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Welcome To Your Ride,
the “Book Launching” ceremony
              of

          the book.
RE-Engineering the Fiscal Budget of
                 Pakistan
By
 Muhammad Waqas
 Raza Siddiqui
                  C.A Finalist, ICAP.




              Cell No. 0345 28 99 607
 Email Id : waqasrazas@hotmail.com
Introduction
          The National Budgeting
 process of Pakistan fails to entertain
 and cater the national aspiration of
 the fiscal demands and people,
 hence severely disappoint year by
 year the people and the institutions
 of country every time. To fill this ,
 this paper considers a number of
 Problem areas in Budgeting
 Policies, Processes, and
 Priorities along with concise yet
 clear indicative studies, it also
 discuss whether adopting such a
 budgeting system after revisiting
 the entire process can meet the
 country’s fiscal needs in an
 Endeavour which fulfill the demand
 and aspiration of Country and its
 fellow men, For sure Pakistan needs
 to redesign features and
 accommodate such into its
 budgeting system to ensure that it
 does so what stated above.
Policies
                   The policies that
 are under examination in this
 study are of the vary primal in
 nature, the discussion would only
 revolve around the two basic
 cores of policies, first regarding
 Fiscal, Disarray of National
 Budgets, as have always been
 adopted and secondly the
 Diasporas the Pakistani
 economy have long been
 suffering from but still not
 addressed in Budgeting, causes
 not only the hindrances to
 economic growth but the entire
 fiscal Budgeting mechanism have
 always been the first and
 foremost sufferer.
Priorities
                      The priorities
that incubate to become the biggest
obstacles in not only the entire
budgeting process but of the
Pakistan’s slow and sluggish growth
right from the independence are of
no dispute, however some may
disagree beside being evident of the
lethal affects of aforesaid, on other
grounds purely of non economical
reasons along with of the little
worth at the same time. The huge
scale Defense expenditure as
always been the biggest priority in
the books, along with the latest
decay long development paralyzing
war against terror which affect
economy deeply in no time from the
first day it was brought in the lands
of pure.
Processes
                      Finally, the processes do cover only the
aspects of fiscal resources or revenue generation arrangements,
mainly and directly constitute of the tax system of any country,
and the expenditure it does to attain the prospects and objects of
budget.
Conventional Fiscal Performance Cycle
                     In any conventional fiscal cycle the role of
Budget can be illuminated by the help of following simple yet
powerful diagrammatic cycle, In context of Pakistan and our
aforesaid three pillars, of fiscal Budget we have considered, if we
suppose the Long terms Structural Determinants, Contemporary
Politics and Fiscal Institution in the given diagram equivalent to
respectively the Policies, Priorities and Processes of our study
manifestations, the picture would be quite clear and grasping. The
need to over tide the diagram with our assigned tags is to
establish the vivid connection of our study with global perspective
which we are about to explore and construct.
Chapter 01

National Fiscal Disarrays
Fatal Mistakes , Fallacies in Public Policy Making

 Healthy people healthy country
 Human Capital Neglected severely (Hospital and Training etc)
 Sorry state of Education
 Secure State or Scarce State

                        Particularly, in case of Pakistan, the foremost plight as always
been of the plight of Policies, The disarrays, from the policies undermining the socio
economical important sectors being taken for granted such as Health care, Education,
Justice and so on to the policies creating embargoes for afore said sectors by giving so
much importance to lesser deserving sectors. I called such are Fatal Mistakes, always
observed in setting the fiscal budgets and their directions, leading to sluggish growth
in regions comparatively and lesser poverty reduction hence lesser affective fiscal
developments

 Planning Fiasco Conflict of Interests, Never been reduced
 Unsustainable Growth, Reparations
 Sick orientation, Services or Manufacturing or Agricultural Economy??
                                                             Economy??
Chapter 02

Fiscal Disasters in Pakistan
                    The governments mainly relied on
borrowing as the only measure of “practical and political
value” for easing Pakistan's balance-of-payments difficulties.
But because the credibility was less than perfect, loans from
international institutions and banking systems, in addition to
inter-governmental credits were mostly on a short-term basis
and often with higher interest rates. When credibility
worsened -coupled with limited borrowing possibilities,
repayment of these accumulated short-term loans became a
real burden on the economy
                                   Corruption
                                   Instability
                                   Unsustainable Growth
Chapter 03

Defense or Demise and
War against Terror or Economy??”
              Pakistan’s economy is under pressure of the War on Terror
     intensifying for last four years in Afghanistan. Since 2006, the War has
     spread like a contagion into settled areas of Pakistan that has so far, cost
     the country more than 35,000 citizens,3500 security personnel,
     destruction of infrastructure, internal migration of millions of people from
     parts of northwestern Pakistan, erosions of investment climate, nose
     diving of production and growing unemployment and above all brought
     economic activity to a virtual standstill in many part of the country.
     Pakistan had never witnessed such devastating social and economic
     upheaval in its industry, even after dismemberment of the country by
     direct war.

