2017 forecast of shipping companies
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Drewry analysts forecast that the oversupply situation plaguing the shipping industry for many years will level out in the medium term. BIMCO analysts predict lower growth for shipping due to continued overcapacity and government subsidies for shipbuilding. While higher oil prices will increase freight costs this year, many forecasts expect the shipping industry to recover as some companies leave the market.
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2. The impact of increasing digital technology on ship operations and seafarers, with debates around automation reducing crew sizes versus maintaining traditional ship roles.
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Estimate the “fair” value in the new-build and second-hand market and assess current market pricing vs fair-valuation levels.
Allow banks to assess the future evolution of the value of shipping loan collaterals (i.e. the value of the ship underlying the loan).
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- Rates have generally decreased across most marine product lines by 5-10% due to increased capacity and improved loss trends.
- Cargo and hull markets remain very competitive with ample capacity. P&I renewals are also expected to be favorable.
- Several insurers and brokers made leadership changes and expanded their marine teams and capabilities in various regions.
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- 1. 2017 FORECAST OF SHIPPING COMPANIES Students: Anaid Chica Annelys Flores GRADE: 10 Lecturer: Max Galarza
- 2. Drewry • In particular, the oversupply situation, which has dogged this sector for many years, is expected to level out in the medium term,” comments Susan Oatway, lead analyst for multipurpose shipping at Drewry.
- 3. • The oil price will be more expensive these year which increases the freight cost.
- 4. BIMCO • Analysts with BIMCO forecast lower growth potential for shipping in coming years, thanks to continued overcapacity and to national subsidies for shipbuilding activity. • Government support for any industry – including shipping- which is feeling the heat of global competition might seem like a good thing. But direct subsidies from governments in fact have a negative impact on the global shipping industry as they affect free trade and undermine the level playing field for businesses.
- 5. CONCLUSION • As many forecast said shipping companies will have some obstacles like the increase of oil which could make people to stop using this form of transport, but also there are higher expectations that shipping is going to recover this year because some companies might leave the market and there are some that have had left already.
- 6. BIBLIOGRAPHY • The maritime executive • The New York Times • Drewry