history and Evolution, and in particular the influence of military governance on its
development, it was observed that the system of fiscal federalism is over centralized, especially with respect to
revenue collection Although, inter-governmental grants are used to moderate the concentratin of financial resources
at the centre, this does not vitiate the fact that the lower levels of governments are under funded and hence are
relatively ineffective as agents of economic growth and development. The general condition is the increase is
revenue allocation to the various units of government will lead to provision of more goods and services, higher
investment and economic growth. Therefore, the revenue allocation system has been partly efficient in Nigeria. i.e it
is sub-optimal.
References
Aboyade :Technology Committee (1977). Report of the Revenue Allocation Commmittee cited in G.D. Olowuoni
(2000)
Anyanwu (1995) :Revenue Allocated in Nigeria and Fiscal Federalism in Nigeria. Journal of Economics
Management Vol. 2 No2.
Emenuga (1993) : The search for an Acceptable Revenue Allocation Formula. In Nigeria
Micheal (1998) :Fiscal Federalism Allocation Formular and Economic Development in Nigerian: Nigerian
Financial Review Vol. 1 No 3 (sept)
Kayode (1993):” The National Question and Revenue Allocation: AnArticulation of some of the problems and
issues in the national. Question and Economic development in Nigeria. Selected papers of the 1993 Annual
Conference of Nigerian Economics
Shuaib . (2003) “Ppolitics of Revenue Formula” The Daily times, December T.P.15
Todaro (2003): Economic Development Eight Edition
Scot Anthony (1964) :The Eonomomic Goals of Federal Finance. Journal and Public Finance vol. 19, No 4
Oates. (1972) :Fiscal Federalism New York
Olowononi G.D. (2000). An evaluation of Revenue Allocation Formula in Nigeria in Nigeria. Ncema Policy
Analysis series Vol. 1 6 No 2
Iyoha M. (2000) Fiscal Federalism, Decentralization and macroeconomic Management in Nigeria. Ncema Policy
Analysis series Vol. 1
Misgrave and Musgrave. (1989): cited in G.D. Olowoni 2001.
Table 1.:Relationship between Economic Growth and Revenue Allocation Formula’s
Variables Coefficient Standard Error T. Statistics
Constant 0.066 1.302 0.051
DPOG 0.984 1.351 0.728
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DWV 5.076 4.716 1.076
DFED 1.063 0.738 1.441
DSTA 0.960 1.814 0.529
DLOC 2.724 2.030 1.341
DINF -0.114 0.063 -1.804
DUM -0.872 2.660 -0.328
2 2
R = 0.66 dw = 2.010f=4.42 ADJ R = 0.50 S.E.R. = 5.727
Source: author’s computation
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