1.   Which are, at present, the main “technical” and "political” difficulties in the
     way of making progress towards obtaining international agreement s to
     reduce military expenditures?
2.   What is the nature and scope of the interrelationship between “technical"
     and “political " elements with regard to agreement s to reduce military
     expenditures?
3.   In which way might agreement s to reduce military expenditures be
     related to other disarmament agreements?
Economy craving
Chapter04


Energy!
               The link between sustainable development and
   energy will require even greater efforts for long term
   energy security. Crisis management including installation of
   rental power plants in the private sector and reduction of
   peak demand through energy conservation and load
   management measures




               The sector which should have been the most
   prioritized one, remain neglected for long, the ignorance
   harvested country into darkness
Chapter 05

Borrowings in fact Burrowing
to Ditch
                      Although somewhat insulated from the financial crisis,
     Pakistan too has witnessed a rise in public debt in the recent past. Fiscal
     profligacy in the shape of large subsidies, policy inaction with regards to
     rising oil prices in 2007, weak revenue collection, pressure on budgetary
     resources placed by a heightened security situation, and efforts to
     eliminate the inter corporate debt in the energy sector, have led to
     relatively rapid increase in public debt. The cumulative effect of the
     depreciation of the Rupee against the US dollar, on the one hand, and the
     weakness of the US dollar against third currencies in which a significant
     portion of Pakistan’s external public debt is denominated, have also played
     a substantial part in the overall increase.
                       The total public debt stood at Rs.8,894 billion as of June
     30, 2010, an increase of Rs. 1,265 billion or 16.6percent higher than the
     debt stock at the end of last fiscal year. Government borrowed Rs.798
     billion from domestic sources and Rs. 189 billion from external sources to
     finance the fiscal operations. Additionally, government borrowed SDR
     2,145 million or Rs. 271 billion from IMF for balance of payment support
     (that included budget support under the bridge financing facility) and
     incurred an exchange loss of Rs. 200 billion on the external debt portfolio
     owing to rupee depreciation against US dollar. The Pak Rupee depreciated
     by 5 percent during FY2010 compared to 19.2 percent in FY2009.
Chapter 06

Original Sin, Tax evasion
                   The most corrupt departments in Pakistan are the tax
     departments. "FBR has the reputation of being corrupt, besides being one
     of the most politicized departments of the Government of Pakistan. From
     the office of the chairman to middle and lower ranks, appointments are
     made in FBR on political and financial considerations. One frequently
     comes across people in Islamabad with offers of money for appointments
     or postings in departments under the jurisdiction of FBR. The amount that
     these people offer, even for a clerical job in customs, income tax or other
     subordinate departments give a measure of corruption and graft in FBR. .
     . It is thus not mere coincidence that the chairman of FBR has invariably
     been the first to go with each change of government since 1988
                    The level of tax evasion was about Rs.1.5 billion in 1973,
     which tremendously increased to Rs.152 billion in 1996. It is also
     noteworthy that "the underground economy grew faster than the formal
     economy. The underground economy grew annually at the rates of about
     27 percent, 14 percent, and 26 percent in 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s
     correspondingly while growth rates in the formal economy for the same
     sub-periods were about 18 percent, 14 percent, and 17 percent."
Chapter 07

Considerations,
in Public sector finance in Pakistan
   Recommendation in “National Fiscal Disarrays”
      Healthy people healthy country
      Human Capital Development
      Prioritizing of Education

   Suggestions by the chapter “Fiscal Disasters in Pakistan”

      Branding Outlook
      Stability
      Democracy
      Legal Enforcement
      Expectation
      Fiscal Corruption Control Measures
      Absence of unified common greater nationalist agenda, like in US
      Viability of Economical Succession
These are some recommendations in " Defense or
Demise And War against Terror or Economy??”
  You can Change your Enemy but not your neighbors”
  Reduce Huge defense Expenditure
  Save such Opportunity Cost of Such Huge Scale Resource Burning
  Rigorous all-round debate, whether This US led war is, war against Terror or
  Economy

It Became inevitable as per chapter "Economy craving
Energy!”, that
  To improve supply-demand balance through additional least-cost power generation,
  bottleneck transmission and distribution systems;
  Reduce subsidies and allowing cost recovery tariffs by distribution companies;
  Inject cash into the sector to stem asset deterioration; strengthen corporate
  governance by
  Discharging ownership responsibilities; and
  Toughen sector policies and regulations.
Strongly recommended in "Borrowings not
burrowing to ditch”, for deficit
financing…

  International Trade
  Debt re sheduling
  Forex Exchange measures
  Major recommendation for “Original Sin, Tax evasion”
  Levie tax on basis of paying as much as earning
  Measures to extend Tax net
Re-Engineering the fiscal Budget of Pakistan

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Re-Engineering the fiscal Budget of Pakistan

  • 1. A-PDF OFFICE TO PDF DEMO: Purchase from www.A-PDF.com to remove the watermark
  • 2. Welcome To Your Ride, the “Book Launching” ceremony of the book.
  • 3. RE-Engineering the Fiscal Budget of Pakistan By Muhammad Waqas Raza Siddiqui C.A Finalist, ICAP. Cell No. 0345 28 99 607 Email Id : waqasrazas@hotmail.com
  • 4. Introduction The National Budgeting process of Pakistan fails to entertain and cater the national aspiration of the fiscal demands and people, hence severely disappoint year by year the people and the institutions of country every time. To fill this , this paper considers a number of Problem areas in Budgeting Policies, Processes, and Priorities along with concise yet clear indicative studies, it also discuss whether adopting such a budgeting system after revisiting the entire process can meet the country’s fiscal needs in an Endeavour which fulfill the demand and aspiration of Country and its fellow men, For sure Pakistan needs to redesign features and accommodate such into its budgeting system to ensure that it does so what stated above.
  • 5. Policies The policies that are under examination in this study are of the vary primal in nature, the discussion would only revolve around the two basic cores of policies, first regarding Fiscal, Disarray of National Budgets, as have always been adopted and secondly the Diasporas the Pakistani economy have long been suffering from but still not addressed in Budgeting, causes not only the hindrances to economic growth but the entire fiscal Budgeting mechanism have always been the first and foremost sufferer.
  • 6. Priorities The priorities that incubate to become the biggest obstacles in not only the entire budgeting process but of the Pakistan’s slow and sluggish growth right from the independence are of no dispute, however some may disagree beside being evident of the lethal affects of aforesaid, on other grounds purely of non economical reasons along with of the little worth at the same time. The huge scale Defense expenditure as always been the biggest priority in the books, along with the latest decay long development paralyzing war against terror which affect economy deeply in no time from the first day it was brought in the lands of pure.
  • 7. Processes Finally, the processes do cover only the aspects of fiscal resources or revenue generation arrangements, mainly and directly constitute of the tax system of any country, and the expenditure it does to attain the prospects and objects of budget.
  • 8. Conventional Fiscal Performance Cycle In any conventional fiscal cycle the role of Budget can be illuminated by the help of following simple yet powerful diagrammatic cycle, In context of Pakistan and our aforesaid three pillars, of fiscal Budget we have considered, if we suppose the Long terms Structural Determinants, Contemporary Politics and Fiscal Institution in the given diagram equivalent to respectively the Policies, Priorities and Processes of our study manifestations, the picture would be quite clear and grasping. The need to over tide the diagram with our assigned tags is to establish the vivid connection of our study with global perspective which we are about to explore and construct.
  • 9. Chapter 01 National Fiscal Disarrays Fatal Mistakes , Fallacies in Public Policy Making Healthy people healthy country Human Capital Neglected severely (Hospital and Training etc) Sorry state of Education Secure State or Scarce State Particularly, in case of Pakistan, the foremost plight as always been of the plight of Policies, The disarrays, from the policies undermining the socio economical important sectors being taken for granted such as Health care, Education, Justice and so on to the policies creating embargoes for afore said sectors by giving so much importance to lesser deserving sectors. I called such are Fatal Mistakes, always observed in setting the fiscal budgets and their directions, leading to sluggish growth in regions comparatively and lesser poverty reduction hence lesser affective fiscal developments Planning Fiasco Conflict of Interests, Never been reduced Unsustainable Growth, Reparations Sick orientation, Services or Manufacturing or Agricultural Economy?? Economy??
  • 10. Chapter 02 Fiscal Disasters in Pakistan The governments mainly relied on borrowing as the only measure of “practical and political value” for easing Pakistan's balance-of-payments difficulties. But because the credibility was less than perfect, loans from international institutions and banking systems, in addition to inter-governmental credits were mostly on a short-term basis and often with higher interest rates. When credibility worsened -coupled with limited borrowing possibilities, repayment of these accumulated short-term loans became a real burden on the economy Corruption Instability Unsustainable Growth
  • 11. Chapter 03 Defense or Demise and War against Terror or Economy??” Pakistan’s economy is under pressure of the War on Terror intensifying for last four years in Afghanistan. Since 2006, the War has spread like a contagion into settled areas of Pakistan that has so far, cost the country more than 35,000 citizens,3500 security personnel, destruction of infrastructure, internal migration of millions of people from parts of northwestern Pakistan, erosions of investment climate, nose diving of production and growing unemployment and above all brought economic activity to a virtual standstill in many part of the country. Pakistan had never witnessed such devastating social and economic upheaval in its industry, even after dismemberment of the country by direct war. 1. Which are, at present, the main “technical” and "political” difficulties in the way of making progress towards obtaining international agreement s to reduce military expenditures? 2. What is the nature and scope of the interrelationship between “technical" and “political " elements with regard to agreement s to reduce military expenditures? 3. In which way might agreement s to reduce military expenditures be related to other disarmament agreements?
  • 12. Economy craving Chapter04 Energy! The link between sustainable development and energy will require even greater efforts for long term energy security. Crisis management including installation of rental power plants in the private sector and reduction of peak demand through energy conservation and load management measures The sector which should have been the most prioritized one, remain neglected for long, the ignorance harvested country into darkness
  • 13. Chapter 05 Borrowings in fact Burrowing to Ditch Although somewhat insulated from the financial crisis, Pakistan too has witnessed a rise in public debt in the recent past. Fiscal profligacy in the shape of large subsidies, policy inaction with regards to rising oil prices in 2007, weak revenue collection, pressure on budgetary resources placed by a heightened security situation, and efforts to eliminate the inter corporate debt in the energy sector, have led to relatively rapid increase in public debt. The cumulative effect of the depreciation of the Rupee against the US dollar, on the one hand, and the weakness of the US dollar against third currencies in which a significant portion of Pakistan’s external public debt is denominated, have also played a substantial part in the overall increase. The total public debt stood at Rs.8,894 billion as of June 30, 2010, an increase of Rs. 1,265 billion or 16.6percent higher than the debt stock at the end of last fiscal year. Government borrowed Rs.798 billion from domestic sources and Rs. 189 billion from external sources to finance the fiscal operations. Additionally, government borrowed SDR 2,145 million or Rs. 271 billion from IMF for balance of payment support (that included budget support under the bridge financing facility) and incurred an exchange loss of Rs. 200 billion on the external debt portfolio owing to rupee depreciation against US dollar. The Pak Rupee depreciated by 5 percent during FY2010 compared to 19.2 percent in FY2009.
  • 14. Chapter 06 Original Sin, Tax evasion The most corrupt departments in Pakistan are the tax departments. "FBR has the reputation of being corrupt, besides being one of the most politicized departments of the Government of Pakistan. From the office of the chairman to middle and lower ranks, appointments are made in FBR on political and financial considerations. One frequently comes across people in Islamabad with offers of money for appointments or postings in departments under the jurisdiction of FBR. The amount that these people offer, even for a clerical job in customs, income tax or other subordinate departments give a measure of corruption and graft in FBR. . . It is thus not mere coincidence that the chairman of FBR has invariably been the first to go with each change of government since 1988 The level of tax evasion was about Rs.1.5 billion in 1973, which tremendously increased to Rs.152 billion in 1996. It is also noteworthy that "the underground economy grew faster than the formal economy. The underground economy grew annually at the rates of about 27 percent, 14 percent, and 26 percent in 1970s, 1980s, and 1990s correspondingly while growth rates in the formal economy for the same sub-periods were about 18 percent, 14 percent, and 17 percent."
  • 15. Chapter 07 Considerations, in Public sector finance in Pakistan Recommendation in “National Fiscal Disarrays” Healthy people healthy country Human Capital Development Prioritizing of Education Suggestions by the chapter “Fiscal Disasters in Pakistan” Branding Outlook Stability Democracy Legal Enforcement Expectation Fiscal Corruption Control Measures Absence of unified common greater nationalist agenda, like in US Viability of Economical Succession
  • 16. These are some recommendations in " Defense or Demise And War against Terror or Economy??” You can Change your Enemy but not your neighbors” Reduce Huge defense Expenditure Save such Opportunity Cost of Such Huge Scale Resource Burning Rigorous all-round debate, whether This US led war is, war against Terror or Economy It Became inevitable as per chapter "Economy craving Energy!”, that To improve supply-demand balance through additional least-cost power generation, bottleneck transmission and distribution systems; Reduce subsidies and allowing cost recovery tariffs by distribution companies; Inject cash into the sector to stem asset deterioration; strengthen corporate governance by Discharging ownership responsibilities; and Toughen sector policies and regulations.
  • 17. Strongly recommended in "Borrowings not burrowing to ditch”, for deficit financing… International Trade Debt re sheduling Forex Exchange measures Major recommendation for “Original Sin, Tax evasion” Levie tax on basis of paying as much as earning Measures to extend Tax net